Wind Advisory 32, NWS Juneau, AK

000 
WWAK77 PAJK 081248
NPWAJK

URGENT - WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JUNEAU AK
448 AM AKDT SUN MAR 8 2009

AKZ029-090000-
/X.CON.PAJK.WI.Y.0032.000000T0000Z-090309T0000Z/
MISTY FJORDS-
INCLUDING THE CITY OF...HYDER
448 AM AKDT SUN MAR 8 2009

...WIND ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 4 PM AKDT THIS
AFTERNOON...

A WIND ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 4 PM AKDT THIS AFTERNOON.

NORTHEAST WINDS WILL INCREASE WITH GUSTS TO 45 MPH TODAY NEAR
INTERIOR PASSES...ESPECIALLY NEAR PORTLAND AND BEHM CANALS.

A WIND ADVISORY MEANS THAT SUSTAINED WIND SPEED OR FREQUENT GUSTS
WILL OCCUR BETWEEN 40 AND 60 MPH.

THIS STATEMENT WILL BE UPDATED BY 4 PM AKDT THIS AFTERNOON OR SOONER IF
CONDITIONS WARRANT.

$$

000 
WWAK77 PAJK 081924
NPWAJK

URGENT - WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JUNEAU AK
1124 AM AKDT SUN MAR 8 2009

AKZ025-090000-
/X.EXB.PAJK.WI.Y.0032.000000T0000Z-090309T1000Z/
JUNEAU BOROUGH AND NORTHERN ADMIRALTY ISLAND-
INCLUDING THE CITY OF...JUNEAU
1124 AM AKDT SUN MAR 8 2009

...WIND ADVISORY IN EFFECT UNTIL 2 AM AKDT MONDAY FOR DOWNTOWN JUNEAU
SOUTH DOUGLAS...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN JUNEAU HAS ISSUED A WIND
ADVISORY...WHICH IS IN EFFECT UNTIL 2 AM AKDT MONDAY. 

LOCALLY GUSTY WINDS TO 40 MPH NEAR DOWNTOWN JUNEAU AND SOUTH
DOUGLAS WILL CONTINUE INTO EARLY MONDAY MORNING.

A WIND ADVISORY MEANS THAT SUSTAINED WIND SPEED OR FREQUENT GUSTS
WILL OCCUR BETWEEN 40 AND 60 MPH.

THIS STATEMENT WILL BE UPDATED BY 4 PM AKDT THIS AFTERNOON OR
SOONER IF CONDITIONS WARRANT.

$$

AKZ029-090000-
/X.CON.PAJK.WI.Y.0032.000000T0000Z-090309T0000Z/
MISTY FJORDS-
INCLUDING THE CITY OF...HYDER
1124 AM AKDT SUN MAR 8 2009

...WIND ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 4 PM AKDT THIS
AFTERNOON...

A WIND ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 4 PM AKDT THIS AFTERNOON.

NORTHEAST WINDS WITH GUSTS TO 45 MPH TODAY NEAR INTERIOR
PASSES...ESPECIALLY NEAR PORTLAND AND BEHM CANALS.

A WIND ADVISORY MEANS THAT SUSTAINED WIND SPEED OR FREQUENT GUSTS
WILL OCCUR BETWEEN 40 AND 60 MPH.

THIS STATEMENT WILL BE UPDATED BY 4 PM AKDT THIS AFTERNOON OR
SOONER IF CONDITIONS WARRANT.

$$

000 
WWAK77 PAJK 082338
NPWAJK

URGENT - WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JUNEAU AK
338 PM AKDT SUN MAR 8 2009

AKZ029-090045-
/X.EXP.PAJK.WI.Y.0032.000000T0000Z-090309T0000Z/
MISTY FJORDS-
INCLUDING THE CITY OF...HYDER
338 PM AKDT SUN MAR 8 2009

...WIND ADVISORY WILL EXPIRE AT 4 PM AKDT THIS AFTERNOON...

THE WIND ADVISORY WILL EXPIRE AT 4 PM AKDT THIS AFTERNOON. 

