Alert archive / Oklahoma / Severe Thunderstorm Warnings in 2008

Severe Thunderstorm Warning 236, NWS Tulsa, OK

April 23, 2008Muskogee County, Oklahoma

NWS Tulsa, OK issued this severe thunderstorm warning at Apr 23, 2008, 6:39 PM CDT for Muskogee County, Oklahoma. It was in force for 38 min. 1 report came from inside the area while it was in force.

The area

The outline as issued, with what was reported inside it.

The facts

Issued: Apr 23, 2008, 6:39 PM CDT (23:39 UTC)
Expired: Apr 23, 2008, 7:17 PM CDT
In force: 38 min
Issued by: NWS Tulsa, OK
Area: Storm-based polygon

County Muskogee County, OK

The radar

The Tulsa radar (KINX), 52 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 23:39 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.

Open the radar archive at this moment

The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.

What was reported inside it

Time	Report	Where	Remark
Apr 23, 7:00 PM CDT	HAIL 0.88	1 E Taft, OK

Local storm reports filed while the alert was in force, from inside its polygon or its counties.

Did it verify

Not verified. The Iowa Environmental Mesonet's Cow found no qualifying storm report inside this severe thunderstorm warning while it was in force. That is not proof nothing happened: reports are thin where few people live.

Cow counts a report within 15 km of the polygon while the warning was in force: a tornado for a tornado warning; hail of 1 inch or more, a gust of 58 mph or more or wind damage for a severe thunderstorm warning; a flash flood report for a flash flood warning.

The nearest sounding before it

Norman, OK (KOUN), launched 12:00Z, 11.7 hours before the alert went out and 185 km from the middle of its area. This is the routine balloon launch nearest before it, the air the forecaster had in hand, not a measurement taken for the alert.

Skew-T log-p

Temperature in red, dew point in green, the mixed-layer parcel dashed.

Hodograph

The wind turning with height, colored by layer: ground to 1 km, 1 to 3 km, 3 to 6 km, 6 to 10 km.

Mixed-layer CAPE: 2105 J/kg
Mixed-layer CIN: -99 J/kg
Mixed-layer LCL: 979 m above ground
0-6 km bulk shear: 27 kt
0-1 km storm-relative helicity: 68 m²/s²
0-3 km storm-relative helicity: 59 m²/s²
Significant tornado parameter: 0.0
Supercell composite: 1.8

Open this sounding in Storm Lab

The text

As transmitted, in the capitals the NWS used until 2016.

000 
WUUS54 KTSA 232339
SVRTSA
OKC101-240030-
/O.NEW.KTSA.SV.W.0236.080423T2339Z-080424T0030Z/

BULLETIN - EAS ACTIVATION REQUESTED
SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TULSA OK
639 PM CDT WED APR 23 2008

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN TULSA HAS ISSUED A

* SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING FOR...
  CENTRAL MUSKOGEE COUNTY IN EAST CENTRAL OKLAHOMA

* UNTIL 730 PM CDT

* AT 637 PM CDT...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR INDICATED A
  SEVERE THUNDERSTORM CAPABLE OF PRODUCING QUARTER SIZE HAIL AND
  WINDS TO 60 MPH. THIS STORM WAS LOCATED NEAR OKTAHA...MOVING NORTH
  AT 20 MPH.

* SOME LOCATIONS NEAR THE PATH OF THIS STORM INCLUDE...OKTAHA...TAFT
  AND MUSKOGEE.

STAY INDOORS AND AWAY FROM WINDOWS UNTIL THE STORM HAS PASSED.

LAT...LON 3582 9530 3556 9540 3555 9559 3577 9561
      3580 9550
TIME...MOT...LOC 2339Z 192DEG 21KT 3557 9552

$$

2 follow-up statements

000 
WWUS54 KTSA 232353
SVSTSA

SEVERE WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TULSA OK
653 PM CDT WED APR 23 2008

OKC101-240030-
/O.CON.KTSA.SV.W.0236.000000T0000Z-080424T0030Z/
MUSKOGEE OK-
653 PM CDT WED APR 23 2008

...A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 730 PM CDT
FOR NORTHERN MUSKOGEE COUNTY...

