Gale Warning 641, NWS Anchorage, AK

000 
FZAK51 PAFC 190000 AAA
CWFAER

COASTAL WATERS FORECAST...UPDATED
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ANCHORAGE ALASKA
401 PM AKDT FRI SEP 18 2009

UPDATED ZONE 141.

COASTAL WATERS FORECAST FOR THE NORTHERN GULF OF ALASKA COAST
UP TO 100 NM OUT INCLUDING KODIAK ISLAND AND COOK INLET.

WIND FORECASTS REFLECT THE PREDOMINANT SPEED AND DIRECTION
EXPECTED. SEA FORECASTS REPRESENT AN AVERAGE OF THE HIGHEST
ONE-THIRD OF THE COMBINED WIND WAVE AND SWELL HEIGHT.

PKZ197-191400-
400 PM AKDT FRI SEP 18 2009
.SYNOPSIS FOR THE NORTH GULF COAST+KODIAK ISLAND WATERS+
COOK INLET...
HIGH PRESSURE WILL BRIEFLY BUILD OVER THE GULF FRI NIGHT INTO SAT. 
A STRENGTHENING PACIFIC LOW WILL TRACK TO 110 NM SOUTHEAST OF 
KODIAK CITY SUN AFTERNOON AT 976 MB.
$$

PKZ120-191400-
CAPE SUCKLING TO GORE POINT
400 PM AKDT FRI SEP 18 2009

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY SATURDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.SAT...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.SAT NIGHT...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT BECOMING E 25 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT.
SEAS 7 FT. 
.SUN...E WIND 40 KT. SEAS 13 FT. 
.SUN NIGHT...SE WIND 35 KT. SEAS 21 FT. 
.MON...S WIND 35 KT. SEAS 23 FT. 
.TUE...S WIND 25 KT. SEAS 17 FT. 
.WED...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 8 FT.  

$$

PKZ121-191400-
RESURRECTION BAY
400 PM AKDT FRI SEP 18 2009

.TONIGHT...VARIABLE WIND LESS THAN 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.SAT...VARIABLE WIND LESS THAN 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.SAT NIGHT...VARIABLE WIND LESS THAN 10 KT BECOMING NE 10 KT AFTER
MIDNIGHT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.SUN AND SUN NIGHT...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.MON...VARIABLE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.TUE...S WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.WED...N WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.  

$$

PKZ125-191400-
PRINCE WILLIAM SOUND
400 PM AKDT FRI SEP 18 2009

.TONIGHT...VARIABLE WIND LESS THAN 10 KT BECOMING NW 10 KT AFTER
MIDNIGHT. SEAS 2 FT. PATCHY FOG. 
.SAT...VARIABLE WIND LESS THAN 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. PATCHY FOG. 
.SAT NIGHT...VARIABLE WIND LESS THAN 10 KT BECOMING E 15 KT AFTER
MIDNIGHT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.SUN AND SUN NIGHT...E WIND 30 KT. SEAS 7 FT. 
.MON...SE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 6 FT. 
.TUE...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.WED...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.  

$$

PKZ129-191400-
PASSAGE CANAL
400 PM AKDT FRI SEP 18 2009

.TONIGHT...VARIABLE WIND LESS THAN 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. PATCHY FOG. 
.SAT...VARIABLE WIND LESS THAN 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. PATCHY FOG. 
.SAT NIGHT...VARIABLE WIND LESS THAN 10 KT BECOMING NE 10 KT AFTER
MIDNIGHT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.SUN...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.SUN NIGHT...E WIND 30 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.MON...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.TUE...SE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.WED...VARIABLE WIND LESS THAN 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.  

$$

PKZ130-191400-
BARREN ISLANDS AND KAMISHAK BAY WATERS
400 PM AKDT FRI SEP 18 2009

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY SATURDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.SAT...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.SAT NIGHT...E WIND 15 KT INCREASING TO 30 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS
8 FT. RAIN.
.SUN...NE WIND 40 KT. SEAS 13 FT. 
.SUN NIGHT...NE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 17 FT. 
.MON...W WIND 20 KT. SEAS 16 FT. 
.TUE...SW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 11 FT. 
.WED...NW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 6 FT.  

$$

PKZ132-191400-
SHUYAK ISLAND TO SITKINAK
400 PM AKDT FRI SEP 18 2009

...GALE WARNING SATURDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 6 FT. 
.SAT...E WIND 15 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.SAT NIGHT...E WIND 25 KT INCREASING TO 40 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS
12 FT. RAIN.
.SUN...NE WIND 40 KT. SEAS 14 FT. 
.SUN NIGHT...NW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 14 FT. 
.MON AND TUE...W WIND 20 KT. SEAS 12 FT. 
.WED...NW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 7 FT.  

$$

PKZ138-191400-
SHELIKOF STRAIT
400 PM AKDT FRI SEP 18 2009

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY SATURDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.SAT...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.SAT NIGHT...E WIND 15 KT BECOMING NE 25 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS
6 FT. RAIN.
.SUN...NE WIND 35 KT. SEAS 8 FT. 
.SUN NIGHT...N WIND 30 KT. SEAS 8 FT. 
.MON AND TUE...W WIND 15 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.WED...NW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.  

$$

PKZ140-191400-
COOK INLET NORTH OF KAMISHAK BAY AND ENGLISH BAY
400 PM AKDT FRI SEP 18 2009

.TONIGHT...SW WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. PATCHY FOG. 
.SAT...VARIABLE WIND LESS THAN 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. PATCHY FOG. 
.SAT NIGHT...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT BECOMING NE 15 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. N
OF KALGIN ISLAND...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.SUN...NE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 7 FT. 
.SUN NIGHT...N WIND 30 KT. SEAS 7 FT. 
.MON...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.TUE...S WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.WED...N WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.  

$$

PKZ141-191400-
KACHEMAK BAY
400 PM AKDT FRI SEP 18 2009

.TONIGHT...SW WIND 15 KT WITH GUSTS TO 25 KT IN THE EVENING. SEAS 3
FT. PATCHY FOG. 
.SAT...VARIABLE WIND LESS THAN 10 KT. SEAS 3 FT. PATCHY FOG. 
.SAT NIGHT...VARIABLE WIND LESS THAN 10 KT BECOMING E 15 KT AFTER
MIDNIGHT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.SUN AND SUN NIGHT...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.MON...NW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.TUE...S WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.WED...N WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.  

$$

000 
FZAK51 PAFC 191148
CWFAER

COASTAL WATERS FORECAST
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ANCHORAGE ALASKA
400 AM AKDT SAT SEP 19 2009

COASTAL WATERS FORECAST FOR THE NORTHERN GULF OF ALASKA COAST
UP TO 100 NM OUT INCLUDING KODIAK ISLAND AND COOK INLET.

WIND FORECASTS REFLECT THE PREDOMINANT SPEED AND DIRECTION
EXPECTED. SEA FORECASTS REPRESENT AN AVERAGE OF THE HIGHEST
ONE-THIRD OF THE COMBINED WIND WAVE AND SWELL HEIGHT.

PKZ197-200200-
400 AM AKDT SAT SEP 19 2009
.SYNOPSIS FOR THE NORTH GULF COAST+KODIAK ISLAND WATERS+
COOK INLET...
HIGH PRESSURE OVER THE GULF WILL WEAKEN BY THIS AFTERNOON. A
STRENGTHENING PACIFIC LOW WILL TRACK TO 125 NM SOUTHEAST OF SITKINAK 
SUN AFTERNOON AT 975 MB AND WILL WEAKEN TO 985 MB 90 NM EAST OF
KODIAK CITY SUN NIGHT. 
$$

PKZ120-200200-
CAPE SUCKLING TO GORE POINT
400 AM AKDT SAT SEP 19 2009

...GALE WARNING SUNDAY...

