Special Weather Statement, NWS Tulsa, OK

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HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TULSA OK
455 PM CDT THU JUL 3 2008

ARZ001-002-010-011-019-020-029-OKZ049-053>076-041000-
ADAIR OK-BENTON AR-CARROLL AR-CHEROKEE OK-CHOCTAW OK-CRAIG OK-
CRAWFORD AR-CREEK OK-DELAWARE OK-FRANKLIN AR-HASKELL OK-LATIMER OK-
LE FLORE OK-MADISON AR-MAYES OK-MCINTOSH OK-MUSKOGEE OK-NOWATA OK-
OKFUSKEE OK-OKMULGEE OK-OSAGE OK-OTTAWA OK-PAWNEE OK-PITTSBURG OK-
PUSHMATAHA OK-ROGERS OK-SEBASTIAN AR-SEQUOYAH OK-TULSA OK-WAGONER OK-
WASHINGTON OK-WASHINGTON AR-
455 PM CDT THU JUL 3 2008

THIS OUTLOOK IS FOR NORTHWEST AND WEST CENTRAL ARKANSAS AS WELL AS
MUCH OF EASTERN OKLAHOMA.

.DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT.
TORNADO.
	RISK...NONE.

SEVERE THUNDERSTORM.
	RISK...LIMITED.
	AREA...NORTHEAST OKLAHOMA AND NORTHWEST ARKANSAS.
	ONSET...LATE AFTERNOON AND EVENING.

THUNDERSTORMS WITH DANGEROUS LIGHTNING.
	RISK...ELEVATED.
	AREA...EASTERN OKLAHOMA AND NORTHWEST ARKANSAS.
	ONSET...ONGOING.

DISCUSSION...
LATE THIS AFTERNOON...A SLOW MOVING COLD FRONT EXTENDED FROM FAR
NORTHEASTERN OKLAHOMA INTO SOUTHWEST OKLAHOMA...GENERALLY ALONG
THE I-44 CORRIDOR. ISOLATED TO WIDELY SCATTERED THUNDERSTORMS WILL
CONTINUE TO DEVELOP ALONG AND JUST AHEAD OF THE BOUNDARY THIS LATE
AFTERNOON AND EARLY EVENING. WHILE WIND PROFILES WILL REMAIN
WEAK...ENOUGH INSTABILITY WILL BE PRESENT TO SUPPORT A
THUNDERSTORM OR TWO THAT MAY BRIEFLY BECOME SEVERE INTO THE
EVENING HOURS. GUSTY WINDS WILL BE THE MAIN THREAT. ONGOING
ACTIVITY IS EXPECTED TO DISSIPATE WITH THE LOSS OF DAYTIME HEATING.

HOWEVER...AREAS OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS MAY REDEVELOP LATER
TONIGHT AS THE LOW-LEVEL JET INCREASES.

SPOTTER AND EMERGENCY MANAGEMENT ACTION STATEMENT...
SPOTTER ACTIVATION NOT EXPECTED GIVEN THE BREVITY AND ISOLATED
NATURE OF ANY SEVERE WEATHER THAT MAY OCCUR INTO THE EVENING.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...FRIDAY THROUGH WEDNESDAY.
FRIDAY...THUNDERSTORM POTENTIAL.
SATURDAY...THUNDERSTORM POTENTIAL.
SUNDAY...NO HAZARDS.
MONDAY...NO HAZARDS.
TUESDAY...THUNDERSTORM POTENTIAL.
WEDNESDAY...THUNDERSTORM POTENTIAL.

EXTENDED DISCUSSION...
HE CHANCES OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS WILL REMAIN IN THE FORECAST
FRIDAY INTO SATURDAY AS THE FRONTAL BOUNDARY LINGERS ACROSS THE
AREA. A FEW AFTERNOON SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS COULD DEVELOP AND PERSIST
INTO THE EVENING HOURS.

THE FRONT WILL WASH OUT ON SUNDAY...LEAVING HIGH PRESSURE IN
CONTROL THROUGH MONDAY. ANOTHER COLD FRONT WILL APPROACH THE AREA
ON TUESDAY BRINGING THE POTENTIAL FOR MORE SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS ALONG WITH IT.

WWW.SRH.NOAA.GOV/TULSA CONTAINS ADDITIONAL TABULAR AND GRAPHICAL
INFORMATION. $$

SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TULSA OK
245 PM CDT THU JUL 3 2008

ARZ010-OKZ069-032015-
ADAIR OK-WASHINGTON AR-
245 PM CDT THU JUL 3 2008

...SIGNIFICANT WEATHER ALERT...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN TULSA HAS ISSUED A
SIGNIFICANT WEATHER ALERT EFFECTIVE UNTIL 315 PM CDT
FOR THE FOLLOWING COUNTIES...

IN NORTHWEST ARKANSAS
     WESTERN WASHINGTON

IN NORTHEAST OKLAHOMA
     CENTRAL ADAIR

AT 245 PM CDT...DOPPLER RADAR INDICATED A STRONG THUNDERSTORM 3 MILES
NORTHEAST OF CHRISTIE...MOVING EAST AT 7 MPH. SOME LOCATIONS THAT
WILL BE AFFECTED BY THIS STORM INCLUDE...BARON...CHRISTIE...
WESTVILLE...SUMMERS AND CINCINNATI.

THIS STORM WILL BE CAPABLE OF PRODUCING WIND GUSTS TO 50 MPH.
RESIDENTS IN THESE AREAS SHOULD REMAIN ALERT IN CASE THE SIGNIFICANT
WEATHER ALERT IS UPGRADED TO A WARNING.

LAT...LON 3608 9445 3584 9450 3587 9479 3610 9473
TIME...MOT...LOC 1945Z 280DEG 6KT 3600 9465

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