Alert archive / Alaska / Wind Advisories in 2009

Wind Advisory 86, NWS Juneau, AK

November 23, 2009

NWS Juneau, AK issued this wind advisory at Nov 23, 2009, 4:30 AM AKST. It took effect at Nov 23, 2009, 6:00 PM AKST. It was in force for 8 hr.

The area

The counties it named.

The facts

Issued
Nov 23, 2009, 4:30 AM AKST (13:30 UTC)
In effect from
Nov 23, 2009, 6:00 PM AKST
Expired
Nov 24, 2009, 2:14 AM AKST
In force
8 hr
Issued by
NWS Juneau, AK

The text

As transmitted, in the capitals the NWS used until 2016.

000 
WWAK77 PAJK 231330
NPWAJK

URGENT - WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JUNEAU AK
430 AM AKST MON NOV 23 2009

AKZ018-232000-
/X.NEW.PAJK.WI.Y.0086.091124T0300Z-091124T1200Z/
TAIYA INLET AND KLONDIKE HIGHWAY-
INCLUDING THE CITY OF...SKAGWAY
430 AM AKST MON NOV 23 2009

...WIND ADVISORY IN EFFECT FROM 6 PM THIS EVENING TO 3 AM AKST
TUESDAY...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN JUNEAU HAS ISSUED A WIND
ADVISORY...WHICH IS IN EFFECT FROM 6 PM THIS EVENING TO 3 AM AKST
TUESDAY. 

SOUTHWEST WINDS 30 MPH WITH GUSTS TO 50 MPH ARE EXPECTED TONIGHT.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A WIND ADVISORY MEANS THAT SUSTAINED WIND SPEED OR FREQUENT GUSTS
WILL OCCUR BETWEEN 40 AND 60 MPH.

THIS STATEMENT WILL BE UPDATED BY 12 PM AKST TODAY OR SOONER IF
CONDITIONS WARRANT.

&&

$$

AKZ023-028-029-231800-
/X.EXT.PAJK.WI.Y.0085.000000T0000Z-091123T1800Z/
CAPE DECISION TO SALISBURY SOUND COASTAL AREA-
SOUTHERN INNER CHANNELS-MISTY FJORDS-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...SITKA...PORT ALEXANDER...KETCHIKAN...
METLAKATLA...HYDER
430 AM AKST MON NOV 23 2009

...WIND ADVISORY NOW IN EFFECT UNTIL 9 AM AKST THIS MORNING...

THE WIND ADVISORY IS NOW IN EFFECT UNTIL 9 AM AKST THIS MORNING. 

EAST TO SOUTHEAST WINDS TO 30 MPH WITH GUSTS TO 45 MPH ARE
EXPECTED THROUGH EARLY THIS MORNING.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A WIND ADVISORY MEANS THAT SUSTAINED WIND SPEED OR FREQUENT GUSTS
WILL OCCUR BETWEEN 40 AND 60 MPH.

THIS STATEMENT WILL BE UPDATED BY 9 AM AKST TODAY OR SOONER IF
CONDITIONS WARRANT.

&&

$$

AKZ027-231800-
/X.CON.PAJK.WI.Y.0085.000000T0000Z-091123T1800Z/
DIXON ENTRANCE TO CAPE DECISION COASTAL AREA-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...CRAIG...KLAWOCK
430 AM AKST MON NOV 23 2009

...WIND ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 9 AM AKST THIS MORNING...

A WIND ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 9 AM AKST THIS MORNING. 

SOUTHEAST WINDS TO 35 MPH WITH GUSTS TO 50 MPH ARE EXPECTED
THROUGH THIS MORNING.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A WIND ADVISORY MEANS THAT SUSTAINED WIND SPEED OR FREQUENT GUSTS
WILL OCCUR BETWEEN 40 AND 60 MPH.

THIS STATEMENT WILL BE UPDATED BY 9 AM AKST TODAY OR SOONER IF
CONDITIONS WARRANT.

&&

$$
5 follow-up statements
000 
WWAK77 PAJK 231333
NPWAJK

URGENT - WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JUNEAU AK
433 AM AKST MON NOV 23 2009

AKZ023-027>029-231800-
/X.CON.PAJK.WI.Y.0085.000000T0000Z-091123T1800Z/
CAPE DECISION TO SALISBURY SOUND COASTAL AREA-
DIXON ENTRANCE TO CAPE DECISION COASTAL AREA-
SOUTHERN INNER CHANNELS-MISTY FJORDS-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...SITKA...PORT ALEXANDER...CRAIG...
KLAWOCK...KETCHIKAN...METLAKATLA...HYDER
433 AM AKST MON NOV 23 2009

...WIND ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 9 AM AKST THIS MORNING...

A WIND ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 9 AM AKST THIS MORNING. 

SOUTHEAST WINDS TO 35 MPH WITH GUSTS TO 50 MPH ARE EXPECTED
THROUGH THIS MORNING.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A WIND ADVISORY MEANS THAT SUSTAINED WIND SPEED OR FREQUENT GUSTS
WILL OCCUR BETWEEN 40 AND 60 MPH.

THIS STATEMENT WILL BE UPDATED BY 9 AM AKST TODAY OR SOONER IF
CONDITIONS WARRANT.

&&

$$

AKZ018-232100-
/X.CON.PAJK.WI.Y.0086.091124T0300Z-091124T1200Z/
TAIYA INLET AND KLONDIKE HIGHWAY-
INCLUDING THE CITY OF...SKAGWAY
433 AM AKST MON NOV 23 2009

...WIND ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 6 PM THIS EVENING TO 3 AM
AKST TUESDAY...

A WIND ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 6 PM THIS EVENING TO 3 AM
AKST TUESDAY. 

SOUTHWEST WINDS 30 MPH WITH GUSTS TO 50 MPH ARE EXPECTED TONIGHT.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A WIND ADVISORY MEANS THAT SUSTAINED WIND SPEED OR FREQUENT GUSTS
WILL OCCUR BETWEEN 40 AND 60 MPH.

THIS STATEMENT WILL BE UPDATED BY 12 PM AKST TODAY OR SOONER IF
CONDITIONS WARRANT.

&&

$$
000 
WWAK77 PAJK 231741
NPWAJK

URGENT - WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JUNEAU AK
841 AM AKST MON NOV 23 2009

AKZ023-027>029-231845-
/X.EXP.PAJK.WI.Y.0085.000000T0000Z-091123T1800Z/
CAPE DECISION TO SALISBURY SOUND COASTAL AREA-
DIXON ENTRANCE TO CAPE DECISION COASTAL AREA-
SOUTHERN INNER CHANNELS-MISTY FJORDS-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...SITKA...PORT ALEXANDER...CRAIG...
KLAWOCK...KETCHIKAN...METLAKATLA...HYDER
841 AM AKST MON NOV 23 2009

...WIND ADVISORY WILL EXPIRE AT 9 AM AKST THIS MORNING...

THE WIND ADVISORY WILL EXPIRE AT 9 AM AKST THIS MORNING. 

THIS WILL BE THE FINAL STATEMENT ON THIS EVENT.

$$

AKZ018-240045-
/X.CON.PAJK.WI.Y.0086.091124T0300Z-091124T1200Z/
TAIYA INLET AND KLONDIKE HIGHWAY-
INCLUDING THE CITY OF...SKAGWAY
841 AM AKST MON NOV 23 2009

...WIND ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 6 PM THIS EVENING TO 3 AM
AKST TUESDAY...

A WIND ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 6 PM THIS EVENING TO 3 AM
AKST TUESDAY. 

SOUTHWEST WINDS 30 MPH WITH GUSTS TO 50 MPH ARE EXPECTED TONIGHT.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A WIND ADVISORY MEANS THAT SUSTAINED WIND SPEED OR FREQUENT GUSTS
WILL OCCUR BETWEEN 40 AND 60 MPH.

THIS STATEMENT WILL BE UPDATED BY 345 PM AKST TODAY OR SOONER IF
CONDITIONS WARRANT.

