Small Craft Advisory 710, NWS Anchorage, AK

195 
FZAK52 PAFC 072337 CCA
CWFALU

COASTAL WATERS FORECAST...CORRECTED
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ANCHORAGE ALASKA
400 PM AKDT MON SEP 7 2009

CORRECTED ZONE 155

COASTAL WATERS FORECAST FOR SOUTHWEST ALASKA+BRISTOL BAY+THE
ALASKA PENINSULA WATERS AND THE ALEUTIAN ISLANDS UP TO 100 NM OUT.

WIND FORECASTS REFLECT THE PREDOMINANT SPEED AND DIRECTION
EXPECTED. SEA FORECASTS REPRESENT AN AVERAGE OF THE HIGHEST
ONE-THIRD OF THE COMBINED WIND WAVE AND SWELL HEIGHT.

PKZ199-081400-
400 PM AKDT MON SEP 7 2009
.SYNOPSIS FOR SOUTHWEST ALASKA+BRISTOL BAY+THE ALASKA
PENINSULA WATERS AND THE ALEUTIAN ISLANDS...

A 991 MB LOW 50 NM SOUTHWEST OF SAND POINT WILL DEEPEN TO 986 MB 125
NM NORTHWEST OF SAND POINT TUE NIGHT THEN MOVE TO 100 NM WEST OF SAND
POINT WED AFTERNOON. HIGH PRESSURE MOVES INTO THE WESTERN BERING
TONIGHT INCREASING NORTHERLY FLOW OVER THE CENTRAL AND EASTERN BERING
THROUGH WED.

$$

PKZ150-081400-
COASTAL WATERS SOUTH OF THE ALASKA PENINSULA SITKINAK TO CASTLE
CAPE
400 PM AKDT MON SEP 7 2009

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH TUESDAY...

.TONIGHT...SE WIND 30 KT DIMINISHING TO 15 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS
9 FT. PATCHY FOG. RAIN.
.TUE...SE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 8 FT. PATCHY FOG. 
.TUE NIGHT...SE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 7 FT. PATCHY FOG. 
.WED...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 7 FT. 
.WED NIGHT...NE WIND INCREASING TO 45 KT. SEAS 13 FT. 
.THU...N WIND 40 KT. SEAS 14 FT. 
.FRI...NW WIND 35 KT. SEAS 13 FT. 
.SAT...W WIND 30 KT. SEAS 9 FT.  

$$

PKZ155-081400-
COASTAL WATERS SOUTH OF THE ALASKA PENINSULA CASTLE CAPE TO CAPE
SARICHEF
400 PM AKDT MON SEP 7 2009

...GALE WARNING TUESDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...W OF COLD BAY...NW WIND INCREASING TO 25 KT. E OF COLD
BAY...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 8 FT. PATCHY FOG. RAIN.
.TUE...NW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 8 FT. PATCHY FOG. 
.TUE NIGHT...NW WIND 35 KT. SEAS 9 FT. 
.WED...NW WIND 30 KT DECREASING TO 20 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 7 
FT.
.WED NIGHT...N WIND INCREASING TO 35 KT. SEAS BUILDING TO 11 FT. 
.THU...NW WIND 40 KT. SEAS 13 FT. 
.FRI...NW WIND 35 KT. SEAS 12 FT. 
.SAT...W WIND 25 KT. SEAS 7 FT.  

$$

PKZ160-081400-
BRISTOL BAY WATERS CAPE NEWENHAM TO PORT HEIDEN
400 PM AKDT MON SEP 7 2009

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TONIGHT...

.TONIGHT...E WIND 30 KT. SEAS 9 FT. PATCHY FOG. RAIN.
.TUE...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT. PATCHY FOG. RAIN.
.TUE NIGHT...E WIND 10 KT INCREASING TO 15 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS
4 FT. PATCHY FOG. RAIN.
.WED...E WIND 15 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.WED NIGHT...NE WIND INCREASING TO 25 KT. SEAS BUILDING TO 6 FT. 
.THU...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS 7 FT. 
.FRI...NW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 9 FT. 
.SAT...W WIND 25 KT. SEAS 7 FT.  

