Storm Warning 216, NWS Anchorage, AK

000 
FZAK51 PAFC 031443 CCA
CWFAER

COASTAL WATERS FORECAST...CORRECTED
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ANCHORAGE ALASKA
400 AM AKST TUE NOV 3 2009

CORRECTED ZONE 121 

COASTAL WATERS FORECAST FOR THE NORTHERN GULF OF ALASKA COAST
UP TO 100 NM OUT INCLUDING KODIAK ISLAND AND COOK INLET.

WIND FORECASTS REFLECT THE PREDOMINANT SPEED AND DIRECTION
EXPECTED. SEA FORECASTS REPRESENT AN AVERAGE OF THE HIGHEST
ONE-THIRD OF THE COMBINED WIND WAVE AND SWELL HEIGHT.

PKZ197-040300-
400 AM AKST TUE NOV 3 2009
.SYNOPSIS FOR THE NORTH GULF COAST+KODIAK ISLAND WATERS+
COOK INLET...HIGH PRESSURE OVER THE GULF SLOWLY WEAKENS THROUGH
TONIGHT. A 977 MB LOW 600 NM SOUTH OF YAKUTAT TONIGHT WEAKENS TO 952
MB WED NIGHT 150 NM EAST OF KODIAK. A LOW MOVING ALONG THE ALEUTIANS
INTENSIFIES TO 960 MB WED MORNING 300 NM SOUTH OF SITKINAK. THIS LOW
THEN STRENGTHENS TO 949 MB WED NIGHT 400 NM SOUTH OF YAKUTAT.

$$

PKZ120-040300-
CAPE SUCKLING TO GORE POINT
400 AM AKST TUE NOV 3 2009

...STORM WARNING WEDNESDAY...

.TODAY...S WIND 15 KT BECOMING SE 25 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 8 FT.
RAIN AND SNOW SHOWERS. 
.TONIGHT...SE WIND 45 KT. SEAS 17 FT. RAIN.
.WED...E WIND 45 KT INCREASING TO 55 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS
24 FT. RAIN.
.WED NIGHT...E WIND 50 KT. SEAS 24 FT. 
.THU...NE WIND 35 KT. SEAS 18 FT. 
.FRI...NE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 16 FT. 
.SAT...SW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 10 FT.  

$$

PKZ121-040300-
RESURRECTION BAY
400 AM AKST TUE NOV 3 2009

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TONIGHT AND WEDNESDAY...

.TODAY...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT BECOMING N 15 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS
3 FT. SNOW AND RAIN SHOWERS. 
.TONIGHT...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. HIGHER WINDS AND SEAS S OF
CAINES HEAD. RAIN AND SNOW. 
.WED...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS 6 FT. RAIN AND SNOW. HIGHER WINDS AND SEAS
SOUTH OF CAINES HEAD. 
.WED NIGHT...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.THU...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.FRI...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.SAT...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.  

$$

PKZ125-040300-
PRINCE WILLIAM SOUND
400 AM AKST TUE NOV 3 2009

...GALE WARNING TONIGHT AND WEDNESDAY...

.TODAY...SE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. RAIN AND SNOW SHOWERS. 
.TONIGHT...E WIND 30 KT INCREASING TO 40 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS
10 FT. RAIN AND SNOW. 
.WED...E WIND 40 KT. SEAS 10 FT. RAIN.
.WED NIGHT...NE WIND 40 KT. SEAS 10 FT. 
.THU...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.FRI...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.SAT...E WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.  

$$

PKZ129-040300-
PASSAGE CANAL
400 AM AKST TUE NOV 3 2009

...GALE WARNING TONIGHT AND WEDNESDAY...

.TODAY...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT BECOMING E 15 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS
2 FT. SNOW AND RAIN SHOWERS. 
.TONIGHT...E WIND 20 KT INCREASING TO 35 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS
5 FT. RAIN AND SNOW. 
.WED...E WIND 35 KT DECREASING TO 25 KT BY NOON. SEAS 4 FT. RAIN AND
SNOW. 
.WED NIGHT...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.THU...VARIABLE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.FRI...VARIABLE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.SAT...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.  

$$

PKZ130-040300-
BARREN ISLANDS AND KAMISHAK BAY WATERS
400 AM AKST TUE NOV 3 2009

...STORM WARNING TONIGHT...

.TODAY...SE WIND 20 KT BECOMING E 35 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS
12 FT. RAIN.
.TONIGHT...SE WIND 50 KT. SEAS 18 FT. RAIN AND SNOW. 
.WED...SE WIND 40 KT. SEAS 18 FT. RAIN AND SNOW. 
.WED NIGHT...NE WIND 55 KT. SEAS 22 FT. 
.THU...N WIND 35 KT. SEAS 16 FT. 
.FRI...NW WIND 35 KT. SEAS 15 FT. 
.SAT...NW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 9 FT.  

$$

PKZ132-040300-
SHUYAK ISLAND TO SITKINAK
400 AM AKST TUE NOV 3 2009

...GALE WARNING THROUGH TONIGHT...

.TODAY...SE WIND 35 KT. SEAS 11 FT. RAIN.
.TONIGHT...S WIND 40 KT DIMINISHING TO 30 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS
11 FT. RAIN.
.WED...SE WIND 15 KT BECOMING N 30 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 14 FT.
RAIN.
.WED NIGHT...NW WIND 50 KT. SEAS 16 FT. 
.THU...NW WIND 45 KT. SEAS 18 FT. 
.FRI...NW WIND 45 KT. SEAS 17 FT. 
.SAT...W WIND 35 KT. SEAS 14 FT.  

$$

PKZ138-040300-
SHELIKOF STRAIT
400 AM AKST TUE NOV 3 2009

...GALE WARNING THROUGH TONIGHT...

.TODAY...NE WIND 35 KT. SEAS 11 FT. RAIN.
.TONIGHT...NE WIND 35 KT BECOMING E 25 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS 8 FT.
RAIN AND SNOW. 
.WED...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT BECOMING N 20 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS
5 FT. RAIN AND SNOW. 
.WED NIGHT...N WIND 40 KT. SEAS 9 FT. 
.THU...NW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 6 FT. 
.FRI...W WIND 30 KT. SEAS 7 FT. 
.SAT...NW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 5 FT.  

$$

PKZ140-040300-
COOK INLET NORTH OF KAMISHAK BAY AND ENGLISH BAY
400 AM AKST TUE NOV 3 2009

...GALE WARNING TONIGHT AND WEDNESDAY...

.TODAY...NE WIND 15 KT BECOMING NE 25 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 6 FT.
RAIN. 
.TONIGHT...NE WIND 40 KT EXCEPT NE 30 KT N OF KALGIN ISLAND. SEAS
11 FT EXCEPT 6 FT N OF KALGIN ISLAND. RAIN AND SNOW. 
.WED...NE WIND 25 KT INCREASING TO 35 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS
8 FT. 
.WED NIGHT...NE WIND 35 KT. SEAS 10 FT. 
.THU...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS 6 FT. 
.FRI...NW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 6 FT. 
.SAT...NW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT.  

$$

PKZ141-040300-
KACHEMAK BAY
400 AM AKST TUE NOV 3 2009

...GALE WARNING TONIGHT...

.TODAY...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 3 FT. SNOW AND RAIN. 
.TONIGHT...E WIND 35 KT. SEAS 6 FT. RAIN AND SNOW. 
.WED...SE WIND 20 KT BECOMING NE 30 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 6 FT. 
.WED NIGHT...NE WIND 35 KT. SEAS 7 FT. 
.THU...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.FRI...NW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 6 FT. 
.SAT...NW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT.  

$$

000 
FZAK51 PAFC 031717 CCB
CWFAER

COASTAL WATERS FORECAST...CORRECTED
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ANCHORAGE ALASKA
820 AM AKST TUE NOV 3 2009

CORRECTED SYNOPSIS

COASTAL WATERS FORECAST FOR THE NORTHERN GULF OF ALASKA COAST
UP TO 100 NM OUT INCLUDING KODIAK ISLAND AND COOK INLET.

WIND FORECASTS REFLECT THE PREDOMINANT SPEED AND DIRECTION
EXPECTED. SEA FORECASTS REPRESENT AN AVERAGE OF THE HIGHEST
ONE-THIRD OF THE COMBINED WIND WAVE AND SWELL HEIGHT.

