River Flood Warning 10, NWS Tulsa, OK

000 
WGUS84 KTSA 041343
FLSTSA
FLOOD STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TULSA OK
743 AM CST TUE MAR 04 2008


...THE FLOOD WARNING IS CANCELLED FOR THE FOLLOWING RIVERS IN 
OKLAHOMA...
 
  POTEAU RIVER NEAR POTEAU AFFECTING LE FLORE COUNTY. 
  
...THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING RIVERS IN 
ARKANSAS...OKLAHOMA...
 
  ARKANSAS RIVER AT VAN BUREN AFFECTING CRAWFORD AND SEBASTIAN 
  COUNTIES. 
  
  POTEAU RIVER NEAR PANAMA AFFECTING LE FLORE COUNTY. 
  
...THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING RIVERS IN OKLAHOMA..
  ILLINOIS RIVER NEAR WATTS AFFECTING ADAIR COUNTY. 
  
  KIAMICHI RIVER NEAR ANTLERS AFFECTING PUSHMATAHA COUNTY. 
  
OKC079-041413-
/O.CAN.KTSA.FL.W.0005.000000T0000Z-080304T2007Z/
/PTAO2.1.ER.080303T1942Z.080304T0400Z.080304T1134Z.NO/
743 AM CST TUE MAR 04 2008

THE FLOOD WARNING IS CANCELLED FOR
  THE POTEAU RIVER NEAR POTEAU.
* AT  600 AM TUESDAY THE STAGE WAS 23.86 FEET. 
* THE RIVER FELL BELOW FLOOD STAGE EARLY THIS MORNING.
* FLOOD STAGE IS 24.0 FEET. 
* FORECAST...THE POTEAU RIVER NEAR POTEAU WILL CONTINUE FALLING AND 
  REMAIN BELOW FLOOD STAGE.
* IMPACT...AT 24.0 FEET...MINOR VALLEY FLOODING WILL AFFECT CROPLANDS 
  AND FARM ROADS FROM SOUTHEAST OF POTEAU TO THE MOUTH OF BRAZIL 
  CREEK.

$$

OKC079-042143-
/O.EXT.KTSA.FL.W.0006.000000T0000Z-080306T1042Z/
/PANO2.2.ER.080303T1416Z.080305T0000Z.080306T0442Z.NO/
743 AM CST TUE MAR 04 2008

...FLOOD WARNING EXTENDED UNTIL LATE WEDNESDAY NIGHT...
THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR
  THE POTEAU RIVER NEAR PANAMA.
* UNTIL LATE WEDNESDAY NIGHT...OR UNTIL THE WARNING IS CANCELLED.
* AT  700 AM TUESDAY THE STAGE WAS 37.69 FEET. 
* MODERATE FLOODING IS OCCURRING AND MODERATE FLOODING IS FORECAST.
* FLOOD STAGE IS 29.0 FEET. 
* FORECAST...THE POTEAU RIVER NEAR PANAMA WILL CONTINUE RISING TO 
  NEAR 38.3 FEET THIS EVENING. THE RIVER WILL FALL BELOW FLOOD STAGE 
  LATE WEDNESDAY EVENING.
* IMPACT...AT 39.0 FEET...SEVERE DEPTHS OF FLOODING OF CROP AND 
  PASTURELANDS WILL OCCUR FROM SHADY POINT TO ARKOMA.  SEVERAL ROADS 
  CROSSING THE POTEAU RIVER WILL BE TOTALLY IMPASSABLE.

$$

OKC001-041930-
/O.CON.KTSA.FL.W.0010.000000T0000Z-080304T1930Z/
/WTTO2.1.ER.080304T0900Z.080304T1200Z.080304T1330Z.NO/
743 AM CST TUE MAR 04 2008

THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR
  THE ILLINOIS RIVER NEAR WATTS.
* UNTIL THIS AFTERNOON...OR UNTIL THE WARNING IS CANCELLED.
* AT  700 AM TUESDAY THE STAGE WAS 11.45 FEET. 
* MINOR FLOODING IS FORECAST.
* FLOOD STAGE IS 13.0 FEET. 
* IMPACT...AT 13.0 FEET...MINOR FLOODING WILL OCCUR FROM THE ARKANSAS 
  BORDER TO CHEWEY BRIDGE.  EXTREME TURBULENCE WILL MAKE THE RIVER 
  UNSAFE FOR FLOATING.

$$

ARC033-131-041803-
/O.EXT.KTSA.FL.W.0007.000000T0000Z-080304T1803Z/
/VBUA4.1.ER.080304T0207Z.080304T0700Z.080304T1203Z.NO/
743 AM CST TUE MAR 04 2008

THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR
  THE ARKANSAS RIVER AT VAN BUREN.
* UNTIL THIS AFTERNOON...OR UNTIL THE WARNING IS CANCELLED.
* AT  100 AM TUESDAY THE STAGE WAS 22.85 FEET. 
* MINOR FLOODING IS OCCURRING.
* FLOOD STAGE IS 22.0 FEET. 
* FORECAST...THE ARKANSAS RIVER AT VAN BUREN WILL CONTINUE FALLING TO
  BELOW FLOOD STAGE BY THIS MORNING.
* IMPACT...AT 23.0 FEET...MINOR LOWLAND FLOODING WILL OCCUR ALONG THE 
  SHORELINE FROM THE I-540 BRIDGE EAST TOWARDS LAVACA.

$$

OKC127-042048-
/O.CON.KTSA.FL.W.0008.000000T0000Z-080304T2048Z/
/ANTO2.1.ER.080303T2203Z.080304T0700Z.080304T1448Z.NO/
743 AM CST TUE MAR 04 2008

THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR
  THE KIAMICHI RIVER NEAR ANTLERS.
* UNTIL THIS AFTERNOON...OR UNTIL THE WARNING IS CANCELLED.
* AT  700 AM TUESDAY THE STAGE WAS 26.31 FEET. 
* MINOR FLOODING IS OCCURRING BUT THE RIVER IS FALLING.
* FLOOD STAGE IS 25.0 FEET. 
* FORECAST...THE KIAMICHI RIVER NEAR ANTLERS WILL CONTINUE FALLING TO
  BELOW FLOOD STAGE BY THIS MORNING.
* IMPACT...AT 25.0 FEET...MINOR FLOODING BEGINS ALONG THE WEST BANK OF
  THE KIAMICHI RIVER NEAR MOYERS.  CAMPERS ALONG THE RIVER SHOULD 
  MOVE TO HIGHER GROUND.

$$

000 
WGUS84 KTSA 041431
FLSTSA
FLOOD STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TULSA OK
831 AM CST TUE MAR 04 2008


...THE FLOOD WARNING IS CANCELLED FOR THE FOLLOWING RIVERS IN ...
 
  ILLINOIS RIVER NEAR WATTS AFFECTING ADAIR COUNTY. 
  
OKC001-041501-
/O.CAN.KTSA.FL.W.0010.000000T0000Z-080304T1930Z/
/WTTO2.1.ER.080304T0900Z.080304T1000Z.080304T1000Z.NO/
831 AM CST TUE MAR 04 2008

THE FLOOD WARNING IS CANCELLED FOR
  THE ILLINOIS RIVER NEAR WATTS.
* AT  700 AM TUESDAY THE STAGE WAS 11.45 FEET. 
* THE RIVER FELL BELOW FLOOD STAGE EARLY THIS MORNING.
* FLOOD STAGE IS 13.0 FEET. 
* FORECAST...THE ILLINOIS RIVER NEAR WATTS WILL CONTINUE FALLING AND 
  REMAIN BELOW FLOOD STAGE.


$$

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TULSA OK
1231 AM CST TUE MAR 4 2008

.UPDATE...
HAVE UPGRADED TO A WINTER STORM WARNING FOR PARTS OF
WAGONER...TULSA AND OKMULGEE COUNTIES. NARROW BAND OF
MODERATE SNOW HAS ALREADY PRODUCED UP TO 3 INCHES OF
SNOW IN A FEW LOCATIONS.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
TUL   47  31  55  30 /  10   0  10  10
FSM   42  26  58  32 /  10   0  10  10
MLC   43  32  58  31 /  10   0  10  10
BVO   48  27  54  26 /  10   0  10  10
FYV   36  20  53  24 /  20   0  10  10
BYV   35  23  50  25 /  30   0  10  10
MKO   43  28  57  30 /  10   0  10  10
MIO   44  27  50  26 /  10   0  10  10
F10   46  31  56  30 /  10   0  10  10
HHW   43  34  60  34 /  10   0  10  10

&&

.TSA WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
OK...WINTER STORM WARNING UNTIL 6 AM TUESDAY FOR OKZ049-OKZ053-OKZ060-
     OKZ063-OKZ066-OKZ067-OKZ068-OKZ069-OKZ070-OKZ071-OKZ072-
     OKZ073-OKZ074-OKZ075-OKZ076.

     WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY UNTIL 6 AM TUESDAY FOR OKZ057-OKZ058-
     OKZ061-OKZ062-OKZ064-OKZ065.

AR...WINTER STORM WARNING UNTIL 6 AM TUESDAY FOR ARZ001-ARZ002-ARZ010-
     ARZ011-ARZ019-ARZ020-ARZ029.

&&

SHORT TERM...14
LONG TERM....18

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TULSA OK
1247 PM CST MON MAR 3 2008

ARZ001-002-010-011-019-020-029-OKZ049-053>076-041100-
ADAIR OK-BENTON AR-CARROLL AR-CHEROKEE OK-CHOCTAW OK-CRAIG OK-
CRAWFORD AR-CREEK OK-DELAWARE OK-FRANKLIN AR-HASKELL OK-LATIMER OK-
LE FLORE OK-MADISON AR-MAYES OK-MCINTOSH OK-MUSKOGEE OK-NOWATA OK-
OKFUSKEE OK-OKMULGEE OK-OSAGE OK-OTTAWA OK-PAWNEE OK-PITTSBURG OK-
PUSHMATAHA OK-ROGERS OK-SEBASTIAN AR-SEQUOYAH OK-TULSA OK-WAGONER OK-
WASHINGTON OK-WASHINGTON AR-
1247 PM CST MON MAR 3 2008

..SIGNIFICANT SNOWFALL EXPECTED THIS EVENING AND OVERNIGHT FOR
PARTS OF EASTERN OKLAHOMA AND NORTHWEST ARKANSAS...

THIS OUTLOOK IS FOR NORTHWEST AND WEST CENTRAL ARKANSAS AS WELL AS
MUCH OF EASTERN OKLAHOMA.

.DAY ONE...THIS AFTERNOON AND TONIGHT.

WINTER WEATHER.
	SNOW ACCUMULATION.
	RISK...ELEVATED.
	AREA...SOUTHEAST OKLAHOMA AND ALL OF NORTHWEST ARKANSAS
	ONSET...THIS EVENING.

SIGNIFICANT WINDS.
	RISK...LIMITED.
	AREA...NORTHEAST OKLAHOMA.
        ONSET...ONGOING.

DISCUSSION...
THE HEAVIER RAIN THAT PROMPTED THE FLASH FLOOD WARNINGS HAS
PUSHED OFF TO THE EAST...HOWEVER RUNOFF FROM THE HEAVIER RAINS MAY
CONTINUE MAKE SOME LOW WATER CROSSINGS IMPASSABLE THIS AFTERNOON.

COLDER AIR WILL CONTINUE TO FILTER SLOWLY SOUTH ACROSS THE
REGION THIS AFTERNOON. PRECIPITATION THATS CURRENTLY LIQUID
MAY BEGIN TO MIX WITH SLEET AN POSSIBLY SOME FREEZING RAIN BEFORE
TRANSITIONING TO SNOW DURING THE AFTERNOON ACROSS SOUTHEAST
OKLAHOMA AND NORTHWEST ARKANSAS. WARM GROUND CONDITIONS SHOULD
LIMIT ICE ACCUMULATIONS TO MAINLY ELEVATED SURFACES. ISOLATED WIND
GUSTS TO 35 MPH WILL BE POSSIBLE ACROSS NORTHEAST
OKLAHOMA THIS AFTERNOON.

THE MORE SIGNIFICANT WINTER THREAT WILL ARRIVE BY THIS EVENING AND
OVERNIGHT. A STRONG UPPER LEVEL SYSTEM CURRENTLY DIGGING ACROSS
EASTERN NEW MEXICO AND WESTERN TEXAS WILL BEGIN TO LIFT NORTHEAST
AND TRACK ACROSS SOUTHEAST OKLAHOMA AND WESTERN ARKANSAS. THIS
FORECASTED TRACK FAVORS A BAND OF LOCALLY HEAVY SNOWFALL TO SET UP
ACROSS PARTS OF EASTERN OKLAHOMA AND NORTHWEST ARKANSAS. AT THIS
TIME...A 4 TO 6 INCH SWATH OF SNOW APPEARS POSSIBLE...GENERALLY
FROM PITTSBURG COUNTY EXTENDING EAST NORTHEAST THROUGH SEBASTIAN
COUNTY... THEN FURTHER NORTHEAST ACROSS CARROLL COUNTY IN
NORTHWEST ARKANSAS. SNOWFALL AMOUNTS FARTHER SOUTH...INCLUDING FAR
SOUTHEAST OKLAHOMA APPEAR FAR LESS LIKELY AT THIS TIME. THIS AREA
WILL BE PLACED IN A WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY WHICH WILL BE
EFFECTIVE THIS EVENING. ADDITIONALLY...A WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY
REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR AREAS ROUGHLY ALONG AND NORTHWEST OF
OKMULGEE TO MIAMI. NOWATA...WASHINGTON ...OSAGE AND PAWNEE
COUNTIES REMAIN EXCLUDED AS THESE AREAS WILL SEE LIMITED EFFECTS
FROM THIS UPPER SYSTEM.

PLEASE REFER TO THE LATEST SUITE OF WINTER WEATHER
PRODUCTS...OKCWSWTSA...FOR DETAILED INFORMATION.

THE TRACK OF THE UPPER LOW REMAINS UNCERTAIN AT THIS TIME...AND
SNOWFALL FORECASTS WILL BE REFINED AS WARRANTED.

SPOTTER AND EMERGENCY MANAGEMENT ACTION STATEMENT...
EMERGENCY MANAGERS SHOULD STAY TUNED TO THE LATEST FORECASTS.
PLEASE REPORT SNOWFALL AMOUNTS TO THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN
TULSA.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...TUESDAY THROUGH SUNDAY.
TUESDAY...WINTER WEATHER POTENTIAL.
WEDNESDAY THROUGH SUNDAY...NO HAZARDS.

EXTENDED DISCUSSION...
LINGERING LIGHT SNOW WILL BE POSSIBLE OVER FAR EASTERN OKLAHOMA AND
NORTHWEST ARKANSAS EARLY TUESDAY MORNING. ONLY MINOR ACCUMULATIONS
ARE EXPECTED.

WWW.SRH.NOAA.GOV/TULSA CONTAINS ADDITIONAL TABULAR AND GRAPHICAL
INFORMATION.