Small Craft Advisory 521, NWS Juneau, AK

000 
FZAK52 PAJK 082337 CCA
CWFAEG

COASTAL WATERS FORECAST FOR SOUTHEAST ALASKA...CORRECTED
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JUNEAU AK
400 PM AKDT TUE SEP 8 2009 

SOUTHEAST ALASKA COASTAL WATERS FROM DIXON ENTRANCE TO
CAPE SUCKLING OUT 100 NM

WIND FORECASTS REFLECT THE PREDOMINANT SPEED AND DIRECTION
EXPECTED. SEA FORECASTS REPRESENT THE AVERAGE OF THE HIGHEST
ONE-THIRD OF THE COMBINED WINDWAVE AND SWELL HEIGHT.

PKZ099-091400-
400 PM AKDT TUE SEP 8 2009 
.SYNOPSIS FOR OUTSIDE WATERS...
A 990 MB GALE FORCE LOW IN THE CENTRAL GULF WILL WEAKEN AND MOVE
NW TONIGHT. ITS ASSOCIATED FRONT WILL MOVE ACROSS THE PANHANDLE
TONIGHT. OUTLOOK. A STORM FORCE LOW WILL MOVE INTO THE WESTERN
GULF THURSDAY.

$$

PKZ041-091400-
DIXON ENTRANCE TO CAPE DECISION-
400 PM AKDT TUE SEP 8 2009 

CORRECTED SEAS TONIGHT

.TONIGHT...SW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 7 FT. S SWELL. RAIN.
.WED...S WIND 15 KT. SEAS 7 FT. SW SWELL. RAIN IN THE MORNING. 
.WED NIGHT...SE GALE TO 40 KT. SEAS 15 FT. RAIN.
.THU...S GALE TO 40 KT. SEAS 20 FT. RAIN.
.THU NIGHT...S WIND 25 KT. SEAS 20 FT. SW SWELL. 
.FRI...S WIND 25 KT. SEAS 24 FT. SW SWELL. RAIN.
.SAT...S WIND 20 KT. SEAS 18 FT. 
.SUN...SE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 9 FT. 

$$

PKZ042-091400-
CAPE DECISION TO CAPE EDGECUMBE-
400 PM AKDT TUE SEP 8 2009 

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TONIGHT...

.TONIGHT...S WIND 25 KT IN THE EVENING DIMINISHING LATE. SEAS 7
FT. S SWELL IN THE EVENING. PERIODS OF RAIN.
.WED...SE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 7 FT. SW SWELL. RAIN.
.WED NIGHT...SE GALE TO 45 KT. SEAS 15 FT. RAIN.
.THU...S GALE TO 45 KT. SEAS 21 FT. RAIN.
.THU NIGHT...S WIND 30 KT. SEAS 21 FT. 
.FRI...S WIND 30 KT. SEAS 28 FT. RAIN.
.SAT...S WIND 25 KT. SEAS 18 FT. 
.SUN...SE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 9 FT. 

$$

PKZ043-091400-
CAPE EDGECUMBE TO CAPE FAIRWEATHER-
400 PM AKDT TUE SEP 8 2009 

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TONIGHT...

.TONIGHT...SE WIND 25 KT DIMINISHING TO 20 KT LATE. SEAS 7 FT.
PERIODS OF RAIN. 
.WED...SE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 7 FT. RAIN.
.WED NIGHT...SE GALE TO 45 KT. SEAS 15 FT. RAIN.
.THU...SE GALE TO 45 KT. SEAS 22 FT. RAIN.
.THU NIGHT...S GALE TO 40 KT. SEAS 22 FT. 
.FRI...S GALE TO 40 KT. SEAS 30 FT. RAIN.
.SAT...S WIND 25 KT. SEAS 18 FT. 
.SUN...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 8 FT. 

$$

PKZ051-091400-
CAPE FAIRWEATHER TO ICY CAPE-
400 PM AKDT TUE SEP 8 2009 

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TONIGHT...

.TONIGHT...E WIND 25 KT BECOMING SE 20 KT LATE. SEAS 10 FT.
PERIODS OF RAIN. 
.WED...SE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 6 FT. RAIN.
.WED NIGHT...E GALE TO 40 KT. SEAS 13 FT. RAIN.
.THU...SE GALE TO 40 KT. SEAS 20 FT. RAIN.
.THU NIGHT...SE GALE TO 40 KT. SEAS 23 FT. 
.FRI...SE GALE TO 45 KT. SEAS 27 FT. RAIN.
.SAT...S WIND 30 KT. SEAS 16 FT. 
.SUN...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 7 FT. 

$$

PKZ052-091400-
ICY CAPE TO CAPE SUCKLING-
400 PM AKDT TUE SEP 8 2009 

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH WEDNESDAY...

