Wind Advisory 35, NWS Juneau, AK

000 
WWAK77 PAJK 151235
NPWAJK

URGENT - WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JUNEAU AK
435 AM AKDT SUN MAR 15 2009

AKZ017-018-152300-
/X.EXT.PAJK.WI.Y.0035.000000T0000Z-090317T0200Z/
CAPE FAIRWEATHER TO CAPE SUCKLING COASTAL AREA-
TAIYA INLET AND KLONDIKE HIGHWAY-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...YAKUTAT...SKAGWAY
435 AM AKDT SUN MAR 15 2009

...WIND ADVISORY NOW IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 PM AKDT MONDAY...

THE WIND ADVISORY IS NOW IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 PM AKDT MONDAY. 

STRONG WINDS WILL CONTINUE NEAR INTERIOR GAPS AND PASSES WITH
WIND GUSTS 40 TO 50 MPH THROUGH LATE MONDAY AFTERNOON.

A WIND ADVISORY MEANS THAT SUSTAINED WIND SPEED OR FREQUENT GUSTS
WILL OCCUR BETWEEN 40 AND 60 MPH.

THIS STATEMENT WILL BE UPDATED BY 3 PM AKDT THIS AFTERNOON OR
SOONER IF CONDITIONS WARRANT.

$$

AKZ025-152300-
/X.CON.PAJK.WI.Y.0035.000000T0000Z-090315T2300Z/
JUNEAU BOROUGH AND NORTHERN ADMIRALTY ISLAND-
INCLUDING THE CITY OF...JUNEAU
435 AM AKDT SUN MAR 15 2009

...WIND ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 3 PM AKDT THIS
AFTERNOON NEAR DOWNTOWN JUNEAU AND SOUTH DOUGLAS...

A WIND ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 3 PM AKDT THIS AFTERNOON
NEAR DOWNTOWN JUNEAU AND SOUTH DOUGLAS.

STRONG GUSTY WINDS UP TO 40 MPH WILL CONTINUE NEAR DOWNTOWN
JUNEAU...SOUTH DOUGLAS AND NEAR INTERIOR GAPS AND PASSES THROUGH
THIS AFTERNOON.

A WIND ADVISORY MEANS THAT SUSTAINED WIND SPEED OR FREQUENT GUSTS
WILL OCCUR BETWEEN 40 AND 60 MPH.

THIS STATEMENT WILL BE UPDATED BY 3 PM AKDT THIS AFTERNOON OR
SOONER IF CONDITIONS WARRANT.

$$

000 
WWAK77 PAJK 152044
NPWAJK

URGENT - WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JUNEAU AK
1244 PM AKDT SUN MAR 15 2009

AKZ025-152145-
/X.CAN.PAJK.WI.Y.0035.000000T0000Z-090315T2300Z/
JUNEAU BOROUGH AND NORTHERN ADMIRALTY ISLAND-
INCLUDING THE CITY OF...JUNEAU
1244 PM AKDT SUN MAR 15 2009

...WIND ADVISORY IS CANCELLED...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN JUNEAU HAS CANCELLED THE WIND
ADVISORY. 

LOCALLY WINDY CONDITIONS WILL CONTINUE THROUGH TOMORROW AFTERNOON
BUT GUSTS ARE EXPECTED TO BE BELOW ADVISORY.

THIS WILL BE THE FINAL STATEMENT ON THIS EVENT.

$$

AKZ017-018-160815-
/X.EXT.PAJK.WI.Y.0035.000000T0000Z-090317T1400Z/
CAPE FAIRWEATHER TO CAPE SUCKLING COASTAL AREA-
TAIYA INLET AND KLONDIKE HIGHWAY-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...YAKUTAT...SKAGWAY
1244 PM AKDT SUN MAR 15 2009

...WIND ADVISORY NOW IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 AM AKDT TUESDAY...

THE WIND ADVISORY IS NOW IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 AM AKDT TUESDAY. 

