Wind Advisory 57, NWS Juneau, AK

000 
WWAK77 PAJK 112007
NPWAJK

URGENT - WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JUNEAU AK
1207 PM AKDT FRI SEP 11 2009

AKZ017-120400-
/X.CON.PAJK.WI.Y.0056.000000T0000Z-090912T0400Z/
CAPE FAIRWEATHER TO CAPE SUCKLING COASTAL AREA-
INCLUDING THE CITY OF...YAKUTAT
1207 PM AKDT FRI SEP 11 2009

...WIND ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 8 PM AKDT THIS EVENING...

A WIND ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 8 PM AKDT THIS EVENING. 

WINDS UP TO 35 MPH WITH GUSTS TO 50 MPH WILL CONTINUE THROUGH
THIS AFTERNOON.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A WIND ADVISORY MEANS THAT SUSTAINED WIND SPEED OR FREQUENT GUSTS
WILL OCCUR BETWEEN 40 AND 60 MPH.

THIS STATEMENT WILL BE UPDATED BY 5 PM AKDT TODAY OR SOONER IF
CONDITIONS WARRANT.

&&

$$

AKZ022-120200-
/X.CON.PAJK.WI.Y.0055.000000T0000Z-090912T0200Z/
SALISBURY SOUND TO CAPE FAIRWEATHER COASTAL AREA-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...ELFIN COVE...PELICAN
1207 PM AKDT FRI SEP 11 2009

...WIND ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 PM AKDT THIS EVENING...

A WIND ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 PM AKDT THIS EVENING. 

WINDS UP TO 30 MPH WITH GUSTS UP TO 45 MPH WILL CONTINUE THROUGH
THIS AFTERNOON.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A WIND ADVISORY MEANS THAT SUSTAINED WIND SPEED OR FREQUENT GUSTS
WILL OCCUR BETWEEN 40 AND 60 MPH.

THIS STATEMENT WILL BE UPDATED BY 5 PM AKDT TODAY OR SOONER IF
CONDITIONS WARRANT.

&&

$$

AKZ018-120200-
/X.CON.PAJK.WI.Y.0057.000000T0000Z-090912T0200Z/
TAIYA INLET AND KLONDIKE HIGHWAY-
INCLUDING THE CITY OF...SKAGWAY
1207 PM AKDT FRI SEP 11 2009

...WIND ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 PM AKDT THIS EVENING...

A WIND ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 PM AKDT THIS EVENING. 

WIND UP TO 30 MPH WITH GUSTS UP TO 45 MPH WILL CONTINUE THROUGH
THIS MORNING.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A WIND ADVISORY MEANS THAT SUSTAINED WIND SPEED OR FREQUENT GUSTS
WILL OCCUR BETWEEN 40 AND 60 MPH.

THIS STATEMENT WILL BE UPDATED BY 5 PM AKST/AKDT FRIDAY OR SOONER
IF CONDITIONS WARRANT.

&&

$$

000 
WWAK77 PAJK 112231
NPWAJK

URGENT - WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JUNEAU AK
231 PM AKDT FRI SEP 11 2009

AKZ017-120400-
/X.CON.PAJK.WI.Y.0056.000000T0000Z-090912T0400Z/
CAPE FAIRWEATHER TO CAPE SUCKLING COASTAL AREA-
INCLUDING THE CITY OF...YAKUTAT
231 PM AKDT FRI SEP 11 2009

...WIND ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 8 PM AKDT THIS EVENING...

A WIND ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 8 PM AKDT THIS EVENING. 

WINDS UP TO 35 MPH WITH GUSTS TO 50 MPH WILL CONTINUE THROUGH
THIS AFTERNOON.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A WIND ADVISORY MEANS THAT SUSTAINED WIND SPEED OR FREQUENT GUSTS
WILL OCCUR BETWEEN 40 AND 60 MPH.

THIS STATEMENT WILL BE UPDATED BY 8 PM AKDT TODAY OR SOONER IF
CONDITIONS WARRANT.

&&

$$

AKZ022-120200-
/X.CON.PAJK.WI.Y.0055.000000T0000Z-090912T0200Z/
SALISBURY SOUND TO CAPE FAIRWEATHER COASTAL AREA-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...ELFIN COVE...PELICAN
231 PM AKDT FRI SEP 11 2009

...WIND ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 PM AKDT THIS EVENING...

A WIND ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 PM AKDT THIS EVENING. 

WINDS UP TO 30 MPH WITH GUSTS UP TO 45 MPH WILL CONTINUE THROUGH
THIS AFTERNOON.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A WIND ADVISORY MEANS THAT SUSTAINED WIND SPEED OR FREQUENT GUSTS
WILL OCCUR BETWEEN 40 AND 60 MPH.

THIS STATEMENT WILL BE UPDATED BY 6 PM AKDT TODAY OR SOONER IF
CONDITIONS WARRANT.

&&

$$

AKZ018-120200-
/X.CON.PAJK.WI.Y.0057.000000T0000Z-090912T0200Z/
TAIYA INLET AND KLONDIKE HIGHWAY-
INCLUDING THE CITY OF...SKAGWAY
231 PM AKDT FRI SEP 11 2009

...WIND ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 PM AKDT THIS EVENING...

A WIND ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 PM AKDT THIS EVENING. 

WIND UP TO 30 MPH WITH GUSTS UP TO 45 MPH WILL CONTINUE THROUGH
THIS MORNING.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A WIND ADVISORY MEANS THAT SUSTAINED WIND SPEED OR FREQUENT GUSTS
WILL OCCUR BETWEEN 40 AND 60 MPH.

THIS STATEMENT WILL BE UPDATED BY 6 PM AKST/AKDT FRIDAY OR SOONER
IF CONDITIONS WARRANT.

&&

$$

000 
WWAK77 PAJK 112333
NPWAJK

URGENT - WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JUNEAU AK
333 PM AKDT FRI SEP 11 2009

AKZ017-120500-
/X.EXT.PAJK.WI.Y.0056.000000T0000Z-090912T0500Z/
CAPE FAIRWEATHER TO CAPE SUCKLING COASTAL AREA-
INCLUDING THE CITY OF...YAKUTAT
333 PM AKDT FRI SEP 11 2009

...WIND ADVISORY NOW IN EFFECT UNTIL 9 PM AKDT THIS EVENING...

THE WIND ADVISORY IS NOW IN EFFECT UNTIL 9 PM AKDT THIS EVENING. 

WINDS UP TO 35 MPH WITH GUSTS TO 55 MPH WILL CONTINUE THROUGH
THIS EVENING.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

THE STRONGEST WINDS ARE OCCURRING NEAR THE SITUK RIVER LANDING. 
BEWARE OF FALLING TREE BRANCHES AND BE SURE TO SECURE LOOSE
OBJECTS. 

A WIND ADVISORY MEANS THAT SUSTAINED WIND SPEED OR FREQUENT GUSTS
WILL OCCUR BETWEEN 40 AND 60 MPH.

THIS STATEMENT WILL BE UPDATED BY 9 PM AKDT TODAY OR SOONER IF
CONDITIONS WARRANT.

&&

$$

AKZ022-120200-
/X.CON.PAJK.WI.Y.0055.000000T0000Z-090912T0200Z/
SALISBURY SOUND TO CAPE FAIRWEATHER COASTAL AREA-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...ELFIN COVE...PELICAN
333 PM AKDT FRI SEP 11 2009

...WIND ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 PM AKDT THIS EVENING...

A WIND ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 PM AKDT THIS EVENING. 

WINDS UP TO 30 MPH WITH GUSTS UP TO 45 MPH WILL CONTINUE THROUGH
THIS AFTERNOON.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A WIND ADVISORY MEANS THAT SUSTAINED WIND SPEED OR FREQUENT GUSTS
WILL OCCUR BETWEEN 40 AND 60 MPH.

THIS STATEMENT WILL BE UPDATED BY 6 PM AKDT TODAY OR SOONER IF
CONDITIONS WARRANT.

&&

$$

AKZ018-120200-
/X.CON.PAJK.WI.Y.0057.000000T0000Z-090912T0200Z/
TAIYA INLET AND KLONDIKE HIGHWAY-
INCLUDING THE CITY OF...SKAGWAY
333 PM AKDT FRI SEP 11 2009

...WIND ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 PM AKDT THIS EVENING...

A WIND ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 PM AKDT THIS EVENING. 

WIND UP TO 30 MPH WITH GUSTS UP TO 45 MPH WILL CONTINUE THROUGH
THIS MORNING.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A WIND ADVISORY MEANS THAT SUSTAINED WIND SPEED OR FREQUENT GUSTS
WILL OCCUR BETWEEN 40 AND 60 MPH.

THIS STATEMENT WILL BE UPDATED BY 6 PM AKST/AKDT FRIDAY OR SOONER
IF CONDITIONS WARRANT.