.TODAY...W WIND 10 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.TONIGHT...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT BECOMING E 30 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS
7 FT. 
.SUN...E WIND 40 KT. SEAS 14 FT. RAIN.
.SUN NIGHT...SE WIND 45 KT. SEAS 22 FT. 
.MON...S WIND 35 KT. SEAS 17 FT. 
.TUE...SW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 10 FT. 
.WED...W WIND 20 KT. SEAS 6 FT.  

$$

PKZ121-200200-
RESURRECTION BAY
400 AM AKDT SAT SEP 19 2009

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY SUNDAY...

.TODAY...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.TONIGHT...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. RAIN.
.SUN...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. RAIN.
.SUN NIGHT...N WIND 30 KT. SEAS 6 FT. 
.MON...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.TUE THROUGH WED...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 

$$

PKZ125-200200-
PRINCE WILLIAM SOUND
400 AM AKDT SAT SEP 19 2009

...GALE WARNING SUNDAY...

.TODAY...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. PATCHY FOG. 
.TONIGHT...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT BECOMING E 25 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS
BUILDING TO 5 FT. 
.SUN...E WIND 35 KT. SEAS 9 FT. RAIN.
.SUN NIGHT...E WIND 35 KT. SEAS 9 FT. 
.MON...SE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.TUE...S WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.WED...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.  

$$

PKZ129-200200-
PASSAGE CANAL
400 AM AKDT SAT SEP 19 2009

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY SUNDAY...

.TODAY...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. PATCHY FOG. 
.TONIGHT...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. RAIN.
.SUN...E WIND 15 KT INCREASING TO 25 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 4 FT.
RAIN.
.SUN NIGHT...E WIND 30 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.MON...E WIND 30 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.TUE...E WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.WED...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.  

$$

PKZ130-200200-
BARREN ISLANDS AND KAMISHAK BAY WATERS
400 AM AKDT SAT SEP 19 2009

...GALE WARNING SUNDAY...

.TODAY...W WIND 15 KT BECOMING VARIABLE 10 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.TONIGHT...E WIND 15 KT INCREASING TO 30 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS
8 FT. 
.SUN...NE WIND 40 KT. SEAS 11 FT. RAIN.
.SUN NIGHT...NE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 13 FT. 
.MON...W WIND 25 KT. SEAS 9 FT. 
.TUE...W WIND 25 KT. SEAS 7 FT. 
.WED...NW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 6 FT.  

$$

PKZ132-200200-
SHUYAK ISLAND TO SITKINAK
400 AM AKDT SAT SEP 19 2009

...GALE WARNING TONIGHT AND SUNDAY...

.TODAY...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT BECOMING E 20 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS
5 FT. 
.TONIGHT...NE WIND 35 KT. SEAS 11 FT. RAIN.
.SUN...NE WIND 40 KT DIMINISHING TO 30 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS
12 FT. RAIN.
.SUN NIGHT...NW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 10 FT. 
.MON...W WIND 20 KT. SEAS 8 FT. 
.TUE...W WIND 20 KT. SEAS 6 FT. 
.WED...SW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 5 FT.  

$$

PKZ138-200200-
SHELIKOF STRAIT
400 AM AKDT SAT SEP 19 2009

...GALE WARNING SUNDAY...

.TODAY...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.TONIGHT...NE WIND 20 KT INCREASING TO 30 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS
7 FT. 
.SUN...NE WIND 35 KT. SEAS 8 FT. RAIN.
.SUN NIGHT...N WIND 30 KT. SEAS 7 FT. 
.MON...W WIND 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.TUE...NW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.WED...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 2 FT.  

$$

PKZ140-200200-
COOK INLET NORTH OF KAMISHAK BAY AND ENGLISH BAY
400 AM AKDT SAT SEP 19 2009

...GALE WARNING SUNDAY...

.TODAY...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. PATCHY FOG. 
.TONIGHT...NE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.SUN...N WIND 25 KT INCREASING TO 40 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. N OF
KALGIN ISLAND...NE WIND 20 KT BECOMING N 30 KT IN THE AFTERNOON.
SEAS 8 FT. 
.SUN NIGHT...NE WIND 35 KT. SEAS 7 FT. 
.MON...NW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 6 FT. 
.TUE...SW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.WED...NW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.  

$$

PKZ141-200200-
KACHEMAK BAY
400 AM AKDT SAT SEP 19 2009

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY SUNDAY...

.TODAY...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 3 FT. PATCHY FOG. 
.TONIGHT...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT BECOMING E 15 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS
3 FT. 
.SUN...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.SUN NIGHT...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.MON...NW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.TUE...W WIND 20 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.WED...NW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.  

$$

000 
FZAK51 PAFC 191514 AAA
CWFAER

COASTAL WATERS FORECAST...UPDATE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ANCHORAGE ALASKA
710 AM AKDT SAT SEP 19 2009

UPDATED 121 129

COASTAL WATERS FORECAST FOR THE NORTHERN GULF OF ALASKA COAST
UP TO 100 NM OUT INCLUDING KODIAK ISLAND AND COOK INLET.

WIND FORECASTS REFLECT THE PREDOMINANT SPEED AND DIRECTION
EXPECTED. SEA FORECASTS REPRESENT AN AVERAGE OF THE HIGHEST
ONE-THIRD OF THE COMBINED WIND WAVE AND SWELL HEIGHT.

PKZ197-200200-
400 AM AKDT SAT SEP 19 2009
.SYNOPSIS FOR THE NORTH GULF COAST+KODIAK ISLAND WATERS+
COOK INLET...
HIGH PRESSURE OVER THE GULF WILL WEAKEN BY THIS AFTERNOON. A
STRENGTHENING PACIFIC LOW WILL TRACK TO 125 NM SOUTHEAST OF SITKINAK 
SUN AFTERNOON AT 975 MB AND WILL WEAKEN TO 985 MB 90 NM EAST OF
KODIAK CITY SUN NIGHT. 
$$

PKZ120-200200-
CAPE SUCKLING TO GORE POINT
400 AM AKDT SAT SEP 19 2009

...GALE WARNING SUNDAY...

.TODAY...W WIND 10 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.TONIGHT...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT BECOMING E 30 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS
7 FT. 
.SUN...E WIND 40 KT. SEAS 14 FT. RAIN.
.SUN NIGHT...SE WIND 45 KT. SEAS 22 FT. 
.MON...S WIND 35 KT. SEAS 17 FT. 
.TUE...SW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 10 FT. 
.WED...W WIND 20 KT. SEAS 6 FT.  

$$

PKZ121-200200-
RESURRECTION BAY
710 AM AKDT SAT SEP 19 2009

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY SUNDAY...

.TODAY...N WIND 10 KT BECOMING S 15 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 2 FT. 
.TONIGHT...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. RAIN.
.SUN...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. RAIN.
.SUN NIGHT...N WIND 30 KT. SEAS 6 FT. 
.MON...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.TUE THROUGH WED...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 

$$

PKZ125-200200-
PRINCE WILLIAM SOUND
400 AM AKDT SAT SEP 19 2009

...GALE WARNING SUNDAY...

.TODAY...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. PATCHY FOG. 
.TONIGHT...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT BECOMING E 25 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS
BUILDING TO 5 FT. 
.SUN...E WIND 35 KT. SEAS 9 FT. RAIN.
.SUN NIGHT...E WIND 35 KT. SEAS 9 FT. 
.MON...SE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.TUE...S WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.WED...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.  

$$

PKZ129-200200-
PASSAGE CANAL
710 AM AKDT SAT SEP 19 2009

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY SUNDAY...