STRONG WINDS WILL CONTINUE NEAR INTERIOR GAPS AND PASSES WITH
WIND GUSTS 40 TO 50 MPH THROUGH TUESDAY MORNING.

A WIND ADVISORY MEANS THAT SUSTAINED WIND SPEED OR FREQUENT GUSTS
WILL OCCUR BETWEEN 40 AND 60 MPH.

THIS STATEMENT WILL BE UPDATED BY MIDNIGHT AKDT TONIGHT OR SOONER IF
CONDITIONS WARRANT.

$$

PSS

000 
WWAK77 PAJK 160748
NPWAJK

URGENT - WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JUNEAU AK
1148 PM AKDT SUN MAR 15 2009

AKZ017-018-170000-
/X.CON.PAJK.WI.Y.0035.000000T0000Z-090317T1400Z/
CAPE FAIRWEATHER TO CAPE SUCKLING COASTAL AREA-
TAIYA INLET AND KLONDIKE HIGHWAY-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...YAKUTAT...SKAGWAY
1148 PM AKDT SUN MAR 15 2009

...WIND ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 AM AKDT TUESDAY...

A WIND ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 AM AKDT TUESDAY FOR THE
YAKUTAT AND SKAGWAY AREAS.

STRONG WINDS WILL CONTINUE NEAR INTERIOR GAPS AND PASSES WITH
WIND GUSTS 40 TO 50 MPH THROUGH TUESDAY MORNING.

A WIND ADVISORY MEANS THAT SUSTAINED WIND SPEED OR FREQUENT GUSTS
WILL OCCUR BETWEEN 40 AND 60 MPH.

THIS STATEMENT WILL BE UPDATED BY 4 PM AKDT MONDAY AFTERNOON OR
SOONER IF CONDITIONS WARRANT.

$$

000 
WWAK77 PAJK 161257
NPWAJK

URGENT - WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JUNEAU AK
457 AM AKDT MON MAR 16 2009

AKZ017-170000-
/X.EXT.PAJK.WI.Y.0035.000000T0000Z-090318T0200Z/
CAPE FAIRWEATHER TO CAPE SUCKLING COASTAL AREA-
INCLUDING THE CITY OF...YAKUTAT
457 AM AKDT MON MAR 16 2009

...WIND ADVISORY NOW IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 PM AKDT TUESDAY...

THE WIND ADVISORY IS NOW IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 PM AKDT TUESDAY. 

STRONG WINDS WILL CONTINUE NEAR INTERIOR GAPS AND PASSES WITH
WIND GUSTS 40 TO 50 MPH THROUGH TUESDAY MORNING.

A WIND ADVISORY MEANS THAT SUSTAINED WIND SPEED OR FREQUENT GUSTS
WILL OCCUR BETWEEN 40 AND 60 MPH.

THIS STATEMENT WILL BE UPDATED BY 4 PM AKDT THIS AFTERNOON OR
SOONER IF CONDITIONS WARRANT.

$$

AKZ018-170000-
/X.EXT.PAJK.WI.Y.0035.000000T0000Z-090317T2000Z/
TAIYA INLET AND KLONDIKE HIGHWAY-
INCLUDING THE CITY OF...SKAGWAY
457 AM AKDT MON MAR 16 2009

...WIND ADVISORY NOW IN EFFECT UNTIL 12 PM AKDT TUESDAY...

THE WIND ADVISORY IS NOW IN EFFECT UNTIL 12 PM AKDT TUESDAY. 

STRONG WINDS WILL CONTINUE NEAR INTERIOR GAPS AND PASSES WITH
WIND GUSTS 40 TO 50 MPH THROUGH TUESDAY MORNING.

A WIND ADVISORY MEANS THAT SUSTAINED WIND SPEED OR FREQUENT GUSTS
WILL OCCUR BETWEEN 40 AND 60 MPH.

THIS STATEMENT WILL BE UPDATED BY 4 PM AKDT THIS AFTERNOON OR
SOONER IF CONDITIONS WARRANT.

$$

AKZ025-170000-
/X.NEW.PAJK.HW.A.0003.090318T1100Z-090319T0000Z/
JUNEAU BOROUGH AND NORTHERN ADMIRALTY ISLAND-
INCLUDING THE CITY OF...JUNEAU
457 AM AKDT MON MAR 16 2009

...HIGH WIND WATCH IN EFFECT FROM LATE TUESDAY NIGHT THROUGH
WEDNESDAY AFTERNOON FOR DOWNTOWN JUNEAU AND SOUTH DOUGLAS...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN JUNEAU HAS ISSUED A HIGH WIND
WATCH...WHICH IS IN EFFECT FROM LATE TUESDAY NIGHT THROUGH
WEDNESDAY AFTERNOON. 

STRONG WINDS WITH GUSTS IN EXCESS OF 60 MPH ARE LIKELY TO OCCUR
NEAR DOWNTOWN JUNEAU AND SOUTH DOUGLAS. 

PEOPLE ARE URGED TO SECURE LOOSE OBJECTS THAT COULD BE BLOWN
AROUND OR DAMAGED BY THE WIND.

BE SURE TO PROTECT BOATS AND AIRCRAFT.

A WATCH MEANS CONDITIONS ARE FAVORABLE FOR THE DEVELOPMENT OF
HIGH WINDS IN AND CLOSE TO THE WATCH AREA.

THIS STATEMENT WILL BE UPDATED BY 4 PM AKDT THIS AFTERNOON OR
SOONER IF CONDITIONS WARRANT.

$$

000 
WWAK77 PAJK 162343
NPWAJK

URGENT - WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JUNEAU AK
343 PM AKDT MON MAR 16 2009

AKZ017-171300-
/X.CON.PAJK.WI.Y.0035.000000T0000Z-090318T0200Z/
CAPE FAIRWEATHER TO CAPE SUCKLING COASTAL AREA-
INCLUDING THE CITY OF...YAKUTAT
343 PM AKDT MON MAR 16 2009

...WIND ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 PM AKDT TUESDAY...

A WIND ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 PM AKDT TUESDAY. 

STRONG WINDS WILL CONTINUE NEAR INTERIOR GAPS AND PASSES WITH
WIND GUSTS 40 TO 50 MPH THROUGH TUESDAY MORNING.

A WIND ADVISORY MEANS THAT SUSTAINED WIND SPEED OR FREQUENT GUSTS
WILL OCCUR BETWEEN 40 AND 60 MPH.

THIS STATEMENT WILL BE UPDATED BY 5 AM AKDT TUESDAY MORNING OR SOONER IF
CONDITIONS WARRANT.

$$

AKZ018-171300-
/X.CON.PAJK.WI.Y.0035.000000T0000Z-090317T2000Z/
TAIYA INLET AND KLONDIKE HIGHWAY-
INCLUDING THE CITY OF...SKAGWAY
343 PM AKDT MON MAR 16 2009

...WIND ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 12 PM AKDT TUESDAY...

A WIND ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 12 PM AKDT TUESDAY. 

STRONG WINDS WILL CONTINUE NEAR INTERIOR GAPS AND PASSES WITH
WIND GUSTS 40 TO 50 MPH THROUGH TUESDAY MORNING.

A WIND ADVISORY MEANS THAT SUSTAINED WIND SPEED OR FREQUENT GUSTS
WILL OCCUR BETWEEN 40 AND 60 MPH.

THIS STATEMENT WILL BE UPDATED BY 5 AM AKDT TUESDAY MORNING OR
SOONER IF CONDITIONS WARRANT.

$$

AKZ025-171300-
/X.CON.PAJK.HW.A.0003.090318T1100Z-090319T0000Z/
JUNEAU BOROUGH AND NORTHERN ADMIRALTY ISLAND-
INCLUDING THE CITY OF...JUNEAU
343 PM AKDT MON MAR 16 2009

...HIGH WIND WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM LATE TUESDAY NIGHT
THROUGH WEDNESDAY AFTERNOON...

