Storm Warning 4, NWS Fairbanks, AK

456 
FZAK51 PAFG 222218
CWFNSB

COASTAL WATERS FORECAST FOR ARCTIC ALASKA
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE FAIRBANKS AK
218 PM AKDT THU OCT 22 2009

ARCTIC ALASKA COASTAL WATERS OUT 100 NM

WIND FORECASTS REFLECT THE PREDOMINANT SPEED AND DIRECTION
EXPECTED. SEA FORECASTS REPRESENT THE AVERAGE OF THE HIGHEST ONE-
THIRD OF THE COMBINED WIND WAVE AND SWELL HEIGHT.

PKZ298-231330-
218 PM AKDT THU OCT 22 2009

.SYNOPSIS FOR ARCTIC COAST...
HIGH PRESSURE OF 1030 MB ACROSS THE NORTHERN BEAUFORT SEA WILL
DRIFT NORTH THURSDAY NIGHT AND FRIDAY ALLOWING WINDS TO SLOWLY
DIMINISH INTO THE WEEKEND.

$$

PKZ225-231330-
CAPE THOMPSON TO CAPE BEAUFORT-
218 PM AKDT THU OCT 22 2009

...GALE WARNING IN EFFECT THROUGH FRIDAY AFTERNOON...
...HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY WARNING IN EFFECT THROUGH FRIDAY
AFTERNOON...

.TONIGHT...NE WINDS 40 DECREASING TO 35 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS 15 FT.
SNOW SHOWERS. VSBY 1 NM OR LESS. HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY.
.FRI...NE WINDS 35 KT. SEAS 15 FT. HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY. 
.FRI NIGHT...NE WINDS 30 KT. SEAS 14 FT.  
.SAT...NE WINDS 30 KT. SEAS 13 FT. 
.SAT NIGHT...NE WINDS 25 KT. SEAS 11 FT.  
.SUN...NE WINDS 25 KT. SEAS 10 FT. 
.SUN NIGHT...N WINDS 25 KT. SEAS 10 FT.  
.MON...N WINDS 20 KT. SEAS 9 FT. 
.TUE...S WINDS 20 KT. SEAS 7 FT.  

$$

PKZ230-231330-
CAPE BEAUFORT TO POINT FRANKLIN-
218 PM AKDT THU OCT 22 2009

...GALE WARNING IN EFFECT THROUGH FRIDAY AFTERNOON...
...HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY WARNING IN EFFECT THROUGH FRIDAY
AFTERNOON...

.TONIGHT...E WINDS 40 KT. SEAS 15 FT. VSBY 1 NM OR LESS.
HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY.
.FRI...E WINDS 35 KT. SEAS 14 FT. HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY.
.FRI NIGHT...NE WINDS 30 KT. SEAS 13 FT. 
.SAT...NE WINDS 25 KT. SEAS 12 FT. 
.SAT NIGHT...NE WINDS 20 KT. SEAS 9 FT. 
.SUN...NE WINDS 20 KT. SEAS 9 FT.  
.SUN NIGHT...N WINDS 25 KT. SEAS 9 FT.  
.MON...NW WINDS 25 KT. SEAS 9 FT. 
.TUE...S WINDS 20 KT. SEAS 7 FT.  

$$

PKZ235-231330-
POINT FRANKLIN TO CAPE HALKETT-
218 PM AKDT THU OCT 22 2009

...GALE WARNING IN EFFECT THROUGH FRIDAY AFTERNOON...
...HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY WARNING IN EFFECT THROUGH FRIDAY
AFTERNOON...

.TONIGHT...E WINDS 40 KT. SEAS 13 FT. VSBY 1 NM OR LESS.
HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY.
.FRI...E WINDS 35 KT. SEAS 12 FT. HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY.
.FRI NIGHT...E WINDS 30 KT. SEAS 11 FT.  
.SAT...E WINDS 25 KT. SEAS 10 FT.  
.SAT NIGHT...E WINDS 20 KT. SEAS 8 FT.  
.SUN...NE WINDS 15 KT. SEAS 7 FT. 
.SUN NIGHT...E WINDS 20 KT. SEAS 8 FT.  
.MON...NW WINDS 20 KT. SEAS 8 FT. 
.TUE...S WINDS 15 KT. SEAS 6 FT.  

$$

PKZ240-231330-
CAPE HALKETT TO FLAXMAN ISLAND-
218 PM AKDT THU OCT 22 2009

...GALE WARNING IN EFFECT THROUGH FRIDAY AFTERNOON...
...HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY WARNING IN EFFECT THROUGH FRIDAY
AFTERNOON...

.TONIGHT...E WINDS 40 KT. SEAS 13 FT. VSBY 1 NM OR LESS.
HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY.
.FRI...E WINDS 35 KT. SEAS 11 FT. HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY.
.FRI NIGHT...E WINDS 30 KT. SEAS 10 FT.  
.SAT...E WINDS 25 KT. SEAS 8 FT SUBSIDING TO 6 FT. 
.SAT NIGHT...E WINDS 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.SUN...E WINDS 15 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.SUN NIGHT...E WINDS 15 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.MON...NW WINDS 15 KT. SEAS 6 FT. 
.TUE...N WINDS 10 KT. SEAS 5 FT.  

$$

PKZ245-231330-
FLAXMAN ISLAND TO DEMARCATION POINT-
218 PM AKDT THU OCT 22 2009

...GALE WARNING IN EFFECT THROUGH FRIDAY AFTERNOON...

.TONIGHT...E WINDS 45 KT. BLOWING SNOW. 
.FRI...E WINDS 40 KT. BLOWING SNOW.
.FRI NIGHT...E WINDS 40 KT. BLOWING SNOW. 
.SAT...E WINDS 35 KT. 
.SAT NIGHT...E WINDS 20 KT. 
.SUN...E WINDS 15 KT. 
.SUN NIGHT...E WINDS 15 KT. 
.MON...W WINDS 15 KT. 
.TUE...N WINDS 15 KT.  

$$

MKK/RL OCT 09

NORTHERN ALASKA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE FAIRBANKS AK
316 PM AKDT WED OCT 21 2009

.DISCUSSION...
THE MODELS ARE IN GOOD AGREEMENT THROUGH FRIDAY AT BOTH THE
SURFACE AND ALOFT. AN UPPER LEVEL LOW OVER NORTHERN ALASKA WILL
MOVE WEST TO THE BERING STRAIT BY THURSDAY EVENING...THEN SOUTH
TO THE NORTH BERING SEA BY SATURDAY MORNING. THIS WILL PRODUCE
A SOUTHERLY FLOW INTO THE INTERIOR BRINGING WARMER AIR ALOFT.
A SERIES OF SURFACE LOWS WILL MOVE INTO THE GULF OF ALASKA
THROUGH SUNDAY CREATING EAST TO NORTHEAST WINDS OVER MOST OF THE
STATE...STRONGEST ALONG THE ARCTIC COAST AS AN ARCTIC HIGH 550 NM
NORTH OF BARROW SLOWLY RETREATS TO THE NORTHEAST.

INTERIOR...EAST TO NORTHEAST WINDS WILL PERSIST THROUGH FRIDAY
WITH GUSTS 25 TO 30 MPH AND BLOWING SNOW OVER HIGHER TERRAIN.
A FEW FLURRIES ARE POSSIBLE THIS EVENING AND TONIGHT IN THE
CENTRAL INTERIOR WITH SNOW, SNOW SHOWERS AND BLOWING SNOW ALONG
THE SOUTH SIDE OF THE BROOKS RANGE. SNOW ACCUMULATIONS TO 2 INCHES
POSSIBLE. SKIES WILL REMAIN CLOUDY TO MOSTLY CLOUDY WITH A SLIGHT
WARMING TREND INTO THE WEEKEND OVER THE CENTRAL AND EASTERN INTERIOR.

WEST COAST...ISOLATED SNOW SHOWERS AND FLURRIES POSSIBLE TONIGHT
AND THURSDAY FROM THE SEWARD PENINSULA NORTH. MOSTLY DRY OVER THE
SOUTHWEST UNTIL THURSDAY NIGHT AND FRIDAY WHEN SCATTERED SNOW
SHOWERS DEVELOP...NO LARGE ACCUMULATIONS EXPECTED. WINDS WILL
CONTINUE FROM THE EAST AND NORTHEAST OVER THE AREA WITH THE
STRONGEST ALONG THE COAST AT 20 TO 30 MPH. LITTLE CHANGE IN THE
TEMPERATURES THROUGH THE WEEKEND.

NORTH SLOPE...THIS IS THE AREA WITH THE MOST NOTEWORTHY WEATHER
AS VERY STRONG EASTERLY WINDS BLOW AT GALE FORCE FOR THE NEXT 24 HOURS
ALONG AND OFFSHORE THE ARCTIC COAST. EXPECT AREAS OF SNOW, BLOWING
SNOW, AND FOG TO REDUCE VISIBILITIES TO NEAR BLIZZARD CONDITIONS
THROUGH TONIGHT INTO THURSDAY MORNING. WINTER WEATHER ADVISORIES
ARE OUT FOR ZONES 202 AND 203 DUE TO BLOWING SNOW. SNOWFALL OF 1
TO 2 INCHES THIS EVENING WILL BEGIN TO TAPER OFF NEAR MIDNIGHT.
ZONE 204 HAS A STRONG WIND HEADLINE AS WINDS ARE VERY STRONG BUT
VISIBILITY HAS BEEN ONLY REDUCED TO 1 TO 3 MILES.

COASTAL HAZARD POTENTIAL DAYS 3 AND 4...NONE

&&

.HYDROLOGY...NONE

&&

.AFG WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY FOR AKZ202-AKZ203.

HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY WARNING FOR PKZ220-PKZ225-PKZ230-PKZ235-
PKZ240-PKZ245.

GALE WARNING FOR PKZ225-PKZ230-PKZ235-PKZ240-PKZ245.

SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY FOR PKZ200-PKZ210-PKZ215-PKZ220-PKZ225.
&&

RL OCT 09