Alert archive / Oklahoma / Special Weather Statements in 2008

Special Weather Statement, NWS Tulsa, OK

July 12, 2008Mayes County, Oklahoma

NWS Tulsa, OK issued this special weather statement at Jul 12, 2008, 5:45 PM CDT for Mayes County, Oklahoma. It was in force for 30 min. No storm report in the archive falls inside the area while it was in force.

The area

The outline as issued.

The facts

Issued: Jul 12, 2008, 5:45 PM CDT (22:45 UTC)
Expired: Jul 12, 2008, 6:15 PM CDT
In force: 30 min
Issued by: NWS Tulsa, OK

County Mayes County, OK

The radar

The Tulsa radar (KINX), 34 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 22:48 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.

Open the radar archive at this moment

The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.

The nearest sounding before it

Springfield, MO (KSGF), launched 12:00Z, 10.8 hours before the alert went out and 143 km from the middle of its area. This is the routine balloon launch nearest before it, the air the forecaster had in hand, not a measurement taken for the alert.

Skew-T log-p

Temperature in red, dew point in green, the mixed-layer parcel dashed.

Hodograph

The wind turning with height, colored by layer: ground to 1 km, 1 to 3 km, 3 to 6 km, 6 to 10 km.

Mixed-layer CAPE: 916 J/kg
Mixed-layer CIN: -132 J/kg
Mixed-layer LCL: 1273 m above ground
0-6 km bulk shear: 22 kt
0-1 km storm-relative helicity: 273 m²/s²
0-3 km storm-relative helicity: 391 m²/s²
Significant tornado parameter: 0.0
Supercell composite: 3.3

Open this sounding in Storm Lab

The text

As transmitted, in the capitals the NWS used until 2016.

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What forecasters said that day

The local office's own words before this special weather statement went out, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.

NWS Tulsa, OK wrote its last area forecast discussion before this special weather statement went out at Jul 12, 3:34 PM CDT, 2 hours 11 minutes earlier.

Area forecast discussion, Jul 12, 3:34 PM CDT, 2 hours 11 minutes before

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TULSA OK
334 PM CDT SAT JUL 12 2008

.DISCUSSION...
FLASH FLOOD WATCH..EXPANDED EAST INTO NORTHWEST
ARKANSAS FOR TONIGHT. THE COOL FRONTAL BOUNDARY
WILL PROGESS SOUTHEAST OVERNIGHT.  EXPECT A CAP
FAILURE BY LATE AFTERNOON.  INITIAL STORMS WILL
PRESENT A SEVERE POTENTIAL HOWEVER PRECIPITABLE
WATER VALUES GREATER THAN 2.0 AND NEAR 2.25 FOR
A FEW LOCATIONS...ANTICIPATE FAIRLY RAPID LARGE
MCS DEVELOPMENT. AREAS NORTHWEST OF KCQB - KFYV
SEEM MOST VULNERABLE..WHERE ABRFC GRIDDED FLASH
FLOOD GUIDANCE IS LOWEST..AND CONVECTION THREAT
HIGHEST. H7 DEW POINT TROPICAL. RAIN PRODUCTION
SHOULD NEAR MAXIMUM EFFICIENCY.

EXACTLY WHERE THE NORTH EDGE PRECIPITATION WILL
BE AT DAWN SUNDAY IS IN QUESTION. GFS SPEED TOO
QUICK SO RAISED POPS SOUTH I40. A DRY NORTHWEST
FLOW SHOULD PUSH FRONT  FAR ENOUGH SOUTH BEFORE
WASHING OUT.. TO KEEP OUR AREA DRY SUNDAY NIGHT
THROUGH TUESDAY.  H500 TURNING MORE SUMMER-LIKE
WITH MOST ACTION WELL NORTH FOR REST OF THE NEW
WEEK.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
TUL   67  86  64  90 /  90  10   0   0
FSM   72  87  64  91 /  50  40  10   0
MLC   72  86  65  91 /  40  30  10   0
BVO   63  86  56  90 /  90  10   0   0
FYV   65  83  56  86 /  80  30   0   0
BYV   64  82  58  84 /  80  20   0   0
MKO   67  84  64  90 /  70  30  10   0
MIO   64  86  59  87 / 100  10   0   0
F10   67  84  64  90 /  60  30  10   0
HHW   74  88  66  90 /  20  40  20   0

&&

.TSA WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
OK...FLASH FLOOD WATCH FROM 7 PM SATURDAY TO 7 AM SUNDAY FOR OKZ054-
     OKZ055-OKZ056-OKZ057-OKZ058-OKZ059-OKZ060-OKZ061-OKZ062-
     OKZ063-OKZ064-OKZ067-OKZ068-OKZ069.

AR...FLASH FLOOD WATCH FROM 7 PM SATURDAY TO 7 AM SUNDAY FOR ARZ001-
     ARZ002-ARZ010-ARZ011.

&&

SHORT TERM...21
LONG TERM....21

Hazardous weather outlook, Jul 12, 4:55 PM CDT, 50 minutes before

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TULSA OK
455 PM CDT SAT JUL 12 2008

ARZ001-002-010-011-019-020-029-OKZ049-053>076-131000-
ADAIR OK-BENTON AR-CARROLL AR-CHEROKEE OK-CHOCTAW OK-CRAIG OK-
CRAWFORD AR-CREEK OK-DELAWARE OK-FRANKLIN AR-HASKELL OK-LATIMER OK-
LE FLORE OK-MADISON AR-MAYES OK-MCINTOSH OK-MUSKOGEE OK-NOWATA OK-
OKFUSKEE OK-OKMULGEE OK-OSAGE OK-OTTAWA OK-PAWNEE OK-PITTSBURG OK-
PUSHMATAHA OK-ROGERS OK-SEBASTIAN AR-SEQUOYAH OK-TULSA OK-WAGONER OK-
WASHINGTON OK-WASHINGTON AR-
455 PM CDT SAT JUL 12 2008

...SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS POSSIBLE ACROSS PARTS OF EASTERN OKLAHOMA
AND NORTHWEST ARKANSAS THROUG THIS EVENING. HEAVY RAIN AND FLASH
FLOODING POSSIBLE ACROSS NORTHEAST OKLAHOMA AND NORTHWEST ARKANSAS
TONIGHT...

THIS OUTLOOK IS FOR NORTHWEST AND WEST CENTRAL ARKANSAS AS WELL AS
MUCH OF EASTERN OKLAHOMA.

.DAY ONE...THIS EVENING AND TONIGHT.

SEVERE THUNDERSTORM.
	RISK...LIMITED.
	AREA...MUCH OF EASTERN OKLAHOMA AND NORTHWEST ARKANSAS.
	ONSET...ONGOING.

FLASH FLOOD.
	RISK...ELEVATED.
	AREA...NORTHEAST OKLAHOMA AND NORTHWEST ARKANSAS.
	ONSET...THIS EVENING.

HEAVY RAIN.
	RISK...ELEVATED.
	AREA...NORTHEAST OKLAHOMA AND NORTHWEST ARKANSAS.
	ONSET...THIS EVENING.

DISCUSSION...
A COLD FRONT STRETCHED FROM WESTERN OKLAHOMA INTO NORTHEASTERN
OKLAHOMA LATE THIS AFTERNOON. THE ATMOSPHERE SOUTH OF THE FRONT HAS
BECOME UNSTABLE...AND SCATTERED THUNDERSTORMS HAVE DEVELOPED FROM
WEST CENTRAL OKLAHOMA INTO NORTHEAST OKLAHOMA. THUNDERSTORMS ARE
EXPECTED TO EXPAND IN COVERAGE THROUGH THE EARLY EVENING...WITH A
FEW STRONG TO SEVERE CLUSTERS OF THUNDERSTORMS POSSIBLE. THE STRONG
INSTABILITY COMBINED WITH 30-40 KNOTS OF WESTERLY MID-LEVEL WINDS
SUGGEST THAT DAMAGING WINDS AND LARGE HAIL WILL BE THE MAIN THREAT
THROUGH THE MID TO LATE EVENING.

THE SEVERE THREAT WILL TRANSITION MORE TOWARDS A HEAVY RAIN AND
FLASH FLOOD THREAT OVERNIGHT. A MOIST ATMOSPHERE WILL LEAD TO
EFFICIENT RAIN PRODUCING THUNDERSTORMS...MAKING HEAVY RAINFALL A
CONCERN WITH THE SLOW MOVING FRONT. RAINFALL AMOUNTS ARE EXPECTED TO
BE GREATEST ACROSS NORTHEAST OKLAHOMA AND NORTHWEST ARKANSAS...WHERE
SOILS ARE VERY MOIST FROM RECENT RAINS. THE GREATEST RISK OF FLASH
FLOODING WILL BE NORTH OF A BRISTOW...WAGONER...WITTER LINE. REFER
TO THE FLASH FLOOD WATCH /OKCFFATSA/ FOR FURTHER INFORMATION.

SPOTTER AND EMERGENCY MANAGEMENT ACTION STATEMENT...
LOCAL SPOTTER ACTIVATION MAY BE NEEDED.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...SUNDAY THROUGH FRIDAY.
SUNDAY...THUNDERSTORM POTENTIAL.
MONDAY...NO HAZARDS.
TUESDAY...THUNDERSTORM POTENTIAL.
WEDNESDAY...NO HAZARDS.
THURSDAY...NO HAZARDS.
FRIDAY...THUNDERSTORM POTENTIAL.

EXTENDED DISCUSSION...
THUNDERSTORMS WITH THE POTENTIAL FOR HEAVY RAIN WILL CONTINUE ACROSS
THE AREA ON SUNDAY MORNING BEFORE THE FRONT MOVES SOUTH OF THE
FORECAST AREA. A CHANCE FOR THUNDERSTORMS WILL CONTINUE AS THE FRONT
TRIES TO LIFT BACK NORTH AS A WEAK BOUNDARY. HIGH PRESSURE WILL
BUILD INTO THE REGION DURING THE MIDDLE PART OF THE WEEK WITH
DECREASING RAIN CHANCES.

WWW.SRH.NOAA.GOV/TULSA CONTAINS ADDITIONAL TABULAR AND GRAPHICAL
INFORMATION.

In the hours before

Special weather statement, Jul 12, 4:46 PM CDT, 59 minutes before

SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TULSA OK
446 PM CDT SAT JUL 12 2008

OKZ061-122215-
ROGERS OK-
446 PM CDT SAT JUL 12 2008

...SIGNIFICANT WEATHER ALERT...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN TULSA HAS ISSUED A
SIGNIFICANT WEATHER ALERT EFFECTIVE UNTIL 515 PM CDT
FOR THE FOLLOWING COUNTY...

IN NORTHEAST OKLAHOMA
     NORTHERN ROGERS

AT 446 PM CDT...DOPPLER RADAR INDICATED A STRONG THUNDERSTORM OVER
OOLOGAH...MOVING EAST AT 20 MPH. SOME LOCATIONS THAT WILL BE AFFECTED
BY THIS STORM INCLUDE...FOYIL...OOLOGAH...BUSHYHEAD...TALALA AND
CHELSEA.

THIS STORM WILL BE CAPABLE OF PRODUCING SMALL HAIL AND WIND GUSTS TO
40 MPH. RESIDENTS IN THESE AREAS SHOULD REMAIN ALERT IN CASE THE
SIGNIFICANT WEATHER ALERT IS UPGRADED TO A WARNING.

LAT...LON 3660 9542 3636 9543 3636 9581 3640 9581
      3640 9580 3643 9579 3644 9581 3660 9582
TIME...MOT...LOC 2146Z 254DEG 12KT 3646 9568

Special weather statement, Jul 12, 5:06 PM CDT, 39 minutes before

SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TULSA OK
506 PM CDT SAT JUL 12 2008

OKZ054-055-060-122230-
OSAGE OK-TULSA OK-WASHINGTON OK-
506 PM CDT SAT JUL 12 2008

...SIGNIFICANT WEATHER ALERT...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN TULSA HAS ISSUED A
SIGNIFICANT WEATHER ALERT EFFECTIVE UNTIL 530 PM CDT
FOR THE FOLLOWING COUNTIES...

IN NORTHEAST OKLAHOMA
     SOUTHERN WASHINGTON...SOUTHERN OSAGE AND NORTHERN TULSA

AT 506 PM CDT...DOPPLER RADAR INDICATED STRONG THUNDERSTORMS ALONG A
LINE EXTENDING FROM 3 MILES NORTH OF COLLINSVILLE TO 7 MILES WEST OF
OSAGE...MOVING EAST AT 20 MPH. SOME LOCATIONS THAT WILL BE AFFECTED
BY THESE STORMS INCLUDE...TULSA...OSAGE...HOMINY...AVANT...SPERRY...
SKIATOOK...COLLINSVILLE...VERA AND RAMONA.

LAT...LON 3656 9582 3630 9582 3627 9639 3633 9646
      3633 9649 3630 9652 3636 9655 3637 9653
      3639 9653 3640 9654 3640 9656 3642 9657
TIME...MOT...LOC 2206Z 262DEG 10KT 3641 9581 3633 9651

Special weather statement, Jul 12, 5:15 PM CDT, 30 minutes before

SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TULSA OK
515 PM CDT SAT JUL 12 2008

OKZ057-061-062-122300-
CRAIG OK-MAYES OK-ROGERS OK-
515 PM CDT SAT JUL 12 2008

...SIGNIFICANT WEATHER ALERT...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN TULSA HAS ISSUED A
SIGNIFICANT WEATHER ALERT EFFECTIVE UNTIL 600 PM CDT
FOR THE FOLLOWING COUNTIES...

