Gale Warning 960, NWS Anchorage, AK

000 
FZAK51 PAFC 150633 AAA
CWFAER

COASTAL WATERS FORECAST...UPDATE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ANCHORAGE ALASKA
930 PM AKST MON DEC 14 2009

UPDATED 138

COASTAL WATERS FORECAST FOR THE NORTHERN GULF OF ALASKA COAST
UP TO 100 NM OUT INCLUDING KODIAK ISLAND AND COOK INLET.

WIND FORECASTS REFLECT THE PREDOMINANT SPEED AND DIRECTION
EXPECTED. SEA FORECASTS REPRESENT AN AVERAGE OF THE HIGHEST
ONE-THIRD OF THE COMBINED WIND WAVE AND SWELL HEIGHT.

PKZ197-151500-
400 PM AKST MON DEC 14 2009
.SYNOPSIS FOR THE NORTH GULF COAST+KODIAK ISLAND WATERS+
COOK INLET...

A 1000 MB LOW OVER WHITTIER INTENSIFIES TO 980 MB WEDNESDAY MORNING
OVER KNIGHT ISLAND AND THEN MOVES ONSHORE AS IT DISSIPATES.

$$

PKZ120-151500-
CAPE SUCKLING TO GORE POINT
400 PM AKST MON DEC 14 2009

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TUESDAY AND TUESDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...S WIND 20 KT. SEAS 6 FT. RAIN AND SNOW. 
.TUE...S WIND 25 KT. SEAS 9 FT. SNOW AND RAIN. 
.TUE NIGHT...S WIND 30 KT. SEAS 11 FT. SNOW AND RAIN. 
.WED...SW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 10 FT. 
.WED NIGHT AND THU...SW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 11 FT. 
.FRI...W WIND 30 KT. SEAS 10 FT. 
.SAT...SW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 8 FT.  

$$

PKZ121-151500-
RESURRECTION BAY
400 PM AKST MON DEC 14 2009

.TONIGHT...N WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. SNOW.
.TUE...N WIND 10 KT INCREASING TO 15 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 3 FT.
.TUE NIGHT...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. HIGHER SEAS S OF CAINES HEAD.
FREEZING SPRAY. 
.WED...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.WED NIGHT...S WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.THU AND FRI...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.SAT...VARIABLE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.  

$$

PKZ125-151500-
PRINCE WILLIAM SOUND
400 PM AKST MON DEC 14 2009

.TONIGHT...SE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. RAIN AND SNOW. 
.TUE AND TUE NIGHT...S WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. RAIN AND SNOW. 
.WED...S WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.WED NIGHT...S WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.THU...SW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.FRI...W WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.SAT...NW WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.  

$$

PKZ129-151500-
PASSAGE CANAL
400 PM AKST MON DEC 14 2009

.TONIGHT...VARIABLE WIND LESS THAN 10 KT. SEAS 1 FOOT. SNOW. 
.TUE...W WIND 10 KT INCREASING TO 15 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 2 FT.
SNOW.
.TUE NIGHT...W WIND 15 KT. SEAS 2 FT. SNOW. FREEZING SPRAY. 
.WED...VARIABLE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.WED NIGHT...E WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.THU AND FRI...W WIND 20 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.SAT...E WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.  

$$

PKZ130-151500-
BARREN ISLANDS AND KAMISHAK BAY WATERS
400 PM AKST MON DEC 14 2009

...GALE WARNING TUESDAY NIGHT...
...HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY WARNING TUESDAY AND TUESDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT BECOMING W 20 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS
5 FT. FREEZING SPRAY W OF THE BARREN ISLANDS AFTER MIDNIGHT. 
.TUE...NW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 8 FT. SNOW AND RAIN. HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY
W OF THE BARREN ISLANDS. 
.TUE NIGHT...NW WIND 35 KT. SEAS 10 FT. HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY W OF 
THE BARREN ISLANDS. 
.WED AND WED NIGHT...W WIND 40 KT. SEAS 10 FT. 
.THU...W WIND 30 KT. SEAS 8 FT. 
.FRI...W WIND 35 KT. SEAS 10 FT. 
.SAT...SW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 9 FT.  

