Severe Thunderstorm Warning 36, NWS Tucson, AZ

000 
WWUS55 KTWC 150241
SVSTWC

SEVERE WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TUCSON AZ
741 PM MST MON JUL 14 2008

AZC019-150300-
/O.CON.KTWC.SV.W.0036.000000T0000Z-080715T0300Z/
PIMA AZ-
738 PM MST MON JUL 14 2008

...A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 800 PM MST 
FOR SOUTH CENTRAL PIMA COUNTY...

AT 730 PM MST...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR CONTINUED TO
INDICATE A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM CAPABLE OF PRODUCING DAMAGING WINDS IN
EXCESS OF 60 MPH. THIS STORM WAS LOCATED NEAR FRESNAL CANYON...OR 14 
MILES SOUTHEAST OF SELLS...MOVING SOUTH AT 11 MPH.

WEATHER RADAR INDICATED THAT THIS STORM IS PROPAGATING TO THE 
SOUTHWEST AS IT MOVES TO THE SOUTHEAST. THIS DEVELOPMENT WILL AFFECT 
SOUTH KOMELIK AND CHOULIC BY 750 PM MST.

THIS IS A DANGEROUS STORM. IF YOU ARE IN ITS PATH...PREPARE
IMMEDIATELY FOR DAMAGING WINDS...DESTRUCTIVE HAIL...AND DEADLY CLOUD
TO GROUND LIGHTNING. PEOPLE OUTSIDE SHOULD MOVE TO A SHELTER...
PREFERABLY INSIDE A STRONG BUILDING BUT AWAY FROM WINDOWS.

LAT...LON 3168 11218 3214 11185 3173 11124 3166 11133
      3162 11139 3158 11144 3149 11156
TIME...MOT...LOC 0238Z 342DEG 10KT 3175 11170

$$

000 
WWUS55 KTWC 150259
SVSTWC

SEVERE WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TUCSON AZ
759 PM MST MON JUL 14 2008

AZC019-150308-
/O.EXP.KTWC.SV.W.0036.000000T0000Z-080715T0300Z/
PIMA AZ-
758 PM MST MON JUL 14 2008

...THE SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING FOR SOUTH CENTRAL PIMA COUNTY WILL
EXPIRE AT 800 PM MST...

THE SEVERE THUNDERSTORM NEAR FRESNAL CANYON HAS FALLEN BELOW SEVERE 
LEVELS. THEREFORE...THE SEVERE THUNDERSTORM HAS BEEN ALLOWED TO 
EXPIRE AT 800 PM MST.

LAT...LON 3168 11218 3214 11185 3173 11124 3166 11133
      3162 11139 3158 11144 3149 11156
TIME...MOT...LOC 0258Z 313DEG 14KT 3174 11164

$$

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TUCSON AZ
230 PM MST MON JUL 14 2008

.SYNOPSIS...PLENTY OF MOISTURE FOR A DAILY CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS IN SOUTHEAST ARIZONA THIS WEEK.

&&

.DISCUSSION...MORE SUNSHINE TO START THE MORNING THAN RECENT
DAYS...MOST DEBRIS CLOUD IS ACROSS NORTHERN COUNTIES. 12Z KTUS
SOUNDING SIMILAR WITH PRECIPITABLE WATER AT 1.83 SO PLENTY WET. RAIN
COOLED FROM PLENTY OF PRECIP COVERAGE YESTERDAY AND SLIGHT WARMING
AROUND H5 SO WE HAD TO WORK A LITTLE LONGER TO GET CONVECTION GOING
TODAY...BUT WE WERE FIRING BY 10 AM ANYWAY. HEAVY RAIN ONCE AGAIN
THE MAIN CONCERN...BUT ISOLATED WET MICROBURSTS NOT HARD TO
VISUALIZE. STRONG WAVE THAT WAS PUSHING THROUGH SOUTHERN SONORA AND
THE GULF NOW ON THE OTHER SIDE OF BAJA AND PUSHING OUT INTO THE
PACIFIC...PERHAPS LESS FOCUS TODAY BEHIND THIS...BUT THERE ARE LOTS
OF WIGGLES AND WEAKNESSES IN THE FLOW IN PLACE AND UPPER LEVEL
CONDITIONS REMAIN FAVORABLE OVER THE SOUTHEASTERN PART OF THE STATE.
EARLIER UPDATE TO FORECAST WORKING OUT WELL.

THE RIDGE ORIENTATION BECOMES A LITTLE LESS FAVORABLE ON THE LARGE
SCALE THIS WEEK...WE WONT BE ABLE TO MAINTAIN THIS LEVEL OF
MOISTURE FOREVER...BUT AT THE SAME TIME WE ARE PROBABLY BEING TOO
AGGRESSIVE WITH OUR TREND TOWARD LESS CONVECTION.

&&

.AVIATION...EXPECT SCATTERED SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS MAINLY DURING
THE AFTERNOON AND EARLY NIGHTTIME HOURS INTO TUESDAY. CLOUD DECKS
WILL GENERALLY BE 4-7K FT AGL...WITH LOWER CEILINGS IN HEAVY RAIN.
VISIBILITIES AT TIMES WITH THE STRONGEST STORMS AS LOW AS 1 MILE
OBSCURING MOUNTAINS. AVIATION DISCUSSION NOT UPDATED FOR TAF
AMENDMENTS.

&&

.TWC WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...NONE.

WEATHER.GOV/TUCSON