Severe Thunderstorm Warning 4, NWS Tulsa, OK

000 
WWUS54 KTSA 080044
SVSTSA

SEVERE WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TULSA OK
644 PM CST MON JAN 7 2008

OKC091-101-080130-
/O.CON.KTSA.SV.W.0004.000000T0000Z-080108T0130Z/
MUSKOGEE OK-MCINTOSH OK-
644 PM CST MON JAN 7 2008

...A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 730 PM CST
FOR NORTHEASTERN MCINTOSH AND EASTERN MUSKOGEE COUNTIES...

AT 643 PM CST...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR CONTINUED TO
INDICATE A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM CAPABLE OF PRODUCING GOLF BALL SIZE
HAIL AND WINDS TO 60 MPH. THIS STORM WAS LOCATED NEAR RENTIESVILLE...
MOVING NORTHEAST AT 40 MPH.

SOME LOCATIONS NEAR THE PATH OF THIS STORM INCLUDE...OKTAHA...
WARNER...KEEFETON...SUMMIT...BRAGGS...FORT GIBSON AND PUMPKIN CENTER.

THIS INCLUDES INTERSTATE 40 BETWEEN MILE MARKERS 266 AND 282.

A TORNADO WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR THE WARNED AREA. TORNADOES CAN
DEVELOP SUDDENLY FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS. IF YOU ARE NEAR THE PATH
OF THIS STORM...YOU SHOULD BE ALERT FOR RAPIDLY CHANGING WEATHER
CONDITIONS AND BE READY TO ACT QUICKLY.

STAY INDOORS AND AWAY FROM WINDOWS UNTIL THE STORM HAS PASSED.

THIS STORM IS LIKELY PRODUCING LARGE HAIL. SEEK SHELTER 
IMMEDIATELY INSIDE A STURDY STRUCTURE AND STAY AWAY FROM WINDOWS.

LAT...LON 3558 9513 3555 9514 3551 9520 3549 9521
      3538 9543 3550 9559 3576 9535 3578 9535
      3582 9529 3582 9513
TIME...MOT...LOC 0044Z 220DEG 35KT 3552 9543

$$

000 
WWUS54 KTSA 080109
SVSTSA

SEVERE WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TULSA OK
709 PM CST MON JAN 7 2008

OKC091-101-080130-
/O.CON.KTSA.SV.W.0004.000000T0000Z-080108T0130Z/
MUSKOGEE OK-MCINTOSH OK-
709 PM CST MON JAN 7 2008

...A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 730 PM CST
FOR NORTHEASTERN MCINTOSH AND EASTERN MUSKOGEE COUNTIES...

AT 708 PM CST...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR CONTINUED TO
INDICATE A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM CAPABLE OF PRODUCING PENNY SIZE HAIL
AND WINDS TO 60 MPH. THIS STORM WAS LOCATED 6 MILES SOUTHEAST OF
RENTIESVILLE...MOVING NORTHEAST AT 45 MPH.

SOME LOCATIONS NEAR THE PATH OF THIS STORM INCLUDE...OKTAHA...
WARNER...KEEFETON...SUMMIT...BRAGGS...FORT GIBSON AND PUMPKIN CENTER.

THIS INCLUDES INTERSTATE 40 BETWEEN MILE MARKERS 266 AND 283.

A TORNADO WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR THE WARNED AREA. TORNADOES CAN
DEVELOP SUDDENLY FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS. IF YOU ARE NEAR THE PATH
OF THIS STORM...YOU SHOULD BE ALERT FOR RAPIDLY CHANGING WEATHER
CONDITIONS AND BE READY TO ACT QUICKLY.

STAY INDOORS AND AWAY FROM WINDOWS UNTIL THE STORM HAS PASSED.

LAT...LON 3564 9512 3563 9514 3559 9512 3555 9514
      3547 9524 3539 9544 3550 9559 3580 9533
      3582 9529 3582 9513
TIME...MOT...LOC 0109Z 216DEG 44KT 3548 9541

$$

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TULSA OK
503 PM CST MON JAN 7 2008

.MESOSCALE UPDATE...
MESOSCALE ANALYSIS AT 4PM REVEALED INCREASING STORM-RELATIVE
HELICITY IN WESTERN ARKANSAS AND EXTREME EASTERN OKLAHOMA
IN RESPONSE TO BACKING LOW-LEVEL FLOW AHEAD OF THE APPROACHING
UPPER-JET SEGMENT.  VALUES NOW RANGE FROM AROUND 100 M2/S2 IN
EASTERN OKLAHOMA TO NEAR 300 M2/S2 IN OUR EASTERN COUNTIES IN
ARKANSAS.

THE LOW-LEVEL SHEAR PROFILE IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE TO
IMPROVE THROUGH MIDNIGHT AS DIURNAL INCREASES OCCUR AND THE
STRENGTHENING SURFACE LOW MOVES INTO CENTRAL OKLAHOMA.

THE CELLS CURRENTLY IN FAR EASTERN OKLAHOMA HAVE STARTED CLEANLY
OFF ANY BOUNDARY AND HAVE THE POTENIAL TO BECOME SUPERCELLS AS THEY
MOVE INTO BOTH HIGHER INSTABILITY AND WIND SHEAR IN WESTERN ARKANSAS
WITH SOME TORNADO THREAT.

UPWARD MOTION ASSOCIATED WITH THE UPPER SYSTEM IS SPREADING INTO
WESTERN OKLHOMA AND AS THIS ARRIVES OVERHEAD IN EASTERN OKLAHOMA
AND WESTERN ARKANSAS THIS EVENING THUNDERSTORMS WILL INCREASE.

&&

.TSA WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
OK...NONE.
AR...NONE.
&&

SHORT TERM...08

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TULSA OK
452 PM CST MON JAN 7 2008

ARZ001-002-010-011-019-020-029-OKZ049-053>076-081100-
ADAIR OK-BENTON AR-CARROLL AR-CHEROKEE OK-CHOCTAW OK-CRAIG OK-
CRAWFORD AR-CREEK OK-DELAWARE OK-FRANKLIN AR-HASKELL OK-LATIMER OK-
LE FLORE OK-MADISON AR-MAYES OK-MCINTOSH OK-MUSKOGEE OK-NOWATA OK-
OKFUSKEE OK-OKMULGEE OK-OSAGE OK-OTTAWA OK-PAWNEE OK-PITTSBURG OK-
PUSHMATAHA OK-ROGERS OK-SEBASTIAN AR-SEQUOYAH OK-TULSA OK-WAGONER OK-
WASHINGTON OK-WASHINGTON AR-
452 PM CST MON JAN 7 2008

THIS OUTLOOK IS FOR NORTHWEST AND WEST CENTRAL ARKANSAS AS WELL AS
MUCH OF EASTERN OKLAHOMA.

.DAY ONE...THIS AFTERNOON AND TONIGHT.
TORNADO.
	RISK...ELEVATED.
	AREA...NORTHEAST OKLAHOMA AND NORTHWEST ARKANSAS.
	ONSET...ONGOING

	AREA AT GREATEST RISK...NORTHWEST AND WEST CENTRAL
        ARKANSAS.

SEVERE THUNDERSTORM.
	RISK...ELEVATED.
	AREA...ALL EASTERN OKLAHOMA AND NORTHWEST ARKANSAS.
        ONSET...ONGOING

	AREA AT GREATEST RISK...FAR NORTHEAST OKLAHOMA AND
        NORTHWEST AND WEST CENTRAL ARKANSAS.

SIGNIFICANT WINDS.
	RISK...LIMITED.
	AREA...EASTERN OKLAHOMA.
	ONSET...ONGOING.

DISCUSSION...
THUNDERSTORMS HAVE DEVELOPED ACROSS FAR EASTERN OKLAHOMA THIS
AFTERNOON A REGION OF MOISTURE CONVERGENCE AND MODERATE INSTABILITY.
AS OF LATE AFTERNOON...AN UPPER LEVEL WIND MAXIMA CURRENTLY WAS
PUSHING INTO SOUTHWEST OKLAHOMA AND WILL OVERSPREAD THE DRYLINE
LOCATED IN THE VICINITY OF INTERSTATE 35 CORRIDOR.  ADDITIONAL
THUNDERSTORMS AS THEY DEVELOP  WILL CONTINUE TRACKING RAPIDLY
NORTHEASTWARD AND GAIN STRENGTH AS THEY INTERACT WITH THE AXIS OF
MODERATE INSTABILITY ACROSS FAR EASTERN OKLAHOMA.  WIND FIELDS ALOFT
ARE FAVORABLE FOR BOTH SUPERCELLS AND LINE SEGMENTS...BOTH OF WHICH
WOULD HAVE POTENTIAL FOR DAMAGING WINDS AND HAIL.

THE TORNADIC POTENTIAL WILL INCREASE TOWARD THE EARLY
EVENING HOURS AS LOW LEVEL WINDS BECOME MORE FAVORABLE. THE
COMBINATION OF ONGOING STORMS AND MORE FAVORABLE WIND FIELDS WILL BE
ACROSS FAR NORTHEAST OKLAHOMA AND NORTHWEST ARKANSAS.  SPECIAL
ATTENTION SHOULD BE PLACED ON ANY STORM WHICH IS ABLE TO TRACK MORE
EASTWARD...AS SUCH MOTION WILL BECOME HIGHLY FAVORABLE FOR TORNADIC
POTENTIAL.

SPOTTER AND EMERGENCY MANAGEMENT ACTION STATEMENT...
SPOTTER ACTIVATION WILL LIKELY BE NEEDED...ESPECIALLY
ACROSS FAR NORTHEAST OKLAHOMA AND NORTHWEST ARKANSAS.
STORM MOTIONS WILL LIKELY BE TOO FAST TO TRACK INDIVIDUALLY...
THEREFORE CONSTRUCT YOUR SPOTTER PLACEMENT ACCORDINGLY.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...TUESDAY THROUGH SUNDAY.
TUESDAY...HIGH WIND POTENTIAL.
WEDNESDAY...NO HAZARDS.
THURSDAY...NO HAZARDS.
FRIDAY...NO HAZARDS.
SATURDAY...NO HAZARDS.
SUNDAY...NO HAZARDS.

EXTENDED DISCUSSION...
GUSTY NORTHWESTERLY WINDS WILL DEVELOP ON TUESDAY IN
WAKE OF THE DEPARTING STORM SYSTEM...WITH GUSTS OF
25 TO 35 MPH BEING COMMON.  A MORE TRANQUIL WEATHER
PATTERN IS EXPECTED FOR THE REMAINDER OF THE WEEK.

WWW.SRH.NOAA.GOV/TULSA CONTAINS ADDITIONAL TABULAR AND GRAPHICAL
INFORMATION.

SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TULSA OK
344 PM CST MON JAN 7 2008

OKZ063-072215-
DELAWARE OK-
344 PM CST MON JAN 7 2008

...SIGNIFICANT WEATHER ALERT...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN TULSA HAS ISSUED A
SIGNIFICANT WEATHER ALERT EFFECTIVE UNTIL 415 PM CST
FOR THE FOLLOWING COUNTY...

IN NORTHEAST OKLAHOMA
     SOUTHERN DELAWARE

AT 344 PM CST...DOPPLER RADAR INDICATED A STRONG THUNDERSTORM 5 MILES
NORTH OF TWIN OAKS...MOVING NORTHEAST AT 40 MPH. SOME LOCATIONS THAT
WILL BE AFFECTED BY THIS STORM INCLUDE...JAY...TWIN OAKS AND KANSAS.

THIS STORM WILL BE CAPABLE OF PRODUCING SMALL HAIL AND WIND GUSTS TO
50 MPH. RESIDENTS IN THESE AREAS SHOULD REMAIN ALERT IN CASE THE
SIGNIFICANT WEATHER ALERT IS UPGRADED TO A WARNING.

LAT...LON 3642 9460 3641 9461 3639 9459 3637 9459
      3617 9483 3630 9499 3654 9466
TIME...MOT...LOC 2144Z 225DEG 37KT 3630 9483

SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TULSA OK
526 PM CST MON JAN 7 2008

OKZ076-080030-
LE FLORE OK-
526 PM CST MON JAN 7 2008

...SIGNIFICANT WEATHER ALERT...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN TULSA HAS ISSUED A
SIGNIFICANT WEATHER ALERT EFFECTIVE UNTIL 630 PM CST
FOR THE FOLLOWING COUNTY...

IN SOUTHEAST OKLAHOMA
     SOUTHEASTERN LE FLORE

AT 526 PM CST...DOPPLER RADAR INDICATED A STRONG THUNDERSTORM 10
MILES SOUTHWEST OF OCTAVIA...MOVING NORTHEAST AT 30 MPH. SOME
LOCATIONS THAT WILL BE AFFECTED BY THIS STORM INCLUDE...POTEAU...
OCTAVIA...BIG CEDAR...MUSE...HODGEN...HEAVENER...HOWE AND WISTER.

THIS STORM WILL BE CAPABLE OF PRODUCING SMALL HAIL AND WIND GUSTS TO
50 MPH.

LAT...LON 3451 9492 3509 9469 3501 9444 3461 9444
      3451 9447
TIME...MOT...LOC 2326Z 206DEG 30KT 3447 9480

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TULSA OK
606 PM CST MON JAN 07 2008

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0531 PM     HAIL             SULPHUR SPRINGS         36.48N 94.46W
01/07/2008  M0.75 INCH       BENTON             AR   EMERGENCY MNGR

&&

RBD