Wind Advisory 25, NWS Fairbanks, AK

000 
WWAK73 PAFG 261206
NPWAFG

URGENT - WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE FAIRBANKS AK
406 AM AKDT SUN JUL 26 2009

AKZ222-270000-
/X.EXT.PAFG.SM.Y.0007.090726T2000Z-090727T0800Z/
MIDDLE TANANA VALLEY-
INCLUDING...FAIRBANKS...FORT WAINWRIGHT...EIELSON AFB...ESTER...
NORTH POLE...MOOSE CREEK...TWO RIVERS...FOX...CHATANIKA...
CHENA HOT SPRINGS...SOURDOUGH CAMP
406 AM AKDT SUN JUL 26 2009

...DENSE SMOKE ADVISORY NOW IN EFFECT FROM NOON TODAY TO MIDNIGHT
AKDT TONIGHT...

THE DENSE SMOKE ADVISORY IS NOW IN EFFECT FROM NOON TODAY TO
MIDNIGHT AKDT TONIGHT. 

THE WIND IS EXPECTED TO TURN INTO THE SOUTH THIS AFTERNOON
WHICH WILL TRANSPORT SMOKE FROM WILDFIRES SOUTH OF THE TANANA
RIVER INTO PARTS OF THE MIDDLE TANANA VALLEY. THE VISIBILITY WILL
LIKELY BE REDUCED TO LESS THAN ONE MILE IN SPOTS. THERE IS ALSO
THE POTENTIAL FOR ASHFALL FROM THESE FIRES.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A DENSE SMOKE ADVISORY MEANS VISIBILITIES ARE LIMITED TO ONE MILE
OR LESS IN WILDFIRE SMOKE.

&&

$$

AKZ226-270000-
/X.CON.PAFG.WI.Y.0025.090726T1400Z-090727T1400Z/
EASTERN ALASKA RANGE-
INCLUDING...MENTASTA LAKE...BLACK RAPIDS...DONNELLY DOME...
TRIMS CAMP...EAGLE TRAIL...MINERAL LAKE
406 AM AKDT SUN JUL 26 2009

...WIND ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 AM AKDT MONDAY WEST
OF THE TOK CUTOFF...

A WIND ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 AM AKDT MONDAY. 

SOUTH WINDS WILL CONTINUE TO INCREASE TODAY. WIND GUSTS TO 55 MPH
ARE LIKELY TODAY AND TONIGHT IN FAVORED AREAS THROUGH PASSES WEST
OF THE TOK CUTOFF

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A WIND ADVISORY FOR THIS REGION MEANS THAT WINDS OF 50 MPH OR
HIGHER ARE EXPECTED IN THE AREA.

&&

$$

AKZ221-270000-
/X.CON.PAFG.SM.Y.0007.000000T0000Z-090727T0200Z/
CENTRAL INTERIOR-
INCLUDING...NENANA...ANDERSON...TANANA...MINTO...
MANLEY HOT SPRINGS...RAMPART...LAKE MINCHUMINA...LIVENGOOD
406 AM AKDT SUN JUL 26 2009

...DENSE SMOKE ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 PM AKDT THIS
EVENING...

A DENSE SMOKE ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 PM AKDT THIS
EVENING. 

SMOKE FROM WILDFIRES WILL REDUCE VISIBILITIES TO ONE MILE OR LESS
AT TIMES IN SOME AREAS TODAY. CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED TO IMPROVE
TONIGHT AS THE WIND TURNS INTO THE SOUTHWEST.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A DENSE SMOKE ADVISORY MEANS VISIBILITIES ARE LIMITED TO ONE MILE
OR LESS IN WILDFIRE SMOKE.