AT 649 PM CDT...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR CONTINUED TO
INDICATE A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM CAPABLE OF PRODUCING QUARTER SIZE HAIL
AND WINDS TO 60 MPH. THIS STORM WAS LOCATED NEAR TAFT...MOVING NORTH
AT 30 MPH.

SOME LOCATIONS NEAR THE PATH OF THIS STORM INCLUDE...TAFT.

THIS STORM IS LIKELY PRODUCING LARGE HAIL AND DAMAGING WINDS. SEEK
SHELTER IMMEDIATELY INSIDE A STURDY STRUCTURE AND STAY AWAY FROM
WINDOWS.

LAT...LON 3581 9539 3562 9549 3564 9560 3577 9561
      3580 9550
TIME...MOT...LOC 2353Z 187DEG 26KT 3572 9551

$$

000 
WWUS54 KTSA 240017
SVSTSA

SEVERE WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TULSA OK
717 PM CDT WED APR 23 2008

OKC101-240027-
/O.CAN.KTSA.SV.W.0236.000000T0000Z-080424T0030Z/
MUSKOGEE OK-
717 PM CDT WED APR 23 2008

...THE SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING FOR NORTHERN MUSKOGEE COUNTY IS
CANCELLED...

THE THUNDERSTORM HAS MOVED OUT OF THE WARNED AREA...THEREFORE THE
SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING HAS BEEN CANCELLED.

LAT...LON 3581 9539 3562 9549 3564 9560 3577 9561
      3580 9550
TIME...MOT...LOC 0017Z 187DEG 26KT 3589 9548

$$

What forecasters said that day

The local office's own words before this severe thunderstorm warning went out, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.

NWS Tulsa, OK wrote its last area forecast discussion before this severe thunderstorm warning went out at Apr 23, 2:49 PM CDT, 3 hours 50 minutes earlier.

Area forecast discussion, Apr 23, 2:49 PM CDT, 3 hours 50 minutes before

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TULSA OK
249 PM CDT WED APR 23 2008

.DISCUSSION...
SEVERE WEATHER AND HEAVY RAINFALL CONCERNS HIGHLIGHT THE FORECAST
OVER THE NEXT 24 HOURS.

A VERY MUDDLED SURFACE PATTERN EXISTS OVER THE SRN PLAINS...WITH A
WEAK STATIONARY FRONT NOTED NEAR THE RED RIVER AND A CONVECTIVELY
INDUCED BOUNDARY STRETCHED ACROSS SRN KS INTO SRN MO. THE BULK OF
THE CONVECTION HAS REMAINED TO OUR W AND N THROUGH
MID-AFTERNOON...BUT WE/RE BEGINNING TO SEE SCATTERED DEVELOPMENT
OVER ERN OK AND WRN AR WHERE THE ATMOSPHERE HAS BECOME QUITE UNSTABLE
AND UNCAPPED. AS SYNOPTIC-SCALE LIFT INCREASES AHEAD OF THE
APPROACHING MID-LEVEL SHORTWAVE (CURRENTLY MOVING INTO THE TX
PANHANDLE)...CONVECTION IS EXPECTED TO EXPAND IN COVERAGE ACROSS ERN
OK THIS EVENING. THIS ACTIVITY SHOULD BE MAINTAINED BY A
STRENGTHENING 40-50KT SLY/SWLY LOW-LEVEL JET...WITH CONVECTION
EVENTUALLY DEVELOPING INTO NW AR LATE THIS EVENING AND OVERNIGHT.