&&

$$
000 
WWAK77 PAJK 240049
NPWAJK

URGENT - WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JUNEAU AK
349 PM AKST MON NOV 23 2009

AKZ023-027-240815-
/X.NEW.PAJK.WI.Y.0087.091124T1800Z-091125T0300Z/
CAPE DECISION TO SALISBURY SOUND COASTAL AREA-
DIXON ENTRANCE TO CAPE DECISION COASTAL AREA-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...SITKA...PORT ALEXANDER...CRAIG...
KLAWOCK
349 PM AKST MON NOV 23 2009

...WIND ADVISORY IN EFFECT FROM 9 AM TO 6 PM AKST TUESDAY...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN JUNEAU HAS ISSUED A WIND
ADVISORY...WHICH IS IN EFFECT FROM 9 AM TO 6 PM AKST TUESDAY. 

A WEATHER FRONT WILL APPROACH THE OUTER COAST TOMORROW MORNING
AND GENERATE STRONG SOUTHEASTERLY WINDS OVER THE ADVISORY AREA.
STRONGEST WINDS AND WIND GUSTS WILL BE IN CHANNELED TERRAIN
VULNERABLE TO A SOUTHEAST WIND.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A WIND ADVISORY MEANS THAT SUSTAINED WIND SPEED OR FREQUENT GUSTS
WILL OCCUR BETWEEN 40 AND 60 MPH.

THIS STATEMENT WILL BE UPDATED BY 1100 PM AKST TONIGHT OR SOONER
IF CONDITIONS WARRANT.

&&

$$

AKZ022-028-029-240815-
/X.NEW.PAJK.WI.Y.0087.091124T2100Z-091125T0300Z/
SALISBURY SOUND TO CAPE FAIRWEATHER COASTAL AREA-
SOUTHERN INNER CHANNELS-MISTY FJORDS-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...ELFIN COVE...PELICAN...KETCHIKAN...
METLAKATLA...HYDER
349 PM AKST MON NOV 23 2009

...WIND ADVISORY IN EFFECT FROM NOON TO 6 PM AKST TUESDAY...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN JUNEAU HAS ISSUED A WIND
ADVISORY...WHICH IS IN EFFECT FROM NOON TO 6 PM AKST TUESDAY. 

A WEATHER FRONT WILL APPROACH THE OUTER COAST TOMORROW MORNING
AND GENERATE STRONG SOUTHEASTERLY WINDS OVER THE ADVISORY AREA
TOMORROW AFTERNOON. STRONGEST WINDS AND WIND GUSTS WILL BE IN
CHANNELED TERRAIN AND EXPOSED SOUTHERLY LOCATIONS NEAR THE DIXON
ENTRANCE.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A WIND ADVISORY MEANS THAT SUSTAINED WIND SPEED OR FREQUENT GUSTS
WILL OCCUR BETWEEN 40 AND 60 MPH.

THIS STATEMENT WILL BE UPDATED BY 1100 PM AKST TONIGHT OR SOONER
IF CONDITIONS WARRANT.

&&

$$

AKZ018-240815-
/X.CON.PAJK.WI.Y.0086.091124T0300Z-091124T1200Z/
TAIYA INLET AND KLONDIKE HIGHWAY-
INCLUDING THE CITY OF...SKAGWAY
349 PM AKST MON NOV 23 2009

...WIND ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 3 AM AKST TUESDAY...

A WIND ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 3 AM AKST TUESDAY. 

SOUTHWEST WINDS 30 MPH WITH GUSTS TO 50 MPH ARE EXPECTED TONIGHT.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A WIND ADVISORY MEANS THAT SUSTAINED WIND SPEED OR FREQUENT GUSTS
WILL OCCUR BETWEEN 40 AND 60 MPH.

THIS STATEMENT WILL BE UPDATED BY 345 PM AKST TODAY OR SOONER IF
CONDITIONS WARRANT.