&&

$$

000 
WWAK77 PAJK 120142
NPWAJK

URGENT - WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JUNEAU AK
542 PM AKDT FRI SEP 11 2009

AKZ022-120245-
/X.EXP.PAJK.WI.Y.0055.000000T0000Z-090912T0200Z/
SALISBURY SOUND TO CAPE FAIRWEATHER COASTAL AREA-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...ELFIN COVE...PELICAN
542 PM AKDT FRI SEP 11 2009

...WIND ADVISORY WILL EXPIRE AT 6 PM AKDT THIS EVENING...

THE WIND ADVISORY WILL EXPIRE AT 6 PM AKDT THIS EVENING. 

THIS WILL BE THE FINAL STATEMENT ON THIS EVENT.

$$

AKZ018-120245-
/X.EXP.PAJK.WI.Y.0057.000000T0000Z-090912T0200Z/
TAIYA INLET AND KLONDIKE HIGHWAY-
INCLUDING THE CITY OF...SKAGWAY
542 PM AKDT FRI SEP 11 2009

...WIND ADVISORY WILL EXPIRE AT 6 PM AKDT THIS EVENING...

THE WIND ADVISORY WILL EXPIRE AT 6 PM AKDT THIS EVENING. 

THIS WILL BE THE FINAL STATEMENT ON THIS EVENT.

$$

AKZ017-120500-
/X.CON.PAJK.WI.Y.0056.000000T0000Z-090912T0500Z/
CAPE FAIRWEATHER TO CAPE SUCKLING COASTAL AREA-
INCLUDING THE CITY OF...YAKUTAT
542 PM AKDT FRI SEP 11 2009

...WIND ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 9 PM AKDT THIS EVENING...

A WIND ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 9 PM AKDT THIS EVENING. 

WINDS UP TO 30 MPH WITH GUSTS TO 45 MPH WILL CONTINUE THROUGH
THIS EVENING.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A WIND ADVISORY MEANS THAT SUSTAINED WIND SPEED OR FREQUENT GUSTS
WILL OCCUR BETWEEN 40 AND 60 MPH.

THIS STATEMENT WILL BE UPDATED BY 9 PM AKDT THIS EVENING OR
SOONER IF CONDITIONS WARRANT.

&&

$$

SOUTHEAST ALASKA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JUNEAU AK
604 AM AKDT FRI SEP 11 2009

.SHORT TERM...STRONG LOW OVER THE WRN CENTRAL GULF WILL DRIFT
NWD AND SLOWLY WEAKEN THRU TONIGHT. THE LOW SHOULD REACH THE
N-CENTRAL GULF BY LATE EVENING. SECOND WRAP OF OCCLUDED FRONT
OVER THE E-CENTRAL AND NE GULF WILL REMAIN THERE THRU TONIGHT BUT
SLOWLY WEAKEN THRU THE PERIOD. STALLED FRONT JUST SE OF THE AREA
WILL BEGIN TO MOVE NW TOWARD THE SRN AREA TONIGHT AS A LOW
PRESSURE WAVE DEVELOPS AND MOVES NE TOWARD THE CHARLOTTES.

 MAIN CONCERNS WILL BE WINDS AND HYDRO ISSUES. WIND
WISE...STRONGEST WINDS ARE NEAR SECOND WRAP OF OCCLUSION OVER THE
ERN GULF AND THE NE GULF COAST...AND AM KEEPING GALES/WIND ADVYS
FOR MUCH OF THOSE AREAS THRU THIS AFTERNOON. THE WIND SHOULD STAY
UP LONGEST AROUND THE PAYA AREA WHERE SECOND WRAP OF FRONT WILL
BE NEAR OR OVER THEM. THE PAGY AREA IS ALSO SEEING ADVY LEVEL
WINDS BUT THOSE ARE EXPECTED TO DIMINISH THIS AFTERNOON. KEPT
THEIR WIND ADVY UNTIL NOON TODAY. WINDS IN THE PASI AREA HAVE
DROPPED BELOW ADVY LEVELS...AND LOOKS LIKE THEY WILL NOT GET BACK
SO HAVE CANCELLED THEIR ADVY. WINDS SHOULD GRADUALLY DECREASE
AREA WIDE AS THE LOW/SECOND WRAP FRONT WEAKEN.

