Gale Warning 721, NWS Anchorage, AK

000 
FZAK52 PAFC 081411 AAA
CWFALU

COASTAL WATERS FORECAST...UPDATED
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ANCHORAGE ALASKA
609 AM AKDT THU OCT 8 2009

UPDATED ZONE 160

COASTAL WATERS FORECAST FOR SOUTHWEST ALASKA+BRISTOL BAY+THE
ALASKA PENINSULA WATERS AND THE ALEUTIAN ISLANDS UP TO 100 NM OUT.

WIND FORECASTS REFLECT THE PREDOMINANT SPEED AND DIRECTION
EXPECTED. SEA FORECASTS REPRESENT AN AVERAGE OF THE HIGHEST
ONE-THIRD OF THE COMBINED WIND WAVE AND SWELL HEIGHT.

PKZ199-090200-
400 AM AKDT THU OCT 8 2009
.SYNOPSIS FOR SOUTHWEST ALASKA+BRISTOL BAY+THE ALASKA
PENINSULA WATERS AND THE ALEUTIAN ISLANDS...
A 988 MB LOW 200 NM NORTHEAST OF SHEMYA MOVES SOUTHWEST AND
DISSIPATES BY THURSDAY AFTERNOON. A 969 MB LOW 200 NM SOUTHEAST OF
ATKA MOVES TO 150 NM SOUTHWEST OF SAINT PAUL AT 982 MB
THURSDAY NIGHT. THIS LOW THEN WEAKENS TO 984 MB WHILE REMAINING
NEARLY STATIONARY AND THEN DISSIPATES FRIDAY NIGHT. A 968 MB NORTH
PACIFIC LOW MOVES NORTH TO 150 NM SOUTH OF SAND POINT FRIDAY EVENING.
$$

PKZ150-090200-
COASTAL WATERS SOUTH OF THE ALASKA PENINSULA SITKINAK TO CASTLE
CAPE
400 AM AKDT THU OCT 8 2009

...STORM WARNING FRIDAY...

.TODAY...SE WIND 30 KT BECOMING S 20 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS
15 FT. PATCHY FOG. RAIN SHOWERS. 
.TONIGHT...S WIND 20 KT. SEAS 13 FT. PATCHY FOG. RAIN.
.FRI...E WIND 35 KT INCREASING TO 50 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS
19 FT. RAIN.
.FRI NIGHT...SE WIND 55 KT. SEAS BUILDING TO 27 FT. 
.SAT...S WIND 35 KT. SEAS 25 FT. 
.SUN...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 14 FT. 
.MON...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 11 FT.  

$$

PKZ155-090200-
COASTAL WATERS SOUTH OF THE ALASKA PENINSULA CASTLE CAPE TO CAPE
SARICHEF
400 AM AKDT THU OCT 8 2009

...GALE WARNING THROUGH FRIDAY...

.TODAY...WEST OF SAND POINT...S WIND 30 KT INCREASING TO 40 KT DURING
THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 11 FT BUILDING TO 15 FT. EAST OF SAND POINT...S
WIND 20 KT INCREASING TO 30 KT. SEAS 10 FT. PATCHY FOG. 
.TONIGHT...WEST OF SAND POINT...SE WIND 35 KT DIMINISHING TO 25 KT
AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS 16 FT. PATCHY FOG. EAST OF SAND POINT...SE WIND
25 KT. SEAS 12 FT. 
.FRI...E WIND 30 KT BECOMING NE 45 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 16 FT.
RAIN.
.FRI NIGHT...SW WIND 40 KT. SEAS 20 FT. 
.SAT...S WIND 25 KT. SEAS 18 FT. 
.SUN...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 12 FT. 
.MON...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 10 FT.  

$$

PKZ160-090200-
BRISTOL BAY WATERS CAPE NEWENHAM TO PORT HEIDEN
609 AM AKDT THU OCT 8 2009

...GALE WARNING TODAY AND FRIDAY...

.TODAY...SE WIND 35 KT DIMINISHING TO 30 KT BY AFTERNOON. SEAS 7 FT.
PATCHY FOG. RAIN.
.TONIGHT...SE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 8 FT. PATCHY FOG. 
.FRI...NE WIND 35 KT...INCREASING TO 45 KT DURING THE AFTERNOON. SEAS
11 FT. 
.FRI NIGHT...E WIND 55 KT. SEAS 16 FT. 
.SAT...SE WIND 40 KT. SEAS 12 FT. 
.SUN...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 8 FT. 
.MON...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT.  

$$

PKZ165-090200-
PORT HEIDEN TO CAPE SARICHEF
400 AM AKDT THU OCT 8 2009

...GALE WARNING THROUGH FRIDAY...

.TODAY...SE WIND 40 KT...GUSTING TO 50 KT OUT OF BAYS AND PASSES.
SEAS 9 FT. PATCHY FOG. 
.TONIGHT...SE WIND 40 KT...DIMINISHING TO 30 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. GUSTS
TO 50 KT OUT OF BAYS AND PASSES DURING THE EVENING. SEAS 9 FT. PATCHY
FOG. 
.FRI...E WIND 25 KT BECOMING NE 35 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 9 FT.
PATCHY FOG. RAIN.
.FRI NIGHT...NE WIND 35 KT. SEAS 9 FT. 
.SAT...S WIND 30 KT. SEAS 9 FT. 
.SUN...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 6 FT. 
.MON...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 6 FT.  

$$

PKZ180-090200-
SOUTHWEST ALASKA WATERS CAPE NEWENHAM TO DALL POINT
400 AM AKDT THU OCT 8 2009

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH FRIDAY...

.TODAY...SE WIND TO 20 KT...EXCEPT 30 KT WEST OF NUNIVAK ISLAND
DURING THE MORNING.. SEAS 8 FT. PATCHY FOG. RAIN SHOWERS. 
.TONIGHT...S WIND 15 KT...EXCEPT INCREASING TO SE 30 KT SOUTH OF
NUNIVAK ISLAND AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS 8 FT.
.FRI...SE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 9 FT. PATCHY FOG. 
.FRI NIGHT...E WIND 45 KT. SEAS 12 FT. 
.SAT...SE WIND 40 KT. SEAS 12 FT. 
.SUN...SE WIND 35 KT. SEAS 11 FT. 
.MON...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 6 FT.  

$$

PKZ170-090200-
EASTERN ALEUTIANS CAPE SARICHEF TO NIKOLSKI
400 AM AKDT THU OCT 8 2009

...GALE WARNING THROUGH TONIGHT...

.TODAY...SE WIND 45 KT. SEAS 20 FT PACIFIC SIDE. SEAS 11 FT BERING
SIDE. PATCHY FOG. RAIN SHOWERS. 
.TONIGHT...S WIND 40 KT...DIMINISHING TO 25 KT TOWARDS MORNING.
PACIFIC SIDE...SEAS 20 FT SUBSIDING TO 14 FT. BERING SIDE...SEAS 10
FT SUBSIDING TO 6 FT.  PATCHY FOG. RAIN.
.FRI...PACIFIC SIDE...VARIABLE WIND 15 KT BECOMING NW 20 KT IN THE
AFTERNOON. SEAS 10 FT. BERING SIDE...S WIND 20 KT BECOMING VARIABLE
15 KT DURING THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 6 FT. 
.FRI NIGHT...W WIND 30 KT. SEAS 11 FT. 
.SAT...SW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 11 FT. 
.SUN...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 9 FT. 
.MON...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 9 FT.  

$$

PKZ171-090200-
UNALASKA BAY
400 AM AKDT THU OCT 8 2009

...GALE WARNING THROUGH TONIGHT...

.TODAY...SE WIND 40 KT. GUSTS TO 50 KT. SEAS 6 FT. PATCHY FOG. RAIN.
.TONIGHT...S WIND 35 KT DIMINISHING TO 25 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. GUSTS TO
45 KT DURING THE EVENING. SEAS 5 FT. PATCHY FOG. RAIN.
.FRI...SE WIND 10 KT IN THE MORNING BECOMING VARIABLE LESS THAN
10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.FRI NIGHT...NW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.SAT...SW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.SUN...E WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.MON...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 4 FT.  

$$

PKZ172-090200-
EASTERN ALEUTIANS NIKOLSKI TO ADAK
400 AM AKDT THU OCT 8 2009

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH FRIDAY...

.TODAY...WEST OF ATKA....NW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 9 FT. EAST OF ATKA...E
WIND 30 KT BECOMING N DURING THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 12 FT. RAIN.
.TONIGHT...NW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 10 FT. RAIN.
.FRI...W WIND 25 KT. SEAS 10 FT. 
.FRI NIGHT...W WIND 25 KT. SEAS 10 FT. 
.SAT...SW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 9 FT. 
.SUN...NW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 8 FT. 
.MON...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS 9 FT.  

$$

PKZ175-090200-
WESTERN ALEUTIANS ADAK TO KISKA
400 AM AKDT THU OCT 8 2009

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH FRIDAY...

.TODAY...NW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 11 FT. RAIN.
.TONIGHT AND FRI...NW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 10 FT. 
.FRI NIGHT...W WIND 20 KT. SEAS 9 FT. 
.SAT...NW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 7 FT. 
.SUN...W WIND 15 KT. SEAS 7 FT. 
.MON...S WIND 15 KT. SEAS 6 FT.  

$$

PKZ176-090200-
WESTERN ALEUTIANS KISKA TO ATTU
400 AM AKDT THU OCT 8 2009

...GALE WARNING THROUGH TONIGHT...

.TODAY...NW WIND 35 KT. SEAS 17 FT. 
.TONIGHT...NW WIND 35 KT DIMINISHING TO 25 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS
15 FT. 
.FRI...NW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 11 FT. 
.FRI NIGHT...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 9 FT. 
.SAT...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 9 FT. 
.SUN...W WIND 25 KT. SEAS 8 FT. 
.MON...S WIND 20 KT. SEAS 8 FT.  

$$

PKZ185-090200-
ST MATTHEW ISLAND WATERS
400 AM AKDT THU OCT 8 2009

...GALE WARNING TODAY...

.TODAY...E WIND 35 KT. SEAS 12 FT. RAIN SHOWERS. 
.TONIGHT AND FRI...E WIND 30 KT. SEAS 10 FT. PATCHY FOG. 
.FRI NIGHT...NE WIND 35 KT. SEAS 10 FT. 
.SAT...NE WIND 40 KT. SEAS 13 FT. 
.SUN...S WIND 35 KT. SEAS 10 FT. 
.MON...S WIND 20 KT. SEAS 10 FT.  

$$

PKZ179-090200-
PRIBILOF ISLANDS NEAR-SHORE WATERS
400 AM AKDT THU OCT 8 2009

...GALE WARNING THROUGH FRIDAY...

.TODAY...SE WIND 30 KT BECOMING E 40 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 9 FT
BUILDING TO 13 FT. PATCHY FOG. RAIN.
.TONIGHT...E WIND 40 KT. SEAS 13 FT. PATCHY FOG. RAIN.
.FRI...SE WIND 35 KT DIMINISHING TO 25 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS
12 FT. PATCHY FOG. RAIN SHOWERS. 
.FRI NIGHT...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS 10 FT. 
.SAT...SW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 7 FT. 
.SUN...S WIND 25 KT. SEAS 7 FT. 
.MON...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 5 FT.  

$$

000 
FZAK52 PAFC 082349
CWFALU

COASTAL WATERS FORECAST
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ANCHORAGE ALASKA
400 PM AKDT THU OCT 8 2009

COASTAL WATERS FORECAST FOR SOUTHWEST ALASKA+BRISTOL BAY+THE
ALASKA PENINSULA WATERS AND THE ALEUTIAN ISLANDS UP TO 100 NM OUT.

WIND FORECASTS REFLECT THE PREDOMINANT SPEED AND DIRECTION
EXPECTED. SEA FORECASTS REPRESENT AN AVERAGE OF THE HIGHEST
ONE-THIRD OF THE COMBINED WIND WAVE AND SWELL HEIGHT.

PKZ199-091400-
400 PM AKDT THU OCT 8 2009
.SYNOPSIS FOR SOUTHWEST ALASKA+BRISTOL BAY+THE ALASKA
PENINSULA WATERS AND THE ALEUTIAN ISLANDS...

A 961 MB LOW 320 NM SOUTH OF SAND POINT FRIDAY AFTERNOON MOVES TO 180
NM NORTHWEST OF COLD BAY AND WEAKENS TO 969 MB FRIDAY NIGHT. THIS LOW
THEN MOVES TO 80 NM SOUTHWEST OF SAINT MATTHEW ISLAND AT 970 MB
SATURDAY AFTERNOON. A 987 MB LOW MOVES TO 270 NM SOUTHWEST OF SHEMYA
SATURDAY AFTERNOON.

$$

PKZ150-091400-
COASTAL WATERS SOUTH OF THE ALASKA PENINSULA SITKINAK TO CASTLE
CAPE
400 PM AKDT THU OCT 8 2009

...STORM WARNING FRIDAY AND FRIDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...S WIND 20 INCREASING TO 25 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS 13 FT.
PATCHY FOG. RAIN.
.FRI...E WIND 35 KT INCREASING TO 50 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS
BUILDING TO 19 FT. RAIN.
.FRI NIGHT...SE WIND 55 KT. SEAS BUILDING TO 27 FT. RAIN.
.SAT...S WIND 40 KT DIMINISHING TO 25 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. 
SEAS 25 FT. 
.SAT NIGHT...SE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 18 FT. 
.SUN...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 15 FT. 
.MON...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 11 FT. 
.TUE...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 10 FT.  

$$

PKZ155-091400-
COASTAL WATERS SOUTH OF THE ALASKA PENINSULA CASTLE CAPE TO CAPE
SARICHEF
400 PM AKDT THU OCT 8 2009

...GALE WARNING THROUGH FRIDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...SE WIND 25 KT EXCEPT 35 KT WEST OF COLD BAY THIS EVENING.
SEAS 13 FT...EXCEPT SEAS 16 FT WEST OF COLD BAY. PATCHY FOG. RAIN.
.FRI...E WIND 30 KT BECOMING NE 45 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 16 FT.
RAIN.
.FRI NIGHT...NE WIND 40 KT BECOMING SW 30 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. 
SEAS 20 FT EXCEPT 15 FT WEST OF COLD BAY. RAIN.
.SAT...S WIND 30 KT. SEAS 18 FT EXCEPT 14 FT WEST OF COLD BAY. 
.SAT NIGHT...S WIND 25 KT. SEAS 15 FT. 
.SUN...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 13 FT. 
.MON...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 11 FT. 
.TUE...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 10 FT.  

$$

PKZ160-091400-
BRISTOL BAY WATERS CAPE NEWENHAM TO PORT HEIDEN
400 PM AKDT THU OCT 8 2009

...STORM WARNING FRIDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...SE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 8 FT. PATCHY FOG. 
.FRI...SE WIND 30 KT INCREASING TO NE 40 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. 
SEAS 11 FT. 
.FRI NIGHT...E WIND 50 KT. SEAS 16 FT. RAIN.
.SAT...SE WIND 40 KT. SEAS 12 FT. 
.SAT NIGHT...SE WIND 35 KT DIMINISHING TO 25 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. 
SEAS 10 FT. 
.SUN...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 7 FT. 
.MON...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.TUE...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 4 FT.  

$$

PKZ165-091400-
PORT HEIDEN TO CAPE SARICHEF
400 PM AKDT THU OCT 8 2009

...GALE WARNING THROUGH FRIDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...SE WIND 40 KT DIMINISHING TO 30 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. 
SEAS 11 FT. PATCHY FOG. 
.FRI...E WIND 25 KT BECOMING NE 35 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 9 FT.
PATCHY FOG. 
.FRI NIGHT...SE WIND 35 KT EAST OF COLD BAY...OTHERWISE NW WIND 20
KT. SEAS 9 FT EXCEPT 7 FT WEST OF COLD BAY. RAIN.
.SAT...SW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 9 FT. 
.SAT NIGHT...SE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 8 FT. 
.SUN...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 6 FT. 
.MON...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS 7 FT. 
.TUE...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS 10 FT.  

$$

PKZ180-091400-
SOUTHWEST ALASKA WATERS CAPE NEWENHAM TO DALL POINT
400 PM AKDT THU OCT 8 2009

...GALE WARNING FRIDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...SE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 9 FT. PATCHY FOG. 
.FRI...SE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 9 FT. PATCHY FOG. 
.FRI NIGHT...E WIND 35 KT INCREASING TO 45 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. 
SEAS 12 FT. RAIN.
.SAT...SE WIND 40 KT. SEAS 11 FT. 
.SAT NIGHT...SE WIND 40 KT. SEAS 12 FT. 
.SUN...SE WIND 35 KT. SEAS 11 FT. 
.MON...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.TUE...N WIND 30 KT. SEAS 9 FT.  

$$

PKZ170-091400-
EASTERN ALEUTIANS CAPE SARICHEF TO NIKOLSKI
400 PM AKDT THU OCT 8 2009

...GALE WARNING TONIGHT...

.TONIGHT...S WIND 40 KT DIMINISHING TO 25 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. GUSTS TO
50 KT IN THE EVENING. SEAS 20 FT EXCEPT 10 FT BERING SIDE. PATCHY
FOG. RAIN.
.FRI...S WIND 15 KT BECOMING W IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 12 FT EXCEPT 5
FT BERING SIDE. 
.FRI NIGHT...W WIND 30 KT. SEAS 11 FT EXCEPT 7 FT BERING SIDE. RAIN.
.SAT...SW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 12 FT EXCEPT 8 FT BERING SIDE. 
.SAT NIGHT...S WIND 25 KT. SEAS 11 FT EXCEPT 7 FT BERING SIDE. 
.SUN...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 10 FT EXCEPT 6 FT BERING SIDE. 
.MON...N WIND 30 KT. SEAS 12 FT EXCEPT 7 FT BERING SIDE.
.TUE...N WIND 30 KT. SEAS 11 FT EXCEPT 6 FT BERING SIDE.

$$

PKZ171-091400-
UNALASKA BAY
400 PM AKDT THU OCT 8 2009

...GALE WARNING TONIGHT...

.TONIGHT...S WIND 40 KT WITH GUSTS TO 60 KT DIMINISHING TO 20 KT
AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS 6 FT. PATCHY FOG. RAIN.
.FRI...VARIABLE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.FRI NIGHT...NW WIND 15 KT BECOMING W 25 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS
4 FT. RAIN.
.SAT...SW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.SAT NIGHT...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.SUN...E WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.MON...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.TUE...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS 10 FT.  

$$

PKZ172-091400-
EASTERN ALEUTIANS NIKOLSKI TO ADAK
400 PM AKDT THU OCT 8 2009

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH FRIDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...W WIND 30 KT. SEAS 9 FT. RAIN.
.FRI...W WIND 25 KT. SEAS 10 FT. 
.FRI NIGHT...W WIND 25 KT. SEAS 10 FT. 
.SAT...SW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 9 FT. 
.SAT NIGHT...NW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 8 FT. 
.SUN...NW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 13 FT. 
.MON...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 14 FT. 
.TUE...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS 8 FT.  

$$

PKZ175-091400-
WESTERN ALEUTIANS ADAK TO KISKA
400 PM AKDT THU OCT 8 2009

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH FRIDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...NW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 11 FT. RAIN SHOWERS. 
.FRI...NW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 10 FT. 
.FRI NIGHT...NW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 9 FT. PATCHY FOG. 
.SAT...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 7 FT. 
.SAT NIGHT...NW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 8 FT. 
.SUN...W WIND 20 KT. SEAS 15 FT. 
.MON...S WIND 15 KT. SEAS 12 FT. 
.TUE...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 7 FT.  

$$

PKZ176-091400-
WESTERN ALEUTIANS KISKA TO ATTU
400 PM AKDT THU OCT 8 2009

...GALE WARNING TONIGHT...

.TONIGHT...NW WIND 35 KT DIMINISHING TO 25 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS
15 FT. RAIN SHOWERS. 
.FRI...NW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 11 FT. 
.FRI NIGHT...VARIABLE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 10 FT. PATCHY FOG. 
.SAT...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 9 FT. 
.SAT NIGHT...NW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 11 FT. 
.SUN...W WIND 25 KT. SEAS 15 FT. 
.MON...S WIND 20 KT. SEAS 11 FT. 
.TUE...E WIND 15 KT. SEAS 7 FT.  

$$

PKZ185-091400-
ST MATTHEW ISLAND WATERS
400 PM AKDT THU OCT 8 2009

...GALE WARNING FRIDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 10 FT. PATCHY FOG. 
.FRI...E WIND 30 KT. SEAS 10 FT. PATCHY FOG. 
.FRI NIGHT...NE WIND 30 KT INCREASING TO 40 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. 
SEAS 13 FT. PATCHY FOG. RAIN.
.SAT...NE WIND 40 KT. SEAS 14 FT. 
.SAT NIGHT...SE WIND 40 KT. SEAS 14 FT. 
.SUN...S WIND 35 KT. SEAS 13 FT. 
.MON...SW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 10 FT. 
.TUE...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS 7 FT.  

$$

PKZ179-091400-
PRIBILOF ISLANDS NEAR-SHORE WATERS
400 PM AKDT THU OCT 8 2009

...GALE WARNING THROUGH FRIDAY...

.TONIGHT...E WIND 40 KT. SEAS 13 FT. PATCHY FOG. RAIN.
.FRI...SE WIND 35 KT DIMINISHING TO 25 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS
12 FT. PATCHY FOG. RAIN SHOWERS. 
.FRI NIGHT...NE WIND 30 KT BECOMING NW AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS 10 FT.
RAIN.
.SAT...SW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 8 FT. 
.SAT NIGHT...S WIND 30 KT. SEAS 9 FT. 
.SUN...SW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 7 FT. 
.MON...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 7 FT. 
.TUE...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS 8 FT.  

$$

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
SOUTHCENTRAL AND SOUTHWEST ALASKA
200 PM AKDT WED OCT 7 2009

.MODEL DISCUSSION...GFS/ECMWF/NAM MSLP AND MOISTURE INITIALIZATIONS
AND FORECAST TREND THROUGH FRI AFTERNOON ARE REASONABLE AND IN FAIR
AGREEMENT. THE GFS/ECMWF ARE NOW IN BETTER AGREEMENT THROUGH SAT
AFTERNOON AS THE GFS HAS SLOWED THE PROGRESSION OF DEVELOPING STORM
APPROACHING THE AK PEN FRI EVENING.

.UPPER LEVELS...
CURRENT SATELLITE IMAGERY SHOWS RIDGING OVER THE GULF OF ALASKA AND
THROUGH THE CENTRAL MAINLAND WITH A LONG WAVE TROUGH EXTENDING FROM
EASTERN RUSSIA TO OVER THE NE PACIFIC. TROUGH CONTAINS TWO MAIN
CENTERS...A WEAKENING ONE OVER THE BERING SEA AND A STRONGER CENTER
SOUTH OF THE CENTRAL ALEUTIANS. COLD ADVECTION IS EVIDENT SOUTH OF
THIS LOW WITH THE PRESENCE OF OPEN CELL CUMULUS. A STRONG WESTERLY
JET IS EVIDENT ACROSS THE NORTH PACIFIC WITH MOIST SOUTHERLY FLOW
BETWEEN 150-165W.

RIDGE OVER THE GULF AND MAINLAND SHIFTS TO BETWEEN 130-140W SAT. LOW
CENTER OVER THE BERING SEA WEAKENS AND MOVES SW AS LOW CENTER SOUTH
OF THE ALEUTIANS MOVES TO THE CENTRAL BERING SEA ON FRI AFTERNOON.
SECONDARY DEVELOPMENT OVER THE NORTH PACIFIC LIKELY AS COLD ADVECTION
DIGS OUT THE BASE. DEVELOPING CENTER MOVES JUST SOUTH OF THE AK PEN
ON FRI EVENING AND OVER WESTERN BRISTOL BAY EARLY SAT. EXPECT STRONG
SOUTHEASTERLY FLOW OVER THE GULF FRI NIGHT...SPREADING TO THE
MAINLAND SAT.

.SHORT TERM FORECAST...
.EAST...ONLY A FEW OVERALL ADJUSTMENTS WILL BE MADE TO THE SHORT TERM
FORECAST PACKAGE THIS AFTERNOON. WARM FRONTAL BOUNDARY MOVES NORTH
THRU TODAY AS SOUTHERLY FLOW INTENSIFIES IN THE MID LEVELS. OCCLUDED
FRONT APPROACHING THE AK PEN MOVES INLAND OVER WESTERN ALASKA TONIGHT
AS TRAILING COLD FRONT STALLS OVER THE WESTERN GULF TONIGHT THEN
WEAKENS AS IT TRACKS EAST THU NIGHT. FREEZING LEVELS WILL INCREASE
AND REMAIN RELATIVELY HIGH ACROSS THE GULF AND SOUTHCENTRAL OVER THE
NEXT COUPLE OF DAYS WITH GENERALLY WARM SOUTHERLY FLOW ALOFT. SO
PRECIPITATION WILL BE MAINLY RAIN...EXCEPT OCCASIONALLY MIXED AT
HIGHER ELEVATIONS. PRESSURE GRADIENTS ARE EXPECTED TO INCREASE ACROSS
SOUTHCENTRAL ALASKA THROUGH TONIGHT...SO WILL SEE INCREASING WINDS
OVER THE GULF AND STRONG GAP FLOWS ACROSS SOUTHCENTRAL. A DEVELOPING
LOW OVER THE NORTH PACIFIC MOVES TO NEAR CHIGNIK EARLY SAT AND WILL
BRING INCREASED RAINS AND WINDS ACROSS SOUTHCENTRAL AND STORMS ACROSS
THE GULF. MAY SEE WINDS APPROACHING WARNING LEVELS LATE FRI NIGHT AND
SAT IN ZONES 101/125.

.WEST...LOW OVER THE BERING SEA IS SLOWLY WEAKENING AND MOVING SW.
OCCLUDED FRONT MOVING INTO BRISTOL BAY THIS AFTERNOON IS SPREADING
RAIN AND GUSTY WINDS INTO SOUTHWEST ALASKA. OCCLUDED FRONT MOVES
THROUGH SW ALASKA TONIGHT. 970S LOW SOUTH OF THE ALEUTIANS THIS
AFTERNOON MOVES NORTH OF THE CENTRAL ALEUTIANS THU AND INTO THE
CENTRAL BERING SEA AND WEAKENS FRI EVENING. ASSOCIATED FRONT MOVES
INTO THE AK PEN AND SW ALASKA THU MORNING...THEN WEAKENS AND SHIFTS
EAST. DEVELOPING LOW OVER THE NORTH PACIFIC MOVES TO NEAR CHIGNIK
EARLY SAT AND WILL BRING INCREASED RAINS AND WINDS ACROSS SW ALASKA
LATE FRI NIGHT THROUGH SAT. MAY SEE WARNING LEVEL WIND GUSTS THROUGH
GAPS IN THE ALEUTIANS RANGE AND BRISTOL BAY.

.AER/ALU...WATCH/WARNING SUMMARY
PUBLIC...NONE.
MARINE...GALES 130,132,150,155,165,170,171,176,179,AND 185.
FIRE WEATHER...NONE.

RMC OCT 09