THIS WILL BE THE FINAL STATEMENT ON THIS EVENT.

$$

AKZ025-091000-
/X.CON.PAJK.WI.Y.0032.000000T0000Z-090309T1000Z/
JUNEAU BOROUGH AND NORTHERN ADMIRALTY ISLAND-
INCLUDING THE CITY OF...JUNEAU
338 PM AKDT SUN MAR 8 2009

...WIND ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 2 AM AKDT MONDAY...

A WIND ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 2 AM AKDT MONDAY. 

LOCALLY GUSTY WINDS TO 40 MPH NEAR DOWNTOWN JUNEAU AND SOUTH
DOUGLAS WILL CONTINUE INTO EARLY MONDAY MORNING.

A WIND ADVISORY MEANS THAT SUSTAINED WIND SPEED OR FREQUENT GUSTS
WILL OCCUR BETWEEN 40 AND 60 MPH.

THIS STATEMENT WILL BE UPDATED BY 2 AM AKDT MONDAY OR SOONER IF
CONDITIONS WARRANT.

$$

000 
WWAK77 PAJK 090522
NPWAJK

URGENT - WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JUNEAU AK
922 PM AKDT SUN MAR 8 2009

AKZ025-090630-
/X.CAN.PAJK.WI.Y.0032.000000T0000Z-090309T1000Z/
JUNEAU BOROUGH AND NORTHERN ADMIRALTY ISLAND-
INCLUDING THE CITY OF...JUNEAU
922 PM AKDT SUN MAR 8 2009

...WIND ADVISORY IS CANCELLED FOR DOWNTOWN JUNEAU AND SOUTH DOUGLAS...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN JUNEAU HAS CANCELLED THE WIND
ADVISORY FOR DOWNTOWN JUNEAU AND SOUTH DOUGLAS.

THE OUTFLOW WINDS FROM MIGRATING HIGH PRESSURE OVER COAST MOUNTAIN
HAVE DIMINISHED. HOWEVER...OCCASIONAL GUSTY EAST WIND UP TO 25 MPH
WILL CONTINUE NEAR DOWNTOWN JUNEAU AND SOUTH DOUGLAS THROUGH LATE
TONIGHT. 

THIS WILL BE THE FINAL STATEMENT ON THIS EVENT.

$$

SOUTHEAST ALASKA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JUNEAU AK
201 PM AKST SAT MAR 7 2009

.SHORT TERM...COLD ADVECTION AND LOSS OF CLOUD COVER WILL
ENHANCE THE  TEMPERATURE FALLS TONIGHT.  GOOD MODEL CONSENSUS ON
THE ARCTIC HIGH  PRESSURE IN Y.T., AND WIND CHILLS WITH STRONGER
OUTFLOW OF ARCTIC  AIRMASS IS BEING INCLUDED.  FREEZING SPRAY
ALSO SHOULD BE DEVELOPING AT THIS TIME AND THIS EVENING SHOULD
BEGIN TO INCLUDE MOST OF LYNN CANAL  AS WELL AS OUT OF INTERIOR
INLETS AND PASSES FROM THE STIKINE RIVER N.   MODELS CHOSEN
MOSTLY FOR TERRAIN DETAIL IN OUTFLOW SO NAM MOST USED,  WITH GEM
AND WRF LIKELY TO BE FACTORED IN.  CHANGES TO EXISTING FORECAST
PACKAGE ARE PRIMARILY TO RAISE THE N OUTFLOW WINDS AND LOWER
TEMPERATURES, PLEASE NOTE MARINE AMDS FOR INNER CHANNELS.
OVERNIGHT LOW TEMPERATURES ARE BEING LOWERED ABOUT 5 DEG F.  ONE
MODEL EXCEPTION  TO THE ABOVE IS THAT THE OVERNIGHT LOW TEMP FCST
WILL USE GFS THAT  HAS BEEN BIAS CORRECTED FOR THE LAST 30 DAYS.

 THE COLD FRONT THAT MOVED ONSHORE YESTERDAY WAS FAST MOVING AND
IS OVER 300 MI EAST AND 600 SE OF THE PANHANDLE.  THE ONSHORE
FLOW OF A COLD MARITIME AIRMASS GENERATED A CLOUD MASS OVER THE
PANHANDLE THAT  IS BEING DISSIPATED IN A NW TOWARD SE SEQUENCE.
USING GOES VISIBLE  THE REMAINING CEILINGS ARE FROM SUMNER STRAIT
TO THE S.

 SEVERAL ADJUSTMENTS ARE UNDERWAY THAT RESULT IN DRYING ON ALL
LEVELS. THE HIGH AMPLITUDE RIDGE ALOFT EXTENDS NNW FM OVER COLD
BAY TOWARD WRANGELL ISLAND, RUSSIA.  THIS LARGE-SCALE RIDGE ALOFT
IS MOVG ENE  AND WILL SUPPORT THE INTENSIFICATION OF ARCTIC HIGH
PRESSURE IN YUKON  TERRITORY FROM NOW THROUGH SUNDAY.

.LONG TERM...THE MODELS ARE IN FAIR AGREEMENT THROUGH THE MID-
RANGE BUT THEY ARE STILL HAVING PROBLEMS WITH THE MOVING THE UPPER
RIDGE EAST OF THE PANHANDLE. FOR THE AFTERNOON PACKAGE USED MAINLY
THE OPERATIONAL EC AS THE GFS IS CONTINUING TO PUSH THE UPPER HIGH
TO FAST INTO CANADA BY THURSDAY WHILE THE EC IS KEEPING THE AXIS OF
THE HIGH OVER THE PANHANDLE. THE EC SOLUTION IS SUPPORTED BY THE
NAEFS MEAN ALONG WITH HPC GUIDANCE. THERE IS AVERAGE TO BELOW
AVERAGE CONFIDENCE IN THE FORECAST FROM THURSDAY INTO NEXT WEEKEND
DUE TO THE AMOUNT OF SPREAD IN SOLUTIONS BETWEEN THE OPERATIONAL
MODELS AND ENSEMBLE MEMBERS.

THE UPPER RIDGE OVER THE GULF SUN AFTERNOON WILL BEGIN TO DRIFT
EAST AND BECOME LESS AMPLIFIED THROUGH TUE. AS THIS HAPPENS THE
NICE CLOUDS WILL BEING TO INCREASE FROM THE WEST THROUGH MONDAY.
AS THE ONSHORE FLOW INCREASE AND A WEAK SURFACE LOW LIFTING INTO
THE NORTHERN GULF THIS WILL INCREASE THE THREAT OF PRECIP OVER
PAYA BY LATE MONDAY AFTERNOON AND NIGHT ALONG WITH A CHANCE OVER
THE NORTHERN HALF OF THE PANHANDLE. BY TUE THERE WILL BE A CHANCE
OF SOME SIGNIFICANT SNOW ACCUMULATIONS DUE TO MOISTURE ADVECTION
AND LIFTING MECHANISMS WITH THE ARCTIC FRONT STILL OVER SE AK.
WILL NEED TO KEEP AN EYE ON THIS.

AS THE RIDGE AXIS SETS UP OVER THE PANHANDLE OVER FROM WED THROUGH
THE END OF THE WEEK WARM AIR WILL CONTINUE TO MOVE OVER THE AREA
WITH UPPER LEVEL FLOW FROM THE SOUTH. THIS WILL RAISE FREEZING
LEVELS ACROSS THE AREA WITH RAIN POSSIBLE BY THE END OF THE WEEK.

.AJK WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
PUBLIC...WIND ADVISORY FROM 4 AM TO 4 PM AKDT SUNDAY FOR AKZ019-025-029.
         WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY UNTIL 6 AM AKDT SUNDAY FOR AKZ018.
         WIND ADVISORY FROM 4 AM TO 7 AM AKDT SUNDAY FOR AKZ018.
MARINE...GALE WARNING FOR PKZ011>013-022-031-034.
         SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY FOR PKZ021-032-033-035-036-
         041>043-051-052.

&&

JBT/ABJ