 RAIN WILL BE HEAVIEST ALONG THE NE GULF COAST...BUT THE ONLY
HYDRO ISSUE ATTM IS THE TAIYA RIVER WHICH IS NEAR FLOOD STAGE.
AFTER COORD WITH RFC...EXPECT PEAK TO REACH MINOR FLOOD LEVELS
WITH CONTINUED LIGHT PRECIP THERE THRU THE DAY...SO ISSUED A
FLOOD ADVY FOR ZONE 18 UNTIL 415 PM THIS AFTERNOON. ZONE 17 IS
CURRENTLY NOT SHOWING ANY HYDRO PROBLEMS BUT HEAVY RAINFALL MAY
LEAD TO SOME ISSUES ESPECIALLY THIS AFTERNOON AND TONIGHT. WILL
GET MORE INFO FROM RFC BEFORE MAKING ANY DECISIONS ON WHETHER ANY
FLOOD ADVYS OR WARNINGS WILL BE NEEDED IN THE PAYA AREA.

 OTHERWISE...OTHER THAN THE PAYA AREA AND ADJACENT WATERS...RAIN
WILL BE SPOTTY OVER THE AREA TODAY...AND THE SRN AREA WILL LIKELY
REMAIN DRY UNTIL THE LOW PRESSURE WAVE MOVING NE TOWARD THE
CHARLOTTES INDUCES ISENTROPIC UPGLIDE ON THE NW SIDE OF THE
STALLED FRONT TO THEIR S...WHICH SHOULD OCCUR TONIGHT. WENT WITH
LIKELY POPS FOR LATE TONIGHT FOR THE FAR SERN AREA TO HANDLE THIS
SCENARIO.

&&

.LONG TERM...VERY GOOD UPPER LEVEL AGREEMENT BETWEEN EC AND GFS
THROUGH TUESDAY MORNING. AT THAT TIME...EC TRACKS A DEEPER UPPER
LOW TO THE NORTH EAST OF 150W WHILE GFS RETROGRADES A SLIGHTLY
WEAKER FEATURE TO THE NORTHWEST TOWARDS KODIAK. LARGE UPPER LEVEL
ENSEMBLE SPREAD IN GFS OVER THE PANHANDLE AT THIS SAME TIME AS
WELL. BOTH MODELS ARE SIMILAR AFTER THIS TIME...BUT EC IS TENDING
TO MAINTAIN MORE SHARPLY DEFINED SHORT WAVE FEATURES AS WELL AS
MULTIPLE UPPER CIRCULATIONS.

AT THE SURFACE...SIGNIFICANT DIFFERENCES APPEAR AT THE SAME TIME
AS ALOFT...WITH A SLIGHTLY WEAKER SURFACE LOW JUST TO THE EAST OF
KODIAK VERSUS A DEEPER LOW FARTHER SOUTH AND SLIGHTLY EAST OF 150W
IN THE EC BY TUESDAY AFTERNOON. SURFACE PICTURE GETS VERY MESSY
THEREAFTER AND IS IS CLEAR THERE WILL BE NO BLENDING OF THE EC AND
GFS IN THE LATTER HALF OF THE EXTENDED RANGE FORECAST WITH SUCH
LARGE DIFFERENCES. OPTED FOR A UKMET/EC BLEND THROUGH
SUNDAY...THEN HEAVILY WEIGHTED TOWARDS AN HPC/EC BLEND.