&&

$$

000 
WWAK73 PAFG 261221
NPWAFG

URGENT - WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE FAIRBANKS AK
421 AM AKDT SUN JUL 26 2009

AKZ223-270000-
/X.EXB.PAFG.WI.Y.0025.090726T1221Z-090727T0200Z/
DELTANA AND TANANA FLATS-
INCLUDING...SALCHA...DELTA JUNCTION...FORT GREELY...
HARDING/BIRCH LAKE...DRY CREEK...DOT LAKE...HEALY LAKE
421 AM AKDT SUN JUL 26 2009

...WIND ADVISORY IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 PM AKDT THIS EVENING FOR
THE DELTA JUNCTION AREA...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN FAIRBANKS HAS ISSUED A WIND
ADVISORY...WHICH IS IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 PM AKDT THIS EVENING. 

SOUTH WINDS OF 25 TO 40 MPH WITH OCCASIONAL GUSTS TO 55 MPH ARE
EXPECTED AROUND DELTA JUNCTION AND IN AREAS NEAR THE ALASKA 
RANGE TODAY. THE WIND WILL NOT BE AS STRONG IN THE SALCHA 
AREA...BUT GUSTS TO 30 MPH ARE POSSIBLE AT TIMES THIS AFTERNOON.
THE STRONG WIND WILL GRADUALLY DIMINISH THIS EVENING. 

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A WIND ADVISORY FOR THIS REGION MEANS THAT WINDS OF 50 MPH OR
HIGHER ARE EXPECTED IN THE AREA.

&&

$$

AKZ226-270000-
/X.CON.PAFG.WI.Y.0025.090726T1400Z-090727T1400Z/
EASTERN ALASKA RANGE-
INCLUDING...MENTASTA LAKE...BLACK RAPIDS...DONNELLY DOME...
TRIMS CAMP...EAGLE TRAIL...MINERAL LAKE
421 AM AKDT SUN JUL 26 2009

...WIND ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 AM AKDT MONDAY WEST
OF THE TOK CUTOFF...

A WIND ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 AM AKDT MONDAY. 

SOUTH WINDS WILL CONTINUE TO INCREASE TODAY. WIND GUSTS TO 55 MPH
ARE LIKELY TODAY AND TONIGHT IN FAVORED AREAS THROUGH PASSES WEST
OF THE TOK CUTOFF

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A WIND ADVISORY FOR THIS REGION MEANS THAT WINDS OF 50 MPH OR
HIGHER ARE EXPECTED IN THE AREA.

&&

$$

AKZ221-270000-
/X.CON.PAFG.SM.Y.0007.000000T0000Z-090727T0200Z/
CENTRAL INTERIOR-
INCLUDING...NENANA...ANDERSON...TANANA...MINTO...
MANLEY HOT SPRINGS...RAMPART...LAKE MINCHUMINA...LIVENGOOD
421 AM AKDT SUN JUL 26 2009

...DENSE SMOKE ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 PM AKDT THIS
EVENING...

A DENSE SMOKE ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 PM AKDT THIS
EVENING. 

SMOKE FROM WILDFIRES WILL REDUCE VISIBILITIES TO ONE MILE OR LESS
AT TIMES IN SOME AREAS TODAY. CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED TO IMPROVE
TONIGHT AS THE WIND TURNS INTO THE SOUTHWEST.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A DENSE SMOKE ADVISORY MEANS VISIBILITIES ARE LIMITED TO ONE MILE
OR LESS IN WILDFIRE SMOKE.

&&

$$

AKZ222-270000-
/X.CON.PAFG.SM.Y.0007.090726T2000Z-090727T0800Z/
MIDDLE TANANA VALLEY-
INCLUDING...FAIRBANKS...FORT WAINWRIGHT...EIELSON AFB...ESTER...
NORTH POLE...MOOSE CREEK...TWO RIVERS...FOX...CHATANIKA...
CHENA HOT SPRINGS...SOURDOUGH CAMP
421 AM AKDT SUN JUL 26 2009

...DENSE SMOKE ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM NOON TODAY TO
MIDNIGHT AKDT TONIGHT...

A DENSE SMOKE ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM NOON TODAY TO
MIDNIGHT AKDT TONIGHT. 

THE WIND IS EXPECTED TO TURN INTO THE SOUTH THIS AFTERNOON WHICH
WILL TRANSPORT SMOKE FROM WILDFIRES SOUTH OF THE TANANA RIVER
INTO PARTS OF THE MIDDLE TANANA VALLEY. THE VISIBILITY WILL
LIKELY BE REDUCED TO LESS THAN ONE MILE IN SPOTS. THERE IS ALSO
THE POTENTIAL FOR ASHFALL FROM THESE FIRES.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A DENSE SMOKE ADVISORY MEANS VISIBILITIES ARE LIMITED TO ONE MILE
OR LESS IN WILDFIRE SMOKE.

&&

$$

000 
WWAK73 PAFG 261803
NPWAFG

URGENT - WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE FAIRBANKS AK
1003 AM AKDT SUN JUL 26 2009

AKZ222-261915-
/X.CAN.PAFG.SM.Y.0007.090726T2000Z-090727T0800Z/
MIDDLE TANANA VALLEY-
INCLUDING...FAIRBANKS...FORT WAINWRIGHT...EIELSON AFB...ESTER...
NORTH POLE...MOOSE CREEK...TWO RIVERS...FOX...CHATANIKA...
CHENA HOT SPRINGS...SOURDOUGH CAMP
1003 AM AKDT SUN JUL 26 2009

...DENSE SMOKE ADVISORY IS CANCELLED...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN FAIRBANKS HAS CANCELLED THE DENSE
SMOKE ADVISORY. 

$$

AKZ223-270100-
/X.CON.PAFG.WI.Y.0025.000000T0000Z-090727T0200Z/
DELTANA AND TANANA FLATS-
INCLUDING...SALCHA...DELTA JUNCTION...FORT GREELY...
HARDING/BIRCH LAKE...DRY CREEK...DOT LAKE...HEALY LAKE
1003 AM AKDT SUN JUL 26 2009

...WIND ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 PM AKDT THIS EVENING
FOR THE DELTA JUNCTION AREA...

A WIND ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 PM AKDT THIS EVENING. 

SOUTH WINDS OF 25 TO 40 MPH WITH OCCASIONAL GUSTS TO 55 MPH ARE
EXPECTED AROUND DELTA JUNCTION AND IN AREAS NEAR THE ALASKA RANGE
TODAY. THE WIND WILL NOT BE AS STRONG IN THE SALCHA AREA...BUT
GUSTS TO 30 MPH ARE POSSIBLE AT TIMES THIS AFTERNOON. THE STRONG
WIND WILL GRADUALLY DIMINISH THIS EVENING.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A WIND ADVISORY FOR THIS REGION MEANS THAT WINDS OF 50 MPH OR
HIGHER ARE EXPECTED IN THE AREA.

&&

$$

AKZ226-270100-
/X.CON.PAFG.WI.Y.0025.000000T0000Z-090727T1400Z/
EASTERN ALASKA RANGE-
INCLUDING...MENTASTA LAKE...BLACK RAPIDS...DONNELLY DOME...
TRIMS CAMP...EAGLE TRAIL...MINERAL LAKE
1003 AM AKDT SUN JUL 26 2009

...WIND ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 AM AKDT MONDAY WEST
OF THE TOK CUTOFF...

A WIND ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 AM AKDT MONDAY. 

SOUTH WINDS WILL CONTINUE TO INCREASE TODAY. WIND GUSTS TO 55 MPH
ARE LIKELY TODAY AND TONIGHT IN FAVORED AREAS THROUGH PASSES WEST
OF THE TOK CUTOFF

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A WIND ADVISORY FOR THIS REGION MEANS THAT WINDS OF 50 MPH OR
HIGHER ARE EXPECTED IN THE AREA.

&&

$$

AKZ221-270100-
/X.CON.PAFG.SM.Y.0007.000000T0000Z-090727T0200Z/
CENTRAL INTERIOR-
INCLUDING...NENANA...ANDERSON...TANANA...MINTO...
MANLEY HOT SPRINGS...RAMPART...LAKE MINCHUMINA...LIVENGOOD
1003 AM AKDT SUN JUL 26 2009

...DENSE SMOKE ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 PM AKDT THIS
EVENING...

