High Wind Warning 2, NWS Juneau, AK

000 
WWAK77 PAJK 030049
NPWAJK

URGENT - WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JUNEAU AK
349 PM AKST MON FEB 2 2009

AKZ018-030200-
/X.EXP.PAJK.WI.Y.0021.000000T0000Z-090203T0100Z/
TAIYA INLET AND KLONDIKE HIGHWAY-
INCLUDING THE CITY OF...SKAGWAY
349 PM AKST MON FEB 2 2009

...WIND ADVISORY WILL EXPIRE AT 4 PM AKST THIS AFTERNOON...

THE WIND ADVISORY WILL EXPIRE AT 4 PM AKST THIS AFTERNOON. 

THIS WILL BE THE FINAL STATEMENT ON THIS EVENT.

$$

AKZ027-028-030715-
/X.CON.PAJK.HW.W.0002.090203T0900Z-090203T1500Z/
DIXON ENTRANCE TO CAPE DECISION COASTAL AREA-
SOUTHERN INNER CHANNELS-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...CRAIG...KLAWOCK...KETCHIKAN...
METLAKATLA
349 PM AKST MON FEB 2 2009

...HIGH WIND WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM MIDNIGHT TONIGHT TO
6 AM AKST TUESDAY...

A HIGH WIND WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM MIDNIGHT TONIGHT TO
6 AM AKST TUESDAY. 

STRONG SOUTHEAST WINDS WILL DEVELOP OVER THE AREA TONIGHT. WIND
GUSTS TO 60 MPH OR MORE ARE LIKELY OVERNIGHT.

A WARNING MEANS THAT HIGH WINDS ARE ALREADY OCCURRING OR
IMMINENT. THESE WINDS COULD POSE A THREAT TO LIFE AND PROPERTY.

THIS STATEMENT WILL BE UPDATED BY 10 PM AKST THIS EVENING OR
SOONER IF CONDITIONS WARRANT.

$$

AKZ029-030715-
/X.CON.PAJK.WI.Y.0023.090203T0600Z-090203T1800Z/
MISTY FJORDS-
INCLUDING THE CITY OF...HYDER
349 PM AKST MON FEB 2 2009

...WIND ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 9 PM THIS EVENING TO 9 AM
AKST TUESDAY...

A WIND ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 9 PM THIS EVENING TO 9 AM
AKST TUESDAY. 

SOUTHEAST WINDS TO 35 MPH WITH GUSTS TO 50 MPH WILL DEVELOP ALONG
THE SOUTHWEST COAST BY LATE THIS EVENING.

A WIND ADVISORY MEANS THAT SUSTAINED WIND SPEED OR FREQUENT GUSTS
WILL OCCUR BETWEEN 40 AND 60 MPH.

THIS STATEMENT WILL BE UPDATED BY 10 PM AKST THIS EVENING OR
SOONER IF CONDITIONS WARRANT.

$$

AKZ026-030715-
/X.CON.PAJK.WI.Y.0023.090203T0900Z-090203T1800Z/
INNER CHANNELS FROM KUPREANOF ISLAND TO ETOLIN ISLAND-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...PETERSBURG...WRANGELL...KAKE
349 PM AKST MON FEB 2 2009

...WIND ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM MIDNIGHT TONIGHT TO 9 AM
AKST TUESDAY...

A WIND ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM MIDNIGHT TONIGHT TO 9 AM
AKST TUESDAY. 

SOUTHEAST WINDS TO 30 MPH WITH GUSTS TO 45 MPH WILL DEVELOP OVER
THE AREA OVERNIGHT TONIGHT.

A WIND ADVISORY MEANS THAT SUSTAINED WIND SPEED OR FREQUENT GUSTS
WILL OCCUR BETWEEN 40 AND 60 MPH.

THIS STATEMENT WILL BE UPDATED BY 10 PM AKST THIS EVENING OR
SOONER IF CONDITIONS WARRANT.

$$

AKZ023-030715-
/X.CON.PAJK.WI.Y.0023.090203T0900Z-090203T2100Z/
CAPE DECISION TO SALISBURY SOUND COASTAL AREA-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...SITKA...PORT ALEXANDER
349 PM AKST MON FEB 2 2009

...WIND ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM MIDNIGHT TONIGHT TO 12 PM
AKST TUESDAY...

A WIND ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM MIDNIGHT TONIGHT TO 12 PM
AKST TUESDAY. 

SOUTH WINDS TO 30 MPH WITH GUSTS TO 50 MPH WILL DEVELOP OVER
SOUTHERN BARANOF ISLAND OVERNIGHT TONIGHT.

A WIND ADVISORY MEANS THAT SUSTAINED WIND SPEED OR FREQUENT GUSTS
WILL OCCUR BETWEEN 40 AND 60 MPH.

THIS STATEMENT WILL BE UPDATED BY 10 PM AKST THIS EVENING OR
SOONER IF CONDITIONS WARRANT.

$$

000 
WWAK77 PAJK 030650
NPWAJK

URGENT - WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JUNEAU AK
950 PM AKST MON FEB 2 2009

AKZ027-028-031415-
/X.CON.PAJK.HW.W.0002.090203T0900Z-090203T1500Z/
DIXON ENTRANCE TO CAPE DECISION COASTAL AREA-
SOUTHERN INNER CHANNELS-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...CRAIG...KLAWOCK...KETCHIKAN...
METLAKATLA
950 PM AKST MON FEB 2 2009

...HIGH WIND WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 AM AKST TUESDAY...

A HIGH WIND WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 AM AKST TUESDAY. 

STRONG SOUTHEAST WINDS WILL DEVELOP OVER THE AREA TONIGHT. WIND
GUSTS TO 60 MPH OR MORE ARE LIKELY OVERNIGHT.

A WARNING MEANS THAT HIGH WINDS ARE ALREADY OCCURRING OR
IMMINENT. THESE WINDS COULD POSE A THREAT TO LIFE AND PROPERTY.

THIS STATEMENT WILL BE UPDATED BY 5 AM AKST TUESDAY OR SOONER IF
CONDITIONS WARRANT.

$$

AKZ018-031415-
/X.EXB.PAJK.WI.Y.0023.090203T1800Z-090204T0600Z/
TAIYA INLET AND KLONDIKE HIGHWAY-
INCLUDING THE CITY OF...SKAGWAY
950 PM AKST MON FEB 2 2009

...WIND ADVISORY IN EFFECT FROM 9 AM TO 9 PM AKST TUESDAY...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN JUNEAU HAS ISSUED A WIND
ADVISORY...WHICH IS IN EFFECT FROM 9 AM TO 9 PM AKST TUESDAY. 

SOUTHWEST WINDS TO 30 MPH WITH GUSTS TO 50 MPH WILL DEVELOP NEAR
TAIYA INLET IN THE LATE MORNING. THE GUSTY WINDS WILL CONTINUE
THROUGH TUESDAY EVENING.

A WIND ADVISORY MEANS THAT SUSTAINED WIND SPEED OR FREQUENT GUSTS
WILL OCCUR BETWEEN 40 AND 60 MPH.

THIS STATEMENT WILL BE UPDATED BY 5 AM AKST TUESDAY OR SOONER IF
CONDITIONS WARRANT.

$$

AKZ029-031415-
/X.CON.PAJK.WI.Y.0023.000000T0000Z-090203T1800Z/
MISTY FJORDS-
INCLUDING THE CITY OF...HYDER
950 PM AKST MON FEB 2 2009

...WIND ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 9 AM AKST TUESDAY...

A WIND ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 9 AM AKST TUESDAY. 

SOUTHEAST WINDS TO 35 MPH WITH GUSTS TO 50 MPH WILL DEVELOP ALONG
THE SOUTHWEST COAST BY LATE THIS EVENING.

A WIND ADVISORY MEANS THAT SUSTAINED WIND SPEED OR FREQUENT GUSTS
WILL OCCUR BETWEEN 40 AND 60 MPH.

THIS STATEMENT WILL BE UPDATED BY 5 AM AKST TUESDAY OR SOONER IF
CONDITIONS WARRANT.

$$

AKZ026-031415-
/X.CON.PAJK.WI.Y.0023.090203T0900Z-090203T1800Z/
INNER CHANNELS FROM KUPREANOF ISLAND TO ETOLIN ISLAND-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...PETERSBURG...WRANGELL...KAKE
950 PM AKST MON FEB 2 2009

...WIND ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 9 AM AKST TUESDAY...

A WIND ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 9 AM AKST TUESDAY. 

