Alert archive / Alaska / Gale Warnings in 2009
Gale Warning 433, NWS Anchorage, AK
NWS Anchorage, AK issued this gale warning at May 14, 2009, 4:00 AM AKDT. It was in force for 48 hr. No storm report in the archive falls inside the area while it was in force.
The area
The counties it named.
The facts
- Issued
- May 14, 2009, 4:00 AM AKDT (12:00 UTC)
- Expired
- May 16, 2009, 4:00 AM AKDT
- In force
- 48 hr
- Issued by
- NWS Anchorage, AK
The text
As transmitted, in the capitals the NWS used until 2016.
000 FZAK62 PAFC 141200 OFFALU OFFSHORE WATERS FORECAST NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ANCHORAGE AK 400 AM AKDT THU MAY 14 2009 OFFSHORE WATERS FORECAST FOR THE BERING SEA WIND FORECASTS REFLECT THE PREDOMINANT SPEED AND DIRECTION EXPECTED. SEA FORECASTS REPRESENT AN AVERAGE OF THE HIGHEST ONE-THIRD OF THE COMBINED WIND WAVE AND SWELL HEIGHT. PKZ499-150200- 400 AM AKDT THU MAY 14 2009 .SYNOPSIS FOR CENTRAL BERING SEA... HIGH PRESSURE OVER THE WESTERN BERING WILL SHIFT EAST AND BE OVER THE EASTERN BERING BY FRI EVENING. A WEATHER FRONT WILL MOVE OVER THE WESTERN BERING THU AFTERNOON. $$ PKZ411-150200- BERING SEA OFFSHORE WEST OF 180 AND EAST OF THE INTERNATIONAL DATELINE 400 AM AKDT THU MAY 14 2009 ...GALE WARNING FRIDAY... .TODAY...SE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 6 FT. .TONIGHT...SE WIND 25 KT...EXCEPT 35 KT W OF 175E. SEAS 6 TO 10 FT. .FRI...SE WIND 35 KT. SEAS 13 FT. .FRI NIGHT...S WIND 35 KT. SEAS 13 FT. .SAT...SW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 11 FT. .SUN...SW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 10 FT. .MON...SW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 8 FT. $$ PKZ412-150200- BERING SEA OFFSHORE 171W TO 180 AND NORTH OF 56N 400 AM AKDT THU MAY 14 2009 .TODAY...NE WIND 10 TO 20 KT. SEAS 4 TO 6 FT. PATCHY FOG. .TONIGHT...E WIND 10 KT. SEAS 4 FT. PATCHY FOG. .FRI...SE WIND 15 KT...INCREASING TO 25 KT W OF 177W IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 4 TO 7 FT. PATCHY FOG. .FRI NIGHT...SE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 9 FT. .SAT...S WIND 25 KT. SEAS 11 FT. .SUN...SW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 9 FT. .MON...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 8 FT. $$ PKZ413-150200- BERING SEA OFFSHORE 171W TO 180 AND SOUTH OF 56N 400 AM AKDT THU MAY 14 2009 .TODAY...NE WIND 10 TO 20 KT. SEAS 4 TO 6 FT. .TONIGHT...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 5 FT. .FRI...S WIND 15 KT...INCREASING TO 25 KT W OF 177W IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 5 TO 8 FT. .FRI NIGHT...S WIND 30 KT. SEAS 10 FT. .SAT...SW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 10 FT. .SUN...SW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 7 FT. .MON...W WIND 15 KT. SEAS 8 FT. $$ PKZ414-150200- BERING SEA OFFSHORE EAST OF 171W 400 AM AKDT THU MAY 14 2009 .TODAY...NE WIND 25 KT DECREASING TO 15 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 6 FT SUBSIDING TO 4 FT IN THE AFTERNOON. PATCHY FOG. .TONIGHT...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 4 FT. PATCHY FOG. .FRI...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. PATCHY FOG. .FRI NIGHT...E WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. .SAT...S WIND 20 KT. SEAS 6 FT. .SUN...S WIND 20 KT. SEAS 7 FT. .MON...SW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 7 FT. $$
5 follow-up statements
661 FZAK62 PAFC 142211 OFFALU OFFSHORE WATERS FORECAST NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ANCHORAGE AK 400 PM AKDT THU MAY 14 2009 OFFSHORE WATERS FORECAST FOR THE BERING SEA WIND FORECASTS REFLECT THE PREDOMINANT SPEED AND DIRECTION EXPECTED. SEA FORECASTS REPRESENT AN AVERAGE OF THE HIGHEST ONE-THIRD OF THE COMBINED WIND WAVE AND SWELL HEIGHT. PKZ499-151400- 400 PM AKDT THU MAY 14 2009 .SYNOPSIS FOR CENTRAL BERING SEA... A 1004 MB LOW NEAR 41N 163E WILL STRENGTHEN TO 994 MB AS IT MOVES TO 57N 169E FRI AFTERNOON. THIS LOW WILL THEN MOVE OVER EASTERN RUSSIA SAT. AN ASSOCIATED FRONT OVER THE SOUTHWEST BERING WILL TRACK TO THE EASTERN BERING LATE SAT. $$ PKZ411-151400- BERING SEA OFFSHORE WEST OF 180 AND EAST OF THE INTERNATIONAL DATELINE 400 PM AKDT THU MAY 14 2009 ...GALE WARNING FRIDAY... .TONIGHT...SE WIND INCREASING TO 30 KT. SEAS BUILDING TO 8 FT. .FRI...SE WIND 35 KT. SEAS 13 FT. .FRI NIGHT...S WIND 30 KT. SEAS 12 FT. RAIN. .SAT...SW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 9 FT. .SAT NIGHT...SW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 8 FT. .SUN...SW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 7 FT. .MON...W WIND 25 KT. SEAS 8 FT. .TUE...SW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 8 FT. $$ PKZ412-151400- BERING SEA OFFSHORE 171W TO 180 AND NORTH OF 56N 400 PM AKDT THU MAY 14 2009 .TONIGHT...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 4 FT. PATCHY FOG. .FRI...SE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 7 FT. PATCHY FOG. .FRI NIGHT...SE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 10 FT. PATCHY FOG. .SAT...SW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 11 FT. .SAT NIGHT...SW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 6 FT. .SUN...SW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 7 FT. .MON...SW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 7 FT. .TUE...W WIND 20 KT. SEAS 7 FT. $$ PKZ413-151400- BERING SEA OFFSHORE 171W TO 180 AND SOUTH OF 56N 400 PM AKDT THU MAY 14 2009 .TONIGHT...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 4 FT. .FRI...S WIND 25 KT. SEAS 7 FT. .FRI NIGHT...S WIND 30 KT. SEAS 10 FT. .SAT...SW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 8 FT. .SAT NIGHT...SW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 7 FT. .SUN...SW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 6 FT. .MON...W WIND 20 KT. SEAS 6 FT. .TUE...W WIND 20 KT. SEAS 6 FT. $$ PKZ414-151400- BERING SEA OFFSHORE EAST OF 171W 400 PM AKDT THU MAY 14 2009 .TONIGHT...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 4 FT. PATCHY FOG. .FRI...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 4 FT. PATCHY FOG. .FRI NIGHT...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. PATCHY FOG. .SAT...S WIND 25 KT. SEAS 7 FT. .SAT NIGHT...SW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 8 FT. .SUN...W WIND 20 KT. SEAS 7 FT. .MON...SW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 7 FT. .TUE...W WIND 15 KT. SEAS 6 FT. $$
000 FZAK62 PAFC 151157 OFFALU OFFSHORE WATERS FORECAST NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ANCHORAGE AK 400 AM AKDT FRI MAY 15 2009 OFFSHORE WATERS FORECAST FOR THE BERING SEA WIND FORECASTS REFLECT THE PREDOMINANT SPEED AND DIRECTION EXPECTED. SEA FORECASTS REPRESENT AN AVERAGE OF THE HIGHEST ONE-THIRD OF THE COMBINED WIND WAVE AND SWELL HEIGHT. PKZ499-160200- 400 AM AKDT FRI MAY 15 2009 .SYNOPSIS FOR CENTRAL BERING SEA... A 990 MB LOW WILL MOVE TO NEAR 58N 170E THIS AFTERNOON AND MOVE OVER EASTERN RUSSIA SATURDAY AFTERNOON. AN ASSOCIATED FRONT OVER THE SOUTHWEST BERING WILL TRACK TO THE EASTERN BERING LATE SATURDAY INTO EARLY SUNDAY. $$ PKZ411-160200- BERING SEA OFFSHORE WEST OF 180 AND EAST OF THE INTERNATIONAL DATELINE 400 AM AKDT FRI MAY 15 2009 ...GALE WARNING TODAY... .TODAY...SE WIND 35 KT. SEAS 12 FT. .TONIGHT...S WIND 30 KT. SEAS 14 FT. RAIN. .SAT...SW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 11 FT. RAIN. .SAT NIGHT AND SUN...SW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 10 FT. .MON AND TUE...SW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 9 FT. $$ PKZ412-160200- BERING SEA OFFSHORE 171W TO 180 AND NORTH OF 56N 400 AM AKDT FRI MAY 15 2009 .TODAY...E WIND 15 KT BECOMING SE WIND 25 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 3 FT BUILDING TO 6 FT. PATCHY FOG. .TONIGHT...SE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 11 FT. PATCHY FOG. .SAT...S WIND 30 KT. SEAS 11 FT. PATCHY FOG. RAIN. .SAT NIGHT...SW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 10 FT. .SUN...SW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 8 FT. .MON...SW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 8 FT. .TUE...W WIND 20 KT. SEAS 7 FT. $$ PKZ413-160200- BERING SEA OFFSHORE 171W TO 180 AND SOUTH OF 56N 400 AM AKDT FRI MAY 15 2009 .TODAY...E WIND 20 KT BECOMING S 30 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 7 FT. .TONIGHT...S WIND 30 KT. SEAS 10 FT. .SAT...S WIND 25 KT. SEAS 11 FT. RAIN. .SAT NIGHT...SW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 9 FT. .SUN THROUGH TUE...W WIND 20 KT. SEAS 7 FT. $$ PKZ414-160200- BERING SEA OFFSHORE EAST OF 171W 400 AM AKDT FRI MAY 15 2009 .TODAY...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 4 FT. PATCHY FOG. .TONIGHT...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. PATCHY FOG. .SAT...S WIND 25 KT. SEAS 7 FT. PATCHY FOG. .SAT NIGHT AND SUN...SW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 8 FT. .MON...W WIND 20 KT. SEAS 6 FT. .TUE...SW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 6 FT. $$
215 FZAK62 PAFC 152147 OFFALU OFFSHORE WATERS FORECAST NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ANCHORAGE AK 400 PM AKDT FRI MAY 15 2009 OFFSHORE WATERS FORECAST FOR THE BERING SEA WIND FORECASTS REFLECT THE PREDOMINANT SPEED AND DIRECTION EXPECTED. SEA FORECASTS REPRESENT AN AVERAGE OF THE HIGHEST ONE-THIRD OF THE COMBINED WIND WAVE AND SWELL HEIGHT. PKZ499-161400- 400 PM AKDT FRI MAY 15 2009 .SYNOPSIS FOR CENTRAL BERING SEA... A GALE FORCE FRONT OVER THE WESTERN BERING WILL WEAKEN AS IT MOVES TO THE EASTERN BERING SUN. $$ PKZ411-161400- BERING SEA OFFSHORE WEST OF 180 AND EAST OF THE INTERNATIONAL DATELINE 400 PM AKDT FRI MAY 15 2009 ...GALE WARNING TONIGHT... .TONIGHT...S WIND 35 KT. SEAS 14 FT. RAIN AND SNOW. .SAT...SW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 12 FT. RAIN AND SNOW SHOWERS. .SAT NIGHT...SW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 10 FT. .SUN...SW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 9 FT. .SUN NIGHT...W WIND 20 KT. SEAS 9 FT. .MON...SW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 8 FT. .TUE...SW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 8 FT. .WED...S WIND 20 KT. SEAS 9 FT. $$ PKZ412-161400- BERING SEA OFFSHORE 171W TO 180 AND NORTH OF 56N 400 PM AKDT FRI MAY 15 2009 .TONIGHT...SE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 11 FT. PATCHY FOG. SNOW. .SAT...S WIND 30 KT. SEAS 12 FT. PATCHY FOG. SNOW AND RAIN SHOWERS. .SAT NIGHT...SW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 10 FT. RAIN. .SUN...SW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 8 FT. .SUN NIGHT...SW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 7 FT. .MON...SW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 9 FT. .TUE...W WIND 20 KT. SEAS 8 FT. .WED...