Wind Advisory 33, NWS Albuquerque, NM

000 
WWUS75 KABQ 211750
NPWABQ

URGENT - WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ALBUQUERQUE NM
1150 AM MDT MON SEP 21 2009

...STRONG WINDS EXPECTED ACROSS PORTIONS OF NORTHERN NEW MEXICO...

.AN UNSEASONABLY STRONG UPPER LEVEL LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM WILL
CONTINUE TO DIVE SOUTH INTO NEW MEXICO TODAY AND TONIGHT. A
STRONG COLD FRONT AHEAD OF THE SYSTEM WILL ALSO PLUNGE SOUTHWARD
INTO THE STATE AS WINDS ALOFT STRENGTHEN. STRONG WINDS WILL
DEVELOP OVER BOTH THE NORTHWESTERN AND NORTHEASTERN PORTIONS OF
THE STATE THIS AFTERNOON. WINDS WILL GRADUALLY WEAKEN DURING THE
LATTER HALF OF THE EVENING.

NMZ501-503-504-220200-
/O.CON.KABQ.WI.Y.0033.090921T2000Z-090922T0200Z/
NORTHWEST PLATEAU-FAR NORTHWEST HIGHLANDS-NORTHWEST HIGHLANDS-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...FARMINGTON...DULCE...CUBA
1150 AM MDT MON SEP 21 2009

...WIND ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 8 PM MDT THIS EVENING...

A WIND ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 8 PM MDT THIS EVENING. 

STRONG NORTHWEST WINDS WILL DEVELOP ACROSS THE FOUR CORNERS AREA
AND THE NORTHWEST PLATEAU OF NEW MEXICO THROUGH MID TO LATE
AFTERNOON. SUSTAINED WIND SPEEDS OF 25 TO 35 MPH ARE EXPECTED WITH
OCCASIONAL GUSTS UP TO 50 MPH DURING THE LATE AFTERNOON AND EARLY
EVENING. BLOWING DUST WILL DROP VISIBILITY BELOW THREE MILES AT TIMES
IN DUST PRONE LOCATIONS. HAZARDOUS CROSS WINDS ARE EXPECTED ON
SOUTHWEST TO NORTHEAST ORIENTED ROADWAYS SUCH AS ROUTE 160 IN THE
VICINITY OF THE FOUR CORNERS MONUMENT AND ROUTE 197 BETWEEN
TORREON AND CUBA.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

MOTORISTS SHOULD EXERCISE CAUTION WHILE TRAVELLING IN THE WIND
ADVISORY AREA. SUDDEN GUSTS OF WIND MAY CAUSE YOU TO LOSE CONTROL
OF YOUR VEHICLE. EXTRA ATTENTION SHOULD BE GIVEN TO CROSS WINDS.

&&

$$

NMZ527>534-220200-
/O.CON.KABQ.WI.Y.0033.090921T2100Z-090922T0200Z/
RATON RIDGE/JOHNSON MESA-FAR NORTHEAST HIGHLANDS-
NORTHEAST HIGHLANDS-UNION COUNTY-HARDING COUNTY-
EASTERN SAN MIGUEL COUNTY-GUADALUPE COUNTY-QUAY COUNTY-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...CAPULIN...RATON...LAS VEGAS...CLAYTON...
ROY...CONCHAS...SANTA ROSA...TUCUMCARI
1150 AM MDT MON SEP 21 2009

...WIND ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 3 PM THIS AFTERNOON TO
8 PM MDT THIS EVENING...

A WIND ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 3 PM THIS AFTERNOON TO
8 PM MDT THIS EVENING. 

A COLD FRONT WILL RUSH INTO NORTHEASTERN NEW MEXICO DURING THE MID
AFTERNOON...THEN ALSO INTO EAST CENTRAL NEW MEXICO DURING THE LATE
AFTERNOON. GUSTY NORTH NORTHEAST WINDS ARE EXPECTED...ESPECIALLY
ALONG AND JUST BEHIND THIS FRONTAL BOUNDARY. SUSTAINED WIND
SPEEDS OF 25 TO 35 MPH ARE EXPECTED WITH OCCASIONAL GUSTS UP TO 50
MPH. BY LATE AFTERNOON HAZARDOUS CROSS WINDS WILL DEVELOP ON WEST
TO EAST ORIENTED ROADWAYS SUCH AS HIGHWAYS 87 AND 56...WITH STRONG
CROSS WINDS SPREADING OVER I-40 FROM SANTA ROSA EASTWARD TO THE
TEXAS BORDER.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

MOTORISTS SHOULD EXERCISE CAUTION WHILE TRAVELLING IN THE WIND
ADVISORY AREA. SUDDEN GUSTS OF WIND MAY CAUSE YOU TO LOSE CONTROL
OF YOUR VEHICLE. EXTRA ATTENTION SHOULD BE GIVEN TO CROSS WINDS.

