Storm Warning 238, NWS Anchorage, AK

000 
FZAK52 PAFC 200111 CCA
CWFALU

COASTAL WATERS FORECAST CORRECTED
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ANCHORAGE ALASKA
410 PM AKST THU NOV 19 2009

CORRECT ZONE 160

COASTAL WATERS FORECAST FOR SOUTHWEST ALASKA+BRISTOL BAY+THE
ALASKA PENINSULA WATERS AND THE ALEUTIAN ISLANDS UP TO 100 NM OUT.

WIND FORECASTS REFLECT THE PREDOMINANT SPEED AND DIRECTION
EXPECTED. SEA FORECASTS REPRESENT AN AVERAGE OF THE HIGHEST
ONE-THIRD OF THE COMBINED WIND WAVE AND SWELL HEIGHT.

PKZ199-201500-
400 PM AKST THU NOV 19 2009
.SYNOPSIS FOR SOUTHWEST ALASKA+BRISTOL BAY+THE ALASKA
PENINSULA WATERS AND THE ALEUTIAN ISLANDS...

A 955 MB LOW 200 NM NORTHWEST OF SHEMYA WILL WEAKEN TO 976 MB 60 NM
EAST OF SHEMYA SATURDAY AFTERNOON AND THEN DISSIPATE SATURDAY NIGHT.
A NORTH PACIFIC LOW WILL MOVE TO 200 NM WEST OF ADAK FRIDAY AFTERNOON
AT 981 MB AND STRENGTHEN TO 966 MB AS IT MOVES TO 100 NM SOUTHWEST OF
ST PAUL SATURDAY AFTERNOON.

$$

PKZ150-201500-
COASTAL WATERS SOUTH OF THE ALASKA PENINSULA SITKINAK TO CASTLE
CAPE
400 PM AKST THU NOV 19 2009

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY FRIDAY AND FRIDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT BECOMING SE 20 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT.
SEAS 6 FT. 
.FRI...E WIND 15 KT BECOMING NW 25 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 7 FT.
RAIN SHOWERS AND SNOW. 
.FRI NIGHT...NW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 12 FT. RAIN AND SNOW SHOWERS. 
.SAT...SW WIND 35 KT. SEAS 14 FT. 
.SAT NIGHT...S WIND 30 KT. SEAS 12 FT. 
.SUN...S WIND 25 KT. SEAS 12 FT. 
.MON...SW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 14 FT. 
.TUE...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 10 FT.  

$$

PKZ155-201500-
COASTAL WATERS SOUTH OF THE ALASKA PENINSULA CASTLE CAPE TO CAPE
SARICHEF
400 PM AKST THU NOV 19 2009

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH FRIDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...S WIND 30 KT. SEAS 11 FT. RAIN AND SNOW. 
.FRI...W WIND 30 KT. SEAS 14 FT. RAIN SHOWERS. 
.FRI NIGHT...W WIND 30 KT. SEAS 17 FT. RAIN SHOWERS. 
.SAT...SW WIND 40 KT. SEAS 16 FT. 
.SAT NIGHT...SW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 15 FT. 
.SUN...SW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 19 FT. 
.MON...W WIND 20 KT. SEAS 17 FT. 
.TUE...N WIND 30 KT. SEAS 10 FT.  

$$

PKZ160-201500-
BRISTOL BAY WATERS CAPE NEWENHAM TO PORT HEIDEN
400 PM AKST THU NOV 19 2009

...HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY WARNING THROUGH FRIDAY...
...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TONIGHT...

.TONIGHT...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 7 FT. HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY. 
.FRI...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT. HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY. 
.FRI NIGHT...NE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.SAT...SE WIND 35 KT. SEAS 11 FT. 
.SAT NIGHT...SE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 11 FT. 
.SUN...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 6 FT. 
.MON...SW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 7 FT. 
.TUE...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 6 FT.  

$$

PKZ165-201500-
PORT HEIDEN TO CAPE SARICHEF
400 PM AKST THU NOV 19 2009

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH FRIDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...S WIND 25 KT. FROM PORT MOLLER E...SE WIND 25 KT
DIMINISHING TO 15 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS 9 FT. RAIN. 
.FRI...W WIND 30 KT...SEAS 11 FT BUILDING TO 16 FT IN THE AFTERNOON.
FROM PORT MOLLER E...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT BECOMING NW 15 KT IN THE
AFTERNOON...SEAS 5 FT BUILDING TO 8 FT IN THE AFTERNOON. RAIN
SHOWERS. 
.FRI NIGHT...NW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 19 FT EXCEPT 14 FT FROM PORT MOLLER
E. RAIN SHOWERS. 
.SAT...SW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 17 FT. 
.SAT NIGHT...S WIND 30 KT. SEAS 14 FT. 
.SUN...SW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 13 FT. 
.MON...W WIND 25 KT. SEAS 11 FT. 
.TUE...NW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 8 FT.  