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 6 FT. $$ PKZ413-161400- BERING SEA OFFSHORE 171W TO 180 AND SOUTH OF 56N 400 PM AKDT FRI MAY 15 2009 .TONIGHT...S WIND 30 KT. SEAS 10 FT. .SAT...S WIND 25 KT. SEAS 11 FT. RAIN SHOWERS. .SAT NIGHT...SW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 9 FT. RAIN SHOWERS. .SUN...W WIND 15 KT. SEAS 7 FT. .SUN NIGHT...SW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 8 FT. .MON...SW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 8 FT. .TUE...W WIND 20 KT. SEAS 8 FT. .WED...W WIND 20 KT. SEAS 7 FT. $$ PKZ414-161400- BERING SEA OFFSHORE EAST OF 171W 400 PM AKDT FRI MAY 15 2009 .TONIGHT...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. PATCHY FOG. .SAT...S WIND 25 KT. SEAS 7 FT. PATCHY FOG. .SAT NIGHT...S WIND 20 KT. SEAS 8 FT. .SUN...SW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 7 FT. .SUN NIGHT...W WIND 20 KT. SEAS 6 FT. .MON...SW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 6 FT. .TUE...SW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 6 FT. .WED...W WIND 15 KT. SEAS 5 FT. $$
000 FZAK62 PAFC 160700 AAA OFFALU OFFSHORE WATERS FORECAST...UPDATED NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ANCHORAGE AK 1100 PM AKDT FRI MAY 15 2009 UPDATED ZONES 411 AND 412. OFFSHORE WATERS FORECAST FOR THE BERING SEA WIND FORECASTS REFLECT THE PREDOMINANT SPEED AND DIRECTION EXPECTED. SEA FORECASTS REPRESENT AN AVERAGE OF THE HIGHEST ONE-THIRD OF THE COMBINED WIND WAVE AND SWELL HEIGHT. PKZ499-161400- 400 PM AKDT FRI MAY 15 2009 .SYNOPSIS FOR CENTRAL BERING SEA... A GALE FORCE FRONT OVER THE WESTERN BERING WILL WEAKEN AS IT MOVES TO THE EASTERN BERING SUN. $$ PKZ411-161400- BERING SEA OFFSHORE WEST OF 180 AND EAST OF THE INTERNATIONAL DATELINE 1100 PM AKDT FRI MAY 15 2009 ...GALE WARNING TONIGHT... .TONIGHT...S WIND 35 KT. SEAS 14 FT. RAIN. .SAT...SW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 12 FT. RAIN AND SNOW SHOWERS. .SAT NIGHT...SW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 10 FT. RAIN AND SNOW SHOWERS. .SUN...SW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 9 FT. .SUN NIGHT...W WIND 20 KT. SEAS 9 FT. .MON...SW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 8 FT. .TUE...SW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 8 FT. .WED...S WIND 20 KT. SEAS 9 FT. $$ PKZ412-161400- BERING SEA OFFSHORE 171W TO 180 AND NORTH OF 56N 1100 PM AKDT FRI MAY 15 2009 .TONIGHT...SE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 11 FT. PATCHY FOG. RAIN. .SAT...S WIND 30 KT. SEAS 12 FT. PATCHY FOG. RAIN SHOWERS. .SAT NIGHT...SW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 10 FT. RAIN AND SNOW. .SUN...SW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 8 FT. .SUN NIGHT...SW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 7 FT. .MON...SW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 9 FT. .TUE...W WIND 20 KT. SEAS 8 FT. .WED...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 6 FT. $$ PKZ413-161400- BERING SEA OFFSHORE 171W TO 180 AND SOUTH OF 56N 400 PM AKDT FRI MAY 15 2009 .TONIGHT...S WIND 30 KT. SEAS 10 FT. .SAT...S WIND 25 KT. SEAS 11 FT. RAIN SHOWERS. .SAT NIGHT...SW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 9 FT. RAIN SHOWERS. .SUN...W WIND 15 KT. SEAS 7 FT. .SUN NIGHT...SW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 8 FT. .MON...SW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 8 FT. .TUE...W WIND 20 KT. SEAS 8 FT. .WED...W WIND 20 KT. SEAS 7 FT. $$ PKZ414-161400- BERING SEA OFFSHORE EAST OF 171W 400 PM AKDT FRI MAY 15 2009 .TONIGHT...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. PATCHY FOG. .SAT...S WIND 25 KT. SEAS 7 FT. PATCHY FOG. .SAT NIGHT...S WIND 20 KT. SEAS 8 FT. .SUN...SW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 7 FT. .SUN NIGHT...W WIND 20 KT. SEAS 6 FT. .MON...SW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 6 FT. .TUE...SW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 6 FT. .WED...W WIND 15 KT. SEAS 5 FT. $$
000 FZAK62 PAFC 161157 OFFALU OFFSHORE WATERS FORECAST NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ANCHORAGE AK 400 AM AKDT SAT MAY 16 2009 OFFSHORE WATERS FORECAST FOR THE BERING SEA WIND FORECASTS REFLECT THE PREDOMINANT SPEED AND DIRECTION EXPECTED. SEA FORECASTS REPRESENT AN AVERAGE OF THE HIGHEST ONE-THIRD OF THE COMBINED WIND WAVE AND SWELL HEIGHT. PKZ499-170200- 400 AM AKDT SAT MAY 16 2009 .SYNOPSIS FOR CENTRAL BERING SEA... A FRONT OVER THE WESTERN BERING WILL WEAKEN AS IT MOVES INTO THE EASTERN BERING SUNDAY AND STALL OVER SOUTHWEST ALASKA ON MONDAY. $$ PKZ411-170200- BERING SEA OFFSHORE WEST OF 180 AND EAST OF THE INTERNATIONAL DATELINE 400 AM AKDT SAT MAY 16 2009 .TODAY...SW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 12 FT. PATCHY FOG. RAIN AND SNOW. .TONIGHT...SW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 10 FT. .SUN...SW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 10 FT. SNOW AND RAIN. .SUN NIGHT...W WIND 20 KT. SEAS 9 FT. .MON AND TUE...SW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 8 FT. .WED...S WIND 20 KT. SEAS 10 FT. $$ PKZ412-170200- BERING SEA OFFSHORE 171W TO 180 AND NORTH OF 56N 400 AM AKDT SAT MAY 16 2009 ...GALE WARNING TODAY... .TODAY...S WIND 35 KT. SEAS 12 FT. PATCHY FOG. RAIN. .TONIGHT...SW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 11 FT. PATCHY FOG. RAIN AND SNOW. .SUN THROUGH MON...SW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 8 FT. .TUE...W WIND 15 KT. SEAS 7 FT. .WED...S WIND 20 KT. SEAS 9 FT. $$ PKZ413-170200- BERING SEA OFFSHORE 171W TO 180 AND SOUTH OF 56N 400 AM AKDT SAT MAY 16 2009 ...GALE WARNING TODAY... .TODAY...S WIND 35 KT. SEAS 12 FT. PATCHY FOG. RAIN. .TONIGHT...SW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 10 FT. PATCHY FOG. RAIN. .SUN AND SUN NIGHT...SW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 8 FT. .MON...SW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 7 FT. .TUE...W WIND 20 KT. SEAS 8 FT. .WED...SW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 9 FT. $$ PKZ414-170200- BERING SEA OFFSHORE EAST OF 171W 400 AM AKDT SAT MAY 16 2009 .TODAY...S WIND 25 KT. SEAS 7 FT. .TONIGHT...S WIND 20 KT. SEAS 9 FT. PATCHY FOG. RAIN AND SNOW. .SUN...SW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 8 FT. RAIN AND SNOW. .SUN NIGHT AND MON...W WIND 15 KT. SEAS 5 FT. .TUE AND WED...SW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 6 FT. $$
What forecasters said that day
The local office's own words before this gale warning went out, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.