IN NORTHEAST OKLAHOMA
     NORTHEASTERN ROGERS...SOUTHEASTERN CRAIG AND NORTHERN MAYES

AT 515 PM CDT...DOPPLER RADAR INDICATED STRONG THUNDERSTORMS ALONG A
LINE EXTENDING FROM 3 MILES NORTHWEST OF PENSACOLA TO 7 MILES WEST OF
ADAIR...MOVING EAST AT 25 MPH. SOME LOCATIONS THAT WILL BE AFFECTED
BY THESE STORMS INCLUDE...CHELSEA...KETCHUM...BIG CABIN...SPAVINAW...
STRANG...ADAIR...PENSACOLA AND LANGLEY.

THESE STORMS WILL BE CAPABLE OF PRODUCING SMALL HAIL AND WIND GUSTS
TO 40 MPH. RESIDENTS IN THESE AREAS SHOULD REMAIN ALERT IN CASE THE
SIGNIFICANT WEATHER ALERT IS UPGRADED TO A WARNING.

LAT...LON 3660 9501 3637 9502 3637 9543 3659 9544
TIME...MOT...LOC 2215Z 281DEG 22KT 3649 9515 3644 9538

Special weather statement, Jul 12, 5:45 PM CDT, 0 minutes before

SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TULSA OK
545 PM CDT SAT JUL 12 2008

OKZ062-122315-
MAYES OK-
545 PM CDT SAT JUL 12 2008

...SIGNIFICANT WEATHER ALERT...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN TULSA HAS ISSUED A
SIGNIFICANT WEATHER ALERT EFFECTIVE UNTIL 615 PM CDT
FOR THE FOLLOWING COUNTY...

IN NORTHEAST OKLAHOMA
     MAYES

AT 545 PM CDT...DOPPLER RADAR INDICATED STRONG THUNDERSTORMS ALONG A
LINE EXTENDING FROM 5 MILES EAST OF LANGLEY TO 4 MILES SOUTHWEST OF
PRYOR...MOVING SOUTHEAST AT 20 MPH. SOME LOCATIONS THAT WILL BE
AFFECTED BY THESE STORMS INCLUDE...PRYOR...CHOUTEAU...SALINA...
SPAVINAW...STRANG...ADAIR...PENSACOLA AND LANGLEY.

THESE STORMS WILL BE CAPABLE OF PRODUCING SMALL HAIL AND WIND GUSTS
TO 40 MPH. RESIDENTS IN THESE AREAS SHOULD REMAIN ALERT IN CASE THE
SIGNIFICANT WEATHER ALERT IS UPGRADED TO A WARNING.

LAT...LON 3623 9501 3615 9544 3626 9544 3626 9543
      3644 9543 3652 9514 3652 9501
TIME...MOT...LOC 2245Z 293DEG 27KT 3648 9494 3628 9537

The office that day

Everything else NWS Tulsa, OK issued on the same UTC day.

Issued	Product	Office	Counties	Lasted
Jul 12, 3:29 AM CDT	Flash Flood Watch	TSA	Adair, Cherokee, Craig, Creek, Delaware, Mayes and 7 more	24 hr
Jul 12, 4:46 PM CDT	Special Weather Statement	TSA	Rogers	29 min
Jul 12, 4:54 PM CDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	TSA	Rogers	66 min
Jul 12, 5:06 PM CDT	Special Weather Statement	TSA	Osage	24 min
Jul 12, 5:15 PM CDT	Special Weather Statement	TSA	Mayes	45 min
Jul 12, 5:21 PM CDT	Flash Flood Warning	TSA	Rogers	8 hr
Jul 12, 5:32 PM CDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	TSA	Tulsa	26 min
Jul 12, 5:39 PM CDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	TSA	Rogers	66 min
Jul 12, 5:51 PM CDT	Areal Flood Advisory	TSA	Mayes	114 min
Jul 12, 6:02 PM CDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	TSA	Delaware, Mayes	56 min
Jul 12, 6:33 PM CDT	Special Weather Statement	TSA	Craig, Nowata	27 min
Jul 12, 6:38 PM CDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	TSA	Adair, Cherokee, Delaware, Mayes	67 min

Nearby

Special Weather Statements in Oklahoma, 2008 Every special weather statement in 2008

Sources

The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; the sounding from the Mesonet's radiosonde archive; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive.