Wind Advisory 3, NWS Albuquerque, NM

000 
WWUS75 KABQ 261850
NPWABQ

URGENT - WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ALBUQUERQUE NM
1150 AM MST MON JAN 26 2009

...STRONG WINDS OVER THE SOUTH CENTRAL MOUNTAINS TODAY...

.FAIRLY STRONG MID LEVEL ATMOSPHERIC WINDS WILL MIX DOWN TO THE
SURFACE ACROSS PORTIONS OF CENTRAL AND SOUTH CENTRAL NEW MEXICO.
THE RESULTING INCREASED SURFACE WINDS WILL CONTINUE INTO EARLY
EVENING BEFORE DIMINISHING SOMEWHAT.

NMZ011-270400-
/O.EXA.KABQ.WI.Y.0003.000000T0000Z-090127T0400Z/
CENTRAL HIGH PLAINS/ESTANCIA VALLEY-
INCLUDING THE CITY OF...MORIARTY/ESTANCIA
1150 AM MST MON JAN 26 2009

...WIND ADVISORY IN EFFECT UNTIL 9 PM MST THIS EVENING...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN ALBUQUERQUE HAS ISSUED A WIND
ADVISORY...WHICH IS IN EFFECT UNTIL 9 PM MST THIS EVENING. 

SOUTHWEST WINDS WILL AVERAGE 25 TO 35 MPH WITH GUSTS BETWEEN 40
AND 50 MPH THROUGHOUT THE DAY AND INTO THIS EVENING. THE STRONGEST
WINDS SHOULD BE ALONG AND ESPECIALLY SOUTH OF INTERSTATE 40.

MOTORISTS SHOULD EXERCISE CAUTION WHILE DRIVING IN THE WIND
ADVISORY AREA. SUDDEN GUSTS OF WIND MAY CAUSE YOU TO LOSE CONTROL
OF YOUR VEHICLE. EXTRA ATTENTION SHOULD BE GIVEN TO CROSS WINDS.

$$

NMZ016-017-026-270400-
/O.CON.KABQ.WI.Y.0003.000000T0000Z-090127T0400Z/
LINCOLN COUNTY HIGH PLAINS/HONDO VALLEY-
CAPITAN/NORTHERN SACRAMENTO MOUNTAINS-
GUADALUPE MOUNTAINS OF CHAVES COUNTY-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...CARRIZOZO...RUIDOSO
1150 AM MST MON JAN 26 2009

...WIND ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 9 PM MST THIS EVENING...

A WIND ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 9 PM MST THIS EVENING. 

SOUTHWEST WINDS WILL AVERAGE 30 TO 40 MPH WITH GUSTS BETWEEN 50 AND
60 MPH THROUGH THE AFTERNOON INTO THIS EVENING. THE STRONGEST
WINDS WILL BE OVER THE CAPITAN AND NORTHERN SACRAMENTO MOUNTAINS
AS WELL AS THE GUADALUPE MOUNTAINS OF CHAVES COUNTY.

MOTORISTS SHOULD EXERCISE CAUTION WHILE DRIVING IN THE WIND
ADVISORY AREA. SUDDEN GUSTS OF WIND MAY CAUSE YOU TO LOSE CONTROL
OF YOUR VEHICLE. EXTRA ATTENTION SHOULD BE GIVEN TO CROSS WINDS.

$$

43

000 
WWUS75 KABQ 261939
NPWABQ

URGENT - WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ALBUQUERQUE NM
1239 PM MST MON JAN 26 2009

...VERY STRONG WINDS OVER THE SOUTH CENTRAL MOUNTAINS TODAY...

.VERY STRONG MID LEVEL ATMOSPHERIC WINDS WILL CONTINUE TO MIX
DOWN TO THE SURFACE ACROSS PORTIONS OF CENTRAL AND SOUTH CENTRAL
NEW MEXICO TODAY. THE STRONGEST WINDS COULD PRODUCE SOME DAMAGE AS
THEY DEVELOP IN THE RIUDOSO AREA UNTIL LATE THIS AFTERNOON...THEN
WINDS WILL GRADUALLY WEAKEN THROUGH THE EVENING.

NMZ017-270400-
/O.UPG.KABQ.WI.Y.0003.000000T0000Z-090127T0400Z/
/O.NEW.KABQ.HW.W.0002.090126T1939Z-090127T0400Z/
CAPITAN/NORTHERN SACRAMENTO MOUNTAINS-
INCLUDING THE CITY OF...RUIDOSO
1239 PM MST MON JAN 26 2009

...HIGH WIND WARNING IN EFFECT UNTIL 9 PM MST THIS EVENING...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN ALBUQUERQUE HAS ISSUED A HIGH
WIND WARNING...WHICH IS IN EFFECT UNTIL 9 PM MST THIS EVENING.
THE WIND ADVISORY IS NO LONGER IN EFFECT. 

SOUTHWEST WINDS WILL PEAK AT SPEEDS FROM 35 TO 45 MPH WITH GUSTS
AROUND 60 MPH THIS AFTERNOON...THEN WEAKEN AROUND SUNSET TO 25 TO
35 MPH WITH GUSTS FROM 45 TO 50 MPH. BEWARE OF DANGEROUS CROSS
WINDS ON NORTHWEST TO SOUTHEAST ORIENTED ROADWAYS...LIKE U.S.
HIGHWAY 380 FROM CARRIZOZO TO HONDO. 

REMEMBER...A HIGH WIND WARNING MEANS HAZARDOUS WEATHER CONDITIONS
ARE IMMINENT OR HIGHLY LIKELY.

$$

NMZ016-026-270400-
/O.CON.KABQ.WI.Y.0003.000000T0000Z-090127T0400Z/
LINCOLN COUNTY HIGH PLAINS/HONDO VALLEY-
GUADALUPE MOUNTAINS OF CHAVES COUNTY-
INCLUDING THE CITY OF...CARRIZOZO
1239 PM MST MON JAN 26 2009

...WIND ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 9 PM MST THIS EVENING...

A WIND ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 9 PM MST THIS EVENING. 

SOUTHWEST WINDS WILL AVERAGE 30 TO 40 MPH WITH GUSTS UP TO 55 MPH
THROUGH THE AFTERNOON INTO THIS EVENING. THE STRONGEST WINDS
WILL BE OVER THE CAPITAN AND NORTHERN SACRAMENTO MOUNTAINS AS WELL
AS THE GUADALUPE MOUNTAINS OF CHAVES COUNTY. BEWARE OF DANGEROUS
CROSS WINDS ON NORTHWEST TO SOUTHEAST ORIENTED ROADWAYS...LIKE
U.S. HIGHWAY 380 FROM CARRIZOZO TO HONDO.

MOTORISTS SHOULD EXERCISE CAUTION WHILE DRIVING IN THE WIND
ADVISORY AREA. SUDDEN GUSTS OF WIND MAY CAUSE YOU TO LOSE CONTROL
OF YOUR VEHICLE. EXTRA ATTENTION SHOULD BE GIVEN TO CROSS WINDS.

$$

NMZ011-270400-
/O.CON.KABQ.WI.Y.0003.000000T0000Z-090127T0400Z/
CENTRAL HIGH PLAINS/ESTANCIA VALLEY-
INCLUDING THE CITY OF...MORIARTY/ESTANCIA
1239 PM MST MON JAN 26 2009

...WIND ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 9 PM MST THIS EVENING...

A WIND ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 9 PM MST THIS EVENING. 

SOUTHWEST WINDS WILL AVERAGE 25 TO 35 MPH WITH GUSTS BETWEEN
40 AND 50 MPH THROUGHOUT THE DAY AND INTO THIS EVENING. THE
STRONGEST WINDS SHOULD BE ALONG AND ESPECIALLY SOUTH OF
INTERSTATE 40.

MOTORISTS SHOULD EXERCISE CAUTION WHILE DRIVING IN THE WIND
ADVISORY AREA. SUDDEN GUSTS OF WIND MAY CAUSE YOU TO LOSE CONTROL
OF YOUR VEHICLE. EXTRA ATTENTION SHOULD BE GIVEN TO CROSS WINDS.

$$

44/43

000 
WWUS75 KABQ 270359
NPWABQ

URGENT - WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ALBUQUERQUE NM
859 PM MST MON JAN 26 2009

NMZ017-270500-
/O.CAN.KABQ.HW.W.0002.000000T0000Z-090127T0400Z/
CAPITAN/NORTHERN SACRAMENTO MOUNTAINS-
INCLUDING THE CITY OF...RUIDOSO
859 PM MST MON JAN 26 2009

...HIGH WIND WARNING IS CANCELLED...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN ALBUQUERQUE HAS CANCELLED THE
HIGH WIND WARNING. 

WINDS HAVE DIMINISHED OVER THE WARNING AREA AND THUS...THE HIGH
WIND WARNING IS BEING ALLOWED TO EXPIRE.

$$

NMZ011-016-026-270500-
/O.CAN.KABQ.WI.Y.0003.000000T0000Z-090127T0400Z/
CENTRAL HIGH PLAINS/ESTANCIA VALLEY-
LINCOLN COUNTY HIGH PLAINS/HONDO VALLEY-
GUADALUPE MOUNTAINS OF CHAVES COUNTY-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...MORIARTY/ESTANCIA...CARRIZOZO
859 PM MST MON JAN 26 2009

...WIND ADVISORY IS CANCELLED...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN ALBUQUERQUE HAS CANCELLED THE
WIND ADVISORY. 

WINDS HAVE DIMINISHED OVER THE ADVISORY AREA AND THUS...THE WIND ADVISORY IS
BEING ALLOWED TO EXPIRE..

$$

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ALBUQUERQUE NM
334 AM MST MON JAN 26 2009

.DISCUSSION...
TRICKY FORECAST THIS MORNING...WITH WIND...WINTER WX AND TEMPERATURE
CONCERNS.

WILL START WITH WIND.  KSRR ALREADY BLOWING WELL ABOVE MOS
GUIDANCE...AND ONLY EXPECT THIS TO GO UP WITH DAYTIME HEATING AND
700 MB JET NEAR 50KT.  WILL GO AHEAD WITH A WIND ADVISORY STARTING
AT 4 AM FOR ZONES 16 17 AND 26. WILL RUN IT THROUGH 04Z...BUT WILL
NEED TO BE MONITORED AS 700MB WINDS MAY NOT RELAX UNTIL LATER.

WILL ALSO HOIST A WINTER WX ADVISORY FOR SNOW FOR ZONE 2 TODAY AND
TONIGHT. MAINLY CONCERNED WITH THE SAN JUAN MOUNTAINS AND IN
PARTICULAR THE WEST AND SOUTHWEST FACING SLOPES. MODELS IN BETTER
AGREEMENT THAT PRECIP WILL OVERSPREAD THE NORTHWEST QUARTER OF THE
STATE AS THE UPPER LEVEL TROUGH NEARS THE AREA. MODELS ALSO SHOWING
INCREASED QPF AMOUNTS COMPARED TO RECENT DAYS.  APPEARS BEST CHANCE
FOR ACCUMULATING SNOWS WILL BE BETWEEN 18Z AND 06Z AS 700MB TEMPS
DROP BETWEEN -5C AND -10C AND BEFORE THE UPPER LEVEL TROUGH BEGINS
TO SHEAR OUT.

STATIONARY FRONT SITUATED ALONG A LINE FROM JUST EAST OF RATON...TO
NEAR ROY...NEWKIRK AND MELROSE WILL DIVIDE MUCH COOLER AIR TO THE
EAST FROM SEASONABLE AIR TO THE WEST.  HAVE SIDED WITH THE LOWER END
OF GUIDANCE EAST OF THE FRONT AS THE TEMP YDAY IN KCAO WAS MUCH
BELOW GUIDANCE. AM SOMEWHAT CONCERNED THAT THE FRONT WILL SLOSH BACK
EASTWARD A BIT GIVEN THE STRONGER SOUTHWESTERLY FLOW JUST ABOVE THE
SHALLOW COLDER AIR...ESPECIALLY AREAS SOUTH OF KTCC. HOWEVER...
MODELS HAVE THIS FEATURE MOVING VERY LITTLE DURING THE DAY.

THIS LEADS TO A CHANCE OF A WINTRY MIX OF PRECIP ACROSS THE EASTERN
PLAINS TONIGHT. MODELS SOUNDINGS SUGGEST A CHANCE FOR FREEZING
DRIZZLE AND PERHAPS SOME SLEET BETWEEN TUCUMCARI AND PORTALES BEFORE
COOLER TEMPERATURES ALOFT MOVE IN AFTER 06Z.  ATTM...AMOUNTS ARE
EXPECTED TO BE LIGHT AND NOT WARRANT ANY HEADLINES.

UPPER LEVEL TROUGH CONTINUE TO SHEAR OUT AND MOVE SOUTHEAST ACROSS
THE STATE THROUGH TUESDAY...WITH PRECIPITATION CHANCES DECREASING ON
THE BACK SIDE OF THE TROUGH. WEAK SHORTWAVE MIGHT CLIP NORTHEAST NM
AROUND THURSDAY...AND WILL LEAVE A SLIGHT CHANCE OF PRECIP ACROSS
THE NE.

34

&&

.AVIATION...
ISOLATED IFR CONDITIONS AGAIN ACROSS SOME SECTIONS OF THE NORTHWEST
QUARTER OF THE STATE INTO THE LATE MORNING. BEST CHANCES WILL BE
NEAR AND NORTH OF INTERSTATE 40 AND NEAR THE CONTINENTAL DIVIDE.
MOUNTAINS...ESPECIALLY THEIR TOPS...WILL OCCASIONALLY BE OBSCURED.
ISOLATED RAIN AND HIGH ELEVATION SNOW SHOWERS WILL INCREASE IN
COVERAGE AND INTENSITY TODAY WITH MVFR TO ISOLATED IFR CEILINGS AND
VSBYS WITH ANY SHOWER OVER THE NORTH AND WEST. LOW CLOUDS WILL FORM
IN THE NORTHEAST AS WELL TODAY WITH IFR CEILINGS. WIND GUSTS TO 40
KTS ARE EXPECTED OVER LINCOLN COUNTY AND THE GUADALUPE MOUNTAINS OF
CHAVES COUNTY THROUGH THIS EVENING. A STRONG COLD FRONT WILL HOLD
STEADY OVER MUCH OF THE EASTERN PLAINS TODAY CONTINUING THE RISK FOR
LOW LEVEL WIND SHEAR NEAR KCAO AND KTCC WEST TOWARD INTERSTATE 25.
A MIX OF SNOW...SLEET AND FREEZING RAIN/DRIZZLE MAY DEVELOP OVER
THE EASTERN PLAINS TONIGHT WITH IFR TO LIFR CIGS AND VSBYS. SNOW
SHOWERS WILL CONTINUE OVER THE WEST AND NORTH WITH MVFR TO IFR
CIGS AND VSBYS.

NEXT AVIATION DISCUSSION SCHEDULED FOR 22Z. CHJ

&&

.FIRE WEATHER...
NO MAJOR FIRE WEATHER CONCERNS IN THE SHORT TERM. A STORM MOVING
INTO THE GREAT BASIN WILL GENERATE RAIN AND SNOW SHOWER ACTIVITY
TODAY THROUGH TONIGHT WITH THE BULK OF THE SNOW OVER THE SOUTHERN
SAN JUAN MOUNTAINS IN RIO ARRIBA COUNTY. MEANWHILE A STRONG COLD
FRONT WILL HANG ON OVER THE EASTERN PLAINS TODAY. SOME SNOW...
SLEET AND FREEZING RAIN/DRIZZLE MAY FORM OVER THE EASTERN PLAINS
TONIGHT AS THE STORM SYSTEM CROSSES THE AREA. ISOLATED RAIN AND
SNOW SHOWERS WILL LINGER ON TUESDAY. MOSTLY DRY WEATHER WILL
FOLLOW FOR THE REST OF THE WEEK. VENTILATION RATES WILL BE MOSTLY
GOOD OR BETTER TODAY AND TUESDAY EXCEPT OVER THE NORTHEAST TODAY
AND THE FAR EASTERN PLAINS ON TUESDAY. VENTILATION RATES WILL
TREND TOWARD FAIR TO POOR LATER IN THE WEEK AS A WEAK RIDGE OF
HIGH PRESSURE BUILDS OVER THE STATE.

CHJ

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
FARMINGTON......................  45  25  39  17 /  50  40  20   0
GALLUP..........................  42  19  36  10 /  40  20  20   5
GRANTS..........................  50  17  39  11 /  20  10  10   5
GLENWOOD........................  56  26  51  21 /  10  10  10   5
CHAMA...........................  36  10  32   0 /  80  60  30   5
LOS ALAMOS......................  46  18  36  13 /  20  20  20   5
RED RIVER.......................  33   8  29  -2 /  30  50  20  10
TAOS............................  43  16  35   4 /  30  40  20   5
SANTA FE........................  49  20  37  14 /  20  20  20   5
SANTA FE AIRPORT................  50  23  40  16 /  20  10  10   0
ESPANOLA........................  52  23  42  18 /  20  20  10   0
ALBUQUERQUE HEIGHTS.............  57  30  45  23 /   5   5  10   5
ALBUQUERQUE VALLEY..............  58  25  46  20 /   5   5  10   5
ALBUQUERQUE FOOTHILLS...........  56  27  44  22 /  10   5  10   5
ALBUQUERQUE WEST MESA...........  57  28  45  20 /  10   5  10   5
SOCORRO.........................  64  29  52  22 /   0   0   5   5
SANDIA PARK/CEDAR CREST.........  52  21  40  17 /  10   5  10   5
MORIARTY/ESTANCIA...............  54  21  42  17 /   5   5  10   5
CARRIZOZO.......................  61  30  49  21 /   0   0  10   5
RUIDOSO.........................  56  28  41  24 /   0   5  10  10
RATON...........................  38  12  34   6 /  10  40  10   0
LAS VEGAS.......................  44  16  35  13 /  10  20  10   5
ROY.............................  34  12  35  18 /   5  20  10   5
CLAYTON.........................  27   8  30  17 /   5  30  10   0
SANTA ROSA......................  54  23  45  23 /   5  10  10   5
TUCUMCARI.......................  41  14  38  16 /   5  10  10   5
FORT SUMNER.....................  56  23  45  20 /   0  10  10   5
CLOVIS..........................  41  19  37  19 /   0  10  10  10
PORTALES........................  42  20  39  19 /   0  10  10  10
ROSWELL.........................  66  33  44  23 /   0   5  10  10

&&

.ABQ WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY FROM 8 AM THIS MORNING TO 4 AM MST TUESDAY
FOR THE FOLLOWING ZONES...NMZ002.

WIND ADVISORY UNTIL 9 PM MST THIS EVENING FOR THE FOLLOWING ZONES...
NMZ016-017-026.

&&

34/40

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ALBUQUERQUE NM
833 PM MST SUN JAN 25 2009

NMZ001>021-026-261300-
NORTHWEST PLATEAU-NORTHWEST MOUNTAINS INCLUDING JEMEZ-
UPPER RIO GRANDE VALLEY-SANGRE DE CRISTO MOUNTAINS-
NORTHEAST HIGHLANDS-HARDING COUNTY-FAR NORTHEAST PLAINS-
WEST CENTRAL MOUNTAINS-
MIDDLE RIO GRANDE VALLEY/ALBUQUERQUE METRO AREA-
SANDIA/MANZANO MOUNTAINS-CENTRAL HIGH PLAINS/ESTANCIA VALLEY-
CONCHAS LAKE/GUADALUPE COUNTY-QUAY COUNTY-
SOUTHWEST MOUNTAINS/UPPER GILA REGION-LOWER RIO GRANDE VALLEY-
LINCOLN COUNTY HIGH PLAINS/HONDO VALLEY-
CAPITAN/NORTHERN SACRAMENTO MOUNTAINS-DE BACA COUNTY-
CHAVES COUNTY PLAINS-ROOSEVELT COUNTY-CURRY COUNTY-
GUADALUPE MOUNTAINS OF CHAVES COUNTY-
833 PM MST SUN JAN 25 2009

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR PORTIONS OF NORTH AND CENTRAL
NEW MEXICO.

.DAY ONE...TONIGHT

NO HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...MONDAY THROUGH SATURDAY

NO HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS EXPECTED AT THIS TIME. HOWEVER...WEATHER CAN
CHANGE VERY RAPIDLY. ALWAYS USE THE LATEST FORECASTS...WATCHES AND
WARNINGS FOR PLANNING PURPOSES.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION IS NOT ANTICIPATED.

KW/52