A DENSE SMOKE ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 PM AKDT THIS
EVENING. 

SMOKE FROM WILDFIRES WILL REDUCE VISIBILITIES TO ONE MILE OR LESS
AT TIMES IN SOME AREAS TODAY. CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED TO IMPROVE
TONIGHT AS THE WIND TURNS INTO THE SOUTHWEST.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A DENSE SMOKE ADVISORY MEANS VISIBILITIES ARE LIMITED TO ONE MILE
OR LESS IN WILDFIRE SMOKE.

&&

$$

ES JUL 09

000 
WWAK73 PAFG 261915
NPWAFG

URGENT - WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE FAIRBANKS AK
1115 AM AKDT SUN JUL 26 2009

AKZ221-262015-
/X.CAN.PAFG.SM.Y.0007.000000T0000Z-090727T0200Z/
CENTRAL INTERIOR-
INCLUDING...NENANA...ANDERSON...TANANA...MINTO...
MANLEY HOT SPRINGS...RAMPART...LAKE MINCHUMINA...LIVENGOOD
1115 AM AKDT SUN JUL 26 2009

...DENSE SMOKE ADVISORY IS CANCELLED...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN FAIRBANKS HAS CANCELLED THE DENSE
SMOKE ADVISORY. 

$$

AKZ223-270100-
/X.CON.PAFG.WI.Y.0025.000000T0000Z-090727T0200Z/
DELTANA AND TANANA FLATS-
INCLUDING...SALCHA...DELTA JUNCTION...FORT GREELY...
HARDING/BIRCH LAKE...DRY CREEK...DOT LAKE...HEALY LAKE
1115 AM AKDT SUN JUL 26 2009

...WIND ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 PM AKDT THIS EVENING
FOR THE DELTA JUNCTION AREA...

A WIND ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 PM AKDT THIS EVENING. 

SOUTH WINDS OF 25 TO 40 MPH WITH OCCASIONAL GUSTS TO 55 MPH ARE
EXPECTED AROUND DELTA JUNCTION AND IN AREAS NEAR THE ALASKA RANGE
TODAY. THE WIND WILL NOT BE AS STRONG IN THE SALCHA AREA...BUT
GUSTS TO 30 MPH ARE POSSIBLE AT TIMES THIS AFTERNOON. THE STRONG
WIND WILL GRADUALLY DIMINISH THIS EVENING.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A WIND ADVISORY FOR THIS REGION MEANS THAT WINDS OF 50 MPH OR
HIGHER ARE EXPECTED IN THE AREA.

&&

$$

AKZ226-270100-
/X.CON.PAFG.WI.Y.0025.000000T0000Z-090727T1400Z/
EASTERN ALASKA RANGE-
INCLUDING...MENTASTA LAKE...BLACK RAPIDS...DONNELLY DOME...
TRIMS CAMP...EAGLE TRAIL...MINERAL LAKE
1115 AM AKDT SUN JUL 26 2009

...WIND ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 AM AKDT MONDAY WEST
OF THE TOK CUTOFF...

A WIND ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 AM AKDT MONDAY. 

SOUTH WINDS WILL CONTINUE TO INCREASE TODAY. WIND GUSTS TO 55 MPH
ARE LIKELY TODAY AND TONIGHT IN FAVORED AREAS THROUGH PASSES WEST
OF THE TOK CUTOFF

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A WIND ADVISORY FOR THIS REGION MEANS THAT WINDS OF 50 MPH OR
HIGHER ARE EXPECTED IN THE AREA.

&&

$$

ES JUL 09

000 
WWAK73 PAFG 262239
NPWAFG

URGENT - WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE FAIRBANKS AK
239 PM AKDT SUN JUL 26 2009

AKZ223-270800-
/X.EXT.PAFG.WI.Y.0025.000000T0000Z-090727T0800Z/
DELTANA AND TANANA FLATS-
INCLUDING...SALCHA...DELTA JUNCTION...FORT GREELY...
HARDING/BIRCH LAKE...DRY CREEK...DOT LAKE...HEALY LAKE
239 PM AKDT SUN JUL 26 2009

...WIND ADVISORY NOW IN EFFECT UNTIL MIDNIGHT AKDT TONIGHT FOR
THE DELTA JUNCTION AREA...