A HIGH WIND WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM LATE TUESDAY NIGHT
THROUGH WEDNESDAY AFTERNOON. 

A STRONG LOW IS FORECASTED TO MOVE INTO THE EASTERN GULF AND
PRODUCE STRONG GUSTY WINDS NEAR DOWNTOWN JUNEAU AND SOUTH DOUGLAS.
WIND GUSTS FROM THE EAST IN EXCESS OF 40 MPH ARE LIKELY WITH
GUSTS TO 60 MPH BEING POSSIBLE BY LATE TUESDAY NIGHT AND
CONTINUING INTO WEDNESDAY AFTERNOON.

PEOPLE ARE URGED TO SECURE LOOSE OBJECTS THAT COULD BE BLOWN
AROUND OR DAMAGED BY THE WIND.

BE SURE TO PROTECT BOATS AND AIRCRAFT.

A WATCH MEANS CONDITIONS ARE FAVORABLE FOR THE DEVELOPMENT OF
HIGH WINDS IN AND CLOSE TO THE WATCH AREA.

THIS STATEMENT WILL BE UPDATED BY 5 AM AKDT TUESDAY OR SOONER IF
CONDITIONS WARRANT.

$$

000 
WWAK77 PAJK 170928
NPWAJK

URGENT - WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JUNEAU AK
128 AM AKDT TUE MAR 17 2009

AKZ017-171030-
/X.CAN.PAJK.WI.Y.0035.000000T0000Z-090318T0200Z/
CAPE FAIRWEATHER TO CAPE SUCKLING COASTAL AREA-
INCLUDING THE CITY OF...YAKUTAT
128 AM AKDT TUE MAR 17 2009

...WIND ADVISORY IS CANCELLED...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN JUNEAU HAS CANCELLED THE WIND
ADVISORY. 

WIND GUSTS NEAR INTERIOR GAPS AND PASSES ARE BELOW ADVISORY LEVEL
AND WILL CONTINUE TO DIMINISH.

THIS IS THE FINAL STATEMENT ON THIS EVENT.

$$

AKZ018-171030-
/X.CAN.PAJK.WI.Y.0035.000000T0000Z-090317T2000Z/
TAIYA INLET AND KLONDIKE HIGHWAY-
INCLUDING THE CITY OF...SKAGWAY
128 AM AKDT TUE MAR 17 2009

...WIND ADVISORY IS CANCELLED...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN JUNEAU HAS CANCELLED THE WIND
ADVISORY. 

WIND GUSTS UP TO 35 MPH WILL CONTINUE TO DIMINISH THROUGH THE
MORNING HOURS.

THIS IS THE FINAL STATEMENT ON THIS EVENT.

$$

AKZ025-171300-
/X.CON.PAJK.HW.A.0003.090318T1100Z-090319T0000Z/
JUNEAU BOROUGH AND NORTHERN ADMIRALTY ISLAND-
INCLUDING THE CITY OF...JUNEAU
128 AM AKDT TUE MAR 17 2009

...HIGH WIND WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM LATE TONIGHT THROUGH
WEDNESDAY AFTERNOON...

A HIGH WIND WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM LATE TONIGHT THROUGH
WEDNESDAY AFTERNOON. 

A STRONG LOW IS FORECASTED TO MOVE INTO THE EASTERN GULF AND
PRODUCE STRONG GUSTY WINDS NEAR DOWNTOWN JUNEAU AND SOUTH
DOUGLAS. WIND GUSTS FROM THE EAST IN EXCESS OF 40 MPH ARE LIKELY
WITH GUSTS TO 60 MPH BEING POSSIBLE BY LATE TUESDAY NIGHT AND
CONTINUING INTO WEDNESDAY AFTERNOON.

PEOPLE ARE URGED TO SECURE LOOSE OBJECTS THAT COULD BE BLOWN
AROUND OR DAMAGED BY THE WIND.

BE SURE TO PROTECT BOATS AND AIRCRAFT.

A WATCH MEANS CONDITIONS ARE FAVORABLE FOR THE DEVELOPMENT OF
HIGH WINDS IN AND CLOSE TO THE WATCH AREA.

THIS STATEMENT WILL BE UPDATED BY 5 AM AKDT TUESDAY OR SOONER IF
CONDITIONS WARRANT.

$$

SOUTHEAST ALASKA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JUNEAU AK
1121 AM AKDT SAT MAR 14 2009

.SHORT TERM...SATELLITE THIS MORNING REVEALS A VERY STRONG UPPER
LEVEL JET WELL SOUTH OF THE PANHANDLE WITH A MID LEVEL LOW NEAR
THE CHARLOTTES. THE ASSOCIATE SURFACE LOW IS WEST OF DIXON
ENTRANCE AND A WEAK FRONTAL BOUNDARY IS NOW ADVECTING NORTHWARD
ACROSS THE SOUTHERN PANHANDLE BRINGING PERIODS OF LIGHT SNOW AND
FLURRIES. THE REST OF THE PANHANDLE CONTINUES TO SEE MOSTLY
CLOUDY SKIES AS NORTHERLY WINDS INCREASE AT THE SURFACE TO 850 MB
WITH THE BUILDING SURFACE HIGH ACROSS INTERIOR ALASKA. LOCALLY
BREEZY CONDITIONS ARE LOCATED ACROSS THE SOUTHERN PANHANDLE AS A
40 KNOT 850 MB LLJ REMAINS THERE ASSOCIATED WITH THE WEAK FRONTAL
BOUNDARY. ELSEWHERE EAST-WEST ORIENTED CHANNELS ARE ALSO SEEING
LOCALLY BREEZY CONDITIONS AS THE PRESSURE GRADIENT INCREASES
BETWEEN THE 985 MB SURFACE LOW NEAR DIXON ENTRANCE AND THE
SURFACE HIGH LOCATED ACROSS THE NORTHWEST TERRITORIES.

FOR TONIGHT WILL CONTINUE TO SEE A MIX OF LIGHT SNOW AND RAIN
ACROSS THE SOUTHERN PANHANDLE AS THE WEAK FRONTAL BAND ADVECTS
NORTHWESTWARD AND DISSIPATES NORTH OF FREDERICK SOUND. SNOW
ACCUMULATION AMOUNTS ARE EXPECT TO BE LESS THAN AN INCH AS ALL THE
BEST UPPER LEVEL DYNAMICS REMAIN WELL SOUTH OF THE PANHANDLE
THROUGH THE SHORT TERM. WITH THE SOUTHEASTERLY PARCEL TRAJECTORIES
FROM 500 MB TO 850 MB AND NORTHERLY WINDS FROM 850 MB TO THE
SURFACE IT WILL BE DIFFICULT FOR PRECIP TO MAKE IT AS FAR NORTH AS
THE ICY STRAIT CORRIDOR...HOWEVER COULD SEE A FEW FLURRIES LATE
TONIGHT. DOWNSLOPE WINDS NEAR PAYA AND PAGY WILL KEEP THOSE AREAS
PARTLY TO MOSTLY CLOUDY TONIGHT. AS THE SURFACE PRESSURE GRADIENT
INCREASES TONIGHT WITH THE BUILDING SURFACE HIGH ACROSS INTERIOR
ALASKA EXPECT THE CROSS BARRIER FLOW TO INCREASE NEAR DOWNTOWN
JUNEAU. WITH THE INVERSION HEIGHT LOCATED IN A FAVORABLE LOCATION
THROUGH TOMORROW AFTERNOON EXPECT WIND ADVY GUSTS WITH TAKU WINDS
NEAR DOUGLAS. ALSO WITH THE STRENGTHENING NORTHERLY SURFACE
PRESSURE GRADIENT EXPECT LOCALLY WINDY CONDITIONS NEAR OUTFLOW
REGIONS WITH WIND ADVY GUSTS EAST OF YAKUTAT AND NEAR SKAGWAY WITH
GALES IN ASSOCIATED MARINE WATERS.

FOR TOMORROW ANOTHER WEAK FRONTAL BAND ATTEMPTS TO ADVECT
NORTHWARD ACROSS THE PANHANDLE ASSOCIATED WITH A WEAK DEFORMATION
FEATURE AT MID LEVELS. HOWEVER THIS WEAK FRONTAL BAND WILL ALSO
QUICKLY WEAKEN AS IT MOVES NORTH OF FREDERICK SOUND SO EXPECT THE
MAJORITY OF THE SNOW AND RAIN TO AGAIN BE LOCATED ACROSS THE
SOUTHERN PANHANDLE. THE HIGHEST SNOWFALL AMOUNTS TOMORROW WILL BE
ACROSS EASTERN BARANOF ISLAND WHERE THE LOW LEVEL UPSLOPE FLOW
COULD INCREASE SNOWFALL AMOUNTS. LOCALLY WINDY CONDITIONS WILL
CONTINUE NEAR OUTFLOW REGIONS WITH WIND ADVY GUSTS NEAR SKAGWAY,
EAST OF YAKUTAT, AND DOWNTOWN JUNEAU...AS THE TAKU WINDS WILL
CONTINUE. FORECAST CONFIDENCE REMAIN ABOVE AVERAGE THROUGH THE
SHORT TERM PERIOD.

.LONG TERM...MODELS IN GOOD LARGE SCALE AGREEMENT THROUGH
MIDWEEK...THEN BEGIN TO DIVERGE LATE NEXT WEEK. A FAIRLY SHARP
RIDGE WILL DOMINATE THE BERING SEA...WHILE A TROF WILL REMAIN OVER
THE GULF OF AK THROUGH MIDWEEK. MAIN CONCERN WILL BE TIMING
SHORTWAVES IN THIS FLOW...AND THERE ARE SOME MODEL DIFFERENCES
THERE. FOR SIMPLICITY...BASICALLY STUCK WITH THE CURRENT PRESSURE
GRIDS AS THEY WERE A GOOD COMPROMISE AMONGST THE MODEL CHOICES
THROUGH MIDWEEK. DID TWEAK POPS SOME BLENDING IN THE NEWER MODELS
WITH THE CURRENT GRIDS...WITH THE MAIN CHANGE BEING TO REDUCE
POPS OVER THE N. THE E-SE FLOW IS NOT FAVORABLE FOR MUCH OTHER
THAN FLURRIES/SPRINKLES OR INTERMITTENT LIGHT PRECIP OVER THE N.
PERSISTENT LOW PRESSURE OVER THE GULF WILL KEEP OUTFLOW WINDS GOING
THROUGH THE NE GULF COAST PASSES AND BAYS...AND ADDED THOSE WINDS
IN FOR SUN NIGHT THROUGH TUE. WILL BE EXTENDING THE SHORT TERM
WIND ADVYS FOR PAGY AND PAYA ZONES UNTIL 6 AM MONDAY...WITH
FURTHER EXTENSIONS LIKELY DURING LATER SHIFTS.

AS FOR THE LATE WEEK PERIOD...MODELS DID NOT SUPPORT THE STRONGER
LOW THAT WAS IN THE GRIDS BUT GIVEN THE MODEL DIVERGENCE THAT FAR
OUT...DECIDED AGAINST CHANGING THAT TIME FRAME. THIS WAS
COORDINATED WITH WFO PAFC WHO DID NOT CHANGE THEIR LONGER RANGE
PERIODS EITHER.

.AJK WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
PUBLIC...WIND ADVISORY FROM 10 PM THIS EVENING TO 3 PM AKDT SUNDAY FOR
     AKZ025.
         WIND ADVISORY FROM 3 AM SUNDAY TO 6 AM AKDT MONDAY FOR AKZ017-
     018.
MARINE...GALE WARNING FOR PKZ012.
         SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY FOR PKZ011-013-022-033-035-036-041>043-051.

PSS/RWT