NWS Anchorage, AK wrote its last area forecast discussion before this gale warning went out at May 13, 2:00 PM AKDT, 14 hours earlier.
Area forecast discussion, May 13, 2:00 PM AKDT, 14 hours before
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION SOUTHCENTRAL AND SOUTHWEST ALASKA 200 PM AKDT WED MAY 13 2009 .MODEL DISCUSSION... THE BIGGEST ISSUE IN THE FORECAST PROCESS TODAY IS THE PROGRESSION OF THE EASTWARD MOVEMENT OF THE WEATHER SYSTEM IN THE FAR WEST PACIFIC AND ITS TIMING IN BREAKING DOWN THE RIDGE OVER THE BERING SEA RIDGE PAST FRIDAY. GENERALLY...PREFERRED TO STICK MORE WITH THE EXISTING SLOWER MOVEMENT EASTWARD RATHER THAN LEAN TOWARDS THE NEW GFS WHICH BREAKS DOWN THE RIDGE MORE QUICKLY. .ANALYSIS AND UPPER LEVELS... ALOFT...NORTHWESTERLY FLOW DOMINATES HIGH ABOVE MOST OF THE AREA OF RESPONSIBILITY EARLY THIS AFTERNOON...EXCEPT FOR THE ALASKA PENINSULA AND THE ALEUTIANS WHERE EASTERLY FLOW PERSISTS ON THE SOUTH SIDE OF THE UPPER HIGH OVER THE NORTH CENTRAL BERING SEA. A SHORTWAVE IS MOVING THROUGH THE NORTHWESTERLY FLOW AND IS CURRENTLY APPROACHING THE ALASKA RANGE FROM OVER THE UPPER KUSKOKWIM VALLEY...BUT ITS ONLY EFFECTS ON THE WEATHER THUS FAR ARE TO PRODUCE SOME THIN WISPY CIRRUS. AT THE SURFACE...MOST OF SOUTHERN ALASKA IS ENJOYING ANOTHER BEAUTIFUL AFTERNOON AND EVENING. A THERMAL TROUGH EXTENDS ACROSS THE COPPER RIVER BASIN INTO THE SOUTHERN SUSITNA VALLEY THIS AFTERNOON. LOW STRATUS IS HANGING TIGHT JUST OFFSHORE EARLY THIS AFTERNOON IN THE NORTHERN GULF...EXCEPT AT KODIAK WHERE FOG AND REDUCED VISIBILITIES HAVE BEEN REPORTED RECENTLY. NORTHEASTERLY FLOW AT THE SURFACE PERSISTS ACROSS THE KUSKOKWIM RIVER VALLEY AND DELTA REGION AROUND THE SOUTHEAST SIDE OF A SURFACE HIGH PRESSURE LOCATED OVER THE EASTERN TIP OF THE SIBERIAN PENINSULA. THIS OFFSHORE FLOW IS RESPONSIBLE FOR FAIR SKIES OVER THE SOUTHWEST COASTLINE...BRISTOL BAY...AND THE SOUTHEAST BERING SEA. WEAK HIGH PRESSURE PERSISTS ACROSS THE SOUTHERN GULF OF ALASKA...WITH A WEAK WEATHER FRONT DRAPED IN AN EAST-WEST FASHION ALONG OR JUST NORTH OF THE ALEUTIAN CHAIN BETWEEN A 999 MB NORTH CENTRAL PACIFIC LOW AND A 988 MB LOW NORTHEAST OF JAPAN IN THE NORTHWEST PACIFIC OCEAN. THIS FRONT IS RESPONSIBLE FOR SOME CLOUDS ACROSS THE WESTERN AND CENTRAL ALEUTIANS. OTHERWISE...LOW STRATUS DOMINATES A LARGE PORTION OF THE CENTRAL BERING SEA EXTENDING DOWN THROUGH MOST OF THE ALEUTIAN CHAIN UNDERNEATH THE SUBSIDENCE INVERSION ALOFT. .SHORT TERM FORECAST... SOUTH AND EAST OF THE ALASKA RANGE...A SERIES OF SHORTWAVES WILL PROGRESS SOUTHEASTWARD ACROSS THE AREA OF RESPONSIBILITY OVER THE NEXT TWO DAYS. THE SECOND OF THESE WHICH MOVES ACROSS LATE TONIGHT AND TOMORROW WILL BEGIN TO INCREASE THE CHANCES FOR ISOLATED SHOWERS ALONG THE CHUGACH AND WRANGELL-ST.ELIAS MOUNTAINS. THE THIRD SHORTWAVE BEGINS TO TRY TO PINCH OFF INTO A CLOSED LOW FRIDAY OVER THE NORTHERN GULF AND WILL BRING INCREASED POPS TO THE PRINCE WILLIAM SOUND AREAS PARTICULARLY IN THE HIGHER ELEVATIONS. SOUTH AND WEST OF THE ALASKA RANGE... THERE HAS NOT BEEN MUCH CHANGE TO THE GOING FORECAST...WITH MOSTLY OFFSHORE FLOW KEEPING SKIES FAIR ALONG AND NEAR BRISTOL BAY OVER THE NEXT THREE DAYS. THE BIG QUESTION IS FIGURING OUT THE PROGRESS OF THE NEXT SYSTEM AND ITS ASSOCIATED FRONT. THE OFFICIAL FORECAST WILL CALL FOR SLOWER PROGRESS EASTWARD OF THE FRONT THAN THE LATEST RUNS OF THE GFS...WITH STRONG SOUTHERLY FLOW TO GALE FORCE PICKING UP IN THE WESTERN ALEUTIANS TONIGHT AND THURSDAY...FOLLOWED BY MOVEMENT OF THE FRONT THROUGH THE WESTERN ALEUTIANS FRIDAY NIGHT AND SATURDAY AND THEN ENTERING THE CENTRAL BERING SEA AND CENTRAL ALEUTIANS SATURDAY NIGHT. .LONG TERM FORECAST... LAST NIGHTS GEFS ENSEMBLE MODELS RELATIVE MEASURE OF PREDICTABILITY TOOL SHOWS LITTLE PREDICTABILITY FROM SUNDAY ONWARD...AND THIS IS LIKELY DUE TO THE POOR HANDLING OF THE EVOLUTION OF THE RIDGE BREAKDOWN IN THE BERING SEA BY THE GFS MODEL IN PARTICULAR. HOWEVER...THERE IS HIGH PREDICTABILITY THAT A RIDGE WILL BUILD ACROSS THE WESTERN BERING SEA TOWARDS THE MIDDLE OF NEXT WEEK...SO THE FRONT AND UPPER TROUGH ARE LIKELY TO BE IN THE EASTERN BERING SEA OR ALONG THE SOUTHWEST COASTLINE SOMETIME MONDAY THROUGH WEDNESDAY...BRINGING AN INCREASED CHANCE OF PRECIPITATION TO THE STATE DEPENDING ON THE STRENGTH AND EVOLUTION OF THE LOW/TROUGH. .AER/ALU...WATCH/WARNING SUMMARY PUBLIC...FLOOD WARNING...155. MARINE...GALE...176. FIRE WEATHER...NONE. CC MAY 09
The office that day
Everything else NWS Anchorage, AK issued on the same UTC day.
| Issued | Product | Office | Counties | Lasted |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| May 13, 4:00 PM AKDT | Gale Warning | AFC | 48 hr | |
| May 14, 4:00 AM AKDT | Gale Warning | AFC | 48 hr | |
| May 14, 4:00 AM AKDT | Small Craft Advisory | AFC | 5 days |
Nearby
Sources
The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text.