High Wind Warning 3, NWS Juneau, AK

000 
WWAK77 PAJK 230457
NPWAJK

URGENT - WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JUNEAU AK
756 PM AKST SUN FEB 22 2009

AKZ025-231400-
/X.CON.PAJK.HW.W.0003.000000T0000Z-090223T1500Z/
JUNEAU BOROUGH AND NORTHERN ADMIRALTY ISLAND-
INCLUDING THE CITY OF...JUNEAU
756 PM AKST SUN FEB 22 2009

...HIGH WIND WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 AM AKST MONDAY...

A HIGH WIND WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 AM AKST MONDAY. 

LOCALIZED STRONG AND GUSTY NORTHEAST WINDS OVER 60 MPH WILL AFFECT
THE DOWNTOWN JUNEAU AND DOUGLAS AREA OVERNIGHT. OUT OF INTERIOR
PASSES...NORTHEAST WINDS GUSTING TO 50 MPH WILL CONTINUE INTO
MONDAY.

AS OF 8 PM SUNDAY SOME PEAK GUSTS INCLUDED

100 MPH AT SHEEP MOUNTAIN 
76 MPH AT ELDRED ROCK 
71 MPH AT POINT RETREAT 
69 MPH AT CAPE SPENCER
60 MPH AT THE MOUNT ROBERTS TRAMWAY 
56 MPH AT THE DOUGLAS BOAT HARBOR 
52 MPH AT MAYFLOWER ISLAND AND EAGLECREST 
49 MPH AT THE JUNEAU FEDERAL BUILDING 
35 MPH AT THE JUNEAU AIRPORT

A WARNING MEANS THAT HIGH WINDS ARE ALREADY OCCURRING OR
IMMINENT. THESE WINDS COULD POSE A THREAT TO LIFE AND PROPERTY.

THIS STATEMENT WILL BE UPDATED BY 5 AM AKST MONDAY OR SOONER IF
CONDITIONS WARRANT.

$$

AKZ018-019-231400-
/X.CON.PAJK.WI.Y.0028.000000T0000Z-090224T0300Z/
TAIYA INLET AND KLONDIKE HIGHWAY-HAINES BOROUGH AND LYNN CANAL-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...SKAGWAY...HAINES
756 PM AKST SUN FEB 22 2009

...WIND ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 PM AKST MONDAY...

A WIND ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 PM AKST MONDAY. 

NORTH WINDS TO 55 MPH ARE EXPECTED ALONG LYNN CANAL THROUGH
MONDAY.

AS OF 8 PM SUNDAY SOME PEAK GUSTS INCLUDED

76 MPH AT ELDRED ROCK
71 MPH AT POINT RETREAT 
69 MPH AT CAPE SPENCER 
35 MPH AT SKAGWAY

A WIND ADVISORY MEANS THAT SUSTAINED WIND SPEED OR FREQUENT GUSTS
WILL OCCUR BETWEEN 40 AND 60 MPH.

THIS STATEMENT WILL BE UPDATED BY 5 AM AKST MONDAY OR SOONER IF
CONDITIONS WARRANT.

$$

AKZ017-231400-
/X.CON.PAJK.WI.Y.0028.000000T0000Z-090223T2100Z/
CAPE FAIRWEATHER TO CAPE SUCKLING COASTAL AREA-
INCLUDING THE CITY OF...YAKUTAT
756 PM AKST SUN FEB 22 2009

...WIND ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 12 PM AKST MONDAY...

A WIND ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 12 PM AKST MONDAY. 

LOCALIZED NORTHEAST WINDS TO 45 MPH ARE EXPECTED OUT OF INTERIOR
BAYS AND PASSES THROUGH MONDAY MORNING.

A WIND ADVISORY MEANS THAT SUSTAINED WIND SPEED OR FREQUENT GUSTS
WILL OCCUR BETWEEN 40 AND 60 MPH.