$$

PKZ180-201500-
SOUTHWEST ALASKA WATERS CAPE NEWENHAM TO DALL POINT
400 PM AKST THU NOV 19 2009

...GALE WARNING TONIGHT...
...HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY WARNING THROUGH FRIDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...E WIND 35 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 9 FT. HEAVY
FREEZING SPRAY. 
.FRI AND FRI NIGHT...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 7 FT.
HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY. 
.SAT...E WIND 35 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 10 FT. 
.SAT NIGHT AND SUN...NE WIND 35 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 11 FT. 
.MON...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 7 FT. 
.TUE...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 4 FT.  

$$

PKZ170-201500-
EASTERN ALEUTIANS CAPE SARICHEF TO NIKOLSKI
400 PM AKST THU NOV 19 2009

...GALE WARNING THROUGH FRIDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...SE WIND 25 KT INCREASING TO W WIND 35 KT LATER THIS
EVENING. SEAS 15 FT. RAIN AND SNOW SHOWERS. 
.FRI...W WIND 35 KT. SEAS 22 FT. RAIN SHOWERS. 
.FRI NIGHT...W WIND 25 KT BECOMING S 40 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS
21 FT. RAIN SHOWERS. 
.SAT...SW WIND 40 KT. SEAS 20 FT. 
.SAT NIGHT...SW WIND 35 KT. SEAS 21 FT. 
.SUN...W WIND 25 KT. SEAS 20 FT. 
.MON...NW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 14 FT. 
.TUE...NW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 11 FT.  

$$

PKZ171-201500-
UNALASKA BAY
400 PM AKST THU NOV 19 2009

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH FRIDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...SE WIND 25 KT BECOMING W WIND 25 KT EARLY THIS EVENING.
GUSTS TO 40 KT. SEAS 4 FT. RAIN AND SNOW SHOWERS. 
.FRI...W WIND 25 KT. SEAS 4 FT. RAIN SHOWERS. 
.FRI NIGHT...S WIND 25 KT. SEAS 4 FT. RAIN SHOWERS. 
.SAT...SW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.SAT NIGHT...SW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.SUN...W WIND 20 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.MON AND TUE...NW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 6 FT. 


$$

PKZ172-201500-
EASTERN ALEUTIANS NIKOLSKI TO ADAK
400 PM AKST THU NOV 19 2009

...GALE WARNING THROUGH FRIDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...SW WIND 45 KT. SEAS 23 FT BERING SIDE...32 FT PACIFIC
SIDE. RAIN SHOWERS. 
.FRI...W WIND 40 KT. SEAS 24 FT BERING SIDE...32 FT PACIFIC SIDE.
RAIN SHOWERS. 
.FRI NIGHT...SW WIND 45 KT. SEAS 25 FT. RAIN SHOWERS.
.SAT AND SAT NIGHT...W WIND 40 KT. SEAS 25 FT. 
.SUN...NW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 22 FT. 
.MON AND TUE...NW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 13 FT. 

$$

PKZ175-201500-
WESTERN ALEUTIANS ADAK TO KISKA
400 PM AKST THU NOV 19 2009

...STORM WARNING TONIGHT AND FRIDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...SW WIND 50 KT. SEAS 33 FT BERING SIDE...43 FT PACIFIC
SIDE. GUSTS TO 65 KT. RAIN SHOWERS. 
.FRI...W WIND 45 KT BECOMING SW 35 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. BERING
SIDE...SEAS 31 FT. PACIFIC SIDE...SEAS 38 FT SUBSIDING TO 31 FT IN
THE AFTERNOON. RAIN SHOWERS. 
.FRI NIGHT...BERING SIDE...W WIND 35 KT INCREASING TO 45 KT AFTER
MIDNIGHT. PACIFIC SIDE...W WIND 50 KT. SEAS 21 FT BERING SIDE...30 FT
PACIFIC SIDE. RAIN SHOWERS. 
.SAT...W WIND 45 KT. SEAS 25 FT. 
.SAT NIGHT...NW WIND 35 KT. SEAS 24 FT. 
.SUN...NW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 21 FT. 
.MON...NW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 13 FT. 
.TUE...S WIND 30 KT. SEAS 11 FT.  

$$

PKZ176-201500-
WESTERN ALEUTIANS KISKA TO ATTU
400 PM AKST THU NOV 19 2009

...STORM WARNING THROUGH FRIDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...W WIND 60 KT DIMINISHING TO 50 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. GUSTS TO
70 KT THROUGH CHANNELED AREAS. SEAS 43 FT. RAIN SHOWERS. 
.FRI...W WIND 50 KT DIMINISHING TO 40 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS
35 FT SUBSIDING TO 26 FT IN THE AFTERNOON. GUSTS TO 65 KT. RAIN
SHOWERS. 
.FRI NIGHT...W WIND 40 KT INCREASING TO 50 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS
22 FT. RAIN AND SNOW SHOWERS. 
.SAT...W WIND 50 KT. SEAS 26 FT. 
.SAT NIGHT...NW WIND 35 KT. SEAS 23 FT. 
.SUN...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 18 FT. 
.MON...NW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 13 FT. 
.TUE...S WIND 35 KT. SEAS 12 FT.  