$$

PKZ165-081400-
PORT HEIDEN TO CAPE SARICHEF
400 PM AKDT MON SEP 7 2009

...GALE WARNING TUESDAY AND TUESDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...W OF COLD BAY...N WIND INCREASING TO 25 KT. SEAS BUILDING
TO 7 FT. E OF COLD BAY...E WIND 15 KT. SEAS 4 FT. PATCHY FOG. RAIN
SHOWERS. 
.TUE...W OF COLD BAY...NW WIND 35 KT. SEAS BUILDING TO 13 FT. E OF
COLD BAY...VARIABLE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 8 FT. PATCHY FOG. RAIN SHOWERS. 
.TUE NIGHT...W OF PORT MOLLER...NW WIND 35 KT. SEAS 15 FT. E OF PORT
MOLLER...S WIND 15 KT. SEAS 5 FT. PATCHY FOG. RAIN SHOWERS. 
.WED...W OF COLD BAY...N WIND 25 KT DIMINISHING TO 15 KT IN THE
AFTERNOON. SEAS 14 FT. E OF COLD BAY...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 9 FT.
.WED NIGHT...N WIND INCREASING TO 25 KT. SEAS 11 FT. 
.THU AND FRI...NW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 11 FT. 
.SAT...W WIND 20 KT. SEAS 7 FT.  

$$

PKZ180-081400-
SOUTHWEST ALASKA WATERS CAPE NEWENHAM TO DALL POINT
400 PM AKDT MON SEP 7 2009

...GALE WARNING TUESDAY AND TUESDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...N WIND 30 KT. SEAS 9 FT. PATCHY FOG. RAIN.
.TUE...W OF CAPE MENDENHALL...N WIND 35 KT. SEAS 10 FT. E OF CAPE
MENDENHALL...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS 6 FT. PATCHY FOG. RAIN.
.TUE NIGHT...W OF CAPE MENDENHALL...N WIND 35 KT. SEAS 12 FT. E OF
CAPE MENDENHALL...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS 7 FT. PATCHY FOG. RAIN.
.WED...W OF CAPE MENDENHALL...NE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 11 FT. E OF CAPE
MENDENHALL...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 6 FT. 
.WED NIGHT...W OF CAPE MENDENHALL...N WIND 30 KT. SEAS 11 FT. E OF
CAPE MENDENHALL...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT.
.THU...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS 8 FT. 
.FRI...NW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 7 FT. 
.SAT...NW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT.  

$$

PKZ170-081400-
EASTERN ALEUTIANS CAPE SARICHEF TO NIKOLSKI
400 PM AKDT MON SEP 7 2009

...GALE WARNING THROUGH TUESDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...NW WIND 35 KT. SEAS 10 FT. PATCHY FOG. 
.TUE...NW WIND 35 KT. SEAS 13 FT BERING SIDE...9 FT PACIFIC SIDE. 
.TUE NIGHT...NW WIND 35 KT. SEAS 15 FT BERING SIDE...9 FT PACIFIC
SIDE. 
.WED...NW WIND 45 KT. SEAS 20 FT BERING SIDE...14 FT PACIFIC SIDE. 
.WED NIGHT...NW WIND 40 KT. SEAS 20 FT BERING SIDE...13 FT PACIFIC
SIDE. 
.THU...NW WIND 35 KT. SEAS 16 FT BERING SIDE...9 FT PACIFIC SIDE. 
.FRI...NW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 8 FT. 
.SAT...W WIND 20 KT. SEAS 9 FT.  

$$

PKZ171-081400-
UNALASKA BAY
400 PM AKDT MON SEP 7 2009

...GALE WARNING THROUGH TUESDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...NW WIND 35 KT. SEAS 10 FT. PATCHY FOG. RAIN SHOWERS. 
.TUE...NW WIND 35 KT. SEAS 12 FT. 
.TUE NIGHT...NW WIND 35 KT. SEAS 13 FT. 
.WED...NW WIND 45 KT. SEAS 17 FT. 
.WED NIGHT...NW WIND 40 KT. SEAS 16 FT. 
.THU...NW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 10 FT. 
.FRI AND SAT...W WIND 20 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 