SOUTHEAST WINDS TO 30 MPH WITH GUSTS TO 45 MPH WILL DEVELOP OVER
THE AREA OVERNIGHT TONIGHT.

A WIND ADVISORY MEANS THAT SUSTAINED WIND SPEED OR FREQUENT GUSTS
WILL OCCUR BETWEEN 40 AND 60 MPH.

THIS STATEMENT WILL BE UPDATED BY 5 AM AKST TUESDAY OR SOONER IF
CONDITIONS WARRANT.

$$

AKZ023-031415-
/X.CON.PAJK.WI.Y.0023.090203T0900Z-090203T2100Z/
CAPE DECISION TO SALISBURY SOUND COASTAL AREA-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...SITKA...PORT ALEXANDER
950 PM AKST MON FEB 2 2009

...WIND ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 12 PM AKST TUESDAY...

A WIND ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 12 PM AKST TUESDAY. 

SOUTH WINDS TO 30 MPH WITH GUSTS TO 50 MPH WILL DEVELOP OVER
SOUTHERN BARANOF ISLAND OVERNIGHT TONIGHT.

A WIND ADVISORY MEANS THAT SUSTAINED WIND SPEED OR FREQUENT GUSTS
WILL OCCUR BETWEEN 40 AND 60 MPH.

THIS STATEMENT WILL BE UPDATED BY 5 AM AKST TUESDAY OR SOONER IF
CONDITIONS WARRANT.

$$

PSS

000 
WWAK77 PAJK 031352
NPWAJK

URGENT - WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JUNEAU AK
452 AM AKST TUE FEB 3 2009

AKZ027-028-031800-
/X.CAN.PAJK.HW.W.0002.000000T0000Z-090203T1500Z/
/X.EXB.PAJK.WI.Y.0023.090203T1500Z-090203T1800Z/
DIXON ENTRANCE TO CAPE DECISION COASTAL AREA-
SOUTHERN INNER CHANNELS-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...CRAIG...KLAWOCK...KETCHIKAN...
METLAKATLA
452 AM AKST TUE FEB 3 2009

...WIND ADVISORY IN EFFECT UNTIL 9 AM AKST THIS MORNING...
...HIGH WIND WARNING IS CANCELLED...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN JUNEAU HAS ISSUED A WIND
ADVISORY...WHICH IS IN EFFECT UNTIL 9 AM AKST THIS MORNING. THE
HIGH WIND WARNING HAS BEEN CANCELLED. 

SOUTHEAST WINDS TO 30 MPH WITH GUSTS TO 55 MPH WILL DIMINISH
THROUGH THE MORNING HOURS AND SWITCH TO THE SOUTHWEST.

A WIND ADVISORY MEANS THAT SUSTAINED WIND SPEED OR FREQUENT GUSTS
WILL OCCUR BETWEEN 40 AND 60 MPH.

THIS STATEMENT WILL BE UPDATED BY 9 AM AKST TUESDAY OR SOONER IF
CONDITIONS WARRANT.

$$

AKZ018-031800-
/X.EXT.PAJK.WI.Y.0023.090203T2100Z-090204T0600Z/
TAIYA INLET AND KLONDIKE HIGHWAY-
INCLUDING THE CITY OF...SKAGWAY
452 AM AKST TUE FEB 3 2009

...WIND ADVISORY NOW IN EFFECT FROM NOON TODAY TO 9 PM AKST THIS
EVENING...

THE WIND ADVISORY IS NOW IN EFFECT FROM NOON TODAY TO 9 PM AKST
THIS EVENING. 

SOUTHWEST WINDS TO 30 MPH WITH GUSTS TO 50 MPH WILL DEVELOP NEAR
TAIYA INLET IN THE LATE MORNING. THE GUSTY WINDS WILL CONTINUE
THROUGH TUESDAY EVENING.

A WIND ADVISORY MEANS THAT SUSTAINED WIND SPEED OR FREQUENT GUSTS
WILL OCCUR BETWEEN 40 AND 60 MPH.

THIS STATEMENT WILL BE UPDATED BY 9 AM AKST TUESDAY OR SOONER IF
CONDITIONS WARRANT.

$$

AKZ026-029-031800-
/X.CON.PAJK.WI.Y.0023.000000T0000Z-090203T1800Z/
INNER CHANNELS FROM KUPREANOF ISLAND TO ETOLIN ISLAND-
MISTY FJORDS-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...PETERSBURG...WRANGELL...KAKE...HYDER
452 AM AKST TUE FEB 3 2009

...WIND ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 9 AM AKST THIS MORNING...

A WIND ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 9 AM AKST THIS MORNING. 

SOUTHEAST WINDS TO 30 MPH WITH GUSTS TO 45 MPH WILL DIMINISH THIS
MORNING.

A WIND ADVISORY MEANS THAT SUSTAINED WIND SPEED OR FREQUENT GUSTS
WILL OCCUR BETWEEN 40 AND 60 MPH.

THIS STATEMENT WILL BE UPDATED BY 9 AM AKST TUESDAY OR SOONER IF
CONDITIONS WARRANT.

$$

AKZ023-031800-
/X.CON.PAJK.WI.Y.0023.000000T0000Z-090203T2100Z/
CAPE DECISION TO SALISBURY SOUND COASTAL AREA-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...SITKA...PORT ALEXANDER
452 AM AKST TUE FEB 3 2009

...WIND ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL NOON AKST TODAY...

A WIND ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL NOON AKST TODAY. 

SOUTH WIND TO 30 MPH WITH GUSTS TO 50 MPH WILL DIMINISH OVER
SOUTHERN BARANOF ISLAND WILL BECOME GUSTY TO 40 MPH OUT OF THE
SOUTHWEST EARLY THIS MORNING. THE WINDS WILL SLOWLY DIMINISH BY
NOON.

A WIND ADVISORY MEANS THAT SUSTAINED WIND SPEED OR FREQUENT GUSTS
WILL OCCUR BETWEEN 40 AND 60 MPH.

THIS STATEMENT WILL BE UPDATED BY 9 AM AKST TUESDAY OR SOONER IF
CONDITIONS WARRANT.

$$

SOUTHEAST ALASKA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JUNEAU AK
153 PM AKST MON FEB 2 2009

.SHORT TERM...DEVELOPING LOW OVER THE NE PAC WILL TRACK NNE TO
NEAR PASI BY 12Z TONIGHT...THEN BE NNE OF PAJN BY 18Z TUE. ANOTHER
LOW WILL REMAIN OVER THE NW GULF THROUGH TUE. UPPER TROF WILL
SLIDE THROUGH THE AREA TUE. USED THE 12Z GEM MODEL FOR THE MAIN
LOW TRACK AS IT WAS THE BEST COMPROMISE AMONGST THE MODELS.

MAIN CONCERNS WILL BE POTENTIAL FOR STRONG WINDS OVER THE S...AND
HEAVY SNOW OVER THE N AND HYDER AREAS. A STRONG SSE LOW LEVEL JET
WILL ACCOMPANY THE LOW TO THE SE OF THE TRACK...AND FORECAST 850 MB
WINDS OF 60 TO 75 KT WILL LIKELY MEAN HIGH WIND CONDITIONS FOR THE
FAR SRN AREA...AND WIND ADVY CONDS FOR THE REMAINING SRN ZONES.
DECIDED TO GO WITH A HIGH WIND WARNING FOR ZONES 27 AND 28 FOR
09Z-15Z TONIGHT. WIND ADVY CONDS WILL LIKELY PRECEDE AND FOLLOW
THE WARNING TIME FRAME IN THESE ZONES BUT DO NOT WANT TOO MANY
HEADLINES FOR THE SAME PHENOMENA. WILL ISSUE WIND ADVYS FOR SRN
ZONE 23...26...AND SW COAST OF ZONE 29 FOR TONIGHT AND EARLY TUE.
ONCE THE TRAILING COLD FRONT MOVES THROUGH TUE MORNING...WINDS
SHOULD DROP BELOW ADVY LEVELS IN MOST AREAS...ALTHOUGH SOME
LOCALIZED ADVY LEVEL W-NW WINDS ARE POSSIBLE ALONG THE OUTER COAST
FROM PASI SWD LATER TUE MORNING.

ON THE N SIDE OF THE LOW...PRECIP WILL LIKELY FALL AS SNOW AND QPF
IS SUFFICIENT FOR HEAVY SNOW OVER MUCH OF THE NRN THIRD OF THE
AREA. THE ONE AREA THAT WILL BE TRICKY WILL BE AROUND PAJN...AS
LOW TRACK MIGHT ALLOW ENOUGH WARMING IN LOWER LEVELS FOR A MIX FOR
A FEW HOURS OVERNIGHT...BUT AS LOW MOVES PAST PAJN AROUND DAYBREAK
TUE...PRECIP SHOULD GO RIGHT BACK TO ALL SNOW AND IT WILL STILL BE
ON THE HEAVY SIDE WITH MID-LEVEL DEFORMATION BAND MOVING THROUGH AND
UPSLOPE FLOW OCCURRING. THE OTHER AREA OF CONCERN WILL BE NEAR
HYDER. PRECIP THERE WILL BECOME VERY HEAVY TONIGHT AND WITH WINDS
LIKELY TO BE LIGHT...ALLOW A HEAVY WET SNOW TO FALL THERE THROUGH
TUE MORNING. ONCE FLOW TURNS SW LATER TUE AFTER FROPA...SHOULD SEE
MORE MIXED PRECIP OR JUST RAIN IN HYDER.

OTHERWISE...THE PAYA AREA SHOULD SEE PRECIP DIMINISH EARLY THIS
EVENING AS FLOW TURNS OFFSHORE. THEN...AFTER COLD FRONT SWINGS
THROUGH THE AREA...PRECIP WILL BECOME SHOWERY AREA WIDE AND BECOME
MAINLY SNOW SHOWERS BY EARLY AFTERNOON FOR ALL BUT THE SRN AREA.
EVEN THERE...SOME MIXED PRECIP SHOULD OCCUR BY LATE AFTERNOON.

.LONG TERM...MODEL AGREEMENT IN THE MID TO LONG RANGE TOOK A
DETOUR TODAY AS THEY TOOK THE SHOTGUN APPROACH TO THE LOW MOVING
INTO THE WESTERN GULF AT 72 HOURS WITH THE MAIN FILES. THE LOW
SPREAD IS FROM YAKUTAT TO KETCHIKAN. AFTER THAT MODEL CONFIDENCE
IS IN THE LOW CATEGORY DUE TO WIDE VARIETY OF SOLUTIONS. TRIED TO
MAKE AS MINIMAL CHANGES AS POSSIBLE IN THE MID RANGE DUE TO
DIFFERENCES BUT THINK SOME CHANGES MAY HAVE BEEN BIGGER.

FOUND THE BEST CONSENSUS IN THE ECMWF/CANADIAN GEM/AND UKMET FOR
THE TRACK OF THE LOW WEDNESDAY TO THURSDAY. GRID MODIFICATIONS
WERE ADJUSTED TO THE ECMWF SOLUTION.

SO EXPECTING A WEAK TROUGH TO DISSIPATE ALONG THE COAST ON EARLY
THURSDAY. THERE SHOULD BE A BUILDING RIDGE OVER THE GULF A
SHORTWAVE DIGS SOUTHWARD IN THE UPPER TROUGH SOUTH OF THE EASTERN
ALEUTIANS FRIDAY NIGHT THAT WILL MOVE A DEVELOPING SYSTEM INTO THE
NORTHERN GULF FOR THE EARLY PART OF THE WEEKEND.

&&

.AJK WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
PUBLIC...WIND ADVISORY FROM MIDNIGHT TONIGHT TO 9 AM AKST TUESDAY FOR
     AKZ026.
         HIGH WIND WARNING FROM MIDNIGHT TONIGHT TO 6 AM AKST TUESDAY FOR
     AKZ027-028.
         WINTER STORM WARNING FROM 9 PM THIS EVENING TO 12 PM AKST
     TUESDAY FOR AKZ025.
         WINTER STORM WARNING FROM 9 PM THIS EVENING TO 9 AM AKST TUESDAY
     FOR AKZ021-022.
         WIND ADVISORY FROM MIDNIGHT TONIGHT TO 12 PM AKST TUESDAY FOR
     AKZ023.
         WINTER STORM WARNING FROM MIDNIGHT TONIGHT TO 9 AM AKST TUESDAY
     FOR AKZ019-020.
         WIND ADVISORY FROM 9 PM THIS EVENING TO 9 AM AKST TUESDAY FOR
     AKZ029.
         WIND ADVISORY UNTIL 4 PM AKST THIS AFTERNOON FOR AKZ018.
MARINE...GALE WARNING FOR PKZ033-035-036-041-042.
         SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY FOR PKZ011>013-021-022-031-032-034-043-051-
     052.

&&

RWT/BEZENEK