&&

$$
000 
WWAK77 PAJK 240736
NPWAJK

URGENT - WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JUNEAU AK
1036 PM AKST MON NOV 23 2009

AKZ023-027-241400-
/X.EXT.PAJK.WI.Y.0087.091124T1800Z-091125T0600Z/
CAPE DECISION TO SALISBURY SOUND COASTAL AREA-
DIXON ENTRANCE TO CAPE DECISION COASTAL AREA-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...SITKA...PORT ALEXANDER...CRAIG...
KLAWOCK
1036 PM AKST MON NOV 23 2009

...WIND ADVISORY NOW IN EFFECT FROM 9 AM TO 9 PM AKST TUESDAY...

THE WIND ADVISORY IS NOW IN EFFECT FROM 9 AM TO 9 PM AKST
TUESDAY. 

A WEATHER FRONT WILL APPROACH THE OUTER COAST TOMORROW MORNING
AND GENERATE STRONG SOUTHEASTERLY WINDS OVER THE ADVISORY AREA.
STRONGEST WINDS AND WIND GUSTS WILL BE IN CHANNELED TERRAIN
VULNERABLE TO A SOUTHEAST WIND.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A WIND ADVISORY MEANS THAT SUSTAINED WIND SPEED OR FREQUENT GUSTS
WILL OCCUR BETWEEN 40 AND 60 MPH.

THIS STATEMENT WILL BE UPDATED BY 500 AM AKST TUE OR SOONER IF
CONDITIONS WARRANT.

&&

$$

AKZ022-028-029-241400-
/X.EXT.PAJK.WI.Y.0087.091124T2100Z-091125T0600Z/
SALISBURY SOUND TO CAPE FAIRWEATHER COASTAL AREA-
SOUTHERN INNER CHANNELS-MISTY FJORDS-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...ELFIN COVE...PELICAN...KETCHIKAN...
METLAKATLA...HYDER
1036 PM AKST MON NOV 23 2009

...WIND ADVISORY NOW IN EFFECT FROM NOON TO 9 PM AKST TUESDAY...

THE WIND ADVISORY IS NOW IN EFFECT FROM NOON TO 9 PM AKST
TUESDAY. 

A WEATHER FRONT WILL APPROACH THE OUTER COAST TOMORROW MORNING
AND GENERATE STRONG SOUTHEASTERLY WINDS OVER THE ADVISORY AREA
TOMORROW AFTERNOON. STRONGEST WINDS AND WIND GUSTS WILL BE IN
CHANNELED TERRAIN AND EXPOSED SOUTHERLY LOCATIONS NEAR THE DIXON
ENTRANCE.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A WIND ADVISORY MEANS THAT SUSTAINED WIND SPEED OR FREQUENT GUSTS
WILL OCCUR BETWEEN 40 AND 60 MPH.

THIS STATEMENT WILL BE UPDATED BY 500 AM AKST TUE OR SOONER IF
CONDITIONS WARRANT.

&&

$$

AKZ018-241200-
/X.CON.PAJK.WI.Y.0086.000000T0000Z-091124T1200Z/
TAIYA INLET AND KLONDIKE HIGHWAY-
INCLUDING THE CITY OF...SKAGWAY
1036 PM AKST MON NOV 23 2009

...WIND ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 3 AM AKST TUESDAY...

A WIND ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 3 AM AKST TUESDAY. 

SOUTHWEST WINDS 30 MPH WITH GUSTS TO 50 MPH ARE EXPECTED TONIGHT.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A WIND ADVISORY MEANS THAT SUSTAINED WIND SPEED OR FREQUENT GUSTS
WILL OCCUR BETWEEN 40 AND 60 MPH.

THIS STATEMENT WILL BE UPDATED BY 300 AM AKST TUE OR SOONER IF
CONDITIONS WARRANT.

&&

$$
000 
WWAK77 PAJK 241114
NPWAJK

URGENT - WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JUNEAU AK
214 AM AKST TUE NOV 24 2009

AKZ018-241215-
/X.CAN.PAJK.WI.Y.0086.000000T0000Z-091124T1200Z/
TAIYA INLET AND KLONDIKE HIGHWAY-
INCLUDING THE CITY OF...SKAGWAY
214 AM AKST TUE NOV 24 2009

...WIND ADVISORY IS CANCELLED...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN JUNEAU HAS CANCELLED THE WIND
ADVISORY. 

WINDS OVER THE AREA HAVE DIMINISH OVERNIGHT.

THIS WILL BE THE FINAL STATEMENT ON THIS EVENT.

$$

AKZ023-027-241415-
/X.CON.PAJK.WI.Y.0087.091124T1800Z-091125T0600Z/
CAPE DECISION TO SALISBURY SOUND COASTAL AREA-
DIXON ENTRANCE TO CAPE DECISION COASTAL AREA-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...SITKA...PORT ALEXANDER...CRAIG...
KLAWOCK
214 AM AKST TUE NOV 24 2009

...WIND ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 9 AM THIS MORNING TO 9 PM
AKST THIS EVENING...

A WIND ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 9 AM THIS MORNING TO 9 PM
AKST THIS EVENING. 

A WEATHER FRONT WILL APPROACH THE OUTER COAST THIS MORNING AND
GENERATE STRONG SOUTHEASTERLY WINDS OVER THE ADVISORY AREA.
STRONGEST WINDS AND WIND GUSTS WILL BE IN CHANNELED TERRAIN
VULNERABLE TO A SOUTHEAST WIND.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A WIND ADVISORY MEANS THAT SUSTAINED WIND SPEED OR FREQUENT GUSTS
WILL OCCUR BETWEEN 40 AND 60 MPH.

THIS STATEMENT WILL BE UPDATED BY 500 AM AKST TUE OR SOONER IF
CONDITIONS WARRANT.

&&

$$

AKZ022-028-029-241415-
/X.CON.PAJK.WI.Y.0087.091124T2100Z-091125T0600Z/
SALISBURY SOUND TO CAPE FAIRWEATHER COASTAL AREA-
SOUTHERN INNER CHANNELS-MISTY FJORDS-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...ELFIN COVE...PELICAN...KETCHIKAN...
METLAKATLA...HYDER
214 AM AKST TUE NOV 24 2009

...WIND ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM NOON TODAY TO 9 PM AKST
THIS EVENING...

A WIND ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM NOON TODAY TO 9 PM AKST
THIS EVENING. 

A WEATHER FRONT WILL APPROACH THE OUTER COAST THIS MORNING AND
GENERATE STRONG SOUTHEASTERLY WINDS OVER THE ADVISORY AREA
TOMORROW AFTERNOON. STRONGEST WINDS AND WIND GUSTS WILL BE IN
CHANNELED TERRAIN AND EXPOSED SOUTHERLY LOCATIONS NEAR THE DIXON
ENTRANCE.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A WIND ADVISORY MEANS THAT SUSTAINED WIND SPEED OR FREQUENT GUSTS
WILL OCCUR BETWEEN 40 AND 60 MPH.

THIS STATEMENT WILL BE UPDATED BY 500 AM AKST TUE OR SOONER IF
CONDITIONS WARRANT.

&&

$$

What forecasters said that day

The local office's own words before this wind advisory went out, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.

NWS Juneau, AK wrote its last area forecast discussion before this wind advisory went out at Nov 22, 2:09 PM AKST, 14 hours 21 minutes earlier.

Area forecast discussion, Nov 22, 2:09 PM AKST, 14 hours 21 minutes before
SOUTHEAST ALASKA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JUNEAU AK
209 PM AKST SUN NOV 22 2009

.SHORT TERM...STRONG STORM IN THE WORKS OUT IN THE SOUTHWESTERN
GULF TODAY. AS IT MOVES NORTH THROUGH THE WESTERN GULF IT WILL
SEND A STRONG FRONT INTO THE PANHANDLE FOR LATE TONIGHT AND
MONDAY. RESENT MODEL RUNS HAVE BEEN SHIFTING THE LOW TRACK JUST A
BIT WEST OF PREVIOUS FORECASTS. CURRENTLY THE GFS IS THE FARTHEST
EAST WITH MOST OF THE REST OF THE MODELS CLUSTERED ABOUT 200 TO
300 MILES FURTHER WEST. IN OUR NECK OF THE WOODS, TIMING OF THE
FRONT IS RATHER GOOD BETWEEN THE VARIOUS MODELS WITH THE FIRST OF
THE FRONTAL BANDS HITTING THE SOUTHWEST OUTER COAST LATE TONIGHT.
THE FRONT WILL BE KICKING UP HIGHER WINDS AHEAD OF IT SO HAVE
KEPT THE WIND ADVISORIES THAT WERE POSTED BY THE MID SHIFT THE
SAME EXCEPT THAT THE ADV FOR 23 NOW STARTS AT MIDNIGHT INSTEAD OF
3 AM.

 AS THE FRONT PUSHES THROUGH THE PANHANDLE LATE TONIGHT AND
MONDAY, IT WILL SPREAD SOME MODERATE PRECIP ACROSS THE AREA. TYPE
WILL MAINLY BE LIQUID SOUTH OF A LINE FROM JUNEAU TO HOONAH TO
CROSS SOUND, WITH ALL SNOW ALONG AND NORTH OF THAT LINE LATE
TONIGHT AND INTO TOMORROW. BELIEVE THAT SNOW LEVELS WILL BE LOW
ENOUGH AND QPFS HIGH ENOUGH FOR ADVISORY LEVEL SNOW ACCUMULATIONS
FOR THE NORTHERN INNER CHANNELS STARTING EARLY TOMORROW MORNING.
HAVE POSTED WINTER WEATHER ADVISORIES FOR GUSTAVUS, HOONAH,
JUNEAU, HAINES AND SKAGWAY FOR MOST OF THE DAY TOMORROW. SNOW
LEVELS SHOULD RISE HIGH ENOUGH BY MONDAY AFTERNOON FOR THE SNOW
TO BEGIN TO MIX WITH RAIN IN GUSTAVUS, HOONAH, AND JUNEAU.

 ONE STICKY POINT IS A DEVELOPING WAVE ON THE FRONT BEFORE IT
MAKES IT INTO THE PANHANDLE. THIS COULD CAUSE A BRIEF INCREASE IN
WINDS FOR THE SOUTHERN ZONES. DID NOT HAVE ENOUGH CONFIDENCE IN
THIS TO ISSUE A WIND WARNING HOWEVER.

 SHORT TERM FORECAST WAS UPDATED USING A BLEND OF THE UKMET AND
NAM TODAY. WITH RELATIVELY GOOD INITIAL PLACEMENT AND A SCENARIO
THAT WAS SUPPORTED BY THE GFS ENSEMBLE MEAN, FELT THAT THE UKMET
WAS THE MODEL OF CHOICE TODAY. THE EXCEPTION WAS THAT I USED THE
HIGHER WIND MAGNITUDES OF THE GFS IN THE WIND FORECAST. FORECAST
CONFIDENCE IS A LITTLE ABOVE AVERAGE TODAY DUE TO UNCERTAINTY
WITH HOW THE DEVELOPING WAVE ON THE FRONT WILL AFFECT THE SYSTEM.

.LONG TERM...IT WAS A VERY TRICKY DAY ON THE LONG TERM DESK AS THE
OVERNIGHTS MODELS DID NOT HAVE GOOD RUN TO RUN CONTINUITY. THE EC
FLIP FLOP ON THE WEATHER SYSTEM LIFTING INTO THE GULF ON TUE AND
THERE ARE OTHER ISSUES THROUGH THE WEEK WITH THE TRACK AND
STRENGTH OF THE SERIES LOW PRESSURE SYSTEMS MOVING INTO THE GULF.
ALSO THERE HAS BEEN A LARGE INCREASE IN ENSEMBLE MEMBER SPREAD
OVERNIGHT SO WITH THAT SAID THERE WAS NOT MANY CHANGES MADE TO THE
PREVIOUS FORECAST. WHERE CHANGES WERE MADE USED A BLEND OF THE
INHERITED GRIDS WITH THE GFS THROUGH TUE NIGHT AS IT HAS BEEN
CONSISTENT WITH THE ELONGATED LOW OVER THE WESTERN GULF WITH A
FRONT EXTENDING OVER THE EASTERN GULF. THEN FOR THE EXTEND
PORTIONS USED HPC GUIDANCE. OVERALL THERE IS LOW FORECASTER
CONFIDENCE IN ANY INDIVIDUAL SYSTEM THAT WILL MOVE INTO THE GULF
THIS WEEK. THERE IS FAIR FORECASTER CONFIDENCE THAT THERE WILL BE
3 TO 4 WEATHER FRONT THAT WILL MOVE OVER THE PANHANDLE THIS WEEK
ALONG WITH WARMING TEMPS.

AT THE START OF THE LONG TERM A SURFACE TROF WITH A FRONT WILL BE
LIFTING OVER THE PANHANDLE MON NIGHT. THIS FRONT WILL CONTINUE TO
SPREAD RAIN OVER THE SOUTHERN HALF OF THE AREA WITH A MIX OVER THE
CENTRAL AREAS THAT WILL CHANGE TO ALL RAIN OVER NIGHT. FURTHER
NORTH IT WILL BE SNOWING BUT AS THE FRONT MOVES THROUGH AND THE
SURFACE RIDGE BEGIN TO BUILD OVER THE PANHANDLE THE SOUTHERLY FLOW
WILL INCREASE AND MIX OUT THE COLD AIR. IT MAY STAY ALL SNOW ALONG
THE HIGHWAYS LONGER WITH SIGNIFICANT ACCUMULATION. AS THE RIDGE
BUILDS OVER THE AREA THE WINDS WILL INCREASE TO SMALL CRAFT OVER
THE NORTHERN INNER CHANNELS AND IT WILL BECOME BREEZY TO WINDY
NEAR PAGY AND PAHN.

SHOWERS WILL CONTINUE INTO TUE MORNING BUT A UPPER RIDGE WILL MOVE
OVER THE PANHANDLE AHEAD OF A LOW MOVING OUT OF THE NORTH PACIFIC
AND INTO THE WESTERN GULF THROUGH WED. THE ASSOCIATED WEATHER
FRONT WILL SPREAD RAIN FROM SOUTH TO NORTH THROUGH TUE AND THE
WINDS ALONG THE GULF WILL INCREASE TO GALES ALONG WITH SMALL
CRAFTS OVER INSIDE WATERS. THE WINDS OVER THE COASTAL AREAS MAY
NEED WIND ADVY BUT THERE IS LOW CONFIDENCE ATTM AS WITH THE LOW
CENTER OVER IN THE WESTERN GULF THINK THE STRONGEST WINDS WILL
REMAIN OVER THE GULF.

.AJK WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
PUBLIC...WIND ADVISORY FROM MIDNIGHT TONIGHT TO 9 AM AKST MONDAY FOR
     AKZ027.
         WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY FROM 3 AM TO 3 PM AKST MONDAY FOR AKZ020-
     021-025.
         WIND ADVISORY FROM MIDNIGHT TONIGHT TO NOON AKST MONDAY FOR
     AKZ023-028.
         WIND ADVISORY FROM 3 AM TO NOON AKST MONDAY FOR AKZ029.
         WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY FROM 6 AM TO 6 PM AKST MONDAY FOR AKZ018-
     019.
MARINE...STORM WARNING FOR PKZ043-051-052.
         GALE WARNING FOR PKZ021-022-033>036-041-042.
         SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY FOR PKZ011>013-031-032.

&&

EAL/ABJ

The office that day

Everything else NWS Juneau, AK issued on the same UTC day.

IssuedProductOfficeCountiesLasted
Nov 22, 3:39 PM AKSTWinter Weather AdvisoryAJK23 hr
Nov 22, 4:00 PM AKSTGale WarningAJK36 hr
Nov 23, 4:00 AM AKSTGale WarningAJK24 hr
Nov 23, 4:25 AM AKSTWinter Storm WarningAJK14 hr
Nov 23, 10:15 AM AKSTSmall Craft AdvisoryAJK6 hr

Nearby

Wind Advisories in Alaska, 2009Every wind advisory in 2009

Sources

The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text.