$$

PKZ172-081400-
EASTERN ALEUTIANS NIKOLSKI TO ADAK
400 PM AKDT MON SEP 7 2009

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH TUESDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...E OF SEGUAM ISLAND...N WIND 30 KT. W OF SEGUAM ISLAND...N
WIND 20 KT. SEAS 9 FT. PATCHY FOG. 
.TUE...N WIND 30 KT. SEAS 10 FT. 
.TUE NIGHT...E OF SEGUAM ISLAND...N WIND 35 KT. W OF SEGUAM
ISLAND...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS 12 FT. 
.WED...E OF SEGUAM ISLAND...NW WIND INCREASING TO 45 KT. SEAS
BUILDING TO 18 FT BERING SIDE....14 FT PACIFIC SIDE. W OF SEGUAM
ISLAND...NW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 10 FT. 
.WED NIGHT...E OF SEGUAM ISLAND...NW WIND 40 KT. SEAS 19 FT BERING
SIDE...14 FT PACIFIC SIDE. W OF SEGUAM ISLAND...NW WIND 25 KT. SEAS
11 FT.  
.THU...NW WIND 30 KT BECOMING SE WIND 20 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 
13 FT. 
.FRI...SE WIND 20 KT BECOMING SW 20 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 11 FT. 
.SAT...W WIND 25 KT. SEAS 11 FT.  

$$

PKZ175-081400-
WESTERN ALEUTIANS ADAK TO KISKA
400 PM AKDT MON SEP 7 2009

.TONIGHT...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS BUILDING TO 7 FT. PATCHY FOG. 
.TUE...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 7 FT. PATCHY FOG. 
.TUE NIGHT...NW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 7 FT. PATCHY FOG. 
.WED...W WIND 20 KT. SEAS 8 FT. 
.WED NIGHT...S WIND INCREASING TO 25 KT. SEAS 6 FT. 
.THU...SE WIND INCREASING TO 35 KT. SEAS BUILDING TO 15 FT. 
.FRI...SW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 13 FT. 
.SAT...W WIND 30 KT. SEAS 13 FT.  

$$

PKZ176-081400-
WESTERN ALEUTIANS KISKA TO ATTU
400 PM AKDT MON SEP 7 2009

.TONIGHT...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 6 FT. PATCHY FOG. 
.TUE...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT INCREASING TO 15 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS
6 FT. PATCHY FOG. 
.TUE NIGHT...W WIND 15 KT. SEAS 5 FT. PATCHY FOG. 
.WED...S WIND INCREASING TO 20 KT. SEAS 6 FT. 
.WED NIGHT...S OF SHEMYA...SE WIND INCREASING TO 45 KT. SEAS BUILDING
TO 14 FT. N OF SHEMYA...SE WIND 30 KT. SEAS BUILDING TO 9 FT.  
.THU...S WIND 35 KT. SEAS 17 FT. 
.FRI...SW WIND 35 KT. SEAS 16 FT. 
.SAT...W WIND 30 KT. SEAS 14 FT.  

$$

PKZ185-081400-
ST MATTHEW ISLAND WATERS
400 PM AKDT MON SEP 7 2009

...GALE WARNING TUESDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...E OF SAINT MATTHEW ISLAND...N WIND 30 KT. W OF SAINT
MATTHEW ISLAND...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 10 FT. 
.TUE...N WIND 30 KT. SEAS 10 FT. RAIN SHOWERS. 
.TUE NIGHT...E OF SAINT MATTHEW ISLAND...N WIND 40 KT. SEAS BUILDING
TO 13 FT. W OF SAINT MATTHEW ISLAND...N WIND 30 KT. SEAS 10 FT. RAIN.
.WED...N WIND 35 KT. SEAS 13 FT. 
.WED NIGHT...E OF SAINT MATTHEW ISLAND...N WIND 30 KT. W OF SAINT
MATTHEW ISLAND...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 10 FT. 
.THU AND FRI...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS 7 FT. 
.SAT...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 8 FT.  

$$

PKZ179-081400-
PRIBILOF ISLANDS NEAR-SHORE WATERS
400 PM AKDT MON SEP 7 2009

...GALE WARNING THROUGH TUESDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...N WIND 35 KT. SEAS 12 FT. PATCHY FOG. 
.TUE...N WIND 35 KT. SEAS 12 FT. 
.TUE NIGHT...NW WIND 40 KT. SEAS 13 FT. RAIN SHOWERS. 
.WED...NW WIND 45 KT. SEAS 16 FT. 
.WED NIGHT...N WIND 35 KT. SEAS 15 FT. 
.THU...NW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 11 FT. 
.FRI...W WIND 15 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.SAT...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 5 FT.  

$$

000 
FZAK52 PAFC 080648 AAA
CWFALU

COASTAL WATERS FORECAST...UPDATED
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ANCHORAGE ALASKA
1050 PM AKDT MON SEP 7 2009

UPDATED ZONE 171

COASTAL WATERS FORECAST FOR SOUTHWEST ALASKA+BRISTOL BAY+THE
ALASKA PENINSULA WATERS AND THE ALEUTIAN ISLANDS UP TO 100 NM OUT.

WIND FORECASTS REFLECT THE PREDOMINANT SPEED AND DIRECTION
EXPECTED. SEA FORECASTS REPRESENT AN AVERAGE OF THE HIGHEST
ONE-THIRD OF THE COMBINED WIND WAVE AND SWELL HEIGHT.

PKZ199-081400-
400 PM AKDT MON SEP 7 2009
.SYNOPSIS FOR SOUTHWEST ALASKA+BRISTOL BAY+THE ALASKA
PENINSULA WATERS AND THE ALEUTIAN ISLANDS...

A 991 MB LOW 50 NM SOUTHWEST OF SAND POINT WILL DEEPEN TO 986 MB 125
NM NORTHWEST OF SAND POINT TUE NIGHT THEN MOVE TO 100 NM WEST OF SAND
POINT WED AFTERNOON. HIGH PRESSURE MOVES INTO THE WESTERN BERING
TONIGHT INCREASING NORTHERLY FLOW OVER THE CENTRAL AND EASTERN BERING
THROUGH WED.

$$

PKZ150-081400-
COASTAL WATERS SOUTH OF THE ALASKA PENINSULA SITKINAK TO CASTLE
CAPE
400 PM AKDT MON SEP 7 2009

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH TUESDAY...

.TONIGHT...SE WIND 30 KT DIMINISHING TO 15 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS
9 FT. PATCHY FOG. RAIN.
.TUE...SE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 8 FT. PATCHY FOG. 
.TUE NIGHT...SE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 7 FT. PATCHY FOG. 
.WED...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 7 FT. 
.WED NIGHT...NE WIND INCREASING TO 45 KT. SEAS 13 FT. 
.THU...N WIND 40 KT. SEAS 14 FT. 
.FRI...NW WIND 35 KT. SEAS 13 FT. 
.SAT...W WIND 30 KT. SEAS 9 FT.  

$$

PKZ155-081400-
COASTAL WATERS SOUTH OF THE ALASKA PENINSULA CASTLE CAPE TO CAPE
SARICHEF
400 PM AKDT MON SEP 7 2009

...GALE WARNING TUESDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...W OF KING COVE...NW WIND 25 KT. E OF KING COVE...VARIABLE
WIND 10 KT. SEAS 8 FT. PATCHY FOG. RAIN.
.TUE...NW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 8 FT. PATCHY FOG. 
.TUE NIGHT...NW WIND 35 KT. SEAS 9 FT. 
.WED...NW WIND 30 KT DECREASING TO 20 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 7 
FT.
.WED NIGHT...N WIND INCREASING TO 35 KT. SEAS BUILDING TO 11 FT. 
.THU...NW WIND 40 KT. SEAS 13 FT. 
.FRI...NW WIND 35 KT. SEAS 12 FT. 
.SAT...W WIND 25 KT. SEAS 7 FT.  

$$

PKZ160-081400-
BRISTOL BAY WATERS CAPE NEWENHAM TO PORT HEIDEN
400 PM AKDT MON SEP 7 2009

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TONIGHT...

.TONIGHT...E WIND 30 KT. SEAS 9 FT. PATCHY FOG. RAIN.
.TUE...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT. PATCHY FOG. RAIN.
.TUE NIGHT...E WIND 10 KT INCREASING TO 15 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS
4 FT. PATCHY FOG. RAIN.
.WED...E WIND 15 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.WED NIGHT...NE WIND INCREASING TO 25 KT. SEAS BUILDING TO 6 FT. 
.THU...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS 7 FT. 
.FRI...NW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 9 FT. 
.SAT...W WIND 25 KT. SEAS 7 FT.  

$$

PKZ165-081400-
PORT HEIDEN TO CAPE SARICHEF
400 PM AKDT MON SEP 7 2009

...GALE WARNING TUESDAY AND TUESDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...W OF COLD BAY...N WIND INCREASING TO 25 KT. SEAS BUILDING
TO 7 FT. E OF COLD BAY...E WIND 15 KT. SEAS 4 FT. PATCHY FOG. RAIN
SHOWERS. 
.TUE...W OF COLD BAY...NW WIND 35 KT. SEAS BUILDING TO 13 FT. E OF
COLD BAY...VARIABLE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 8 FT. PATCHY FOG. RAIN SHOWERS. 
.TUE NIGHT...W OF PORT MOLLER...NW WIND 35 KT. SEAS 15 FT. E OF PORT
MOLLER...S WIND 15 KT. SEAS 5 FT. PATCHY FOG. RAIN SHOWERS. 
.WED...W OF COLD BAY...N WIND 25 KT DIMINISHING TO 15 KT IN THE
AFTERNOON. SEAS 14 FT. E OF COLD BAY...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 9 FT.
.WED NIGHT...N WIND INCREASING TO 25 KT. SEAS 11 FT. 
.THU AND FRI...NW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 11 FT. 
.SAT...W WIND 20 KT. SEAS 7 FT.  

$$

PKZ180-081400-
SOUTHWEST ALASKA WATERS CAPE NEWENHAM TO DALL POINT
400 PM AKDT MON SEP 7 2009

...GALE WARNING TUESDAY AND TUESDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...N WIND 30 KT. SEAS 9 FT. PATCHY FOG. RAIN.
.TUE...W OF CAPE MENDENHALL...N WIND 35 KT. SEAS 10 FT. E OF CAPE
MENDENHALL...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS 6 FT. PATCHY FOG. RAIN.
.TUE NIGHT...W OF CAPE MENDENHALL...N WIND 35 KT. SEAS 12 FT. E OF
CAPE MENDENHALL...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS 7 FT. PATCHY FOG. RAIN.
.WED...W OF CAPE MENDENHALL...NE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 11 FT. E OF CAPE
MENDENHALL...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 6 FT. 
.WED NIGHT...W OF CAPE MENDENHALL...N WIND 30 KT. SEAS 11 FT. E OF
CAPE MENDENHALL...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT.
.THU...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS 8 FT. 
.FRI...NW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 7 FT. 
.SAT...NW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT.  

$$

PKZ170-081400-
EASTERN ALEUTIANS CAPE SARICHEF TO NIKOLSKI
400 PM AKDT MON SEP 7 2009

...GALE WARNING THROUGH TUESDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...NW WIND 35 KT. SEAS 10 FT. PATCHY FOG. 
.TUE...NW WIND 35 KT. SEAS 13 FT BERING SIDE...9 FT PACIFIC SIDE. 
.TUE NIGHT...NW WIND 35 KT. SEAS 15 FT BERING SIDE...9 FT PACIFIC
SIDE. 
.WED...NW WIND 45 KT. SEAS 20 FT BERING SIDE...14 FT PACIFIC SIDE. 
.WED NIGHT...NW WIND 40 KT. SEAS 20 FT BERING SIDE...13 FT PACIFIC
SIDE. 
.THU...NW WIND 35 KT. SEAS 16 FT BERING SIDE...9 FT PACIFIC SIDE. 
.FRI...NW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 8 FT. 
.SAT...W WIND 20 KT. SEAS 9 FT.  

$$

PKZ171-081400-
UNALASKA BAY
1050 PM AKDT MON SEP 7 2009

...GALE WARNING TUESDAY AND TUESDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...NW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 8 FT. PATCHY FOG. RAIN SHOWERS. 
.TUE...NW WIND 35 KT. SEAS 12 FT. 
.TUE NIGHT...NW WIND 35 KT. SEAS 13 FT. 
.WED...NW WIND 45 KT. SEAS 17 FT. 
.WED NIGHT...NW WIND 40 KT. SEAS 16 FT. 
.THU...NW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 10 FT. 
.FRI AND SAT...W WIND 20 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 

$$

PKZ172-081400-
EASTERN ALEUTIANS NIKOLSKI TO ADAK
400 PM AKDT MON SEP 7 2009

...GALE WARNING TUESDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...E OF SEGUAM ISLAND...N WIND 30 KT. W OF SEGUAM ISLAND...N
WIND 20 KT. SEAS 9 FT. PATCHY FOG. 
.TUE...N WIND 30 KT. SEAS 10 FT. 
.TUE NIGHT...E OF SEGUAM ISLAND...N WIND 35 KT. W OF SEGUAM
ISLAND...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS 12 FT. 
.WED...E OF SEGUAM ISLAND...NW WIND INCREASING TO 45 KT. SEAS
BUILDING TO 18 FT BERING SIDE....14 FT PACIFIC SIDE. W OF SEGUAM
ISLAND...NW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 10 FT. 
.WED NIGHT...E OF SEGUAM ISLAND...NW WIND 40 KT. SEAS 19 FT BERING
SIDE...14 FT PACIFIC SIDE. W OF SEGUAM ISLAND...NW WIND 25 KT. SEAS
11 FT.  
.THU...NW WIND 30 KT BECOMING SE WIND 20 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 
13 FT. 
.FRI...SE WIND 20 KT BECOMING SW 20 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 11 FT. 
.SAT...W WIND 25 KT. SEAS 11 FT.  

$$

PKZ175-081400-
WESTERN ALEUTIANS ADAK TO KISKA
400 PM AKDT MON SEP 7 2009

.TONIGHT...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS BUILDING TO 7 FT. PATCHY FOG. 
.TUE...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 7 FT. PATCHY FOG. 
.TUE NIGHT...NW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 7 FT. PATCHY FOG. 
.WED...W WIND 20 KT. SEAS 8 FT. 
.WED NIGHT...S WIND INCREASING TO 25 KT. SEAS 6 FT. 
.THU...SE WIND INCREASING TO 35 KT. SEAS BUILDING TO 15 FT. 
.FRI...SW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 13 FT. 
.SAT...W WIND 30 KT. SEAS 13 FT.  

$$

PKZ176-081400-
WESTERN ALEUTIANS KISKA TO ATTU
400 PM AKDT MON SEP 7 2009

.TONIGHT...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 6 FT. PATCHY FOG. 
.TUE...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT INCREASING TO 15 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. 
SEAS 6 FT. PATCHY FOG. 
.TUE NIGHT...W WIND 15 KT. SEAS 5 FT. PATCHY FOG. 
.WED...S WIND INCREASING TO 20 KT. SEAS 6 FT. 
.WED NIGHT...S OF SHEMYA...SE WIND INCREASING TO 45 KT. SEAS 
BUILDING TO 14 FT. N OF SHEMYA...SE WIND 30 KT. SEAS BUILDING TO 9
FT.  
.THU...S WIND 35 KT. SEAS 17 FT. 
.FRI...SW WIND 35 KT. SEAS 16 FT. 
.SAT...W WIND 30 KT. SEAS 14 FT.  

$$

PKZ185-081400-
ST MATTHEW ISLAND WATERS
400 PM AKDT MON SEP 7 2009

...GALE WARNING TUESDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...E OF SAINT MATTHEW ISLAND...N WIND 30 KT. W OF SAINT
MATTHEW ISLAND...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 10 FT. 
.TUE...N WIND 30 KT. SEAS 10 FT. RAIN SHOWERS. 
.TUE NIGHT...E OF SAINT MATTHEW ISLAND...N WIND 40 KT. SEAS BUILDING
TO 13 FT. W OF SAINT MATTHEW ISLAND...N WIND 30 KT. SEAS 10 FT. 
RAIN.
.WED...N WIND 35 KT. SEAS 13 FT. 
.WED NIGHT...E OF SAINT MATTHEW ISLAND...N WIND 30 KT. W OF SAINT
MATTHEW ISLAND...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 10 FT. 
.THU AND FRI...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS 7 FT. 
.SAT...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 8 FT.  

$$

PKZ179-081400-
PRIBILOF ISLANDS NEAR-SHORE WATERS
400 PM AKDT MON SEP 7 2009

...GALE WARNING THROUGH TUESDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...N WIND 35 KT. SEAS 12 FT. PATCHY FOG. 
.TUE...N WIND 35 KT. SEAS 12 FT. 
.TUE NIGHT...NW WIND 40 KT. SEAS 13 FT. RAIN SHOWERS. 
.WED...NW WIND 45 KT. SEAS 16 FT. 
.WED NIGHT...N WIND 35 KT. SEAS 15 FT. 
.THU...NW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 11 FT. 
.FRI...W WIND 15 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.SAT...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 5 FT.  

$$

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
SOUTHCENTRAL AND SOUTHWEST ALASKA
200 PM AKDT MON SEP 7 2009

.MODEL DISCUSSION...
UPPER LEVEL...ALL MODELS IN RELATIVELY GOOD AGREEMENT THROUGH
THURSDAY. ALL MODELS TAKE THE UPPER LOW OVER THE EASTERN ALEUTIANS
INTO THE WESTERN GULF TUESDAY AS A CLOSED LOW DROPS OUT OF THE ARCTIC
THROUGH THE BERING. THE TWO WRAP UP TOGETHER SOUTH OF THE EASTERN
ALEUTIAN CHAIN WEDNESDAY WITH AN UPPER LEVEL LOW MOVING INTO THE SEA
OF OKHOTSK. THE TWO MAJOR UPPER LOWS TO SWING EAST INTO THURSDAY. BY
FRIDAY...THE DIFFERENCES START TO REALLY SHOW UP. THE GFS NEVER WRAPS
THE EX-TYPHOON DUJUAN INTO THE KAMCHATKA LOW AND PUSHES IT OUT ACROSS
THE BERING AND EVENTUALLY PUSHING INTO THE NORTHEAST PACIFIC.
THEREFORE...THE WESTERN BERING IS MORE PROGRESSIVE. EVEN SO...THE
SPREAD IS LARGE BY SATURDAY AMONG MODELS AND THE ENSEMBLE MEMBERS.

AT THE SURFACE...LARGE DIFFERENCES IN THE HANDLING OF A SHORT WAVE
TROUGH ROTATING AROUND THE STACKED LOW IN THE EASTERN ALEUTIANS. THIS
SHORT WAVE TO DEVELOP A LOW ALONG THE TRIPLE POINT IN THE EASTERN
GULF TONIGHT. THE UKMET NOT THERE AT ALL WHILE THE ECMWF HAS THE LOW
FARTHER WEST AND THE GFS AND NAM ARE IN THE EASTERN GULF. GFS HAS
BEEN RATHER CONSISTENT WITH THIS APPROACH SINCE YESTERDAY AND WE HAVE
GONE THIS WAY WITH OUR FORECAST. BY WEDNESDAY MORNING...THE MODELS
ARE SIMILAR IN THE POSITIONING OF THE LOW AS IT WRAPS BACK TO THE
STACKED LOW NEAR THE AKPEN. ANOTHER LOW MOVING INTO THE PICTURE NEAR
45N 150W WEDNESDAY TO BECOME THE PICTURE BY THURSDAY AS IT DEEPENS
INTO THE 960S THURSDAY. GALE TO STORM FORCE WINDS WRAPPED AROUND THIS
LOW. THE LOW TO BECOME STACKED AND FILL INTO SATURDAY. HOWEVER...BIG
DIFFERENCES IN THE BERING BY THIS TIME. THE GFS IS MORE PROGRESSIVE
AND HANDLES THE EX-TYPHOON DUJUAN DIFFERENTLY THAN THE ECMWF.

.ANALYSIS AND UPPER LEVELS...
THE BIG PLAYER IS THE STACKED LOW OVER THE EASTERN ALEUTIANS EARLY
THIS AFTERNOON WITH HIGH PRESSURE OVER THE PANHANDLE. A MODERATE
FRONT IS STRETCHED FROM THE SOUTHERN GULF INTO BRISTOL BAY WITH NEAR
GALE FORCE WINDS SURROUNDING IT. A 160 KT JET AT THE BASE OF THE
STACKED LOW DRAWING THE LOW SOUTH AND EAST OVER THE NEXT 12 HOURS. A
VORTICITY MAX/SHORT WAVE TROUGH AT THE HEAD OF THIS JET DEVELOPING A
SURFACE LOW ALONG THE TRIPLE POINT IN THE EASTERN GULF THIS EVENING.
IN ADDITION...A CUTOFF LOW IS DROPPING OUT OF THE ARCTIC AND CARVING
OUT A TROUGH OVER THE BERING IN THE NEXT 24 HOURS.

LOTS OF STRATUS ONCE AGAIN OVER SOUTH CENTRAL ALASKA THIS MORNING AND
INTERIOR OF SOUTHWEST ALASKA. MOST OF THIS AREA HAS BURNED OFF EARLY
THIS AFTERNOON. PRECIPITATION HAS NOT STRETCHED TO KODIAK CITY BUT IS
PRESENT FROM THE CENTRAL ALEUTIANS TO THE SOUTHWEST COAST OF ALASKA
AND THE SOUTHERN PORTION OF KODIAK ISLAND.

.SHORT TERM FORECAST...
.SOUTH CENTRAL...
WEAK UPPER LEVEL LOW OVER THE AREA TO LIFT NORTH TONIGHT.
HOWEVER...ENOUGH INSTABILITY LEFT FOR SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS OVER
THE COPPER BASIN AND ALONG THE TALKEETNA MOUNTAINS AND ALASKA RANGE
AGAIN. MEANWHILE...A FRONT IS WORKING NORTH IN THE GULF WITH A TRIPLE
POINT LOW DEVELOPING IN THE EASTERN GULF. PRECIPITATION TO BE MAINLY
ALONG THE COAST WITH THE FRONT AND THROUGH KODIAK ISLAND. VALDEZ MAY
BE SPARED HEAVIER PRECIP A BIT DUE TO SOME LEE SIDE DRYING IN THE
AREA. THE TRIPLE POINT LOW TO WRAP AROUND THE GULF THROUGH TOMORROW
AND WEDNESDAY. THIS WILL INCREASE SOME WINDS ALONG THE NORTHERN GULF
COAST TOMORROW AFTERNOON AND NIGHT. A BRIEF SHOT OF PRECIP MAY WORK
INLAND AS THIS LOW GETS CLOSE TO THE COAST TUESDAY EVENING. NEXT
SYSTEM TO MOVE INTO THE SOUTHERN GULF IS LARGE WITH GALE TO STORM
FORCE WINDS AND LARGE WAVES WEDNESDAY NIGHT THROUGH THURSDAY. LOW TO
BECOME STACKED THURSDAY NIGHT AND START TO FILL WITH LIGHTER WINDS
AND DECREASED WAVES. ONCE AGAIN...MOST PRECIP TO REMAIN ALONG THE
COAST EXCEPT A SHORT WAVE PUSHING INLAND WITH THE LOW THURSDAY. GOOD
WINDS THROUGH TURNAGAIN ARM THROUGHOUT THE NEXT FEW DAYS AS A RESULT.

.SOUTHWEST ALASKA...
STACKED LOW JUST SOUTH OF THE EASTERN ALEUTIANS WITH PRECIP MOVING
INTO BRISTOL BAY AND ALONG THE YK DELTA THIS AFTERNOON. MODERATE
WINDS WITH THE FRONT AND EXPECT SOME GAP FLOWS IN EXCESS OF 45 MPH
ALONG THE ALEUTIAN MOUNTAIN CHAIN THROUGH TUESDAY. PRECIP WILL SPREAD
INLAND TONIGHT AS THE LOW WORKS INTO BRISTOL BAY. IN ADDITION...THE
UPPER LOW FROM THE ARCTIC TO PUSH INTO THE EASTERN BERING ENHANCING
PRECIP CHANCES ALONG THE YK DELTA. A BROAD AREA OF LOW PRESSURE TO
REMAIN IN SOUTHWEST ALASKA THROUGH THURSDAY WITH SOME PRECIP.
HOWEVER...THE LARGE LOW IN THE GULF TO BRING SOME DRYING NORTHEAST
FLOW TO THE AREA AS WELL.

.BERING SEA AND ALEUTIANS...
A LOW NEAR THE EASTERN ALEUTIAN CHAIN BRINGING PRECIP FROM THE
CENTRAL ALEUTIANS EASTWARD. THE LOW TO ROTATE INTO BRISTOL BAY
TUESDAY WITH AN UPPER LEVEL LOW PUSHING SOUTH THROUGH THE BERING.
THIS UPPER LEVEL FEATURE TO BRING COLDER AIR AND STRENGTHEN THE
GRADIENT FROM THE LOW IN THE GULF ESPECIALLY WEDNESDAY. EXPECT GALE
FORCE WINDS WITH STORM GUSTS FOR THE CENTRAL BERING AND ALEUTIANS.
EX-TYPHOON DUJUAN TO WORK TOWARD THE WESTERN ALEUTIANS WEDNESDAY
NIGHT INTO THURSDAY WITH LARGE AMOUNTS OF PRECIP SPREADING INTO THE
CENTRAL ALEUTIANS BY THURSDAY AFTERNOON. STRONG WINDS SHOULD
ACCOMPANY THIS SYSTEM AS WELL. THE WINDS IN THE CENTRAL AND EASTERN
BERING SHOULD BEGIN TO DROP OFF AT THIS TIME AS THE HIGH PRESSURE IN
BETWEEN THE WESTERN ALEUTIAN LOW AND THE GULF LOW WEAKENS AND THE
COLD ADVECTION IS OVER.

.LONG TERM FORECAST...
LONG TERM GETS DICEY AFTER THURSDAY WITH THE INTERACTION OF
EX-TYPHOON DUJUAN AND THE CHANGE IN THE LONG WAVE PATTERN TO MORE
PROGRESSIVE OR NOT. OVERALL...A SLIGHTLY BELOW NORMAL TEMPERATURES
WITH SOME PRECIPITATION AT TIMES FOR THE EXTENDED.

.AER/ALU...WATCH/WARNING SUMMARY
PUBLIC...NONE
MARINE...GALE 165 170 171 179 185
FIRE WEATHER...NONE

JN SEP 09