THIS STATEMENT WILL BE UPDATED BY 5 AM AKST MONDAY OR SOONER IF
CONDITIONS WARRANT.

$$

AKZ026-231400-
/X.CON.PAJK.WI.Y.0028.090223T0600Z-090224T0300Z/
INNER CHANNELS FROM KUPREANOF ISLAND TO ETOLIN ISLAND-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...PETERSBURG...WRANGELL...KAKE
756 PM AKST SUN FEB 22 2009

...WIND ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 PM AKST MONDAY...

A WIND ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 PM AKST MONDAY. 

LOCALIZED NORTHEAST WINDS TO 50 MPH ARE EXPECTED OUT OF INTERIOR
BAYS AND PASSES TONIGHT AND MONDAY.

A WIND ADVISORY MEANS THAT SUSTAINED WIND SPEED OR FREQUENT GUSTS
WILL OCCUR BETWEEN 40 AND 60 MPH.

THIS STATEMENT WILL BE UPDATED BY 5 AM AKST MONDAY OR SOONER IF
CONDITIONS WARRANT.

$$

AKZ029-231400-
/X.CON.PAJK.WI.Y.0028.090223T1500Z-090224T0300Z/
MISTY FJORDS-
INCLUDING THE CITY OF...HYDER
756 PM AKST SUN FEB 22 2009

...WIND ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 6 AM TO 6 PM AKST
MONDAY...

A WIND ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 6 AM TO 6 PM AKST MONDAY. 

LOCALIZED NORTHEAST WINDS TO 50 MPH ARE EXPECTED OUT OF INTERIOR
BAYS AND PASSES MONDAY.

A WIND ADVISORY MEANS THAT SUSTAINED WIND SPEED OR FREQUENT GUSTS
WILL OCCUR BETWEEN 40 AND 60 MPH.

THIS STATEMENT WILL BE UPDATED BY 5 AM AKST MONDAY OR SOONER IF
CONDITIONS WARRANT.

$$

000 
WWAK77 PAJK 231343
NPWAJK

URGENT - WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JUNEAU AK
443 AM AKST MON FEB 23 2009

AKZ025-240100-
/X.CAN.PAJK.HW.W.0003.000000T0000Z-090223T1500Z/
/X.EXB.PAJK.WI.Y.0028.000000T0000Z-090225T0900Z/
JUNEAU BOROUGH AND NORTHERN ADMIRALTY ISLAND-
INCLUDING THE CITY OF...JUNEAU
443 AM AKST MON FEB 23 2009

...WIND ADVISORY IN EFFECT UNTIL MIDNIGHT AKST TUESDAY NIGHT...
...HIGH WIND WARNING IS CANCELLED...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN JUNEAU HAS ISSUED A WIND
ADVISORY...WHICH IS IN EFFECT UNTIL MIDNIGHT AKST TUESDAY NIGHT.

THE HIGH WIND WARNING HAS BEEN CANCELLED. 

LOCALIZED NORTHEAST WIND GUSTS UP TO 45 MPH ARE EXPECTED OUT OF
INTERIOR BAYS AND PASSES THROUGH TUESDAY.

A WIND ADVISORY MEANS THAT SUSTAINED WIND SPEED OR FREQUENT GUSTS
WILL OCCUR BETWEEN 40 AND 60 MPH.

THIS STATEMENT WILL BE UPDATED BY 4 PM AKST THIS AFTERNOON OR
SOONER IF CONDITIONS WARRANT.

$$

AKZ026-240100-
/X.EXT.PAJK.WI.Y.0028.000000T0000Z-090225T1500Z/
INNER CHANNELS FROM KUPREANOF ISLAND TO ETOLIN ISLAND-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...PETERSBURG...WRANGELL...KAKE
443 AM AKST MON FEB 23 2009

...WIND ADVISORY NOW IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 AM AKST WEDNESDAY...

THE WIND ADVISORY IS NOW IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 AM AKST WEDNESDAY. 

LOCALIZED NORTHEAST WIND GUSTS UP TO 45 MPH ARE EXPECTED OUT OF
INTERIOR BAYS AND PASSES THROUGH EARLY WEDNESDAY MORNING.