.TONIGHT...E WIND 25 KT DIMINISHING LATE. SEAS 10 FT. PERIODS OF
RAIN. 
.WED...SE WIND 20 KT DIMINISHING IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 8 FT.
RAIN.
.WED NIGHT...E GALE TO 35 KT. SEAS 13 FT. RAIN.
.THU...SE GALE TO 40 KT. SEAS 19 FT. RAIN.
.THU NIGHT...SE GALE TO 45 KT. SEAS 24 FT. RAIN.
.FRI...SE GALE TO 45 KT. SEAS 25 FT. RAIN.
.SAT...S WIND 25 KT. SEAS 12 FT. 
.SUN...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 7 FT. 

$$

000 
FZAK52 PAJK 090645 AAA
CWFAEG

COASTAL WATERS FORECAST FOR SOUTHEAST ALASKA...UPDATED
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JUNEAU AK
1045 PM AKDT TUE SEP 8 2009 

SOUTHEAST ALASKA COASTAL WATERS FROM DIXON ENTRANCE TO
CAPE SUCKLING OUT 100 NM

WIND FORECASTS REFLECT THE PREDOMINANT SPEED AND DIRECTION
EXPECTED. SEA FORECASTS REPRESENT THE AVERAGE OF THE HIGHEST
ONE-THIRD OF THE COMBINED WINDWAVE AND SWELL HEIGHT.

PKZ099-091400-
400 PM AKDT TUE SEP 8 2009 
.SYNOPSIS FOR OUTSIDE WATERS...
A 990 MB GALE FORCE LOW IN THE CENTRAL GULF WILL WEAKEN AND MOVE
NW TONIGHT. ITS ASSOCIATED FRONT WILL MOVE ACROSS THE PANHANDLE
TONIGHT. OUTLOOK. A STORM FORCE LOW WILL MOVE INTO THE WESTERN
GULF THURSDAY.

$$

PKZ041-091400-
DIXON ENTRANCE TO CAPE DECISION-
1045 PM AKDT TUE SEP 8 2009 

UPDATED

.TONIGHT...SW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 6 FT. S SWELL. RAIN.
.WED...S WIND 15 KT. SEAS 7 FT. SW SWELL. RAIN IN THE MORNING. 
.WED NIGHT...SE GALE TO 40 KT. SEAS 15 FT. RAIN.
.THU...S GALE TO 40 KT. SEAS 20 FT. RAIN.
.THU NIGHT...S WIND 25 KT. SEAS 20 FT. SW SWELL. 
.FRI...S WIND 25 KT. SEAS 24 FT. SW SWELL. RAIN.
.SAT...S WIND 20 KT. SEAS 18 FT. 
.SUN...SE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 9 FT. 

$$

PKZ042-091400-
CAPE DECISION TO CAPE EDGECUMBE-
1045 PM AKDT TUE SEP 8 2009 

UPDATED

.TONIGHT...SE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 6 FT. PERIODS OF RAIN.
.WED...SE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 7 FT. SW SWELL. RAIN.
.WED NIGHT...SE GALE TO 45 KT. SEAS 15 FT. RAIN.
.THU...S GALE TO 45 KT. SEAS 21 FT. RAIN.
.THU NIGHT...S WIND 30 KT. SEAS 21 FT. 
.FRI...S WIND 30 KT. SEAS 28 FT. RAIN.
.SAT...S WIND 25 KT. SEAS 18 FT. 
.SUN...SE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 9 FT. 

$$

PKZ043-091400-
CAPE EDGECUMBE TO CAPE FAIRWEATHER-
1045 PM AKDT TUE SEP 8 2009 

UPDATED

.TONIGHT...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 7 FT. PERIODS OF RAIN. 
.WED...SE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 7 FT. RAIN.
.WED NIGHT...SE GALE TO 45 KT. SEAS 15 FT. RAIN.
.THU...SE GALE TO 45 KT. SEAS 22 FT. RAIN.
.THU NIGHT...S GALE TO 40 KT. SEAS 22 FT. 
.FRI...S GALE TO 40 KT. SEAS 30 FT. RAIN.
.SAT...S WIND 25 KT. SEAS 18 FT. 
.SUN...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 8 FT. 

$$

PKZ051-091400-
CAPE FAIRWEATHER TO ICY CAPE-
1045 PM AKDT TUE SEP 8 2009 

UPDATED

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY DUE TO SEAS TONIGHT...

.TONIGHT...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 9 FT. PERIODS OF RAIN. 
.WED...SE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 6 FT. RAIN.
.WED NIGHT...E GALE TO 40 KT. SEAS 13 FT. RAIN.
.THU...SE GALE TO 40 KT. SEAS 20 FT. RAIN.
.THU NIGHT...SE GALE TO 40 KT. SEAS 23 FT. 
.FRI...SE GALE TO 45 KT. SEAS 27 FT. RAIN.
.SAT...S WIND 30 KT. SEAS 16 FT. 
.SUN...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 7 FT. 

$$

PKZ052-091400-
ICY CAPE TO CAPE SUCKLING-
1045 PM AKDT TUE SEP 8 2009 

UPDATED

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH WEDNESDAY...

.TONIGHT...E WIND 30 KT DIMINISHING LATE. SEAS 10 FT. PERIODS OF
RAIN. 
.WED...SE WIND 20 KT DIMINISHING IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 8 FT.
RAIN.
.WED NIGHT...E GALE TO 35 KT. SEAS 13 FT. RAIN.
.THU...SE GALE TO 40 KT. SEAS 19 FT. RAIN.
.THU NIGHT...SE GALE TO 45 KT. SEAS 24 FT. RAIN.
.FRI...SE GALE TO 45 KT. SEAS 25 FT. RAIN.
.SAT...S WIND 25 KT. SEAS 12 FT. 
.SUN...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 7 FT. 

$$

000 
FZAK52 PAJK 090655 CCA
CWFAEG

COASTAL WATERS FORECAST FOR SOUTHEAST ALASKA...CORRECTED
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JUNEAU AK
1055 PM AKDT TUE SEP 8 2009 

SOUTHEAST ALASKA COASTAL WATERS FROM DIXON ENTRANCE TO
CAPE SUCKLING OUT 100 NM

WIND FORECASTS REFLECT THE PREDOMINANT SPEED AND DIRECTION
EXPECTED. SEA FORECASTS REPRESENT THE AVERAGE OF THE HIGHEST
ONE-THIRD OF THE COMBINED WINDWAVE AND SWELL HEIGHT.

PKZ099-091400-
400 PM AKDT TUE SEP 8 2009 
.SYNOPSIS FOR OUTSIDE WATERS...
A 990 MB GALE FORCE LOW IN THE CENTRAL GULF WILL WEAKEN AND MOVE
NW TONIGHT. ITS ASSOCIATED FRONT WILL MOVE ACROSS THE PANHANDLE
TONIGHT. OUTLOOK. A STORM FORCE LOW WILL MOVE INTO THE WESTERN
GULF THURSDAY.

$$

PKZ041-091400-
DIXON ENTRANCE TO CAPE DECISION-
1045 PM AKDT TUE SEP 8 2009 

UPDATED

.TONIGHT...SW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 6 FT. S SWELL. RAIN.
.WED...S WIND 15 KT. SEAS 7 FT. SW SWELL. RAIN IN THE MORNING. 
.WED NIGHT...SE GALE TO 40 KT. SEAS 15 FT. RAIN.
.THU...S GALE TO 40 KT. SEAS 20 FT. RAIN.
.THU NIGHT...S WIND 25 KT. SEAS 20 FT. SW SWELL. 
.FRI...S WIND 25 KT. SEAS 24 FT. SW SWELL. RAIN.
.SAT...S WIND 20 KT. SEAS 18 FT. 
.SUN...SE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 9 FT. 

$$

PKZ042-091400-
CAPE DECISION TO CAPE EDGECUMBE-
1045 PM AKDT TUE SEP 8 2009 

UPDATED

.TONIGHT...SE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 6 FT. PERIODS OF RAIN.
.WED...SE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 7 FT. SW SWELL. RAIN.
.WED NIGHT...SE GALE TO 45 KT. SEAS 15 FT. RAIN.
.THU...S GALE TO 45 KT. SEAS 21 FT. RAIN.
.THU NIGHT...S WIND 30 KT. SEAS 21 FT. 
.FRI...S WIND 30 KT. SEAS 28 FT. RAIN.
.SAT...S WIND 25 KT. SEAS 18 FT. 
.SUN...SE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 9 FT. 

$$

PKZ043-091400-
CAPE EDGECUMBE TO CAPE FAIRWEATHER-
1055 PM AKDT TUE SEP 8 2009 

CORRECTED

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY DUE TO SEAS TONIGHT...

.TONIGHT...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 9 FT. PERIODS OF RAIN. 
.WED...SE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 7 FT. RAIN.
.WED NIGHT...SE GALE TO 45 KT. SEAS 15 FT. RAIN.
.THU...SE GALE TO 45 KT. SEAS 22 FT. RAIN.
.THU NIGHT...S GALE TO 40 KT. SEAS 22 FT. 
.FRI...S GALE TO 40 KT. SEAS 30 FT. RAIN.
.SAT...S WIND 25 KT. SEAS 18 FT. 
.SUN...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 8 FT. 

$$

PKZ051-091400-
CAPE FAIRWEATHER TO ICY CAPE-
1045 PM AKDT TUE SEP 8 2009 

UPDATED

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY DUE TO SEAS TONIGHT...

