Gale Warning 491, NWS Anchorage, AK

000 
FZAK52 PAFC 050531 CCA
CWFALU

COASTAL WATERS FORECAST...CORRECTED
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ANCHORAGE ALASKA
400 PM AKDT SAT JUL 4 2009

CORRECTED ZONE 180

COASTAL WATERS FORECAST FOR SOUTHWEST ALASKA+BRISTOL BAY+THE
ALASKA PENINSULA WATERS AND THE ALEUTIAN ISLANDS UP TO 100 NM OUT.

WIND FORECASTS REFLECT THE PREDOMINANT SPEED AND DIRECTION
EXPECTED. SEA FORECASTS REPRESENT AN AVERAGE OF THE HIGHEST
ONE-THIRD OF THE COMBINED WIND WAVE AND SWELL HEIGHT.

PKZ199-051400-
400 PM AKDT SAT JUL 4 2009
.SYNOPSIS FOR SOUTHWEST ALASKA+BRISTOL BAY+THE ALASKA
PENINSULA WATERS AND THE ALEUTIAN ISLANDS...
A 995 MB LOW 270 NM SOUTH OF ATKA TONIGHT MOVES TO 100 NM NORTH OF
ATKA AT 994 MB SUNDAY NIGHT. THIS LOW THEN MOVES TO 300 NM NORTH OF
ATKA AT 996 MB MONDAY AFTERNOON. 
$$

PKZ150-051400-
COASTAL WATERS SOUTH OF THE ALASKA PENINSULA SITKINAK TO CASTLE
CAPE
400 PM AKDT SAT JUL 4 2009

.TONIGHT...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 7 FT. AREAS OF FOG. 
.SUN AND SUN NIGHT...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 6 FT. AREAS OF FOG.  
.MON...SW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.MON NIGHT...W WIND 25 KT. SEAS 7 FT. 
.TUE...NW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 7 FT. 
.WED...W WIND 20 KT. SEAS 6 FT. 
.THU...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 3 FT.  

$$

PKZ155-051400-
COASTAL WATERS SOUTH OF THE ALASKA PENINSULA CASTLE CAPE TO CAPE
SARICHEF
400 PM AKDT SAT JUL 4 2009

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY SUNDAY AND SUNDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...SE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 6 FT. AREAS OF FOG. 
.SUN AND SUN NIGHT...SE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 8 FT. AREAS OF FOG. 
.MON...S WIND 20 KT. SEAS 10 FT. 
.MON NIGHT...S WIND 15 KT. SEAS 9 FT. 
.TUE...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 8 FT. 
.WED...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.THU...SE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 6 FT.  

$$

PKZ160-051400-
BRISTOL BAY WATERS CAPE NEWENHAM TO PORT HEIDEN
400 PM AKDT SAT JUL 4 2009

.TONIGHT...VARIABLE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. AREAS OF FOG. 
.SUN...S WIND 15 KT. SEAS 4 FT. AREAS OF FOG. 
.SUN NIGHT AND MON...S WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.MON NIGHT...W WIND 15 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.TUE...NW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.WED...NW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 6 FT. 
.THU...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 3 FT.  

$$

PKZ165-051400-
PORT HEIDEN TO CAPE SARICHEF
400 PM AKDT SAT JUL 4 2009

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH SUNDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...SE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 6 FT. AREAS OF FOG. 
.SUN AND SUN NIGHT...SE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 7 FT. AREAS OF FOG. 
.MON...S WIND 20 KT. SEAS 6 FT. 
.MON NIGHT...S WIND 15 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.TUE AND WED...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.THU...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.  

$$

PKZ180-051400-
SOUTHWEST ALASKA WATERS CAPE NEWENHAM TO DALL POINT
400 PM AKDT SAT JUL 4 2009

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY SUNDAY AND SUNDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...S WIND 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT. AREAS OF FOG. 
.SUN AND SUN NIGHT...SE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 7 FT. AREAS OF FOG.
.MON...SE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 7 FT. 
.MON NIGHT...S WIND 25 KT. SEAS 9 FT. 
.TUE...W WIND 20 KT. SEAS 7 FT. 
.WED...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 6 FT. 
.THU...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT.  

$$

PKZ170-051400-
EASTERN ALEUTIANS CAPE SARICHEF TO NIKOLSKI
400 PM AKDT SAT JUL 4 2009

...GALE WARNING SUNDAY AND SUNDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...SE WIND INCREASING TO 30 KT. SEAS 9 FT. PATCHY FOG. RAIN.
.SUN AND SUN NIGHT...SE WIND 35 KT. SEAS 12 FT. PATCHY FOG.  
.MON...S WIND 35 KT. SEAS 13 FT. 
.MON NIGHT...S WIND 20 KT. SEAS 10 FT. 
.TUE AND WED...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 7 FT. 
.THU...E WIND 15 KT. SEAS 6 FT.  

$$

PKZ171-051400-
UNALASKA BAY
400 PM AKDT SAT JUL 4 2009

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH SUNDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...SE WIND INCREASING TO 25 KT. SEAS BUILDING TO 4 FT. PATCHY
FOG. RAIN.
.SUN AND SUN NIGHT...SE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 5 FT. PATCHY FOG. RAIN. 
.MON...S WIND 20 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.MON NIGHT...S WIND 15 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.TUE...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.WED...E WIND 15 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.THU...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.  

$$

PKZ172-051400-
EASTERN ALEUTIANS NIKOLSKI TO ADAK
400 PM AKDT SAT JUL 4 2009

...GALE WARNING THROUGH SUNDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...E WIND 20 KT BECOMING SE WIND 35 KT. SEAS 6 FT BUILDING TO
11 FT AFTER MIDNIGHT. RAIN.
.SUN...E WIND 35 KT. SEAS 16 FT. RAIN.
.SUN NIGHT...S WIND 40 KT. SEAS 18 FT. RAIN.
.MON...SW WIND 35 KT. SEAS 16 FT. 
.MON NIGHT...S WIND 20 KT. SEAS 10 FT. 
.TUE...SE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 8 FT. 
.WED...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 7 FT. 
.THU...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 6 FT.  

$$

PKZ175-051400-
WESTERN ALEUTIANS ADAK TO KISKA
400 PM AKDT SAT JUL 4 2009

...GALE WARNING SUNDAY AND SUNDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT BECOMING N WIND 25 KT IN THE EVENING.
SEAS BUILDING TO 6 FT. RAIN.
.SUN...NW WIND 35 KT. SEAS 9 FT. RAIN SHOWERS. 
.SUN NIGHT...NW WIND 40 KT BECOMING W 30 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS
11 FT. RAIN.
.MON...W WIND 30 KT. SEAS 10 FT. 
.MON NIGHT...S WIND 15 KT. SEAS 6 FT. 
.TUE AND WED...SE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 9 FT. 
.THU...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 8 FT.  

$$

PKZ176-051400-
WESTERN ALEUTIANS KISKA TO ATTU
400 PM AKDT SAT JUL 4 2009

.TONIGHT...W WIND 15 KT. SEAS 5 FT. PATCHY FOG. 
.SUN...W WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. PATCHY FOG. 
.SUN NIGHT...NW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.MON...W WIND 15 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.MON NIGHT...SW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.TUE AND WED...E WIND 30 KT. SEAS 8 FT. 
.THU...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 7 FT.  

$$

PKZ185-051400-
ST MATTHEW ISLAND WATERS
400 PM AKDT SAT JUL 4 2009

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH SUNDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...SE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 10 FT. AREAS OF FOG. RAIN.
.SUN AND SUN NIGHT...SE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 7 FT. AREAS OF FOG. RAIN.
.MON AND MON NIGHT...SE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 13 FT. 
.TUE...S WIND 25 KT. SEAS 13 FT. 
.WED...SE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 7 FT. 
.THU...E WIND 15 KT. SEAS 4 FT.  

$$

PKZ179-051400-
PRIBILOF ISLANDS NEAR-SHORE WATERS
400 PM AKDT SAT JUL 4 2009

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH SUNDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...SE WIND INCREASING TO 25 KT. SEAS BUILDING TO 8 FT. PATCHY
FOG. RAIN.
.SUN AND SUN NIGHT...SE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 10 FT. PATCHY FOG. RAIN.
.MON...SE WIND 35 KT. SEAS 15 FT. 
.MON NIGHT...S WIND 30 KT. SEAS 14 FT. 
.TUE...S WIND 15 KT. SEAS 9 FT. 
.WED...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.THU...E WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.  

$$

000 
FZAK52 PAFC 051204 CCA
CWFALU

COASTAL WATERS FORECAST...CORRECTED
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ANCHORAGE ALASKA
400 AM AKDT SUN JUL 5 2009

CORRECTED 155 175

COASTAL WATERS FORECAST FOR SOUTHWEST ALASKA+BRISTOL BAY+THE
ALASKA PENINSULA WATERS AND THE ALEUTIAN ISLANDS UP TO 100 NM OUT.

WIND FORECASTS REFLECT THE PREDOMINANT SPEED AND DIRECTION
EXPECTED. SEA FORECASTS REPRESENT AN AVERAGE OF THE HIGHEST
ONE-THIRD OF THE COMBINED WIND WAVE AND SWELL HEIGHT.

PKZ199-060200-
400 AM AKDT SUN JUL 5 2009
.SYNOPSIS FOR SOUTHWEST ALASKA+BRISTOL BAY+THE ALASKA
PENINSULA WATERS AND THE ALEUTIAN ISLANDS...

A 992 MB LOW 300 NM SOUTH OF ATKA WILL MOVE NEAR ADAK AT 994 MB
SUNDAY EVENING...THEN MOVE TO 270 NM NORTHWEST OF SAINT MATTHEW
ISLAND ON TUESDAY. AN ASSOCIATED GALE FORCE FRONT WILL APPROACH THE
CENTRAL ALEUTIANS THIS AFTERNOON AND WEAKEN AS IT MOVES INTO THE
NORTHERN BERING ON TUESDAY.

$$

PKZ150-060200-
COASTAL WATERS SOUTH OF THE ALASKA PENINSULA SITKINAK TO CASTLE
CAPE
400 AM AKDT SUN JUL 5 2009

.TODAY...S WIND 10 KT. SEAS 7 FT. AREAS OF FOG. 
.TONIGHT...S WIND 10 KT. SEAS 6 FT. 
.MON...SW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.MON NIGHT AND TUE...W WIND 20 KT. SEAS 8 FT. 
.WED...NW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 6 FT. 
.THU...W WIND 15 KT. SEAS 5 FT.  

$$

PKZ155-060200-
COASTAL WATERS SOUTH OF THE ALASKA PENINSULA CASTLE CAPE TO CAPE
SARICHEF
400 AM AKDT SUN JUL 5 2009

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH MONDAY...

.TODAY...SE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 7 FT. AREAS OF FOG. 
.TONIGHT...SE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 9 FT. 
.MON...S WIND 20 KT. SEAS 10 FT.
.MON NIGHT...S WIND 20 KT. SEAS 10 FT. 
.TUE...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 9 FT. 
.WED...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 6 FT. 
.THU...SE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 6 FT.  

$$

PKZ160-060200-
BRISTOL BAY WATERS CAPE NEWENHAM TO PORT HEIDEN
400 AM AKDT SUN JUL 5 2009

.TODAY...S WIND 15 KT. SEAS 4 FT. AREAS OF FOG. 
.TONIGHT AND MON...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. PATCHY FOG. 
.MON NIGHT...SW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.TUE...W WIND 15 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.WED...NW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.THU...W WIND 10 KT. SEAS 3 FT.  

$$

PKZ165-060200-
PORT HEIDEN TO CAPE SARICHEF
400 AM AKDT SUN JUL 5 2009

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH MONDAY...

.TODAY...SE WIND 25 KT. GUSTS TO 40 KT OUT OF BAYS AND PASSES. SEAS 6
FT. AREAS OF FOG. 
.TONIGHT AND MON...SE WIND 25 KT. GUSTS TO 40 KT OUT OF BAYS AND
PASSES. SEAS 7 FT. PATCHY FOG. 
.MON NIGHT...S WIND 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.TUE...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.WED...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.THU...SE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 4 FT.  

$$

PKZ180-060200-
SOUTHWEST ALASKA WATERS CAPE NEWENHAM TO DALL POINT
400 AM AKDT SUN JUL 5 2009

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TONIGHT AND MONDAY...

.TODAY...SE WIND 10 KT INCREASING TO 20 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS
BUILDING TO 6 FT. AREAS OF FOG. RAIN.
.TONIGHT...SE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 7 FT. 
.MON...SE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 9 FT. 
.MON NIGHT...S WIND 30 KT. SEAS 10 FT. 
.TUE...S WIND 25 KT. SEAS 9 FT. 
.WED...SW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 6 FT. 
.THU...NE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 3 FT.  

$$

PKZ170-060200-
EASTERN ALEUTIANS CAPE SARICHEF TO NIKOLSKI
400 AM AKDT SUN JUL 5 2009

...GALE WARNING THROUGH MONDAY...

.TODAY...SE WIND 20 KT INCREASING TO 35 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS
BUILDING TO 12 FT PACIFIC SIDE...5 FT BERING SIDE. PATCHY FOG. 
.TONIGHT...SE WIND 35 KT. SEAS 16 FT PACIFIC SIDE...SEAS 9 FT BERING
SIDE. PATCHY FOG. 
.MON...S WIND 35 KT DIMINISHING TO 25 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS
15 FT PACIFIC SIDE...7 FT BERING SIDE. PATCHY FOG. 
.MON NIGHT...S WIND 20 KT. SEAS 11 FT. 
.TUE...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 9 FT. 
.WED...E WIND 15 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.THU...SE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 6 FT.  

$$

PKZ171-060200-
UNALASKA BAY
400 AM AKDT SUN JUL 5 2009

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH MONDAY...

.TODAY...SE WIND 20 KT INCREASING TO 30 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS
BUILDING TO 5 FT. PATCHY FOG. 
.TONIGHT...SE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.MON...S WIND 25 KT. SEAS 4 FT.  
.MON NIGHT...S WIND 15 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.TUE...VARIABLE WIND LESS THAN 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.WED...E WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.THU...SE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.  

$$

PKZ172-060200-
EASTERN ALEUTIANS NIKOLSKI TO ADAK
400 AM AKDT SUN JUL 5 2009

...GALE WARNING THROUGH TONIGHT...

.TODAY...E OF ATKA...SE WIND 35 KT. N WIND 25 KT ELSEWHERE. SEAS
BUILDING TO 15 FT PACIFIC SIDE...SEAS 7 FT BERING SIDE. RAIN.
.TONIGHT...E OF ATKA...S WIND 40 KT. W WIND 25 KT ELSEWHERE. SEAS 18
FT PACIFIC SIDE...11 FT BERING SIDE. 
.MON...SW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 14 FT PACIFIC SIDE...9 FT BERING SIDE. 
.MON NIGHT...SW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 9 FT. 
.TUE...S WIND 15 KT. SEAS 7 FT. 
.WED AND THU...SE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 

$$

PKZ175-060200-
WESTERN ALEUTIANS ADAK TO KISKA
400 AM AKDT SUN JUL 5 2009

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH MONDAY...

.TODAY...NW WIND 30 KT. SEAS  BUILDING TO 8 FT PACIFIC SIDE...5 FT
BERING SIDE. 
.TONIGHT...NW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 6 FT. 
.MON...W WIND 25 KT. SEAS 6 FT. 
.MON NIGHT...S WIND 15 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.TUE...SE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.WED...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 9 FT. 
.THU...SE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 8 FT.  

$$

PKZ176-060200-
WESTERN ALEUTIANS KISKA TO ATTU
400 AM AKDT SUN JUL 5 2009

.TODAY...W WIND 15 KT. SEAS 5 FT. PATCHY FOG. 
.TONIGHT...W WIND 15 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.MON AND MON NIGHT...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.TUE...S WIND 15 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.WED...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 9 FT. 
.THU...S WIND 20 KT. SEAS 9 FT.  

$$

PKZ185-060200-
ST MATTHEW ISLAND WATERS
400 AM AKDT SUN JUL 5 2009

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TONIGHT AND MONDAY...

.TODAY...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 7 FT. AREAS OF FOG. 
.TONIGHT...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 7 FT. RAIN.
.MON...SE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 11 FT. RAIN.
.MON NIGHT...SE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 13 FT. 
.TUE...S WIND 25 KT. SEAS 11 FT. 
.WED...S WIND 20 KT. SEAS 7 FT. 
.THU...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT.  

$$

PKZ179-060200-
PRIBILOF ISLANDS NEAR-SHORE WATERS
400 AM AKDT SUN JUL 5 2009

...GALE WARNING MONDAY...

.TODAY...SE WIND 15 KT INCREASING TO 25 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS
BUILDING TO 8 FT. AREAS OF FOG. RAIN.
.TONIGHT...SE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 10 FT. PATCHY FOG. 
.MON...SE WIND 35 KT. SEAS 13 FT. PATCHY FOG. 
.MON NIGHT...S WIND 30 KT. SEAS 11 FT. 
.TUE...SW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 8 FT. 
.WED...SE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.THU...E WIND 15 KT. SEAS 4 FT.  

$$

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
SOUTHCENTRAL AND SOUTHWEST ALASKA
155 PM AKDT SAT JUL 4 2009

.MODEL DISCUSSION...
MODELS ARE IN EXTREMELY GOOD AGREEMENT THROUGH THE SHORT TERM
FORECAST. BY THE END OF THE HOLIDAY WEEKEND SOME DIFFERENCES ARISE IN
THE PLACEMENT AND STRENGTH OF A LOW IN THE BERING AND A TROUGH IN
THE PANHANDLE...BUT THE DIFFERENCES ARE FAIRLY MINOR.

.ANALYSIS AND UPPER LEVELS...
EXTREMELY AMPLIFIED PATTERN CONTINUES ACROSS SOUTHERN ALASKA. A UPPER
LEVEL RIDGE EXTENDS FROM THE PACIFIC NORTH ACROSS THE ENTIRE STATE
INTO THE ARCTIC OCEAN. TWO TROUGHS ARE LOCATED ON THE EITHER SIDE OF
THIS RIDGE. TO THE WEST OF THE RIDGE...ACROSS THE BERING...AN UPPER
LEVEL TROUGH IS EVIDENT WITH A CUT OFF SURFACE LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM IS
IN THE FAR WEST BERING. THIS LOW WILL CONTINUE TO MOVE SLOWLY OUT OF
THE BERING AND INTO EASTERN RUSSIA. ANOTHER LOW IS STRENGTHENING ON
THE SOUTHERN PART OF THIS UPPER LEVEL TROUGH WITH THE SURFACE FEATURE
LOCATED JUST SOUTHWEST OF THE ALEUTIANS. TO THE EAST OF THE RIDGE
ANOTHER UPPER LEVEL TROUGH IS LOCATED ACROSS EXTREME EAST CENTRAL
ALASKA AND THE PANHANDLE. A THERMAL TROUGH EXTENDS OFF OF THIS UPPER
LEVEL TROUGH AND WILL ENHANCE INSTABILITY ACROSS THE COPPER RIVER
BASIN.

.SHORT TERM FORECAST...
IT APPEARS THE ANCHORAGE AREA WILL SEE A WARM AND QUIET FOURTH OF
JULY HOLIDAY WITH THUNDERSTORMS POSSIBLE IN THE COPPER RIVER BASIN.
THE UPPER LEVEL RIDGE CONTINUES TO BUILD...INCREASING TEMPERATURES AT
850 MB...WHILE UPPER LEVEL TEMPERATURES CONTINUE TO BE RELATIVELY
COOL. THIS WILL CREATE RELATIVELY FAVORABLE LAPSE RATES FOR
CONVECTION. CURRENT THINKING IS THAT CAP AND SUBSIDENCE WILL SUPPRESS
CONVECTION IN THE ANCHORAGE AREA...BUT CONVECTION IS STILL LIKELY
ACROSS THE COPPER RIVER BASIN SPECIFICALLY AROUND THE CHUGACH
MOUNTAINS. YESTERDAY HAD A VORTICITY MAX MOVE INTO THE AREA...
HELPING A CELL PRODUCE HALF INCH HAIL...BUT TODAY IT APPEARS THERE
WILL BE LITTLE ADDITIONAL MESOSCALE FORCING SO JUST EXPECTING GARDEN
VARIETY THUNDERSTORMS. ALSO ARE SLIGHTLY CONCERNED WITH LOW RELATIVE
HUMIDITY ACROSS THE COPPER RIVER BASIN BUT NOT CONFIDENT FOR REACHING
RED FLAG CRITERIA. PATCHY HAZE WILL ALSO BE POSSIBLE...ESPECIALLY
AROUND THE ANCHORAGE AREA...WITH SUBSIDENCE ALOFT AND LIGHT WINDS.

FURTHER TO THE WEST LOCALLY DENSE FOG CAN BE EXPECTED...ESPECIALLY
ACROSS THE KUSKOKWIM DELTA. HAVE ADDED A HEADLINE FOR FOG FOR THE
KUSKOKWIM DELTA AND IT LOOKS LIKE WITH DRY AIR ALOFT...LIGHT
WINDS...AND SURFACE BASED INVERSION...FOG AND LOW STRATUS WILL ONCE
AGAIN BE POSSIBLE TONIGHT. ACROSS THE ALEUTIANS A LOW WILL MOVE INTO
THE REGION BY THE END OF THE WEEKEND. WINDS WITH THIS LOW WILL BE
GUSTY..SO HAVE POSTED A GALE WARNING FOR THE CENTRAL AND EASTERN
ALEUTIANS.

.LONG TERM FORECAST...
LOOKS LIKE THE RIDGE ACROSS CENTRAL ALASKA WILL HOLD THROUGH THE END
OF NEXT WEEK. THIS RIDGE WILL SLOWLY WARM UP THE UPPER
LEVELS...BRINGING WARMER TEMPERATURES TO THE SURFACE AND ALSO
INCREASING STABILITY ALOFT...DECREASING CHANCES FOR THUNDERSTORMS.
LOW IN THE BERING WILL SKIRT THE PERIPHERY OF THIS RIDGE AND REMAIN
JUST OFFSHORE OF WESTERN ALASKA IN THE BERING. GUSTY WINDS WILL
REMAIN POSSIBLE WITH THIS SYSTEM DUE TO THE STRONG PRESSURE GRADIENT.

.AER/ALU...WATCH/WARNING SUMMARY
PUBLIC...NONE
MARINE...GALE WARNING 170 172 175
FIRE WEATHER...NONE

TARALDSEN JUL 09