A WIND ADVISORY MEANS THAT SUSTAINED WIND SPEED OR FREQUENT GUSTS
WILL OCCUR BETWEEN 40 AND 60 MPH.

THIS STATEMENT WILL BE UPDATED BY 4 PM AKST THIS AFTERNOON OR
SOONER IF CONDITIONS WARRANT.

$$

AKZ019-240100-
/X.EXT.PAJK.WI.Y.0028.000000T0000Z-090224T1500Z/
HAINES BOROUGH AND LYNN CANAL-
INCLUDING THE CITY OF...HAINES
443 AM AKST MON FEB 23 2009

...WIND ADVISORY NOW IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 AM AKST TUESDAY...

THE WIND ADVISORY IS NOW IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 AM AKST TUESDAY. 

NORTH WIND GUSTS UP TO 45 MPH ARE EXPECTED ALONG LYNN CANAL
THROUGH EARLY TUESDAY MORNING.

A WIND ADVISORY MEANS THAT SUSTAINED WIND SPEED OR FREQUENT GUSTS
WILL OCCUR BETWEEN 40 AND 60 MPH.

THIS STATEMENT WILL BE UPDATED BY 4 PM AKST THIS AFTERNOON OR
SOONER IF CONDITIONS WARRANT.

$$

AKZ018-240100-
/X.EXT.PAJK.WI.Y.0028.000000T0000Z-090224T2100Z/
TAIYA INLET AND KLONDIKE HIGHWAY-
INCLUDING THE CITY OF...SKAGWAY
443 AM AKST MON FEB 23 2009

...WIND ADVISORY NOW IN EFFECT UNTIL 12 PM AKST TUESDAY...

THE WIND ADVISORY IS NOW IN EFFECT UNTIL 12 PM AKST TUESDAY. 

NORTH WIND GUSTS UP TO 45 MPH ARE EXPECTED THROUGH TUESDAY
MORNING.

A WIND ADVISORY MEANS THAT SUSTAINED WIND SPEED OR FREQUENT GUSTS
WILL OCCUR BETWEEN 40 AND 60 MPH.

THIS STATEMENT WILL BE UPDATED BY 4 PM AKST THIS AFTERNOON OR
SOONER IF CONDITIONS WARRANT.

$$

AKZ017-240100-
/X.EXT.PAJK.WI.Y.0028.000000T0000Z-090224T0300Z/
CAPE FAIRWEATHER TO CAPE SUCKLING COASTAL AREA-
INCLUDING THE CITY OF...YAKUTAT
443 AM AKST MON FEB 23 2009

...WIND ADVISORY NOW IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 PM AKST THIS AFTERNOON...

THE WIND ADVISORY IS NOW IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 PM AKST THIS
AFTERNOON. 

LOCALIZED NORTHEAST WIND GUSTS UP TO 45 MPH ARE EXPECTED OUT OF
INTERIOR BAYS AND PASSES THROUGH THIS AFTERNOON.

A WIND ADVISORY MEANS THAT SUSTAINED WIND SPEED OR FREQUENT GUSTS
WILL OCCUR BETWEEN 40 AND 60 MPH.

THIS STATEMENT WILL BE UPDATED BY 4 PM AKST THIS AFTERNOON OR
SOONER IF CONDITIONS WARRANT.

$$

AKZ029-240100-
/X.EXT.PAJK.WI.Y.0028.090223T1500Z-090225T1500Z/
MISTY FJORDS-
INCLUDING THE CITY OF...HYDER
443 AM AKST MON FEB 23 2009

...WIND ADVISORY NOW IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 AM AKST WEDNESDAY...

THE WIND ADVISORY IS NOW IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 AM AKST WEDNESDAY. 

LOCALIZED NORTHEAST WIND GUSTS UP TO 45 MPH ARE EXPECTED OUT OF
INTERIOR BAYS AND PASSES THROUGH EARLY WEDNESDAY MORNING.

A WIND ADVISORY MEANS THAT SUSTAINED WIND SPEED OR FREQUENT GUSTS
WILL OCCUR BETWEEN 40 AND 60 MPH.

THIS STATEMENT WILL BE UPDATED BY 4 PM AKST THIS AFTERNOON OR
SOONER IF CONDITIONS WARRANT.

$$

SOUTHEAST ALASKA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JUNEAU AK
551 AM AKST SUN FEB 22 2009

.SHORT TERM...EARLY MORNING SATELLITE LOOP SHOWS A DEVELOPING
LOW IN THE NORTHEAST PACIFIC...PUSHING A WARM FRONT INTO THE
SOUTHEAST GULF. THE LEADING EDGE OF THE FRONTAL BOUNDARY HAS
REACHED SOUTH OF DIXON ENTRANCE...SPREADING A FEW HIGH CLOUDS
OVER SOUTHERN PANHANDLE COAST. AHEAD OF THE LEADING EDGE OF THE
FRONT...MOSTLY MID CLOUDS SPREAD ACROSS NORTH AND CENTRAL
PANHANDLE. IN BETWEEN A WEAKENING UPPER LEVEL TROUGH AND BUILDING
RIDGE OVER NORTHEASTERN GULF...SOME MID TO HIGH CLOUDS MOVE
ACROSS THE YAKUTAT AREA.

 STRONG SURFACE HIGH OVER YUKON SLOWLY INTENSIFIES AND SPREADS
SOUTHEAST WITH INCREASING DOWNSLOPE WINDS ACROSS THE NORTHERN
PANHANDLE. DOWN-SLOPING WINDS ALONG TAKU INLET CAUSES GUSTY
NORTHERLY FLOW OVER SOUTH DOUGLAS ISLAND EARLY THIS MORNING AND
SLOWLY SPREADS NORTH TO THE DOWNTOWN JUNEAU AREA. NORTHERN END OF
YAKUTAT BAY CONTINUES EXPERIENCING STRONG NORTHERLY WIND. MODELS
ARE IN FAIR AGREEMENT WITH CONTINUING MODERATE TO STRONG
SUBSIDENCE TODAY AND TONIGHT. BLENDED THE INHERITED GRIDS WITH
50/50 OF THE GFS AND NAM TO MAKE A LITTLE FINE TUNES.

 ADDED HAINES AND JUNEAU ZONES INTO THE CURRENT WIND ADVISORY FOR
YAKUTAT AND SKAGWAY ZONES. THE EXPANDING HIGH PRESSURE OVER THE
NORTHWEST CANADA WILL CONTINUE TO GENERATE STRONG DOWNSLOPE WINDS
THROUGH EARLY MONDAY MORNING. A 990 MB LOW IN THE NORTHEAST
PACIFIC WILL CONTINUE TO PUSH A FRONTAL BOUNDARY INTO THE
SOUTHEAST GULF WHILE SLOWLY WEAKENING THROUGH LATE TONIGHT BEFORE
DRIFTING INTO BRITISH COLUMBIA COAST. THIS SYNOPTIC SETTING WILL
MAINTAIN EASTERN GULF AND SOUTHEAST ALASKA GENERALLY DRY WITH
PERSISTING OFFSHORE FLOW UNDER MODERATE TO STRONG SUBSIDENCE. THE
MAXIMUM POSSIBLE SUSTAINED WINDS OUT OF INTERIOR PASSES AND BAYS
ACROSS THE NORTHERN INNER CHANNELS WILL BE 40 TO 50 KTS.
HOWEVER...BASED ON THE WATER AND AIR TEMPERATURE
PROFILES...FREEZING SPRAY IS NOT EXPECTED TO OCCUR ACROSS THE
NORTHERN INSIDE PASSAGES.

.LONG TERM...THE DRY PATTERN AND RELATIVE BENIGN WEATHER WILL
CONTINUE THROUGH THE WEEK ACROSS THE PANHANDLE. THE FORECAST
MODELS AREA IN FAIR AGREEMENT THROUGH MOST OF THE WEEK BUT THEN
DIVERGE LATE IN THE WEEK INTO THE WEEKEND. WITH THAT SAID USED A
BLEND OF THE 00ZGFS/EC THROUGH TUE THEN MADE MINOR TWEAKS FOR THE
REST OF THE WEEK USING MAINLY THE EC AS IT HAS BEEN THE SUPERIOR
MODEL WITH VERY GOOD RUN TO RUN AGREEMENT. DID NOT MAKE ANY CHANGES TO
THE FORECAST OVER THE WEEKEND. THERE IS ABOVE AVERAGE FORECASTER
CONFIDENCE THROUGH THE WEEK THEN LOWERS OVER THE WEEKEND.

THE UPPER RIDGE OVER THE GULF THROUGH THE FIRST HALF OF THE WEEK
WILL KEEP NORTHERLY OFFSHORE FLOW ALOFT OVER THE PANHANDLE TO KEEP
ANY PRECIP AWAY FROM SE AK WITH MOSTLY CLEAR SKIES. AT THE SURFACE
THE HIGH PRESSURE OVER BRITISH COLUMBIA WILL KEEP STRONG GUSTY
WINDS FROM INTERIOR PASSES ESPECIALLY OVER THE MARINE WATERS
ADJACENT TO THE COAST MOUNTAINS. THE GALES FORCE WINDS OVER LYNN
CANAL WILL RELAX THROUGH MON NIGHT WITH SMALL CRAFTS IN OTHER N/S
CHANNELS. THE TIGHT PRESSURE GRADIENT WILL KEEP WIND ADVY LEVEL
GUSTS NEAR PAGY AND NEAR DOWNTOWN JUNEAU INTO MON MORNING. THESE
ADVY WILL NEED TO BE WATCHED AS THEY MIGHT NEED TO BE EXTENDED
ESPECIALLY NEAR PAGY. THE HIGH WILL PERSIST INTO WED AND AFFECT
THE CENTRAL AND SOUTHERN AREAS OF THE PANHANDLE. THE HIGH WILL
BEGIN TO WEAKENS AS IT DRIFTS EAST THROUGH THURSDAY.

THE UPPER TROF WILL MOVE OVER THE TOP OF THE RIDGE AND OVER THE
GULF ON TUE NIGHT AND MOVE OVER THE PANHANDLE THAT NIGHT. THIS
FEATURE MAY BRING IN SOME CLOUDS BUT ATTM DO NOT THIS IT WILL HAVE
ENOUGH ENERGY TO PRODUCE ANY PRECIP AS IT WEAKENS A LOT AS IT
MOVES THROUGH THE RIDGE. THE HIGH WILL REBUILD BUT FURTHER OVER
THE EASTERN GULF AS A TROF DRIFTS SOUTH OF THE AK PEN. THIS WHERE
THE EC AND GFS DIFFERS AS THE GFS PUSHES THE UPPER RIDGE INTO
CANADA WHILE THE EC SENDS THE TROF INTO THE NORTH PACIFIC THUR
NIGHT. PREFER THE EC AS THE GFS TENDS TO PUSH THE HIGH OFF TO
FAST.

FOR THE WEEKEND...THE EC AGAIN REBUILDS HIGH OVER THE GULF BUT
THIS SEEMS TO BE MORE TRANSIENT. IT MOVES THIS FEATURE EAST FAST
WITH A STRONG UPPER TROF MOVES INTO THE GULF TO INCREASE THE
CHANCE OF PRECIP OVER THE PANHANDLE ON SUN. AGAIN THERE IS LOW
FORECASTER CONFIDENCE ON THIS FEATURE AS THERE IS LARGE SPREADS IN
THE ENSEMBLES...WILL NEED TO SEE IF THE MODELS CAN COME INTO
AGREEMENT WITH THIS TREND IN THE COMING DAYS.

.AJK WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
PUBLIC...WIND ADVISORY UNTIL 9 AM AKST MONDAY FOR AKZ018-025.
         WIND ADVISORY UNTIL 6 AM AKST MONDAY FOR AKZ017-019.
MARINE...GALE WARNING FOR PKZ011>013-021-022-031-032.
         SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY FOR PKZ033>036-042-043-051-052.
         SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY DUE TO SEAS FOR PKZ041.

&&

SJA/ABJ