.TONIGHT...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 9 FT. PERIODS OF RAIN. 
.WED...SE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 6 FT. RAIN.
.WED NIGHT...E GALE TO 40 KT. SEAS 13 FT. RAIN.
.THU...SE GALE TO 40 KT. SEAS 20 FT. RAIN.
.THU NIGHT...SE GALE TO 40 KT. SEAS 23 FT. 
.FRI...SE GALE TO 45 KT. SEAS 27 FT. RAIN.
.SAT...S WIND 30 KT. SEAS 16 FT. 
.SUN...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 7 FT. 

$$

PKZ052-091400-
ICY CAPE TO CAPE SUCKLING-
1045 PM AKDT TUE SEP 8 2009 

UPDATED

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH WEDNESDAY...

.TONIGHT...E WIND 30 KT DIMINISHING LATE. SEAS 10 FT. PERIODS OF
RAIN. 
.WED...SE WIND 20 KT DIMINISHING IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 8 FT.
RAIN.
.WED NIGHT...E GALE TO 35 KT. SEAS 13 FT. RAIN.
.THU...SE GALE TO 40 KT. SEAS 19 FT. RAIN.
.THU NIGHT...SE GALE TO 45 KT. SEAS 24 FT. RAIN.
.FRI...SE GALE TO 45 KT. SEAS 25 FT. RAIN.
.SAT...S WIND 25 KT. SEAS 12 FT. 
.SUN...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 7 FT. 

$$

000 
FZAK52 PAJK 091111
CWFAEG

COASTAL WATERS FORECAST FOR SOUTHEAST ALASKA
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JUNEAU AK
400 AM AKDT WED SEP 9 2009 

SOUTHEAST ALASKA COASTAL WATERS FROM DIXON ENTRANCE TO
CAPE SUCKLING OUT 100 NM

WIND FORECASTS REFLECT THE PREDOMINANT SPEED AND DIRECTION
EXPECTED. SEA FORECASTS REPRESENT THE AVERAGE OF THE HIGHEST
ONE-THIRD OF THE COMBINED WINDWAVE AND SWELL HEIGHT.

PKZ099-100100-
400 AM AKDT WED SEP 9 2009 
.SYNOPSIS FOR OUTSIDE WATERS...
A 995 MB LOW WILL MOVE INTO THE NORTHERN GULF THIS AFTERNOON AND
DISSIPATE. ITS ASSOCIATED FRONT WILL MOVE ACROSS THE PANHANDLE
TODAY. OUTLOOK. A STORM FORCE LOW WILL MOVE INTO THE WESTERN
GULF THURSDAY. ITS ASSOCIATED FRONT WILL MOVE INTO THE EASTERN
GULF THURSDAY MORNING.

$$

PKZ041-100100-
DIXON ENTRANCE TO CAPE DECISION-
400 AM AKDT WED SEP 9 2009 

...GALE WARNING TONIGHT...

.TODAY...S WIND 15 KT. SEAS 5 FT. SW SWELL. 
.TONIGHT...S WIND 20 KT BECOMING SE 35 KT LATE. SEAS 6 FT
BUILDING TO 11 FT LATE. RAIN. 
.THU...S GALE TO 40 KT. SEAS BUILDING TO 19 FT. RAIN.
.THU NIGHT...S WIND 25 KT. SEAS 20 FT. SW SWELL. 
.FRI...S WIND 30 KT. SEAS 22 FT. RAIN.
.SAT...SE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 20 FT. 
.SUN...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 10 FT. 

$$

PKZ042-100100-
CAPE DECISION TO CAPE EDGECUMBE-
400 AM AKDT WED SEP 9 2009 

...GALE WARNING TONIGHT...

.TODAY...SE WIND 20 KT DIMINISHING IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 6 FT.
RAIN SHOWERS. 
.TONIGHT...SE WIND 15 KT INCREASING TO 40 KT LATE. SEAS 7 FT
BUILDING TO 12 FT LATE. RAIN LATE. 
.THU...SE GALE TO 40 KT. SEAS BUILDING TO 19 FT. RAIN.
.THU NIGHT...S WIND 30 KT. SEAS 20 FT. 
.FRI...S GALE TO 35 KT. SEAS 25 FT. RAIN.
.SAT...SE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 21 FT. 
.SUN...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 9 FT. 

$$

PKZ043-100100-
CAPE EDGECUMBE TO CAPE FAIRWEATHER-
400 AM AKDT WED SEP 9 2009 

...GALE WARNING TONIGHT...

.TODAY...SE WIND 20 KT DIMINISHING IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS
6 FT. RAIN SHOWERS. 
.TONIGHT...SE WIND 15 KT INCREASING TO 40 KT LATE. SEAS 6 FT
BUILDING TO 12 FT LATE. RAIN LATE.
.THU...SE GALE TO 40 KT. GUSTS TO 55 KT OUT OF CROSS SOUND.
SEAS BUILDING TO 20 FT. RAIN.
.THU NIGHT...SE GALE TO 35 KT. SEAS 21 FT. 
.FRI...SE GALE TO 40 KT. SEAS 26 FT. RAIN.
.SAT...S WIND 30 KT. SEAS 21 FT. 
.SUN...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 9 FT. 

$$

PKZ051-100100-
CAPE FAIRWEATHER TO ICY CAPE-
400 AM AKDT WED SEP 9 2009 

...GALE WARNING TONIGHT...

.TODAY...E WIND 20 KT BECOMING SE 10 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS
9 FT SUBSIDING TO 6 FT IN THE AFTERNOON. RAIN SHOWERS.
.TONIGHT...SE WIND 15 KT BECOMING E 35 KT LATE. SEAS 6 FT
BUILDING TO 10 FT LATE. RAIN.
.THU...E GALE TO 40 KT. SEAS BUILDING TO 19 FT. RAIN.
.THU NIGHT...SE GALE TO 35 KT. SEAS 22 FT. RAIN.
.FRI...SE GALE TO 40 KT. SEAS 25 FT. RAIN.
.SAT...S WIND 30 KT. SEAS 20 FT. 
.SUN...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 8 FT. 

$$

PKZ052-100100-
ICY CAPE TO CAPE SUCKLING-
400 AM AKDT WED SEP 9 2009 

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TODAY AND TONIGHT...

.TODAY...SE WIND 20 KT DIMINISHING TO 10 KT IN THE AFTERNOON.
SEAS 9 FT SUBSIDING TO 6 FT IN THE AFTERNOON. RAIN SHOWERS. 
.TONIGHT...SE WIND 15 KT BECOMING E 30 KT LATE. SEAS 7 FT
BUILDING TO 10 FT LATE. RAIN.
.THU...E GALE TO 45 KT. SEAS BUILDING TO 18 FT. RAIN.
.THU NIGHT...E GALE TO 40 KT. SEAS 22 FT. RAIN.
.FRI...SE GALE TO 40 KT. SEAS 25 FT. RAIN.
.SAT...SE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 19 FT. 
.SUN...SE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 7 FT. 

$$

000 
FZAK52 PAJK 091619 AAA
CWFAEG

COASTAL WATERS FORECAST FOR SOUTHEAST ALASKA...UPDATED
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JUNEAU AK
830 AM AKDT WED SEP 9 2009 

SOUTHEAST ALASKA COASTAL WATERS FROM DIXON ENTRANCE TO
CAPE SUCKLING OUT 100 NM

WIND FORECASTS REFLECT THE PREDOMINANT SPEED AND DIRECTION
EXPECTED. SEA FORECASTS REPRESENT THE AVERAGE OF THE HIGHEST
ONE-THIRD OF THE COMBINED WINDWAVE AND SWELL HEIGHT.

PKZ099-100100-
400 AM AKDT WED SEP 9 2009 
.SYNOPSIS FOR OUTSIDE WATERS...
A 995 MB LOW WILL MOVE INTO THE NORTHERN GULF THIS AFTERNOON AND
DISSIPATE. ITS ASSOCIATED FRONT WILL MOVE ACROSS THE PANHANDLE
TODAY. OUTLOOK. A STORM FORCE LOW WILL MOVE INTO THE WESTERN
GULF THURSDAY. ITS ASSOCIATED FRONT WILL MOVE INTO THE EASTERN
GULF THURSDAY MORNING.

$$

PKZ041-100100-
DIXON ENTRANCE TO CAPE DECISION-
400 AM AKDT WED SEP 9 2009 

...GALE WARNING TONIGHT...

.TODAY...S WIND 15 KT. SEAS 5 FT. SW SWELL. 
.TONIGHT...S WIND 20 KT BECOMING SE 35 KT LATE. SEAS 6 FT
BUILDING TO 11 FT LATE. RAIN. 
.THU...S GALE TO 40 KT. SEAS BUILDING TO 19 FT. RAIN.
.THU NIGHT...S WIND 25 KT. SEAS 20 FT. SW SWELL. 
.FRI...S WIND 30 KT. SEAS 22 FT. RAIN.
.SAT...SE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 20 FT. 
.SUN...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 10 FT. 

$$

PKZ042-100100-
CAPE DECISION TO CAPE EDGECUMBE-
830 AM AKDT WED SEP 9 2009 

UPDATED

...GALE WARNING TONIGHT...

.TODAY...SE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 6 FT. RAIN SHOWERS. 
.TONIGHT...SE WIND 15 KT INCREASING TO 40 KT LATE. SEAS 7 FT
BUILDING TO 12 FT LATE. RAIN LATE. 
.THU...SE GALE TO 40 KT. SEAS BUILDING TO 19 FT. RAIN.
.THU NIGHT...S WIND 30 KT. SEAS 20 FT. 
.FRI...S GALE TO 35 KT. SEAS 25 FT. RAIN.
.SAT...SE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 21 FT. 
.SUN...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 9 FT. 

$$

PKZ043-100100-
CAPE EDGECUMBE TO CAPE FAIRWEATHER-
830 AM AKDT WED SEP 9 2009 

UPDATED

...GALE WARNING TONIGHT...

.TODAY...SE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 6 FT. RAIN SHOWERS. 
.TONIGHT...SE WIND 15 KT INCREASING TO 40 KT LATE. SEAS 6 FT
BUILDING TO 12 FT LATE. RAIN LATE.
.THU...SE GALE TO 40 KT. GUSTS TO 55 KT OUT OF CROSS SOUND.
SEAS BUILDING TO 20 FT. RAIN.
.THU NIGHT...SE GALE TO 35 KT. SEAS 21 FT. 
.FRI...SE GALE TO 40 KT. SEAS 26 FT. RAIN.
.SAT...S WIND 30 KT. SEAS 21 FT. 
.SUN...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 9 FT. 

$$

PKZ051-100100-
CAPE FAIRWEATHER TO ICY CAPE-
830 AM AKDT WED SEP 9 2009 

UPDATED

...GALE WARNING TONIGHT...

.TODAY...SE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 6 FT. RAIN SHOWERS.
.TONIGHT...SE WIND 15 KT BECOMING E 35 KT LATE. SEAS 6 FT
BUILDING TO 10 FT LATE. RAIN.
.THU...E GALE TO 40 KT. SEAS BUILDING TO 19 FT. RAIN.
.THU NIGHT...SE GALE TO 35 KT. SEAS 22 FT. RAIN.
.FRI...SE GALE TO 40 KT. SEAS 25 FT. RAIN.
.SAT...S WIND 30 KT. SEAS 20 FT. 
.SUN...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 8 FT. 

$$

PKZ052-100100-
ICY CAPE TO CAPE SUCKLING-
830 AM AKDT WED SEP 9 2009 

UPDATED

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TODAY AND TONIGHT...

.TODAY...SE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 6 FT. RAIN SHOWERS. 
.TONIGHT...SE WIND 15 KT BECOMING E 30 KT LATE. SEAS 7 FT
BUILDING TO 10 FT LATE. RAIN.
.THU...E GALE TO 45 KT. SEAS BUILDING TO 18 FT. RAIN.
.THU NIGHT...E GALE TO 40 KT. SEAS 22 FT. RAIN.
.FRI...SE GALE TO 40 KT. SEAS 25 FT. RAIN.
.SAT...SE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 19 FT. 
.SUN...SE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 7 FT. 

$$

000 
FZAK52 PAJK 092235
CWFAEG

COASTAL WATERS FORECAST FOR SOUTHEAST ALASKA
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JUNEAU AK
1236 PM AKDT WED SEP 9 2009

SOUTHEAST ALASKA COASTAL WATERS FROM DIXON ENTRANCE TO
CAPE SUCKLING OUT 100 NM

WIND FORECASTS REFLECT THE PREDOMINANT SPEED AND DIRECTION
EXPECTED. SEA FORECASTS REPRESENT THE AVERAGE OF THE HIGHEST
ONE-THIRD OF THE COMBINED WINDWAVE AND SWELL HEIGHT.

PKZ099-101445-
1236 PM AKDT WED SEP 9 2009
.SYNOPSIS FOR OUTSIDE WATERS...
A STORM FORCE LOW WILL MOVE INTO THE WESTERN GULF THURSDAY. ITS
ASSOCIATED FRONT WILL MOVE ONSHORE THE PANHANDLE THURSDAY
AFTERNOON.

$$

PKZ041-101445-
DIXON ENTRANCE TO CAPE DECISION-
1236 PM AKDT WED SEP 9 2009

...GALE WARNING TONIGHT THROUGH THURSDAY...

.TONIGHT...S WIND 15 KT INCREASING TO SE 40 KT LATE. SEAS 5 FT
BUILDING TO 11 FT LATE. RAIN.
.THU...SE WIND 40 KT DIMINISHING IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS
17 FT BUILDING TO 21 FT IN THE AFTERNOON. RAIN IN THE MORNING. 
.THU NIGHT...S WIND 30 KT. SEAS 20 FT. 
.FRI...S WIND 30 KT. SEAS 23 FT. 
.FRI NIGHT...S WIND 30 KT. SEAS 22 FT. 
.SAT...SE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 14 FT. W SWELL. RAIN.
.SUN...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 9 FT. 
.MON...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 

$$

PKZ042-101445-
CAPE DECISION TO CAPE EDGECUMBE-
1236 PM AKDT WED SEP 9 2009

...GALE WARNING TONIGHT THROUGH THURSDAY...

.TONIGHT...SE WIND 15 KT INCREASING TO 40 KT LATE. SEAS 6 FT
BUILDING TO 11 FT LATE. RAIN LATE. 
.THU...SE WIND 40 KT DIMINISHING IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS
16 FT BUILDING TO 21 FT IN THE AFTERNOON. RAIN IN THE MORNING. 
.THU NIGHT...S GALE TO 40 KT. SEAS 23 FT. 
.FRI...S GALE TO 40 KT. SEAS 27 FT. 
.FRI NIGHT...S GALE TO 35 KT. SEAS 26 FT. 
.SAT...SE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 15 FT. RAIN.
.SUN...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 9 FT. 
.MON...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 

$$

PKZ043-101445-
CAPE EDGECUMBE TO CAPE FAIRWEATHER-
1236 PM AKDT WED SEP 9 2009

...GALE WARNING TONIGHT THROUGH THURSDAY...

.TONIGHT...SE WIND 20 KT INCREASING TO 40 KT LATE. SEAS 6 FT
BUILDING TO 10 FT LATE. RAIN LATE. 
.THU...E WIND 45 KT DIMINISHING IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 16 FT
BUILDING TO 19 FT IN THE AFTERNOON. RAIN.
.THU NIGHT...S GALE TO 45 KT. SEAS 25 FT. RAIN.
.FRI...S STORM FORCE WIND TO 50 KT. SEAS 33 FT. RAIN.
.FRI NIGHT...SE GALE TO 35 KT. SEAS 29 FT. 
.SAT...SE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 15 FT. RAIN.
.SUN...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 7 FT. 
.MON...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 

$$

PKZ051-101445-
CAPE FAIRWEATHER TO ICY CAPE-
1236 PM AKDT WED SEP 9 2009

...STORM WARNING THURSDAY...

.TONIGHT...SE WIND 15 KT BECOMING E 35 KT LATE. SEAS 6 FT
BUILDING TO 9 FT LATE. RAIN LATE. 
.THU...E WIND 50 KT BECOMING 45 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS
17 FT BUILDING TO 19 FT IN THE AFTERNOON. RAIN.
.THU NIGHT...SE GALE TO 45 KT. SEAS 25 FT. RAIN.
.FRI...SE STORM FORCE WIND TO 50 KT. SEAS 32 FT. RAIN.
.FRI NIGHT...SE GALE TO 35 KT. SEAS 29 FT. RAIN.
.SAT...S WIND 30 KT. SEAS 14 FT. RAIN.
.SUN...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 7 FT. 
.MON...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 

$$

PKZ052-101445-
ICY CAPE TO CAPE SUCKLING-
1236 PM AKDT WED SEP 9 2009

...STORM WARNING THURSDAY...

.TONIGHT...SE WIND 15 KT BECOMING E 35 KT LATE. SEAS 6 FT
BUILDING TO 8 FT LATE. RAIN LATE. 
.THU...E WIND 50 KT DIMINISHING TO 40 KT IN THE AFTERNOON.
SEAS 16 FT BUILDING TO 20 FT IN THE AFTERNOON. RAIN.
.THU NIGHT...E GALE TO 45 KT. SEAS 25 FT. RAIN.
.FRI...SE STORM FORCE WIND TO 50 KT. SEAS 31 FT. RAIN.
.FRI NIGHT...SE GALE TO 35 KT. SEAS 26 FT. RAIN.
.SAT...SE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 13 FT. S SWELL. RAIN.
.SUN...SE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 7 FT. 
.MON...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 

$$

SOUTHEAST ALASKA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JUNEAU AK
207 PM AKDT TUE SEP 8 2009

.SHORT TERM...THE LEFTOVERS OF TODAYS SYSTEM IS THE MAIN CONCERN
IN THE SHORE TERM FORECAST TODAY. CURRENTLY, A WEATHER FRONT
ASSOCIATED WITH A 990 MB LOW IN THE CENTRAL GULF IS APPROACHING
THE SOUTHERN OUTER COAST. CLOUDS AND RAIN HAS SPREAD OVER THE
ENTIRE SOUTHERN PANHANDLE AND IS WORKING ITS WAY NORTH THROUGH
THE CENTRAL AND NORTHERN PANHANDLE NOW. STEADY PRECIPITATION HAS
YET TO SHOW AT PASI, PAGN AND AREAS FARTHER NORTH DUE TO
DOWNSLOPING WINDS AT THESE LOCATIONS. RAIN SHOULD BEGIN LATER
THIS AFTERNOON AS LOW LEVEL WINDS BECOME MORE ALONG SHORE. WIND
ADVISORIES ARE STILL UP FOR 23, 27 AND 28 FOR THIS AFTERNOON AND
INTO THE EARLY EVENING. SO FAR, WINDS IN THESE AREAS HAVE BEEN
GUSTING INTO THE HIGH 20 KT RANGE WITH A FEW IN THE LOWER 30S.
PAHY SO FAR IS THE ONLY OBSERVATION SITE TO REPORT AN ADVISORY
GUST WITH A GUST TO 36 KT LATE THIS MORNING. IN THE MARINE ZONES,
GALE WARNING IS UP FOR MARINE ZONE 36 AND SOME OF THE COASTAL AND
OFFSHORE ZONES FOR THIS AFTERNOON. MOST OF THE OTHER ZONES HAVE
SCA WINDS THIS EVENING.

FOR TONIGHT, WINDS WILL CONTINUE TO DIMINISH AS THE FRONT SHEARS
APART AND COMES ONSHORE. IN MOST PLACES WINDS WILL DROP BELOW WIND
ADVISORY AND SCA CRITERIA AS THE FRONT PASSES. THE RAIN HOWEVER,
WILL CONTINUE THROUGH TOMORROW AS SOUTHERLY FLOW CONTINUES AND A
SECOND SHORT WAVE TROUGH MOVES INTO THE PANHANDLE FOR WEDNESDAY.
YAKUTAT AND SKAGWAY WILL FINALLY SEE SOME RAIN BY LATE TONIGHT AND
WEDNESDAY AS THE REMAINS OF THE FRONT CONTINUE TO PUSH NORTH.

MODELS TODAY ARE, IN GOOD AGREEMENT WITH EACH OTHER. ALTHOUGH THE
CONSISTENCY WITH PREVIOUS SOLUTIONS IS A BIT LACKING. COMPARED TO
YESTERDAY, THE PAST FEW MODEL RUNS NOW SUPPORT THE TWO WAVE
STRUCTURE THAT THE SYSTEM IS DISPLAYING ON SATELLITE WITH MOST OF
THE ENERGY EARLY ON GETTING PUMPED INTO THE SOUTHERN MOST WAVE IN
THE NORTH PACIFIC. THIS HAS CAUSED THE LOW IN THE CENTRAL GULF TO
BE A BIT WEAKER THEN PREVIOUS SOLUTIONS INDICATED AND WINDS TO BE
A LITTLE LESS THEN FIRST THOUGHT. FORECAST WAS UPDATED WITH A
BLEND OF THE GFS AND NAM. AND FORECAST CONFIDENCE IS AVERAGE GIVEN
THE CHANGES IN THE MODEL SOLUTIONS OVER THE PAST 24 HOURS.

.LONG TERM...THE RAPID CYCLOGNESIS WILL OCCUR IN THE NPAC WED AND
TRACK INTO THE WRN GLFALSK WED NIGHT AND SEND A STRONG OCCLUSION
ONSHORE THE PNHDL THU. HEAVY RAIN, OR AT LEAST FMH1 MODERATE
THAT THE PUBLIC WOULD CONSIDER HEAVY RAIN, SHOULD OCCUR FOR MOST
THE PANHANDLE DAYTIME THU EXCEPT FOR ZONES 28, 29. THERE ARE
FEW CHANGES TO THE LONG TERM FCST PKG OTHER THAN ADDING THE
DESCRIPTION OF THE RAIN BEING HEAVY.

AT 00Z THU A 971 MB LOW 500 NM S OF PADQ WILL BE TRACKING NNE AT
30 KT. THE LOW CENTER WILL BE RAPIDLY DECELERATING AT THAT TIME
AND WILL REACH A GREATEST DEPTH OF 965 MB 400 NM S OF PAWD. THE
FNTL BNDRY WILL MOVE ONSHORE THE OUTER COAST S OF PASI ABT 00Z
FRI. THE LOW ITSELF HAS AN ASYMMETRICAL WARM-CORE THAT MAY
REPRESENT A STRONG REGION OF BAROCLINITY MOVING UP THE WARM-
FRONTAL BOUNDARY ON THE EAST SIDE ABT 06Z THU AND CREATING
A SECOND LOW CENTER OF ABT 970 MB 250 NM S OF PAMD 18Z THU.
THIS RAPID AND COMPLEX CYCLONE EVOLUTION WITH TWO CENTERS
IS THE MOST IMPORTANT DIFFERENCE BETWEEN THE GFS AND ECMWF.
THE MAX GALE IN MARINE ZONES 51 AND 52 IS BEING KEPT WITHOUT
CHANGE, ALTHOUGH IT IS POSSIBLE FOR A HIGHER WIND EVENT TO
OCCUR DUE TO A STRONGER ONSHORE FLOW AND BARRIER ENHANCEMENT
AS DEPICTED IN THE CURRENT GFS.

.AJK WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
PUBLIC...WIND ADVISORY UNTIL 9 PM AKDT THIS EVENING FOR AKZ023-027.
         WIND ADVISORY UNTIL 6 PM AKDT THIS EVENING FOR AKZ028.
MARINE...GALE WARNING FOR PKZ036-043-051.
         SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY FOR PKZ021-022-033-035-041-042-052.

&&

EAL/JBT