THE WIND ADVISORY IS NOW IN EFFECT UNTIL MIDNIGHT AKDT TONIGHT. 

SOUTH WINDS OF 50 MPH ARE EXPECTED AROUND DELTA JUNCTION AND IN
AREAS NEAR THE ALASKA RANGE THROUGH THIS EVENING. THE WIND WILL
NOT BE AS STRONG IN THE SALCHA AREA. THE STRONG WIND WILL
GRADUALLY DIMINISH BY MIDNIGHT.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A WIND ADVISORY FOR THIS REGION MEANS THAT WINDS OF 50 MPH OR
HIGHER ARE EXPECTED IN THE AREA.

&&

$$

AKZ226-270800-
/X.CON.PAFG.WI.Y.0025.000000T0000Z-090727T1400Z/
EASTERN ALASKA RANGE-
INCLUDING...MENTASTA LAKE...BLACK RAPIDS...DONNELLY DOME...
TRIMS CAMP...EAGLE TRAIL...MINERAL LAKE
239 PM AKDT SUN JUL 26 2009

...WIND ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 AM AKDT MONDAY WEST
OF THE TOK CUTOFF...

A WIND ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 AM AKDT MONDAY. 

SOUTH WINDS WILL LOCALLY GUST TO 50 MPH THROUGH PASSES WEST OF
THE TOK CUTOFF TONIGHT.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A WIND ADVISORY FOR THIS REGION MEANS THAT WINDS OF 50 MPH OR
HIGHER ARE EXPECTED IN THE AREA.

&&

$$

ES JUL 09

000 
WWAK73 PAFG 270414
NPWAFG

URGENT - WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE FAIRBANKS AK
814 PM AKDT SUN JUL 26 2009

AKZ226-270515-
/X.CAN.PAFG.WI.Y.0025.000000T0000Z-090727T1400Z/
EASTERN ALASKA RANGE-
INCLUDING...MENTASTA LAKE...BLACK RAPIDS...DONNELLY DOME...
TRIMS CAMP...EAGLE TRAIL...MINERAL LAKE
814 PM AKDT SUN JUL 26 2009

...WIND ADVISORY IS CANCELLED...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN FAIRBANKS HAS CANCELLED THE WIND
ADVISORY. 



$$

AKZ223-270515-
/X.CAN.PAFG.WI.Y.0025.000000T0000Z-090727T0800Z/
DELTANA AND TANANA FLATS-
INCLUDING...SALCHA...DELTA JUNCTION...FORT GREELY...
HARDING/BIRCH LAKE...DRY CREEK...DOT LAKE...HEALY LAKE
814 PM AKDT SUN JUL 26 2009

...WIND ADVISORY IS CANCELLED...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN FAIRBANKS HAS CANCELLED THE WIND
ADVISORY. 



$$

NORTHERN ALASKA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE FAIRBANKS AK
450 AM AKDT SAT JUL 25 2009

.DISCUSSION...
THE MODELS AGREE WELL ON THE OVERALL PATTERN DURING THE NEXT SEVERAL
DAYS THAT THERE WILL BE A HIGHLY AMPLIFIED PATTERN. THE AREA OF
CONTENTION IS WHAT HAPPENS WITH WAVES OF ENERGY THAT MOVE OUT ACROSS
THE NORTH PAC AND WHETHER SOME OF THIS ENERGY CAN UNDERCUT THE
STRONG RIDGE.

ALOFT...AN UPPER LOW COMPLEX CENTERED AROUND 170W WILL REMAIN A
FIXED FEATURE FOR THE NEXT FEW DAYS WITH WAVES OF ENERGY BOTH ALOFT
AND AT THE SURFACE ROTATING AROUND THIS COMPLEX LOW. AN UPPER RIDGE
ALONG THE BC COAST WILL CONTINUE TO BUILD TO THE NNW THE NEXT FEW
DAYS WITH THE RIDGE AXIS ALONG 135W BY MONDAY AND EXTENDING NORTH
INTO THE BEAUFORT SEA. ELSEWHERE...AN UPPER LOW ACROSS THE HIGH
ARCTIC WATERS WILL GRADUALLY LIFT OUT TO THE NW WITH THE ADVANCING
RIDGE.

SURFACE...WAVES OF LOW PRESSURE WILL CONTINUE TO ROTATE AROUND THE
LOW COMPLEX NEAR 170W.  ONE WAVE WILL LIFT NORTH TOWARDS THE AK
PENINSULA TODAY WITH A SECOND WAVE TO LIFT NORTH TO THE EASTERN
ALEUTIANS MONDAY.  THE THERMAL TROUGH NEAR THE BROOKS RANGE WILL
CONTINUE TO LIFT NORTH TODAY AND WEAKEN AS A MORE DYNAMICALLY
INDUCED TROUGH DEVELOPS TONIGHT NORTH OF THE AK RANGE.  STRONG
SURFACE RIDGING WILL PERSIST ACROSS SOUTHEAST AK THE NEXT FEW DAYS.

INTERIOR...500 MB HEIGHTS CLIMBED 80 METERS IN THE LAST 24 HOURS
AT FAIRBANKS...WITH 559 DAM HEIGHTS OBSERVED ON THE PAFA 12Z
SOUNDING THIS MORNING. THE 500 MB HEIGHTS WILL CONTINUE TO
GRADUALLY CLIMB THIS WEEKEND AS THE ATMOSPHERE GRADUALLY WARMS
FROM THE TOP DOWN. LITTLE CHANGE IN THE LOWER LEVELS THUS FAR WITH
AN 850 MB TEMP OF +6C ON THE 12Z SOUNDINGS THE LAST TWO MORNINGS.
AS THE ATMOSPHERE WARMS ALOFT IT WILL PUT A KIBOSH ON ANY
ORGANIZED CONVECTION ACROSS THE INTERIOR. THE STRONG RIDGING SOUTH
OF THE AK RANGE AND THE DYNAMICALLY INDUCED TROUGH NORTH OF THE AK
RANGE WILL PRODUCE STRONG WIND IN THE PASSES OF THE AK
RANGE...WITH THE STRONGEST WIND LIKELY ON SUNDAY. THIS WILL
CONTINUE TO LEAD TO FIRE WEATHER CONCERNS AS WELL AS AREAS OF
SMOKE DOWNWIND OF FIRES. TEMPERATURES WILL SLOWLY MODERATE THIS
WEEKEND...BUT THE WARMEST WEATHER HOLDS OFF UNTIL NEXT WEEK IN THE
CENTRAL AND EASTERN INTERIOR. WILL NEED TO KEEP AN EYE ON THE
WINDS IN THE PASSES IN THE AK RANGE AS WINDS COULD REACH
ADVISORIES LEVELS AT SOME POINT LATER TONIGHT OR SUNDAY.

NORTH SLOPE..THE ELY FLOW ALONG THE ARCTIC COAST CONTINUES TO
RELAX AS THE THERMAL TROUGH LIFTS NORTH ONTO THE COASTAL PLAIN AND
WEAKENS TODAY. THE WINDS MAY EVEN BRIEFLY TURN OFFSHORE THIS
AFTERNOON ALONG THE CENTRAL BEAUFORT SEA COAST. AS RIDGING
DEVELOPS OFFSHORE SUNDAY AND MONDAY AND THE THERMAL TROUGH THAT
DEVELOPS NORTH OF THE AK RANGE THIS EVENING LIFTS NORTH THE
GRADIENT WILL INCREASE AGAIN...BUT NOT NEARLY AS STRONG AS IT WAS
EARLIER IN THE WEEK WITH ONLY SOME MARGINAL SMALL CRAFTS POSSIBLE
BY SUNDAY EVENING. THE ONSHORE FLOW WILL CONTINUE TO KEEP IN AREAS
OF LOW CLOUDS AND FOG. A BETTER CHANCE BY TUE-WED NEXT WEEK OF
SOME OFFSHORE FLOW AND MUCH WARMER TEMPS.