FORECAST CONVECTIVE PARAMETERS SUGGEST THAT THESE STORMS WILL HAVE
THE POTENTIAL TO PRODUCE LARGE HAIL LATE THIS AFTERNOON AND INTO THE
EVENING...ALTHOUGH FOCUS MAY SHIFT TO MORE OF A HEAVY RAINFALL
SCENARIO OVERNIGHT. BOTH THE GFS AND NAM ARE SUFFERING FROM
CONVECTIVE FEEDBACK...WITH THE GFS CONSISTENT IN BLOWING UP A QPF
BULLSEYE OVER SE OK WHILE THE NAM IS FARTHER N ACROSS NE OK. THESE
FEEDBACK SIGNALS...HOWEVER...ARE OFTEN INDICATIVE OF THE POTENTIAL
FOR HEAVY RAINFALL...ESPECIALLY IF SEEN IN SUBSEQUENT RUNS. GIVEN
THE STRONG LOW-LEVEL JET AND GRADUALLY INCREASING PRECIPITABLE WATER
VALUES...WON/T BE SURPRISED TO SEE THE ACTIVITY DEVELOP INTO ONE OR
MORE MCS/S AND THEY TRACK ACROSS THE FORECAST AREA. HIGHEST FLASH
FLOOD POTENTIAL WILL BE ACROSS FAR NE OK AND NW AR WHERE FLASH FLOOD
GUIDANCE VALUES ARE THE LOWEST (AND HPC QPF GUIDANCE THE
HIGHEST)...BUT WENT AHEAD WITH A FLASH FLOOD WATCH FOR THE ENTIRE
AREA TONIGHT THROUGH THURSDAY MORNING GIVEN THE UNCERTAINTY WHERE
THE HEAVY RAINFALL WILL EVENTUALLY MATERIALIZE.

THUNDERSTORMS SHOULD BE EXITING NW AR BY MID-LATE MORNING ON
THURSDAY. DROPPED POPS DOWN TO SLIGHT CHANCE BY THE AFTERNOON...AS
THE ATMOSPHERE WILL LIKELY REMAIN CAPPED.

MODELS CONSISTENT WITH TIMING OF NEXT COLD FRONT...WHICH SHOULD
APPROACH THE REGION FRIDAY MORNING AND QUICKLY MOVE THROUGH BY
FRIDAY AFTERNOON. WOULD EXPECT CONVECTION TO DEVELOP NEAR THE
FRONTAL BOUNDARY...AND SEVERE WEATHER APPEARS POSSIBLE...ESPECIALLY
OVER SE OK/WRN AR WHERE BETTER MOISTURE WILL RESIDE.

EXTENDED...SATURDAY THROUGH WEDNESDAY
ECMWF/GFS IN GOOD AGREEMENT THAT BROAD CYCLONIC FLOW WILL DEVELOP
OVER MUCH THE PLAINS INTO THE OH/TN/MS RIVER VALLEYS OVER THE
WEEKEND. THIS WILL DRIVE A COLD FRONT ACROSS THE AREA SATURDAY NIGHT
INTO SUNDAY...WITH COOLER AND DRIER WEATHER EXPECTED FOR
SUNDAY/MONDAY. A WARMING TREND WILL ENSUE THROUGH THE MIDDLE OF NEXT
WEEK AS MID-LEVEL HEIGHTS RISE AND SLY FLOW RETURNS.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
TUL   65  82  66  75 /  80  30  20  30
FSM   64  81  63  74 /  80  60  10  50
MLC   66  82  66  75 /  90  20  10  40
BVO   63  81  63  73 /  80  30  20  30
FYV   61  77  61  71 /  90  70  10  50
BYV   61  75  62  70 /  90  80  10  50
MKO   63  80  65  74 /  90  50  10  40
MIO   62  80  64  71 /  80  50  20  40
F10   65  81  65  74 /  80  30  10  40
HHW   65  82  65  77 /  90  30  10  40

&&

.TSA WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
OK...FLASH FLOOD WATCH FROM 7 PM WEDNESDAY TO NOON THURSDAY FOR
     OKZ049-OKZ053-OKZ054-OKZ055-OKZ056-OKZ057-OKZ058-OKZ059-
     OKZ060-OKZ061-OKZ062-OKZ063-OKZ064-OKZ065-OKZ066-OKZ067-
     OKZ068-OKZ069-OKZ070-OKZ071-OKZ072-OKZ073-OKZ074-OKZ075-
     OKZ076.

AR...FLASH FLOOD WATCH FROM 7 PM WEDNESDAY TO NOON THURSDAY FOR
     ARZ001-ARZ002-ARZ010-ARZ011-ARZ019-ARZ020-ARZ029.

&&

SHORT TERM...03
LONG TERM....18

In the hours before

Special weather statement, Apr 23, 5:42 PM CDT, 57 minutes before

SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TULSA OK
542 PM CDT WED APR 23 2008

OKZ053-232345-
CHOCTAW OK-
542 PM CDT WED APR 23 2008

...SIGNIFICANT WEATHER ALERT...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN TULSA HAS ISSUED A
SIGNIFICANT WEATHER ALERT EFFECTIVE UNTIL 645 PM CDT
FOR THE FOLLOWING COUNTY...

IN SOUTHEAST OKLAHOMA
     EASTERN CHOCTAW

AT 542 PM CDT...DOPPLER RADAR INDICATED A STRONG THUNDERSTORM 2 MILES
SOUTHEAST OF HUSKEY...MOVING NORTH AT 20 MPH. SOME LOCATIONS THAT
WILL BE AFFECTED BY THIS STORM INCLUDE...ORD...FROGVILLE...SAWYER...
FORT TOWSON...SWINK...MESSER...HUSKEY AND FALLON.

THIS STORM WILL BE CAPABLE OF PRODUCING SMALL HAIL AND WIND GUSTS TO
50 MPH. RESIDENTS IN THESE AREAS SHOULD REMAIN ALERT IN CASE THE
SIGNIFICANT WEATHER ALERT IS UPGRADED TO A WARNING.

LAT...LON 3387 9548 3389 9549 3412 9551 3416 9520
      3415 9515 3393 9516 3395 9523 3390 9523
      3388 9531 3385 9534
TIME...MOT...LOC 2242Z 189DEG 19KT 3395 9525

Special weather statement, Apr 23, 5:43 PM CDT, 56 minutes before

SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TULSA OK
543 PM CDT WED APR 23 2008

OKZ058-232330-
OTTAWA OK-
543 PM CDT WED APR 23 2008

...SIGNIFICANT WEATHER ALERT...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN TULSA HAS ISSUED A
SIGNIFICANT WEATHER ALERT EFFECTIVE UNTIL 630 PM CDT
FOR THE FOLLOWING COUNTY...

IN NORTHEAST OKLAHOMA
     NORTHEASTERN OTTAWA

AT 543 PM CDT...DOPPLER RADAR INDICATED STRONG THUNDERSTORMS ALONG A
LINE EXTENDING FROM 6 MILES NORTH OF PICHER TO OTTAWA...MOVING
NORTHEAST AT 25 MPH. SOME LOCATIONS THAT WILL BE AFFECTED BY THESE
STORMS INCLUDE...MIAMI...COMMERCE...WYANDOTTE...OTTAWA...PEORIA...
QUAPAW...CARDIN AND PICHER.

THESE STORMS WILL BE CAPABLE OF PRODUCING SMALL HAIL AND WIND GUSTS
TO 50 MPH. RESIDENTS IN THESE AREAS SHOULD REMAIN ALERT IN CASE THE
SIGNIFICANT WEATHER ALERT IS UPGRADED TO A WARNING.

LAT...LON 3700 9474 3700 9463 3698 9460 3678 9460
      3675 9481 3700 9494 3701 9492 3701 9476
TIME...MOT...LOC 2243Z 217DEG 22KT 3708 9486 3686 9475

Local storm report, Apr 23, 5:57 PM CDT, 42 minutes before

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TULSA OK
557 PM CDT WED APR 23 2008

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0530 PM     HAIL             LINCOLN                 35.95N 94.42W
04/23/2008  E0.75 INCH       WASHINGTON         AR   AMATEUR RADIO

&&

DMJ

Local storm report, Apr 23, 6:04 PM CDT, 35 minutes before

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TULSA OK
604 PM CDT WED APR 23 2008

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0600 PM     HAIL             EUFAULA                 35.29N 95.58W
04/23/2008  E0.75 INCH       MCINTOSH           OK   LAW ENFORCEMENT

&&

RBD

Local storm report, Apr 23, 6:17 PM CDT, 22 minutes before

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TULSA OK
617 PM CDT WED APR 23 2008

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0613 PM     HAIL             PRAIRIE GROVE           35.98N 94.32W
04/23/2008  E0.75 INCH       WASHINGTON         AR   EMERGENCY MNGR

&&

DMJ

Local storm report, Apr 23, 6:39 PM CDT, 0 minutes before

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TULSA OK
639 PM CDT WED APR 23 2008

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0620 PM     HAIL             S CHECOTAH              35.47N 95.52W
04/23/2008  E1.00 INCH       MCINTOSH           OK   EMERGENCY MNGR

            QUARTER SIZE HAIL SOUTH OF CHECOTAH

&&

DMJ

The office that day

Everything else NWS Tulsa, OK issued on the same UTC day.

Issued	Product	Office	Counties	Lasted
Apr 22, 7:06 PM CDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	TSA	Latimer, Pittsburg	42 min
Apr 23, 1:16 PM CDT	Flash Flood Watch	TSA	Adair, Cherokee, Choctaw, Craig, Creek, Delaware and 16 more	23 hr
Apr 23, 2:54 PM CDT	Special Weather Statement	TSA	Osage, Pawnee, Washington	36 min
Apr 23, 3:20 PM CDT	Special Weather Statement	TSA	Okmulgee	40 min
Apr 23, 3:30 PM CDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	TSA	Adair	45 min
Apr 23, 3:56 PM CDT	Special Weather Statement	TSA	Okmulgee, Tulsa	64 min
Apr 23, 4:09 PM CDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	TSA	Pushmataha	66 min
Apr 23, 4:25 PM CDT	Special Weather Statement	TSA	Craig, Ottawa	65 min
Apr 23, 4:43 PM CDT	Special Weather Statement	TSA	Adair	62 min
Apr 23, 4:47 PM CDT	Flash Flood Warning	TSA	Adair	4 hr
Apr 23, 4:52 PM CDT	Special Weather Statement	TSA	Washington	53 min
Apr 23, 4:56 PM CDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	TSA	Nowata, Osage, Rogers, Washington	36 min
Apr 23, 4:57 PM CDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	TSA	Latimer, LeFlore	63 min
Apr 23, 5:02 PM CDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	TSA	Adair	43 min
Apr 23, 5:39 PM CDT	Special Weather Statement	TSA	Pushmataha	36 min
Apr 23, 5:40 PM CDT	Special Weather Statement	TSA	McIntosh	65 min
Apr 23, 5:42 PM CDT	Special Weather Statement	TSA	Choctaw	63 min
Apr 23, 5:43 PM CDT	Special Weather Statement	TSA	Ottawa	47 min
Apr 23, 5:45 PM CDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	TSA	McIntosh, Pittsburg	60 min
Apr 23, 5:46 PM CDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	TSA	Haskell, LeFlore	59 min
Apr 23, 6:12 PM CDT	Flash Flood Warning	TSA	Adair, Cherokee, Delaware	12 hr
Apr 23, 6:29 PM CDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	TSA	Haskell, Sequoyah	46 min
Apr 23, 6:34 PM CDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	TSA	Choctaw, Pushmataha	46 min
Apr 23, 6:54 PM CDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	TSA	Adair, Cherokee	66 min
Apr 23, 6:56 PM CDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	TSA	Wagoner	49 min

Nearby

Severe Thunderstorm Warnings in Oklahoma, 2008 Every severe thunderstorm warning in 2008

Sources

The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; local storm reports from the same archive; the sounding from the Mesonet's radiosonde archive; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive.