River Flood Warning 20, NWS Tulsa, OK

000 
WGUS84 KTSA 190744
FLSTSA
FLOOD STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TULSA OK
244 AM CDT WED MAR 19 2008


...THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING RIVERS IN 
OKLAHOMA...
 
  KIAMICHI RIVER NEAR ANTLERS AFFECTING PUSHMATAHA COUNTY. 
  
  RED RIVER AT ARTHUR CITY AFFECTING CHOCTAW COUNTY. 
  
OKC127-191544-
/O.EXT.KTSA.FL.W.0017.000000T0000Z-080321T0300Z/
/ANTO2.2.ER.080319T0606Z.080319T1200Z.080320T2100Z.NO/
244 AM CDT WED MAR 19 2008

THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR
  THE KIAMICHI RIVER NEAR ANTLERS.
* UNTIL THURSDAY EVENING...OR UNTIL THE WARNING IS CANCELLED.
* AT  200 AM WEDNESDAY THE STAGE WAS 25.56 FEET. 
* MINOR FLOODING IS OCCURRING AND MODERATE FLOODING IS FORECAST.
* FLOOD STAGE IS 25.0 FEET. 
* FORECAST...THE KIAMICHI RIVER NEAR ANTLERS WILL CONTINUE RISING TO 
  NEAR 29.6 FEET THIS MORNING. THE RIVER WILL FALL BELOW FLOOD STAGE 
  THURSDAY AFTERNOON.
* IMPACT...AT 29.0 FEET...MODERATE FLOODING WILL OCCUR ALONG THE WEST 
  BANK OF THE KIAMICHI RIVER NEAR MOYERS.  SOME PERMANENT BUILDINGS 
  ON CAMPGROUNDS WILL BE ISOLATED.

$$

OKC023-191544-
/O.EXT.KTSA.FL.W.0020.080320T0000Z-080320T0600Z/
/ARCT2.1.ER.080320T0000Z.080320T0000Z.080320T0000Z.NO/
244 AM CDT WED MAR 19 2008

THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR
  THE RED RIVER AT ARTHUR CITY.
* FROM THIS EVENING TO LATE TONIGHT...OR UNTIL THE WARNING IS 
  CANCELLED.
* AT  200 AM WEDNESDAY THE STAGE WAS 16.12 FEET. 
* FLOOD STAGE IS 22.0 FEET. 
* FORECAST...THE RED RIVER AT ARTHUR CITY IS EXPECTED TO RISE TO NEAR
  FLOOD STAGE THIS EVENING.
* IMPACT...AT 22.0 FEET...EXPECT MINOR FLOODING BETWEEN THE MOUTH OF 
  THE BLUE RIVER AND PECAN POINT.

$$

000 
WGUS84 KTSA 191411
FLSTSA
FLOOD STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TULSA OK
911 AM CDT WED MAR 19 2008


...THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING RIVERS IN 
OKLAHOMA...
 
  KIAMICHI RIVER NEAR ANTLERS AFFECTING PUSHMATAHA COUNTY. 
  
  RED RIVER AT ARTHUR CITY AFFECTING CHOCTAW COUNTY. 
  
OKC127-192211-
/O.EXT.KTSA.FL.W.0017.000000T0000Z-080321T1206Z/
/ANTO2.2.ER.080319T0606Z.080320T1800Z.080321T0606Z.NO/
911 AM CDT WED MAR 19 2008

...FLOOD WARNING EXTENDED UNTIL FRIDAY MORNING...THE FLOOD WARNING 
CONTINUES FOR
  THE KIAMICHI RIVER NEAR ANTLERS.
* UNTIL FRIDAY MORNING...OR UNTIL THE WARNING IS CANCELLED.
* AT 800 AM WEDNESDAY THE STAGE WAS 28.37 FEET. 
* MINOR FLOODING IS OCCURRING AND MODERATE FLOODING IS FORECAST.
* FLOOD STAGE IS 25.0 FEET. 
* FORECAST...THE KIAMICHI RIVER NEAR ANTLERS WILL CONTINUE RISING TO 
  NEAR 34.1 FEET EARLY THURSDAY AFTERNOON. THE RIVER WILL FALL BELOW 
  FLOOD STAGE FRIDAY BEFORE DAWN .
* IMPACT...AT 35.0 FEET...WIDESPREAD FLOODING WILL OCCUR ALONG THE 
  WEST BANK OF THE KIAMICHI RIVER NEAR MOYERS.  BUILDINGS ON 
  CAMPGROUNDS WILL BE FLOODED.  THIS WILL EXCEED THE FLOODING WHICH 
  OCCURRED ON JULY 3 2007 WHEN THE RIVER CRESTED AT 34.51 FEET.  THE 
  CITY OF ANTLERS IS NOT THREATENED DIRECTLY BY THE KIAMICHI FLOODING
  BUT BACKWATER FLOODING WILL OCCUR ALONG BEAVER CREEK CLOSING ETHEL 
  ROAD.

$$

OKC023-192211-
/O.EXT.KTSA.FL.W.0020.080319T2308Z-080320T1200Z/
/ARCT2.1.ER.080319T2308Z.080320T0000Z.080320T0600Z.NO/
911 AM CDT WED MAR 19 2008

...FLOOD WARNING EXTENDED UNTIL THURSDAY MORNING...THE FLOOD WARNING 
CONTINUES FOR
  THE RED RIVER AT ARTHUR CITY.
* FROM THIS EVENING TO THURSDAY MORNING...OR UNTIL THE WARNING IS 
  CANCELLED.
* AT 900 AM WEDNESDAY THE STAGE WAS 18.35 FEET. 
* MINOR FLOODING IS FORECAST.
* FLOOD STAGE IS 22.0 FEET. 
* FORECAST...THE RED RIVER AT ARTHUR CITY IS EXPECTED TO RISE ABOVE 
  FLOOD STAGE THIS EVENING AND CONTINUE TO RISE TO NEAR 22.2 FEET BY 
  THIS EVENING. THE RIVER WILL FALL BELOW FLOOD STAGE THURSDAY BEFORE
  DAWN.
* IMPACT...AT 22.0 FEET...EXPECT MINOR FLOODING BETWEEN THE MOUTH OF 
  THE BLUE RIVER AND PECAN POINT.

$$

000 
WGUS84 KTSA 192001
FLSTSA
FLOOD STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TULSA OK
301 PM CDT WED MAR 19 2008

...THE FLOOD WARNING IS CANCELLED FOR THE FOLLOWING RIVERS IN 
OKLAHOMA...
 
  RED RIVER AT ARTHUR CITY AFFECTING CHOCTAW COUNTY. 
  
...THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING RIVERS IN 
OKLAHOMA...
 
  KIAMICHI RIVER NEAR ANTLERS AFFECTING PUSHMATAHA COUNTY. 
  
OKC127-200401-
/O.EXT.KTSA.FL.W.0017.000000T0000Z-080321T1320Z/
/ANTO2.2.ER.080319T0606Z.080320T1800Z.080321T0720Z.NO/
301 PM CDT WED MAR 19 2008

...FLOOD WARNING EXTENDED UNTIL FRIDAY MORNING...THE FLOOD WARNING 
CONTINUES FOR
  THE KIAMICHI RIVER NEAR ANTLERS.
* UNTIL FRIDAY MORNING...OR UNTIL THE WARNING IS CANCELLED.
* AT  200 PM WEDNESDAY THE STAGE WAS 29.25 FEET. 
* MODERATE FLOODING IS OCCURRING AND MODERATE FLOODING IS FORECAST.
* FLOOD STAGE IS 25.0 FEET. 
* FORECAST...THE KIAMICHI RIVER NEAR ANTLERS WILL CONTINUE RISING TO 
  NEAR 29.7 FEET EARLY THURSDAY AFTERNOON. THE RIVER WILL FALL BELOW 
  FLOOD STAGE FRIDAY BEFORE DAWN.
* IMPACT...AT 29.0 FEET...MODERATE FLOODING WILL OCCUR ALONG THE WEST 
  BANK OF THE KIAMICHI RIVER NEAR MOYERS.  SOME PERMANENT BUILDINGS 
  ON CAMPGROUNDS WILL BE ISOLATED.

$$

OKC023-192031-
/O.CAN.KTSA.FL.W.0020.000000T0000Z-080320T1200Z/
/ARCT2.N.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.NO/
301 PM CDT WED MAR 19 2008

THE FLOOD WARNING IS CANCELLED FOR
  THE RED RIVER AT ARTHUR CITY.
* AT  200 PM WEDNESDAY THE STAGE WAS 19.58 FEET. 
* FLOOD STAGE IS 22.0 FEET. 
* FORECAST...THE RED RIVER AT ARTHUR CITY WILL CREST BELOW FLOOD 
  STAGE AT 21.5 FEET THURSDAY BEFORE DAWN.
* IMPACT...AT 22.0 FEET...EXPECT MINOR FLOODING BETWEEN THE MOUTH OF 
  THE BLUE RIVER AND PECAN POINT.

$$

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TULSA OK
640 PM CDT TUE MAR 18 2008

.UPDATE...
AS THE FLASH FLOOD WARNINGS EXPIRE OVER THE NEXT TWO HOURS,..THE FLASH
FLOOD WARNINGS WILL BE CONVERTED TO AREAL FLOOD WARNINGS THROUGH
7 AM WEDNESDAY MORNING. AREAS OF LIGHT TO MODERATE RAIN IS EXPECTED
TO CONTINUE AND THEN SLOW DIMINISH AFTER MIDNIGHT. FLOODING PROBLEMS
WILL CONTINUE THROUGH THE NIGHT OVER MUCH OF EASTERN OKLAHOMA AND
NORTHWEST ARKANSAS THROUGH THE NIGHT. FLOODING WILL BE DIMINISHING
WEDNESDAY BUT WILL NEED TO BE CONTINUALLY MONITORED UNTIL FLOODING
SUBSIDES. MAIN STREAM FLOODING WILL LIKELY CONTINUE FOR SEVERAL DAYS
WITH INDIVIDUAL FLOOD WARNINGS FOR THE RIVER FORECAST POINTS.

&&

.TSA WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
OK...FLOOD WATCH UNTIL 7 AM WEDNESDAY FOR OKZ049-OKZ053-OKZ054-OKZ055-
     OKZ056-OKZ057-OKZ058-OKZ059-OKZ060-OKZ061-OKZ062-OKZ063-
     OKZ064-OKZ065-OKZ066-OKZ067-OKZ068-OKZ069-OKZ070-OKZ071-
     OKZ072-OKZ073-OKZ074-OKZ075-OKZ076.

AR...FLOOD WATCH UNTIL 7 AM WEDNESDAY FOR ARZ001-ARZ002-ARZ010-ARZ011-
     ARZ019-ARZ020-ARZ029.

&&

LONG TERM....15

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TULSA OK
509 PM CDT TUE MAR 18 2008

ARZ001-002-010-011-019-020-029-OKZ049-053>076-191000-
ADAIR OK-BENTON AR-CARROLL AR-CHEROKEE OK-CHOCTAW OK-CRAIG OK-
CRAWFORD AR-CREEK OK-DELAWARE OK-FRANKLIN AR-HASKELL OK-LATIMER OK-
LE FLORE OK-MADISON AR-MAYES OK-MCINTOSH OK-MUSKOGEE OK-NOWATA OK-
OKFUSKEE OK-OKMULGEE OK-OSAGE OK-OTTAWA OK-PAWNEE OK-PITTSBURG OK-
PUSHMATAHA OK-ROGERS OK-SEBASTIAN AR-SEQUOYAH OK-TULSA OK-WAGONER OK-
WASHINGTON OK-WASHINGTON AR-
440 PM CDT TUE MAR 18 2008

...SEVERE WEATHER THREAT DIMINISHING...FLOODING CONTINUES...

THIS OUTLOOK IS FOR NORTHWEST AND WEST CENTRAL ARKANSAS AS WELL AS
MUCH OF EASTERN OKLAHOMA.

.DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT.

SEVERE THUNDERSTORM.
	RISK...LIMITED.
	AREA...SOUTHEAST OKLAHOMA THROUGH NORTHWEST ARKANSAS.
	ONSET...ONGOING.

FLASH FLOOD.
	RISK...SIGNIFICANT.
	AREA...EASTERN OKLAHOMA AND NORTHWEST ARKANSAS.
	ONSET...ONGOING.

HEAVY RAIN.
	RISK...SIGNIFICANT.
	AREA...EASTERN OKLAHOMA AND NORTHWEST ARKANSAS.
	ONSET...ONGOING.

DISCUSSION...
THE SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES TO DIMINISH LATE THIS AFTERNOON
WITH THE FRONTAL BOUNDARY NOW SOUTHEAST OF THE FORECAST AREA. RAIN WITH
EMBEDDED ELEVATED THUNDERSTORMS CONTINUES IN A SWATH FROM NORTHEAST
TEXAS...ACROSS SOUTHEAST OKLAHOMA...WEST CENTRAL ARKANSAS AND INTO
NORTH CENTRAL ARKANSAS. RAIN STILL IS FALLING OVER NEARLY ALL OF THE
FORECAST AREA BUT WILL BE STARTING TO END FROM THE NORTHWEST THIS
EVENING.

THERE REMAINS A SMALL THREAT OF SEVERE WEATHER IN SOUTHEAST OKLAHOMA AND
WEST CENTRAL ARKANSAS THROUGH THE EARLY EVENING WITH HAIL BEING
THE MAIN THREAT.

A LARGE SWATH OF 3 TO 5 INCHES RAIN HAS FALLEN IN THE LAST 24 HOURS
ACROSS MUCH OF EASTERN CENTRAL OKLAHOMA INTO NORTHWEST ARKANSAS...WITH
A FEW ISOLATED SPOTS RECEIVING OVER 6 INCHES OF RAIN. THIS HEAVY
RAINFALL IS OCCURRING IN A LARGE AREA OF ATMOSPHERIC LIFT...MAINLY
NORTH OF A SLOW MOVING FRONT LOCATED OVER FAR NORTHEASTERN TEXAS
INTO NORTHERN ARKANSAS. THE AXIS OF HEAVY RAINFALL IS EXPECTED TO
GRADUALLY SHIFT EAST INTO FAR SOUTHEASTERN OKLAHOMA AND WESTERN ARKANSAS
THIS EVENING. AN ADDITIONAL 1 TO 3 INCHES OF RAIN...WITH LOCALLY HIGHER
AMOUNTS...WILL BE POSSIBLE THROUGH WEDNESDAY MORNING...MAINLY ACROSS
SOUTHEASTERN OKLAHOMA AND WEST CENTRAL ARKANSAS.

ROAD FLOODING ALONG WITH MAINSTREAM RIVER FLOODING WILL OCCUR DUE TO
THE EXCESSIVE RUNOFF.

SPOTTER AND EMERGENCY MANAGEMENT ACTION STATEMENT...
SPOTTER ACTIVATION MAY BE NEEDED.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...WEDNESDAY THROUGH MONDAY.
WEDNESDAY...NO HAZARDS.
THURSDAY...NO HAZARDS.
FRIDAY...NO HAZARDS.
SATURDAY...THUNDERSTORM POTENTIAL.
SUNDAY...NO HAZARDS.
MONDAY...NO HAZARDS.

EXTENDED DISCUSSION...
A PERIOD OF QUITE AND DRY WEATHER IS EXPECTED FOR THE REMAINDER OF
THE WEEK. AN UPPER LEVEL SYSTEM MAY AFFECT PARTS OF THE AREA OVER
THE WEEKEND...WITH A LEAST A SMALL CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS ON SATURDAY.

WWW.SRH.NOAA.GOV/TULSA CONTAINS ADDITIONAL TABULAR AND GRAPHICAL
INFORMATION.