Severe Thunderstorm Warning 27, NWS Las Vegas, NV

000 
WWUS55 KVEF 032318
SVSVEF

SEVERE WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LAS VEGAS NV
418 PM PDT SUN AUG 3 2008

CAC071-032345-
/O.CON.KVEF.SV.W.0027.000000T0000Z-080803T2345Z/
SAN BERNARDINO CA-
416 PM PDT SUN AUG 3 2008

...A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 445 PM PDT
FOR CENTRAL SAN BERNARDINO COUNTY...

AT 408 PM PDT...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR CONTINUED TO
INDICATE A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM CAPABLE OF PRODUCING PENNY SIZE
HAIL...AND DAMAGING WINDS IN EXCESS OF 60 MPH.  THIS STORM WAS
LOCATED OVER CENTRAL SAN BERNARDINO COUNTY...OR 11 MILES NORTHWEST OF
LUDLOW...ALONG INTERSTATE 40 BETWEEN MILE MARKERS 35 AND 45 AND IS 
MOVING NORTH AT 10 MPH.

THE SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WILL CONTINUE TO BE ALONG AND TO THE NORTH 
OF INTERSTATE 40 BETWEEN MILE MARKER 35 AND 45.

LAT...LON 3466 11640 3471 11645 3473 11643 3474 11645
      3474 11648 3485 11660 3496 11636 3473 11623
TIME...MOT...LOC 2316Z 186DEG 7KT 3480 11634

$$

SC

000 
WWUS55 KVEF 032344
SVSVEF

SEVERE WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LAS VEGAS NV
444 PM PDT SUN AUG 3 2008

CAC071-032352-
/O.EXP.KVEF.SV.W.0027.000000T0000Z-080803T2345Z/
SAN BERNARDINO CA-
442 PM PDT SUN AUG 3 2008

...THE SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING FOR CENTRAL SAN BERNARDINO COUNTY 
WILL EXPIRE AT 445 PM PDT/445 PM MST/...

THE SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING FOR CENTRAL SAN BERNARDINO COUNTY 
FOR THE STORM NORTH OF LUDLOW HAS WEAKENED AND WILL BE ALLOWED TO 
EXPIRE AT 445 PM.  

LAT...LON 3466 11640 3471 11645 3473 11643 3474 11645
      3474 11648 3485 11660 3496 11636 3473 11623
TIME...MOT...LOC 2342Z 203DEG 23KT 3495 11626

$$

SC

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LAS VEGAS NV
345 PM PDT SUN AUG 3 2008

.SYNOPSIS...MOISTURE MOVING INTO THE MOJAVE DESERT AND SOUTHERN
GREAT BASIN WILL BRING AN INCREASING CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS TO THE
AREA THROUGH THE MIDDLE OF THE WEEK. TEMPERATURES WILL LOWER TO AT
OR SLIGHTLY BELOW NORMAL BY WEDNESDAY.
&&

.SHORT TERM...AIRMASS OVER THE SOUTHERN PORTION OF THE CWA HAS
SLOWLY MOISTENED AND DESTABILIZED DURING THE DAY WITH ISOLATED
CONVECTION AS OF 330 PM PST/MST BEING CONFINED TO MAINLY NORTHERN
MOHAVE/SOUTHERN CLARK/AND PORTIONS OF SAN BERNARDINO COUNTY. FURTHER
DESTABILIZATION EXPECTED THROUGH EARLY EVENING FOR INCREASING
ACTIVITY BEFORE OVERNIGHT DECREASE. FOR MONDAY HOWEVER...NEG LIFTED
INDEXES/THETA-E AXIS AND CONTINUE MOISTENING WITH PW VALUES PUSHING
OVER AN INCH ACROSS MUCH OF SAN BERNARDINO/SOUTHERN MOHAVE COUNTY
WILL LIKELY INCREASE TSTRM COVERAGE THIS AREA. AT THE SAME TIME AS
SEEN ON WATER VAPOR...CIRCULATION FORMING VICINITY OF TUSCON WITH
NAM PUSHING THIS ACROSS SOUTHERN CALIFORNIA MONDAY AFTERNOON FOR
POSSIBLE TRIGGER ON CONVECTION ACROSS SAN BERNARDINO. WILL WATCH
THIS OVERNIGHT...BUT MAY NEED TO BUMP THUNDERSTORM/POPS UP IN THIS
AREA WITH THE NEXT PACKAGE. MAIN CONCERN CONTINUES TO BE EASTERLY
WAVE SHIFTING INTO THE AREA ON TUESDAY. PW VALUES INCREASE TO OVER
1.5 INCHES ALONG THE COLORADO RIVER VALLEY AND ACROSS MUCH OF
CLARK/MOHAVE/EASTERN SAN BERNARDINO COUNTIES WHILE LI DROPS TO -2 OR
LESS AND THETA-E MAXIMUM ACROSS MUCH OF THE AREA. THIS PATTERN IS
TRENDING TOWARDS A BETTER CHANCE FOR LOCALIZED HEAVY RAIN SHOWERS
AND IS COVERED IN THE CURRENT HWO. MOISTURE/INSTABILITY ALSO PUSHES
ACROSS MUCH OF THE NORTHERN PORTION OF THE CWA TOO. WITH THE
INCREASE IN MOISTURE TEMPERATURES WILL MODERATE THE NEXT FEW DAYS
WITH DAYTIME HIGHS DROPPING TO NEAR OR SLIGHTLY BELOW NORMAL BY
TUESDAY.

.LONG TERM...DIFFERENCE REMAINS WITH RESPECT TO THE HANDLING OF THE
INVERTED TROUGH...WITH THE ECMWF EJECTING THE TROUGH TO THE NORTH
MUCH QUICKER. THE NAM AND GFS ARE IN MORE AGREEMENT WITH A SLOWER
PROGRESSION. AT THIS POINT THE FORECAST REFLECTS A BLEND OF THE TWO
DIFFERING SOLUTIONS...WHICH KEEPS THE POPS HIGHER ON WEDNESDAY...
PARTICULARLY ACROSS CLARK COUNTY. ONE OTHER ITEM OF CONSIDERATION IS
THE POTENTIAL FOR LINGERING CLOUD COVER LEFTOVER FROM TUESDAY
NIGHT...EARLY WEDNESDAY MORNING CONVECTION TO KEEP CLARK COUNTY ON
THE DOWNSIDE WEDNESDAY AFTERNOON. OTHER MAIN FEATURE IS SLOWING DOWN
THE ADVANCING DRIER AIR LATER IN THE WEEK. HAVE NUDGED POPS UP ON
FRIDAY AND SATURDAY AS THE MOISTURE WILL LIKELY LINGER AT LEAST
ACROSS THE EASTERN HALF OF THE CWA A BIT LONGER.
&&

.AVIATION...FOR MCCARRAN...DEEPER MOISTURE HAS MADE SOME PROGRESS
TODAY...BUT ANY CONVECTION IS ANTICIPATED TO BE ISOLATED AND FAVORED
ON THE EASTERN SIDE OF THE KLAS VALLEY THIS EVENING. THE PEACH
SPRINGS CORRIDOR WILL BE THE MOST ACTIVE CORRIDOR THIS EVENING WITH
THE DAGGETT CORRIDOR POTENTIALLY BECOMING ACTIVE BETWEEN 00Z AND
04Z. CLOUD COVER LOOKS TO INCREASE INTO THE SCT-BKN RANGE BY THIS
EVENING. WINDS GUSTS TO AROUND 20KTS WITH POTENTIALLY HIGHER WINDS
WITH ANY OUTFLOW BOUNDARIES FROM THUNDERSTORMS. AN INCREASE IN
MOISTURE AND INSTABILITY WILL ALLOW FOR INCREASING CHANCES FOR A
TSTM OVER THE SPRING MOUNTAINS...SHEEP RANGE ON MONDAY AFTERNOON.

FOR THE REST OF SOUTHERN NEVADA...NORTHWEST ARIZONA...AND SOUTHEAST
CALIFORNIA...ISOLATED TO SCATTERED TSTMS ACROSS SAN BERNARDINO...
SOUTHERN CLARK AND MOHAVE COUNTIES THIS EVENING WITH AREAS OF 3SM
BKN060. OTHERWISE SCT-BKN CLOUDS AOA 12K FEET IN THESE LOCATIONS.
TSTM CHANCES WILL INCREASE SLIGHTLY ON MONDAY...BUT MORE SO ON
TUESDAY ACROSS THE AREA.
&&

.VEF WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
NV...NONE.
AZ...NONE.
CA...NONE.
&&

JENSEN/CZYZYK

HTTP://WEATHER.GOV/LASVEGAS

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LAS VEGAS NV
624 AM PDT SUN AUG 3 2008

AZZ001>003-036-CAZ519>527-NVZ014>022-040700-
NORTHWEST PLATEAU-LOWER COLORADO RIVER VALLEY-NORTHWEST DESERTS-
LAKE MEAD NATIONAL RECREATION AREA-EASTERN SIERRA SLOPES-
OWENS VALLEY-WHITE MOUNTAINS OF INYO COUNTY-
DEATH VALLEY NATIONAL PARK-WESTERN MOJAVE DESERT-
EASTERN MOJAVE DESERT-MORONGO BASIN-CADIZ BASIN-
SAN BERNARDINO COUNTY-UPPER COLORADO RIVER VALLEY-
ESMERALDA AND CENTRAL NYE COUNTY-LINCOLN COUNTY-
NORTHEAST CLARK COUNTY-WESTERN CLARK AND SOUTHERN NYE COUNTY-
SHEEP RANGE-SPRING MOUNTAINS-LAS VEGAS VALLEY-
SOUTHERN CLARK COUNTY-
624 AM PDT SUN AUG 3 2008 /624 AM MST SUN AUG 3 2008/

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR PORTIONS OF NORTHWEST
ARIZONA...SOUTHEAST CALIFORNIA AND SOUTHERN NEVADA.

.DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT

MOISTURE INCREASING FROM THE SOUTH AND SOUTHEAST WILL LEAD TO
ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS THIS AFTERNOON AND EVENING...MAINLY OVER
THE AREA SOUTH AND EAST OF INTERSTATE 15. THE PROBABILITY OF
HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS LOW FOR THE REST OF THE REGION.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...MONDAY THROUGH SATURDAY

DEEPER MONSOONAL MOISTURE WILL PUSH NORTH INTO THE ENTIRE REGION
MONDAY AND TUESDAY BRINGING INCREASING THUNDERSTORM COVERAGE WHICH
WILL PERSIST THROUGH THE MIDDLE OF THE WEEK. THE MAIN THREAT WITH
THESE STORMS WILL BE HEAVY RAINFALL AND THE POTENTIAL FOR ISOLATED
FLASH FLOODING...ESPECIALLY TUESDAY AND WEDNESDAY. DRIER SOUTHWEST
FLOW IS FORECAST TO DEVELOP OVER SOUTHEAST CALIFORNIA AND SOUTHERN
NEVADA TOWARD THE END OF THE WEEK.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

WEATHER SPOTTERS ARE ENCOURAGED TO REPORT SIGNIFICANT WEATHER
CONDITIONS ACCORDING TO STANDARD OPERATING PROCEDURES.