.TODAY...W WIND 10 KT. GUSTS TO 25 KT NEAR WHITTIER IN THE MORNING.
SEAS 3 FT. 
.TONIGHT...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. RAIN.
.SUN...E WIND 15 KT INCREASING TO 25 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 4 FT.
RAIN.
.SUN NIGHT...E WIND 30 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.MON...E WIND 30 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.TUE...E WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.WED...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.  

$$

PKZ130-200200-
BARREN ISLANDS AND KAMISHAK BAY WATERS
400 AM AKDT SAT SEP 19 2009

...GALE WARNING SUNDAY...

.TODAY...W WIND 15 KT BECOMING VARIABLE 10 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.TONIGHT...E WIND 15 KT INCREASING TO 30 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS
8 FT. 
.SUN...NE WIND 40 KT. SEAS 11 FT. RAIN.
.SUN NIGHT...NE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 13 FT. 
.MON...W WIND 25 KT. SEAS 9 FT. 
.TUE...W WIND 25 KT. SEAS 7 FT. 
.WED...NW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 6 FT.  

$$

PKZ132-200200-
SHUYAK ISLAND TO SITKINAK
400 AM AKDT SAT SEP 19 2009

...GALE WARNING TONIGHT AND SUNDAY...

.TODAY...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT BECOMING E 20 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS
5 FT. 
.TONIGHT...NE WIND 35 KT. SEAS 11 FT. RAIN.
.SUN...NE WIND 40 KT DIMINISHING TO 30 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS
12 FT. RAIN.
.SUN NIGHT...NW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 10 FT. 
.MON...W WIND 20 KT. SEAS 8 FT. 
.TUE...W WIND 20 KT. SEAS 6 FT. 
.WED...SW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 5 FT.  

$$

PKZ138-200200-
SHELIKOF STRAIT
400 AM AKDT SAT SEP 19 2009

...GALE WARNING SUNDAY...

.TODAY...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.TONIGHT...NE WIND 20 KT INCREASING TO 30 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS
7 FT. 
.SUN...NE WIND 35 KT. SEAS 8 FT. RAIN.
.SUN NIGHT...N WIND 30 KT. SEAS 7 FT. 
.MON...W WIND 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.TUE...NW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.WED...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 2 FT.  

$$

PKZ140-200200-
COOK INLET NORTH OF KAMISHAK BAY AND ENGLISH BAY
400 AM AKDT SAT SEP 19 2009

...GALE WARNING SUNDAY...

.TODAY...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. PATCHY FOG. 
.TONIGHT...NE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.SUN...N WIND 25 KT INCREASING TO 40 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. N OF
KALGIN ISLAND...NE WIND 20 KT BECOMING N 30 KT IN THE AFTERNOON.
SEAS 8 FT. 
.SUN NIGHT...NE WIND 35 KT. SEAS 7 FT. 
.MON...NW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 6 FT. 
.TUE...SW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.WED...NW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.  

$$

PKZ141-200200-
KACHEMAK BAY
400 AM AKDT SAT SEP 19 2009

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY SUNDAY...

.TODAY...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 3 FT. PATCHY FOG. 
.TONIGHT...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT BECOMING E 15 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS
3 FT. 
.SUN...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.SUN NIGHT...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.MON...NW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.TUE...W WIND 20 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.WED...NW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.  

$$

000 
FZAK51 PAFC 192301
CWFAER

COASTAL WATERS FORECAST
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ANCHORAGE ALASKA
400 PM AKDT SAT SEP 19 2009

COASTAL WATERS FORECAST FOR THE NORTHERN GULF OF ALASKA COAST
UP TO 100 NM OUT INCLUDING KODIAK ISLAND AND COOK INLET.

WIND FORECASTS REFLECT THE PREDOMINANT SPEED AND DIRECTION
EXPECTED. SEA FORECASTS REPRESENT AN AVERAGE OF THE HIGHEST
ONE-THIRD OF THE COMBINED WIND WAVE AND SWELL HEIGHT.

PKZ197-201400-
400 PM AKDT SAT SEP 19 2009
.SYNOPSIS FOR THE NORTH GULF COAST+KODIAK ISLAND WATERS+
COOK INLET...

A STRENGTHENING PACIFIC LOW WILL TRACK TO 215 NM SOUTH OF KODIAK 
CITY AT 981 MB LATE TONIGHT AND THEN WEAKEN TO 988 MB 35 NM SOUTH OF
MIDDLETON ISLAND SUN NIGHT....THEN WEAKEN TO 994 MB AS IT MOVES
INLAND NEAR SEWARD MON MORNING.

$$

PKZ120-201400-
CAPE SUCKLING TO GORE POINT
400 PM AKDT SAT SEP 19 2009

...GALE WARNING SUNDAY AND SUNDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT BECOMING E 25 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS
9 FT. 
.SUN...E WIND INCREASING TO 40 KT. STRONGER GUSTS 60 KT NEAR
HINCHINBROOK ENTRANCE. SEAS 15 FT. RAIN.
.SUN NIGHT...E WIND 40 KT. STRONGER GUSTS 60 KT NEAR HINCHINBROOK
ENTRANCE. SEAS 21 FT. RAIN.
.MON...S WIND 35 KT. SEAS 21 FT. 
.MON NIGHT...SW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 12 FT. 
.TUE...SW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 7 FT. 
.WED...SW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 6 FT. 
.THU...E WIND 30 KT. SEAS 9 FT.  

$$

PKZ121-201400-
RESURRECTION BAY
400 PM AKDT SAT SEP 19 2009

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY SUNDAY AND SUNDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...VARIABLE WIND LESS THAN 10 KT BECOMING N 15 KT AFTER
MIDNIGHT. SEAS 3 FT. RAIN.
.SUN...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. RAIN.
.SUN NIGHT...N WIND 30 KT. SEAS 6 FT. RAIN.
.MON...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.MON NIGHT...S WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.TUE...S WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.WED...VARIABLE WIND LESS THAN 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.THU...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.  

$$

PKZ125-201400-
PRINCE WILLIAM SOUND
400 PM AKDT SAT SEP 19 2009

...GALE WARNING SUNDAY AND SUNDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...E WIND 10 KT INCREASING TO 25 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS
5 FT. 
.SUN...E WIND 30 KT INCREASING TO 40 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. STRONGER
GUSTS 60 KT NEAR HINCHINBROOK ENTRANCE. SEAS 9 FT. RAIN.
.SUN NIGHT...E WIND 35 KT. STRONGER GUSTS 60 KT NEAR HINCHINBROOK
ENTRANCE. SEAS 9 FT. RAIN.
.MON...SE WIND 35 KT. SEAS 9 FT. 
.MON NIGHT...S WIND 25 KT. SEAS 6 FT. 
.TUE...S WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.WED...VARIABLE WIND LESS THAN 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.THU...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT.  

$$

PKZ129-201400-
PASSAGE CANAL
400 PM AKDT SAT SEP 19 2009

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY SUNDAY AND SUNDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...E WIND 10 KT. SEAS 1 FOOT. RAIN.
.SUN...E WIND 20 KT INCREASING TO 30 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 5 FT.
RAIN.
.SUN NIGHT...E WIND 30 KT. SEAS 5 FT. RAIN.
.MON...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.MON NIGHT...E WIND 15 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.TUE THROUGH WED...VARIABLE WIND LESS THAN 10 KT. SEAS 1 FOOT. 
.THU...E WIND 15 KT. SEAS 2 FT.  

$$

PKZ130-201400-
BARREN ISLANDS AND KAMISHAK BAY WATERS
400 PM AKDT SAT SEP 19 2009

...GALE WARNING THROUGH SUNDAY...

