Winter Storm Warning 4, NWS Albany, NY

000 
WWUS41 KALY 272017
WSWALY

URGENT - WINTER WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ALBANY NY
317 PM EST TUE JAN 27 2009

CTZ001-013-MAZ025-NYZ058>061-063>066-281015-
/O.UPG.KALY.WS.A.0003.090128T0500Z-090129T0500Z/
/O.EXA.KALY.WS.W.0004.090128T0500Z-090129T1100Z/
NORTHERN LITCHFIELD-SOUTHERN LITCHFIELD-SOUTHERN BERKSHIRE-
WESTERN GREENE-EASTERN GREENE-WESTERN COLUMBIA-EASTERN COLUMBIA-
WESTERN ULSTER-EASTERN ULSTER-WESTERN DUTCHESS-EASTERN DUTCHESS-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...TORRINGTON...OAKVILLE...NEW MILFORD...
TERRYVILLE...GREAT BARRINGTON...LEE...LENOX...HOUSATONIC...
HUNTER...TANNERSVILLE...WINDHAM...CATSKILL...COXSACKIE...ATHENS...
CAIRO...JEFFERSON HEIGHTS...HUDSON...CHATHAM...SUNDOWN...
ELLENVILLE...WOODSTOCK...WEST HURLEY...KERHONKSON...NAPANOCH...
PHOENICIA...KINGSTON...NEW PALTZ...POUGHKEEPSIE...BEACON...
ARLINGTON...PAWLING...DOVER PLAINS...MILLBROOK...PINE PLAINS...
AMENIA...MILLERTON
317 PM EST TUE JAN 27 2009

...WINTER STORM WARNING IN EFFECT FROM MIDNIGHT TONIGHT TO 6 AM
EST THURSDAY...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN ALBANY HAS ISSUED A WINTER STORM
WARNING FOR HEAVY SNOW AND FREEZING RAIN...WHICH IS IN EFFECT FROM
MIDNIGHT TONIGHT TO 6 AM EST THURSDAY. THE WINTER STORM WATCH IS
NO LONGER IN EFFECT.

SNOWFALL AMOUNTS OF 4 TO 8 INCHES...IN ADDITION TO ICE ACCRETION
OF ONE QUARTER TO ONE HALF INCH...AND SLEET ACCUMULATION OF UP TO
ONE HALF INCH ARE EXPECTED BY THE TIME THE PRECIPITATION TAPERS
OFF WEDNESDAY NIGHT ACROSS THE MID HUDSON VALLEY...SOUTHEAST
CATSKILLS...SOUTHERN BERKSHIRES...AND LITCHFIELD HILLS.

THE WEIGHT OF THIS ICE MAY BE ENOUGH TO DOWN SOME TREE LIMBS...AND
RESULT IN ISOLATED TO SCATTERED POWER OUTAGES.

SNOW IS EXPECTED TO DEVELOP WELL AFTER MIDNIGHT ACROSS THE
REGION...AND CONTINUE THROUGH MID MORNING. THE SNOW WILL THEN MIX
WITH...AND CHANGE TO A MIX OF SLEET AND FREEZING RAIN BY LATE
MORNING...TRANSITIONING FROM SOUTH TO NORTH. A MIX OF SLEET AND
FREEZING RAIN WILL THEN PERSIST INTO THE AFTERNOON AND EVENING
HOURS...BEFORE ENDING AROUND MIDNIGHT. SOME PLAIN RAIN COULD MIX
IN ACROSS SOUTHERN DUTCHESS AND LITCHFIELD COUNTIES FOR A BRIEF
TIME WEDNESDAY EVENING.

THE PRECIPITATION WILL BE THE RESULT OF A LOW PRESSURE 
SYSTEM...TRACKING FROM THE LOWER MISSISSIPPI VALLEY TO
PENNSYLVANIA WEDNESDAY MORNING...AND OFF THE NORTHERN NEW ENGLAND
COAST BY WEDNESDAY NIGHT.

A WINTER STORM WARNING MEANS SIGNIFICANT AMOUNTS OF SNOW...
SLEET...AND ICE ARE EXPECTED OR OCCURRING. STRONG WINDS ARE ALSO
POSSIBLE. THIS WILL MAKE TRAVEL VERY HAZARDOUS OR IMPOSSIBLE.

$$

MAZ001-NYZ032-033-038>043-047>054-082>084-VTZ013>015-281015-
/O.CON.KALY.WS.W.0004.090128T0500Z-090129T1100Z/
NORTHERN BERKSHIRE-NORTHERN HERKIMER-HAMILTON-SOUTHERN HERKIMER-
SOUTHERN FULTON-MONTGOMERY-NORTHERN SARATOGA-NORTHERN WARREN-
NORTHERN WASHINGTON-SCHOHARIE-WESTERN SCHENECTADY-
EASTERN SCHENECTADY-SOUTHERN SARATOGA-WESTERN ALBANY-
EASTERN ALBANY-WESTERN RENSSELAER-EASTERN RENSSELAER-
NORTHERN FULTON-SOUTHEAST WARREN-SOUTHERN WASHINGTON-BENNINGTON-
WESTERN WINDHAM-EASTERN WINDHAM-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...PITTSFIELD...NORTH ADAMS...ATWELL...
BIG MOOSE...EAGLE BAY...MCKEEVER...NOBLEBORO...NORTHWOOD...
OLD FORGE...SPECULATOR...ILION...HERKIMER...LITTLE FALLS...
MOHAWK...FRANKFORT...DOLGEVILLE...GLOVERSVILLE...JOHNSTOWN...
AMSTERDAM...WELLSVILLE...SARATOGA SPRINGS...WARRENSBURG...
WHITEHALL...GRANVILLE...COBLESKILL...MIDDLEBURGH...DELANSON...
ESPERANCE...DUANESBURG...SCHENECTADY...ROTTERDAM...BALLSTON SPA...
MECHANICVILLE...WATERFORD...ALTAMONT...ALBANY...TROY...
HOOSICK FALLS...NORTHVILLE...MAYFIELD...GLENS FALLS...
WEST GLENS FALLS...HUDSON FALLS...FORT EDWARD...CAMBRIDGE...
GREENWICH...BENNINGTON...JACKSONVILLE...NEWFANE...BRATTLEBORO...
WEST BRATTLEBORO...BELLOWS FALLS
317 PM EST TUE JAN 27 2009

...WINTER STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM MIDNIGHT TONIGHT
TO 6 AM EST THURSDAY...

A WINTER STORM WARNING FOR HEAVY SNOW REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM
MIDNIGHT TONIGHT TO 6 AM EST THURSDAY FOR THE WESTERN ADIRONDACKS...LAKE
GEORGE SARATOGA REGION...MOHAWK VALLEY...SCHOHARIE VALLEY...GREATER
CAPITAL DISTRICT...NORTHERN CATSKILLS...SOUTHERN VERMONT AND THE
NORTHERN BERKSHIRES.

A COMPLEX WINTER STORM WILL IMPACT OUR REGION STARTING AROUND
MIDNIGHT TONIGHT AND CONTINUE THROUGH WEDNESDAY AND INTO MUCH OF
WEDNESDAY NIGHT. BY THE TIME THE SNOW TAPERS OFF LATER WEDNESDAY
NIGHT...10 TO 16 INCHES OF SNOWFALL ARE EXPECTED ACROSS THE
WESTERN ADIRONDACKS...MOHAWK VALLEY...THE LAKE GEORGE SARATOGA
REGION INTO SOUTHERN VERMONT...WITH 6 TO 12 INCHES EXPECTED
FURTHER SOUTH AND EAST...INCLUDING THE IMMEDIATE CAPITAL
DISTRICT...SCHOHARIE VALLEY...NORTHERN CATSKILLS...AND INTO THE NORTHERN
BERKSHIRES. SOUTHERN PORTIONS OF THE WARNING AREA INCLUDING THE
GREATER CAPITAL DISTRICT AND SCHOHARIE VALLEY TO THE NORTHERN
BERKSHIRES MAY MIX WITH SLEET AND OR FREEZING RAIN WEDNESDAY
AFTERNOON INTO WEDNESDAY EVENING. ANY ICE ACCUMULATION IS EXPECTED
TO BE ONE TO TWO TENTHS OF AN INCH...WITH UP TO ONE HALF INCH OF
SLEET ACCUMULATION.

SNOW WILL OVERSPREAD THE REGION FROM SOUTHWEST TO NORTHEAST LATE
TONIGHT...AS LOW PRESSURE MOVES FROM THE TENNESSEE VALLEY TO THE
MID ATLANTIC REGION. A FEW INCHES OF SNOW ACCUMULATION IS
EXPECTED BY THE WEDNESDAY MORNING COMMUTE. THE SNOW WILL BE HEAVY
AT TIMES DURING WEDNESDAY...BEFORE TAPERING OFF DURING THE SECOND
HALF OF WEDNESDAY NIGHT...AS THE LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM MOVES FROM
SOUTHEAST NEW YORK WEDNESDAY EVENING TO THE CANADIAN MARITIMES
THURSDAY MORNING.

A WINTER STORM WARNING MEANS SIGNIFICANT AMOUNTS OF SNOW...
SLEET...AND ICE ARE EXPECTED OR OCCURRING. STRONG WINDS ARE ALSO
POSSIBLE. THIS WILL MAKE TRAVEL VERY HAZARDOUS OR IMPOSSIBLE.

$$

000 
WWUS41 KALY 280218
WSWALY

URGENT - WINTER WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ALBANY NY
918 PM EST TUE JAN 27 2009

MAZ001-NYZ032-033-038>043-047>054-082>084-VTZ013>015-281015-
/O.CON.KALY.WS.W.0004.090128T0500Z-090129T1100Z/
NORTHERN BERKSHIRE-NORTHERN HERKIMER-HAMILTON-SOUTHERN HERKIMER-
SOUTHERN FULTON-MONTGOMERY-NORTHERN SARATOGA-NORTHERN WARREN-
NORTHERN WASHINGTON-SCHOHARIE-WESTERN SCHENECTADY-
EASTERN SCHENECTADY-SOUTHERN SARATOGA-WESTERN ALBANY-
EASTERN ALBANY-WESTERN RENSSELAER-EASTERN RENSSELAER-
NORTHERN FULTON-SOUTHEAST WARREN-SOUTHERN WASHINGTON-BENNINGTON-
WESTERN WINDHAM-EASTERN WINDHAM-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...PITTSFIELD...NORTH ADAMS...ATWELL...
BIG MOOSE...EAGLE BAY...MCKEEVER...NOBLEBORO...NORTHWOOD...
OLD FORGE...SPECULATOR...ILION...HERKIMER...LITTLE FALLS...
MOHAWK...FRANKFORT...DOLGEVILLE...GLOVERSVILLE...JOHNSTOWN...
AMSTERDAM...WELLSVILLE...SARATOGA SPRINGS...WARRENSBURG...
WHITEHALL...GRANVILLE...COBLESKILL...MIDDLEBURGH...DELANSON...
ESPERANCE...DUANESBURG...SCHENECTADY...ROTTERDAM...BALLSTON SPA...
MECHANICVILLE...WATERFORD...ALTAMONT...ALBANY...TROY...
HOOSICK FALLS...NORTHVILLE...MAYFIELD...GLENS FALLS...
WEST GLENS FALLS...HUDSON FALLS...FORT EDWARD...CAMBRIDGE...
GREENWICH...BENNINGTON...JACKSONVILLE...NEWFANE...BRATTLEBORO...
WEST BRATTLEBORO...BELLOWS FALLS
918 PM EST TUE JAN 27 2009

...WINTER STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM MIDNIGHT TONIGHT
TO 6 AM EST THURSDAY...

A WINTER STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM MIDNIGHT TONIGHT TO
6 AM EST THURSDAY FOR THE WESTERN ADIRONDACKS...LAKE GEORGE
SARATOGA REGION...MOHAWK VALLEY...SCHOHARIE VALLEY...GREATER
CAPITAL DISTRICT...NORTHERN CATSKILLS...SOUTHERN VERMONT AND THE
NORTHERN BERKSHIRES.

A COMPLEX WINTER STORM WILL IMPACT OUR REGION STARTING JUST AFTER
MIDNIGHT TONIGHT AND CONTINUE THROUGH WEDNESDAY AND INTO MUCH OF
WEDNESDAY NIGHT. BY THE TIME THE SNOW TAPERS OFF LATER WEDNESDAY
NIGHT...10 TO 16 INCHES OF SNOWFALL ARE EXPECTED ACROSS THE
WESTERN ADIRONDACKS...MOHAWK VALLEY...THE LAKE GEORGE SARATOGA
REGION INTO SOUTHERN VERMONT...WITH 6 TO 12 INCHES EXPECTED
FURTHER SOUTH AND EAST...INCLUDING THE IMMEDIATE CAPITAL
DISTRICT...SCHOHARIE VALLEY...NORTHERN CATSKILLS...AND INTO THE
NORTHERN BERKSHIRES. SOUTHERN PORTIONS OF THE WARNING AREA
INCLUDING THE GREATER CAPITAL DISTRICT AND SCHOHARIE VALLEY TO THE
NORTHERN BERKSHIRES MAY MIX WITH SLEET AND OR FREEZING RAIN
WEDNESDAY AFTERNOON INTO WEDNESDAY EVENING. ANY ICE ACCUMULATION
IS EXPECTED TO BE ONE TO TWO TENTHS OF AN INCH...WITH UP TO ONE
HALF INCH OF SLEET ACCUMULATION.

SNOW WILL OVERSPREAD THE REGION FROM SOUTHWEST TO NORTHEAST
SHORTLY AFTER MIDNIGHT TONIGHT...AS LOW PRESSURE MOVES FROM THE
TENNESSEE VALLEY TO THE MID ATLANTIC REGION. A FEW INCHES OF SNOW
ACCUMULATION IS EXPECTED BY THE WEDNESDAY MORNING COMMUTE. THE
SNOW WILL BE HEAVY AT TIMES DURING WEDNESDAY...BEFORE TAPERING OFF
DURING THE SECOND HALF OF WEDNESDAY NIGHT...AS THE LOW PRESSURE
SYSTEM MOVES FROM SOUTHEAST NEW YORK WEDNESDAY EVENING TO THE
CANADIAN MARITIMES THURSDAY MORNING.

A WINTER STORM WARNING MEANS SIGNIFICANT AMOUNTS OF SNOW...
SLEET...AND ICE ARE EXPECTED OR OCCURRING. STRONG WINDS ARE ALSO
POSSIBLE. THIS COULD MAKE TRAVEL HAZARDOUS OR EVEN IMPOSSIBLE IN
SOME AREAS.

LISTEN TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO OR YOUR LOCAL MEDIA FOR THE LATER
UPDATES ON THIS SITUATION.

$$

CTZ001-013-MAZ025-NYZ058>061-063>066-281015-
/O.CON.KALY.WS.W.0004.090128T0500Z-090129T1100Z/
NORTHERN LITCHFIELD-SOUTHERN LITCHFIELD-SOUTHERN BERKSHIRE-
WESTERN GREENE-EASTERN GREENE-WESTERN COLUMBIA-EASTERN COLUMBIA-
WESTERN ULSTER-EASTERN ULSTER-WESTERN DUTCHESS-EASTERN DUTCHESS-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...TORRINGTON...OAKVILLE...NEW MILFORD...
TERRYVILLE...GREAT BARRINGTON...LEE...LENOX...HOUSATONIC...
HUNTER...TANNERSVILLE...WINDHAM...CATSKILL...COXSACKIE...ATHENS...
CAIRO...JEFFERSON HEIGHTS...HUDSON...CHATHAM...SUNDOWN...
ELLENVILLE...WOODSTOCK...WEST HURLEY...KERHONKSON...NAPANOCH...
PHOENICIA...KINGSTON...NEW PALTZ...POUGHKEEPSIE...BEACON...
ARLINGTON...PAWLING...DOVER PLAINS...MILLBROOK...PINE PLAINS...
AMENIA...MILLERTON
918 PM EST TUE JAN 27 2009

...WINTER STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM MIDNIGHT TONIGHT
TO 6 AM EST THURSDAY...

A WINTER STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM MIDNIGHT TONIGHT TO
6 AM EST THURSDAY FOR THE MID HUDSON VALLEY...SOUTHEAST
CATSKILLS...SOUTHERN BERKSHIRES...AND LITCHFIELD HILLS. 

SNOWFALL AMOUNTS OF 4 TO 8 INCHES...IN ADDITION TO ICE ACCRETIONS
OF ONE QUARTER TO ONE HALF INCH...AND SLEET ACCUMULATIONS OF UP TO
ONE HALF INCH ARE EXPECTED BY THE TIME THE PRECIPITATION TAPERS
OFF WEDNESDAY NIGHT. 

THE WEIGHT OF THIS ICE MAY BE ENOUGH TO DOWN SOME TREE LIMBS...
AND RESULT IN ISOLATED TO SCATTERED POWER OUTAGES.

SNOW IS EXPECTED TO DEVELOP SHORTLY AFTER MIDNIGHT ACROSS THE
REGION...AND CONTINUE THROUGH MID MORNING. THE SNOW WILL THEN MIX
WITH...AND CHANGE TO SLEET AND FREEZING RAIN BY LATE MORNING...
TRANSITIONING FROM SOUTH TO NORTH. SLEET AND FREEZING RAIN WILL
THEN PERSIST INTO THE AFTERNOON AND EVENING HOURS...BEFORE ENDING
AROUND MIDNIGHT. SOME PLAIN RAIN COULD MIX IN ACROSS SOUTHERN
DUTCHESS AND LITCHFIELD COUNTIES FOR A BRIEF TIME WEDNESDAY
EVENING.

THE PRECIPITATION WILL BE THE RESULT OF A LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM...
TRACKING FROM THE TENNESSEE VALLEY TO PENNSYLVANIA THROUGH
WEDNESDAY MORNING...AND OFF THE NEW ENGLAND COAST BY WEDNESDAY
NIGHT.

A WINTER STORM WARNING MEANS SIGNIFICANT AMOUNTS OF SNOW...
SLEET...AND ICE ARE EXPECTED OR OCCURRING. STRONG WINDS ARE ALSO
POSSIBLE. THIS COULD MAKE TRAVEL HAZARDOUS OR EVEN IMPOSSIBLE IN
SOME AREAS.

LISTEN TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO OR YOUR LOCAL MEDIA FOR THE LATER
UPDATES ON THIS SITUATION.

$$

KL/ELH

000 
WWUS41 KALY 280943
WSWALY

URGENT - WINTER WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ALBANY NY
443 AM EST WED JAN 28 2009

MAZ001-NYZ032-033-038>043-047>054-082>084-VTZ013>015-281800-
/O.CON.KALY.WS.W.0004.000000T0000Z-090129T1100Z/
NORTHERN BERKSHIRE-NORTHERN HERKIMER-HAMILTON-SOUTHERN HERKIMER-
SOUTHERN FULTON-MONTGOMERY-NORTHERN SARATOGA-NORTHERN WARREN-
NORTHERN WASHINGTON-SCHOHARIE-WESTERN SCHENECTADY-
EASTERN SCHENECTADY-SOUTHERN SARATOGA-WESTERN ALBANY-
EASTERN ALBANY-WESTERN RENSSELAER-EASTERN RENSSELAER-
NORTHERN FULTON-SOUTHEAST WARREN-SOUTHERN WASHINGTON-BENNINGTON-
WESTERN WINDHAM-EASTERN WINDHAM-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...PITTSFIELD...NORTH ADAMS...ATWELL...
BIG MOOSE...EAGLE BAY...MCKEEVER...NOBLEBORO...NORTHWOOD...
OLD FORGE...SPECULATOR...ILION...HERKIMER...LITTLE FALLS...
MOHAWK...FRANKFORT...DOLGEVILLE...GLOVERSVILLE...JOHNSTOWN...
AMSTERDAM...WELLSVILLE...SARATOGA SPRINGS...WARRENSBURG...
WHITEHALL...GRANVILLE...COBLESKILL...MIDDLEBURGH...DELANSON...
ESPERANCE...DUANESBURG...SCHENECTADY...ROTTERDAM...BALLSTON SPA...
MECHANICVILLE...WATERFORD...ALTAMONT...ALBANY...TROY...
HOOSICK FALLS...NORTHVILLE...MAYFIELD...GLENS FALLS...
WEST GLENS FALLS...HUDSON FALLS...FORT EDWARD...CAMBRIDGE...
GREENWICH...BENNINGTON...JACKSONVILLE...NEWFANE...BRATTLEBORO...
WEST BRATTLEBORO...BELLOWS FALLS
443 AM EST WED JAN 28 2009

...WINTER STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 AM EST
THURSDAY...

A WINTER STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT THROUGH 6 AM EST
THURSDAY FOR THE WESTERN AND SOUTHERN ADIRONDACKS...LAKE GEORGE
SARATOGA REGION...MOHAWK VALLEY...SCHOHARIE VALLEY...GREATER
CAPITAL DISTRICT...SOUTHERN VERMONT AND THE NORTHERN BERKSHIRES.

A COMPLEX WINTER STORM WILL CONTINUE TO IMPACT OUR REGION TODAY
THROUGH MUCH OF TONIGHT. BY THE TIME THE SNOW TAPERS OFF LATER
TONIGHT...8 TO 16 INCHES OF SNOWFALL ARE EXPECTED ACROSS THE
WESTERN AND SOUTHERN ADIRONDACKS...MOHAWK VALLEY...THE LAKE GEORGE
SARATOGA REGION INTO SOUTHERN VERMONT...WITH 6 TO 12 INCHES
EXPECTED FURTHER SOUTH AND EAST...INCLUDING THE CAPITAL
DISTRICT...SCHOHARIE VALLEY...AND NORTHERN BERKSHIRES. SNOWFALL
AMOUNTS GREATER THAN 12 INCHES WILL GENERALLY OCCUR ACROSS HIGHER
ELEVATION LOCATIONS.

ACROSS SOUTHERN AND EASTERN PORTIONS OF THE WARNING AREA...INCLUDING
THE GREATER CAPITAL DISTRICT...SCHOHARIE VALLEY...NORTHERN
BERKSHIRES AND SOUTHERN VERMONT...SNOW WILL MIX WITH SLEET AND OR
FREEZING RAIN THIS AFTERNOON INTO THE EVENING. ANY ICE ACCUMULATION
IS EXPECTED TO BE ONE TO TWO TENTHS OF AN INCH...WITH UP TO ONE
HALF INCH OF SLEET ACCUMULATION.

SNOW WILL CONTINUE TO FALL ACROSS THE REGION THIS MORNING...AS
LOW PRESSURE MOVES FROM THE OHIO VALLEY THROUGH PENNSYLVANIA TODAY.
THE SNOW WILL BE HEAVY AT TIMES...ESPECIALLY THIS MORNING...WHICH 
WILL IMPACT THE MORNING COMMUTE. PRECIPITATION WILL TAPER OFF
FROM WEST TO EAST OVERNIGHT...AS A LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM MOVES FROM
SOUTHEAST NEW YORK THIS EVENING TO THE CANADIAN MARITIMES
THURSDAY MORNING. AS THE LOW DEPARTS...STRONG NORTHWEST WINDS WILL
DEVELOP OVERNIGHT...AND WILL OCCASIONALLY GUST TO AROUND 40 MPH.
THIS WILL CAUSE SOME BLOWING AND DRIFTING OF SNOW THAT IS ON THE
GROUND.

A WINTER STORM WARNING MEANS SIGNIFICANT AMOUNTS OF SNOW...
SLEET...AND ICE ARE EXPECTED OR OCCURRING. STRONG WINDS ARE ALSO
POSSIBLE. THIS COULD MAKE TRAVEL HAZARDOUS OR EVEN IMPOSSIBLE IN
SOME AREAS.


$$

CTZ001-013-MAZ025-NYZ058>061-063>066-281800-
/O.CON.KALY.WS.W.0004.000000T0000Z-090129T1100Z/
NORTHERN LITCHFIELD-SOUTHERN LITCHFIELD-SOUTHERN BERKSHIRE-
WESTERN GREENE-EASTERN GREENE-WESTERN COLUMBIA-EASTERN COLUMBIA-
WESTERN ULSTER-EASTERN ULSTER-WESTERN DUTCHESS-EASTERN DUTCHESS-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...TORRINGTON...OAKVILLE...NEW MILFORD...
TERRYVILLE...GREAT BARRINGTON...LEE...LENOX...HOUSATONIC...
HUNTER...TANNERSVILLE...WINDHAM...CATSKILL...COXSACKIE...ATHENS...
CAIRO...JEFFERSON HEIGHTS...HUDSON...CHATHAM...SUNDOWN...
ELLENVILLE...WOODSTOCK...WEST HURLEY...KERHONKSON...NAPANOCH...
PHOENICIA...KINGSTON...NEW PALTZ...POUGHKEEPSIE...BEACON...
ARLINGTON...PAWLING...DOVER PLAINS...MILLBROOK...PINE PLAINS...
AMENIA...MILLERTON
443 AM EST WED JAN 28 2009

...WINTER STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 AM EST
THURSDAY...

A WINTER STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM MIDNIGHT TONIGHT TO
6 AM EST THURSDAY FOR THE MID HUDSON VALLEY...EASTERN CATSKILLS...
SOUTHERN BERKSHIRES...AND LITCHFIELD HILLS.

TOTAL SNOWFALL AMOUNTS OF 5 TO 10 INCHES ARE EXPECTED ACROSS
GREENE...COLUMBIA AND SOUTHERN BERKSHIRE COUNTY...WITH 4 TO 8
INCHES ACROSS ULSTER...DUTCHESS AND LITCHFIELD COUNTIES. IN 
ADDITION TO THE SNOW...ICE ACCUMULATION OF ONE QUARTER TO FOUR
TENTHS OF AN INCH...AND SLEET ACCUMULATIONS OF UP TO ONE HALF INCH
ARE EXPECTED BY THE TIME THE PRECIPITATION TAPERS OFF TONIGHT. THE
GREATER SNOWFALL AMOUNTS WILL OCCUR ACROSS THE HIGHER ELEVATIONS
OF THE EASTERN CATSKILLS...TACONICS AND SOUTHERN BERKSHIRES.
SLIGHTLY LOWER SNOWFALL AMOUNTS WILL OCCUR ACROSS SOUTHERN
DUTCHESS AND LITCHFIELD COUNTIES WHERE PRECIPITATION WILL CHANGE
TO RAIN FOR A TIME THIS AFTERNOON.

THE WEIGHT OF THIS ICE MAY BE ENOUGH TO BRING DOWN SOME TREE
LIMBS...AND RESULT IN ISOLATED TO SCATTERED POWER OUTAGES.

SNOW WILL CONTINUE TO FALL ACROSS THE REGION THIS MORNING...THEN 
MIX WITH...AND CHANGE TO SLEET AND FREEZING RAIN FROM SOUTH TO
NORTH BY LATE MORNING. SLEET AND FREEZING RAIN WILL THEN PERSIST
INTO THE AFTERNOON AND EVENING HOURS...BEFORE ENDING AROUND
MIDNIGHT. A CHANGE TO PLAIN RAIN IS LIKELY FOR SOUTHERN DUTCHESS
AND LITCHFIELD COUNTIES THIS AFTERNOON.

THE PRECIPITATION WILL BE THE RESULT OF A LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM...
TRACKING FROM THE OHIO VALLEY THROUGH PENNSYLVANIA TODAY...AND
OFF THE NEW ENGLAND COAST BY TONIGHT.

A WINTER STORM WARNING MEANS SIGNIFICANT AMOUNTS OF SNOW...
SLEET...AND ICE ARE EXPECTED OR OCCURRING. STRONG WINDS ARE ALSO
POSSIBLE. THIS COULD MAKE TRAVEL HAZARDOUS OR EVEN IMPOSSIBLE IN
SOME AREAS.

LISTEN TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO OR YOUR LOCAL MEDIA FOR THE LATER
UPDATES ON THIS SITUATION.

$$

000 
WWUS41 KALY 281732
WSWALY

URGENT - WINTER WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ALBANY NY
1232 PM EST WED JAN 28 2009

MAZ001-NYZ032-033-038>043-047>054-082>084-VTZ013>015-290130-
/O.CON.KALY.WS.W.0004.000000T0000Z-090129T1100Z/
NORTHERN BERKSHIRE-NORTHERN HERKIMER-HAMILTON-SOUTHERN HERKIMER-
SOUTHERN FULTON-MONTGOMERY-NORTHERN SARATOGA-NORTHERN WARREN-
NORTHERN WASHINGTON-SCHOHARIE-WESTERN SCHENECTADY-
EASTERN SCHENECTADY-SOUTHERN SARATOGA-WESTERN ALBANY-
EASTERN ALBANY-WESTERN RENSSELAER-EASTERN RENSSELAER-
NORTHERN FULTON-SOUTHEAST WARREN-SOUTHERN WASHINGTON-BENNINGTON-
WESTERN WINDHAM-EASTERN WINDHAM-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...PITTSFIELD...NORTH ADAMS...ATWELL...
BIG MOOSE...EAGLE BAY...MCKEEVER...NOBLEBORO...NORTHWOOD...
OLD FORGE...SPECULATOR...ILION...HERKIMER...LITTLE FALLS...
MOHAWK...FRANKFORT...DOLGEVILLE...GLOVERSVILLE...JOHNSTOWN...
AMSTERDAM...WELLSVILLE...SARATOGA SPRINGS...WARRENSBURG...
WHITEHALL...GRANVILLE...COBLESKILL...MIDDLEBURGH...DELANSON...
ESPERANCE...DUANESBURG...SCHENECTADY...ROTTERDAM...BALLSTON SPA...
MECHANICVILLE...WATERFORD...ALTAMONT...ALBANY...TROY...
HOOSICK FALLS...NORTHVILLE...MAYFIELD...GLENS FALLS...
WEST GLENS FALLS...HUDSON FALLS...FORT EDWARD...CAMBRIDGE...
GREENWICH...BENNINGTON...JACKSONVILLE...NEWFANE...BRATTLEBORO...
WEST BRATTLEBORO...BELLOWS FALLS
1232 PM EST WED JAN 28 2009

...WINTER STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 AM EST
THURSDAY...

A WINTER STORM WARNING FOR HEAVY SNOW AND FREEZING RAIN REMAINS IN
EFFECT UNTIL 6 AM EST THURSDAY FOR THE THE WESTERN AND SOUTHERN 
ADIRONDACKS...LAKE GEORGE SARATOGA REGION...MOHAWK VALLEY...SCHOHARIE
VALLEY...GREATER CAPITAL DISTRICT...SOUTHERN VERMONT AND THE
NORTHERN BERKSHIRES.

A COMPLEX WINTER STORM WILL CONTINUE TO IMPACT OUR REGION THIS
AFTERNOON THROUGH MUCH OF TONIGHT. BY THE TIME THE SNOW TAPERS
OFF LATER TONIGHT...8 TO 16 INCHES OF SNOWFALL ARE EXPECTED ACROSS
THE WESTERN AND SOUTHERN ADIRONDACKS...MOHAWK VALLEY...THE LAKE
GEORGE SARATOGA REGION INTO SOUTHERN VERMONT...WITH 5 TO 10 INCHES
EXPECTED FURTHER SOUTH AND EAST...INCLUDING THE CAPITAL
DISTRICT...SCHOHARIE VALLEY...AND NORTHERN BERKSHIRES. SNOWFALL
AMOUNTS GREATER THAN 12 INCHES WILL GENERALLY OCCUR ACROSS HIGHER
ELEVATION LOCATIONS.

ACROSS THE GREATER CAPITAL DISTRICT...SCHOHARIE VALLEY...
NORTHERN BERKSHIRES AND SOUTHERN VERMONT...SNOW WILL MIX WITH OR
CHANGEOVER TO SLEET AND FREEZING RAIN BEGINNING EARLY THIS
AFTERNOON AND CONTINUING INTO THE EVENING. ANY ICE ACCUMULATION
IS EXPECTED TO BE ONE TO TWO TENTHS OF AN INCH... WITH UP TO ONE
HALF INCH OF SLEET ACCUMULATION.

THE SNOW WILL BE MODERATE TO HEAVY AT TIMES...ESPECIALLY THROUGH
THE MID AFTERNOON HOURS. SNOW RATES MAY UP TO ONE INCH PER HOUR AT
TIMES...WHICH WILL REDUCE VISIBILITY TO BELOW ONE HALF MILE.

PRECIPITATION WILL TAPER OFF FROM SOUTHWEST TO NORTHEAST THIS
EVENING...AS THE LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM RESPONSIBLE FOR THE WINTRY
WEATHER MOVES FROM SOUTHEAST NEW YORK THIS EVENING TO THE CANADIAN
MARITIMES THURSDAY MORNING. AS THE LOW DEPARTS...STRONG NORTHWEST
WINDS WILL DEVELOP OVERNIGHT...AND WILL OCCASIONALLY GUST TO
AROUND 40 MPH. THIS WILL CAUSE SOME BLOWING AND DRIFTING OF SNOW
THAT IS ON THE GROUND.

A WINTER STORM WARNING MEANS SIGNIFICANT AMOUNTS OF SNOW...
SLEET...AND ICE ARE EXPECTED OR OCCURRING. STRONG WINDS ARE ALSO
POSSIBLE. THIS COULD MAKE TRAVEL HAZARDOUS OR EVEN IMPOSSIBLE IN
SOME AREAS.

$$

CTZ001-013-MAZ025-NYZ058>061-063>066-290130-
/O.CON.KALY.WS.W.0004.000000T0000Z-090129T1100Z/
NORTHERN LITCHFIELD-SOUTHERN LITCHFIELD-SOUTHERN BERKSHIRE-
WESTERN GREENE-EASTERN GREENE-WESTERN COLUMBIA-EASTERN COLUMBIA-
WESTERN ULSTER-EASTERN ULSTER-WESTERN DUTCHESS-EASTERN DUTCHESS-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...TORRINGTON...OAKVILLE...NEW MILFORD...
TERRYVILLE...GREAT BARRINGTON...LEE...LENOX...HOUSATONIC...
HUNTER...TANNERSVILLE...WINDHAM...CATSKILL...COXSACKIE...ATHENS...
CAIRO...JEFFERSON HEIGHTS...HUDSON...CHATHAM...SUNDOWN...
ELLENVILLE...WOODSTOCK...WEST HURLEY...KERHONKSON...NAPANOCH...
PHOENICIA...KINGSTON...NEW PALTZ...POUGHKEEPSIE...BEACON...
ARLINGTON...PAWLING...DOVER PLAINS...MILLBROOK...PINE PLAINS...
AMENIA...MILLERTON
1232 PM EST WED JAN 28 2009

...WINTER STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 AM EST
THURSDAY...

A WINTER STORM WARNING FOR HEAVY SNOW AND FREEZING RAIN REMAINS IN
EFFECT UNTIL 6 AM EST THURSDAY FOR THE MID HUDSON VALLEY...EASTERN
CATSKILLS...SOUTHERN BERKSHIRES...AND LITCHFIELD HILLS.

TOTAL SNOWFALL AMOUNTS OF 5 TO 10 INCHES ARE EXPECTED ACROSS
GREENE...COLUMBIA AND SOUTHERN BERKSHIRE COUNTY...WITH 4 TO
8 INCHES ACROSS ULSTER...DUTCHESS AND LITCHFIELD COUNTIES. IN
ADDITION TO THE SNOW...ICE ACCUMULATION OF ONE QUARTER TO FOUR
TENTHS OF AN INCH...AND SLEET ACCUMULATIONS OF UP TO ONE HALF
INCH ARE EXPECTED BY THE TIME THE PRECIPITATION TAPERS OFF
TONIGHT. THE GREATER SNOWFALL AMOUNTS WILL OCCUR ACROSS THE
HIGHER ELEVATIONS OF THE EASTERN CATSKILLS...TACONICS AND
SOUTHERN BERKSHIRES. SLIGHTLY LOWER SNOWFALL AMOUNTS WILL OCCUR
ACROSS SOUTHERN DUTCHESS AND LITCHFIELD COUNTIES WHERE
PRECIPITATION WILL CHANGE TO RAIN FOR A TIME LATER THIS AFTERNOON.

THE WEIGHT OF THIS ICE MAY BE ENOUGH TO BRING DOWN SOME TREE
LIMBS...AND RESULT IN ISOLATED TO SCATTERED POWER OUTAGES.

SLEET AND FREEZING RAIN...MIXING WITH SNOW AT TIMES EARLY THIS
AFTERNOON...WILL CONTINUE THROUGH THE AFTERNOON AND INTO THE
EVENING HOURS...BEFORE ENDING BEFORE MIDNIGHT. A CHANGE TO PLAIN
RAIN IS LIKELY FOR SOUTHERN DUTCHESS AND LITCHFIELD COUNTIES THIS
AFTERNOON.

THE PRECIPITATION WILL BE THE RESULT OF A LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM...
TRACKING FROM PENNSYLVANIA THIS AFTERNOON...TO OFF THE NEW ENGLAND
COAST BY TONIGHT.

A WINTER STORM WARNING MEANS SIGNIFICANT AMOUNTS OF SNOW...
SLEET...AND ICE ARE EXPECTED OR OCCURRING. STRONG WINDS ARE ALSO
POSSIBLE. THIS COULD MAKE TRAVEL HAZARDOUS OR EVEN IMPOSSIBLE IN
SOME AREAS.

LISTEN TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO OR YOUR LOCAL MEDIA FOR THE LATER
UPDATES ON THIS SITUATION.

$$

FRUGIS

000 
WWUS41 KALY 290129
WSWALY

URGENT - WINTER WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ALBANY NY
829 PM EST WED JAN 28 2009

CTZ001-013-MAZ025-NYZ058>061-063>066-290230-
/O.CAN.KALY.WS.W.0004.000000T0000Z-090129T1100Z/
NORTHERN LITCHFIELD-SOUTHERN LITCHFIELD-SOUTHERN BERKSHIRE-
WESTERN GREENE-EASTERN GREENE-WESTERN COLUMBIA-EASTERN COLUMBIA-
WESTERN ULSTER-EASTERN ULSTER-WESTERN DUTCHESS-EASTERN DUTCHESS-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...TORRINGTON...OAKVILLE...NEW MILFORD...
TERRYVILLE...GREAT BARRINGTON...LEE...LENOX...HOUSATONIC...
HUNTER...TANNERSVILLE...WINDHAM...CATSKILL...COXSACKIE...ATHENS...
CAIRO...JEFFERSON HEIGHTS...HUDSON...CHATHAM...SUNDOWN...
ELLENVILLE...WOODSTOCK...WEST HURLEY...KERHONKSON...NAPANOCH...
PHOENICIA...KINGSTON...NEW PALTZ...POUGHKEEPSIE...BEACON...
ARLINGTON...PAWLING...DOVER PLAINS...MILLBROOK...PINE PLAINS...
AMENIA...MILLERTON
829 PM EST WED JAN 28 2009

...WINTER STORM WARNING IS CANCELLED...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN ALBANY HAS CANCELLED THE WINTER
STORM WARNING FOR HEAVY SNOW AND FREEZING RAIN WHICH WAS IN EFFECT
FOR THE CENTRAL AND SOUTHEAST CATSKILLS...MID HUDSON
VALLEY...TACONICS...SOUTHERN BERKSHIRES AND THE LITCHFIELD HILLS.

THE HEAVY MIX OF WINTRY PRECIPITATION WHICH IMPACTED THE REGION
FROM EARLY THIS MORNING INTO EARLY THIS EVENING HAS LIFTED NORTH
OF THE AREA WITH ONLY SCATTERED SNOW SHOWERS EXPECTED DURING THE
REMAINDER OF THE EVENING. 

$$

MAZ001-NYZ032-033-038>043-047>054-082>084-VTZ013>015-291100-
/O.CON.KALY.WS.W.0004.000000T0000Z-090129T1100Z/
NORTHERN BERKSHIRE-NORTHERN HERKIMER-HAMILTON-SOUTHERN HERKIMER-
SOUTHERN FULTON-MONTGOMERY-NORTHERN SARATOGA-NORTHERN WARREN-
NORTHERN WASHINGTON-SCHOHARIE-WESTERN SCHENECTADY-
EASTERN SCHENECTADY-SOUTHERN SARATOGA-WESTERN ALBANY-
EASTERN ALBANY-WESTERN RENSSELAER-EASTERN RENSSELAER-
NORTHERN FULTON-SOUTHEAST WARREN-SOUTHERN WASHINGTON-BENNINGTON-
WESTERN WINDHAM-EASTERN WINDHAM-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...PITTSFIELD...NORTH ADAMS...ATWELL...
BIG MOOSE...EAGLE BAY...MCKEEVER...NOBLEBORO...NORTHWOOD...
OLD FORGE...SPECULATOR...ILION...HERKIMER...LITTLE FALLS...
MOHAWK...FRANKFORT...DOLGEVILLE...GLOVERSVILLE...JOHNSTOWN...
AMSTERDAM...WELLSVILLE...SARATOGA SPRINGS...WARRENSBURG...
WHITEHALL...GRANVILLE...COBLESKILL...MIDDLEBURGH...DELANSON...
ESPERANCE...DUANESBURG...SCHENECTADY...ROTTERDAM...BALLSTON SPA...
MECHANICVILLE...WATERFORD...ALTAMONT...ALBANY...TROY...
HOOSICK FALLS...NORTHVILLE...MAYFIELD...GLENS FALLS...
WEST GLENS FALLS...HUDSON FALLS...FORT EDWARD...CAMBRIDGE...
GREENWICH...BENNINGTON...JACKSONVILLE...NEWFANE...BRATTLEBORO...
WEST BRATTLEBORO...BELLOWS FALLS
829 PM EST WED JAN 28 2009

...WINTER STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 AM EST
THURSDAY...

A WINTER STORM WARNING FOR HEAVY SNOW REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 6
AM EST THURSDAY FOR THE THE WESTERN ADIRONDACKS...LAKE GEORGE
SARATOGA REGION...MOHAWK VALLEY...SCHOHARIE VALLEY...GREATER
CAPITAL DISTRICT...SOUTHERN VERMONT AND THE NORTHERN BERKSHIRES.

A COMPLEX WINTER STORM WILL CONTINUE TO IMPACT OUR REGION INTO THE
OVERNIGHT HOURS AS IT GRADUALLY PULLS NORTHEAST AWAY FROM OUR
REGION AND INTO THE CANADIAN MARITIMES LATE TONIGHT. BY THE TIME
THE SNOW TAPERS OFF LATER TONIGHT...8 TO 16 INCHES OF SNOWFALL ARE
EXPECTED ACROSS THE WESTERN AND SOUTHERN ADIRONDACKS...MOHAWK
VALLEY...THE LAKE GEORGE SARATOGA REGION INTO SOUTHERN
VERMONT...WITH 5 TO 10 INCHES EXPECTED FURTHER SOUTH AND
EAST...INCLUDING THE CAPITAL DISTRICT...SCHOHARIE VALLEY...AND
NORTHERN BERKSHIRES. 

THE SNOWFALL WILL TAPER OFF FROM SOUTHWEST TO NORTHEAST OVERNIGHT...AS
THE LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM RESPONSIBLE FOR THE WINTRY WEATHER MOVES
FROM SOUTHEAST NEW YORK THIS EVENING TO THE CANADIAN MARITIMES
THURSDAY MORNING. AS THE LOW DEPARTS...STRONG NORTHWEST WINDS WILL
DEVELOP OVERNIGHT...AND WILL OCCASIONALLY GUST TO AROUND 40 MPH.
THIS WILL CAUSE SOME BLOWING AND DRIFTING OF SNOW THAT IS ON THE
GROUND.

A WINTER STORM WARNING MEANS SIGNIFICANT AMOUNTS OF SNOW...
SLEET...AND ICE ARE EXPECTED OR OCCURRING. STRONG WINDS ARE ALSO
POSSIBLE. THIS COULD MAKE TRAVEL HAZARDOUS OR EVEN IMPOSSIBLE IN
SOME AREAS.

$$

000 
WWUS41 KALY 290850
WSWALY

URGENT - WINTER WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ALBANY NY
350 AM EST THU JAN 29 2009


MAZ001-NYZ032-033-038>043-047>054-082>084-VTZ013>015-291000-
/O.CAN.KALY.WS.W.0004.000000T0000Z-090129T1100Z/
NORTHERN BERKSHIRE-NORTHERN HERKIMER-HAMILTON-SOUTHERN HERKIMER-
SOUTHERN FULTON-MONTGOMERY-NORTHERN SARATOGA-NORTHERN WARREN-
NORTHERN WASHINGTON-SCHOHARIE-WESTERN SCHENECTADY-
EASTERN SCHENECTADY-SOUTHERN SARATOGA-WESTERN ALBANY-
EASTERN ALBANY-WESTERN RENSSELAER-EASTERN RENSSELAER-
NORTHERN FULTON-SOUTHEAST WARREN-SOUTHERN WASHINGTON-BENNINGTON-
WESTERN WINDHAM-EASTERN WINDHAM-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...PITTSFIELD...NORTH ADAMS...ATWELL...
BIG MOOSE...EAGLE BAY...MCKEEVER...NOBLEBORO...NORTHWOOD...
OLD FORGE...SPECULATOR...ILION...HERKIMER...LITTLE FALLS...
MOHAWK...FRANKFORT...DOLGEVILLE...GLOVERSVILLE...JOHNSTOWN...
AMSTERDAM...WELLSVILLE...SARATOGA SPRINGS...WARRENSBURG...
WHITEHALL...GRANVILLE...COBLESKILL...MIDDLEBURGH...DELANSON...
ESPERANCE...DUANESBURG...SCHENECTADY...ROTTERDAM...BALLSTON SPA...
MECHANICVILLE...WATERFORD...ALTAMONT...ALBANY...TROY...
HOOSICK FALLS...NORTHVILLE...MAYFIELD...GLENS FALLS...
WEST GLENS FALLS...HUDSON FALLS...FORT EDWARD...CAMBRIDGE...
GREENWICH...BENNINGTON...JACKSONVILLE...NEWFANE...BRATTLEBORO...
WEST BRATTLEBORO...BELLOWS FALLS
350 AM EST THU JAN 29 2009

...WINTER STORM WARNING IS CANCELLED...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN ALBANY HAS CANCELLED THE WINTER
STORM WARNING FOR THE THE WESTERN ADIRONDACKS...LAKE GEORGE
SARATOGA REGION...MOHAWK VALLEY...SCHOHARIE VALLEY...GREATER
CAPITAL DISTRICT...SOUTHERN VERMONT AND THE NORTHERN BERKSHIRES.. 

STEADY ACCUMULATING SNOW HAS ENDED ACROSS THE REGION...AND THE
STRONG WINDS THAT WERE PRODUCING CONSIDERABLE BLOWING AND DRIFTING
OF THE SNOW EARLIER WEDNESDAY NIGHT HAVE SUBSIDED...SO THE WINTER
STORM WARNING IS NO LONGER NEEDED.

SCATTERED TO NUMEROUS SNOW SHOWERS WILL CONTINUE THIS MORNING...BUT
MOST LOCATIONS WILL GET LITTLE IF ANY ADDITIONAL ACCUMULATION. ACROSS
THE WESTERN AND CENTRAL MOHAWK VALLEY...THE SOUTHWEST ADIRONDACKS
AND THE SCHOHARIE VALLEY...LAKE EFFECT SNOW SHOWERS COULD PRODUCE
UP TO ANOTHER INCH OF SNOW THIS MORNING.

$$

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ALBANY NY
647 AM EST TUE JAN 27 2009

.SYNOPSIS...
HIGH PRESSURE WILL REMAIN IN CONTROL THROUGH TODAY. TONIGHT INTO
WEDNESDAY...A STRENGTHENING LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM WILL MOVE ACROSS THE
SOUTHERN APPALACHIANS TO THE MID ATLANTIC REGION. THE LOW WILL
INTENSIFY FURTHER AS IT TRACKS NORTHEASTWARD TO NEAR CAPE COD
WEDNESDAY NIGHT. THIS LOW WILL LIKELY BRING A SIGNIFICANT WINTER
STORM TO THE REGION STARTING LATE TONIGHT AND LASTING INTO WEDNESDAY
EVENING. HIGH PRESSURE WILL BUILD IN ON THURSDAY.

&&

.NEAR TERM /UNTIL 6 PM THIS EVENING/...
A QUIET DAY IN STORE BEFORE A SIGNIFICANT WINTER STORM IMPACTS THE
AREA EARLY WED MORNING INTO WED EVENING. HIGH PRESSURE WILL CONTINUE
TO BUILD IN TODAY...ALTHOUGH PLENTY OF MID AND HIGH LEVEL CLOUDS
AROUND EARLY THIS MORNING ASSOC WITH A JET STREAK. STUBBORN AREA OF
LAKE EFFECT SNOW STILL AFFECT THE OSWEGO/ONEIDA COUNTIES WITH FLOW
GRADUALLY SHIFTING TO THE WEST-NORTHWEST. THE LAKE EFFECT ACTIVITY
CONTINUES TO REMAIN WEST OF OUR FORECAST AREA DUE TO DRY AIR MASS IN
PLACE. IT IS POSSIBLE A FEW LIGHT SNOW SHOWERS MAY NUDGE INTO
HERKIMER COUNTY TODAY...BUT THEY WILL BE BRIEF IF THEY MAKE IT AT
ALL. OTHERWISE...CLOUDS STARTING TO MIX WITH SUN BY AFTERNOON AS
HIGH PRESSURE MOVES OVERHEAD. MAX TEMPS IN THE TEENS TO LOWER 20S
ACROSS THE HIGHER ELEVATIONS...WITH MID TO UPPER 20S IN THE VALLEYS.

&&

.SHORT TERM /6 PM THIS EVENING THROUGH THURSDAY/...
THE MAIN FOCUS OF THE FORECAST WILL BE A WINTER STORM HEADED OUR WAY
ORIGINATING FROM THE MISSISSIPPI/TENNESSEE VALLEY REGION WITH PLENTY
OF MOISTURE. UPPER LEVEL ENERGY STILL ACROSS THE SOUTHWEST CONUS
THIS MORNING...WILL QUICKLY EJECT OUT INTO THE PLAINS
TONIGHT...WHICH WILL ALLOW LOW PRESSURE AT THE SURFACE TO
CONSOLIDATE ACROSS THE SOUTHERN APPALACHIANS AND LIFT NORTHEAST INTO
THE MID ATLANTIC REGION DURING THE DAY WEDNESDAY. THIS SYSTEM WILL
LIKELY BRING A SIGNIFICANT WINTER STORM TO THE REGION...HOWEVER THE
DETAILS ARE STILL IN QUESTION.

WILL CONTINUE WINTER STORM WATCH FOR THE ENTIRE AREA...DUE TO
DIFFERENCES IN MODEL GUIDANCE MAINLY WITH RESPECT TO THE STORM TRACK
AND RESULTING CRITICAL LOW LEVEL TEMP PROFILES AND PRECIP TYPE.

QPF EXPECTED TO BE IN THE 0.75-1.25 INCH RANGE...WITH THE HIGHER
AMOUNTS TO SOUTH AND EAST. MODEL GUIDANCE HAS BEEN MORE CONSISTENT
WITH REGARDS TO QPF...WITH BOTH NAM AND GFS SHOWING SIMILAR RANGES.
THE MAIN DIFFERENCES ARISE WITH UNCERTAINTY IN THE FORECAST TRACK OF
THE LOW AS IT HEADS NORTHEAST ACROSS THE APPALACHIANS. THE MODELS
HAVE DIVERGED...WITH THE GFS THE FARTHEST SOUTH AND THE NAM AND
ESPECIALLY THE ECMWF FARTHER NORTH. THIS HAS MAJOR RAMIFICATIONS ON
THE TEMP PROFILES AND EXPECTED PTYPE.

THE GFS IMPLIES MAINLY ALL SNOW EXCEPT FOR A MIX WITH SLEET ACROSS
SOUTHERN AREAS LATE WED. THE NAM IMPLIES SLEET MIXING WITH SNOW
FARTHER NORTH CLOSER TO THE CAPITAL REGION AND INCLUDING THE
BERKSHIRES AND CATSKILLS...WITH FREEZING RAIN FOR THE MID HUDSON
VALLEY AND LITCHFIELD COUNTY WED AFTERNOON AND EVENING. THE ECMWF IS
EVEN WARMER...WHICH WOULD RESULT IN A MIX FARTHER NORTH PAST THE
CAPITAL REGION...WITH MORE IN THE WAY OF MIXED PRECIP FARTHER SOUTH
AND EVEN A CHANGE-OVER TO PLAIN RAIN ACROSS THE FAR SOUTH. BOTTOM
LINE IS THERE IS JUST TOO MUCH SPREAD AND UNCERTAINTY TO RAISE
CONFIDENCE LEVELS ENOUGH TO DETERMINE HOW MUCH SNOW VS SLEET VS
FREEZING RAIN WILL FALL IN DIFFERENT AREAS.

FOR NOW WILL FORECAST TOWARDS THE COLDER GFS SCENARIO...BUT ALSO
BLENDING SOME OF THE NAM TO ACCOUNT FOR POTENTIALLY WARMER LOW LEVEL
TEMPS. THIS RESULTS IN GENERALLY 6 TO 12 INCHES OF SNOW FOR MUCH OF
THE AREA EXCEPT 4 TO 8 ACROSS THE FAR SOUTHEAST ZONES...WHERE UP TO
ONE QUARTER INCH OF ICE WILL BE MENTIONED DUE TO FREEZING RAIN
POTENTIAL. THESE VALUES ARE STILL UNCERTAIN...ALTHOUGH AT LEAST
CONFIDENCE IN GREATER QPF IS INCREASING.

MUCH OF THE FORCING WILL RESULT FROM STRONG ISENTROPIC LIFT ON THE
285 K SURFACE FROM MAINLY 12Z WED TO 00Z THUR. THE BEST
FRONTOGENESIS SHOULD BE WELL NORTH AND EAST OF THE AREA...CLOSER TO
WHERE THE LOW DEEPENS NEAR MAINE. STILL...PLENTY OF MOISTURE TO LIFT
SO HIGH QPF AMOUNTS LOOK REASONABLE. AT THE TAIL END OF THE STORM
WED EVENING...COLD AIR WILL WRAP BACK AROUND CHANGING MIXED PRECIP
BACK TO SNOW...WITH A PERIOD OF CYCLONIC VORTICITY ADVECTION ASSOC
WITH THE PASSAGE OF THE UPPER TROF. STEADY PRECIP SHOULD TAPER OFF
FROM WEST TO EAST BY MIDNIGHT.

GENERALLY TRANQUIL CONDITIONS EXPECTED FOR THUR...AS A RIDGE BUILDS
IN FROM THE WEST. TEMPS MAY BE COLD ENOUGH TO GENERATE SOME LAKE
EFFECT SNOW SHOWERS WELL WEST OF ALBANY...AS THE NEXT UPPER LEVEL
TROF APPROACHES LATE IN THE DAY.

&&

.LONG TERM /THURSDAY NIGHT THROUGH MONDAY/...
OVERALL REGION REMAINS UNDER LONGWAVE TROUGH. HOWEVER...IT APPEARS
RIDGING...EVEN ALOFT...MAY OCCUR THIS WEEKEND. PATTERN REMAINS
PROGRESSIVE. THE MODELS AND ENSEMBLE SPREADS INDICATE UNCERTAINTY
WITH REGARDS OF TIMING AND POTENTIAL STRENGTH SYSTEMS WHICH IS
TYPICAL FOR THIS TIME PERIOD ESPECIALLY IN FAST FLOW. GENERALLY
LOOKING AT NEAR NORMAL TEMPERATURES WITH CHANCES FOR SOME SNOW
SHOWERS ESPECIALLY NORTH AND WEST OF THE CAPITAL DISTRICT.

&&

.AVIATION /12Z TUESDAY THROUGH SATURDAY/...
VFR CONDITIONS EXPECTED THROUGH THIS EVENING WITH CONDITIONS
DETERIORATING TO IFR AFTER MIDNIGHT AS SNOW  OVERSPREADS THE AREA
AS A LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM APPROACHES. WILL HAVE CLOUDS MOVING
ACROSS REGION THIS MORNING IN ASSOCIATION WITH A JET STREAK.
AT SURFACE HIGH PRESSURE BUILDS IN AND WILL DOMINATE INTO THE
EVENING. THE HIGH WILL SHIFT EAST AND OFF THE NEW ENGLAND COAST
TONIGHT. CLOUDS WILL THICKEN AND LOWER TONIGHT. WINDS WILL BE
LIGHT...WITH A WESTERLY COMPONENT DEVELOPING TODAY AND SHIFTING TO
THE EASTERLY COMPONENT TONIGHT.

OUTLOOK...
WED...IFR IN WIDESPREAD SNOW WITH A WINTRY MIX AT KPOU IN THE AFTN.
WED NIGHT...IFR IN SNOW WITH WINTRY MIX AT KPOU DURING THE EVENING
IMPROVING AFTER MIDNIGHT AS PRECIPITATION TAPERS OFF.
THU...VFR...NO SIGNIFICANT WEATHER.
FRI...VFR WITH MVFR POSSIBLE...CHANCE OF SNOW SHOWERS.
SAT...VFR...NO SIGNIFICANT WEATHER.

&&

.HYDROLOGY...
CONTINUED BUILDUP OF ICE IN THE RIVER CHANNELS. FLOWS WILL REMAIN
LOW. MANY RIVER GAGES CONTINUE TO BE AFFECTED BY ICE.

SNOW WILL OVERSPREAD REGION LATE TUESDAY NIGHT AND CONTINUE THROUGH
WEDNESDAY...MAY BE HEAVY AT TIMES...THEN TAPER OFF WEDNESDAY NIGHT.
A WINTRY MIX IS POSSIBLE ACROSS THE HOUSATONIC BASIN WEDNESDAY
AFTERNOON INTO THE EVENING.

FOR DETAILS ON THE RIVERS...PLEASE VISIT THE ADVANCED HYDROLOGIC
PREDICTION SERVICE /AHPS/ GRAPHS ON OUR WEBSITE.

&&

.CLIMATE...
JANUARY 2009 HAS BEEN A COLD MONTH...THROUGH JANUARY 26TH THE
AVERAGE MONTHLY TEMPERATURE FOR ALBANY IS 17.8 DEGREES WHICH IS 4.4
DEGREES BELOW NORMAL. AS FOR THE COLDEST JANUARIES ON RECORD FOR
ALBANY...NUMBER 1 IS 9.4 DEGREES SET BACK IN 1970. NUMBER 10 IS 14.3
DEGREES SET BACK IN 1982. THE FORECAST FOR THE REST OF THE MONTH IS
FOR SLIGHTLY BELOW NORMAL TEMPERATURES.

AS FOR SNOWFALL...JANUARY 2009 STANDS JUST SHY OF A FOOT WITH 11.6
INCHES. THE SNOWIEST JANUARY ON RECORD FOR ALBANY OCCURRED IN 1987
WHEN 47.8 INCHES OF SNOW FELL. THE NUMBER 10 SNOWIEST JANUARY IS
28.8 INCHES SET BACK IN 1966 AND 1954.

GREATEST SNOWSTORM FOR JANUARY FOR ALBANY OCCURRED ON THE 15TH AND
16TH BACK IN 1983 WHEN 24.5 INCHES OF SNOW FELL. TWO OF THE TOP 10
JANUARY SNOWSTORMS HAVE OCCURRED IN THE PAST 10 YEARS...20.8 INCHES
BACK IN 2003 ON THE 3RD AND 4TH...AND 17.4 INCHES BACK IN 2002 ON
THE 6TH AND 7TH.

&&

.ALY WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
CT...WINTER STORM WATCH FROM LATE TONIGHT THROUGH WEDNESDAY EVENING
     FOR CTZ001-013.
NY...WINTER STORM WATCH FROM LATE TONIGHT THROUGH WEDNESDAY EVENING
     FOR NYZ032-033-038>043-047>054-058>061-063>066-082>084.
MA...WINTER STORM WATCH FROM LATE TONIGHT THROUGH WEDNESDAY EVENING
     FOR MAZ001-025.
VT...WINTER STORM WATCH FROM LATE TONIGHT THROUGH WEDNESDAY EVENING
     FOR VTZ013>015.

&&

SYNOPSIS...JPV
NEAR TERM...JPV
SHORT TERM...JPV
LONG TERM...IAA
AVIATION...IAA
HYDROLOGY...IAA
CLIMATE...IAA

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ALBANY NY
449 AM EST TUE JAN 27 2009

CTZ001-013-MAZ001-025-NYZ032-033-038>043-047>054-058>061-063>066-
082>084-VTZ013>015-281200-
NORTHERN LITCHFIELD-SOUTHERN LITCHFIELD-NORTHERN BERKSHIRE-
SOUTHERN BERKSHIRE-NORTHERN HERKIMER-HAMILTON-SOUTHERN HERKIMER-
SOUTHERN FULTON-MONTGOMERY-NORTHERN SARATOGA-NORTHERN WARREN-
NORTHERN WASHINGTON-SCHOHARIE-WESTERN SCHENECTADY-
EASTERN SCHENECTADY-SOUTHERN SARATOGA-WESTERN ALBANY-EASTERN ALBANY-
WESTERN RENSSELAER-EASTERN RENSSELAER-WESTERN GREENE-EASTERN GREENE-
WESTERN COLUMBIA-EASTERN COLUMBIA-WESTERN ULSTER-EASTERN ULSTER-
WESTERN DUTCHESS-EASTERN DUTCHESS-NORTHERN FULTON-SOUTHEAST WARREN-
SOUTHERN WASHINGTON-BENNINGTON-WESTERN WINDHAM-EASTERN WINDHAM-
449 AM EST TUE JAN 27 2009

...WINTER STORM WATCH IN EFFECT FROM LATE TONIGHT THROUGH WEDNESDAY
EVENING...

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR NORTHWESTERN
CONNECTICUT...WESTERN MASSACHUSETTS...EAST CENTRAL NEW YORK AND
SOUTHERN VERMONT.

.DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT.

PLEASE LISTEN TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO OR GO TO WEATHER.GOV ON THE
INTERNET FOR MORE INFORMATION ABOUT THE FOLLOWING HAZARDS.

   WINTER STORM WATCH.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...WEDNESDAY THROUGH MONDAY.

PLEASE LISTEN TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO OR GO TO WEATHER.GOV ON THE
INTERNET FOR MORE INFORMATION ABOUT THE FOLLOWING HAZARDS.

   WINTER STORM WATCH.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION IS NOT EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.