$$

PKZ185-201500-
ST MATTHEW ISLAND WATERS
400 PM AKST THU NOV 19 2009

...GALE WARNING THROUGH FRIDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...E WIND 45 KT. SEAS 15 FT E OF SAINT MATTHEW ISLAND...
26 FT W OF SAINT MATTHEW ISLAND. RAIN. FREEZING SPRAY. 
.FRI...E WIND 30 KT E OF SAINT MATTHEW ISLAND...E 45 KT W OF SAINT
MATTHEW ISLAND. SEAS 17 FT E OF SAINT MATTHEW ISLAND...26 FT W OF
SAINT MATTHEW ISLAND. FREEZING SPRAY. 
.FRI NIGHT...E WIND 40 KT. SEAS 17 FT E OF SAINT MATTHEW ISLAND...
25 FT W OF SAINT MATTHEW ISLAND. FREEZING SPRAY. 
.SAT...NE WIND 35 KT. SEAS 21 FT. 
.SAT NIGHT...NE WIND 40 KT. SEAS 16 FT. 
.SUN...N WIND 40 KT. SEAS 15 FT. 
.MON...N WIND 30 KT. SEAS 13 FT. 
.TUE...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS 10 FT.  

$$

PKZ179-201500-
PRIBILOF ISLANDS NEAR-SHORE WATERS
400 PM AKST THU NOV 19 2009

...GALE WARNING TONIGHT...

.TONIGHT...SE WIND 35 KT DIMINISHING TO S WIND 20 KT IN THE EVENING.
SEAS 16 FT. RAIN AND SNOW. 
.FRI...SW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 18 FT. RAIN SHOWERS. 
.FRI NIGHT...SW WIND 20 KT BECOMING SE 25 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS
21 FT. RAIN SHOWERS. 
.SAT...SE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 18 FT. 
.SAT NIGHT...NE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 15 FT. 
.SUN...NW WIND 35 KT. SEAS 15 FT. 
.MON...NW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 14 FT. 
.TUE...NW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 9 FT.  

$$

000 
FZAK52 PAFC 201325
CWFALU

COASTAL WATERS FORECAST
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ANCHORAGE ALASKA
400 AM AKST FRI NOV 20 2009

COASTAL WATERS FORECAST FOR SOUTHWEST ALASKA+BRISTOL BAY+THE
ALASKA PENINSULA WATERS AND THE ALEUTIAN ISLANDS UP TO 100 NM OUT.

WIND FORECASTS REFLECT THE PREDOMINANT SPEED AND DIRECTION
EXPECTED. SEA FORECASTS REPRESENT AN AVERAGE OF THE HIGHEST
ONE-THIRD OF THE COMBINED WIND WAVE AND SWELL HEIGHT.

PKZ199-210300-
400 AM AKST FRI NOV 20 2009
.SYNOPSIS FOR SOUTHWEST ALASKA+BRISTOL BAY+THE ALASKA
PENINSULA WATERS AND THE ALEUTIAN ISLANDS...
A 960 MB LOW 220 NM NORTH OF SHEMYA WILL WEAKEN TO 977 MB 120 NM
NORTH OF SHEMYA SATURDAY MORNING AND THEN DISSIPATE SATURDAY
AFTERNOON. A NORTH PACIFIC LOW WILL MOVE TO 200 NM WEST OF ATKA
FRIDAY EVENING AT 974 MB AND STRENGTHEN TO 968 MB AS IT MOVES TO 80
NM NORTH OF DUTCH HARBOR SATURDAY NIGHT.
$$

PKZ150-210300-
COASTAL WATERS SOUTH OF THE ALASKA PENINSULA SITKINAK TO CASTLE
CAPE
400 AM AKST FRI NOV 20 2009

...GALE WARNING TONIGHT...

.TODAY...NE WIND 20 KT BECOMING NW 25 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 8 FT.
RAIN AND SNOW SHOWERS. 
.TONIGHT...W WIND 35 KT. SEAS 12 FT. RAIN AND SNOW SHOWERS. 
.SAT...W WIND 20 KT BECOMING S 30 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 13 FT. 
.SAT NIGHT...S WIND 30 KT. SEAS 13 FT. 
.SUN...S WIND 25 KT. SEAS 13 FT. 
.MON...SW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 15 FT. 
.TUE...SE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 10 FT.  

$$

PKZ155-210300-
COASTAL WATERS SOUTH OF THE ALASKA PENINSULA CASTLE CAPE TO CAPE
SARICHEF
400 AM AKST FRI NOV 20 2009

...GALE WARNING THROUGH SATURDAY...

.TODAY...W WIND 40 KT. SEAS 13 FT. RAIN SHOWERS. 
.TONIGHT...W WIND 35 KT. SEAS 17 FT. RAIN SHOWERS. 
.SAT...SW WIND 40 KT. SEAS 16 FT. RAIN SHOWERS. 
.SAT NIGHT AND SUN...SW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 17 FT. 
.MON...SW WIND 35 KT. SEAS 18 FT. 
.TUE...NW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 10 FT.  

$$

PKZ160-210300-
BRISTOL BAY WATERS CAPE NEWENHAM TO PORT HEIDEN
400 AM AKST FRI NOV 20 2009

...HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY WARNING TODAY...
...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TONIGHT AND SATURDAY...