.TONIGHT...EAST OF THE BARREN ISLANDS...E WIND 15 KT BECOMING NE 35
KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS 9 FT. WEST OF THE BARREN ISLANDS...E WIND 15
KT BECOMING NE AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS 5 FT.
.SUN...NE WIND 40 KT. SEAS 13 FT. RAIN.
.SUN NIGHT...NE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 14 FT. RAIN.
.MON...W WIND 20 KT. SEAS 12 FT. 
.MON NIGHT...W WIND 20 KT. SEAS 6 FT. 
.TUE...NW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 6 FT. 
.WED...S WIND 15 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.THU...E WIND 35 KT. SEAS 12 FT.  

$$

PKZ132-201400-
SHUYAK ISLAND TO SITKINAK
400 PM AKDT SAT SEP 19 2009

...GALE WARNING THROUGH SUNDAY...

.TONIGHT...NE WIND 25 KT INCREASING TO 40 KT BY MIDNIGHT. SEAS
BUILDING TO 13 FT. RAIN.
.SUN...NE WIND 40 KT BECOMING N 30 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 12 FT.
RAIN.
.SUN NIGHT...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS 12 FT. 
.MON...W WIND 20 KT. SEAS 9 FT. 
.MON NIGHT...W WIND 20 KT. SEAS 6 FT. 
.TUE...NW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.WED...S WIND 25 KT. SEAS 8 FT. 
.THU...SE WIND 35 KT. SEAS 16 FT.  

$$

PKZ138-201400-
SHELIKOF STRAIT
400 PM AKDT SAT SEP 19 2009

...GALE WARNING THROUGH SUNDAY...

.TONIGHT...NE WIND 20 KT INCREASING TO 35 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS
10 FT. 
.SUN...NE WIND 35 KT. SEAS 11 FT. RAIN.
.SUN NIGHT...N WIND 30 KT BECOMING NW 20 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS
8 FT. 
.MON AND MON NIGHT...W WIND 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.TUE...W WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.WED...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.THU...E WIND 35 KT. SEAS 10 FT.  

$$

PKZ140-201400-
COOK INLET NORTH OF KAMISHAK BAY AND ENGLISH BAY
400 PM AKDT SAT SEP 19 2009

...GALE WARNING SUNDAY AND SUNDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...SW WIND 10 KT BECOMING NE 10 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. 
SEAS 2 FT. 
.SUN...N WIND INCREASING TO 40 KT EXCEPT INCREASING TO 30 KT N OF
KALGIN ISLAND. SEAS 11 FT. 
.SUN NIGHT...N WIND 35 KT EXCEPT NE 25 KT N OF KALGIN ISLAND. SEAS
10 FT. 
.MON...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS 6 FT. 
.MON NIGHT...SW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.TUE...W WIND 15 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.WED...E WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.THU...NE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 8 FT.  

$$

PKZ141-201400-
KACHEMAK BAY
400 PM AKDT SAT SEP 19 2009

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY SUNDAY AND SUNDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...SW WIND 10 KT BECOMING E 15 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.SUN...NE WIND 20 KT INCREASING TO 30 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS
5 FT. 
.SUN NIGHT...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 4 FT. RAIN.
.MON...NW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.MON NIGHT THROUGH TUE...W WIND 15 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.WED...E WIND 10 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.THU...E WIND 30 KT. SEAS 6 FT.  

$$

000 
FZAK51 PAFC 201152
CWFAER

COASTAL WATERS FORECAST
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ANCHORAGE ALASKA
400 AM AKDT SUN SEP 20 2009

COASTAL WATERS FORECAST FOR THE NORTHERN GULF OF ALASKA COAST
UP TO 100 NM OUT INCLUDING KODIAK ISLAND AND COOK INLET.

WIND FORECASTS REFLECT THE PREDOMINANT SPEED AND DIRECTION
EXPECTED. SEA FORECASTS REPRESENT AN AVERAGE OF THE HIGHEST
ONE-THIRD OF THE COMBINED WIND WAVE AND SWELL HEIGHT.

PKZ197-210200-
400 AM AKDT SUN SEP 20 2009
.SYNOPSIS FOR THE NORTH GULF COAST+KODIAK ISLAND WATERS+
COOK INLET...
A STRENGTHENING PACIFIC LOW WILL TRACK TO 150 NM SOUTHEAST OF KODIAK
CITY AT 978 MB THIS AFTERNOON AND THEN WEAKEN TO 988 MB 50 NM SOUTH
OF MIDDLETON ISLAND SUN NIGHT...THEN WEAKEN TO 993 MB AS IT MOVES
INLAND NEAR SEWARD MONDAY MORNING.
$$

PKZ120-210200-
CAPE SUCKLING TO GORE POINT
400 AM AKDT SUN SEP 20 2009

...GALE WARNING THROUGH MONDAY...

.TODAY...E WIND 45 KT BECOMING SE 30 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. STRONGER
GUSTS TO 60 KT NEAR HINCHINBROOK ENTRANCE IN THE MORNING. SEAS
13 FT. RAIN.
.TONIGHT...E WIND 40 KT. SEAS 20 FT. RAIN.
.MON...SW WIND 25 KT EXCEPT S 35 KT NEAR THE COAST E OF MONTAGUE
ISLAND. SEAS 21 FT. 
.MON NIGHT...SW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 12 FT. 
.TUE...W WIND 20 KT. SEAS 9 FT. 
.WED...W WIND 20 KT. SEAS 7 FT. 
.THU...SE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 9 FT.  

$$

PKZ121-210200-
RESURRECTION BAY
400 AM AKDT SUN SEP 20 2009

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH TONIGHT...

.TODAY...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. HIGHER WINDS AND SEAS S OF CAINES
HEAD. RAIN.
.TONIGHT...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. HIGHER WINDS AND SEAS S OF
CAINES HEAD. RAIN.
.MON...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. RAIN.
.MON NIGHT...S WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.TUE THROUGH THU...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 

$$

PKZ125-210200-
PRINCE WILLIAM SOUND
400 AM AKDT SUN SEP 20 2009

...GALE WARNING THROUGH TONIGHT...

.TODAY...E WIND 35 KT. SEAS 7 FT. RAIN.
.TONIGHT...E WIND 35 KT. SEAS 7 FT. RAIN.
.MON...SE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 7 FT. RAIN.
.MON NIGHT...S WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.TUE...SW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.WED...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.THU...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT.  

$$

PKZ129-210200-
PASSAGE CANAL
400 AM AKDT SUN SEP 20 2009

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH TONIGHT...

.TODAY...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 4 FT. RAIN.
.TONIGHT...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 4 FT. RAIN.
.MON...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. RAIN.
.MON NIGHT...W WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.TUE THROUGH THU...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.  

$$

PKZ130-210200-
BARREN ISLANDS AND KAMISHAK BAY WATERS
400 AM AKDT SUN SEP 20 2009

...GALE WARNING THROUGH TONIGHT...

.TODAY...NE WIND 40 KT. SEAS 12 FT. RAIN.
.TONIGHT...N WIND 35 KT. SEAS 17 FT. 
.MON...W WIND 20 KT. SEAS 12 FT. 
.MON NIGHT...W WIND 20 KT. SEAS 7 FT. 
.TUE...W WIND 15 KT. SEAS 6 FT. 
.WED...SW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.THU...SE WIND 40 KT. SEAS 13 FT.  

$$

PKZ132-210200-
SHUYAK ISLAND TO SITKINAK
400 AM AKDT SUN SEP 20 2009

...GALE WARNING TODAY...

.TODAY...NE WIND 35 KT. SEAS 13 FT. 
.TONIGHT...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS 15 FT. 
.MON...W WIND 20 KT. SEAS 9 FT. 
.MON NIGHT...W WIND 20 KT. SEAS 7 FT. 
.TUE...W WIND 20 KT. SEAS 6 FT. 
.WED...S WIND 30 KT. SEAS 10 FT. 
.THU...SE WIND 40 KT. SEAS 16 FT.  

$$

PKZ138-210200-
SHELIKOF STRAIT
400 AM AKDT SUN SEP 20 2009

...GALE WARNING TODAY...

.TODAY...NE WIND 40 KT. SEAS 8 FT. RAIN.
.TONIGHT...N WIND 25 KT BECOMING NW 15 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS 6 FT.
.MON...W WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.MON NIGHT...W WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.TUE...W WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.WED...SE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.THU...E WIND 30 KT. SEAS 7 FT.  

$$

PKZ140-210200-
COOK INLET NORTH OF KAMISHAK BAY AND ENGLISH BAY
400 AM AKDT SUN SEP 20 2009

...GALE WARNING TODAY...

.TODAY...NE WIND 30 KT INCREASING TO 40 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. N OF
KALGIN ISLAND...NE WIND 20 KT BECOMING N 30 KT IN THE AFTERNOON.
SEAS 8 FT. RAIN.
.TONIGHT...NE WIND 30 KT DIMINISHING TO 20 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. N OF
KALGIN ISLAND...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 6 FT.
.MON...N WIND 20 KT IN THE MORNING BECOMING VARIABLE 10 KT. SEAS
5 FT. 
.MON NIGHT...SW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 6 FT. 
.TUE...SW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 6 FT. 
.WED...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.THU...NE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 6 FT.  

$$

PKZ141-210200-
KACHEMAK BAY
400 AM AKDT SUN SEP 20 2009

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TODAY...

.TODAY...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. RAIN.
.TONIGHT...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.MON...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.MON NIGHT...W WIND 25 KT. SEAS 8 FT. 
.TUE...W WIND 25 KT. SEAS 8 FT. 
.WED...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.THU...E WIND 30 KT. SEAS 6 FT.  

$$

000 
FZAK51 PAFC 201635 AAA
CWFAER

COASTAL WATERS FORECAST...UPDATED
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ANCHORAGE ALASKA
835 AM AKDT SUN SEP 20 2009

UPDATED AREAS 138 AND 141

COASTAL WATERS FORECAST FOR THE NORTHERN GULF OF ALASKA COAST
UP TO 100 NM OUT INCLUDING KODIAK ISLAND AND COOK INLET.

WIND FORECASTS REFLECT THE PREDOMINANT SPEED AND DIRECTION
EXPECTED. SEA FORECASTS REPRESENT AN AVERAGE OF THE HIGHEST
ONE-THIRD OF THE COMBINED WIND WAVE AND SWELL HEIGHT.

PKZ197-210200-
400 AM AKDT SUN SEP 20 2009
.SYNOPSIS FOR THE NORTH GULF COAST+KODIAK ISLAND WATERS+
COOK INLET...
A STRENGTHENING PACIFIC LOW WILL TRACK TO 150 NM SOUTHEAST OF KODIAK
CITY AT 978 MB THIS AFTERNOON AND THEN WEAKEN TO 988 MB 50 NM SOUTH
OF MIDDLETON ISLAND SUN NIGHT...THEN WEAKEN TO 993 MB AS IT MOVES
INLAND NEAR SEWARD MONDAY MORNING.
$$

PKZ120-210200-
CAPE SUCKLING TO GORE POINT
400 AM AKDT SUN SEP 20 2009

...GALE WARNING THROUGH MONDAY...

.TODAY...E WIND 45 KT BECOMING SE 30 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. STRONGER
GUSTS TO 60 KT NEAR HINCHINBROOK ENTRANCE IN THE MORNING. SEAS
13 FT. RAIN.
.TONIGHT...E WIND 40 KT. SEAS 20 FT. RAIN.
.MON...SW WIND 25 KT EXCEPT S 35 KT NEAR THE COAST E OF MONTAGUE
ISLAND. SEAS 21 FT. 
.MON NIGHT...SW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 12 FT. 
.TUE...W WIND 20 KT. SEAS 9 FT. 
.WED...W WIND 20 KT. SEAS 7 FT. 
.THU...SE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 9 FT.  

$$

PKZ121-210200-
RESURRECTION BAY
400 AM AKDT SUN SEP 20 2009

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH TONIGHT...

.TODAY...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. HIGHER WINDS AND SEAS S OF CAINES
HEAD. RAIN.
.TONIGHT...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. HIGHER WINDS AND SEAS S OF
CAINES HEAD. RAIN.
.MON...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. RAIN.
.MON NIGHT...S WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.TUE THROUGH THU...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 

$$

PKZ125-210200-
PRINCE WILLIAM SOUND
400 AM AKDT SUN SEP 20 2009

...GALE WARNING THROUGH TONIGHT...

.TODAY...E WIND 35 KT. SEAS 7 FT. RAIN.
.TONIGHT...E WIND 35 KT. SEAS 7 FT. RAIN.
.MON...SE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 7 FT. RAIN.
.MON NIGHT...S WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.TUE...SW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.WED...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.THU...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT.  

$$

PKZ129-210200-
PASSAGE CANAL
400 AM AKDT SUN SEP 20 2009

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH TONIGHT...

.TODAY...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 4 FT. RAIN.
.TONIGHT...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 4 FT. RAIN.
.MON...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. RAIN.
.MON NIGHT...W WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.TUE THROUGH THU...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.  

$$

PKZ130-210200-
BARREN ISLANDS AND KAMISHAK BAY WATERS
400 AM AKDT SUN SEP 20 2009

...GALE WARNING THROUGH TONIGHT...

.TODAY...NE WIND 40 KT. SEAS 12 FT. RAIN.
.TONIGHT...N WIND 35 KT. SEAS 17 FT. 
.MON...W WIND 20 KT. SEAS 12 FT. 
.MON NIGHT...W WIND 20 KT. SEAS 7 FT. 
.TUE...W WIND 15 KT. SEAS 6 FT. 
.WED...SW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.THU...SE WIND 40 KT. SEAS 13 FT.  

$$

PKZ132-210200-
SHUYAK ISLAND TO SITKINAK
400 AM AKDT SUN SEP 20 2009

...GALE WARNING TODAY...

.TODAY...NE WIND 35 KT. SEAS 13 FT. 
.TONIGHT...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS 15 FT. 
.MON...W WIND 20 KT. SEAS 9 FT. 
.MON NIGHT...W WIND 20 KT. SEAS 7 FT. 
.TUE...W WIND 20 KT. SEAS 6 FT. 
.WED...S WIND 30 KT. SEAS 10 FT. 
.THU...SE WIND 40 KT. SEAS 16 FT.  

$$

PKZ138-210200-
SHELIKOF STRAIT
835 AM AKDT SUN SEP 20 2009

...GALE WARNING TODAY...

.TODAY...NE WIND 40 KT. SEAS 11 FT. RAIN.
.TONIGHT...N WIND 25 KT BECOMING NW 15 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS 6 FT.
.MON...W WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.MON NIGHT...W WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.TUE...W WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.WED...SE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.THU...E WIND 30 KT. SEAS 7 FT.  
$$

PKZ140-210200-
COOK INLET NORTH OF KAMISHAK BAY AND ENGLISH BAY
400 AM AKDT SUN SEP 20 2009

...GALE WARNING TODAY...

.TODAY...NE WIND 30 KT INCREASING TO 40 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. N OF
KALGIN ISLAND...NE WIND 20 KT BECOMING N 30 KT IN THE AFTERNOON.
SEAS 8 FT. RAIN.
.TONIGHT...NE WIND 30 KT DIMINISHING TO 20 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. N OF
KALGIN ISLAND...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 6 FT.
.MON...N WIND 20 KT IN THE MORNING BECOMING VARIABLE 10 KT. SEAS
5 FT. 
.MON NIGHT...SW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 6 FT. 
.TUE...SW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 6 FT. 
.WED...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.THU...NE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 6 FT.  
$$

PKZ141-210200-
KACHEMAK BAY
835 AM AKDT SUN SEP 20 2009

...GALE WARNING TODAY...

.TODAY...NE WIND 35 KT. SEAS 6 FT. RAIN.
.TONIGHT...NE WIND 30 KT DIMINISHING TO 20 KT BY MIDNIGHT. SEAS 5 FT.

.MON...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.MON NIGHT...W WIND 25 KT. SEAS 8 FT. 
.TUE...W WIND 25 KT. SEAS 8 FT. 
.WED...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.THU...E WIND 30 KT. SEAS 6 FT.  
$$

271 
FZAK51 PAFC 202257
CWFAER

COASTAL WATERS FORECAST
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ANCHORAGE ALASKA
400 PM AKDT SUN SEP 20 2009

COASTAL WATERS FORECAST FOR THE NORTHERN GULF OF ALASKA COAST
UP TO 100 NM OUT INCLUDING KODIAK ISLAND AND COOK INLET.

WIND FORECASTS REFLECT THE PREDOMINANT SPEED AND DIRECTION
EXPECTED. SEA FORECASTS REPRESENT AN AVERAGE OF THE HIGHEST
ONE-THIRD OF THE COMBINED WIND WAVE AND SWELL HEIGHT.

PKZ197-211400-
400 PM AKDT SUN SEP 20 2009
.SYNOPSIS FOR THE NORTH GULF COAST+KODIAK ISLAND WATERS+
COOK INLET...

A 980 MB LOW 150 NM SOUTHEAST OF KODIAK CITY WILL MOVE ON SHORE NEAR
SEWARD AT 994 MB MON AFTERNOON.

$$

PKZ120-211400-
CAPE SUCKLING TO GORE POINT
400 PM AKDT SUN SEP 20 2009

...GALE WARNING THROUGH MONDAY...

.TONIGHT...E WIND 40 KT. STRONGER GUSTS 60 KT NEAR HINCHINBROOK
ENTRANCE. SEAS 20 FT. RAIN.
.MON...SE WIND 35 KT BECOMING SW 30 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. STRONGER
GUSTS 55 KT NEAR HINCHINBROOK ENTRANCE IN THE MORNING. SEAS 17 FT. 
.MON NIGHT...SW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 12 FT. 
.TUE...SW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 9 FT. 
.TUE NIGHT...W WIND 15 KT. SEAS 7 FT. 
.WED...NW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 6 FT. 
.THU...SE WIND 40 KT. SEAS 11 FT. 
.FRI...SE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 11 FT.  

$$

PKZ121-211400-
RESURRECTION BAY
400 PM AKDT SUN SEP 20 2009

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TONIGHT...

.TONIGHT...N WIND 25 KT DIMINISHING TO 15 KT BY MORNING. SEAS 5 FT.
RAIN.
.MON...N WIND 15 KT DIMINISHING TO 10 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS
3 FT. RAIN.
.MON NIGHT...VARIABLE WIND LESS THAN 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. RAIN.
.TUE AND TUE NIGHT...VARIABLE WIND LESS THAN 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.WED...S WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.THU THROUGH FRI...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.  

$$

PKZ125-211400-
PRINCE WILLIAM SOUND
400 PM AKDT SUN SEP 20 2009

...GALE WARNING TONIGHT...

.TONIGHT...E WIND 25 KT INCREASING TO 35 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. STRONGER
GUSTS 60 KT NEAR HINCHINBROOK ENTRANCE. SEAS 8 FT. RAIN.
.MON...NE WIND 30 KT. STRONGER GUSTS 50 KT NEAR HINCHINBROOK 
ENTRANCE IN THE MORNING. SEAS 7 FT. RAIN.
.MON NIGHT...SW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. RAIN.
.TUE...S WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.TUE NIGHT THROUGH WED...N WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.THU...E WIND 30 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.FRI...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT.  

$$

PKZ129-211400-
PASSAGE CANAL
400 PM AKDT SUN SEP 20 2009

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TONIGHT...

.TONIGHT...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 4 FT. RAIN.
.MON...E WIND 15 KT IN THE MORNING BECOMING VARIABLE LESS THAN
10 KT. SEAS 1 FOOT. RAIN.
.MON NIGHT...VARIABLE WIND LESS THAN 10 KT. SEAS 1 FOOT. RAIN
SHOWERS.
.TUE THROUGH WED...VARIABLE WIND LESS THAN 10 KT. SEAS 1 FOOT. 
.THU...E WIND 10 KT. SEAS 1 FOOT. 
.FRI...E WIND 15 KT. SEAS 2 FT.  

$$

PKZ130-211400-
BARREN ISLANDS AND KAMISHAK BAY WATERS
400 PM AKDT SUN SEP 20 2009

...GALE WARNING TONIGHT...

.TONIGHT...NE WIND 35 KT BECOMING NW AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS 16 FT. 
.MON...W WIND 20 KT. SEAS 11 FT. 
.MON NIGHT THROUGH TUE...W WIND 25 KT. SEAS 7 FT. 
.TUE NIGHT...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.WED...SE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.THU...E WIND 40 KT. SEAS 11 FT. 
.FRI...SE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 11 FT.  

$$

PKZ132-211400-
SHUYAK ISLAND TO SITKINAK
400 PM AKDT SUN SEP 20 2009

...GALE WARNING TONIGHT...

.TONIGHT...N WIND 35 KT BECOMING W 20 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS 13 FT. 
.MON...W WIND 20 KT. SEAS 9 FT. 
.MON NIGHT...W WIND 25 KT. SEAS 7 FT. 
.TUE...W WIND 20 KT. SEAS 6 FT. 
.TUE NIGHT...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.WED...SE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 8 FT. 
.THU...SE WIND 40 KT. SEAS 14 FT. 
.FRI...S WIND 30 KT. SEAS 15 FT.  

$$

PKZ138-211400-
SHELIKOF STRAIT
400 PM AKDT SUN SEP 20 2009

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TONIGHT...

.TONIGHT...NE WIND 25 KT BECOMING NW 15 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS 6 FT.
.MON...W WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.MON NIGHT...W WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.TUE...W WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.TUE NIGHT...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.WED...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 6 FT. 
.THU...E WIND 35 KT. SEAS 10 FT. 
.FRI...SE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 5 FT.  

$$

PKZ140-211400-
COOK INLET NORTH OF KAMISHAK BAY AND ENGLISH BAY
400 PM AKDT SUN SEP 20 2009

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TONIGHT AND MONDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...N WIND 30 KT DIMINISHING TO 20 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. N OF
KALGIN ISLAND...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 6 FT.
.MON...N WIND 20 KT BECOMING W 10 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 5 FT. 
.MON NIGHT...W WIND 25 KT EXCEPT S 15 KT N OF KALGIN ISLAND. SEAS
6 FT. 
.TUE...W WIND 25 KT. SEAS 6 FT. 
.TUE NIGHT...W WIND 10 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.WED...E WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.THU...NE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 6 FT. 
.FRI...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 6 FT.  

$$

PKZ141-211400-
KACHEMAK BAY
400 PM AKDT SUN SEP 20 2009

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TONIGHT AND MONDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...NE WIND 30 KT DIMINISHING TO 15 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS
4 FT. 
.MON...N WIND 15 KT BECOMING NW 10 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 2 FT. 
.MON NIGHT THROUGH TUE...W WIND 25 KT. SEAS 8 FT. 
.TUE NIGHT...W WIND 10 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.WED...SE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.THU...E WIND 30 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.FRI...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT.  

$$

000 
FZAK51 PAFC 211153
CWFAER

COASTAL WATERS FORECAST
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ANCHORAGE ALASKA
400 AM AKDT MON SEP 21 2009

COASTAL WATERS FORECAST FOR THE NORTHERN GULF OF ALASKA COAST
UP TO 100 NM OUT INCLUDING KODIAK ISLAND AND COOK INLET.

WIND FORECASTS REFLECT THE PREDOMINANT SPEED AND DIRECTION
EXPECTED. SEA FORECASTS REPRESENT AN AVERAGE OF THE HIGHEST
ONE-THIRD OF THE COMBINED WIND WAVE AND SWELL HEIGHT.

PKZ197-220200-
400 AM AKDT MON SEP 21 2009
.SYNOPSIS FOR THE NORTH GULF COAST+KODIAK ISLAND WATERS+
COOK INLET...
A 987 MB LOW 125 NM SOUTHEAST OF SEWARD WILL MOVE ON SHORE 50 NM EAST
OF SEWARD AT 996 MB MON AFTERNOON.WEAK HIGH PRESSURE WILL BUILD INTO
THE GULF THROUGH TUE NIGHT.
$$

PKZ120-220200-
CAPE SUCKLING TO GORE POINT
400 AM AKDT MON SEP 21 2009

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH TUESDAY...

.TODAY...SE WIND 30 KT BECOMING SW 20 KT. SEAS 21 FT. RAIN.
.TONIGHT...SW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 11 FT. 
.TUE...SW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 8 FT. 
.TUE NIGHT...NW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 7 FT. 
.WED...NW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 6 FT. 
.THU...E WIND 35 KT. SEAS 14 FT. 
.FRI...SE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 13 FT.  

$$

PKZ121-220200-
RESURRECTION BAY
400 AM AKDT MON SEP 21 2009

.TODAY...N WIND 15 KT IN THE MORNING BECOMING VARIABLE 10 KT. SEAS
3 FT. RAIN.
.TONIGHT...S WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. RAIN.
.TUE THROUGH WED...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.THU...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.FRI...VARIABLE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.  

$$

PKZ125-220200-
PRINCE WILLIAM SOUND
400 AM AKDT MON SEP 21 2009

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TODAY...

.TODAY...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 6 FT. RAIN.
.TONIGHT...S WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.TUE...S WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.TUE NIGHT...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.WED...N WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.THU...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.FRI...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT.  

$$

PKZ129-220200-
PASSAGE CANAL
400 AM AKDT MON SEP 21 2009

.TODAY...E WIND 20 KT IN THE MORNING BECOMING E 10 KT. SEAS
3 FT. RAIN.
.TONIGHT AND TUE...E WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. RAIN.
.TUE NIGHT THROUGH FRI...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 

$$

PKZ130-220200-
BARREN ISLANDS AND KAMISHAK BAY WATERS
400 AM AKDT MON SEP 21 2009

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TODAY...

.TODAY...NW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 12 FT. 
.TONIGHT...W WIND 20 KT. SEAS 6 FT. 
.TUE...W WIND 15 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.TUE NIGHT...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.WED...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.THU...E WIND 35 KT. SEAS 16 FT. 
.FRI...SE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 12 FT.  

$$

PKZ132-220200-
SHUYAK ISLAND TO SITKINAK
400 AM AKDT MON SEP 21 2009

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TODAY...

.TODAY...W WIND 20 KT. SEAS 9 FT. 
.TONIGHT...W WIND 20 KT. SEAS 7 FT. 
.TUE...NW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.TUE NIGHT...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.WED...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 8 FT. 
.THU...SE WIND 35 KT. SEAS 16 FT. 
.FRI...S WIND 20 KT. SEAS 15 FT.  

$$

PKZ138-220200-
SHELIKOF STRAIT
400 AM AKDT MON SEP 21 2009

.TODAY...NW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.TONIGHT...W WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.TUE...W WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.TUE NIGHT...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.WED...SE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.THU...E WIND 35 KT. SEAS 8 FT. 
.FRI...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT.  

$$

PKZ140-220200-
COOK INLET NORTH OF KAMISHAK BAY AND ENGLISH BAY
400 AM AKDT MON SEP 21 2009

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TONIGHT AND TUESDAY...

.TODAY...NE WIND 15 KT. N OF KALGIN ISLAND...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT.
SEAS 3 FT. 
.TONIGHT...SW WIND 25 KT EXCEPT S 15 KT N OF KALGIN ISLAND. SEAS
5 FT. 
.TUE...W WIND 25 KT EXCEPT SW 15 KT N OF KALGIN ISLAND. SEAS 5 FT. 
.TUE NIGHT...SW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.WED...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.THU...NE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 6 FT. 
.FRI...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 6 FT.  

$$

PKZ141-220200-
KACHEMAK BAY
400 AM AKDT MON SEP 21 2009

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TONIGHT AND TUESDAY...

.TODAY...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.TONIGHT...W WIND 25 KT. SEAS 6 FT. 
.TUE...W WIND 25 KT. SEAS 8 FT. 
.TUE NIGHT...W WIND 15 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.WED...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.THU...NE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.FRI...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT.  

$$

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
SOUTHCENTRAL AND SOUTHWEST ALASKA
100 PM AKDT FRI SEP 18 2009

.ANALYSIS AND UPPER LEVELS...LONG-WAVE TROUGH REMAINS CENTERED
OVER THE ALASKA REGION WITH A BLOCKING RIDGE JUST UPSTREAM OVER
EASTERN SIBERIA. THERE ARE TWO WEAK UPPER CENTERS EMBEDDED WITHIN
THE TROUGH. ONE LOW JUST SOUTH OF THE PRIBILOF ISLANDS IS SINKING
SOUTHWARD AS A SHORT-WAVE DROPPING DOWN THE EAST SIDE OF THE RIDGE
AMPLIFIES THE TROUGH SOUTHWARD ACROSS THE ALEUTIANS INTO THE NORTH
PACIFIC. THIS AMPLIFICATION IS ONE KEY TO EVENTUAL BOMBING OF
PACIFIC LOW WHICH IS CENTERED NEAR 44N 173W THIS MORNING...AND
IS RIDING THE UPPER JET EASTWARD. THE SECOND UPPER CENTER IS OVER
THE SOUTHERN GULF TRACKING EAST TOWARD SOUTHEAST ALASKA. SHOWERS
ARE FOCUSED IN THE VICINITY OF THESE LOWS. LARGE BREAKS IN THE
CLOUDS HAVE DEVELOPED OFF TO THE NORTH OVER MUCH OF SOUTHCENTRAL
AND INTERIOR SOUTHWEST ALASKA. ANOTHER NOTABLE FEATURE IS A
SHORT-WAVE OVER INTERIOR ALASKA DROPPING SOUTHWARD TOWARD
SOUTHCENTRAL...PRODUCING MAINLY HIGH CLOUDS OVER THE NORTHERN
TIER OF SOUTHCENTRAL RIGHT NOW.

.MODEL DISCUSSION...MODELS ARE IN FAIRLY GOOD AGREEMENT IN THE
SHORT-TERM...WITH THE EXCEPTION OF HANDLING OF INTERIOR SHORT-WAVE.
THE NAM IS AN OUTLIER IN AGRESSIVELY MOVING THIS SOUTHWARD INTO
SOUTHCENTRAL ON SATURDAY. FOR NOW WILL STICK WITH THE MODEL
CONSENSUS WHICH SWINGS THIS OFF TO THE EAST OVER THE YUKON.
THE NAM GFS/NAM/ECMWF SOLUTIONS ARE IN VERY GOOD AGREEMENT WITH
HANDLING OF STRONG PACIFIC LOW MOVING INTO THE GULF SUNDAY AND
INLAND OVER SOUTHCENTRAL MONDAY...SO CONFIDENCE IS MUCH HIGHER
THAN YESTERDAY AND MORE DETAIL WILL NOW BE ADDED TO THE FORECASTS.
CONFIDENCE REMAINS LOW WITH HANDLING OF REMNANTS OF TYPHOON
CHO-WAN AS IT TRACKS SOUTH OF ALEUTIANS EARLY TO MID WEEK AND UP
TOWARD ALASKA PENINSULA TOWARD THE END OF THE WEEK. ALTHOUGH
RUN-TO-RUN CONSISTENCY IS GETTING BETTER...THERE IS STILL NOT
ENOUGH CONSISTENCY IN TRACK OR STRENGTH TO BUY INTO ANY PARTICULAR
SOLUTION. SO WILL ONCE AGAIN STICK WITH CURRENT FORECAST WHICH
INDICATES PRESENCE OF ANOTHER STORM SYSTEM...BUT NOTHING NEAR
THE STRENGTH INDICATED BY LATEST MODEL SOLUTIONS.

.SHORT TERM FORECAST...

SOUTHCENTRAL ALASKA...THE UPPER LEVEL SHORT-WAVE OVER INTERIOR
ALASKA WILL MAINTAIN EXTENSIVE CLOUDS AND SHOWERS ALONG THE
ALASKA RANGE AS IT SKIRTS THE REGION ON ITS WAY TO THE YUKON.
THE REST OF SOUTHCENTRAL SHOULD REMAIN TRANQUIL THROUGH SATURDAY.
AS MENTIONED ABOVE...THE NAM SOLUTION TRACKS THIS FEATURE SOUTHWARD
INTO SOUTHCENTRAL SATURDAY...WHICH WOULD RESULT IN A CLOUDIER AND
WETTER FORECAST FOR THE REST OF SOUTHCENTRAL...SO WILL NEED TO
KEEP A CLOSE EYE ON THIS TO MAKE SURE THE NAM IS NOT CORRECT. A
MAJOR PACIFIC STORM WILL BEGIN TO IMPACT THE GULF SATURDAY NIGHT
AND THE REST OF SOUTHCENTRAL SUNDAY. BASED ON GOOD MODEL AGREEMENT
ON STRENGTH OF THIS SYSTEM...FORECAST WINDS WILL HAVE TO BE UPPED.
ALSO...LOOKS LIKE A GOOD SET-UP FOR A BARRIER JET AS THE OCCLUDED
FRONT MOVES TO THE NORTH GULF COAST. A GOOD SOUTHERLY JET WILL ALSO
HELP THIS FRONT MOVE INLAND...SO EXPECT GALE FORCE WINDS TO EXTEND
FROM CORDOVA THROUGH PRINCE WILLIAM SOUND AND PASSAGE CANAL TO
PORTAGE VALLEY. THIS WILL INITIALLY BE A GEOSTROPHIC WIND EVENT...SO
EXPECT MUCH LESS WIND ALONG WESTERN TURNAGAIN ARM. WITH STRONG
DYNAMICS AND A LOT OF TROPICAL MOISTURE ACCOMPANYING THIS
SYSTEM...RAINFALL WILL BE HEAVY AT TIMES ALONG THE GULF COAST.
INLAND AREAS WILL INITIALLY REMAIN MOSTLY DRY DUE TO
DOWNSLOPING...BUT AS THE LOW TRACKS INLAND MONDAY AND MONDAY NIGHT
EVERYWHERE SHOULD SEE SOME RAIN. LARGE PRESSURE RISES BEHIND
THE LOW WILL ALSO EXTEND GUSTY WINDS INLAND MONDAY NIGHT.

SOUTHWEST ALASKA...AS UPPER LOW OVER EASTERN BERING SINKS SOUTHWARD
TONIGHT REMAINING SHOWERS ALONG THE SOUTHWEST COAST WILL COME TO
AN END AND MOST AREAS WILL SEE AT LEAST PARTIAL CLEARING. AS STRONG
LOW MOVES INTO THE WESTERN GULF LATE SATURDAY AND SUNDAY NORTHERLY
WINDS WILL PICK UP ACROSS SOUTHWEST ALASKA AND PRECIPITATION WILL
BE MAINLY CONFINED TO EASTERN AREAS ALONG THE ALASKA AND ALEUTIAN
RANGES. AS THE GULF LOW MOVES INLAND OVER SOUTHCENTRAL A LARGE
UPPER LOW WILL DROP SOUTHWARD OUT OF THE ARCTIC...ADVECTING MUCH
COLDER AIR SOUTHWARD. MODELS HAVE BEEN INCONSISTENT IN DETAILS OF
WHERE THIS COLD AIR WILL GO...BUT CONFIDENCE IS GROWING IN THE
GENERAL IDEA. SO COLDER TEMPERATURES AND THE FIRST SNOW OF THE
YEAR ARE POSSIBLE OVER PORTIONS OF SOUTHWEST HEADING THROUGH THE
BEGINNING OF NEXT WEEK.

BERING SEA/ALEUTIANS...A BAND OF GUSTY NORTHERLIES WILL PERSIST
ACROSS THE CENTRAL BERING THROUGH SATURDAY NIGHT...WITH TIGHT
PRESSURE GRADIENT BETWEEN EASTERN BERING LOW AND SIBERIAN HIGH
AS WELL AS CONTRIBUTIONS FROM UPPER SHORT-WAVES DROPPING SOUTHWARD
ALONG THE EDGE OF THE RIDGE AND ASSOCIATED COLD ADVECTION. NORTHERLY
FLOW WILL LIGHTEN UP A BIT SUNDAY AND MONDAY AS UPPER TROUGH
CONTINUES TO DIG SOUTHWARD INTO THE PACIFIC. REMNANTS OF TYPHOON
CHO-WAN LOOK LIKE THEY WONT HAVE MUCH IMPACT ON ALEUTIANS AS IT
PASSES TO THE SOUTH MONDAY AND TUESDAY...BUT LATEST MODELS INDICATE
A QUICK NORTHWARD CURVATURE TOWARD THE ALASKA PENINSULA MID WEEK.
CONFIDENCE IN TRACK OF THIS IS LOW...SO WILL HAVE TO CONTINUE TO
MONITOR FUTURE MODEL RUNS.

.LONG TERM FORECAST...CONFIDENCE REMAINS LOW IN GENERAL THROUGH
THE EXTENDED FORECAST PERIOD. ONE OF THE BIG QUESTIONS IS EVOLUTION
OF LARGE UPPER LOW DROPPING OUT OF ARCTIC. LATEST MODEL RUNS ARE
DEPICTING ADVECTION OF SIGNIFICANTLY COLDER AIR INTO SOUTHWEST
ALASKA MONDAY NIGHT AND TUESDAY AND EASTWARD TO SOUTHCENTRAL TUESDAY
AS UPPER CENTER SETS UP OVER SOUTHWEST ALASKA...WHICH IF ACCURATE
COULD PRODUCE THE FIRST FLAKES OF THE SEASON ACROSS MUCH OF THE
REGION. UNCERTAINTY GROWS TOWARD THE END OF THE WEEK WITH HANDLING
OF THE STORM WHICH EVOLVES OUT OF THE REMNANTS OF TYPHOON CHO-WAN.
LATEST MODELS INDICATE THIS COULD BE A MAJOR STORM.

.AER/ALU...WATCH/WARNING SUMMARY
PUBLIC...NONE.
MARINE...GALE WARNING...132 150 155 185.
FIRE WEATHER...NONE.

SEB SEP 09