$$

PKZ132-151500-
SHUYAK ISLAND TO SITKINAK
400 PM AKST MON DEC 14 2009

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TUESDAY AND TUESDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 6 FT. 
.TUE...NW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 9 FT. 
.TUE NIGHT...NW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 10 FT. FREEZING SPRAY NEAR THE
COAST. 
.WED...NW WIND 35 KT. SEAS 10 FT. 
.WED NIGHT...W WIND 35 KT. SEAS 10 FT. 
.THU AND FRI...W WIND 30 KT. SEAS 9 FT. 
.SAT...SW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 11 FT.  

$$

PKZ138-151500-
SHELIKOF STRAIT
930 PM AKST MON DEC 14 2009

...HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY WARNING TUESDAY NIGHT...
...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TUESDAY AND TUESDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...W WIND 20 KT. GUSTS TO 35 KT OUT OF BAYS AND PASSES. SEAS
4 FT. FREEZING SPRAY. 
.TUE...NW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. FREEZING SPRAY. 
.TUE NIGHT...NW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 6 FT. HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY. 
.WED...NW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 6 FT. 
.WED NIGHT AND THU...NW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 6 FT. 
.FRI...W WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.SAT...SE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 5 FT.  

$$

PKZ140-151500-
COOK INLET NORTH OF KAMISHAK BAY AND ENGLISH BAY
400 PM AKST MON DEC 14 2009

.TONIGHT...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.TUE...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. FREEZING SPRAY. 
.TUE NIGHT...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. FREEZING SPRAY. 
.WED...W WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.WED NIGHT...SW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 6 FT. 
.THU...NW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.FRI...W WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.SAT...W WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.  

$$

PKZ141-151500-
KACHEMAK BAY
400 PM AKST MON DEC 14 2009

.TONIGHT...NE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.TUE...N WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.TUE NIGHT...NW WIND 10 KT INCREASING TO 15 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS
3 FT. FREEZING SPRAY. 
.WED...W WIND 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.WED NIGHT...W WIND 30 KT. SEAS 7 FT. 
.THU AND FRI...W WIND 25 KT. SEAS 6 FT. 
.SAT...SW WIND 10 KT. SEAS 3 FT.  

$$

000 
FZAK51 PAFC 152143 AAB
CWFAER

COASTAL WATERS FORECAST...UPDATED
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ANCHORAGE ALASKA
1215 AM AKST TUE DEC 15 2009

UPDATED AREA 121

COASTAL WATERS FORECAST FOR THE NORTHERN GULF OF ALASKA COAST
UP TO 100 NM OUT INCLUDING KODIAK ISLAND AND COOK INLET.

WIND FORECASTS REFLECT THE PREDOMINANT SPEED AND DIRECTION
EXPECTED. SEA FORECASTS REPRESENT AN AVERAGE OF THE HIGHEST
ONE-THIRD OF THE COMBINED WIND WAVE AND SWELL HEIGHT.

PKZ197-160300-
400 AM AKST TUE DEC 15 2009
.SYNOPSIS FOR THE NORTH GULF COAST+KODIAK ISLAND WATERS+
COOK INLET...
A 992 MB LOW NEAR WHITTIER WILL REMAIN NEARLY STATIONARY THROUGH
WED AFTERNOON AND THEN MOVE ON SHORE AND DISSIPATE WED NIGHT.
$$

PKZ120-160300-
CAPE SUCKLING TO GORE POINT
400 AM AKST TUE DEC 15 2009

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH WEDNESDAY...

.TODAY...S WIND 25 KT. SEAS 8 FT. RAIN AND SNOW. 
.TONIGHT...S WIND 30 KT. SEAS 12 FT. RAIN AND SNOW. 
.WED...SW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 12 FT. RAIN AND SNOW.  
.WED NIGHT...SW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 12 FT. 
.THU...SW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 10 FT. 
.FRI...W WIND 35 KT. SEAS 12 FT. 
.SAT...W WIND 25 KT. SEAS 10 FT.  

$$

PKZ121-160300-
RESURRECTION BAY
1245 PM AKST TUE DEC 15 2009

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH TONIGHT...

.TODAY...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS 4 FT. SNOW. FREEZING SPRAY. 
.TONIGHT...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS 4 FT. SNOW. FREEZING SPRAY.
.WED...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. HIGHER SEAS S OF CAINES HEAD. SNOW.
FREEZING SPRAY. 
.WED NIGHT AND THU...S WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.FRI AND SAT...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 

$$

PKZ125-160300-
PRINCE WILLIAM SOUND
400 AM AKST TUE DEC 15 2009

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH WEDNESDAY...

.TODAY...SE WIND 15 KT INCREASING TO 25 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. 
SEAS 2 FT BUILDING TO 5 FT IN THE AFTERNOON. RAIN AND SNOW. 
.TONIGHT...SE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 7 FT. RAIN AND SNOW. 
.WED...SE WIND 25 KT BECOMING S 15 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. 
SEAS 6 FT SUBSIDING TO 3 FT IN THE AFTERNOON. SNOW AND RAIN. 
.WED NIGHT...SW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.THU...SW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.FRI...W WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.SAT...NW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.  

$$

PKZ129-160300-
PASSAGE CANAL
845 AM AKST TUE DEC 15 2009

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY WEDNESDAY...

.TODAY...W WIND 20 KT. SEAS 2 FT. SNOW.
.TONIGHT...W WIND 20 KT. SEAS 2 FT. SNOW.
.WED...W WIND 25 KT. SEAS 3 FT. SNOW. FREEZING SPRAY. 
.WED NIGHT...W WIND 20 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.THU...VARIABLE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.FRI...W WIND 20 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.SAT...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.  

$$

PKZ130-160300-
BARREN ISLANDS AND KAMISHAK BAY WATERS
400 AM AKST TUE DEC 15 2009

...STORM WARNING WEDNESDAY...
...HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY WARNING THROUGH WEDNESDAY...

.TODAY...NW WIND 25 KT INCREASING TO 35 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. 
SEAS 5 FT BUILDING TO 10 FT. SNOW. HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY W OF 
THE BARREN ISLANDS. 
.TONIGHT...NW WIND 40 KT. SEAS 14 FT. SNOW. HEAVY FREEZING
SPRAY W OF THE BARREN ISLANDS. 
.WED...W WIND 50 KT. SEAS 16 FT. HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY.
.WED NIGHT...W WIND 45 KT. SEAS 14 FT. 
.THU...W WIND 40 KT. SEAS 12 FT. 
.FRI...W WIND 35 KT. SEAS 10 FT. 
.SAT...W WIND 25 KT. SEAS 10 FT.  

$$

PKZ132-160300-
SHUYAK ISLAND TO SITKINAK
400 AM AKST TUE DEC 15 2009

...GALE WARNING WEDNESDAY...
...HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY WARNING WEDNESDAY...

.TODAY...NW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 8 FT. SNOW AND RAIN.
.TONIGHT...NW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 11 FT. SNOW. FREEZING SPRAY.
.WED...NW WIND 40 KT EXCEPT NW 25 KT N OF DANGEROUS CAPE. 
SEAS 12 FT. HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY. 
.WED NIGHT...W WIND 35 KT. SEAS 12 FT. 
.THU...W WIND 30 KT. SEAS 10 FT. 
.FRI...W WIND 35 KT. SEAS 12 FT. 
.SAT...SW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 10 FT.  

$$

PKZ138-160300-
SHELIKOF STRAIT
400 AM AKST TUE DEC 15 2009

...GALE WARNING WEDNESDAY...
...HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY WARNING THROUGH WEDNESDAY...

.TODAY...NW WIND 25 KT. GUSTS TO 35 KT OUT OF BAYS AND PASSES. 
SEAS 6 FT. HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY. 
.TONIGHT...NW WIND 30 KT. GUSTS TO 45 KT OUT OF BAYS AND PASSES. 
SEAS 7 FT. HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY. 
.WED...NW WIND 35 KT. GUSTS TO 50 KT OUT OF BAYS AND PASSES. 
SEAS 8 FT. HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY. 
.WED NIGHT...NW WIND 35 KT. SEAS 8 FT. 
.THU AND FRI...W WIND 25 KT. SEAS 6 FT. 
.SAT...SW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 5 FT.  

$$

PKZ140-160300-
COOK INLET NORTH OF KAMISHAK BAY AND ENGLISH BAY
400 AM AKST TUE DEC 15 2009

...HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY WARNING WEDNESDAY...
...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY WEDNESDAY...

.TODAY...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. FREEZING SPRAY. 
.TONIGHT...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 4 FT. FREEZING SPRAY. 
.WED...NW WIND 25 KT EXCEPT NW 15 KT N OF KALGIN ISLAND. 
GUSTS TO 35 KT OUT OF BAYS AND PASSES. SEAS BUILDING TO 8 FT 
EXCEPT 3 FT N OF KALGIN ISLAND. HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY. 
.WED NIGHT AND THU...W WIND 30 KT. SEAS 10 FT. 
.FRI...NW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 6 FT. 
.SAT...W WIND 15 KT. SEAS 4 FT.  

$$

PKZ141-160300-
KACHEMAK BAY
400 AM AKST TUE DEC 15 2009

...HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY WARNING WEDNESDAY...
...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY WEDNESDAY...

.TODAY...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 1 FOOT. 
.TONIGHT...N WIND 10 KT BECOMING NW 15 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. 
SEAS 2 FT. FREEZING SPRAY AFTER MIDNIGHT. 
.WED...W WIND 15 KT INCREASING TO 25 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. 
SEAS 4 FT BUILDING TO 8 FT IN THE AFTERNOON. HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY. 
.WED NIGHT...SW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 10 FT. 
.THU AND FRI...W WIND 25 KT. SEAS 8 FT. 
.SAT...SW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 4 FT.  

$$

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION...CORRECTION
SOUTHCENTRAL AND SOUTHWEST ALASKA
130 PM AKST MON DEC 14 2009

ADDED WATCH/WARNING SUMMARY...

.MODEL DISCUSSION...12Z GFS AND NAM IN GOOD AGREEMENT ON DEVELOPMENT
OF NORTH GULF LOW TONIGHT THROUGH WEDNESDAY.  COLD AIR ADVECTION OVER
SOUTHCENTRAL COMMENCES LATE THIS AFTERNOON WITH MAJOR UPPER LEVEL LOW
MOVING SOUTHWARD ACROSS THE STATE.  WIDESPREAD SNOW SHOULD DEVELOP
THIS AFTERNOON SOUTH OF THE ALASKA RANGE HOWEVER SNOWFALL AMOUNTS
TIED TO RAPID ADVANCE OF COLD DRY AIR FROM THE INTERIOR...CURRENT
THINKING IS THAT RELATIVELY QUICK CHANCE OF SNOW FOR MAT-SU AND COOK
INLET THIS EVENING BUT WITH MAIN EMPHASIS IN PRINCE WILLIAM SOUND AND
EAST.

.ANALYSIS AND UPPER LEVELS...COLD AIR STARTING TO ADVANCE SOUTHWARD
THIS AFTERNOON.  EXPECTING WESTERLY FLOW IN MID LEVELS THIS EVENING
AND DEVELOPMENT OF SURFACE LOW IN VICINITY OF PWS.

HIGH PRESSURE OVER NORTHWESTERN BERING SEA SHOULD PERSIST FOR MOST OF
THE WEEK.

.SHORT TERM FORECAST...SNOW DEVELOPING OVER SOUTHCENTRAL ZONES THIS
AFTERNOON WITH 1-3 INCHES THROUGH THIS EVENING.  AFTER 12Z IT APPEARS
THAT THE MOISTURE SUPPLY IS LIMITED SO MAINLY CLOUDS AND SNOW
TAPERING OFF IN MAT-SU AND COOK INLET...BUT SNOW DEFINITE FOR PWS
EASTWARD.  EAST WINDS ALONG NORTH GULF COAST DEVELOPING TUESDAY AND
REMAINING THROUGH WEDNESDAY.  SNOWFALL AMOUNTS FOR PWS EASTWARD
SUBSTANTIAL.

SOME SNOW THIS AFTERNOON AND EVENING FOR EASTWARD REGIONS OF ZONES
152 AND 161 BUT MAINLY TURNING COLD OVER NIGHT. CLEAR AND COLD FOR
REMAINDER OF SOUTHWEST ZONES.

STRATUS AND ISOLATED RAIN OR SNOW SHOWERS WILL BE THE NORM FOR MOST
OF THE GREATER BERING REGION.

.LONG TERM FORECAST...UPPER LEVEL LOW IS PROGGED BY GFS TO REMAIN
OVER WESTERN INTERIOR THROUGH LATE IN THE WEEK...SURFACE LOW MOVES
INTO THE YUKON ON THURSDAY.  HENCE PARTLY TO MOSTLY CLOUDY FROM WEST
TO EAST.  PLENTY OF SUBZERO TEMPS...COLDEST IN THE WEST WARMER IN THE
EAST.

.AER/ALU...WATCH/WARNING SUMMARY
PUBLIC...NONE
MARINE...HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY WARNING...130 138 150 160 180 185
         GALE WARNING...130
FIRE WEATHER...NONE

JMP DEC 09