&&

$$

52

000 
WWUS75 KABQ 212143
NPWABQ

URGENT - WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ALBUQUERQUE NM
343 PM MDT MON SEP 21 2009

...STRONG WINDS EXPECTED ACROSS PORTIONS OF NORTHERN AND EASTERN NEW
MEXICO...

.AN UNSEASONABLY STRONG UPPER LEVEL LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM WILL
CONTINUE TO DIVE SOUTH INTO NEW MEXICO THROUGH THE REMAINDER OF
THE AFTERNOON AND INTO THE OVERNIGHT PERIOD. A STRONG COLD FRONT
AHEAD OF THE SYSTEM WILL ALSO PLUNGE SOUTHWARD INTO THE STATE AS
WINDS ALOFT STRENGTHEN. STRONG WINDS WILL CONTINUE OVER BOTH THE
NORTHWESTERN AND NORTHEASTERN PORTIONS OF THE STATE FOR THE REST
OF THE AFTERNOON. THESE STRONG WINDS WILL THEN SHIFT INTO THE
EAST CENTRAL AND SOUTHEASTERN PLAINS FROM THE EARLY TO MID EVENING
HOURS. WINDS WILL GRADUALLY WEAKEN FROM NORTH TO SOUTH DURING THE
LATE EVENING.

NMZ535>538-220500-
/O.EXB.KABQ.WI.Y.0033.090922T0000Z-090922T0500Z/
CURRY COUNTY-ROOSEVELT COUNTY-DE BACA COUNTY-CHAVES COUNTY PLAINS-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...CLOVIS...PORTALES...FORT SUMNER...
ROSWELL
343 PM MDT MON SEP 21 2009

...WIND ADVISORY IN EFFECT UNTIL 11 PM MDT THIS EVENING...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN ALBUQUERQUE HAS ISSUED A WIND
ADVISORY...WHICH IS IN EFFECT UNTIL 11 PM MDT THIS EVENING. 

A COLD FRONT WILL CONTINUE TO PUSH FROM NORTHEASTERN NEW MEXICO
INTO EAST CENTRAL AND SOUTHEASTERN NEW MEXICO THROUGH THE
REMAINDER OF THE AFTERNOON AND INTO THE EARLY EVENING. GUSTY NORTH
NORTHEAST WINDS ARE EXPECTED... ESPECIALLY ALONG AND JUST BEHIND
THIS FRONTAL BOUNDARY. SUSTAINED WIND SPEEDS OF 25 TO 35 MPH WILL
DEVELOP WITH OCCASIONAL GUSTS UP TO 45 MPH. HAZARDOUS CROSS WINDS
ARE EXPECTED ON WEST TO EAST ORIENTED ROADWAYS SUCH AS HIGHWAYS
60...84...AND 380.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

MOTORISTS SHOULD EXERCISE CAUTION WHILE TRAVELLING IN THE WIND
ADVISORY AREA. SUDDEN GUSTS OF WIND MAY CAUSE YOU TO LOSE CONTROL
OF YOUR VEHICLE. EXTRA ATTENTION SHOULD BE GIVEN TO CROSS WINDS.

&&

$$

NMZ501-503-504-220200-
/O.CON.KABQ.WI.Y.0033.000000T0000Z-090922T0200Z/
NORTHWEST PLATEAU-FAR NORTHWEST HIGHLANDS-NORTHWEST HIGHLANDS-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...FARMINGTON...DULCE...CUBA
343 PM MDT MON SEP 21 2009

...WIND ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 8 PM MDT THIS EVENING...

A WIND ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 8 PM MDT THIS EVENING. 

STRONG NORTHWEST WINDS WILL CONTINUE ACROSS THE FOUR CORNERS AREA
AND THE NORTHWEST PLATEAU OF NEW MEXICO THROUGH THE LATE
AFTERNOON AND EARLY EVENING. SUSTAINED WIND SPEEDS OF 25 TO 35
MPH WILL CONTINUE WITH OCCASIONAL GUSTS UP TO 50 MPH. BLOWING
DUST WILL DROP VISIBILITY BELOW THREE MILES AT TIMES IN DUST PRONE
LOCATIONS. HAZARDOUS CROSS WINDS ARE EXPECTED ON SOUTHWEST TO
NORTHEAST ORIENTED ROADWAYS SUCH AS ROUTE 160 IN THE VICINITY OF
THE FOUR CORNERS MONUMENT AND ROUTE 197 BETWEEN TORREON AND CUBA.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

MOTORISTS SHOULD EXERCISE CAUTION WHILE TRAVELLING IN THE WIND
ADVISORY AREA. SUDDEN GUSTS OF WIND MAY CAUSE YOU TO LOSE CONTROL
OF YOUR VEHICLE. EXTRA ATTENTION SHOULD BE GIVEN TO CROSS WINDS.

&&

$$

NMZ527>534-220200-
/O.CON.KABQ.WI.Y.0033.000000T0000Z-090922T0200Z/
RATON RIDGE/JOHNSON MESA-FAR NORTHEAST HIGHLANDS-
NORTHEAST HIGHLANDS-UNION COUNTY-HARDING COUNTY-
EASTERN SAN MIGUEL COUNTY-GUADALUPE COUNTY-QUAY COUNTY-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...CAPULIN...RATON...LAS VEGAS...CLAYTON...
ROY...CONCHAS...SANTA ROSA...TUCUMCARI
343 PM MDT MON SEP 21 2009

...WIND ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 8 PM MDT THIS EVENING...

A WIND ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 8 PM MDT THIS EVENING. 

A COLD FRONT WILL CONTINUE TO PUSH FROM NORTHEASTERN NEW MEXICO
INTO EAST CENTRAL NEW MEXICO DURING THE LATE AFTERNOON AND EARLY
EVENING. GUSTY NORTH NORTHEAST WINDS WILL CONTINUE... ESPECIALLY
ALONG AND JUST BEHIND THIS FRONTAL BOUNDARY. SUSTAINED WIND SPEEDS
OF 25 TO 35 MPH WILL PREVAIL WITH OCCASIONAL GUSTS UP TO 50 MPH.
HAZARDOUS CROSS WINDS ARE EXPECTED ON WEST TO EAST ORIENTED
ROADWAYS SUCH AS HIGHWAYS 87 AND 56... WITH STRONG CROSS WINDS
ALSO SPREADING OVER I-40 FROM SANTA ROSA EASTWARD TO THE TEXAS
BORDER.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

MOTORISTS SHOULD EXERCISE CAUTION WHILE TRAVELLING IN THE WIND
ADVISORY AREA. SUDDEN GUSTS OF WIND MAY CAUSE YOU TO LOSE CONTROL
OF YOUR VEHICLE. EXTRA ATTENTION SHOULD BE GIVEN TO CROSS WINDS.

&&

$$

52

000 
WWUS75 KABQ 212145
NPWABQ

URGENT - WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ALBUQUERQUE NM
345 PM MDT MON SEP 21 2009

...STRONG WINDS EXPECTED ACROSS PORTIONS OF NORTHERN AND EASTERN
NEW MEXICO...

.AN UNSEASONABLY STRONG UPPER LEVEL LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM WILL
CONTINUE TO DIVE SOUTH INTO NEW MEXICO THROUGH THE REMAINDER OF
THE AFTERNOON AND INTO THE OVERNIGHT PERIOD. A STRONG COLD FRONT
AHEAD OF THE SYSTEM WILL ALSO PLUNGE SOUTHWARD INTO THE STATE AS
WINDS ALOFT STRENGTHEN. STRONG WINDS WILL CONTINUE OVER BOTH THE
NORTHWESTERN AND NORTHEASTERN PORTIONS OF THE STATE FOR THE REST
OF THE AFTERNOON. THESE STRONG WINDS WILL THEN SHIFT INTO THE
EAST CENTRAL AND SOUTHEASTERN PLAINS FROM THE EARLY TO MID
EVENING HOURS. WINDS WILL GRADUALLY WEAKEN FROM NORTH TO SOUTH
DURING THE LATE EVENING.

NMZ535>538-220200-
/O.CON.KABQ.WI.Y.0033.090922T0000Z-090922T0500Z/
CURRY COUNTY-ROOSEVELT COUNTY-DE BACA COUNTY-CHAVES COUNTY PLAINS-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...CLOVIS...PORTALES...FORT SUMNER...
ROSWELL
345 PM MDT MON SEP 21 2009

...WIND ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 11 PM MDT THIS EVENING...

A WIND ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 11 PM MDT THIS EVENING. 

A COLD FRONT WILL CONTINUE TO PUSH FROM NORTHEASTERN NEW MEXICO
INTO EAST CENTRAL AND SOUTHEASTERN NEW MEXICO THROUGH THE
REMAINDER OF THE AFTERNOON AND INTO THE EARLY EVENING. GUSTY
NORTH NORTHEAST WINDS ARE EXPECTED... ESPECIALLY ALONG AND JUST
BEHIND THIS FRONTAL BOUNDARY. SUSTAINED WIND SPEEDS OF 25 TO
35 MPH WILL DEVELOP WITH OCCASIONAL GUSTS UP TO 45 MPH. HAZARDOUS
CROSS WINDS ARE EXPECTED ON WEST TO EAST ORIENTED ROADWAYS SUCH
AS HIGHWAYS 60...84...AND 380.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

MOTORISTS SHOULD EXERCISE CAUTION WHILE TRAVELLING IN THE WIND
ADVISORY AREA. SUDDEN GUSTS OF WIND MAY CAUSE YOU TO LOSE CONTROL
OF YOUR VEHICLE. EXTRA ATTENTION SHOULD BE GIVEN TO CROSS WINDS.

&&

$$

NMZ501-503-504-220200-
/O.CON.KABQ.WI.Y.0033.000000T0000Z-090922T0200Z/
NORTHWEST PLATEAU-FAR NORTHWEST HIGHLANDS-NORTHWEST HIGHLANDS-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...FARMINGTON...DULCE...CUBA
345 PM MDT MON SEP 21 2009

...WIND ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 8 PM MDT THIS EVENING...

A WIND ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 8 PM MDT THIS EVENING. 

STRONG NORTHWEST WINDS WILL CONTINUE ACROSS THE FOUR CORNERS AREA
AND THE NORTHWEST PLATEAU OF NEW MEXICO THROUGH THE LATE
AFTERNOON AND EARLY EVENING. SUSTAINED WIND SPEEDS OF 25 TO
35 MPH WILL CONTINUE WITH OCCASIONAL GUSTS UP TO 50 MPH. BLOWING
DUST WILL DROP VISIBILITY BELOW THREE MILES AT TIMES IN DUST
PRONE LOCATIONS. HAZARDOUS CROSS WINDS ARE EXPECTED ON SOUTHWEST
TO NORTHEAST ORIENTED ROADWAYS SUCH AS ROUTE 160 IN THE VICINITY
OF THE FOUR CORNERS MONUMENT AND ROUTE 197 BETWEEN TORREON AND
CUBA.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

MOTORISTS SHOULD EXERCISE CAUTION WHILE TRAVELLING IN THE WIND
ADVISORY AREA. SUDDEN GUSTS OF WIND MAY CAUSE YOU TO LOSE CONTROL
OF YOUR VEHICLE. EXTRA ATTENTION SHOULD BE GIVEN TO CROSS WINDS.

&&

$$

NMZ527>534-220200-
/O.CON.KABQ.WI.Y.0033.000000T0000Z-090922T0200Z/
RATON RIDGE/JOHNSON MESA-FAR NORTHEAST HIGHLANDS-
NORTHEAST HIGHLANDS-UNION COUNTY-HARDING COUNTY-
EASTERN SAN MIGUEL COUNTY-GUADALUPE COUNTY-QUAY COUNTY-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...CAPULIN...RATON...LAS VEGAS...CLAYTON...
ROY...CONCHAS...SANTA ROSA...TUCUMCARI
345 PM MDT MON SEP 21 2009

...WIND ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 8 PM MDT THIS EVENING...

A WIND ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 8 PM MDT THIS EVENING. 

A COLD FRONT WILL CONTINUE TO PUSH FROM NORTHEASTERN NEW MEXICO
INTO EAST CENTRAL NEW MEXICO DURING THE LATE AFTERNOON AND EARLY
EVENING. GUSTY NORTH NORTHEAST WINDS WILL CONTINUE... ESPECIALLY
ALONG AND JUST BEHIND THIS FRONTAL BOUNDARY. SUSTAINED WIND
SPEEDS OF 25 TO 35 MPH WILL PREVAIL WITH OCCASIONAL GUSTS UP TO
50 MPH. HAZARDOUS CROSS WINDS ARE EXPECTED ON WEST TO EAST
ORIENTED ROADWAYS SUCH AS HIGHWAYS 87 AND 56... WITH STRONG CROSS
WINDS ALSO SPREADING OVER I-40 FROM SANTA ROSA EASTWARD TO THE
TEXAS BORDER.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

MOTORISTS SHOULD EXERCISE CAUTION WHILE TRAVELLING IN THE WIND
ADVISORY AREA. SUDDEN GUSTS OF WIND MAY CAUSE YOU TO LOSE CONTROL
OF YOUR VEHICLE. EXTRA ATTENTION SHOULD BE GIVEN TO CROSS WINDS.

&&

$$

000 
WWUS75 KABQ 220200
NPWABQ

URGENT - WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ALBUQUERQUE NM
800 PM MDT MON SEP 21 2009

...STRONG WINDS CONTINUING ACROSS EAST CENTRAL AND SOUTHEAST NEW
MEXICO THIS EVENING...

.AN UNSEASONABLY STRONG COLD FRONT WILL CONTINUE TO PLOW THROUGH
SOUTHEAST NEW MEXICO THIS EVENING. STRONG NORTHERLY WINDS MAY
CREATE AREAS OF REDUCED VISIBILITIES IN BLOWING DUST AND STRONG
CROSSWINDS ON WEST TO EAST ORIENTED HIGHWAYS OVER THE REGION. THE
WINDS SHOULD SLOWLY DIMINISH LATE IN THE EVENING. 

NMZ501-503-504-220300-
/O.EXP.KABQ.WI.Y.0033.000000T0000Z-090922T0200Z/
NORTHWEST PLATEAU-FAR NORTHWEST HIGHLANDS-NORTHWEST HIGHLANDS-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...FARMINGTON...DULCE...CUBA
800 PM MDT MON SEP 21 2009

...WIND ADVISORY WILL EXPIRE AT 8 PM MDT THIS EVENING...

THE WIND ADVISORY WILL EXPIRE AT 8 PM MDT THIS EVENING. 


$$

NMZ527>534-220300-
/O.EXP.KABQ.WI.Y.0033.000000T0000Z-090922T0200Z/
RATON RIDGE/JOHNSON MESA-FAR NORTHEAST HIGHLANDS-
NORTHEAST HIGHLANDS-UNION COUNTY-HARDING COUNTY-
EASTERN SAN MIGUEL COUNTY-GUADALUPE COUNTY-QUAY COUNTY-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...CAPULIN...RATON...LAS VEGAS...CLAYTON...
ROY...CONCHAS...SANTA ROSA...TUCUMCARI
800 PM MDT MON SEP 21 2009

...WIND ADVISORY WILL EXPIRE AT 8 PM MDT THIS EVENING...

THE WIND ADVISORY WILL EXPIRE AT 8 PM MDT THIS EVENING. 

ALTHOUGH THE THREAT FOR STRONG WIND GUSTS TO AROUND 50 OR 55 MPH HAS
DIMINISHED....NORTH TO NORTHEAST WINDS SUSTAINED AT 15 TO 25 MPH WITH
GUSTS TO AROUND 35 MPH MAY CONTINUE OVER NORTHEAST AND PORTIONS OF
EAST CENTRAL NEW MEXICO THIS EVENING.

$$

NMZ535>538-220500-
/O.CON.KABQ.WI.Y.0033.000000T0000Z-090922T0500Z/
CURRY COUNTY-ROOSEVELT COUNTY-DE BACA COUNTY-CHAVES COUNTY PLAINS-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...CLOVIS...PORTALES...FORT SUMNER...
ROSWELL
800 PM MDT MON SEP 21 2009

...WIND ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 11 PM MDT THIS EVENING...

A WIND ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 11 PM MDT THIS EVENING FOR
PORTIONS OF EAST CENTRAL AND SOUTHEAST NEW MEXICO.

A COLD FRONT WILL CONTINUE TO PLOW THROUGH EAST CENTRAL AND
SOUTHEASTERN NEW MEXICO THIS EVENING. STRONG NORTHERLY WIND GUSTS
OF 50 TO 60 MPH ARE POSSIBLE AS...OR SHORTLY AFTER...THE FRONTAL
PASSAGE. SUSTAINED WIND SPEEDS OF 25 TO 40 MPH ARE EXPECTED FROM
THE NORTH. HAZARDOUS CROSS WINDS ARE EXPECTED ON WEST TO EAST
ORIENTED ROADWAYS SUCH AS HIGHWAYS 60...84...AND 380.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

MOTORISTS SHOULD EXERCISE CAUTION WHILE TRAVELLING IN THE WIND
ADVISORY AREA. SUDDEN GUSTS OF WIND MAY CAUSE YOU TO LOSE CONTROL
OF YOUR VEHICLE. EXTRA ATTENTION SHOULD BE GIVEN TO CROSS WINDS.

&&

$$

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ALBUQUERQUE NM
311 AM MDT MON SEP 21 2009

.DISCUSSION...
WILL ISSUE A COUPLE WIND ADVISORIES WITH THIS FORECAST PACKAGE.
ONE FOR THE NW PLATEAU THIS AFTERNOON THROUGH EARLY EVE. THE OTHER
FOR THE NORTHEAST PLAINS...EAST CENTRAL PLAINS AND MUCH OF THE
NORTHEAST HIGHLANDS FROM MID THIS AFTERNOON THROUGH EARLY EVE. THE
DAY SHIFT WILL CONSIDER EXPANDING THE EASTERN ADVISORY TO COVER
THE SE PLAINS. A COLD UPPER LEVEL LOW AND SURFACE COLD FRONT WILL
SPAWN THE BRISK AND FALL LIKE WEATHER. THE NOSE OF A POLAR JET
STREAK WILL NUDGE BETWEEN THE CHUSKA AND SAN JUAN MOUNTAINS OVER
THE NORTHWEST PLATEAU TODAY AS THE FRONT ARRIVES IN THAT AREA.
FARTHER EAST...A STRONG COLD FRONT WITH A VERY TIGHT SURFACE
PRESSURE GRADIENT...LARGE AND RAPID PRESSURE CHANGES AND 30-36 KT
10K FT WINDS ORIENTED PERPENDICULAR TO THE FRONT WILL SPAWN THE
WINDS. WIND ADVISORY CRITERIA SPEEDS IN THE EAST MAY ONLY LAST
FROM 1 TO 3 HOURS...BUT THIS BEING THE FIRST SUCH FRONT OF THE
SEASON IT WILL CERTAINLY BE NOTICED. WE ARE ALSO CONCERNED ABOUT
A POTENTIAL EARLY SEASON FREEZE IN THE NORTHEAST HIGHLANDS AND NW
PLATEAU TUESDAY MORNING AND/OR WEDNESDAY MORNING AS COLD AIR
SETTLES BEHIND THE FRONT. MORE ON THAT FROM THE DAY SHIFT.

ASIDE FROM DRIVING A COLD FRONT WITH MUCH COOLER TEMPERATURES THROUGH
NM...THE UPPER LOW WILL ALSO BEAR PRECIPITATION. MODELS HAVE
REACHED BETTER AGREEMENT THAT THE LOW PRESSURE CENTER WILL REACH
THE CO/KS BORDER BY 12Z TUESDAY...THEN WOBBLE IN THAT AREA FOR
THE REMAINDER OF THE WORK WEEK. THE GFS SHOWS MORE VARIABILITY IN
MOVEMENT OF THE LOW PRESSURE CENTER THAN THE NAM OR ECMWF...BUT IT
LOOKS MORE AND MORE CLEAR THAT THE FOCUS FOR PRECIPITATION WILL BE
MAINLY THE NORTHERN MOUNTAINS AND NORTHEAST PLAINS. IT STILL LOOKS
LIKE THE SANGRES COULD SEE SOME LIGHT SNOW ACCUMULATION TONIGHT.
TUESDAY NIGHT...MORE LIGHT SNOW IS POSSIBLE IN THE NORTHERN
MOUNTAINS AND ESPECIALLY THE SANGRES. WE PLAN TO UPDATE THE CCF
BY 4 AM THIS MORNING...AS WE STILL NEED TO UPDATE THE WED THROUGH
THU POP GRIDS TO REFLECT GREATER CONFIDENCE IN THE LOW STAYING IN
THE VICINITY OF EASTERN CO. A FEW STRONG THUNDERSTORMS WILL BE
POSSIBLE EAST OF THE SANGRES TODAY THANKS TO STRONG SHEAR PROFILES
AND THE VIGOROUS FRONT.

WARMER AND DRIER WEATHER IS EXPECTED THIS WEEKEND AS THE UPPER LOW
EXITS EAST AND A RIDGE OF HIGH PRESSURE BUILDS OVER THE WESTERN
UNITED STATES.

44

&&

.AVIATION...
VFR CONDITIONS WILL PREVAIL AT ALL LOCALES ACROSS THE CWA THRU 18Z.
BY EARLY AFTERNOON...ISOLD TO NUMEROUS MVFR SHOWERS AND STORMS WILL
DEVELOP...PRIMARILY OVER THE NRN MTS INTO THE ERN PLAINS. THE BEST
CHANCES FOR ACTIVITY WILL BE ALONG/N OF A LINE FROM KLVS TO KTCC. A
NOTICEABLY STRONG FRONT WILL OFFER 25-30KT SUSTAINED NLY WINDS WITH
GUSTS UP TO 40KTS IN ITS WAKE. THESE STRONG WINDS WILL LIKELY OCCUR
FOR AN HOUR OR TWO IMMEDIATELY BEHIND THE FRONT. THIS FRONT WILL BE
IN THE NE BY 21Z...EC BY 00Z/TUE AND SE PLAINS BY 03Z. MEANWHILE...
SIMILAR SPEEDS IN THE NW COMPONENT CAN BE EXPECTED IN THE FAR NW BY
MID-AFTERNOON. THERE COULD BE A DUSTING OF SNOW IN THE HIGH TERRAIN
OF THE NRN MTS...ALTHOUGH THE PCPN MAY END BEFORE THE SIGNIFICANTLY
COLDER AIR INFILTRATES THE REGION. CB IN TAF WITHOUT TS INDICATES A
LOW PROBABILITY FOR LIGHTNING AT TERMINAL SITE.

NEXT AVIATION DISCUSSION SCHEDULED FOR 21Z. DPORTER

&&

.FIRE WEATHER...
POTENT UPPER LEVEL SYSTEM AND ASSOCIATED COLD FRONT WILL IMPACT THE
LAND OF ENCHANTMENT TODAY. DECENT GRADIENT ALOFT WITH UNIDIRECTIONAL
FLOW WILL ALLOW STRONG WINDS TO DEVELOP IN THE FOUR CORNERS REGION.
NAM SUGGESTS 30KTS AT 700MB AND 55KTS AT 500MB. IN ADDITION...A DRY
PUNCH OF AIR WILL MIGRATE THROUGH THIS AREA BY AFTERNOON. WITH PEAK
HEATING...THE AFOREMENTIONED STRONG WINDS AND DRIER AIR WILL EASILY
TRANSPORT TOWARD THE LOWER ELEVATIONS. CONSIDERED A RED FLAG WARNING
FOR NMZ101...HOWEVER AREAL COVERAGE IS LIMITED AND FIRE DANGER INDEX
WAS NOT HIGH ENOUGH ATTM. WOULD NOT BE SURPRISED TO SEE A 1-3 HOURS
OF CRITICAL CONDITIONS AT FARMINGTON AND SURROUNDING LOCALES. IN THE
MEANTIME...A STRONG SURFACE FRONT WILL PLUNGE THROUGH THE ERN PLAINS
WHICH WILL OFFER GUSTY WINDS IN ITS WAKE. NAM12 SUGGESTS 8-12C/KM OF
3-HOURLY PRESSURE CHANGE BEHIND THE FRONT. CURRENTLY FEEL THAT WINDS
WILL BE STRONGEST FOR THE HOUR OR TWO IMMEDIATELY BEHIND THE FRONT.
ISOLATED TO NUMEROUS SHOWERS/STORMS WILL DEVELOP IN THE NRN MTS INTO
THE ERN PLAINS. EVEN A HINT OF SNOW IS POSSIBLE IN THE HIGH TERRAIN
ALTHOUGH THE PCPN MAY END BEFORE SIGNIFICANT COLD AIR SETTLES IN. A
FEW LOCALES IN THE NRN HIGH TERRAIN WILL BREAK THE FREEZING MARK FOR
LOW TEMPERATURES TONIGHT.

OFFENDING UPPER LOW WILL REMAIN PARKED IN THE CENTRAL GREAT PLAINS
FOR TUESDAY WHICH COULD ALLOW LOBES OF ENERGY TO ROTATE THROUGH THE
NORTHEAST QUADRANT OF THE STATE. WINDS WILL BE NOTABLY WEAKER WHICH
WILL LEAD TO A LACK OF CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS. THE BIGGEST
CONCERN WILL COME TUESDAY NIGHT AS WIDESPREAD LIGHT TO HARD FREEZES
COULD DEVELOP IN THE NRN/WRN MOUNTAINS AND POSSIBLY INTO THE FAR NE
HIGHLANDS AND UPPER RIO GRANDE VALLEY.

FORECAST MODELS BEGIN TO DIVERGE ON SOLUTIONS FROM WEDNESDAY TOWARD
THE LATE WEEK PERIOD. HOWEVER...IT DOES APPEAR THE UPPER LOW WILL BE
A NUISANCE FOR THE NRN SECTIONS OF THE STATE...LEADING TO LIGHT QPF
AND COOLER CONDITIONS/HIGHER HUMIDITIES. IT APPEARS DRY NW FLOW WILL
DEVELOP FOR THE UPCOMING WEEKEND.

DPORTER

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
FARMINGTON......................  75  34  66  32 /   5   0   0   5
DULCE...........................  72  31  60  31 /  10   5   5  10
CUBA............................  74  38  63  29 /  10   5   5  10
GALLUP..........................  74  32  63  25 /   5   0   5   5
EL MORRO........................  71  33  60  28 /   5   0   5   5
GRANTS..........................  77  33  63  28 /   5   0   5   5
QUEMADO.........................  72  37  62  30 /   5   0   5   5
GLENWOOD........................  84  44  76  40 /   5   5   5   5
CHAMA...........................  66  29  57  27 /  20  10  20  20
LOS ALAMOS......................  69  35  56  34 /  10   5  10  20
PECOS...........................  68  36  59  33 /  10  10  10  10
CERRO/QUESTA....................  65  29  51  25 /  20  20  10  20
RED RIVER.......................  59  24  49  22 /  60  30  30  30
ANGEL FIRE......................  62  27  51  22 /  20  30  30  20
TAOS............................  70  31  54  27 /  20  10  10  10
ESPANOLA........................  77  36  63  33 /  10   5  10  10
SANTA FE........................  71  36  57  33 /  10   5  10  10
SANTA FE AIRPORT................  74  37  60  34 /  10   5  10  10
ALBUQUERQUE FOOTHILLS...........  78  43  61  42 /   5   5   5   5
ALBUQUERQUE HEIGHTS.............  81  48  64  44 /   5   5   5   5
ALBUQUERQUE VALLEY..............  82  47  65  44 /   5   5   5   5
ALBUQUERQUE WEST MESA...........  81  46  63  43 /   5   5   5   5
LOS LUNAS.......................  83  47  66  44 /   5   5   5   5
RIO RANCHO......................  80  46  62  43 /   5   5   5   5
SOCORRO.........................  85  47  68  42 /   5   5   5   5
SANDIA PARK/CEDAR CREST.........  74  36  58  34 /  10  10  10   5
MORIARTY/ESTANCIA...............  76  39  60  39 /   5  10  10   5
CLINES CORNERS..................  74  37  58  33 /  10  10  10   5
GRAN QUIVIRA....................  76  39  60  37 /   5  10  10   5
CARRIZOZO.......................  81  45  63  37 /   5   5   0   5
RUIDOSO.........................  74  40  56  33 /  10  10  10   5
CAPULIN.........................  56  36  52  32 /  60  30  30  30
RATON...........................  59  35  55  31 /  60  30  30  30
LAS VEGAS.......................  68  33  55  29 /  20  20  10  10
CLAYTON.........................  62  38  58  38 /  50  40  20  20
ROY.............................  66  38  58  34 /  30  30  10  20
CONCHAS.........................  76  42  61  37 /  20  20  10  10
SANTA ROSA......................  79  45  61  38 /  10  20  10  10
TUCUMCARI.......................  77  45  63  40 /  30  30  10  20
CLOVIS..........................  79  45  61  41 /  10  30  10  10
PORTALES........................  80  48  62  42 /  10  30  10  10
FORT SUMNER.....................  83  50  63  41 /  10  20  10  10
ROSWELL.........................  90  52  66  45 /   5  10  10   5
PICACHO.........................  85  46  61  38 /   5  20  10   5
ELK.............................  79  43  59  38 /   5  20  10   5

&&

.ABQ WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
WIND ADVISORY FROM 3 PM THIS AFTERNOON TO 8 PM MDT THIS EVENING FOR
THE FOLLOWING ZONES...NMZ527>534.

WIND ADVISORY FROM 2 PM THIS AFTERNOON TO 8 PM MDT THIS EVENING FOR
THE FOLLOWING ZONES...NMZ501-503-504.

&&

44/46

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ALBUQUERQUE NM
600 AM MDT SUN SEP 20 2009

NMZ501>540-211200-
NORTHWEST PLATEAU-CHUSKA MOUNTAINS-FAR NORTHWEST HIGHLANDS-
NORTHWEST HIGHLANDS-WEST CENTRAL PLATEAU-WEST CENTRAL MOUNTAINS-
WEST CENTRAL HIGHLANDS-SOUTHWEST MOUNTAINS-
SAN FRANCISCO RIVER VALLEY-SAN JUAN MOUNTAINS-JEMEZ MOUNTAINS-
WEST SLOPES SANGRE DE CRISTO MOUNTAINS-
NORTHERN SANGRE DE CRISTO MOUNTAINS ABOVE 9500 FEET/RED RIVER-
SOUTHERN SANGRE DE CRISTO MOUNTAINS ABOVE 9500 FEET-
EAST SLOPES SANGRE DE CRISTO MOUNTAINS-UPPER RIO GRANDE VALLEY-
LOWER CHAMA RIVER VALLEY-SANTA FE METRO AREA-ALBUQUERQUE METRO AREA-
LOWER RIO GRANDE VALLEY-SANDIA/MANZANO MOUNTAINS-ESTANCIA VALLEY-
CENTRAL HIGHLANDS-SOUTH CENTRAL HIGHLANDS-UPPER TULAROSA VALLEY-
SOUTH CENTRAL MOUNTAINS-RATON RIDGE/JOHNSON MESA-
FAR NORTHEAST HIGHLANDS-NORTHEAST HIGHLANDS-UNION COUNTY-
HARDING COUNTY-EASTERN SAN MIGUEL COUNTY-GUADALUPE COUNTY-
QUAY COUNTY-CURRY COUNTY-ROOSEVELT COUNTY-DE BACA COUNTY-
CHAVES COUNTY PLAINS-EASTERN LINCOLN COUNTY-SOUTHWEST CHAVES COUNTY-
600 AM MDT SUN SEP 20 2009

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR PORTIONS OF NORTH AND CENTRAL
NEW MEXICO.

.DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT

NO HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...MONDAY THROUGH SATURDAY

THE PROBABILITY FOR WIDESPREAD HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS LOW. HOWEVER...
A STRONG COLD FRONT WILL PLUNGE SOUTH OVER THE EASTERN PLAINS ON
MONDAY. A FEW STRONG THUNDERSTORMS ARE POSSIBLE IN NORTHEAST NEW
MEXICO MONDAY AFTERNOON ALONG AND BEHIND THE FRONT. HAIL TO ONE
HALF INCH AND WIND GUSTS TO 50 MPH MAY OCCUR.

GUSTY WINDS IN NORTHWEST NEW MEXICO MAY LEAD TO A COUPLE OF HOURS
OF CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS.

WEATHER CAN CHANGE VERY RAPIDLY. ALWAYS USE THE LATEST FORECASTS...
WATCHES AND WARNINGS FOR PLANNING PURPOSES.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION IS NOT ANTICIPATED.

01