WEST COAST...THE MOST LIKELY SPOTS FOR CONVECTION TODAY WILL BE
NORTH OF THE SEWARD PENINSULA IN ZONES 208 AND 217 CLOSEST TO THE
THERMAL TROUGH. AS THE FIRST WAVE LIFTS NORTH TO THE AK PENINSULA
TONIGHT AND UP INTO SW AK SUNDAY IT WILL LIKELY BE ACCOMPANIED BY
SOME SHOWERS AND EVEN SOME AREAS OF STRATIFORM RAIN ACROSS THE
SOUTHWEST ZONES. ADDL WAVES OF MOISTURE TO LIFT NORTH ON MONDAY
AS THE SECOND LOW LIFTS NORTH INTO THE SOUTHEAST BERING.

MID-RANGE...GOOD AGREEMENT THAT THE HIGHLY AMPLIFIED PATTERN
CONTINUES THROUGH NEXT WEEK. THE BEST AGREEMENT IS THAT A STRONG
RIDGE REMAINS ACROSS NORTHWEST CANADA INTO EASTERN AK.  MODELS
HAVING A MORE DIFFICULT TIME WITH WAVES OF PACIFIC ENERGY THAT MAY
UNDERCUT THE RIDGE LATER IN THE WEEK. HIGH CONFIDENCE ON WELL
ABOVE AVERAGE TEMPERATURES ACROSS THE CENTRAL AND EASTERN INTERIOR...
WITH THE POTENTIAL FOR A FEW RECORD HIGHS TOWARD MID WEEK. LITTLE
HOPE OF ANY SIGNIFICANT PRECIPITATION ACROSS THE INTERIOR.
COOLER AND MORE UNSETTLED ALONG THE WEST COAST AND WELL ABOVE
AVERAGE TEMPS LIKELY WITH THE STRONG SOUTHERLY FLOW ACROSS THE
ARCTIC. OF NOTE...THE GFS OVERALL HAS BEEN MORE CONSISTENT THAN THE
ECMWF THE LAST FEW DAYS. THE OPERATIONAL ECMWF HAS TRIED TO DROP
LOWS INTO THE RIDGE AND UNDERCUT THE STRONG RIDGE AT TIMES MUCH
MORE SO THAN THE GFS.

COASTAL HAZARD POTENTIAL DAYS 3 AND 4...NONE

&&

.FIRE WEATHER...GAP WINDS WILL CONTINUE IN THE PASSES OF THE
AK RANGE THE NEXT FEW DAYS...WITH THE FLOW BECOMING EVEN STRONGER
ON SUNDAY AS A STRONG SURFACE RIDGE REMAINS IN PLACE SOUTH OF THE
AK RANGE AND AS A DYNAMICALLY INDUCED TROUGH DEVELOPS NORTH OF THE
RANGE. TEMPS TO INCREASE SIGNIFICANTLY ACROSS THE CENTRAL AND
EASTERN INTERIOR EARLY NEXT WEEK. THE WARMING AND DRYING ALONG
WITH AREAS OF STRONGER WIND WILL CONTINUE TO PRODUCE SIGNIFICANT
METEOROLOGICAL FIRE WEATHER CONCERNS FOR THE NEXT SEVERAL DAYS.

&&

.HYDROLOGY...NO ISSUES DURING THE NEXT FEW DAYS AS WATER LEVELS
CONTINUE TO SLOWLY FALL. AS FREEZING LEVELS INCREASE EARLY NEXT
WEEK IT WILL CAUSE GLACIALLY FED STREAMS AND RIVERS TO BEGIN TO
RISE.

&&

.AFG WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
RED FLAG WARNING FOR AKZ223.
&&

CB JUL 09