WINDS AND THE ASSOCIATED ADVISORIES STILL AFFECTING THE PANHANDLE
WILL BE OVER BY THE BEGINNING OF THE EXTENDED RANGE FORECAST
SATURDAY MORNING. PRECIPITATION HOWEVER IS STILL IN THE
PICTURE...PARTICULARLY FOR ZONE 17. AS RAIN UP THERE BEGINS TO
TAPER OFF SATURDAY AFTERNOON...SHOWERS FROM SYSTEM APPROACHING
FROM THE SOUTH WILL MOVE UP THE PANHANDLE. THIS SYSTEM ENTERS THE
PICTURE FROM WELL TO THE SOUTH AND WHILE NOT OVERLY DEEP...THE
THERMAL CONTRAST IS QUITE IMPRESSIVE. THE LOW ITSELF SHOULD BE
SOMEWHERE NEAR THE DIXON ENTRANCE BY SATURDAY AFTERNOON ALTHOUGH
THE PRECIP SHIELD SHOULD ALREADY EXTEND NORTH OVER ALL BUT THE FAR
NORTHERN INNER CHANNELS BY THEN. LATEST GFS IS ABOUT 6 HOURS
FASTER THAN EC OR UKMET ON TRACKING THIS LOW TO THE NORTH. HAVE
SHOWERS CHANGING BACK TO RAIN AND DIMINISHING ON SUNDAY AS THE
LOW TRACKS NE INTO BRITISH COLUMBIA AND A WEAK SURFACE RIDGE BUILD
IN OVER THE PANHANDLE. LOOKS LIKE MOST PLACES WILL BE DRY ON
MONDAY...BUT IT WILL NOT LAST VERY LONG. A BROAD AREA OF LOW
PRESSURE EXTENDING EAST FROM KAMCHATKA AND INTO THE NORTH PACIFIC IS
ALREADY VISIBLE ON SATELLITE IMAGERY. THIS FEATURE WILL BE
ENERGIZED BY GOOD JET SUPPORT AND INITIALLY TRACK SOUTHEAST AS AN
UPPER LEVEL SHORT WAVE DIGS TO THE SOUTH. BY TUESDAY...THE NEARLY
VERTICALLY STACKED SYSTEM WILL ENTER THE SOUTH CENTRAL GULF STILL
WITH VERY GOOD JET SUPPORT AND PUSH A FRONT NORTH OVER THE EASTERN
GULF AND PANHANDLE. MOST LOCATIONS WILL LIKELY BE IN THE RAIN FOR
MUCH OF THE REMAINDER OF THE WEEK.

SOUTHEAST GALES IN ADVANCE OF THE FRONT WILL SPREAD OVER THE
SOUTHERN COASTAL MARINE ZONES SUNDAY NIGHT BUT AM ONLY EXPECTING
SMALL CRAFT WINDS OVER THE INNER CHANNELS.

.AJK WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
PUBLIC...WIND ADVISORY UNTIL 6 PM AKDT THIS EVENING FOR AKZ017-022.
         WIND ADVISORY UNTIL NOON AKDT TODAY FOR AKZ018.
MARINE...GALE WARNING FOR PKZ022-042-043-051-052.
         SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY FOR PKZ011>013-021-031>033-035-036-041.

&&

RWT/FRITSCH

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JUNEAU AK
705 AM AKDT FRI SEP 11 2009

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0953 AM     NON-TSTM WND GST KETCHIKAN               55.34N 131.65W
09/10/2009  M43.00 MPH                          AK   OFFICIAL NWS OBS

            KETCHIKAN ASOS MEASURED A 43 MPH WIND GUST AT 953 AM ON
            SEPTEMBER 10.

1053 AM     NON-TSTM WND GST PORT ALEXANDER          56.25N 134.64W
09/10/2009  M40.00 MPH                          AK   OFFICIAL NWS OBS

            40 MPH WIND GUST MEASURED AT PORT ALEXANDER AT 1053 AM ON
            SEPTEMBER 10TH.

1153 AM     NON-TSTM WND GST ANNETTE                 55.04N 131.59W
09/10/2009  M53.00 MPH                          AK   OFFICIAL NWS OBS

            53 MPH WIND GUST MEASURED BY ANNETTE ASOS AT 1153 AM
            SEPTEMBER 10TH.

0116 PM     NON-TSTM WND GST HYDABURG                55.21N 132.82W
09/10/2009  M68.00 MPH                          AK   OFFICIAL NWS OBS

            HYDABURG AWOS MEASURED A 68 MPH WIND GUST AT 116 PM
            SEPTEMBER 10TH.

0253 PM     NON-TSTM WND GST SITKA                   57.05N 135.34W
09/10/2009  M54.00 MPH                          AK   OFFICIAL NWS OBS

            SITKA ASOS MEASURED A 54 MPH WIND GUST AT 253 PM ON
            SEPTEMBER 10TH.

0253 PM     NON-TSTM WND GST JUNEAU                  58.30N 134.41W
09/10/2009  M48.00 MPH                          AK   OFFICIAL NWS OBS

            JUNEAU AIRPORT ASOS MEASURED WIND GUST OF 48 MPH AT 253
            PM ON SEPTEMBER 10TH.

0253 PM     NON-TSTM WND GST 5 NE COFFMAN COVE       56.06N 132.74W
09/10/2009  M97.00 MPH       PKZ036             AK   OFFICIAL NWS OBS

            97 MPH WIND GUST RECORDED BY NWS EQUIPMENT AT LINCOLN
            ROCK LIGHTHOUSE.

&&

CVP