.TODAY...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 6 FT. SNOW SHOWERS. HEAVY FREEZING
SPRAY. 
.TONIGHT...NE WIND 15 KT DIMINISHING TO 10 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS
8 FT. 
.SAT...E WIND 20 KT BECOMING SE 30 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 12 FT.
FREEZING SPRAY. 
.SAT NIGHT...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 9 FT. 
.SUN...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 8 FT. 
.MON...SE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 8 FT. 
.TUE...W WIND 20 KT. SEAS 8 FT.  

$$

PKZ165-210300-
PORT HEIDEN TO CAPE SARICHEF
400 AM AKST FRI NOV 20 2009

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH SATURDAY...

.TODAY...W WIND 30 KT. SEAS 10 FT BUILDING TO 14 FT IN THE
AFTERNOON. RAIN AND SNOW SHOWERS. 
.TONIGHT...NW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 17 FT. RAIN AND SNOW SHOWERS.
.SAT...S WIND 30 KT. SEAS 16 FT. RAIN SHOWERS. 
.SAT NIGHT...S WIND 30 KT. SEAS 14 FT. 
.SUN...S WIND 20 KT. SEAS 10 FT. 
.MON...SW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 13 FT. 
.TUE...W WIND 30 KT. SEAS 13 FT.  

$$

PKZ180-210300-
SOUTHWEST ALASKA WATERS CAPE NEWENHAM TO DALL POINT
400 AM AKST FRI NOV 20 2009

...HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY WARNING THROUGH SATURDAY...
...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH SATURDAY...

.TODAY...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 9 FT. HEAVY FREEZING
SPRAY. 
.TONIGHT...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 9 FT. HEAVY
FREEZING SPRAY. 
.SAT...E WIND 30 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 10 FT. HEAVY FREEZING
SPRAY. 
.SAT NIGHT THROUGH MON...NE WIND 35 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 10
FT. 
.TUE...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 8 FT.  

$$

PKZ170-210300-
EASTERN ALEUTIANS CAPE SARICHEF TO NIKOLSKI
400 AM AKST FRI NOV 20 2009

...GALE WARNING TONIGHT AND SATURDAY...

.TODAY...W WIND 30 KT. SEAS 21 FT. RAIN SHOWERS. 
.TONIGHT...W WIND 25 KT BECOMING S 35 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS 20 FT.
RAIN.
.SAT...SW WIND 40 KT. SEAS 20 FT. RAIN SHOWERS. 
.SAT NIGHT...SW WIND 35 KT. SEAS 22 FT. 
.SUN...NW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 21 FT. 
.MON...NW WIND 35 KT. SEAS 17 FT. 
.TUE...W WIND 35 KT. SEAS 14 FT.  

$$

PKZ171-210300-
UNALASKA BAY
400 AM AKST FRI NOV 20 2009

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH SATURDAY...

.TODAY...W WIND 25 KT. LOCALIZED GUSTS TO 35 KT. SEAS 4 FT. RAIN
SHOWERS. 
.TONIGHT...S WIND 25 KT. SEAS 4 FT. RAIN.
.SAT...SW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 5 FT. RAIN SHOWERS. 
.SAT NIGHT...SW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.SUN...NW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 9 FT. 
.MON AND TUE...NW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 13 FT. 

$$

PKZ172-210300-
EASTERN ALEUTIANS NIKOLSKI TO ADAK
400 AM AKST FRI NOV 20 2009

...GALE WARNING THROUGH SATURDAY...

.TODAY...W WIND 40 KT. SEAS 29 FT. RAIN SHOWERS. 
.TONIGHT AND SAT...SW WIND 45 KT. SEAS 25 FT. RAIN SHOWERS. 
.SAT NIGHT...W WIND 40 KT. SEAS 27 FT. 
.SUN...NW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 22 FT. 
.MON...NW WIND 35 KT. SEAS 14 FT. 
.TUE...SW WIND 40 KT. SEAS 14 FT.  

$$

PKZ175-210300-
WESTERN ALEUTIANS ADAK TO KISKA
400 AM AKST FRI NOV 20 2009

...STORM WARNING TONIGHT...

.TODAY...W WIND 45 KT BECOMING SW 35 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 37 FT
SUBSIDING TO 29 FT IN THE AFTERNOON. RAIN SHOWERS. 
.TONIGHT...SW WIND 50 KT. SEAS 30 FT. RAIN SHOWERS. 
.SAT...W WIND 45 KT. SEAS 28 FT. RAIN SHOWERS. 
.SAT NIGHT...NW WIND 40 KT. SEAS 27 FT. 
.SUN...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 19 FT. 
.MON...NW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 11 FT. 
.TUE...SW WIND 40 KT. SEAS 16 FT.  

$$

PKZ176-210300-
WESTERN ALEUTIANS KISKA TO ATTU
400 AM AKST FRI NOV 20 2009

...STORM WARNING TODAY...

.TODAY...W WIND 50 KT DIMINISHING TO 35 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 35
FT SUBSIDING TO 25 FT IN THE AFTERNOON. RAIN SHOWERS. 
.TONIGHT...W WIND 45 KT. SEAS 24 FT. RAIN AND SNOW SHOWERS. 
.SAT...W WIND 45 KT. SEAS 26 FT. RAIN AND SNOW SHOWERS. 
.SAT NIGHT...NW WIND 40 KT. SEAS 23 FT. 
.SUN...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 14 FT. 
.MON...W WIND 25 KT. SEAS 12 FT. 
.TUE...SW WIND 40 KT. SEAS 18 FT.  

$$

PKZ185-210300-
ST MATTHEW ISLAND WATERS
400 AM AKST FRI NOV 20 2009

...GALE WARNING THROUGH SATURDAY...
...HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY WARNING THROUGH SATURDAY...

.TODAY...E WIND 40 KT. SEAS 25 FT. HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY. 
.TONIGHT...E WIND 40 KT. SEAS 23 FT. SNOW AND RAIN SHOWERS. HEAVY
FREEZING SPRAY. 
.SAT...NE WIND 35 KT. SEAS 18 FT. HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY. 
.SAT NIGHT...NE WIND 35 KT. SEAS 15 FT. 
.SUN AND MON...N WIND 35 KT. SEAS 13 FT. 
.TUE...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS 9 FT.  

$$

PKZ179-210300-
PRIBILOF ISLANDS NEAR-SHORE WATERS
400 AM AKST FRI NOV 20 2009

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH SATURDAY...

.TODAY...SW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 19 FT. RAIN SHOWERS. 
.TONIGHT...SW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 20 FT. RAIN SHOWERS. 
.SAT...SE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 18 FT. RAIN SHOWERS. 
.SAT NIGHT...NE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 13 FT. 
.SUN...N WIND 30 KT. SEAS 14 FT. 
.MON...NW WIND 40 KT. SEAS 16 FT. 
.TUE...NW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 10 FT.  

$$

000 
FZAK52 PAFC 210000
CWFALU

COASTAL WATERS FORECAST
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ANCHORAGE ALASKA
400 PM AKST FRI NOV 20 2009

COASTAL WATERS FORECAST FOR SOUTHWEST ALASKA+BRISTOL BAY+THE
ALASKA PENINSULA WATERS AND THE ALEUTIAN ISLANDS UP TO 100 NM OUT.

WIND FORECASTS REFLECT THE PREDOMINANT SPEED AND DIRECTION
EXPECTED. SEA FORECASTS REPRESENT AN AVERAGE OF THE HIGHEST
ONE-THIRD OF THE COMBINED WIND WAVE AND SWELL HEIGHT.

PKZ199-211500-
400 PM AKST FRI NOV 20 2009
.SYNOPSIS FOR SOUTHWEST ALASKA+BRISTOL BAY+THE ALASKA
PENINSULA WATERS AND THE ALEUTIAN ISLANDS...

A 965 MB LOW 180 NM NORTH OF SHEMYA MOVES TO 130 NM NORTHEAST OF
SHEMYA AS IT WEAKENS TO 979 MB ON SAT AFTERNOON AND THEN DISSIPATES.
A 973 MB LOW FORMS 140 NM NORTH OF ADAK SAT MORNING AND DEEPENS TO
970 MB AS IT MOVES TO 200 NM EAST OF ST PAUL SUN AFTERNOON.

$$

PKZ150-211500-
COASTAL WATERS SOUTH OF THE ALASKA PENINSULA SITKINAK TO CASTLE
CAPE
400 PM AKST FRI NOV 20 2009

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH SATURDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...W WIND 25 KT. SEAS 12 FT. RAIN AND SNOW SHOWERS. 
.SAT...W WIND 20 KT BECOMING S 30 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 13 FT. 
.SAT NIGHT...S WIND 30 KT. SEAS 14 FT. RAIN AND SNOW. 
.SUN...S WIND 30 KT. SEAS 13 FT. 
.SUN NIGHT...SW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 12 FT. 
.MON...SW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 13 FT. 
.TUE...W WIND 25 KT. SEAS 10 FT. 
.WED...W WIND 30 KT. SEAS 10 FT.  

$$

PKZ155-211500-
COASTAL WATERS SOUTH OF THE ALASKA PENINSULA CASTLE CAPE TO CAPE
SARICHEF
400 PM AKST FRI NOV 20 2009

...GALE WARNING SATURDAY...

.TONIGHT...W WIND 30 KT. SEAS 14 FT. RAIN.
.SAT...SW WIND 35 KT. SEAS 16 FT. RAIN.
.SAT NIGHT...SW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 16 FT. RAIN SHOWERS. 
.SUN...SW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 17 FT. 
.SUN NIGHT...W WIND 30 KT. SEAS 15 FT. 
.MON...W WIND 30 KT. SEAS 14 FT. 
.TUE...NW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 10 FT. 
.WED...SW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 11 FT.  

$$

PKZ160-211500-
BRISTOL BAY WATERS CAPE NEWENHAM TO PORT HEIDEN
400 PM AKST FRI NOV 20 2009

...HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY WARNING SATURDAY AND SATURDAY NIGHT...
...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY SATURDAY AND SATURDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...NE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 7 FT. 
.SAT...E WIND 20 KT BECOMING SE 30 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 12 FT.
RAIN SHOWERS. HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY. 
.SAT NIGHT...SE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 10 FT. SNOW SHOWERS. HEAVY FREEZING
SPRAY. 
.SUN...SE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 10 FT. 
.SUN NIGHT...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 8 FT. 
.MON...S WIND 20 KT. SEAS 8 FT. 
.TUE...W WIND 20 KT. SEAS 10 FT. 
.WED...SW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 8 FT.  

$$

PKZ165-211500-
PORT HEIDEN TO CAPE SARICHEF
400 PM AKST FRI NOV 20 2009

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH SATURDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...WEST OF PORT MOLLER...W WIND 25 KT. SEAS 18 FT. RAIN AND
SNOW SHOWERS. PORT MOLLER EAST...N WIND 15 KT IN THE EVENING BECOMING
VARIABLE 10 KT. SEAS 12 FT. RAIN AND SNOW SHOWERS.
.SAT...S WIND 25 KT. SEAS 16 FT. RAIN SHOWERS. 
.SAT NIGHT...S WIND 30 KT. SEAS 14 FT. RAIN SHOWERS. 
.SUN...SW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 13 FT. 
.SUN NIGHT...SW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 14 FT. 
.MON AND TUE...W WIND 30 KT. SEAS 15 FT. 
.WED...S WIND 25 KT. SEAS 8 FT.  

$$

PKZ180-211500-
SOUTHWEST ALASKA WATERS CAPE NEWENHAM TO DALL POINT
400 PM AKST FRI NOV 20 2009

...GALE WARNING SATURDAY NIGHT...
...HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY WARNING THROUGH SATURDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 7 FT. HEAVY
FREEZING SPRAY. 
.SAT...E WIND 30 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 10 FT. HEAVY FREEZING
SPRAY. 
.SAT NIGHT...E WIND 35 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 10 FT. HEAVY
FREEZING SPRAY. 
.SUN...NE WIND 35 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 10 FT. 
.SUN NIGHT...NE WIND 30 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 10 FT. 
.MON...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 9 FT. 
.TUE...W WIND 20 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 8 FT. 
.WED...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 8 FT.  

$$

PKZ170-211500-
EASTERN ALEUTIANS CAPE SARICHEF TO NIKOLSKI
400 PM AKST FRI NOV 20 2009

...GALE WARNING THROUGH SATURDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...SW WIND 35 KT. SEAS 20 FT. RAIN.
.SAT...SW WIND 40 KT. SEAS 20 FT. RAIN SHOWERS. 
.SAT NIGHT...SW WIND 35 KT. SEAS 21 FT. RAIN SHOWERS. 
.SUN...W WIND 30 KT. SEAS 19 FT. 
.SUN NIGHT AND MON...NW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 16 FT. 
.TUE...W WIND 30 KT. SEAS 15 FT. 
.WED...S WIND 40 KT. SEAS 14 FT.  

$$

PKZ171-211500-
UNALASKA BAY
400 PM AKST FRI NOV 20 2009

...GALE WARNING SATURDAY AND SATURDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...S WIND 25 KT WITH GUSTS TO 35 KT.  SEAS 4 FT. RAIN.
.SAT...SW WIND 25 KT BECOMING S 35 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 5 FT.
RAIN SHOWERS. 
.SAT NIGHT...SW WIND 35 KT BECOMING W 25 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS
5 FT. RAIN SHOWERS. 
.SUN...W WIND 25 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.SUN NIGHT...NW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.MON...NW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 8 FT. 
.TUE...W WIND 30 KT. SEAS 6 FT. 
.WED...S WIND 35 KT. SEAS 5 FT.  

$$

PKZ172-211500-
EASTERN ALEUTIANS NIKOLSKI TO ADAK
400 PM AKST FRI NOV 20 2009

...GALE WARNING THROUGH SATURDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...SW WIND 45 KT. SEAS 21 FT BERING SIDE... 27 FT PACIFIC
SIDE. RAIN SHOWERS. 
.SAT...SW WIND 45 KT. SEAS 26 FT. RAIN SHOWERS. 
.SAT NIGHT...PACIFIC SIDE...W WIND 40 KT. SEAS 25 FT. BERING SIDE...
NW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 16 FT. RAIN AND SNOW SHOWERS. 
.SUN...NW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 21 FT. 
.SUN NIGHT...NW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 15 FT. 
.MON...NW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 13 FT. 
.TUE...SW WIND 40 KT. SEAS 14 FT. 
.WED...SW WIND 40 KT. SEAS 23 FT.  

$$

PKZ175-211500-
WESTERN ALEUTIANS ADAK TO KISKA
400 PM AKST FRI NOV 20 2009

...GALE WARNING THROUGH SATURDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...W WIND 45 KT. SEAS 21 FT BERING SIDE...29 FT PACIFIC SIDE.
RAIN AND SNOW SHOWERS. 
.SAT...W WIND 45 KT. SEAS 21 FT BERING SIDE...29 FT PACIFIC SIDE.
RAIN SHOWERS. 
.SAT NIGHT...PACIFIC SIDE...W WIND 45 KT. SEAS 29 FT. RAIN AND SNOW
SHOWERS. BERING SIDE...NW WIND 35 KT BECOMING N 20 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT.
SEAS 19 FT.RAIN AND SNOW SHOWERS. 
.SUN...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 18 FT. 
.SUN NIGHT...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS 12 FT. 
.MON...NW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 11 FT. 
.TUE...SW WIND 40 KT. SEAS 20 FT. 
.WED...NW WIND 40 KT. SEAS 26 FT.  

$$

PKZ176-211500-
WESTERN ALEUTIANS KISKA TO ATTU
400 PM AKST FRI NOV 20 2009

...GALE WARNING THROUGH SATURDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...W WIND 45 KT. SEAS 26 FT. RAIN AND SNOW SHOWERS. 
.SAT...W WIND 45 KT. SEAS 22 FT BERING SIDE...29 FT PACIFIC SIDE. 
RAIN AND SNOW SHOWERS. 
.SAT NIGHT...BERING SIDE...N WIND 25 KT...SEAS 19 FT SUBSIDING TO 14
FT AFTER MIDNIGHT. PACIFIC SIDE...NW WIND 45 KT DIMINISHING TO 25 KT
AFTER MIDNIGHT...SEAS 27 FT SUBSIDING TO 20 FT AFTER MIDNIGHT. 
.SUN...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 14 FT. 
.SUN NIGHT...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 11 FT. 
.MON...W WIND 25 KT. SEAS 12 FT. 
.TUE...SW WIND 40 KT. SEAS 25 FT. 
.WED...N WIND 40 KT. SEAS 26 FT.  

$$

PKZ185-211500-
ST MATTHEW ISLAND WATERS
400 PM AKST FRI NOV 20 2009

...GALE WARNING THROUGH SATURDAY NIGHT...
...HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY WARNING THROUGH SATURDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...EAST OF SAINT MATTHEW ISLAND...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 15 FT.
SNOW SHOWERS. HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY. WEST OF SAINT MATTHEW ISLAND...E
WIND 40 KT. SEAS 23 FT. SNOW SHOWERS. HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY. 
.SAT...NE WIND 35 KT. SEAS 18 FT. HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY. 
.SAT NIGHT...NE WIND 35 KT. SEAS 14 FT. HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY. 
.SUN AND SUN NIGHT...N WIND 35 KT. SEAS 14 FT. 
.MON...N WIND 30 KT. SEAS 13 FT. 
.TUE...NW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 11 FT. 
.WED...NE WIND 35 KT. SEAS 14 FT.  

$$

PKZ179-211500-
PRIBILOF ISLANDS NEAR-SHORE WATERS
400 PM AKST FRI NOV 20 2009

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH SATURDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...VARIABLE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 20 FT. RAIN.
.SAT...SE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 18 FT. RAIN SHOWERS. 
.SAT NIGHT...N WIND 30 KT. SEAS 14 FT. RAIN AND SNOW SHOWERS. 
.SUN...N WIND 30 KT. SEAS 14 FT. 
.SUN NIGHT...N WIND 40 KT. SEAS 16 FT. 
.MON...NW WIND 35 KT. SEAS 15 FT. 
.TUE...W WIND 30 KT. SEAS 12 FT. 
.WED...S WIND 35 KT. SEAS 11 FT.  

$$

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
SOUTHCENTRAL AND SOUTHWEST ALASKA
200 PM AKST THU NOV 19 2009

.ANALYSIS AND UPPER LEVELS...
AMPLIFIED PATTERN CONTINUES WITH A DEEP TROUGH ANCHORED OVER THE
MAINLAND AND GULF OF ALASKA WHILE A RIDGE OVER SOUTHWEST ALASKA AND
THE EASTERN BERING SEA IS BEING UNDERCUT BY A LARGE STORM IN THE
WESTERN BERING. THE JET IS BECOMING MORE ZONAL...FLOWING WEST TO EAST
JUST SOUTH OF THE ALEUTIAN CHAIN AT ABOUT 135 KT. THE FRONTAL
BOUNDARY ASSOCIATED WITH THE 955 MB LOW IN THE WESTERN BERING IS
RACING ACROSS THE EASTERN ALEUTIANS AND THE PRIBILOFS THIS AFTERNOON.
MULTIPLE MESO LOWS ARE SPINNING ABOUT IN THE GULF OF ALASKA.

.MODEL DISCUSSION...SOME MINOR DIFFERENCES BETWEEN THE MODELS IN THE
SHORT TERM BUT OVERALL...ALL SYNOPTIC FEATURES ARE WELL REPRESENTED
AND IN RELATIVE AGREEMENT. THIS FORECAST PACKAGE IS LEANING TOWARD
THE ECMWF AS IT HAS BEEN THE MODEL OF CHOICE FOR THE LAST SEVERAL
RUNS DUE TO ITS MORE CONSISTENT APPROACH TO THE EVOLUTION OF THE
DEVELOPING LOWS SOUTH OF THE CHAIN.

.SHORT TERM FORECAST...
.SOUTHCENTRAL...COMPLEX AREA OF LOW PRESSURE IN THE GULF
CONTINUES TO SLIDE SOUTH. THE FEATURES THAT WILL BE IMPACTING
SOUTHCENTRAL OVER THE NEXT COUPLE OF DAYS WILL BE SUBTLE WHICH WILL
LEAD TO A TRICKY FORECAST. A TROUGH OVER THE NORTHERN HALF OF THE
STATE WILL DROOP SOUTHWARD OVER SOUTHCENTRAL. THE INCREASED SOUTHWEST
FLOW ALOFT COUPLED WITH THE REMNANTS OF THE FRONT THAT IS MOVING
ACROSS THE BERING WILL COMBINE TO GIVE MANY AREAS A CHANCE OF SNOW
THIS WEEKEND. WHILE THE MAIN TRIPLE POINT LOW SLIPS SOUTH OF THE
GULF...A TROUGH WILL EXTEND NORTHWARD AND A SURFACE LOW WILL LIKELY
DEVELOP BETWEEN MIDDLETON ISLAND AND THE EASTERN KENAI PENINSULA
FRIDAY NIGHT AND SATURDAY MORNING. THERE WILL BE JUST ENOUGH
DEFORMATION ALOFT AND MOISTURE AT THE SURFACE TO RESULT IN LIGHT SNOW
ACROSS THE AREA...ESPECIALLY ALONG THE CHUGACH RANGE. WHILE
CONFIDENCE IS GROWING...WE ARE STILL NOT EXPECTING A SIGNIFICANT
EVENT WITH ANY ACCUMULATION GREATER THAN AN INCH OR SO...SO WILL NOT
UPDATE THE WORDING TO LIKELY QUITE YET.

.SOUTHWEST ALASKA...
HIGH PRESSURE WILL PREVENT ANY WEATHER OF SIGNIFICANCE FROM MOVING
ONSHORE ACROSS BRISTOL BAY AND THE KUSKOKWIM DELTA. THE TRIPLE POINT
LOW WILL SLIP SOUTH OF THE ALASKA PENINSULA...RESULTING IN NORTH TO
NORTHEAST WIND ACROSS THE REGION AND DRIER AIR FILTERING SOUTHWARD
FROM THE YUKON VALLEY. IT IS NOT UNTIL SATURDAY EVENING THAT THE NEXT
AREA OF LOW PRESSURE AND ITS ASSOCIATED WEATHER FRONT MAKES ANY
PROGRESS INLAND...BRINGING SNOW ALONG THE COAST SATURDAY NIGHT AND
SPREADING UP THE KUSKOKWIM VALLEY SUNDAY MORNING.

.BERING SEA AND ALEUTIANS...
THE MOST ACTIVE WEATHER REMAINS OUT WEST WHERE A LARGE LOW AND ITS
ASSOCIATED FRONTAL BOUNDARY IS BRINGING HURRICANE FORCE WINDS TO MUCH
OF THE CENTRAL AND WESTERN BERING. TEMPERATURES AHEAD OF THE
FRONT...EVEN THOUGH WINDS WERE SOUTHEASTERLY...DID NOT INCREASE AS
EXPECTED...RESULTING IN ACCUMULATING SNOW IN DUTCH HARBOR AND
BLIZZARD CONDITIONS ACROSS THE PRIBILOF ISLANDS. WARMER AIR BEHIND
THE FRONT WILL BRING AN END TO THE BLIZZARD AND THE SNOWFALL THIS
EVENING. WINDS ACROSS THE AREA WILL ALSO DIMINISH AS THE UPPER LEVEL
SUPPORT BECOMES FAR REMOVED FROM THE SURFACE FEATURES...ALTHOUGH THE
NEXT WAVE WILL DEVELOP OVER THE NORTH PACIFIC AND MOVE ACROSS THE
CENTRAL ALEUTIANS FRIDAY NIGHT...BRINGING ANOTHER ROUND OF STORM
FORCE WINDS TO THE CENTRAL AND WESTERN ALEUTIANS THROUGH THE WEEKEND.

.LONG TERM FORECAST...NO CHANGE TO THE INHERITED LONG RANGE FORECAST
TONIGHT DUE TO THE LARGE VARIABILITY AND LOW RELATIVE MEASURE OF
PREDICTABILITY BASED OFF OF ENSEMBLE GUIDANCE...STILL APPEARS THE
COLD AND RELATIVELY DRY WEATHER OVER SOUTHCENTRAL AND THE GULF WILL
COME TO AN END AS ACTIVE WEATHER FROM THE BERING SLIDES EASTWARD FOR
THE START OF NEXT WEEK. THIS WILL ALSO USHER IN A RETURN TO MUCH MORE
SEASONAL TEMPERATURES.

.AER/ALU...WATCH/WARNING SUMMARY
PUBLIC...BLIZZARD WARNING 195
         HIGH WIND WARNING 191
MARINE...STORM 175 176 411
         GALE 127 128 170 172 180 185 179
         HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY 121 126 127 128 129 140 141 160 180
FIRE WEATHER...NONE.

AB NOV 09