PKZ197-040300-
400 AM AKST TUE NOV 3 2009
.SYNOPSIS FOR THE NORTH GULF COAST+KODIAK ISLAND WATERS+
COOK INLET...HIGH PRESSURE OVER THE GULF SLOWLY WEAKENS THROUGH
TUE NIGHT. A 977 MB LOW 600 NM SOUTH OF YAKUTAT TONIGHT STRENGTHENS
TO 952 MB WED NIGHT 150 NM EAST OF KODIAK. A LOW MOVING ALONG THE
ALEUTIANS INTENSIFIES TO 960 MB WED MORNING 300 NM SOUTH OF SITKINAK.
THIS LOW THEN STRENGTHENS TO 949 MB WED NIGHT 400 NM SOUTH OF
YAKUTAT.

$$

PKZ120-040300-
CAPE SUCKLING TO GORE POINT
400 AM AKST TUE NOV 3 2009

...STORM WARNING WEDNESDAY...

.TODAY...S WIND 15 KT BECOMING SE 25 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 8 FT.
RAIN AND SNOW SHOWERS. 
.TONIGHT...SE WIND 45 KT. SEAS 17 FT. RAIN.
.WED...E WIND 45 KT INCREASING TO 55 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS
24 FT. RAIN.
.WED NIGHT...E WIND 50 KT. SEAS 24 FT. 
.THU...NE WIND 35 KT. SEAS 18 FT. 
.FRI...NE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 16 FT. 
.SAT...SW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 10 FT.  

$$

PKZ121-040300-
RESURRECTION BAY
400 AM AKST TUE NOV 3 2009

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TONIGHT AND WEDNESDAY...

.TODAY...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT BECOMING N 15 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS
3 FT. SNOW AND RAIN SHOWERS. 
.TONIGHT...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. HIGHER WINDS AND SEAS S OF
CAINES HEAD. RAIN AND SNOW. 
.WED...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS 6 FT. RAIN AND SNOW. HIGHER WINDS AND SEAS
SOUTH OF CAINES HEAD. 
.WED NIGHT...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.THU...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.FRI...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.SAT...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.  

$$

PKZ125-040300-
PRINCE WILLIAM SOUND
400 AM AKST TUE NOV 3 2009

...GALE WARNING TONIGHT AND WEDNESDAY...

.TODAY...SE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. RAIN AND SNOW SHOWERS. 
.TONIGHT...E WIND 30 KT INCREASING TO 40 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS
10 FT. RAIN AND SNOW. 
.WED...E WIND 40 KT. SEAS 10 FT. RAIN.
.WED NIGHT...NE WIND 40 KT. SEAS 10 FT. 
.THU...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.FRI...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.SAT...E WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.  

$$

PKZ129-040300-
PASSAGE CANAL
400 AM AKST TUE NOV 3 2009

...GALE WARNING TONIGHT AND WEDNESDAY...

.TODAY...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT BECOMING E 15 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS
2 FT. SNOW AND RAIN SHOWERS. 
.TONIGHT...E WIND 20 KT INCREASING TO 35 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS
5 FT. RAIN AND SNOW. 
.WED...E WIND 35 KT DECREASING TO 25 KT BY NOON. SEAS 4 FT. RAIN AND
SNOW. 
.WED NIGHT...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.THU...VARIABLE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.FRI...VARIABLE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.SAT...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.  

$$

PKZ130-040300-
BARREN ISLANDS AND KAMISHAK BAY WATERS
400 AM AKST TUE NOV 3 2009

...STORM WARNING TONIGHT...

.TODAY...SE WIND 20 KT BECOMING E 35 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS
12 FT. RAIN.
.TONIGHT...SE WIND 50 KT. SEAS 18 FT. RAIN AND SNOW. 
.WED...SE WIND 40 KT. SEAS 18 FT. RAIN AND SNOW. 
.WED NIGHT...NE WIND 55 KT. SEAS 22 FT. 
.THU...N WIND 35 KT. SEAS 16 FT. 
.FRI...NW WIND 35 KT. SEAS 15 FT. 
.SAT...NW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 9 FT.  

$$

PKZ132-040300-
SHUYAK ISLAND TO SITKINAK
400 AM AKST TUE NOV 3 2009

...GALE WARNING THROUGH TONIGHT...

.TODAY...SE WIND 35 KT. SEAS 11 FT. RAIN.
.TONIGHT...S WIND 40 KT DIMINISHING TO 30 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS
11 FT. RAIN.
.WED...SE WIND 15 KT BECOMING N 30 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 14 FT.
RAIN.
.WED NIGHT...NW WIND 50 KT. SEAS 16 FT. 
.THU...NW WIND 45 KT. SEAS 18 FT. 
.FRI...NW WIND 45 KT. SEAS 17 FT. 
.SAT...W WIND 35 KT. SEAS 14 FT.  

$$

PKZ138-040300-
SHELIKOF STRAIT
400 AM AKST TUE NOV 3 2009

...GALE WARNING THROUGH TONIGHT...

.TODAY...NE WIND 35 KT. SEAS 11 FT. RAIN.
.TONIGHT...NE WIND 35 KT BECOMING E 25 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS 8 FT.
RAIN AND SNOW. 
.WED...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT BECOMING N 20 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS
5 FT. RAIN AND SNOW. 
.WED NIGHT...N WIND 40 KT. SEAS 9 FT. 
.THU...NW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 6 FT. 
.FRI...W WIND 30 KT. SEAS 7 FT. 
.SAT...NW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 5 FT.  

$$

PKZ140-040300-
COOK INLET NORTH OF KAMISHAK BAY AND ENGLISH BAY
400 AM AKST TUE NOV 3 2009

...GALE WARNING TONIGHT AND WEDNESDAY...

.TODAY...NE WIND 15 KT BECOMING NE 25 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 6 FT.
RAIN. 
.TONIGHT...NE WIND 40 KT EXCEPT NE 30 KT N OF KALGIN ISLAND. SEAS
11 FT EXCEPT 6 FT N OF KALGIN ISLAND. RAIN AND SNOW. 
.WED...NE WIND 25 KT INCREASING TO 35 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS
8 FT. 
.WED NIGHT...NE WIND 35 KT. SEAS 10 FT. 
.THU...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS 6 FT. 
.FRI...NW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 6 FT. 
.SAT...NW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT.  

$$

PKZ141-040300-
KACHEMAK BAY
400 AM AKST TUE NOV 3 2009

...GALE WARNING TONIGHT...

.TODAY...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 3 FT. SNOW AND RAIN. 
.TONIGHT...E WIND 35 KT. SEAS 6 FT. RAIN AND SNOW. 
.WED...SE WIND 20 KT BECOMING NE 30 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 6 FT. 
.WED NIGHT...NE WIND 35 KT. SEAS 7 FT. 
.THU...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.FRI...NW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 6 FT. 
.SAT...NW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT.  

$$

000 
FZAK51 PAFC 040006
CWFAER

COASTAL WATERS FORECAST
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ANCHORAGE ALASKA
400 PM AKST TUE NOV 3 2009

COASTAL WATERS FORECAST FOR THE NORTHERN GULF OF ALASKA COAST
UP TO 100 NM OUT INCLUDING KODIAK ISLAND AND COOK INLET.

WIND FORECASTS REFLECT THE PREDOMINANT SPEED AND DIRECTION
EXPECTED. SEA FORECASTS REPRESENT AN AVERAGE OF THE HIGHEST
ONE-THIRD OF THE COMBINED WIND WAVE AND SWELL HEIGHT.

PKZ197-041500-
400 PM AKST TUE NOV 3 2009
.SYNOPSIS FOR THE NORTH GULF COAST+KODIAK ISLAND WATERS+
COOK INLET...

A 985 MB LOW OVER THE NORTHEAST PACIFIC WILL STRENGTHEN TO 958 MB 
120 NM EAST OF KODIAK WED AFTERNOON WHERE IT WILL REMAIN THROUGH THU
AFTERNOON. A 992 MB LOW NEAR ADAK WILL MOVE TO 420 NM SOUTHEAST OF
KODIAK CITY AND STRENGTHEN TO 953 MB WED AFTERNOON THEN MOVE TO 200
NM SOUTH OF YAKUTAT WITH A 948 MB CENTER THU AFTERNOON. 

$$

PKZ120-041500-
CAPE SUCKLING TO GORE POINT
400 PM AKST TUE NOV 3 2009

...STORM WARNING WEDNESDAY...

.TONIGHT...SE WIND 25 KT INCREASING TO 40 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS 5
FT BUILDING TO 12 FT. RAIN. 
.WED...E WIND 40 KT INCREASING TO 50 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS
BUILDING TO 22 FT. RAIN. 
.WED NIGHT...E WIND 45 KT. SEAS 21 FT. RAIN. 
.THU...NE WIND 35 KT. SEAS 18 FT. 
.THU NIGHT...NE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 16 FT. 
.FRI...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 14 FT. 
.SAT...SW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 9 FT. 
.SUN...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 6 FT.  

$$

PKZ121-041500-
RESURRECTION BAY
400 PM AKST TUE NOV 3 2009

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY WEDNESDAY AND WEDNESDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...N WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. HIGHER WINDS AND SEAS S OF
CAINES HEAD. RAIN AND SNOW. 
.WED...N WIND 15 KT INCREASING TO 25 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 5 FT.
HIGHER WINDS AND SEAS S OF CAINES HEAD. RAIN. 
.WED NIGHT...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. RAIN. 
.THU AND THU NIGHT...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.FRI THROUGH SUN...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.  

$$

PKZ125-041500-
PRINCE WILLIAM SOUND
400 PM AKST TUE NOV 3 2009

...GALE WARNING THROUGH WEDNESDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...E WIND 20 KT INCREASING TO 35 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS 
3 FT BUILDING TO 9 FT. RAIN AND SNOW. 
.WED...E WIND 40 KT. SEAS 10 FT. RAIN. 
.WED NIGHT...E WIND 35 KT BECOMING NE 25 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS
8 FT. RAIN. 
.THU...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.THU NIGHT...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.FRI...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.SAT...E WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.SUN...NE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.  

$$

PKZ129-041500-
PASSAGE CANAL
400 PM AKST TUE NOV 3 2009

...GALE WARNING THROUGH WEDNESDAY...

.TONIGHT...E WIND 20 KT INCREASING TO 35 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS
5 FT. RAIN AND SNOW. 
.WED...E WIND 35 KT DIMINISHING TO 20 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS
5 FT. RAIN. 
.WED NIGHT...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 3 FT. RAIN. 
.THU...NE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.THU NIGHT THROUGH SUN...VARIABLE WIND LESS THAN 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.  

$$

PKZ130-041500-
BARREN ISLANDS AND KAMISHAK BAY WATERS
400 PM AKST TUE NOV 3 2009

...GALE WARNING THROUGH WEDNESDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...E WIND 40 KT. SEAS 6 FT BUILDING TO 14 FT. RAIN. 
.WED...SE WIND 40 KT. SEAS 19 FT. RAIN. 
.WED NIGHT...E WIND 40 KT. SEAS 20 FT. RAIN. 
.THU...N WIND 30 KT. SEAS 17 FT. 
.THU NIGHT...NW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 14 FT. 
.FRI...NW WIND 35 KT. SEAS 11 FT. 
.SAT...NW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 9 FT. 
.SUN...NW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 6 FT.  

$$

PKZ132-041500-
SHUYAK ISLAND TO SITKINAK
400 PM AKST TUE NOV 3 2009

...GALE WARNING TONIGHT AND WEDNESDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...SE WIND 35 KT. SEAS 12 FT. RAIN. 
.WED...SE WIND 20 KT BECOMING N 25 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 12 FT.
RAIN. 
.WED NIGHT...NW WIND 40 KT. SEAS 16 FT. RAIN AND SNOW. 
.THU...NW WIND 40 KT. SEAS 17 FT. 
.THU NIGHT...NW WIND 35 KT. SEAS 15 FT. 
.FRI...NW WIND 40 KT. SEAS 16 FT. 
.SAT...W WIND 35 KT. SEAS 13 FT. 
.SUN...NW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 7 FT.  

$$

PKZ138-041500-
SHELIKOF STRAIT
400 PM AKST TUE NOV 3 2009

...GALE WARNING WEDNESDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...E WIND 30 KT. SEAS 7 FT. RAIN AND SNOW. 
.WED...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT. RAIN. 
.WED NIGHT...N WIND 35 KT. SEAS 7 FT. RAIN AND SNOW. 
.THU...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS 6 FT. 
.THU NIGHT...NW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.FRI...W WIND 30 KT. SEAS 6 FT. 
.SAT AND SUN...NW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.  

$$

PKZ140-041500-
COOK INLET NORTH OF KAMISHAK BAY AND ENGLISH BAY
400 PM AKST TUE NOV 3 2009

...GALE WARNING TONIGHT AND WEDNESDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...NE WIND 35 KT. SEAS 8 FT. RAIN AND SNOW. 
.WED...E WIND 30 KT. SEAS 7 FT. 
.WED NIGHT...NE WIND 35 KT. SEAS 9 FT. 
.THU...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS 7 FT. 
.THU NIGHT...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.FRI AND SAT...NW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.SUN...NW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.  

$$

PKZ141-041500-
KACHEMAK BAY
400 PM AKST TUE NOV 3 2009

...GALE WARNING TONIGHT...

.TONIGHT...VARIABLE WIND 15 KT BECOMING SE 35 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. 
SEAS 5 FT. RAIN. 
.WED...SE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 5 FT. RAIN. 
.WED NIGHT...NE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 6 FT. RAIN. 
.THU...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.THU NIGHT...NW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.FRI AND SAT...NW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.SUN...NW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.  

$$

000 
FZAK51 PAFC 040241 AAA
CWFAER

COASTAL WATERS FORECAST...UPDATED
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ANCHORAGE ALASKA
540 PM AKST TUE NOV 3 2009

UPDATED ZONE 130

COASTAL WATERS FORECAST FOR THE NORTHERN GULF OF ALASKA COAST
UP TO 100 NM OUT INCLUDING KODIAK ISLAND AND COOK INLET.

WIND FORECASTS REFLECT THE PREDOMINANT SPEED AND DIRECTION
EXPECTED. SEA FORECASTS REPRESENT AN AVERAGE OF THE HIGHEST
ONE-THIRD OF THE COMBINED WIND WAVE AND SWELL HEIGHT.

PKZ197-041500-
400 PM AKST TUE NOV 3 2009
.SYNOPSIS FOR THE NORTH GULF COAST+KODIAK ISLAND WATERS+
COOK INLET...

A 985 MB LOW OVER THE NORTHEAST PACIFIC WILL STRENGTHEN TO 958 MB 
120 NM EAST OF KODIAK WED AFTERNOON WHERE IT WILL REMAIN THROUGH THU
AFTERNOON. A 992 MB LOW NEAR ADAK WILL MOVE TO 420 NM SOUTHEAST OF
KODIAK CITY AND STRENGTHEN TO 953 MB WED AFTERNOON THEN MOVE TO 200
NM SOUTH OF YAKUTAT WITH A 948 MB CENTER THU AFTERNOON. 

$$

PKZ120-041500-
CAPE SUCKLING TO GORE POINT
400 PM AKST TUE NOV 3 2009

...STORM WARNING WEDNESDAY...

.TONIGHT...SE WIND 25 KT INCREASING TO 40 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS 5
FT BUILDING TO 12 FT. RAIN. 
.WED...E WIND 40 KT INCREASING TO 50 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS
BUILDING TO 22 FT. RAIN. 
.WED NIGHT...E WIND 45 KT. SEAS 21 FT. RAIN. 
.THU...NE WIND 35 KT. SEAS 18 FT. 
.THU NIGHT...NE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 16 FT. 
.FRI...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 14 FT. 
.SAT...SW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 9 FT. 
.SUN...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 6 FT.  

$$

PKZ121-041500-
RESURRECTION BAY
400 PM AKST TUE NOV 3 2009

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY WEDNESDAY AND WEDNESDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...N WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. HIGHER WINDS AND SEAS S OF
CAINES HEAD. RAIN AND SNOW. 
.WED...N WIND 15 KT INCREASING TO 25 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 5 FT.
HIGHER WINDS AND SEAS S OF CAINES HEAD. RAIN. 
.WED NIGHT...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. RAIN. 
.THU AND THU NIGHT...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.FRI THROUGH SUN...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.  

$$

PKZ125-041500-
PRINCE WILLIAM SOUND
400 PM AKST TUE NOV 3 2009

...GALE WARNING THROUGH WEDNESDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...E WIND 20 KT INCREASING TO 35 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS 
3 FT BUILDING TO 9 FT. RAIN AND SNOW. 
.WED...E WIND 40 KT. SEAS 10 FT. RAIN. 
.WED NIGHT...E WIND 35 KT BECOMING NE 25 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS
8 FT. RAIN. 
.THU...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.THU NIGHT...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.FRI...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.SAT...E WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.SUN...NE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.  

$$

PKZ129-041500-
PASSAGE CANAL
400 PM AKST TUE NOV 3 2009

...GALE WARNING THROUGH WEDNESDAY...

.TONIGHT...E WIND 20 KT INCREASING TO 35 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS
5 FT. RAIN AND SNOW. 
.WED...E WIND 35 KT DIMINISHING TO 20 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS
5 FT. RAIN. 
.WED NIGHT...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 3 FT. RAIN. 
.THU...NE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.THU NIGHT THROUGH SUN...VARIABLE WIND LESS THAN 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.  

$$

PKZ130-041500-
BARREN ISLANDS AND KAMISHAK BAY WATERS
540 PM AKST TUE NOV 3 2009

...STORM WARNING TONIGHT...

.TONIGHT...E WIND 40 KT...EXCEPT NE 50 KT WEST OF THE BARREN 
ISLANDS. SEAS 6 FT BUILDING TO 14 FT. RAIN. 
.WED...SE WIND 40 KT. SEAS 19 FT. RAIN. 
.WED NIGHT...E WIND 40 KT. SEAS 20 FT. RAIN. 
.THU...N WIND 30 KT. SEAS 17 FT. 
.THU NIGHT...NW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 14 FT. 
.FRI...NW WIND 35 KT. SEAS 11 FT. 
.SAT...NW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 9 FT. 
.SUN...NW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 6 FT.  

$$

PKZ132-041500-
SHUYAK ISLAND TO SITKINAK
400 PM AKST TUE NOV 3 2009

...GALE WARNING TONIGHT AND WEDNESDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...SE WIND 35 KT. SEAS 12 FT. RAIN. 
.WED...SE WIND 20 KT BECOMING N 25 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 12 FT.
RAIN. 
.WED NIGHT...NW WIND 40 KT. SEAS 16 FT. RAIN AND SNOW. 
.THU...NW WIND 40 KT. SEAS 17 FT. 
.THU NIGHT...NW WIND 35 KT. SEAS 15 FT. 
.FRI...NW WIND 40 KT. SEAS 16 FT. 
.SAT...W WIND 35 KT. SEAS 13 FT. 
.SUN...NW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 7 FT.  

$$

PKZ138-041500-
SHELIKOF STRAIT
400 PM AKST TUE NOV 3 2009

...GALE WARNING WEDNESDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...E WIND 30 KT. SEAS 7 FT. RAIN AND SNOW. 
.WED...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT. RAIN. 
.WED NIGHT...N WIND 35 KT. SEAS 7 FT. RAIN AND SNOW. 
.THU...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS 6 FT. 
.THU NIGHT...NW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.FRI...W WIND 30 KT. SEAS 6 FT. 
.SAT AND SUN...NW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.  

$$

PKZ140-041500-
COOK INLET NORTH OF KAMISHAK BAY AND ENGLISH BAY
400 PM AKST TUE NOV 3 2009

...GALE WARNING TONIGHT AND WEDNESDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...NE WIND 35 KT. SEAS 8 FT. RAIN AND SNOW. 
.WED...E WIND 30 KT. SEAS 7 FT. 
.WED NIGHT...NE WIND 35 KT. SEAS 9 FT. 
.THU...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS 7 FT. 
.THU NIGHT...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.FRI AND SAT...NW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.SUN...NW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.  

$$

PKZ141-041500-
KACHEMAK BAY
400 PM AKST TUE NOV 3 2009

...GALE WARNING TONIGHT...

.TONIGHT...VARIABLE WIND 15 KT BECOMING SE 35 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. 
SEAS 5 FT. RAIN. 
.WED...SE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 5 FT. RAIN. 
.WED NIGHT...NE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 6 FT. RAIN. 
.THU...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.THU NIGHT...NW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.FRI AND SAT...NW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.SUN...NW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.  

$$

000 
FZAK51 PAFC 041245
CWFAER

COASTAL WATERS FORECAST
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ANCHORAGE ALASKA
400 AM AKST WED NOV 4 2009

COASTAL WATERS FORECAST FOR THE NORTHERN GULF OF ALASKA COAST
UP TO 100 NM OUT INCLUDING KODIAK ISLAND AND COOK INLET.

WIND FORECASTS REFLECT THE PREDOMINANT SPEED AND DIRECTION
EXPECTED. SEA FORECASTS REPRESENT AN AVERAGE OF THE HIGHEST
ONE-THIRD OF THE COMBINED WIND WAVE AND SWELL HEIGHT.

PKZ197-050300-
400 AM AKST WED NOV 4 2009
.SYNOPSIS FOR THE NORTH GULF COAST+KODIAK ISLAND WATERS+
COOK INLET...A 970 MB LOW 150 NM SOUTH OF COLD BAY INTENSIFIES TO 948
MB THIS EVENING 400 NM SOUTH OF MIDDLETON ISLAND. THIS LOW SLOWLY
WEAKENS TO 955 MB THU NIGHT 200 NM SOUTH OF YAKUTAT.


$$

PKZ120-050300-
CAPE SUCKLING TO GORE POINT
400 AM AKST WED NOV 4 2009

...STORM WARNING THROUGH TONIGHT...

.TODAY...SE WIND 40 KT INCREASING TO E 50 KT THIS MORNING. SEAS
BUILDING TO 22 FT.  RAIN.
.TONIGHT...E WIND 50 KT BECOMING NE 40 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS
24 FT. RAIN.
.THU...E WIND 35 KT. SEAS 19 FT. RAIN SHOWERS. 
.THU NIGHT...NE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 17 FT. 
.FRI...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 14 FT. 
.SAT...SW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 10 FT. 
.SUN...SW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 6 FT.  

$$

PKZ121-050300-
RESURRECTION BAY
400 AM AKST WED NOV 4 2009

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH TONIGHT...

.TODAY...N WIND 15 KT INCREASING TO 25 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS
5 FT. HIGHER WINDS AND SEAS S OF CAINES HEAD. RAIN.
.TONIGHT...N 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. HIGHER WINDS AND SEAS S OF CAINES
HEAD. RAIN.
.THU...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. HIGHER WINDS AND SEAS S OF CAINES
HEAD. RAIN SHOWERS. 
.THU NIGHT...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.FRI...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.SAT...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.SUN...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.  

$$

PKZ125-050300-
PRINCE WILLIAM SOUND
400 AM AKST WED NOV 4 2009

...STORM WARNING TODAY...

.TODAY...E WIND 40 KT. GUSTS TO 50 KT. SEAS BUILDING TO 10 FT THIS
MORNING. RAIN.
.TONIGHT...E WIND 40 KT WITH GUSTS TO 50 KT BECOMING NE 25 KT AFTER
MIDNIGHT. SEAS 10 FT SUBSIDING TO 6 FT. RAIN.
.THU...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 4 FT. RAIN SHOWERS. 
.THU NIGHT...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.FRI...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.SAT...E WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.SUN...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.  

$$

PKZ129-050300-
PASSAGE CANAL
400 AM AKST WED NOV 4 2009

...GALE WARNING THROUGH TONIGHT...

.TODAY...E WIND 25 KT INCREASING TO 35 KT BY NOON. SEAS BUILDING TO 5
FT. RAIN.
.TONIGHT...E WIND 35 KT DIMINISHING TO 20 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS
5 FT SUBSIDING TO 3 FT. RAIN.
.THU...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. RAIN SHOWERS. 
.THU NIGHT...W WIND 20 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.FRI...W WIND 20 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.SAT...W WIND 20 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.SUN...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.  

$$

PKZ130-050300-
BARREN ISLANDS AND KAMISHAK BAY WATERS
400 AM AKST WED NOV 4 2009

...STORM WARNING TODAY AND TONIGHT...

.TODAY...SE WIND 50 KT DIMINISHING BRIEFLY THIS MORNING THEN BECOMING
NE 50 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 20 FT. RAIN.
.TONIGHT...BARREN ISLANDS W...NE WIND 50 KT DIMINISHING TO 40 KT
AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS 16 FT. SE OF THE BARREN ISLANDS...NE WIND 35 KT.
SEAS 20 FT. RAIN. 
.THU...NE WIND 35 KT BECOMING N 25 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 18 FT.
RAIN SHOWERS. 
.THU NIGHT...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS 14 FT. 
.FRI...NW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 11 FT. 
.SAT...NW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 9 FT. 
.SUN...NW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 6 FT.  

$$

PKZ132-050300-
SHUYAK ISLAND TO SITKINAK
400 AM AKST WED NOV 4 2009

...GALE WARNING TONIGHT AND THU...

