Alert archive / New York / Wind Chill Advisories in 2009
Wind Chill Advisory 13, NWS Albany, NY
NWS Albany, NY issued this wind chill advisory at Dec 28, 2009, 4:18 PM EST for 6 counties in New York; Berkshire County, Massachusetts. It took effect at Dec 29, 2009, 6:00 AM EST. It was in force for 27 hr.
The area
The counties it named.
The facts
- Issued
- Dec 28, 2009, 4:18 PM EST (21:18 UTC)
- In effect from
- Dec 29, 2009, 6:00 AM EST
- Expired
- Dec 30, 2009, 9:19 AM EST
- In force
- 27 hr
- Issued by
- NWS Albany, NY
Counties Berkshire County, MA, Fulton County, NY, Greene County, NY, Hamilton County, NY, Herkimer County, NY, Ulster County, NY, Warren County, NY
The radar
The Albany radar (KENX), 36 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 21:24 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.
Open the radar archive at this moment
The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.
The nearest sounding before it
Albany, NY (KALY), launched 12:00Z, 9.3 hours before the alert went out and 37 km from the middle of its area. This is the routine balloon launch nearest before it, the air the forecaster had in hand, not a measurement taken for the alert.
- Mixed-layer CAPE
- 0 J/kg
- Mixed-layer CIN
- No buoyant parcel
- Mixed-layer LCL
- 1173 m above ground
- 0-6 km bulk shear
- 76 kt
- 0-1 km storm-relative helicity
- 153 m²/s²
- 0-3 km storm-relative helicity
- 180 m²/s²
- Significant tornado parameter
- 0.0
- Supercell composite
- 0.0
The text
As transmitted, in the capitals the NWS used until 2016.
000 WWUS41 KALY 282118 WSWALY URGENT - WINTER WEATHER MESSAGE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ALBANY NY 418 PM EST MON DEC 28 2009 NYZ032-291000- /O.NEW.KALY.WC.Y.0013.091229T1100Z-091230T1500Z/ /O.CON.KALY.WS.W.0009.000000T0000Z-091229T1700Z/ NORTHERN HERKIMER- INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...ATWELL...BIG MOOSE...EAGLE BAY... MCKEEVER...NOBLEBORO...NORTHWOOD...OLD FORGE 418 PM EST MON DEC 28 2009 ...WINTER STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL NOON EST TUESDAY... ...WIND CHILL ADVISORY IN EFFECT FROM 6 AM TUESDAY TO 10 AM EST WEDNESDAY... THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN ALBANY HAS ISSUED A WIND CHILL ADVISORY FOR NORTHERN HERKIMER COUNTY...WHICH IS IN EFFECT FROM 6 AM TUESDAY TO 10 AM EST WEDNESDAY. A WINTER STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR HEAVY SNOW AND BLOWING SNOW UNTIL NOON EST TUESDAY. A COMPLEX STORM SYSTEM WILL CONTINUE TO IMPACT THE REGION THROUGH TUESDAY MORNING. SNOW WILL BE HEAVY AT TIMES THROUGH TONIGHT...BEFORE TAPERING OFF ON TUESDAY MORNING. BY THE TIME THE SNOW TAPERS OFF ON TUESDAY MORNING...SNOWFALL ACCUMULATIONS OF 8 TO 16 INCHES ARE EXPECTED. IN ADDITION...AN ARCTIC FRONT WILL MOVE THROUGH THE REGION TONIGHT AND NORTHWEST WINDS WILL INCREASE TO 15 TO 25 MPH WITH HIGHER GUSTS TUESDAY MORNING RESULTING IN CONSIDERABLE BLOWING AND DRIFTING SNOW. IN SOME AREAS...NEAR WHITE OUT CONDITIONS WITH VISIBILITIES NEAR ZERO ARE LIKELY TO OCCUR. THE COMBINATION OF TEMPERATURES IN THE 10 BELOW TO 5 ABOVE ZERO RANGE AND NORTHWEST WINDS OF 15 TO 25 MPH...WILL RESULT IN WIND CHILL READINGS OF 20 BELOW ZERO OR LOWER AT TIMES FROM TUESDAY INTO WEDNESDAY MORNING. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... A WINTER STORM WARNING MEANS SIGNIFICANT AMOUNTS OF SNOW... SLEET...AND ICE ARE EXPECTED OR OCCURRING. STRONG WINDS ARE ALSO POSSIBLE. THIS WILL MAKE TRAVEL VERY HAZARDOUS OR IMPOSSIBLE. A WIND CHILL ADVISORY MEANS THAT VERY COLD AIR AND WINDS WILL COMBINE TO GENERATE LOW WIND CHILLS. THIS WILL RESULT IN FROST BITE AND LEAD TO HYPOTHERMIA IF PRECAUTIONS ARE NOT TAKEN. IF YOU MUST VENTURE OUTDOORS...MAKE SURE YOU WEAR A HAT AND GLOVES. && $$ NYZ033-042-082-291000- /O.NEW.KALY.WC.Y.0013.091229T1100Z-091230T1500Z/ /O.CON.KALY.WW.Y.0019.000000T0000Z-091229T1700Z/ HAMILTON-NORTHERN WARREN-NORTHERN FULTON- INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...SPECULATOR...WARRENSBURG...NORTHVILLE... MAYFIELD 418 PM EST MON DEC 28 2009 ...WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL NOON EST TUESDAY... ...WIND CHILL ADVISORY IN EFFECT FROM 6 AM TUESDAY TO 10 AM EST WEDNESDAY... THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN ALBANY HAS ISSUED A WIND CHILL ADVISORY FOR THE SOUTHERN ADIRONDACKS...WHICH IS IN EFFECT FROM 6 AM TUESDAY TO 10 AM EST WEDNESDAY. A WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY REMAINS FOR SNOW AND BLOWING SNOW REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL NOON EST TUESDAY. A COMPLEX STORM SYSTEM WILL IMPACT THE REGION THROUGH TUESDAY MORNING WITH SNOW...HEAVIER AT TIMES THROUGH TONIGHT...BEFORE TAPERING OFF ON TUESDAY MORNING. BY THE TIME THE SNOW TAPERS OFF ON TUESDAY MORNING...SNOWFALL ACCUMULATIONS OF 4 TO 10 INCHES ARE EXPECTED. IN ADDITION...AN ARCTIC FRONT WILL MOVE THROUGH THE REGION TONIGHT AND NORTHWEST WINDS WILL INCREASE TO 15 TO 30 MPH WITH GUSTS TO 40 MPH THROUGH TUESDAY MORNING RESULTING IN CONSIDERABLE BLOWING AND DRIFTING SNOW. IN SOME AREAS...NEAR WHITE OUT CONDITIONS WITH VISIBILITIES NEAR ZERO ARE LIKELY TO OCCUR. THE COMBINATION OF TEMPERATURES IN THE 10 BELOW TO 10 ABOVE ZERO RANGE AND NORTHWEST WINDS OF 15 TO 30 MPH...WILL RESULT IN WIND CHILL READINGS OF 20 BELOW ZERO OR LOWER AT TIMES FROM TUESDAY INTO WEDNESDAY MORNING. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... A WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY MEANS THAT PERIODS OF SNOW...SLEET...OR FREEZING RAIN WILL CAUSE TRAVEL DIFFICULTIES. BE PREPARED FOR SLIPPERY ROADS AND LIMITED VISIBILITIES...AND USE CAUTION WHILE DRIVING. A WIND CHILL ADVISORY MEANS THAT VERY COLD AIR AND WINDS WILL COMBINE TO GENERATE LOW WIND CHILLS. THIS WILL RESULT IN FROST BITE AND LEAD TO HYPOTHERMIA IF PRECAUTIONS ARE NOT TAKEN. IF YOU MUST VENTURE OUTDOORS...MAKE SURE YOU WEAR A HAT AND GLOVES. && $$ MAZ001-025-NYZ058-063-291000- /O.NEW.KALY.WC.Y.0013.091229T1100Z-091230T1500Z/ NORTHERN BERKSHIRE-SOUTHERN BERKSHIRE-WESTERN GREENE- WESTERN ULSTER- INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...PITTSFIELD...NORTH ADAMS... GREAT BARRINGTON...LEE...LENOX...HOUSATONIC...HUNTER... TANNERSVILLE...WINDHAM...SUNDOWN...ELLENVILLE...WOODSTOCK... WEST HURLEY...KERHONKSON...NAPANOCH...PHOENICIA 418 PM EST MON DEC 28 2009 ...WIND CHILL ADVISORY IN EFFECT FROM 6 AM TUESDAY TO 10 AM EST WEDNESDAY... THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN ALBANY HAS ISSUED A WIND CHILL ADVISORY FOR THE CENTRAL AND SOUTHEAST CATSKILLS IN NEW YORK AND BERKSHIRES IN MASSACHUSETTS...WHICH IS IN EFFECT FROM 6 AM TUESDAY TO 10 AM EST WEDNESDAY. THE COMBINATION OF TEMPERATURES IN THE SINGLE DIGITS AND TEENS AND NORTHWEST WINDS OF 15 TO 30 MPH...WILL RESULT IN WIND CHILL READINGS OF 15 BELOW ZERO OR LOWER AT TIMES FROM TUESDAY INTO WEDNESDAY MORNING. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... A WIND CHILL ADVISORY MEANS THAT VERY COLD AIR AND WINDS WILL COMBINE TO GENERATE LOW WIND CHILLS. THIS WILL RESULT IN FROST BITE AND LEAD TO HYPOTHERMIA IF PRECAUTIONS ARE NOT TAKEN. IF YOU MUST VENTURE OUTDOORS...MAKE SURE YOU WEAR A HAT AND GLOVES. && $$ NYZ038-VTZ013-014-291000- /O.CON.KALY.WW.Y.0019.000000T0000Z-091229T1700Z/ SOUTHERN HERKIMER-BENNINGTON-WESTERN WINDHAM- INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...ILION...HERKIMER...LITTLE FALLS... MOHAWK...FRANKFORT...DOLGEVILLE...BENNINGTON...JACKSONVILLE... NEWFANE 418 PM EST MON DEC 28 2009 ...WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL NOON EST TUESDAY... A WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR SNOW AND BLOWING SNOW UNTIL NOON EST TUESDAY FOR THE WESTERN MOHAWK VALLEY IN NEW YORK AND SOUTHERN GREEN MOUNTAINS IN VERMONT. A COMPLEX STORM SYSTEM WILL IMPACT THE REGION THROUGH TUESDAY MORNING WITH SNOW...HEAVIER AT TIMES THROUGH TONIGHT...BEFORE TAPERING OFF ON TUESDAY MORNING. BY THE TIME THE SNOW TAPERS OFF ON TUESDAY MORNING...SNOWFALL ACCUMULATIONS OF 4 TO 10 INCHES ARE EXPECTED. IN ADDITION...AN ARCTIC FRONT WILL MOVE THROUGH THE REGION TONIGHT AND NORTHWEST WINDS WILL INCREASE TO 15 TO 30 MPH WITH GUSTS TO 40 MPH THROUGH TUESDAY MORNING RESULTING IN CONSIDERABLE BLOWING AND DRIFTING SNOW. IN SOME AREAS...NEAR WHITE OUT CONDITIONS WITH VISIBILITIES NEAR ZERO ARE LIKELY TO OCCUR. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... A WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY MEANS THAT PERIODS OF SNOW...SLEET...OR FREEZING RAIN WILL CAUSE TRAVEL DIFFICULTIES. BE PREPARED FOR SLIPPERY ROADS AND LIMITED VISIBILITIES...AND USE CAUTION WHILE DRIVING. && $$
6 follow-up statements
000 WWUS41 KALY 290926 WSWALY URGENT - WINTER WEATHER MESSAGE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ALBANY NY 426 AM EST TUE DEC 29 2009 NYZ032-291730- /O.CON.KALY.WS.W.0009.000000T0000Z-091229T1700Z/ /O.CON.KALY.WC.Y.0013.091229T1100Z-091230T1500Z/ NORTHERN HERKIMER- INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...ATWELL...BIG MOOSE...EAGLE BAY... MCKEEVER...NOBLEBORO...NORTHWOOD...OLD FORGE 426 AM EST TUE DEC 29 2009 ...WINTER STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL NOON EST TODAY... ...WIND CHILL ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 10 AM EST WEDNESDAY... A WINTER STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL NOON EST TODAY. A WIND CHILL ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 10 AM EST WEDNESDAY. THE SERIES OF WEATHER SYSTEMS THAT HAS BROUGHT 5 TO 10 INCHES OF SNOW TO MUCH OF NORTHERN HERKIMER COUNTY WILL BE WINDING DOWN THIS MORNING. LAKE EFFECT SNOW SHOWERS WILL BECOME LESS FREQUENT AND END BY MID MORNING. HOWEVER STRONG NORTHEAST WINDS AT 20 TO 30 MPH WILL CAUSE CONSIDERABLE BLOWING AND DRIFTING OF SNOW AND IN SOME AREAS...NEAR WHITE OUT CONDITIONS WITH VISIBILITIES NEAR ZERO ARE LIKELY TO OCCUR. A COUPLE OF MORE INCHES OF SNOW COULD FALL BEFORE THE EVENT ENDS THIS MORNING. THE COMBINATION OF TEMPERATURES IN THE 10 BELOW TO 5 ABOVE ZERO RANGE AND NORTHWEST WINDS OF 15 TO 25 MPH...WILL RESULT IN WIND CHILL READINGS OF 20 BELOW ZERO OR LOWER AT TIMES FROM TUESDAY INTO WEDNESDAY MORNING. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... A WINTER STORM WARNING MEANS SIGNIFICANT AMOUNTS OF SNOW... SLEET...AND ICE ARE EXPECTED OR OCCURRING. STRONG WINDS ARE ALSO POSSIBLE. THIS WILL MAKE TRAVEL VERY HAZARDOUS OR IMPOSSIBLE. A WIND CHILL ADVISORY MEANS THAT VERY COLD AIR AND WINDS WILL COMBINE TO GENERATE LOW WIND CHILLS. THIS WILL RESULT IN FROST BITE AND LEAD TO HYPOTHERMIA IF PRECAUTIONS ARE NOT TAKEN. IF YOU MUST VENTURE OUTDOORS...MAKE SURE YOU WEAR A HAT AND GLOVES. && $$ NYZ033-042-082-291730- /O.CON.KALY.WW.Y.0019.000000T0000Z-091229T1700Z/ /O.CON.KALY.WC.Y.0013.091229T1100Z-091230T1500Z/ HAMILTON-NORTHERN WARREN-NORTHERN FULTON- INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...SPECULATOR...WARRENSBURG...NORTHVILLE... MAYFIELD 426 AM EST TUE DEC 29 2009 ...WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL NOON EST TODAY... ...WIND CHILL ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 10 AM EST WEDNESDAY... A WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL NOON EST TODAY. A WIND CHILL ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 10 AM EST WEDNESDAY. THE SERIES OF WEATHER SYSTEMS THAT HAS BROUGHT 3 TO 6 INCHES OF SNOW TO HAMILTON...NORTHERN FULTON AND NORTHERN WARREN COUNTIES WILL BE WINDING DOWN THIS MORNING. LAKE EFFECT SNOW SHOWERS ARE THE LAST PHASE AND THEY WILL BECOME LESS FREQUENT AND END BY MID MORNING. HOWEVER STRONG NORTHEAST WINDS AT 20 TO 30 MPH WILL CAUSE CONSIDERABLE BLOWING AND DRIFTING OF SNOW AND IN SOME AREAS...AND NEAR WHITE OUT CONDITIONS WITH VISIBILITIES NEAR ZERO ARE LIKELY TO OCCUR. ANOTHER INCH OR SO OF SNOW COULD FALL BEFORE THE EVENT ENDS THIS MORNING. THE COMBINATION OF TEMPERATURES IN THE 10 BELOW TO 10 ABOVE ZERO RANGE AND NORTHWEST WINDS OF 15 TO 30 MPH...WILL RESULT IN WIND CHILL READINGS OF 20 BELOW ZERO OR LOWER AT TIMES FROM TUESDAY INTO WEDNESDAY MORNING. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... A WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY MEANS THAT PERIODS OF SNOW...SLEET...OR FREEZING RAIN WILL CAUSE TRAVEL DIFFICULTIES. BE PREPARED FOR SLIPPERY ROADS AND LIMITED VISIBILITIES...AND USE CAUTION WHILE DRIVING. A WIND CHILL ADVISORY MEANS THAT VERY COLD AIR AND WINDS WILL COMBINE TO GENERATE LOW WIND CHILLS. THIS WILL RESULT IN FROST BITE AND LEAD TO HYPOTHERMIA IF PRECAUTIONS ARE NOT TAKEN. IF YOU MUST VENTURE OUTDOORS...MAKE SURE YOU WEAR A HAT AND GLOVES. && $$ NYZ038-VTZ013-014-291700- /O.CON.KALY.WW.Y.0019.000000T0000Z-091229T1700Z/ SOUTHERN HERKIMER-BENNINGTON-WESTERN WINDHAM- INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...ILION...HERKIMER...LITTLE FALLS... MOHAWK...FRANKFORT...DOLGEVILLE...BENNINGTON...JACKSONVILLE... NEWFANE 426 AM EST TUE DEC 29 2009 ...WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL NOON EST TODAY... A WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL NOON EST TODAY. THE SERIES OF WEATHER SYSTEMS THAT HAS BROUGHT 3 TO 7 INCHES OF SNOW TO SOUTHERN HERKIMER...BENNINGTON AND WINDHAM COUNTIES WILL BE WINDING DOWN THIS MORNING. LAKE EFFECT SNOW SHOWERS ARE THE LAST PHASE AND THEY WILL BECOME LESS FREQUENT AND END BY MID MORNING. HOWEVER STRONG NORTHEAST WINDS AT 20 TO 30 MPH WILL CAUSE CONSIDERABLE BLOWING AND DRIFTING OF SNOW AND IN SOME AREAS...AND NEAR WHITE OUT CONDITIONS WITH VISIBILITIES NEAR ZERO ARE LIKELY TO OCCUR. ANOTHER INCH OR TWO OF SNOW COULD FALL BEFORE THE EVENT ENDS THIS MORNING. BY THE TIME THE SNOW TAPERS OFF ON LATER THIS MORNING...SNOWFALL ACCUMULATIONS OF 4 TO 10 INCHES ARE EXPECTED. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... A WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY MEANS THAT PERIODS OF SNOW...SLEET...OR FREEZING RAIN WILL CAUSE TRAVEL DIFFICULTIES. BE PREPARED FOR SLIPPERY ROADS AND LIMITED VISIBILITIES...AND USE CAUTION WHILE DRIVING. && $$ MAZ001-025-NYZ058-063-291730- /O.CON.KALY.WC.Y.0013.091229T1100Z-091230T1500Z/ NORTHERN BERKSHIRE-SOUTHERN BERKSHIRE-WESTERN GREENE- WESTERN ULSTER- INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...PITTSFIELD...NORTH ADAMS... GREAT BARRINGTON...LEE...LENOX...HOUSATONIC...HUNTER... TANNERSVILLE...WINDHAM...SUNDOWN...ELLENVILLE...WOODSTOCK... WEST HURLEY...KERHONKSON...NAPANOCH...PHOENICIA 426 AM EST TUE DEC 29 2009 ...WIND CHILL ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 10 AM EST WEDNESDAY... A WIND CHILL ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 10 AM EST WEDNESDAY. THE COMBINATION OF TEMPERATURES IN THE SINGLE DIGITS AND TEENS AND NORTHWEST WINDS OF 15 TO 30 MPH...WILL RESULT IN WIND CHILL READINGS OF 15 BELOW ZERO OR LOWER AT TIMES FROM TUESDAY INTO WEDNESDAY MORNING. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... A WIND CHILL ADVISORY MEANS THAT VERY COLD AIR AND WINDS WILL COMBINE TO GENERATE LOW WIND CHILLS. THIS WILL RESULT IN FROST BITE AND LEAD TO HYPOTHERMIA IF PRECAUTIONS ARE NOT TAKEN. IF YOU MUST VENTURE OUTDOORS...MAKE SURE YOU WEAR A HAT AND GLOVES. && $$
000 WWUS41 KALY 291117 WSWALY URGENT - WINTER WEATHER MESSAGE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ALBANY NY 617 AM EST TUE DEC 29 2009 NYZ032-291930- /O.CAN.KALY.WS.W.0009.000000T0000Z-091229T1700Z/ /O.CON.KALY.WC.Y.0013.000000T0000Z-091230T1500Z/ NORTHERN HERKIMER- INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...ATWELL...BIG MOOSE...EAGLE BAY... MCKEEVER...NOBLEBORO...NORTHWOOD...OLD FORGE 617 AM EST TUE DEC 29 2009 ...WIND CHILL ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 10 AM EST WEDNESDAY... ...WINTER STORM WARNING IS CANCELLED... THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN ALBANY HAS CANCELLED THE WINTER STORM WARNING FOR NORTHERN HERKIMER COUNTY. A WIND CHILL ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 10 AM EST WEDNESDAY. ACCUMULATING SNOW HAS ENDED ACROSS THE AREA...THEREFORE THE WINTER STORM WARNING HAS BEEN CANCELLED. THE COMBINATION OF TEMPERATURES IN THE 10 BELOW TO 5 ABOVE ZERO RANGE AND NORTHWEST WINDS OF 15 TO 25 MPH...WILL RESULT IN WIND CHILL READINGS OF 20 BELOW ZERO OR LOWER AT TIMES FROM THIS MORNING INTO WEDNESDAY MORNING. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... A WIND CHILL ADVISORY MEANS THAT VERY COLD AIR AND WINDS WILL COMBINE TO GENERATE LOW WIND CHILLS. THIS WILL RESULT IN FROST BITE AND LEAD TO HYPOTHERMIA IF PRECAUTIONS ARE NOT TAKEN. IF YOU MUST VENTURE OUTDOORS...MAKE SURE YOU WEAR A HAT AND GLOVES. && $$ NYZ033-042-082-291930- /O.CAN.KALY.WW.Y.0019.000000T0000Z-091229T1700Z/ /O.CON.KALY.WC.Y.0013.000000T0000Z-091230T1500Z/ HAMILTON-NORTHERN WARREN-NORTHERN FULTON- INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...SPECULATOR...WARRENSBURG...NORTHVILLE... MAYFIELD 617 AM EST TUE DEC 29 2009 ...WIND CHILL ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 10 AM EST WEDNESDAY... ...WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY IS CANCELLED... THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN ALBANY HAS CANCELLED THE WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE SOUTHERN ADIRONDACKS. A WIND CHILL ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 10 AM EST WEDNESDAY. ACCUMULATING SNOW HAS ENDED ACROSS THE AREA...THEREFORE THE WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY HAS BEEN CANCELLED. THE COMBINATION OF TEMPERATURES IN THE 10 BELOW TO 10 ABOVE ZERO RANGE AND NORTHWEST WINDS OF 15 TO 30 MPH...WILL RESULT IN WIND CHILL READINGS OF 20 BELOW ZERO OR LOWER AT TIMES FROM THIS MORNING INTO WEDNESDAY MORNING. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... A WIND CHILL ADVISORY MEANS THAT VERY COLD AIR AND WINDS WILL COMBINE TO GENERATE LOW WIND CHILLS. THIS WILL RESULT IN FROST BITE AND LEAD TO HYPOTHERMIA IF PRECAUTIONS ARE NOT TAKEN. IF YOU MUST VENTURE OUTDOORS...MAKE SURE YOU WEAR A HAT AND GLOVES. && $$ NYZ038-291230- /O.CAN.KALY.WW.Y.0019.000000T0000Z-091229T1700Z/ SOUTHERN HERKIMER- INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...ILION...HERKIMER...LITTLE FALLS... MOHAWK...FRANKFORT...DOLGEVILLE 617 AM EST TUE DEC 29 2009 ...WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY IS CANCELLED... THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN ALBANY HAS CANCELLED THE WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY FOR SOUTHERN HERKIMER COUNTY. ACCUMULATING SNOW HAS ENDED ACROSS THE AREA...THEREFORE THE WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY HAS BEEN CANCELLED. $$ VTZ013-014-291700- /O.CON.KALY.WW.Y.0019.000000T0000Z-091229T1700Z/ BENNINGTON-WESTERN WINDHAM- INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...BENNINGTON...JACKSONVILLE...NEWFANE 617 AM EST TUE DEC 29 2009 ...WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL NOON EST TODAY... A WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL NOON EST TODAY FOR THE SOUTHERN GREEN MOUNTAIN IN VERMONT. STORM TOTAL SNOW ACCUMULATION OF 4 TO 10 INCHES ARE EXPECTED THROUGH NOON TODAY. MOST OF THE ACCUMULATING SNOW HAS ALREADY FALLEN...HOWEVER UPSLOPE AND LAKE ENHANCED SNOW WILL CONTINUE THROUGH MUCH OF THE MORNING HOURS. STRONG NORTHWEST WINDS GUSTING TO NEAR 50 MPH AT TIMES WILL CAUSE CONSIDERABLE BLOWING AND DRIFTING OF SNOW AND IN SOME AREAS...AND OCCASIONAL NEAR WHITE OUT CONDITIONS WITH VISIBILITIES NEAR ZERO. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... A WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY MEANS THAT PERIODS OF SNOW...SLEET...OR FREEZING RAIN WILL CAUSE TRAVEL DIFFICULTIES. BE PREPARED FOR SLIPPERY ROADS AND LIMITED VISIBILITIES...AND USE CAUTION WHILE DRIVING. && $$ MAZ001-025-NYZ058-063-291930- /O.CON.KALY.WC.Y.0013.000000T0000Z-091230T1500Z/ NORTHERN BERKSHIRE-SOUTHERN BERKSHIRE-WESTERN GREENE- WESTERN ULSTER- INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...PITTSFIELD...NORTH ADAMS... GREAT BARRINGTON...LEE...LENOX...HOUSATONIC...HUNTER... TANNERSVILLE...WINDHAM...SUNDOWN...ELLENVILLE...WOODSTOCK... WEST HURLEY...KERHONKSON...NAPANOCH...PHOENICIA 617 AM EST TUE DEC 29 2009 ...WIND CHILL ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 10 AM EST WEDNESDAY... A WIND CHILL ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 10 AM EST WEDNESDAY FOR THE SOUTHEAST CATSKILLS AND BERKSHIRES. THE COMBINATION OF TEMPERATURES IN THE SINGLE DIGITS AND TEENS AND NORTHWEST WINDS OF 15 TO 30 MPH...WILL RESULT IN WIND CHILL READINGS OF 15 BELOW ZERO OR LOWER AT TIMES FROM THIS MORNING INTO WEDNESDAY MORNING. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... A WIND CHILL ADVISORY MEANS THAT VERY COLD AIR AND WINDS WILL COMBINE TO GENERATE LOW WIND CHILLS. THIS WILL RESULT IN FROST BITE AND LEAD TO HYPOTHERMIA IF PRECAUTIONS ARE NOT TAKEN. IF YOU MUST VENTURE OUTDOORS...MAKE SURE YOU WEAR A HAT AND GLOVES. && $$
000 WWUS41 KALY 291350 WSWALY URGENT - WINTER WEATHER MESSAGE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ALBANY NY 850 AM EST TUE DEC 29 2009 VTZ013-014-291500- /O.CAN.KALY.WW.Y.0019.000000T0000Z-091229T1700Z/ BENNINGTON-WESTERN WINDHAM- INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...BENNINGTON...JACKSONVILLE...NEWFANE 850 AM EST TUE DEC 29 2009 ...WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY IS CANCELLED... THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN ALBANY HAS CANCELLED THE WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY. STEADY SNOW HAS TAPERED OFF TO LIGHT SNOW SHOWERS AND FLURRIES. LITTLE TO NO ADDITIONAL ACCUMULATION IS EXPECTED THROUGH THE DAY ON TUESDAY. $$ MAZ001-025-NYZ032-033-042-058-063-082-292200- /O.CON.KALY.WC.Y.0013.000000T0000Z-091230T1500Z/ NORTHERN BERKSHIRE-SOUTHERN BERKSHIRE-NORTHERN HERKIMER-HAMILTON- NORTHERN WARREN-WESTERN GREENE-WESTERN ULSTER-NORTHERN FULTON- INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...PITTSFIELD...NORTH ADAMS... GREAT BARRINGTON...LEE...LENOX...HOUSATONIC...ATWELL... BIG MOOSE...EAGLE BAY...MCKEEVER...NOBLEBORO...NORTHWOOD... OLD FORGE...SPECULATOR...WARRENSBURG...HUNTER...TANNERSVILLE... WINDHAM...SUNDOWN...ELLENVILLE...WOODSTOCK...WEST HURLEY... KERHONKSON...NAPANOCH...PHOENICIA...NORTHVILLE...MAYFIELD 850 AM EST TUE DEC 29 2009 ...WIND CHILL ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 10 AM EST WEDNESDAY... A WIND CHILL ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 10 AM EST WEDNESDAY FOR THE BERKSHIRES...SOUTHERN AND WESTERN ADIRONDACKS...AND EASTERN CATSKILLS. THE COMBINATION OF TEMPERATURES IN THE SINGLE DIGITS AND TEENS AND NORTHWEST WINDS OF 15 TO 30 MPH...WILL RESULT IN WIND CHILL READINGS OF 15 BELOW ZERO OR LOWER AT TIMES THROUGH WEDNESDAY MORNING. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... A WIND CHILL ADVISORY MEANS THAT VERY COLD AIR AND WINDS WILL COMBINE TO GENERATE LOW WIND CHILLS. THIS WILL RESULT IN FROST BITE AND LEAD TO HYPOTHERMIA IF PRECAUTIONS ARE NOT TAKEN. IF YOU MUST VENTURE OUTDOORS...MAKE SURE YOU WEAR A HAT AND GLOVES. && $$
000 WWUS41 KALY 292107 WSWALY URGENT - WINTER WEATHER MESSAGE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ALBANY NY 407 PM EST TUE DEC 29 2009 MAZ001-025-NYZ032-033-042-058-063-082-301500- /O.CON.KALY.WC.Y.0013.000000T0000Z-091230T1500Z/ NORTHERN BERKSHIRE-SOUTHERN BERKSHIRE-NORTHERN HERKIMER-HAMILTON- NORTHERN WARREN-WESTERN GREENE-WESTERN ULSTER-NORTHERN FULTON- INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...PITTSFIELD...NORTH ADAMS... GREAT BARRINGTON...LEE...LENOX...HOUSATONIC...ATWELL... BIG MOOSE...EAGLE BAY...MCKEEVER...NOBLEBORO...NORTHWOOD... OLD FORGE...SPECULATOR...WARRENSBURG...HUNTER...TANNERSVILLE... WINDHAM...SUNDOWN...ELLENVILLE...WOODSTOCK...WEST HURLEY... KERHONKSON...NAPANOCH...PHOENICIA...NORTHVILLE...MAYFIELD 407 PM EST TUE DEC 29 2009 ...WIND CHILL ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 10 AM EST WEDNESDAY... A WIND CHILL ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR THE SOUTHERN ADIRONDACKS AND CENTRAL AND SOUTHEAST CATSKILLS IN NEW YORK...AND THE BERKSHIRES IN MASSACHUSETTS...UNTIL 10 AM EST WEDNESDAY. THE COMBINATION OF TEMPERATURES IN THE 12 BELOW TO 10 ABOVE ZERO RANGE AND NORTHWEST WINDS OF 15 TO 25 MPH...WILL RESULT IN WIND CHILL READINGS OF 15 TO 29 BELOW ZERO AT TIMES THROUGH MID MORNING ON WEDNESDAY. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... A WIND CHILL ADVISORY MEANS THAT VERY COLD AIR AND WINDS WILL COMBINE TO GENERATE LOW WIND CHILLS. THIS WILL RESULT IN FROST BITE AND LEAD TO HYPOTHERMIA IF PRECAUTIONS ARE NOT TAKEN. IF YOU MUST VENTURE OUTDOORS...MAKE SURE YOU WEAR A HAT AND GLOVES. && $$
000 WWUS41 KALY 301117 WSWALY URGENT - WINTER WEATHER MESSAGE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ALBANY NY 617 AM EST WED DEC 30 2009 MAZ001-025-NYZ058-063-301230- /O.CAN.KALY.WC.Y.0013.000000T0000Z-091230T1500Z/ NORTHERN BERKSHIRE-SOUTHERN BERKSHIRE-WESTERN GREENE- WESTERN ULSTER- INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...PITTSFIELD...NORTH ADAMS... GREAT BARRINGTON...LEE...LENOX...HOUSATONIC...HUNTER... TANNERSVILLE...WINDHAM...SUNDOWN...ELLENVILLE...WOODSTOCK... WEST HURLEY...KERHONKSON...NAPANOCH...PHOENICIA 617 AM EST WED DEC 30 2009 ...WIND CHILL ADVISORY IS CANCELLED... THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN ALBANY HAS CANCELLED THE WIND CHILL ADVISORY FOR WESTERN GREEN COUNTY...WESTERN ULSTER COUNTY AND BERKSHIRE COUNTY. WIND CHILL READINGS HAVE RISEN ABOVE THRESHOLDS FOR A WIND CHILL ADVISORY THIS MORNING. $$ NYZ032-033-042-082-301500- /O.CON.KALY.WC.Y.0013.000000T0000Z-091230T1500Z/ NORTHERN HERKIMER-HAMILTON-NORTHERN WARREN-NORTHERN FULTON- INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...ATWELL...BIG MOOSE...EAGLE BAY... MCKEEVER...NOBLEBORO...NORTHWOOD...OLD FORGE...SPECULATOR... WARRENSBURG...NORTHVILLE...MAYFIELD 617 AM EST WED DEC 30 2009 ...WIND CHILL ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 10 AM EST THIS MORNING... A WIND CHILL ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 10 AM EST THIS MORNING FOR THE SOUTHERN ADIRONDACKS. TEMPERATURES STILL BELOW ZERO ACROSS PORTIONS OF THE SOUTHERN ADIRONDACKS COMBINED WITH WINDS OF 5 TO 10 MPH...WILL CONTINUE TO RESULT IN WIND CHILL READINGS OF 15 TO 25 BELOW ZERO AT TIMES THROUGH MID MORNING. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... A WIND CHILL ADVISORY MEANS THAT VERY COLD AIR AND WINDS WILL COMBINE TO GENERATE LOW WIND CHILLS. THIS WILL RESULT IN FROST BITE AND LEAD TO HYPOTHERMIA IF PRECAUTIONS ARE NOT TAKEN. IF YOU MUST VENTURE OUTDOORS...MAKE SURE YOU WEAR A HAT AND GLOVES. && $$
000 WWUS41 KALY 301419 WSWALY URGENT - WINTER WEATHER MESSAGE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ALBANY NY 919 AM EST WED DEC 30 2009 NYZ032-033-042-082-301530- /O.CAN.KALY.WC.Y.0013.000000T0000Z-091230T1500Z/ NORTHERN HERKIMER-HAMILTON-NORTHERN WARREN-NORTHERN FULTON- INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...ATWELL...BIG MOOSE...EAGLE BAY... MCKEEVER...NOBLEBORO...NORTHWOOD...OLD FORGE...SPECULATOR... WARRENSBURG...NORTHVILLE...MAYFIELD 919 AM EST WED DEC 30 2009 ...WIND CHILL ADVISORY IS CANCELLED... THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN ALBANY HAS CANCELLED THE WIND CHILL ADVISORY FOR THE SOUTHERN ADIRONDACKS. ALTHOUGH TEMPERATURES REMAIN VERY COLD...THE COMBINATION OF COLD TEMPERATURES AND STRONG WINDS NO LONGER MEETS WIND CHILL ADVISORY CRITERIA. THE WIND CHILL ADVISORY IS CANCELLED. $$
What forecasters said that day
The local office's own words before this wind chill advisory went out, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.
NWS Albany, NY wrote its last area forecast discussion before this wind chill advisory went out at Dec 28, 12:41 PM EST, 3 hours 37 minutes earlier.
Area forecast discussion, Dec 28, 12:41 PM EST, 3 hours 37 minutes before
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ALBANY NY
1241 PM EST MON DEC 28 2009
.SYNOPSIS...
A COLD FRONT WILL BRING SNOW TODAY. TONIGHT...AN ARCTIC FRONT WILL
SWEEP THROUGH THE REGION...AND BE FOLLOWED BY STRONG WINDS AND
BITTER COLD. LATE TUESDAY AND WEDNESDAY HIGH PRESSURE WILL MOVE FROM
THE MIDWEST TO THE ATLANTIC SEABOARD. ANOTHER STORM SYSTEM ORGANIZE
ALONG THE CAROLINA COAST THURSDAY AND APPROACH OUR REGION TO END THE
YEAR.
&&
.NEAR TERM /UNTIL 6 PM THIS EVENING/...
COMPREHENSIVE UPDATE THROUGH 12Z TOMORROW MORNING TO COVER TRENDS IN
SATELLITE/RADAR/TEMPERATURES. DID NOT UPDATE TOMORROW MORNING LOW
TEMPERATURES...BUT BELIEVE THEY ARE TOO HIGH BASED ON NEW GUIDANCE.
TWEAKED QPF/SNOW AMOUNTS SLIGHTLY BASED ON 12Z NAM GUIDANCE. NO
CHANGES TO AREAL COVERAGE OF SNOW ADVISORIES/WARNING.
1ST OF A ONE TWO PUNCH IS A POWERFUL AND ENERGETIC 500HPA CUT
OFF AND ITS SFC LOW OPENING UP AND RACING EAST FROM LK ERIE. IT WILL
MOVE ACROSS OUR REGION BY AFTN. THIS IS A CUTOFF LOOKING FOR TROUBLE.
FORTUNATELY IT WILL BE RATHER MOISTURE STARVED ONLY HAVING WHAT IT
CAN SQUEEZE OUT OF GRTLKS AND A CDFNT...BUT IT WILL PRODUCE A BURST
OF SNOW IN MOST AREAS FOR 2-4 HOURS WITH MAYBE AN HOUR IN MID HUDSON
VLY...AND TO ITS N MUCH OF THE DAY IN THE ADRNDKS. THE SFC LOW
WILL REALLY GET GOING LATER ONCE IT GETS OUT INTO N ATLC. MOST
AREAS SEE A TENTH OR TWO LIQ EQ WITH THIS SYSTEM...AND UNTIL IT
DRAGS CDFNT #1 ACROSS REGION 850HPA TEMPS ARE ONLY -5C OR SO. THIS
WOULD SUPPORT SNOW RATIOS OF 11 TO 1 AT BEST. MOST RECENT SREF
FLUMES PRODUCE EVERYTHING FROM A DUSTING TO 2 INCHES AT ALB.
SINCE THIS IS ONLY PART ONE AND ANOTHER SHOT OF SNOW IS IN NEXT
PERIOD..PVS SHIFT POSTED WINTER STORM WARNING FOR NORTHERN
HERKIMER COUNTY STARTING AT 4 AM TDY AND ENDING AT NOON ON TUESDAY
AND A WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE WESTERN MOHAWK VALLEY...
SOUTHERN ADIRONDACKS AND SOUTHERN GREEN MOUNTAINS FOR THE SAME
TIME PERIOD. WILL LEAVE THESE IN PLACE..BUT FINAL SNOW AMOUNTS MAY
BE LOWER THAN PVS PACKAGE.
&&
.SHORT TERM /6 PM THIS EVENING THROUGH WEDNESDAY/...
PART TWO ARRIVES IN FORM OF BOTH A STRONG 500HPA SHORT WAVE AND
THE ARCTIC CDFNT...WHICH SWEEPS ACROSS RGN TNGT AS PART OF THE
PROCESS OF CARVING OUT A FULL LATITUDE TROF OVER EASTERN NORTH
AMERICA.
DURING THE PERIOD BTWN THESE SYSTEMS A BRIEF WINDOW OF FAVORABLE
CONDS E OF LK ONTARIO AND SINGLE BAND FIRES AND SETS UP ON 270-290
VECTOR FM 17UTC MONDAY TILL ARCTIC FRONT COMES THRU AND TURNS LLVL
FLOW TO THE NORTH. NAM SUGGESTS THIS...WRF SHOWS IT CLEARLY. THIS
SUPPORTS THAT THERE WILL BE A LK EFFECT EVENT IN THE AREAS WHERE
THE FLAGS ARE IN BETWEEN THE TWO SYNOPTIC EVENTS WITH SNOW TO LIQ
RATIOS PUSHING 20 DUE TO COOLING.
FINALLY AS THE 500HPA SHORTWAVE AND ARCTIC CDFNT COMES THROUGH
THERE WILL BE ANOTHER BURST OF SNOW. BY 12UTC TUESDAY THE TROF BASE
IS OVER NEW ENGLAND THE FRONTS OFFSHORE AND ITS ALL PHASING AS
BOMBOGENESIS TAKES PLACE OVER MARITIMES. THERE WILL BE LINGERING
-SHSN BUT LOW LEVEL FLOW BCMS UNFAVORABLE FOR LK EFFECT IN OUR
FCA. HWVR THIS CREATES VERY STRONG WIND GRADIENT AND ALLOWS THE
ARCTIC AIR TO POUR INTO THE REGION ON STRONG NW WINDS. WIND CHILL
ADVISORIES/WARNINGS MAY BE NEEDED TUESDAY.
LATE TUES THE TROF AXIS IS OFFSHORE AND LARGE SFC HIGH BEGINS
BUILDING EAST FM GRT PLAINS. LEAVES MOST OF AREA CLEARING OUT AND
VERY COLD TUES AFTN.
ARCTIC AIR MASS WILL STILL BE ENTRENCHED ACROSS THE REGION TUE
NIGHT...WITH NORTHWEST WINDS GRADUALLY DIMINISHING BUT STILL QUITE
BREEZY. EVEN WITH A PERSISTENT BREEZE...MIN TEMPS STILL EXPECTED TO
BE IN THE SINGLE DIGITS FROM THE MOHAWK VALLEY AND CAPITAL REGION
SOUTHWARD...WITH BELOW ZERO READINGS. THERE WILL LIKELY BE WIND
CHILL ADVISORIES NEEDED FOR A PORTION OF THE AREA...ESPECIALLY
ACROSS THE HIGHER TERRAIN. OTHERWISE...DRY CONDITIONS SHOULD PREVAIL
AS SUBSIDENCE INVERSION FORECAST TO BE VERY LOW LESS THAN 3000 FT.
SURFACE RIDGE BUILDS IN WED MORNING...WITH THE CENTER OF THE HIGH
MOVING ACROSS THE CENTRAL APPALACHIANS. ARCTIC AIR MASS STARTS TO
LOOSEN ITS GRIP WED AFTN...ALTHOUGH AFTER A COLD START TEMPS ONLY
EXPECTED TO REBOUND INTO THE LOWER TO MID 20S...WITH UPPER TEENS IN
THE DACKS. SOME MID LEVEL CLOUDS MAY INCREASE AS A VERY WEAK
WARM-FRONT APPROACHES.
&&
.LONG TERM /WEDNESDAY NIGHT THROUGH SUNDAY/...
A POTENTIALLY ACTIVE LONG TERM FORECAST SHAPING UP...INCLUDING THE
NEW YEARS HOLIDAY. HIGH PRESSURE MOVES EAST OF THE AREA WED NIGHT
INTO NEW YEARS EVE DAY...AS SOUTHERN STREAM ENERGY LIFTS
NORTHEASTWARD ALONG THE MID ATLANTIC COAST. MODELS HAVING A
DIFFICULT TIME RESOLVING DEVELOPMENT AND TRACK OF POTENTIAL COASTAL
LOW...AS ADDITIONAL SHORT WAVE ENERGY FEEDS INTO THE UPPER LEVEL
TROF. LATEST 00Z GUIDANCE...INCLUDING GFS/ECMWF AND GFS ENSEMBLES
ALL INDICATING INCREASING CHANCES FOR MEASURABLE PRECIP STARTING NEW
YEARS EVE NIGHT LASTING INTO AT LEAST NEW YEARS DAY. SO WILL
INCREASE POPS TO LIKELY ACROSS MUCH OF THE AREA.
THE MAIN CONCERN AND FORECAST CHALLENGE IS HOW MUCH QPF RESULTS FROM
THIS SYSTEM. IF...WHEN AND WHERE PHASING OF NORTHERN STREAM ENERGY
TAKES PLACES WILL BE CRITICAL FOR DETERMINING THE DURATION OF THE
STORM AND QPF AMOUNTS...WHICH COULD BE SIGNIFICANT. AS OF NOW THE
GFS IS MOST AGGRESSIVE WITH TRACKING THE LOW CENTER JUST EAST OF THE
AREA...WHICH WOULD PUT OUR AREA IN THE HEAVY QPF SWATH ON THE
NORTHWEST SIDE OF THE STORM. ALSO...THE GFS DEPICTS PHASING TAKES
PLACE ON NEW YEARS DAY WITH THE LOW BECOMING VERTICALLY STACKED OVER
THE WEEKEND AND SITTING IN PLACE ACROSS CENTRAL NEW ENGLAND. THE
ECMWF SHOWS PHASING...BUT NOT UNTIL SAT AND TAKES PLACE FARTHER EAST
THAN THE GFS IS DEPICTING...IN THE GULF OF MAINE WITH THE HEAVIEST
QPF ACROSS NORTHERN NEW ENGLAND. BOTH MODELS SHOWING SIGNIFICANT QPF
BUT LARGE LOCATION AND TIMING DIFFERENCES EXIST. AGAIN...A DECENT
CHANCE OF MEASURABLE PRECIP ALTHOUGH WHETHER WE RECEIVE SIGNIFICANT
AMOUNTS IS UNCERTAIN AT THIS TIME.
SIGNALS IN ENSEMBLE DATA STARTING TO REVEAL POTENTIAL FOR
SIGNIFICANT QPF...AS 850MB U-COMP WIND ANOMALY OF -3 TO -4 SD NOW
SHOWING UP ACROSS NORTHERN NEW ENGLAND. ALSO...250MB U-COMP WIND
ANOMALY OF BETWEEN -2 TO -3 SD DEPICTING STORM BECOMING CUT-OFF AND
LINGERING FOR A WHILE. SO...WHERE IT SNOWS THERE COULD BE
SIGNIFICANT ACCUMULATIONS. THERE IS ENOUGH OF A POSSIBILITY TO
MENTION POTENTIAL FOR ACCUMULATING SNOW IN THE HWO.
&&
.AVIATION /18Z MONDAY THROUGH FRIDAY/...
SNOW SHOWERS HAVE TEMPORARILY SHUT OFF AT GFL. RADAR ECHOES MOVING
IN FROM THE WEST AT 1735Z ALSO SHOWING SOME SIGNS OF DRYING. HAVE
GONE P6SM AT GFL WITH 4 INITIAL HOURS OF TEMPO FOR MVFR IN -SHSN.
ELSEWHERE...VCSH IS WORST-CASE SCENARIO...WITH VFR. LAKE EFFECT
KEEPS VCSH AT GFL AND ALB UNTIL 10-12 TUE. THEN WINDS WILL HAVE
BECOME A LITTLE TOO NORTHERLY FOR LAKE EFFECT AS FAR EAST AS GFL OR
ALB.
SURFACE WINDS WILL BE BIGGEST CONCERN. THESE WILL INCREASE
OVERNIGHT AS FRIGID COLD POURS IN. LOOKING AT NORTHWESTERLY GUSTS
BEYOND 35 KTS POSSIBLE AT ALB FROM ABOUT 06Z THROUGH TUESDAY.
OUTLOOK...
TUE PM-THU...TUE NGT-THU...VFR...NO SIG WX.
THU NGT-FRI NGT...MVFR/IFR -SN OR -SHSN.
SAT...VFR WITH CHC OCNL IFR/MVFR IN LAKE EFFECT -SHSN.
&&
.HYDROLOGY...
NO FLOOD WARNINGS IN EFFECT. COLD WEATHER WILL RETURN FOR TUESDAY
INTO WEDNESDAY AND RIVERS IN MOST PLACES WILL ADD ICE.
ANOTHER STORM MAY IMPACT THE REGION NEW YEARS EVE AND NEW YEARS DAY.
QPF AMOUNTS ARE UNKNOWN AT THIS TIME...BUT COULD BE SIGNIFICANT. AT
THIS TIME IT APPEARS MOST OF THE PRECIP IS LIKELY TO FALL AS SNOW
FOR MUCH OF THE AREA...BUT SOUTHEASTERN BASINS COULD AGAIN SEE SOME
RAIN. STILL MUCH UNCERTAINTY EXISTS REGARDING THIS SYSTEM.
FOR DETAILS ON SPECIFIC AREA RIVERS AND LAKES...INCLUDING OBSERVED
AND FORECAST RIVER STAGES AND LAKE ELEVATIONS...PLEASE VISIT THE
ADVANCED HYDROLOGIC PREDICTION SERVICE /AHPS/ GRAPHS ON OUR WEBSITE.
&&
.ALY WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
CT...NONE.
NY...WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY UNTIL NOON EST TUESDAY FOR NYZ033-038-
042-082.
WINTER STORM WARNING UNTIL NOON EST TUESDAY FOR NYZ032.
MA...NONE.
VT...WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY UNTIL NOON EST TUESDAY FOR VTZ013-014.
&&
SYNOPSIS...SNYDER/SND
NEAR TERM...SNYDER/SND
SHORT TERM...SNYDER/JPV
LONG TERM...JPV
AVIATION...ELH
HYDROLOGY...JPV/SNDHazardous weather outlook, Dec 28, 4:25 AM EST, 11 hours 53 minutes before
HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ALBANY NY 425 AM EST MON DEC 28 2009 NYZ032-291200- NORTHERN HERKIMER- 425 AM EST MON DEC 28 2009 ...WINTER STORM WARNING IN EFFECT UNTIL NOON EST TUESDAY... THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR NORTHERN HERKIMER COUNTY IN EAST CENTRAL NEW YORK. .DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT. PLEASE LISTEN TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO OR GO TO WEATHER.GOV ON THE INTERNET FOR MORE INFORMATION ABOUT THE FOLLOWING HAZARDS. WINTER STORM WARNING. .DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...TUESDAY THROUGH SUNDAY. PLEASE LISTEN TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO OR GO TO WEATHER.GOV ON THE INTERNET FOR MORE INFORMATION ABOUT THE FOLLOWING HAZARDS. WINTER STORM WARNING. THE COMBINATION OF ARCTIC COLD AND STRONG WINDS MAY PRODUCE WIND CHILLS LOW ENOUGH FOR ADVISORIES AND POSSIBLY WARNINGS TUESDAY THROUGH WEDNESDAY. THERE IS THE POTENTIAL FOR A COASTAL STORM TO BRING ACCUMULATING SNOWFALL TO THE AREA THURSDAY NIGHT THROUGH FRIDAY NIGHT...POSSIBLY IMPACTING THE NEW YEARS HOLIDAY. THERE IS STILL MUCH UNCERTAINTY AS TO THE STORM TRACK AND SNOWFALL AMOUNTS. .SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT... SKYWARN SPOTTERS ARE REQUESTED TO SEND SNOWFALL REPORTS OF 2 INCHES OR MORE TO THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE VIA THE SEVERE WEATHER REPORT FORM ON THE INTERNET OR BY TELEPHONE. NYZ033-038-042-082-VTZ013-014-291200- HAMILTON-SOUTHERN HERKIMER-NORTHERN WARREN-NORTHERN FULTON- BENNINGTON-WESTERN WINDHAM- 425 AM EST MON DEC 28 2009 ...WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY IN EFFECT UNTIL NOON EST TUESDAY... THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR THE SOUTHERN ADIRONDACKS AND WESTERN MOHAWK VALLEY OF EAST CENTRAL NEW YORK AND THE SOUTHERN GREEN MOUNTAINS OF SOUTHERN VERMONT. .DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT. PLEASE LISTEN TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO OR GO TO WEATHER.GOV ON THE INTERNET FOR MORE INFORMATION ABOUT THE FOLLOWING HAZARDS. WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY. .DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...TUESDAY THROUGH SUNDAY. PLEASE LISTEN TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO OR GO TO WEATHER.GOV ON THE INTERNET FOR MORE INFORMATION ABOUT THE FOLLOWING HAZARDS. WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY. THE COMBINATION OF ARCTIC COLD AND STRONG WINDS MAY PRODUCE WIND CHILLS LOW ENOUGH FOR ADVISORIES AND POSSIBLY WARNINGS TUESDAY THROUGH WEDNESDAY. THERE IS THE POTENTIAL FOR A COASTAL STORM TO BRING ACCUMULATING SNOWFALL TO THE AREA THURSDAY NIGHT THROUGH FRIDAY NIGHT...POSSIBLY IMPACTING THE NEW YEARS HOLIDAY. THERE IS STILL MUCH UNCERTAINTY AS TO THE STORM TRACK AND SNOWFALL AMOUNTS. .SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT... SKYWARN SPOTTERS ARE REQUESTED TO SEND SNOWFALL REPORTS OF 2 INCHES OR MORE TO THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE VIA THE SEVERE WEATHER REPORT FORM ON THE INTERNET OR BY TELEPHONE. CTZ001-013-MAZ001-025-NYZ039>041-043-047>054-058>061-063>066-083-084- VTZ015-291200- NORTHERN LITCHFIELD-SOUTHERN LITCHFIELD-NORTHERN BERKSHIRE- SOUTHERN BERKSHIRE-SOUTHERN FULTON-MONTGOMERY-NORTHERN SARATOGA- NORTHERN WASHINGTON-SCHOHARIE-WESTERN SCHENECTADY- EASTERN SCHENECTADY-SOUTHERN SARATOGA-WESTERN ALBANY-EASTERN ALBANY- WESTERN RENSSELAER-EASTERN RENSSELAER-WESTERN GREENE-EASTERN GREENE- WESTERN COLUMBIA-EASTERN COLUMBIA-WESTERN ULSTER-EASTERN ULSTER- WESTERN DUTCHESS-EASTERN DUTCHESS-SOUTHEAST WARREN- SOUTHERN WASHINGTON-EASTERN WINDHAM- 425 AM EST MON DEC 28 2009 THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR NORTHWESTERN CONNECTICUT...WESTERN MASSACHUSETTS...THE LAKE GEORGE SARATOGA REGION...EASTERN MOHAWK VALLEY....GREATER CAPITAL DISTRICT...EASTERN CATSKILLS...TACONICS AND MID HUDSON VALLEY OF EAST CENTRAL NEW YORK...AND EXTREME SOUTHEAST VERMONT. .DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT. THERE IS A CHANCE FOR SOME SNOW SQUALLS TODAY...AS A STRONG UPPER LEVEL DISTURBANCE MOVES ACROSS THE AREA. SNOWFALL ACCUMULATIONS WILL BE LIGHT BUT A QUICK INCH OR SO COULD ACCUMULATE IN LESS THAN A HALF HOUR. ALSO THE VISIBILITY WILL BE SIGNIFICANTLY REDUCED TO NEAR ZERO WITHIN ANY SQUALLS...CREATING HAZARDOUS DRIVING CONDITIONS. .DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...TUESDAY THROUGH SUNDAY. THE COMBINATION OF ARCTIC COLD AND STRONG WINDS MAY PRODUCE WIND CHILLS LOW ENOUGH FOR ADVISORIES TUESDAY THROUGH WEDNESDAY. THERE IS THE POTENTIAL FOR A COASTAL STORM TO BRING ACCUMULATING SNOWFALL TO THE AREA THURSDAY NIGHT THROUGH FRIDAY NIGHT...POSSIBLY IMPACTING THE NEW YEARS HOLIDAY. THERE IS STILL MUCH UNCERTAINTY AS TO THE STORM TRACK AND SNOWFALL AMOUNTS. .SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT... SPOTTER ACTIVATION IS NOT EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.
Nearby
Wind Chill Advisories in New York, 2009Wind Chill Advisories in Massachusetts, 2009Every wind chill advisory in 2009
Sources
The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; the sounding from the Mesonet's radiosonde archive; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive.