Severe Thunderstorm Warning 39, NWS Albany, NY

000 
WWUS51 KALY 252114
SVSALY

SEVERE WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ALBANY NY
514 PM EDT THU JUN 25 2009

NYC113-115-252145-
/O.CON.KALY.SV.W.0039.000000T0000Z-090625T2145Z/
WARREN NY-WASHINGTON NY-
514 PM EDT THU JUN 25 2009

...A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 545 PM EDT
FOR NORTHERN WASHINGTON AND NORTHEASTERN WARREN COUNTIES...

AT 513 PM EDT...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR CONTINUED TO
INDICATE A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM CAPABLE OF PRODUCING NICKEL SIZE
HAIL...AND DAMAGING WINDS IN EXCESS OF 60 MPH.  THIS STORM WAS
LOCATED NEAR ADIRONDACK...OR 19 MILES NORTH OF WARRENSBURG...MOVING
SOUTHEAST AT 10 MPH.

THE SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WILL BE NEAR...
  GRAPHITE...7 MILES WEST OF SILVER BAY...7 MILES WEST OF HAGUE AND 7
  MILES NORTHWEST OF SABBATH DAY POINT BY 545 PM EDT...

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

IN ADDITION TO LARGE HAIL AND DAMAGING WINDS...CONTINUOUS CLOUD TO
GROUND LIGHTNING IS OCCURRING WITH THIS STORM. MOVE INDOORS
IMMEDIATELY LIGHTNING IS ONE OF NATURES NUMBER ONE KILLERS.
REMEMBER...IF YOU CAN HEAR THUNDER...YOU ARE CLOSE ENOUGH TO BE
STRUCK BY LIGHTNING.

&&

LAT...LON 4378 7335 4376 7335 4364 7341 4358 7341
      4357 7339 4362 7336 4362 7330 4350 7338
      4373 7383 4377 7381 4381 7339
TIME...MOT...LOC 2114Z 315DEG 7KT 4377 7370

$$

JPV

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ALBANY NY
405 PM EDT THU JUN 25 2009

.SYNOPSIS...
A WEAK COLD FRONT...WHICH WAS JUST WEST OF LAKE ONTARIO...WILL
MOVE TOWARD OUR REGION TONIGHT...AND SLOWLY CROSS OUR
REGION OVERNIGHT INTO FRIDAY.

&&

.NEAR TERM /UNTIL 6 AM FRIDAY MORNING/...
CLUSTER OF STRONG/SEVERE CONVECTION CONTINUES TO TRACK SE THROUGH
WESTERN NY...AND WILL CONTINUE TO TRACK ALONG THE NY/PA
BORDER..PERHAPS THROUGH PARTS OF THE CATSKILLS THIS EVENING.
STEERING FLOW SEEN IN MORNING UPPER AIR DATA AND CURRENT AREA
RADAR VWP WIND DATA SHOWS CONVECTION WILL CONTINUE TO TRACK
SOUTHEAST INTO THIS EVENING. HIGHER DEW POINTS ADVECTING EAST
ALONG WITH THE LOW LEVEL THERMAL RIDGE. SOME ISOLATED TO
SCATTERED CONVECTION SEEN IN ADIRONDACKS NOW...AND ISOLATED TO
SCATTERED CONVECTION WILL CONTINUE WITH THIS DIFFUSE DEW POINT
BOUNDARY...ESPECIALLY INITIATING IN AREAS OF TERRAIN.

AS MID LEVEL AND UPPER LEVEL SYSTEM APPROACH...AS WELL AS A WEAK
COLD FRONT...STEERING FLOW WILL TURN MORE WEST AND WEST-SOUTHWEST
LATE THIS EVENING AND OVERNIGHT. CONVECTION IN GREAT LAKES
BEGINNING TO DEVELOP...AND SHOULD BECOME MORE SOLID WITH THE
INCREASED LOW LEVEL FORCING ALONG THE WEAK COLD FRONT...THEN
TRACK EAST...REACHING OUR WESTERN AREAS AROUND MIDNIGHT. SCATTERED
CONVECTION SHOULD TRACK EAST RESULTING IN SCATTERED CONVECTION
OVER THE ENTIRE AREA THROUGH THE EARLY MORNING HOURS...EXITING
AROUND OR SHORTLY AFTER SUNRISE. WORDING SMALL HAIL AND GUSTY
WINDS INTO FORECAST DUE TO THE CURRENT MODE OF CONVECTION...AND
LOW LEVEL THERMAL/DEW POINT RIDGE IN THE AREA OVERNIGHT. LOWS
TONIGHT IN THE 60S TO NEAR 70.

&&

.SHORT TERM /6 AM FRIDAY MORNING THROUGH SUNDAY/...
STRENGTHENING UPPER IMPULSE TRACKS OUT OF THE GREAT LAKES...AND
COOLING AT THE BOUNDARY LAYER TIGHTENS THE BOUNDARY LAYER THERMAL
GRADIENT...CONTRIBUTING TO ENOUGH FRONTOGENESIS TO INITIATE NEW
CONVECTION IN THE CATSKILLS...TO SOUTHERN CAPITAL DISTRICT AREA TO
NORTHERN BERKSHIRES AND POINTS SOUTH. SOME SCATTERED CONVECTION IN
THE TERRAIN OF THE ADIRONDACKS AND GREEN MOUNTAINS AS WELL WITH
SOME LINGERING INSTABILITY AND MOISTURE. DEPENDING ON THE DEGREE
OF CONVECTIVE DEBRIS...HIGHS GENERALLY IN THE 80S...COOLER IN
HIGHER ELEVATIONS. SURFACE WINDS WILL SHIFT TO LIGHT NORTHWEST
DURING THE DAY...WHICH SUGGESTS AT LEAST SOME SUNSHINE PERIODS
DURING THE DAY. SOME POTENTIAL FOR SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS...SO
WORDING SMALL HAIL AND GUSTY WINDS FOR NOW. CONVECTION LINGERS IN
SOUTHERN AND EASTERN AREAS DURING THE EVENING.

BOUNDARY LAYER WIND SHIFT AND BETTER BOUNDARY LAYER COOLING TRACKS
THROUGH THE REGION LATER FRIDAY NIGHT AND THROUGH THE DAY
SATURDAY...WITH CONTINUED SCATTERED CONVECTION. HOWEVER...WITH THE
WEST BOUNDARY LAYER FLOW TURNING TO NORTH AND NORTHWEST...SOME
BREAKS IN THE CLOUDS FRIDAY NIGHT...AND PERIODS OF CLOUDS AND SUN
SATURDAY. HIGHS SATURDAY IN THE 80S...COOLER AGAIN IN HIGHER
ELEVATIONS.

SOME SHORT WAVE UPPER RIDGING AHEAD OF THE NEXT DEVELOPING UPPER
LOW APPROACHING FROM THE WESTERN GREAT LAKES LATER SATURDAY AND
SATURDAY NIGHT. SO...LESSENING COVERAGE TO ISOLATED SHOWERS AT
BEST LATER SATURDAY AND SATURDAY NIGHT. LOWS SATURDAY NIGHT IN THE
UPPER 50S TO 60S. APPROACHING UPPER LOW BRINGS MORE CLOUDS AND
INCREASING COVERAGE OF SHOWERS SUNDAY...BUT AGAIN...SOME PERIODS
OF CLOUDS AND SUN WILL ALLOW TEMPERATURES TO REACH THE 70S TO
LOWER 80S.

&&

.LONG TERM /SUNDAY NIGHT THROUGH THURSDAY/...
THE EXTENDED FCST FEATURES A VERY SHOWERY AND UNSETTLED PATTERN WITH
A PAIR OF CUTOFF LOWS IMPACTING THE FORECAST AREA.  CSTAR RESEARCH
ON WARM SEASON CUTOFF LOWS HAVE SHOWN THESE FEATURES TO BE VERY
PESKY AND TROUBLESOME IN TERMS OF GETTING THE SENSIBLE WEATHER
RIGHT.

THE FIRST H500 CUTOFF/CLOSED CIRCULATION SHIFTS EASTWARD OFF THE NEW
ENGLAND COAST SUNDAY NIGHT.  HOWEVER...ANOTHER CUTOFF LOW MOVES INTO
THE WRN-NRN GREAT LAKES REGION MONDAY MORNING BASED ON THE GFS/CAN
GGEM/ECMWF/GEFS MONDAY MORNING.  THIS LOOKS POTENTIALLY TO BE A
CLASSIC GREAT LAKES CUTOFF LOW FROM THE CSTAR RESEARCH...WHERE IT
SLOWLY CHURNS E/SE ACROSS THE GREAT LAKES REGION...AND INTO THE
UPPER MID ATLANTIC REGION INTO THE MID WEEK.  MONDAY SHOULD START
OUT FAIRLY DRY...BUT THE FIRST IMPULSE TIED TO THE CUTOFF...AND THE
OCCLUDED BOUNDARY IN CONNECTION TO THE DOWNSTREAM ONE COULD TRIGGER
SOME PM SHOWERS.  THE GFS DOESN/T PROG TOO MUCH INSTABILITY...WE
KEPT THUNDER OUT FOR NOW.

TUESDAY THRU WEDNESDAY...EACH DAY A VORT MAX ROTATING AROUND THE
CUTOFF WILL MOVE THROUGH THE FCST AREA.  THE GFS HAS LIFTED INDICES
OF -1 TO -3C TUE PM...AND -1C TO -5C ON WED OVER THE BULK OF THE
FCST AREA.  THE SURFACE BASED INSTABILITY EACH DAY IS IN THE
500-1000 J/KG RANGE...AND THE MID LEVEL LAPSE RATES ARE NOT SUPER
STEEP YET /AROUND 6C/KM/ DESPITE THE COLD POOL ALOFT. IT IS DAYS 5
AND 6...SO THESE MAY BE UNDERDONE A LITTLE THAT FAR OUT.  WE WILL
CONTINUE TO MENTION A CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS IN THE
HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK.  THE CONVECTION WILL BE TIED TO THE
DIURNAL HEATING...SO WE KEPT THE THUNDER CHANCES IN THE GRIDS NOON
TO MIDNIGHT.  PRECIPITABLE WATER VALUES WILL BE RUNNING A BIT HIGH
IN THE 1-1.5 INCH RANGE...SO SOME HEAVY DOWNPOURS WITH THESE PWATS
ABOUT A STANDARD DEVIATION ABOVE NORMAL WILL ALSO BE POSSIBLE.

THURSDAY...THERE WILL STILL BE A CHANCE OF SHOWERS WITH THE CUTOFF
LOW LIKELY SOMEWHERE OVER NY/PA...POTENTIALLY LIFTING NORTHEAST INTO
NRN NEW ENGLAND AND SOUTHERN QUEBEC.  HOWEVER...ANOTHER DISTURBANCE
MOVING THROUGH THE LONGWAVE TROUGH UPSTREAM...MAY KEEP THE UNSETTLED
WEATHER THROUGH THE ENTIRE WORK WEEK.

OVERALL...TEMPS LOOK LIKE THEY WILL BE SLIGHTLY BELOW NORMAL WITH
GENERALLY H850 VALUES OF 10-12C WITH HIGHS IN THE 70S TO L80S...AND
LOWS IN THE 50S TO L60S ACROSS THE FCST AREA. PCPN DUE TO THE CUTOFF
LOOKS LIKE IT WILL BE ABOVE NORMAL.

&&

.AVIATION /20Z THURSDAY THROUGH TUESDAY/...
AS OF 125 PM EDT...CONDITIONS REMAIN VFR...WITH JUST SOME HIGH
CLOUDS STREAMING EASTWARD...AND SOME PATCHY LOWER CLOUDS JUST S/E OF
KPOU. MUCH OF THE AFTERNOON WILL FEATURE A CONTINUATION OF VFR
CONDITIONS. HOWEVER...WE WILL NEED TO WATCH THE MOVEMENT/DEVELOPMENT
OF TSTMS...CURRENTLY ONGOING ACROSS EXTREME WESTERN NYS. SOME OF
THESE COULD GRAZE AT LEAST SOUTHERN TAF SITES AFTER 22Z/25...WITH
ADDITIONAL ISOLATED SHOWERS/TSTMS POSSIBLE FURTHER N CLOSER TO
00Z/26. MORE WIDESPREAD SHOWERS/TSTMS ARE POSSIBLE AFTER
SUNSET...INTO THE OVERNIGHT HOURS...AS A WARM FRONT GRADUALLY SHIFTS
NE INTO THE REGION...AND A COLD FRONT SLOWLY APPROACHES FROM THE NW.
SHOWERS AND TSTMS MAY LINGER INTO AT LEAST MIDDAY FRI...ESP AT KALB
AND KPOU...AS THE AFOREMENTIONED COLD FRONT ONLY SLOWLY CREEPS E.
ANY TSTMS WILL BE CAPABLE OF PRODUCING LOCALLY VERY HEAVY
RAIN...STRONG WIND GUSTS...AND POSSIBLY HAIL.

OUTSIDE OF ANY TSTMS...WE EXPECT AT LEAST MVFR VSBYS OVERNIGHT WITH
THE INCREASING HUMIDITY LEVELS.

WINDS WILL GENERALLY REMAIN FROM THE S TO SE THIS AFTERNOON...WITH
SPEEDS INCREASING TO 5-10 KT AT KGFL AND KALB...AND GENERALLY LESS
THAN 5 KT AT KPOU. LIGHT S TO SE WINDS WILL CONTINUE TONIGHT...THEN
BECOME SW...THEN W TO NW BY LATE FRI MORNING AT 5-10 KT.

OUTLOOK...
FRI...VFR/MVFR. CHC TSRAS...ESPECIALLY NEAR KPOU.
SAT-WED...VFR/MVFR...SCATTERED SHOWERS/TSTMS.

&&

.FIRE WEATHER...
WARM AND HUMID CONDITIONS EXPECTED TOMORROW AND SATURDAY. THE
THUNDERSTORM THREAT WILL INCREASE THROUGH MUCH OF THE NIGHT AND
THROUGH TOMORROW. A COLD FRONT WILL MOVE ACROSS THE REGION LATER
ON TOMORROW.

THE WIND TODAY WILL BE LIGHT SOUTHERLY TONIGHT AND EARLY
TOMORROW...TURNING WEST TO NORTHWEST 5-15 MPH BY LATE FRIDAY.
WINDS WILL BE LIGHT NORTHWEST TOMORROW NIGHT...AND NORTH TO
NORTHWEST AT 10 TO 20 MPH SATURDAY.

RH VALUES WILL INCREASE TO NEAR 100 PERCENT TONIGHT AND DROP ONLY
TO ABOUT 40-55 PERCENT TOMORROW. H VALUES WILL INCREASE TO NEAR
100 PERCENT AGAIN TOMORROW TONIGHT AND DROP ONLY TO ABOUT 50 TO 70
PERCENT SATURDAY.

&&

.HYDROLOGY...
SCATTERED SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS WILL OVERSPREAD THE REGION
OVERNIGHT...FIRST AFFECTING AREAS MAINLY FROM ALBANY N AND W...THEN
SPREADING TO AREAS NEAR AND S/E OF ALBANY BY FRI MORNING...AND
LINGERING INTO THE EARLY/MID AFTERNOON HOURS. SOME OF THESE TSTMS
MAY PRODUCE LOCALIZED HEAVY RAINFALL...WHICH COULD LEAD TO MINOR
FLOODING WITHIN LOW LYING...POOR DRAINAGE AND URBAN AREAS.
OTHERWISE...ALTHOUGH MINOR RISES ARE POSSIBLE ON LARGER STEM
RIVERS...WE DO NOT ANTICIPATE SIGNIFICANT RISES AT THIS TIME.
HOWEVER...SHOULD ANY TSTM CLUSTERS DEVELOP AND TRAIN ACROSS ANY
PARTICULAR AREA...MORE SIGNIFICANT RISES COULD OCCUR.

ISOLATED TO SCATTERED SHOWERS AND TSTMS WILL CONTINUE OVER THE
WEEKEND AS AN UPPER LEVEL LOW REMAINS NEARBY.

FOR DETAILS ON SPECIFIC AREA RIVERS AND LAKES...INCLUDING OBSERVED
AND FORECAST RIVER STAGES AND LAKE ELEVATIONS...PLEASE VISIT THE
ADVANCED HYDROLOGIC PREDICTION SERVICE /AHPS/ GRAPHS ON OUR WEBSITE.

&&

.ALY WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
CT...NONE.
NY...NONE.
MA...NONE.
VT...NONE.

&&

SYNOPSIS...NAS
NEAR TERM...NAS
SHORT TERM...NAS
LONG TERM...TAW
AVIATION...KL
FIRE WEATHER...NAS
HYDROLOGY...KL

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ALBANY NY
431 PM EDT THU JUN 25 2009

NYZ047>054-058-059-084-VTZ013>015-261100-
SCHOHARIE-WESTERN SCHENECTADY-EASTERN SCHENECTADY-SOUTHERN SARATOGA-
WESTERN ALBANY-EASTERN ALBANY-WESTERN RENSSELAER-EASTERN RENSSELAER-
WESTERN GREENE-EASTERN GREENE-SOUTHERN WASHINGTON-BENNINGTON-
WESTERN WINDHAM-EASTERN WINDHAM-
431 PM EDT THU JUN 25 2009

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR THE CAPITAL
DISTRICT...SOUTHERN VERMONT...THE NORTHERN TACONICS AND THE
SCHOHARIE VALLEY.

.DAY ONE...TONIGHT.

SCATTERED NON SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS ARE EXPECTED TONIGHT...WITH
FREQUENT LIGHTNING...GUSTY WINDS TO 40 MPH...LOCALLY HEAVY RAIN
AND SMALL HAIL. THE THUNDERSTORMS WILL BE MOVING EAST TO SOUTHEAST
AT 25 MPH.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...FRIDAY THROUGH WEDNESDAY.

SCATTERED NON SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS ARE EXPECTED FRIDAY THROUGH
SATURDAY...WITH FREQUENT LIGHTNING...GUSTY WINDS TO 40
MPH...LOCALLY HEAVY RAIN AND SMALL HAIL. THE THUNDERSTORMS WILL BE
MOVING EAST TO SOUTHEAST AT 25 MPH.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION IS NOT EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.

NYZ032-033-038>043-082-083-261100-
NORTHERN HERKIMER-HAMILTON-SOUTHERN HERKIMER-SOUTHERN FULTON-
MONTGOMERY-NORTHERN SARATOGA-NORTHERN WARREN-NORTHERN WASHINGTON-
NORTHERN FULTON-SOUTHEAST WARREN-
431 PM EDT THU JUN 25 2009

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR THE SOUTHERN
ADIRONDACKS...LAKE GEORGE AND SARATOGA REGIONS.

.DAY ONE...TONIGHT.

SCATTERED THUNDERSTORMS ARE EXPECTED TONIGHT A FEW OF WHICH COULD
BECOME SEVERE. MOST OF THE THUNDERSTORMS WILL CONTAIN FREQUENT
LIGHTNING...GUSTY WINDS TO 40 MPH...LOCALLY HEAVY RAIN AND SMALL
HAIL. A FEW OF THE THUNDERSTORMS COULD CONTAIN WINDS GREATER THAN
58 MPH AND HAIL THREE QUARTERS OF AN INCH OR LARGER. THE
THUNDERSTORMS WILL BE MOVING EAST TO SOUTHEAST AT 25 MPH.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...FRIDAY THROUGH WEDNESDAY.

SCATTERED NON SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS ARE EXPECTED FRIDAY THROUGH
SATURDAY...WITH FREQUENT LIGHTNING...GUSTY WINDS TO 40
MPH...LOCALLY HEAVY RAIN AND SMALL HAIL. THE THUNDERSTORMS WILL BE
MOVING EAST TO SOUTHEAST AT 25 MPH.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION IS NOT EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.

CTZ001-013-MAZ001-025-NYZ060-061-063>066-261100-
NORTHERN LITCHFIELD-SOUTHERN LITCHFIELD-NORTHERN BERKSHIRE-
SOUTHERN BERKSHIRE-WESTERN COLUMBIA-EASTERN COLUMBIA-WESTERN ULSTER-
EASTERN ULSTER-WESTERN DUTCHESS-EASTERN DUTCHESS-
431 PM EDT THU JUN 25 2009

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR NORTHWESTERN
CONNECTICUT...WESTERN MASSACHUSETTS...THE EASTERN CATSKILLS...MID
HUDSON VALLEY AND SOUTHERN TACONICS OF NEW YORK.

.DAY ONE...TONIGHT.

SCATTERED NON SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS ARE EXPECTED TONIGHT...WITH
FREQUENT LIGHTNING...GUSTY WINDS TO 40 MPH...LOCALLY HEAVY RAIN
AND SMALL HAIL. THE THUNDERSTORMS WILL BE MOVING EAST TO SOUTHEAST
AT 25 MPH.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...FRIDAY THROUGH WEDNESDAY.

SCATTERED THUNDERSTORMS ARE EXPECTED FRIDAY...A FEW OF WHICH COULD
BECOME SEVERE. MOST OF THE THUNDERSTORMS WILL CONTAIN FREQUENT
LIGHTNING...GUSTY WINDS TO 40 MPH...LOCALLY HEAVY RAIN AND SMALL
HAIL. A FEW OF THE THUNDERSTORMS COULD CONTAIN WINDS GREATER THAN
58 MPH AND HAIL THREE QUARTERS OF AN INCH OR LARGER. THE
THUNDERSTORMS WILL BE MOVING EAST TO SOUTHEAST AT 25 MPH.

ON SATURDAY...SCATTERED NON SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS ARE EXPECTED...
WITH FREQUENT LIGHTNING...GUSTY WINDS TO 40 MPH...LOCALLY HEAVY
RAIN AND SMALL HAIL. THE THUNDERSTORMS WILL BE MOVING EAST TO
SOUTHEAST AT 25 MPH.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION IS NOT EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.

SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ALBANY NY
346 PM EDT THU JUN 25 2009

NYZ032-252045-
NORTHERN HERKIMER NY-
346 PM EDT THU JUN 25 2009

...STRONG THUNDERSTORM IN NORTHERN HERKIMER COUNTY...

AT 345 PM EDT...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR INDICATED A
THUNDERSTORM CAPABLE OF PRODUCING...AROUND HALF INCH HAIL...WINDS
AROUND 50 MPH...AND HEAVY RAIN.  THIS STORM WAS LOCATED NEAR NORTH
WILMURT...OR ABOUT 13 MILES NORTH OF HINCKLEY...AND MOVING SOUTHEAST
AT 10 MPH.

THE THUNDERSTORM WILL BE NEAR...
NORTH WILMURT BY 415 PM EDT
ATWELL BY 425 PM EDT.

KL

SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ALBANY NY
350 PM EDT THU JUN 25 2009

NYZ032-252045-
NORTHERN HERKIMER NY-
350 PM EDT THU JUN 25 2009

...A STRONG THUNDERSTORM IN NORTHERN HERKIMER COUNTY...

AT 349 PM EDT...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR INDICATED A
THUNDERSTORM CAPABLE OF PRODUCING...AROUND HALF INCH HAIL...WINDS
AROUND 50 MPH...FREQUENT LIGHTNING...AND HEAVY RAIN.  THIS STORM WAS
LOCATED NEAR MCKEEVER...OR ABOUT 9 MILES SOUTHWEST OF OLD FORGE...AND
MOVING SOUTHEAST AT 10 MPH.

THE THUNDERSTORM WILL BE NEAR...
WOLF LAKE LANDING BY 410 PM EDT
FIRST LAKE BY 430 PM EDT
ATWELL BY 445 PM EDT

KL

SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ALBANY NY
356 PM EDT THU JUN 25 2009

NYZ042-083-252045-
NORTHERN WARREN NY-SOUTHEAST WARREN NY-
356 PM EDT THU JUN 25 2009

...A STRONG THUNDERSTORM IN CENTRAL AND SOUTHEAST WARREN COUNTY...

AT 353 PM EDT...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR INDICATED A
THUNDERSTORM CAPABLE OF PRODUCING...AROUND HALF INCH HAIL...WINDS
AROUND 40 MPH...AND A PERIOD OF HEAVY RAIN. THIS STORM WAS LOCATED 7
MILES NORTHWEST OF LAKE LUZERNE CAMPGROUND...OR ABOUT 7 MILES
SOUTHWEST OF WARRENSBURG...AND MOVING SOUTHEAST AT 10 MPH.

THE THUNDERSTORM WILL BE NEAR...
6 MILES SOUTHWEST OF WARRENSBURG BY 420 PM EDT
LAKE LUZERNE CAMPGROUND BY 430 PM EDT
LAKE GEORGE VILLAGE BY 445 PM EDT

ONE HALF TO ONE INCH OF RAIN COULD FALL IN A SHORT AMOUNT OF TIME
WITH THIS STORM. PONDING OF WATER ON ROADS AND POOR DRAINAGE AREAS
WILL OCCUR.

JPV