.TODAY...E WIND 15 KT BECOMING N 30 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 16 FT.
RAIN.
.TONIGHT...N WIND 35 KT BECOMING NW 45 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS
15 FT. RAIN AND SNOW. 
.THU...NW WIND 45 KT. SEAS 17 FT. RAIN SHOWERS. 
.THU NIGHT...NW WIND 40 KT. SEAS 17 FT. 
.FRI...NW WIND 35 KT. SEAS 16 FT. 
.SAT...W WIND 35 KT. SEAS 14 FT. 
.SUN...NW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 7 FT.  

$$

PKZ138-050300-
SHELIKOF STRAIT
400 AM AKST WED NOV 4 2009

...GALE WARNING TONIGHT...

.TODAY...SE WIND 25 KT BECOMING N 30 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 8 FT.
RAIN AND SNOW. 
.TONIGHT...N WIND 35 KT. SEAS 10 FT. RAIN AND SNOW. 
.THU...NW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 7 FT. RAIN AND SNOW. 
.THU NIGHT...NW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 7 FT. 
.FRI...W WIND 35 KT. SEAS 6 FT. 
.SAT...W WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.SUN...NW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 3 FT.  

$$

PKZ140-050300-
COOK INLET NORTH OF KAMISHAK BAY AND ENGLISH BAY
400 AM AKST WED NOV 4 2009

...GALE WARNING THROUGH TONIGHT...

.TODAY...NE WIND 35 KT. SEAS 12 FT EXCEPT 6 FT N OF KALGIN ISLAND.
RAIN AND SNOW. 
.TONIGHT...N WIND 45 KT EXCEPT 35 KT N OF KALGIN ISLAND. SEAS 12 FT
EXCEPT 6 FT N OF KALGIN ISLAND.  
.THU...N WIND 30 KT DIMINISHING TO 20 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. N OF
KALGIN ISLAND...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 10 FT EXCEPT 4 FT N OF KALGIN
ISLAND. 
.THU NIGHT...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.FRI...NW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.SAT...NW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.SUN...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 3 FT.  

$$

PKZ141-050300-
KACHEMAK BAY
400 AM AKST WED NOV 4 2009

...GALE WARNING TONIGHT...

.TODAY...E WIND 25 KT BECOMING NE THIS AFTERNOON. SEAS 4 FT. RAIN.
.TONIGHT...NE WIND 35 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.THU...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.THU NIGHT...NW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.FRI...W WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.SAT...NW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.SUN...NW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.  

$$

000 
FZAK51 PAFC 041627 CCA
CWFAER

COASTAL WATERS FORECAST...CORRECTION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ANCHORAGE ALASKA
400 AM AKST WED NOV 4 2009

CORRECTED 125 130 132

COASTAL WATERS FORECAST FOR THE NORTHERN GULF OF ALASKA COAST
UP TO 100 NM OUT INCLUDING KODIAK ISLAND AND COOK INLET.

WIND FORECASTS REFLECT THE PREDOMINANT SPEED AND DIRECTION
EXPECTED. SEA FORECASTS REPRESENT AN AVERAGE OF THE HIGHEST
ONE-THIRD OF THE COMBINED WIND WAVE AND SWELL HEIGHT.

PKZ197-050300-
400 AM AKST WED NOV 4 2009
.SYNOPSIS FOR THE NORTH GULF COAST+KODIAK ISLAND WATERS+
COOK INLET...A 970 MB LOW 150 NM SOUTH OF COLD BAY INTENSIFIES TO
948 MB THIS EVENING 400 NM SOUTH OF MIDDLETON ISLAND. THIS LOW
SLOWLY WEAKENS TO 955 MB THU NIGHT 200 NM SOUTH OF YAKUTAT.


$$

PKZ120-050300-
CAPE SUCKLING TO GORE POINT
400 AM AKST WED NOV 4 2009

...STORM WARNING THROUGH TONIGHT...

.TODAY...SE WIND 40 KT INCREASING TO E 50 KT THIS MORNING. SEAS
BUILDING TO 22 FT.  RAIN.
.TONIGHT...E WIND 50 KT BECOMING NE 40 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS
24 FT. RAIN.
.THU...E WIND 35 KT. SEAS 19 FT. RAIN SHOWERS. 
.THU NIGHT...NE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 17 FT. 
.FRI...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 14 FT. 
.SAT...SW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 10 FT. 
.SUN...SW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 6 FT.  

$$

PKZ121-050300-
RESURRECTION BAY
400 AM AKST WED NOV 4 2009

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH TONIGHT...

.TODAY...N WIND 15 KT INCREASING TO 25 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS
5 FT. HIGHER WINDS AND SEAS S OF CAINES HEAD. RAIN.
.TONIGHT...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. HIGHER WINDS AND SEAS S OF
CAINES HEAD. RAIN.
.THU...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. HIGHER WINDS AND SEAS S OF CAINES
HEAD. RAIN SHOWERS. 
.THU NIGHT...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.FRI...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.SAT...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.SUN...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.  

$$

PKZ125-050300-
PRINCE WILLIAM SOUND
400 AM AKST WED NOV 4 2009

...GALE WARNING THROUGH TONIGHT...

.TODAY...E WIND 40 KT. GUSTS TO 50 KT. SEAS BUILDING TO 10 FT
THIS MORNING. RAIN.
.TONIGHT...E WIND 40 KT WITH GUSTS TO 50 KT BECOMING NE 25 KT
AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS 10 FT SUBSIDING TO 6 FT. RAIN.
.THU...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 4 FT. RAIN SHOWERS. 
.THU NIGHT...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.FRI...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.SAT...E WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.SUN...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.  

$$

PKZ129-050300-
PASSAGE CANAL
400 AM AKST WED NOV 4 2009

...GALE WARNING THROUGH TONIGHT...

.TODAY...E WIND 25 KT INCREASING TO 35 KT BY NOON. SEAS BUILDING
TO 5 FT. RAIN.
.TONIGHT...E WIND 35 KT DIMINISHING TO 20 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS
5 FT SUBSIDING TO 3 FT. RAIN.
.THU...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. RAIN SHOWERS. 
.THU NIGHT...W WIND 20 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.FRI...W WIND 20 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.SAT...W WIND 20 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.SUN...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.  

$$

PKZ130-050300-
BARREN ISLANDS AND KAMISHAK BAY WATERS
400 AM AKST WED NOV 4 2009

...STORM WARNING THROUGH TONIGHT...

.TODAY...SE WIND 50 KT DIMINISHING BRIEFLY THIS MORNING THEN
BECOMING NE 50 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 20 FT. RAIN.
.TONIGHT...BARREN ISLANDS W...NE WIND 50 KT DIMINISHING TO 40 KT
AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS 16 FT. SE OF THE BARREN ISLANDS...NE WIND 35
KT. SEAS 20 FT. RAIN. 
.THU...NE WIND 35 KT BECOMING N 25 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 18
FT. RAIN SHOWERS. 
.THU NIGHT...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS 14 FT. 
.FRI...NW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 11 FT. 
.SAT...NW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 9 FT. 
.SUN...NW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 6 FT.  

$$

PKZ132-050300-
SHUYAK ISLAND TO SITKINAK
400 AM AKST WED NOV 4 2009

...GALE WARNING TONIGHT AND THURSDAY...

.TODAY...E WIND 15 KT BECOMING N 30 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 16
FT. RAIN.
.TONIGHT...N WIND 35 KT BECOMING NW 45 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS
15 FT. RAIN AND SNOW. 
.THU...NW WIND 45 KT. SEAS 17 FT. RAIN SHOWERS. 
.THU NIGHT...NW WIND 40 KT. SEAS 17 FT. 
.FRI...NW WIND 35 KT. SEAS 16 FT. 
.SAT...W WIND 35 KT. SEAS 14 FT. 
.SUN...NW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 7 FT.  

$$

PKZ138-050300-
SHELIKOF STRAIT
400 AM AKST WED NOV 4 2009

...GALE WARNING TONIGHT...

.TODAY...SE WIND 25 KT BECOMING N 30 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 8
FT. RAIN AND SNOW. 
.TONIGHT...N WIND 35 KT. SEAS 10 FT. RAIN AND SNOW. 
.THU...NW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 7 FT. RAIN AND SNOW. 
.THU NIGHT...NW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 7 FT. 
.FRI...W WIND 35 KT. SEAS 6 FT. 
.SAT...W WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.SUN...NW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 3 FT.  

$$

PKZ140-050300-
COOK INLET NORTH OF KAMISHAK BAY AND ENGLISH BAY
400 AM AKST WED NOV 4 2009

...GALE WARNING THROUGH TONIGHT...

.TODAY...NE WIND 35 KT. SEAS 12 FT EXCEPT 6 FT N OF KALGIN
ISLAND. RAIN AND SNOW. 
.TONIGHT...N WIND 45 KT EXCEPT 35 KT N OF KALGIN ISLAND. SEAS 12
FT EXCEPT 6 FT N OF KALGIN ISLAND.  
.THU...N WIND 30 KT DIMINISHING TO 20 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. N OF
KALGIN ISLAND...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 10 FT EXCEPT 4 FT N OF KALGIN
ISLAND. 
.THU NIGHT...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.FRI...NW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.SAT...NW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.SUN...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 3 FT.  

$$

PKZ141-050300-
KACHEMAK BAY
400 AM AKST WED NOV 4 2009

...GALE WARNING TONIGHT...

.TODAY...E WIND 25 KT BECOMING NE THIS AFTERNOON. SEAS 4 FT.
RAIN.
.TONIGHT...NE WIND 35 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.THU...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.THU NIGHT...NW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.FRI...W WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.SAT...NW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.SUN...NW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.  

$$

000 
FZAK51 PAFC 042030 AAA
CWFAER

COASTAL WATERS FORECAST...CORRECTION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ANCHORAGE ALASKA
1120 AM AKST WED NOV 4 2009

UPDATED 129 130 140 141

COASTAL WATERS FORECAST FOR THE NORTHERN GULF OF ALASKA COAST
UP TO 100 NM OUT INCLUDING KODIAK ISLAND AND COOK INLET.

WIND FORECASTS REFLECT THE PREDOMINANT SPEED AND DIRECTION
EXPECTED. SEA FORECASTS REPRESENT AN AVERAGE OF THE HIGHEST
ONE-THIRD OF THE COMBINED WIND WAVE AND SWELL HEIGHT.

PKZ197-050300-
400 AM AKST WED NOV 4 2009
.SYNOPSIS FOR THE NORTH GULF COAST+KODIAK ISLAND WATERS+
COOK INLET...A 970 MB LOW 150 NM SOUTH OF COLD BAY INTENSIFIES TO
948 MB THIS EVENING 400 NM SOUTH OF MIDDLETON ISLAND. THIS LOW
SLOWLY WEAKENS TO 955 MB THU NIGHT 200 NM SOUTH OF YAKUTAT.


$$

PKZ120-050300-
CAPE SUCKLING TO GORE POINT
400 AM AKST WED NOV 4 2009

...STORM WARNING THROUGH TONIGHT...

.TODAY...SE WIND 40 KT INCREASING TO E 50 KT THIS MORNING. SEAS
BUILDING TO 22 FT. RAIN.
.TONIGHT...E WIND 50 KT BECOMING NE 40 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS
24 FT. RAIN.
.THU...E WIND 35 KT. SEAS 19 FT. RAIN SHOWERS. 
.THU NIGHT...NE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 17 FT. 
.FRI...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 14 FT. 
.SAT...SW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 10 FT. 
.SUN...SW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 6 FT.  

$$

PKZ121-050300-
RESURRECTION BAY
400 AM AKST WED NOV 4 2009

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH TONIGHT...

.TODAY...N WIND 15 KT INCREASING TO 25 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS
5 FT. HIGHER WINDS AND SEAS S OF CAINES HEAD. RAIN.
.TONIGHT...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. HIGHER WINDS AND SEAS S OF
CAINES HEAD. RAIN.
.THU...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. HIGHER WINDS AND SEAS S OF CAINES
HEAD. RAIN SHOWERS. 
.THU NIGHT...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.FRI...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.SAT...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.SUN...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.  

$$

PKZ125-050300-
PRINCE WILLIAM SOUND
400 AM AKST WED NOV 4 2009

...GALE WARNING THROUGH TONIGHT...

.TODAY...E WIND 40 KT. GUSTS TO 50 KT. SEAS BUILDING TO 10 FT
THIS MORNING. RAIN.
.TONIGHT...E WIND 40 KT WITH GUSTS TO 50 KT BECOMING NE 25 KT
AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS 10 FT SUBSIDING TO 6 FT. RAIN.
.THU...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 4 FT. RAIN SHOWERS. 
.THU NIGHT...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.FRI...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.SAT...E WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.SUN...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.  

$$

PKZ129-050300-
PASSAGE CANAL
1120 AM AKST WED NOV 4 2009

...GALE WARNING THROUGH TONIGHT...

.TODAY...E WIND 35 KT. SEAS BUILDING TO 5 FT. RAIN.
.TONIGHT...E WIND 35 KT DIMINISHING TO 20 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS
5 FT SUBSIDING TO 3 FT. RAIN.
.THU...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. RAIN SHOWERS. 
.THU NIGHT...W WIND 20 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.FRI...W WIND 20 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.SAT...W WIND 20 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.SUN...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.  

$$

PKZ130-050300-
BARREN ISLANDS AND KAMISHAK BAY WATERS
1120 AM AKST WED NOV 4 2009

...STORM WARNING THROUGH TONIGHT...

.TODAY...E TO NE WIND 50 KT. SEAS 20 FT. RAIN.
.TONIGHT...BARREN ISLANDS W...NE WIND 50 KT DIMINISHING TO 40 KT
AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS 16 FT. SE OF THE BARREN ISLANDS...NE WIND 35
KT. SEAS 20 FT. RAIN. 
.THU...NE WIND 35 KT BECOMING N 25 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 18
FT. RAIN SHOWERS. 
.THU NIGHT...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS 14 FT. 
.FRI...NW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 11 FT. 
.SAT...NW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 9 FT. 
.SUN...NW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 6 FT.  

$$

PKZ132-050300-
SHUYAK ISLAND TO SITKINAK
400 AM AKST WED NOV 4 2009

...GALE WARNING TONIGHT AND THURSDAY...

.TODAY...E WIND 15 KT BECOMING N 30 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 16
FT. RAIN.
.TONIGHT...N WIND 35 KT BECOMING NW 45 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS
15 FT. RAIN AND SNOW. 
.THU...NW WIND 45 KT. SEAS 17 FT. RAIN SHOWERS. 
.THU NIGHT...NW WIND 40 KT. SEAS 17 FT. 
.FRI...NW WIND 35 KT. SEAS 16 FT. 
.SAT...W WIND 35 KT. SEAS 14 FT. 
.SUN...NW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 7 FT.  

$$

PKZ138-050300-
SHELIKOF STRAIT
400 AM AKST WED NOV 4 2009

...GALE WARNING TONIGHT...

.TODAY...SE WIND 25 KT BECOMING N 30 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 8
FT. RAIN AND SNOW. 
.TONIGHT...N WIND 35 KT. SEAS 10 FT. RAIN AND SNOW. 
.THU...NW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 7 FT. RAIN AND SNOW. 
.THU NIGHT...NW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 7 FT. 
.FRI...W WIND 35 KT. SEAS 6 FT. 
.SAT...W WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.SUN...NW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 3 FT.  

$$

PKZ140-050300-
COOK INLET NORTH OF KAMISHAK BAY AND ENGLISH BAY
1120 AM AKST WED NOV 4 2009

...GALE WARNING THROUGH TONIGHT...

.TODAY...NE WIND 45 KT EXCEPT 35 KT N OF KALGIN ISLAND. SEAS 12
FT EXCEPT 6 FT N OF KALGIN ISLAND. RAIN AND SNOW. 
.TONIGHT...N WIND 45 KT EXCEPT 35 KT N OF KALGIN ISLAND. SEAS 12
FT EXCEPT 6 FT N OF KALGIN ISLAND.  
.THU...N WIND 30 KT DIMINISHING TO 20 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. N OF
KALGIN ISLAND...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 10 FT EXCEPT 4 FT N OF KALGIN
ISLAND. 
.THU NIGHT...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.FRI...NW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.SAT...NW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.SUN...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 3 FT.  

$$

PKZ141-050300-
KACHEMAK BAY
1120 AM AKST WED NOV 4 2009

...GALE WARNING THROUGH TONIGHT...

.TODAY...NE WIND 35 KT. SEAS 5 FT. RAIN.
.TONIGHT...NE WIND 35 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.THU...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.THU NIGHT...NW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.FRI...W WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.SAT...NW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.SUN...NW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.  

$$

000 
FZAK51 PAFC 050021
CWFAER

COASTAL WATERS FORECAST
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ANCHORAGE ALASKA
319 PM AKST WED NOV 4 2009

COASTAL WATERS FORECAST FOR THE NORTHERN GULF OF ALASKA COAST
UP TO 100 NM OUT INCLUDING KODIAK ISLAND AND COOK INLET.

WIND FORECASTS REFLECT THE PREDOMINANT SPEED AND DIRECTION
EXPECTED. SEA FORECASTS REPRESENT AN AVERAGE OF THE HIGHEST
ONE-THIRD OF THE COMBINED WIND WAVE AND SWELL HEIGHT.

PKZ197-051230-
319 PM AKST WED NOV 4 2009
.SYNOPSIS FOR THE NORTH GULF COAST+KODIAK ISLAND WATERS+
COOK INLET...
A 952 MB LOW 85 NM SOUTHEAST OF KODIAK CITY WILL MERGE WITH A 949
MB LOW 325 NM SOUTHEAST OF KODIAK CITY. THIS LOW WILL MAINTAIN
STRENGTH AS IT DRIFTS NORTH TO 180 NM SOUTHEAST OF MIDDLETON
ISLAND THURSDAY EVENING...THEN WEAKEN TO 964 MB AS IT MOVES TO
NEAR 140 NM SOUTH OF YAKUTAT FRIDAY AFTERNOON.


$$

PKZ120-051230-
CAPE SUCKLING TO GORE POINT
319 PM AST WED NOV 4 2009

...STORM WARNING TONIGHT...

.TONIGHT...E WIND 55 KT DIMINISHING TO 40 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT.
GUSTS TO 65 KT IN THE EVENING ALONG THE COAST EAST OF MONTAGUE
ISLAND. SEAS 23 FT. RAIN.
.THU...E WIND 40 KT. SEAS 19 FT. RAIN SHOWERS. 
.THU NIGHT...NE WIND 35 KT. SEAS 17 FT. RAIN SHOWERS. 
.FRI...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 16 FT. 
.FRI NIGHT...S WIND 20 KT. SEAS 11 FT. 
.SAT...SW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 9 FT. 
.SUN...SW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 6 FT. 
.MON...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 4 FT.  

$$

PKZ121-051230-
RESURRECTION BAY
319 PM AST WED NOV 4 2009

...GALE WARNING TONIGHT...

.TONIGHT...N WIND 35 KT DIMINISHING TO 25 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS
8 FT SUBSIDING TO 5 FT. RAIN.
.THU...N WIND 25 KT DIMINISHING TO 15 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS
5 FT SUBSIDING TO 3 FT. RAIN.
.THU NIGHT...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.FRI...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.FRI NIGHT AND SAT...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.SUN...N WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.MON...VARIABLE WIND LESS THAN 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.  

$$

PKZ125-051230-
PRINCE WILLIAM SOUND
319 PM AST WED NOV 4 2009

...STORM WARNING TONIGHT...

.TONIGHT...NE WIND 25 KT BECOMING E WIND 50 KT IN THE EVENING
WITH GUSTS TO 65 KT NEAR HINCHINBROOK ENTRANCE. WIND DIMINISHING
TO 40 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS 5 FT BUILDING TO 10 FT. RAIN.
.THU...NE WIND 30 KT DIMINISHING TO 15 KT IN THE MORNING. SEAS 4
FT. RAIN SHOWERS.
.THU NIGHT...N WIND 15 KT. GUSTS TO 25 KT OUT OF BAYS AND PASSES.
SEAS 3 FT.
.FRI...NE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.FRI NIGHT...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.SAT AND SUN...E WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.MON...VARIABLE WIND LESS THAN 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.  

$$

PKZ129-051230-
PASSAGE CANAL
319 PM AST WED NOV 4 2009

...GALE WARNING TONIGHT...

.TONIGHT...E WIND 25 KT INCREASING TO 35 KT IN THE EVENING WITH
GUSTS TO 45 KT. SEAS BUILDING TO 7 FT. RAIN.
.THU...E WIND 15 KT IN THE MORNING BECOMING VARIABLE LESS THAN
10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. RAIN.
.THU NIGHT...W WIND 15 KT INCREASING TO 25 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT.
SEAS 4 FT. 
.FRI...W WIND 25 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.FRI NIGHT...W WIND 20 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.SAT THROUGH MON...VARIABLE WIND LESS THAN 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.


$$

PKZ130-051230-
BARREN ISLANDS AND KAMISHAK BAY WATERS
319 PM AST WED NOV 4 2009

...STORM WARNING TONIGHT...

.TONIGHT...NE WIND 55 KT BECOMING EAST WIND 30 KT E OF BARREN
ISLANDS IN THE EVENING. SEAS 20 FT EXCEPT 12 FT WEST OF BARREN
ISLANDS. RAIN.
.THU...NE WIND 35 KT. SEAS 18 FT EXCEPT 12 FT WEST OF BARREN
ISLANDS. RAIN.
.THU NIGHT...N WIND 30 KT. SEAS 15 FT EXCEPT 8 FT WEST OF BARREN
ISLANDS. RAIN.
.FRI AND FRI NIGHT...NW WIND 35 KT. SEAS 11 FT. 
.SAT AND SUN...NW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 9 FT. 
.MON...NW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT.  

$$

PKZ132-051230-
SHUYAK ISLAND TO SITKINAK
319 PM AST WED NOV 4 2009

...GALE WARNING THROUGH THURSDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...N WIND 30 KT EXCEPT NW WIND 40 KT SOUTH OF DANGEROUS
CAPE. SEAS 15 FT. RAIN AND SNOW SHOWERS.
.THU...NW WIND 30 KT EXCEPT 45 KT SOUTH OF DANGEROUS CAPE. SEAS
18 FT. RAIN SHOWERS.
.THU NIGHT...NW WIND 30 KT EXCEPT 45 KT SOUTH OF DANGEROUS CAPE.
SEAS 17 FT. RAIN AND SNOW.
.FRI...NW WIND 40 KT. SEAS 16 FT. 
.FRI NIGHT...W WIND 35 KT. SEAS 15 FT. 
.SAT...W WIND 30 KT. SEAS 13 FT. 
.SUN AND MON...NW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 7 FT. 

$$

PKZ138-051230-
SHELIKOF STRAIT
319 PM AST WED NOV 4 2009

...GALE WARNING TONIGHT...

.TONIGHT...NE WIND 35 KT BECOMING NW AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS 9 FT.
RAIN AND SNOW SHOWERS.
.THU...NW WIND 25 KT. GUSTS TO 40 KT OUT OF BAYS AND PASSES. SEAS
7 FT. RAIN AND SNOW SHOWERS.
.THU NIGHT...W WIND 25 KT. GUSTS TO 40 KT OUT OF BAYS AND PASSES.

SEAS 5 FT. RAIN AND SNOW. 
.FRI...W WIND 35 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.FRI NIGHT...W WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.SAT...W WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.SUN AND MON...NW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 

$$

PKZ140-051230-
COOK INLET NORTH OF KAMISHAK BAY AND ENGLISH BAY
319 PM AST WED NOV 4 2009

...GALE WARNING THROUGH THURSDAY...

.TONIGHT...N WIND 45 KT EXCEPT N 35 KT N OF KALGIN ISLAND. SEAS
13 FT EXCEPT 7 FT N OF KALGIN ISLAND. RAIN.
.THU...N WIND 35 KT DIMINISHING TO 25 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. N OF
KALGIN ISLAND...N WIND 25 KT DIMINISHING TO 15 KT IN THE
AFTERNOON.
SEAS 10 FT EXCEPT 5 FT N OF KALGIN ISLAND. 
.THU NIGHT...N WIND 15 KT DIMINISHING TO 10 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT.
SEAS 3 FT. 
.FRI...NW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.FRI NIGHT...NW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.SAT...NW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.SUN...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.MON...NW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 2 FT.  

$$

PKZ141-051230-
KACHEMAK BAY
319 PM AST WED NOV 4 2009

...GALE WARNING TONIGHT...

.TONIGHT...NE WIND 35 KT DIMINISHING TO 25 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT.
SEAS 6 FT. RAIN.
.THU...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 3 FT. RAIN.
.THU NIGHT...NW WIND 15 KT BECOMING W 10 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS
3 FT. 
.FRI...W WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.FRI NIGHT AND SAT...NW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.SUN...NW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.MON...NW WIND 10 KT. SEAS 3 FT.  

$$

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
SOUTHCENTRAL AND SOUTHWEST ALASKA
240 PM AKST MON NOV 2 2009

.ANALYSIS AND UPPER LEVELS...
AN UPPER TROF PERSISTS OVER THE EASTERN HALF OF THE STATE ALONG THE
ALCAN BORDER. THE HIGH AMPLITUDE UPPER LEVEL RIDGE THAT HAS BEEN IN
PLACE OVER THE WESTERN INTERIOR IS BEING UNDERCUT BY A DEEPENING TROF
OVER THE CENTRAL BERING SEA. THE RESULT IS A LARGE COL OVER THE LOWER
YUKON VALLEY. A 210 KT JET IS FLOWING OUT OF THE NORTHWEST PACIFIC
AND ACROSS THE ALEUTIANS AND SOUTHERN BERING SEA. THIS JET WILL BE
THE CATALYST FOR A VERY BUSY WEEK WEATHER WISE.

AT THE SURFACE...AN AREA OF LOW PRESSURE IS SLOWLY WEAKENING EAST
OF MIDDLETON ISLAND...SPREADING SHOWERS MAINLY OVER THE COASTAL
WATERS. CLEAR SKIES CAN BE FOUND OVER THE INTERIOR...WITH THE
EXCEPTION OF SOME STRATUS AND FOG ALONG THE ALASKA RANGE AND THE
LOWER KUSKOKWIM VALLEY. THERE IS A WEAK AREA OF LOW PRESSURE OVER THE
EASTERN BERING SEA THAT THE MODELS DID NOT RESOLVE WELL. A 975 MB LOW
IN THE CENTRAL BERING SEA AND ITS ASSOCIATED FRONTAL BOUNDARY HAVE
REACHED THEIR MAXIMUM INTENSITY.

.MODEL DISCUSSION...MANY CHALLENGES IN THIS AFTERNOONS FORECAST
PACKAGE...AND IT BEGINS WITH THE MODELS NOT INITIALIZING WELL ON THE
UPPER LEVEL FEATURES OVER THE CENTRAL AND WESTERN BERING SEA. THE
MODELS DIVERGE IN THE FIRST 24 HOURS AS THE WEAKENING FRONT IN THE
CENTRAL BERING BECOMES AN ELONGATED TROF OVER BRISTOL BAY. THE MORE
SIGNIFICANT DIFFERENCES ARISE BETWEEN 48 AND 84 HOURS WHEN A STRONG
LOW DEVELOPS IN THE SOUTHERN GULF. THE DEVELOPING LOW DEEPENS RAPIDLY
TO 954 MB WEDNESDAY AFTERNOON AS ANOTHER NORTH PACIFIC LOW ROTATES
AROUND ITS PERIPHERY AND BECOMES ABSORBED LATER ON THURSDAY INTO ONE
LARGE CONCENTRIC LOW...WITH CENTRAL PRESSURE ABOUT 945 MB. THE GFS IS
THE OUTLIER WITH THIS SOLUTION...INSTEAD DEVELOPING ONE LARGE
CONCENTRIC LOW AT 60 HOURS WITH CENTRAL PRESSURE AT 939 MB...NOT
IMPOSSIBLE BUT NOT LIKELY. THE INHERITED FORECAST WAS STILL
ADVERTISING A DEEP LOW JUST SOUTHEAST OF KODIAK ISLAND INSTEAD OF THE
DOUBLE BARRELED LOW AT THAT TIME. GIVEN THE POOR
INITIALIZATION...CONFIDENCE REMAINS LOW IN THE EXACT TIMING AND
POSITION OF THE LOW ALTHOUGH FEEL LIKE WE ARE GETTING A BETTER HANDLE
ON IT.

.SHORT TERM FORECAST...
.SOUTHCENTRAL...IN THE FIRST 24 HOURS...ANTICIPATE SOUTHWESTERLY FLOW
ALOFT TO INCREASE AS A RESULT OF THE UPPER TROUGH OVER THE EASTERN
INTERIOR SAGGING TOWARD THE ALASKA RANGE THIS EVENING. THE ISENTROPIC
ANALYSIS DEPICTS WARM AIR OVERRUNNING THE COOLER AIR AT THE SURFACE
BEGINNING TONIGHT. IT WILL TAKE SOME TIME TO SATURATE THE COLUMN AS
THE ATMOSPHERE IS INITIALLY VERY DRY...BUT BELIEVE CLOUDS WILL
DEVELOP QUICKER OVERNIGHT THAN THE MODELS ARE DEPICTING. THE
OVERRUNNING MOISTURE WILL CONTINUE THROUGH TUESDAY...RESULTING IN
LIGHT SNOW DEVELOPING ACROSS PRINCE WILLIAM SOUND AND POSSIBLY
SPREADING INLAND OVER THE COPPER RIVER BASIN. THE INITIAL FRONT WILL
BRING STRONG GALE FORCE WINDS TO THE COASTAL ZONES...WITH 75 MPH
POSSIBLE THROUGH PORTAGE VALLEY AND EASTERN TURNAGAIN ARM TUESDAY
NIGHT. THE DOWN-INLET GRADIENT WILL PREVENT THE STRONGEST WINDS FROM
REACHING WESTERN TURNAGAIN ARM AND THE ANCHORAGE HILLSIDE. WINDS AT
ALL LEVELS WILL BECOMING SOUTHEASTERLY BY TUESDAY NIGHT RESULTING IN
A RAIN SHADOW DEVELOPING ON THE LEE SIDE OF THE MOUNTAINS.
STILL...THIS LOW IS DYNAMIC ENOUGH THAT LIGHT RAIN AND SNOW COULD
SPILL OVER THE RANGE AND FALL IN THE ANCHORAGE BOWL AND THE MATSU
VALLEY.

.SOUTHWEST INTERIOR AND BERING SEA/ALEUTIANS...THE 200+ KT JET
FLOWING PARALLEL TO THE ALEUTIAN CHAIN WILL BRING VERY ACTIVE WEATHER
TO THE REGION. SOUTHEASTERLY GAP WINDS WILL INCREASE...EVENTUALLY
TURNING NORTHEAST AND FINALLY NORTHWEST AS LOW PRESSURE MOVES SOUTH
OF THE ALASKA PENINSULA AND INTO THE GULF. PLACES LIKE DILLINGHAM
COULD SEE A PERIOD OF FREEZING RAIN AS WARM AIR ALOFT WILL BE SLOW TO
ERODE THE COLD ARCTIC AIR AT THE SURFACE. STRONG LOW LEVEL WIND SHEAR
IS AN INDICATION THAT COLD AIR WILL CONTINUE TO DRAIN FROM THE NORTH
WHILE STRONG SOUTHEASTERLY WINDS AT 2000 FT PUMP IN WARMER AIR JUST
ABOVE THE SURFACE. COLD AIR WILL ADVECT SOUTH BACK ACROSS THE REGION
WEDNESDAY NIGHT RESULTING IN NUMEROUS SNOW SHOWERS...SIGNIFICANT
ACCUMULATION AT THIS POINT WILL BE LIMITED TO THE UPSLOPE MOUNTAIN
RANGES. A BROAD TROF WITH AXIS JUST EAST OF THE SOUTHWEST INTERIOR
WILL STALL OVER THE REGION...RESULTING IN BLUSTERY BUT RELATIVELY
NORMAL FOR THIS TIME OF YEAR.

BUOY 35 WEST OF THE PRIBILOF ISLANDS IS ALREADY REPORTING WINDS THAT
ARE EXCEEDING THE STRONGEST MODEL WINDS AT THIS POINT...ANOTHER
INDICATOR THAT THE INITIALIZATION OF THE WESTERN FEATURES IS POOR.
WINDS WILL INCREASE ON THE COLD ADVECTION SIDE OF THE LOW IN THE
CENTRAL BERING SEA TONIGHT...REACHING STORM FORCE WINDS. THESE WINDS
WILL SKIRT SOUTH OF THE PRIBILOFS AND IMPACT THE EASTERN ALEUTIANS
OVERNIGHT...BRINGING STORM FORCE GUSTS TO UNALASKA AND DUTCH HARBOR
LATE TONIGHT AND TUESDAY MORNING.

STRONG NORTHWESTERLY FLOW WILL PERSIST THROUGH THE REMAINDER OF THE
WEEK ACROSS THE BERING SEA...WITH WIDESPREAD GALES AND STORM FORCE
GUSTS LIKELY.

.AER/ALU...WATCH/WARNING SUMMARY
PUBLIC...HIGH WIND WATCH 125
MARINE...STORM 172 175 176 411 412 413 414
         GALES 120 125 130 132 138 140 141 155 160 165 180 170 171
               172 179 185 414.
FIRE WEATHER...NONE.

AB NOV 09