Alert archive / Kansas / Winter Storm Warnings in 2008

Winter Storm Warning 2, NWS Topeka, KS

February 5, 200820 counties in Kansas

NWS Topeka, KS issued this winter storm warning at Feb 5, 2008, 3:59 AM CST for 20 counties in Kansas. It took effect at Feb 5, 2008, 6:00 AM CST. It was in force for 28 hr. 60 reports came from inside the area while it was in force.

The area

The counties it named, with what was reported inside it.

The facts

Issued
Feb 5, 2008, 3:59 AM CST (09:59 UTC)
In effect from
Feb 5, 2008, 6:00 AM CST
Expired
Feb 6, 2008, 10:00 AM CST
In force
28 hr
Issued by
NWS Topeka, KS

Counties Brown County, KS, Clay County, KS, Cloud County, KS, Dickinson County, KS, Douglas County, KS, Geary County, KS, Jackson County, KS, Jefferson County, KS, Lyon County, KS, Marshall County, KS, Morris County, KS, Nemaha County, KS, Osage County, KS, Ottawa County, KS, Pottawatomie County, KS, Republic County, KS, Riley County, KS, Shawnee County, KS, Wabaunsee County, KS, Washington County, KS

The radar

The Topeka radar (KTWX), 34 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 10:00 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.

Open the radar archive at this moment

The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.

What was reported inside it

TimeReportWhereRemark
Feb 5, 5:57 PM CSTSNOW 2Concordia, KS1 INCH OF SNOW SINCE NOON.
Feb 5, 7:05 PM CSTSNOW 2Manhattan, KSHALF INCH OF SNOW SINCE 6 PM.
Feb 5, 8:30 PM CSTSNOW 8Alma, KS
Feb 5, 8:39 PM CSTSNOW 3Alma, KS
Feb 5, 8:39 PM CSTSNOW 3Westmoreland, KS
Feb 5, 8:41 PM CSTSNOW 1Abilene, KS
Feb 5, 8:41 PM CSTSNOW 1Holton, KS
Feb 5, 8:41 PM CSTSNOW 2Blue Rapids, KS
Feb 5, 8:41 PM CSTSNOW 3Marysville, KS
Feb 5, 8:42 PM CSTSNOW 1Minneapolis, KS
Feb 5, 9:36 PM CSTSNOW 1Lawrence, KS
Feb 5, 10:01 PM CSTHEAVY SNOW 6Corning, KSSIGNIFICANT BLOWING AND DRIFTING.
Feb 5, 10:37 PM CSTSNOW 2Fairview, KS
Feb 5, 10:48 PM CSTSNOW 12 Ne Lawrence, KS
Feb 6, 1:20 AM CSTHEAVY SNOW 7Hiawatha, KS7 INCHES OF SNOW MEASURED...SNOW COVERED ROADS WITH BLOWING AND DRIFTING OF SNOW
Feb 6, 1:54 AM CSTHEAVY SNOW 4.1Topeka, KS4.1 INCHES OF SNOW MEASURED AT WFO TOP
Feb 6, 2:03 AM CSTHEAVY SNOW 4.5Lawrence, KSLOCAL LAW ENFORCEMENT REPORTS 4 TO 5 INCHES ACROSS THE CITY OF LAWRENCE
Feb 6, 2:14 AM CSTHEAVY SNOW 53 W Topeka, KSWIBW-TV REPORTS 5 INCHES OF SNOW ON THE WEST SIDE OF TOPEKA
Feb 6, 2:32 AM CSTHEAVY SNOW 4.5Overbrook, KS4.5 INCHES MEASURED IN OVERBROOK
Feb 6, 2:35 AM CSTHEAVY SNOW 7Abilene, KS6 TO 7 INCHES OF SNOW...STILL HEAVY SNOW FALLING
Feb 6, 3:23 AM CSTHEAVY SNOW 7Manhattan, KS7 INCHES MEASURED WITH UP TO 2 FOOT DRIFTS
Feb 6, 3:41 AM CSTHEAVY SNOW 4Belleville, KS
Feb 6, 3:44 AM CSTHEAVY SNOW 5Concordia, KS
Feb 6, 3:45 AM CSTHEAVY SNOW 5Minneapolis, KS
Feb 6, 3:56 AM CSTHEAVY SNOW 5Washington, KS
Feb 6, 3:58 AM CSTHEAVY SNOW 6Clay Center, KS
Feb 6, 4:09 AM CSTHEAVY SNOW 6Council Grove, KS6 INCHES MEASURED WITH ESTIMATED 2 FOOT DRIFTS
Feb 6, 4:17 AM CSTHEAVY SNOW 73 Sw Topeka, KS49 NEWS REPORTS 7 INCHES OF SNOW IN SOUTHWEST TOPEKA
Feb 6, 4:23 AM CSTHEAVY SNOW 6Marysville, KS
Feb 6, 4:23 AM CSTHEAVY SNOW 71 Se Oketo, KS
Feb 6, 4:35 AM CSTHEAVY SNOW 3.9Lawrence, KSCHANNEL 6 REPORTS 3.9 INCHES OF SNOW MEASURED IN DOWNTOWN LAWRENCE...HIGHER AMOUNTS IN WEST LAWRENCE
Feb 6, 5:00 AM CSTHEAVY SNOW 6Topeka, KSOFFICIAL NWS OBSERVATION
Feb 6, 5:05 AM CSTSNOW 6.5Beattie, KS
Feb 6, 5:05 AM CSTSNOW 7.5Manhattan, KS
Feb 6, 5:08 AM CSTHEAVY SNOW 9Alma, KS
Feb 6, 5:13 AM CSTHEAVY SNOW 4.51 W Lawrence, KS
Feb 6, 5:15 AM CSTHEAVY SNOW 61 Sw Lawrence, KS
Feb 6, 5:17 AM CSTHEAVY SNOW 61 Sw Lawrence, KS
Feb 6, 5:22 AM CSTSNOW 8.51 Nw Circleville, KS
Feb 6, 5:44 AM CSTHEAVY SNOW 4Admire, KS
Feb 6, 5:44 AM CSTHEAVY SNOW 4Emporia, KS
Feb 6, 5:50 AM CSTHEAVY SNOW 4Lyndon, KS
Feb 6, 6:05 AM CSTSNOW 7.5Manhattan, KS
Feb 6, 6:16 AM CSTHEAVY SNOW 7White City, KS7 INCHES MEASURED WITH SNOW PACKED ROADS
Feb 6, 6:35 AM CSTSNOW 6.5Beattie, KS
Feb 6, 6:39 AM CSTSNOW 6.53 Sw Oskaloosa, KS
Feb 6, 6:58 AM CSTSNOW 51 S Westmoreland, KS
Feb 6, 7:02 AM CSTSNOW 5White City, KS
Feb 6, 7:02 AM CSTSNOW 8White City, KS
Feb 6, 7:03 AM CSTSNOW 8Westmoreland, KSESTIMATED 5 TO 8 INCHES ACROSS THE COUNTY
Feb 6, 7:06 AM CSTSNOW 8Seneca, KSESTIMATED UP TO 8 INCHES COUNTY WIDE WITH 1 FOOT SNOW DRIFTS
Feb 6, 7:06 AM CSTSNOW 8Tescott, KS
Feb 6, 7:11 AM CSTSNOW 7White City, KS
Feb 6, 7:14 AM CSTSNOW 3Wilsey, KS
Feb 6, 7:17 AM CSTSNOW 9Alta Vista, KS
Feb 6, 7:19 AM CSTSNOW 55 Se Scranton, KS
Feb 6, 7:21 AM CSTSNOW 42 Ne Ada, KS
Feb 6, 7:22 AM CSTSNOW 55 E Burdick, KS
Feb 6, 7:40 AM CSTHEAVY SNOW 84 W Topeka, KS
Feb 6, 7:40 AM CSTHEAVY SNOW 8Hiawatha, KS2 TO 3 FOOT SNOW DRIFTS

Local storm reports filed while the alert was in force, from inside its polygon or its counties.

The nearest sounding before it

Topeka, KS (KTOP), launched 00:00Z, 10.0 hours before the alert went out and 76 km from the middle of its area. This is the routine balloon launch nearest before it, the air the forecaster had in hand, not a measurement taken for the alert.

Skew-T log-pSkew-T log-p diagram, Topeka, KS at 00:00Z on 2008-02-05Temperature and dew point through the depth of the atmosphere, with the mixed-layer parcel. CAPE 0 joules per kilogram.LCL10008507005003002001001 km2 km3 km6 km9 km12 km15 km-30°-20°-10°0°10°20°30°40°
Temperature in red, dew point in green, the mixed-layer parcel dashed.
HodographHodograph, Topeka, KS at 00:00Z on 2008-02-05The wind through the lowest 10 kilometers. Zero to 1 km storm-relative helicity 200 square meters per square second.1939587897117Sfc1 km3 km6 km9 kmRMLM
The wind turning with height, colored by layer: ground to 1 km, 1 to 3 km, 3 to 6 km, 6 to 10 km.
Mixed-layer CAPE
0 J/kg
Mixed-layer CIN
No buoyant parcel
Mixed-layer LCL
1192 m above ground
0-6 km bulk shear
81 kt
0-1 km storm-relative helicity
200 m²/s²
0-3 km storm-relative helicity
274 m²/s²
Significant tornado parameter
0.0
Supercell composite
0.0

Open this sounding in Storm Lab

The text

As transmitted, in the capitals the NWS used until 2016.

000 
WWUS43 KTOP 050959
WSWTOP

URGENT - WINTER WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TOPEKA KS
359 AM CST TUE FEB 5 2008

...POTENT WINTER STORM TO STRIKE TODAY AND TONIGHT...

.A STRONG STORM SYSTEM CENTERED OVER THE SOUTHERN ROCKIES THIS
MORNING WILL PUSH NORTHEAST THROUGH THE CENTRAL PLAINS THIS
AFTERNOON AND TONIGHT. PLENTIFUL MOISTURE WILL COMBINE WITH
SEASONABLE TEMPERATURES TO BRING SIGNIFICANT WINTRY PRECIPITATION
TO THE AREA. 

KSZ024-026-037>039-051800-
/O.UPG.KTOP.WS.A.0002.080205T1800Z-080206T0900Z/
/O.NEW.KTOP.WS.W.0002.080205T1200Z-080206T1200Z/
JACKSON-JEFFERSON-MORRIS-WABAUNSEE-SHAWNEE-
INCLUDING THE CITY OF...TOPEKA
359 AM CST TUE FEB 5 2008

...WINTER STORM WARNING IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 AM CST WEDNESDAY...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN TOPEKA HAS ISSUED A WINTER STORM
WARNING...WHICH IS IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 AM CST WEDNESDAY. THE WINTER
STORM WATCH IS NO LONGER IN EFFECT. 

PRECIPITATION WILL BEGIN AS A MIXTURE OF FREEZING RAIN AND SLEET
THIS MORNING...CHANGING OVER TO SNOW LATE THIS AFTERNOON. MINOR
ACCUMULATIONS OF FREEZING RAIN ON BRIDGES AND OVERPASSES ARE
FORECAST...ALONG WITH AROUND A QUARTER OF AN INCH OF SLEET. THE
SNOW WILL PERSIST THROUGH MUCH OF THE NIGHT...WITH HEAVY SNOW
FALLING AT TIMES. TOTAL SNOW ACCUMULATIONS OF FOUR TO EIGHT INCHES
ARE EXPECTED...WITH LOCALLY HIGHER AMOUNTS POSSIBLE. NORTH WINDS
OF AROUND 20 MPH WITH GUSTS TO AROUND 30 MPH WILL CAUSE BLOWING
AND DRIFTING OF THE SNOW.

REMEMBER...A WINTER STORM WARNING MEANS SEVERE WINTER WEATHER
CONDITIONS ARE IMMINENT OR HIGHLY LIKELY.

$$

KSZ008>012-020>023-034>036-051800-
/O.UPG.KTOP.WS.A.0002.080205T1200Z-080206T0600Z/
/O.NEW.KTOP.WS.W.0002.080205T1200Z-080206T1200Z/
REPUBLIC-WASHINGTON-MARSHALL-NEMAHA-BROWN-CLOUD-CLAY-RILEY-
POTTAWATOMIE-OTTAWA-DICKINSON-GEARY-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...MARYSVILLE...HIAWATHA...CONCORDIA...
CLAY CENTER...MANHATTAN...ABILENE...JUNCTION CITY
359 AM CST TUE FEB 5 2008

...WINTER STORM WARNING IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 AM CST WEDNESDAY...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN TOPEKA HAS ISSUED A WINTER STORM
WARNING...WHICH IS IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 AM CST WEDNESDAY. THE WINTER
STORM WATCH IS NO LONGER IN EFFECT. 

PRECIPITATION WILL BEGIN AS A MIXTURE OF SLEET AND SNOW THIS
MORNING...CHANGING COMPLETELY TO SNOW EARLY THIS AFTERNOON. SLEET
ACCUMULATIONS OF UP TO ONE QUARTER OF AN INCH ARE FORECAST. THE
SNOW WILL PERSIST THROUGH MUCH OF THE NIGHT...WITH HEAVY SNOW
FALLING AT TIMES. TOTAL SNOW ACCUMULATIONS OF SIX TO TEN INCHES
ARE EXPECTED...WITH LOCALLY HIGHER AMOUNTS POSSIBLE. NORTH WINDS
OF AROUND 20 MPH WITH GUSTS TO AROUND 30 MPH WILL CAUSE BLOWING
AND DRIFTING OF THE SNOW.

REMEMBER...A WINTER STORM WARNING MEANS SEVERE WINTER WEATHER
CONDITIONS ARE IMMINENT OR HIGHLY LIKELY.

$$

KSZ040-054>056-058-059-051800-
/O.UPG.KTOP.WS.A.0002.080205T1800Z-080206T0900Z/
/O.NEW.KTOP.WW.Y.0002.080205T1800Z-080206T1200Z/
DOUGLAS-LYON-OSAGE-FRANKLIN-COFFEY-ANDERSON-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...LAWRENCE...EMPORIA...OTTAWA
359 AM CST TUE FEB 5 2008

...WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY IN EFFECT FROM NOON TODAY TO 6 AM CST
WEDNESDAY...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN TOPEKA HAS ISSUED A WINTER
WEATHER ADVISORY...WHICH IS IN EFFECT FROM NOON TODAY TO 6 AM CST
WEDNESDAY. THE WINTER STORM WATCH IS NO LONGER IN EFFECT. 

FREEZING RAIN...SLEET...AND SNOW WILL DEVELOP THIS
AFTERNOON...CHANGING COMPLETELY TO SNOW THIS EVENING. MINOR
ACCUMULATIONS OF FREEZING RAIN ON BRIDGES AND OVERPASSES ARE
FORECAST...ALONG WITH AROUND A QUARTER OF AN INCH OF SLEET. THE
SNOW WILL PERSIST THROUGH MUCH OF THE NIGHT...WITH HEAVY SNOW
POSSIBLE AT TIMES. TOTAL SNOW ACCUMULATIONS OF TWO TO FIVE INCHES
ARE EXPECTED...WITH LOCALLY HIGHER AMOUNTS POSSIBLE.

A WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY MEANS THAT PERIODS OF SNOW...SLEET...OR
FREEZING RAIN WILL CAUSE TRAVEL DIFFICULTIES. BE PREPARED FOR
SLIPPERY ROADS AND LIMITED VISIBILITIES...AND USE CAUTION WHILE
DRIVING.

$$
6 follow-up statements
000 
WWUS43 KTOP 051737
WSWTOP

URGENT - WINTER WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TOPEKA KS
1137 AM CST TUE FEB 5 2008

...POTENT WINTER STORM TO STRIKE TODAY AND TONIGHT...

.A STRONG STORM SYSTEM WILL PUSH NORTHEAST THROUGH THE CENTRAL
PLAINS THIS AFTERNOON AND TONIGHT. PLENTIFUL MOISTURE WILL COMBINE
WITH SEASONABLE TEMPERATURES TO BRING SIGNIFICANT WINTRY
PRECIPITATION TO THE AREA.

KSZ008>012-020>024-026-034>039-060000-
/O.CON.KTOP.WS.W.0002.000000T0000Z-080206T1200Z/
REPUBLIC-WASHINGTON-MARSHALL-NEMAHA-BROWN-CLOUD-CLAY-RILEY-
POTTAWATOMIE-JACKSON-JEFFERSON-OTTAWA-DICKINSON-GEARY-MORRIS-
WABAUNSEE-SHAWNEE-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...MARYSVILLE...HIAWATHA...CONCORDIA...
CLAY CENTER...MANHATTAN...ABILENE...JUNCTION CITY...TOPEKA
1137 AM CST TUE FEB 5 2008

...WINTER STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 AM CST
WEDNESDAY...

A WINTER STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 AM CST
WEDNESDAY. 

AREAS NORTHWEST OF MANHATTAN HAVE CHANGED OVER TO SNOW THIS
MORNING...WITH A WINTRY MIX EXPECTED TO THE SOUTHEAST.
PRECIPITATION THERE WILL BEGIN AS A MIXTURE OF FREEZING RAIN AND
SLEET...AND CHANGE OVER TO SNOW LATE THIS AFTERNOON. MINOR
ACCUMULATIONS OF FREEZING RAIN ON BRIDGES AND OVERPASSES ARE
FORECAST...ALONG WITH AROUND A QUARTER OF AN INCH OF SLEET. THE
SNOW WILL PERSIST THROUGH MUCH OF THE NIGHT...WITH HEAVY SNOW
FALLING AT TIMES ESPECIALLY IN THE EVENING HOURS. TOTAL SNOW
ACCUMULATIONS OF FOUR TO EIGHT INCHES ARE EXPECTED...WITH LOCALLY
HIGHER AMOUNTS POSSIBLE. NORTH WINDS OF AROUND 20 MPH WITH GUSTS
TO AROUND 30 MPH WILL CAUSE BLOWING AND DRIFTING OF THE SNOW.

REMEMBER...A WINTER STORM WARNING MEANS SEVERE WINTER WEATHER
CONDITIONS ARE IMMINENT OR HIGHLY LIKELY.

$$

KSZ040-054>056-058-059-060000-
/O.CON.KTOP.WW.Y.0002.080205T1800Z-080206T1200Z/
DOUGLAS-LYON-OSAGE-FRANKLIN-COFFEY-ANDERSON-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...LAWRENCE...EMPORIA...OTTAWA
1137 AM CST TUE FEB 5 2008

...WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 AM CST
WEDNESDAY...

A WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 AM CST
WEDNESDAY. 

RAIN SHOWERS LATE THIS MORNING AND EARLY THIS AFTERNOON WILL
CHANGE OVER TO A WINTRY MIX THIS AFTERNOON. FREEZING
RAIN...SLEET...AND SNOW WILL DEVELOP THIS AFTERNOON...CHANGING
COMPLETELY TO SNOW THIS EVENING. MINOR ACCUMULATIONS OF FREEZING
RAIN ON BRIDGES AND OVERPASSES ARE FORECAST...ALONG WITH AROUND A
QUARTER OF AN INCH OF SLEET. THE SNOW WILL THEN PERSIST THROUGH
MUCH OF THE NIGHT WITH HEAVY SNOW AT TIMES...ESPECIALLY IN THE
EVENING HOURS. TOTAL SNOW ACCUMULATIONS OF TWO TO FIVE INCHES ARE
EXPECTED... WITH LOCALLY HIGHER AMOUNTS POSSIBLE.

A WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY MEANS THAT PERIODS OF SNOW...SLEET...OR
FREEZING RAIN WILL CAUSE TRAVEL DIFFICULTIES. BE PREPARED FOR
SLIPPERY ROADS AND LIMITED VISIBILITIES...AND USE CAUTION WHILE
DRIVING.

$$
000 
WWUS43 KTOP 052130
WSWTOP

URGENT - WINTER WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TOPEKA KS
330 PM CST TUE FEB 5 2008

...POTENT WINTER STORM TO STRIKE THIS AFTERNOON INTO TONIGHT...

.A STRONG STORM SYSTEM WILL MOVE NORTHEAST THROUGH THE CENTRAL
PLAINS THIS EVENING AND OVERNIGHT. PLENTIFUL MOISTURE WILL
COMBINE WITH SEASONABLE TEMPERATURES TO BRING SIGNIFICANT WINTRY
PRECIPITATION TO THE AREA.

KSZ040-054-055-060530-
/O.UPG.KTOP.WW.Y.0002.000000T0000Z-080206T1200Z/
/O.EXA.KTOP.WS.W.0002.000000T0000Z-080206T1200Z/
DOUGLAS-LYON-OSAGE-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...LAWRENCE...EMPORIA
330 PM CST TUE FEB 5 2008

...WINTER STORM WARNING IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 AM CST WEDNESDAY...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN TOPEKA HAS ISSUED A WINTER STORM
WARNING...WHICH IS IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 AM CST WEDNESDAY. THE WINTER
WEATHER ADVISORY IS NO LONGER IN EFFECT. 

AREAS NORTHWEST OF A LINE FROM ABILENE TO MANHATTAN TO HIAWATHA
HAVE CHANGED OVER TO MAINLY SNOW THIS AFTERNOON...WITH A WINTRY
MIX OF SLEET...LIGHT SNOW AND DRIZZLE TO THE SOUTHEAST.
PRECIPITATION WILL BEGIN TO TRANSITION FROM A MIXTURE OF SLEET AND
SNOW TO ALL SNOW DURING THE EVENING HOURS. MINOR ACCUMULATIONS OF
FREEZING DRIZZLE ON BRIDGES AND OVERPASSES ARE FORECAST...ALONG
WITH AROUND A TENTH TO QUARTER OF AN INCH OF SLEET IN SOME AREAS.
THE SNOW WILL PERSIST THROUGH MUCH OF THE EVENING AND OVERNIGHT
HOURS...WITH HEAVY SNOW FALLING AT TIMES. TOTAL SNOW ACCUMULATIONS
OF FOUR TO SEVEN INCHES ARE EXPECTED...WITH LOCALLY HIGHER AMOUNTS
POSSIBLE. NORTH WINDS OF AROUND 20 MPH WITH GUSTS TO AROUND 30 MPH
WILL CAUSE BLOWING AND DRIFTING OF THE SNOW.

REMEMBER...A WINTER STORM WARNING MEANS SEVERE WINTER WEATHER
CONDITIONS ARE IMMINENT OR HIGHLY LIKELY.

$$

KSZ008>012-020>024-026-034>039-060530-
/O.CON.KTOP.WS.W.0002.000000T0000Z-080206T1200Z/
REPUBLIC-WASHINGTON-MARSHALL-NEMAHA-BROWN-CLOUD-CLAY-RILEY-
POTTAWATOMIE-JACKSON-JEFFERSON-OTTAWA-DICKINSON-GEARY-MORRIS-
WABAUNSEE-SHAWNEE-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...MARYSVILLE...HIAWATHA...CONCORDIA...
CLAY CENTER...MANHATTAN...ABILENE...JUNCTION CITY...TOPEKA
330 PM CST TUE FEB 5 2008

...WINTER STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 AM CST
WEDNESDAY...

AREAS NORTHWEST OF A LINE FROM ABILENE TO MANHATTAN TO HIAWATHA
HAVE CHANGED OVER TO MAINLY SNOW THIS AFTERNOON...WITH A WINTRY
MIX OF SLEET...LIGHT SNOW AND DRIZZLE TO THE SOUTHEAST.
PRECIPITATION WILL BEGIN TO TRANSITION FROM A MIXTURE OF SLEET AND
SNOW TO ALL SNOW DURING THE EVENING HOURS. MINOR ACCUMULATIONS OF
FREEZING DRIZZLE ON BRIDGES AND OVERPASSES ARE FORECAST...ALONG
WITH AROUND A TENTH TO QUARTER OF AN INCH OF SLEET IN SOME AREAS.
THE SNOW WILL PERSIST THROUGH MUCH OF THE EVENING AND OVERNIGHT
HOURS...WITH HEAVY SNOW FALLING AT TIMES. TOTAL SNOW ACCUMULATIONS
OF FOUR TO SEVEN INCHES ARE EXPECTED...WITH LOCALLY HIGHER AMOUNTS
POSSIBLE. NORTH WINDS OF AROUND 20 MPH WITH GUSTS TO AROUND 30 MPH
WILL CAUSE BLOWING AND DRIFTING OF THE SNOW.

REMEMBER...A WINTER STORM WARNING MEANS SEVERE WINTER WEATHER
CONDITIONS ARE IMMINENT OR HIGHLY LIKELY.

$$

KSZ056-058-059-060530-
/O.CON.KTOP.WW.Y.0002.000000T0000Z-080206T1200Z/
FRANKLIN-COFFEY-ANDERSON-
INCLUDING THE CITY OF...OTTAWA
330 PM CST TUE FEB 5 2008

...WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 AM CST
WEDNESDAY...

RAIN SHOWERS THIS AFTERNOON WILL CHANGE OVER TO A WINTRY MIX THIS
EVENING. FREEZING RAIN...SLEET...AND SNOW WILL DEVELOP THIS
LATE THIS AFTERNOON...CHANGING COMPLETELY TO SNOW DURING THE
EVENING HOURS. MINOR ACCUMULATIONS OF FREEZING RAIN ON BRIDGES
AND OVERPASSES ARE FORECAST...ALONG WITH AROUND A TENTH TO QUARTER
OF AN INCH OF SLEET. THE SNOW WILL THEN PERSIST THROUGH MUCH OF
THE NIGHT WITH HEAVY SNOW AT TIMES...ESPECIALLY IN THE EVENING AND
OVERNIGHT HOURS. TOTAL SNOW ACCUMULATIONS OF TWO TO FIVE INCHES
ARE EXPECTED... WITH LOCALLY HIGHER AMOUNTS POSSIBLE.

A WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY MEANS THAT PERIODS OF SNOW...SLEET...OR
FREEZING RAIN WILL CAUSE TRAVEL DIFFICULTIES. BE PREPARED FOR
SLIPPERY ROADS AND LIMITED VISIBILITIES...AND USE CAUTION WHILE
DRIVING.

$$

BLAIR
000 
WWUS43 KTOP 060336
WSWTOP

URGENT - WINTER WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TOPEKA KS
936 PM CST TUE FEB 5 2008


KSZ011-012-023-024-026-038>040-055-061145-
/O.EXT.KTOP.WS.W.0002.000000T0000Z-080206T1600Z/
NEMAHA-BROWN-POTTAWATOMIE-JACKSON-JEFFERSON-WABAUNSEE-SHAWNEE-
DOUGLAS-OSAGE-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...HIAWATHA...TOPEKA...LAWRENCE
936 PM CST TUE FEB 5 2008

...WINTER STORM WARNING NOW IN EFFECT UNTIL 10 AM CST WEDNESDAY...

THE WINTER STORM WARNING IS NOW IN EFFECT UNTIL 10 AM CST
WEDNESDAY. 

A STRONG WINTER STORM WILL CONTINUE TO IMPACT THE AREA THROUGH THE
NIGHT AND INTO WEDNESDAY MORNING. SNOW...OCCASIONALLY
HEAVY...WILL CONTINUE OVERNIGHT. THE HEAVIEST SNOWFALL IS LIKELY
TO FALL WITHIN 40 MILES NORTH AND SOUTH OF A LINE FROM NEAR ALMA
TO HOLTON TO HIAWATHA. IN THIS LINE 5 TO 8 INCHES OF SNOW IS
LIKELY WITH LOCALLY HIGHER AMOUNTS. OTHERWISE AMOUNTS ARE LIKELY
TO BE IN THE 4 TO 6 INCH RANGE. SNOW WILL START TO TAPER TO
FLURRIES WEDNESDAY MORNING...BEFORE ENDING BY NOON. 

IN ADDITION TO THE SNOW...NORTH WINDS OF 15 TO 25 MPH WITH GUSTS
TO 30 MPH WILL CREATE CONSIDERABLE AREAS OF BLOWING AND DRIFTING
SNOW. VISIBILITIES WITH SNOW AND BLOWING SNOW ARE LIKELY TO BE
LESS THAN A HALF MILE AT TIMES THROUGH THE NIGHT. THIS WILL MAKE
TRAVEL VERY DIFFICULT THROUGH THE NIGHT AND INTO WEDNESDAY
MORNING.  

REMEMBER...A WINTER STORM WARNING MEANS SEVERE WINTER WEATHER
CONDITIONS ARE IMMINENT OR HIGHLY LIKELY.

$$

KSZ008>010-020>022-034>037-054-061145-
/O.CON.KTOP.WS.W.0002.000000T0000Z-080206T1200Z/
REPUBLIC-WASHINGTON-MARSHALL-CLOUD-CLAY-RILEY-OTTAWA-DICKINSON-
GEARY-MORRIS-LYON-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...MARYSVILLE...CONCORDIA...CLAY CENTER...
MANHATTAN...ABILENE...JUNCTION CITY...EMPORIA
936 PM CST TUE FEB 5 2008

...WINTER STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 AM CST
WEDNESDAY...

A WINTER STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 AM CST
WEDNESDAY. 

LIGHT TO OCCASIONAL MODERATE SNOW WILL CONTINUE INTO THE OVERNIGHT
HOURS. ADDITIONAL SNOWFALL OF 1 TO 3 INCHES IS LIKELY WITH STORM
TOTAL ACCUMULATION OF 3 TO 6 INCHES EXPECTED. NORTH WINDS OF 15
TO 25 MPH WILL CREATE CONSIDERABLE BLOWING AND DRIFTING SNOW. THE
SNOW AND BLOWING SNOW WILL ALLOW FOR VERY LOW VISIBILITIES IN OPEN
AREAS. THIS WILL MAKE TRAVEL DIFFICULT OVERNIGHT.

REMEMBER...A WINTER STORM WARNING MEANS SEVERE WINTER WEATHER
CONDITIONS ARE IMMINENT OR HIGHLY LIKELY.

$$

KSZ056-058-059-061145-
/O.EXT.KTOP.WW.Y.0002.000000T0000Z-080206T1600Z/
FRANKLIN-COFFEY-ANDERSON-
INCLUDING THE CITY OF...OTTAWA
936 PM CST TUE FEB 5 2008

...WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY NOW IN EFFECT UNTIL 10 AM CST
WEDNESDAY...

THE WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY IS NOW IN EFFECT UNTIL 10 AM CST
WEDNESDAY. 

PERIODS OF SNOW WILL CONTINUE OVERNIGHT AND INTO WEDNESDAY
MORNING. SNOWFALL AMOUNTS BY MID WEDNESDAY MORNING WILL RANGE FROM
2 TO 5 INCHES. NORTH WINDS OF 15 TO 25 MPH WITH GUSTS TO 30 MPH
WILL CREATE AREAS OF BLOWING AND DRIFTING SNOW. TRAVEL IS LIKELY
TO BECOMING INCREASINGLY HARD OVERNIGHT AND INTO WEDNESDAY
MORNING.  

A WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY MEANS THAT PERIODS OF SNOW...SLEET...OR
FREEZING RAIN WILL CAUSE TRAVEL DIFFICULTIES. BE PREPARED FOR
SLIPPERY ROADS AND LIMITED VISIBILITIES...AND USE CAUTION WHILE
DRIVING.

$$

BOUSTEAD
000 
WWUS43 KTOP 061113
WSWTOP

URGENT - WINTER WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TOPEKA KS
513 AM CST WED FEB 6 2008

KSZ037-054-061600-
/O.EXT.KTOP.WS.W.0002.000000T0000Z-080206T1600Z/
MORRIS-LYON-
INCLUDING THE CITY OF...EMPORIA
513 AM CST WED FEB 6 2008

...WINTER STORM WARNING NOW IN EFFECT UNTIL 10 AM CST THIS
MORNING...

A STRONG WINTER STORM WILL CONTINUE TO IMPACT THE AREA THROUGH
THE MID MORNING HOURS...BEFORE THE SNOW WILL END FROM WEST TO
EAST. MODERATE SNOW...OCCASIONALLY HEAVY...WILL CONTINUE THROUGH
MID MORNING. THE HEAVIEST SNOWFALL IS EXPECTED ALONG AN AREA FROM
COUNCIL GROVE TO ALMA TO TOPEKA TO HOLTON. ADDITIONAL SNOWFALL OF
1 TO 3 INCHES IS POSSIBLE WITH STORM TOTAL ACCUMULATION OF 4 TO 7
INCHES EXPECTED.

IN ADDITION TO THE SNOW...NORTH WINDS OF 15 TO 25 MPH WILL CREATE
CONSIDERABLE AREAS OF BLOWING AND DRIFTING SNOW. VISIBILITIES WITH
SNOW AND BLOWING SNOW ARE LIKELY TO BE LESS THAN ONE MILE AT TIMES.
THIS WILL MAKE TRAVEL VERY DIFFICULT THROUGH THE REMAINDER OF THE
MORNING HOURS.

REMEMBER...A WINTER STORM WARNING MEANS SEVERE WINTER WEATHER
CONDITIONS ARE IMMINENT OR HIGHLY LIKELY.

$$

KSZ011-012-023-024-026-038>040-055-061600-
/O.CON.KTOP.WS.W.0002.000000T0000Z-080206T1600Z/
NEMAHA-BROWN-POTTAWATOMIE-JACKSON-JEFFERSON-WABAUNSEE-SHAWNEE-
DOUGLAS-OSAGE-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...HIAWATHA...TOPEKA...LAWRENCE
513 AM CST WED FEB 6 2008

...WINTER STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 10 AM CST THIS
MORNING...

A STRONG WINTER STORM WILL CONTINUE TO IMPACT THE AREA THROUGH
THE MID MORNING HOURS...BEFORE THE SNOW WILL END FROM WEST TO
EAST. MODERATE SNOW...OCCASIONALLY HEAVY...WILL CONTINUE THROUGH
MID MORNING. THE HEAVIEST SNOWFALL IS EXPECTED ALONG AN AREA FROM
COUNCIL GROVE TO ALMA TO TOPEKA TO HOLTON. ADDITIONAL SNOWFALL OF
1 TO 3 INCHES IS POSSIBLE WITH STORM TOTAL ACCUMULATION OF 6 TO 10
INCHES EXPECTED.

IN ADDITION TO THE SNOW...NORTH WINDS OF 15 TO 25 MPH WILL CREATE
CONSIDERABLE AREAS OF BLOWING AND DRIFTING SNOW. VISIBILITIES WITH
SNOW AND BLOWING SNOW ARE LIKELY TO BE LESS THAN ONE MILE AT TIMES.
THIS WILL MAKE TRAVEL VERY DIFFICULT THROUGH THE REMAINDER OF THE
MORNING HOURS.

REMEMBER...A WINTER STORM WARNING MEANS SEVERE WINTER WEATHER
CONDITIONS ARE IMMINENT OR HIGHLY LIKELY.

$$

KSZ008>010-020>022-034>036-061215-
/O.CON.KTOP.WS.W.0002.000000T0000Z-080206T1200Z/
REPUBLIC-WASHINGTON-MARSHALL-CLOUD-CLAY-RILEY-OTTAWA-DICKINSON-
GEARY-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...MARYSVILLE...CONCORDIA...CLAY CENTER...
MANHATTAN...ABILENE...JUNCTION CITY
513 AM CST WED FEB 6 2008

...WINTER STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 AM CST EARLY
THIS MORNING...

LIGHT TO OCCASIONAL MODERATE SNOW WILL CONTINUE INTO THE
EARLY MORNING HOURS. ADDITIONAL SNOWFALL OF 1 TO 2 INCHES IS
POSSIBLE WITH STORM TOTAL ACCUMULATION OF 4 TO 7 INCHES EXPECTED.
NORTH WINDS OF 15 TO 25 MPH WILL CREATE AREAS OF BLOWING AND
DRIFTING SNOW. THE SNOW AND BLOWING SNOW WILL ALLOW FOR VERY LOW
VISIBILITIES IN OPEN AREAS. THIS WILL MAKE TRAVEL DIFFICULT DURING
THE MORNING HOURS. THE SNOW IS EXPECTED TO END SHORTLY AFTER
SUNRISE.

REMEMBER...A WINTER STORM WARNING MEANS SEVERE WINTER WEATHER
CONDITIONS ARE IMMINENT OR HIGHLY LIKELY.

$$

KSZ056-058-059-061600-
/O.CON.KTOP.WW.Y.0002.000000T0000Z-080206T1600Z/
FRANKLIN-COFFEY-ANDERSON-
INCLUDING THE CITY OF...OTTAWA
513 AM CST WED FEB 6 2008

...WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 10 AM CST THIS
MORNING...

PERIODS OF SNOW WILL CONTINUE TO SPREAD ACROSS PORTIONS OF EAST
CENTRAL KANSAS...BEFORE ENDING DURING THE LATE MORNING HOURS.
SNOWFALL AMOUNTS BY MID MORNING WILL RANGE FROM 2 TO 4 INCHES.
NORTH WINDS OF 15 TO 25 MPH WILL CREATE AREAS OF BLOWING AND
DRIFTING SNOW. TRAVEL IS LIKELY TO BECOMING INCREASINGLY DIFFICULT
DURING THE MORNING.

A WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY MEANS THAT PERIODS OF SNOW...SLEET...OR
FREEZING RAIN WILL CAUSE TRAVEL DIFFICULTIES. BE PREPARED FOR
SLIPPERY ROADS AND LIMITED VISIBILITIES...AND USE CAUTION WHILE
DRIVING.

$$

BLAIR
000 
WWUS43 KTOP 061205
WSWTOP

URGENT - WINTER WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TOPEKA KS
605 AM CST WED FEB 6 2008

KSZ008>010-020>022-034>036-061315-
/O.EXP.KTOP.WS.W.0002.000000T0000Z-080206T1200Z/
REPUBLIC-WASHINGTON-MARSHALL-CLOUD-CLAY-RILEY-OTTAWA-DICKINSON-
GEARY-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...MARYSVILLE...CONCORDIA...CLAY CENTER...
MANHATTAN...ABILENE...JUNCTION CITY
605 AM CST WED FEB 6 2008

...WINTER STORM WARNING WILL EXPIRE AT 6 AM CST EARLY THIS
MORNING...

THE WINTER STORM WARNING WILL EXPIRE AT 6 AM CST EARLY THIS
MORNING. 

LIGHT SNOW WILL BE POSSIBLE THROUGH THE MID MORNING HOURS.
ADDITONAL SNOW ACCUMULATION WILL BE LESS THAN ONE INCH.

$$

KSZ011-012-023-024-026-037>040-054-055-061600-
/O.CON.KTOP.WS.W.0002.000000T0000Z-080206T1600Z/
NEMAHA-BROWN-POTTAWATOMIE-JACKSON-JEFFERSON-MORRIS-WABAUNSEE-
SHAWNEE-DOUGLAS-LYON-OSAGE-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...HIAWATHA...TOPEKA...LAWRENCE...EMPORIA
605 AM CST WED FEB 6 2008

...WINTER STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 10 AM CST THIS
MORNING...

A WINTER STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 10 AM CST THIS
MORNING. 

A STRONG WINTER STORM WILL CONTINUE TO IMPACT THE AREA THROUGH
THE MID MORNING HOURS...BEFORE THE SNOW WILL END FROM WEST TO
EAST. MODERATE SNOW WILL CONTINUE THROUGH MID MORNING. THE
HEAVIEST SNOWFALL IS EXPECTED ALONG AN AREA FROM COUNCIL GROVE TO
ALMA TO TOPEKA TO HOLTON. ADDITIONAL SNOWFALL OF 1 TO 2 INCHES IS
POSSIBLE WITH STORM TOTAL ACCUMULATION OF 6 TO 10 INCHES EXPECTED.

IN ADDITION TO THE SNOW...NORTH WINDS OF 15 TO 25 MPH WILL CREATE
CONSIDERABLE AREAS OF BLOWING AND DRIFTING SNOW. VISIBILITIES
WITH SNOW AND BLOWING SNOW ARE LIKELY TO BE LESS THAN ONE MILE AT
TIMES. THIS WILL MAKE TRAVEL VERY DIFFICULT THROUGH THE REMAINDER
OF THE MORNING HOURS.

REMEMBER...A WINTER STORM WARNING MEANS SEVERE WINTER WEATHER
CONDITIONS ARE IMMINENT OR HIGHLY LIKELY.

$$

KSZ056-058-059-061600-
/O.CON.KTOP.WW.Y.0002.000000T0000Z-080206T1600Z/
FRANKLIN-COFFEY-ANDERSON-
INCLUDING THE CITY OF...OTTAWA
605 AM CST WED FEB 6 2008

...WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 10 AM CST THIS
MORNING...

A WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 10 AM CST THIS
MORNING.

 PERIODS OF SNOW WILL CONTINUE TO SPREAD ACROSS PORTIONS OF EAST
CENTRAL KANSAS...BEFORE ENDING DURING THE LATE MORNING HOURS.
SNOWFALL AMOUNTS BY MID MORNING WILL RANGE FROM 1 TO 2 INCHES.
NORTH WINDS OF 15 TO 25 MPH WILL CREATE AREAS OF BLOWING AND
DRIFTING SNOW. TRAVEL IS LIKELY TO BECOMING INCREASINGLY DIFFICULT
DURING THE MORNING.

A WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY MEANS THAT PERIODS OF SNOW...SLEET...OR
FREEZING RAIN WILL CAUSE TRAVEL DIFFICULTIES. BE PREPARED FOR
SLIPPERY ROADS AND LIMITED VISIBILITIES...AND USE CAUTION WHILE
DRIVING.

$$
000 
WWUS43 KTOP 061605
WSWTOP

URGENT - WINTER WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TOPEKA KS
1005 AM CST WED FEB 6 2008

KSZ011-012-023-024-026-037>040-054-055-061715-
/O.EXP.KTOP.WS.W.0002.000000T0000Z-080206T1600Z/
NEMAHA-BROWN-POTTAWATOMIE-JACKSON-JEFFERSON-MORRIS-WABAUNSEE-
SHAWNEE-DOUGLAS-LYON-OSAGE-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...HIAWATHA...TOPEKA...LAWRENCE...EMPORIA
1005 AM CST WED FEB 6 2008

...WINTER STORM WARNING HAS EXPIRED...

THE WINTER STORM WARNING IS NO LONGER IN EFFECT. 

THE SNOWFALL WILL CONTINUE TO TAPER OFF THROUGH THE LATE MORNING.
ANY ADDITIONAL ACCUMULATIONS WILL BE LIGHT AND GENERALLY LESS THAN
A HALF INCH. THEREFORE THE WINTER STORM WARNING HAS BEEN ALLOWED
TO EXPIRE.

$$

KSZ056-058-059-061715-
/O.EXP.KTOP.WW.Y.0002.000000T0000Z-080206T1600Z/
FRANKLIN-COFFEY-ANDERSON-
INCLUDING THE CITY OF...OTTAWA
1005 AM CST WED FEB 6 2008

...WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY HAS EXPIRED...

THE WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY IS NO LONGER IN EFFECT. 

THE SNOWFALL WILL CONTINUE TO TAPER OFF THROUGH THE LATE MORNING.
ANY ADDITIONAL ACCUMULATIONS WILL BE LIGHT AND GENERALLY LESS THAN
A HALF INCH. THEREFORE THE WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY HAS BEEN
ALLOWED TO EXPIRE.

$$

WOLTERS

What forecasters said that day

The local office's own words before this winter storm warning went out, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.

NWS Topeka, KS wrote its last area forecast discussion before this winter storm warning went out at Feb 4, 3:13 PM CST, 12 hours 46 minutes earlier.

Area forecast discussion, Feb 4, 3:13 PM CST, 12 hours 46 minutes before
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TOPEKA KS
313 PM CST MON FEB 4 2008

.DISCUSSION...

A 35 DEGREE DIFFERENCE IN TEMPERATURE EXISTS ACROSS THE CWA THIS
AFTERNOON...WITH THE UPPER 30S IN FAR NORTH CENTRAL KANSAS TO THE
MIDDLE 70S IN EAST CENTRAL KANSAS. THE TEMPERATURE DELINEATION WAS IN
THE FORM OF A SURFACE COLD FRONT THAT STRETCHED FROM SALINA TO
MANHATTAN TO HIAWATHA BY MID AFTERNOON. ANTICIPATE THIS BOUNDARY
WILL SLIDE SOUTHEAST OUT OF KANSAS BY MIDNIGHT TONIGHT...WITH COOLER
AIR AT THE SURFACE ADVECTING IN. THE H85 COLD FRONT WILL LAG
BEHIND...WITH THE 0C LINE NOT MOVING THROUGH THE ENTIRE CWA UNTIL
EARLY AFTERNOON TUESDAY. THIS WILL HAVE SOME PRECIP TYPE
IMPLICATIONS ACROSS EASTERN PORTIONS OF THE CWA DURING THE FIRST
HALF OF TUESDAY...WITH A RAIN OR RAIN/SNOW MIX POSSIBLE BEFORE A
FULL TRANSITION TO ALL SNOW. PRECIPITATION CHANCES LOOK FAIRLY LOW
TONIGHT THROUGH EARLY TUESDAY. EXCEPTIONS WILL BE ACROSS EAST
CENTRAL KANSAS CLOSER TO SCATTERED RAIN SHOWER POTENTIAL DEVELOPING
INITIALLY IN SOUTHEAST KANSAS. AREAS BEHIND THE COLD FRONT IN NORTH
CENTRAL KANSAS MAY SEE PERIODS OF DRIZZLE OR FREEZING DRIZZLE DURING
THE OVERNIGHT HOURS.

BY TUESDAY MORNING...BRIEF PERIOD OF DOWNGLIDE WILL RESULT IN LOWER
PRECIPITATION PROBABILITIES ACROSS MOST AREAS WITH THE EXCEPTION OF
NORTH CENTRAL KANSAS CLOSER TO APPROACHING LARGE SCALE ASCENT FROM
THE HIGH AMPLIFIED SHORTWAVE TROUGH. SURFACE LOW DEVELOPS ACROSS
NORTHWEST ARKANSAS WITH ENHANCED CONVECTION ALONG THE SURFACE COLD
FRONT...WHICH WILL ALL RIDE NORTHEASTWARD DURING THE DAY. MINOR
CONCERNS OF CONVECTION AFFECTING MOISTURE TRAJECTORY INTO THE CWA.
WESTERN HALF OF THE CWA WILL HAVE A VERTICAL TEMPERATURE PROFILE
SUPPORTIVE OF ALL SNOW DURING TUESDAY MORNING...SO SOME ACCUMULATION
IS EXPECTED DURING THE MORNING HOURS IN THIS DOMAIN.

BY TUESDAY AFTERNOON INTO TUESDAY NIGHT...MODELS SUGGEST A SETUP
FAVORABLE FOR A DEFORMATION BAND TO DEVELOP OVER PORTIONS OF EASTERN
KANSAS...YIELDING THE POTENTIAL FOR SIGNIFICANT SNOWFALL. A PLAN
VIEW OF EQUIVALENT POTENTIAL TEMPERATURE AT H7 SHOWS A WELL-DEFINED
WARM CONVEYOR BELT MOVING NORTH FROM THE SOUTHERN PLAINS INTO THE
MID MISSOURI VALLEY REGION. ARCHING WESTWARD IS A TROWAL LIKE
SIGNATURE COLLOCATED WITH MODEST H7 FRONTOGENESIS ACROSS PORTIONS OF
EASTERN KANSAS. CROSS SECTIONAL ANALYSIS SUPPORTS THIS SETUP WITH
DEEP OMEGA ONTOP OF FRONTOGENESIS WITH A WELL DEFINED SECONDARY
VERTICAL CIRCULATION ENHANCING VERTICAL MOTION THROUGH A SATURATED
LAYER. HOWEVER...MANY MODEL SOLUTIONS CONTINUE TO DIFFER ON THE
EVOLUTION AND PLACEMENT OF THIS DEFORMATION REGION. EARLIER RUNS
WERE SUGGESTING NORTH CENTRAL OR EASTERN KANSAS WITH THE SLIGHTLY
MORE UNRELIABLE 18Z RUNS SUGGESTING ALONG THE MISSOURI-KANSAS
BORDER. REGARDLESS...SEVERAL INCHES OF SNOWFALL ARE ANTICIPATED
ACROSS PORTIONS OF THE CWA TUESDAY INTO TUESDAY NIGHT...WITH THE
POTENTIAL FOR AN ENHANCED REGION OF SNOWFALL RATES TO OCCUR WITHIN
PORTIONS OF THE CWA. WITH THIS...HAVE EXPANDED THE WINTER STORM
WATCH TO INCLUDE ALL OF THE CWA FOR THE POTENTIAL OF 5-7 INCHES IN
SOME AREAS AND WILL REFINE FORECAST WITH THE LATEST MODEL RUNS AND
ANALYSIS THIS EVENING AND OVERNIGHT...AND ISSUE ANY POTENTIAL
ADVISORIES OR WARNINGS AS GREATER CONFIDENCE COMMENCES. ACCUMULATING
SNOWFALL WILL END FROM WEST TO EAST TUESDAY NIGHT. BLAIR

WED-FRI...SYSTEM PROGGED ATTM TO MOVE QUICKLY NORTH AND EAST BY
LATER WEDNESDAY...WITH UPPER FLOW SWINGING QUICKLY BACK AROUND TO
SOUTHERLY BY THE END OF THE AFTERNOON. SINCE TEMPERATURES WILL
DEPEND GREATLY ON WHERE AND HOW MUCH SNOW FALLS ON TUESDAY...WILL
PLAY TEMPS ON THE COLD SIDE. ANOTHER WEAK WAVE TO PASS OVERHEAD
WED NIGHT INTO EARLY THURSDAY AND WILL INCREASE CLOUDS AND SHIFT
WINDS FOR THIS BUT OTHERWISE LEAVE DRY. NORTHWESTERLY FLOW BEHIND
WILL LEAVE COOLER HIGHS FOR THURSDAY...AND AGAIN WILL DEPEND ON
ANY RESIDUAL SNOW COVER. YET ANOTHER SHORTWAVE TO MOVE THROUGH THE
NORTHWESTERLY FLOW ON FRIDAY AND WILL KEEP TEMPS NEAR NORMAL.

SAT-MON...WESTERN RIDGE MAKES A BIT OF EASTERN PROGRESS INTO THE
GREAT BASIN ON SATURDAY...WHICH SHOULD INCREASE SOME OF THE LOW
LEVEL WARM AIR ADVECTION AND RAISE TEMPERATURES A FEW DEGREES.
RIDGE FLATTENS A BIT ON SATURDAY AS ANOTHER WAVE MOVES INTO THE
BAJA...THEN MODELS DIFFER ON TIMING AND STRENGTH OF THIS WAVE AS
IT MOVES INTO THE CTRL US. KEPT A DRY FORECAST WITH TEMPS AT OR
SLIGHTLY ABOVE NORMAL. 67

&&

.AVIATION...

MOSTLY CLEAR SKIES WILL BE REPLACED WITH STRATUS BEHIND COLD FRONT
AS COOLER AIR USHERS IN TONIGHT. CEILINGS MAY FALL TO 1K WITH
REDUCED VISIBILITY BEHIND FRONTAL BOUNDARY. WINDS WILL SHIFT AT TAF
SITES FROM SOUTHWESTERLY TO NORTH-NORTHWESTERLY THIS EVENING INTO
OVERNIGHT. REFER TO SHORT TERM FORECAST FOR SPECIFIC DETAILS.

&&

.TOP WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...WINTER STORM WATCH FROM 6 AM TUESDAY
TO MIDNIGHT WEDNESDAY FOR NORTH CENTRAL AND PORTIONS OF NORTHEAST
KANSAS ZONES KSZ008-KSZ009-KSZ010-KSZ011-KSZ012-KSZ020-KSZ021-KSZ022-KSZ023-
KSZ034-KSZ035-KSZ036.

WINTER STORM WATCH FROM NOON TUESDAY TO 3 AM WEDNESDAY FOR EAST
CENTRAL AND PORTIONS OF NORTHEAST KANSAS ZONES KSZ024-KSZ026-KSZ037-KSZ038-
KSZ039-KSZ040-KSZ054-KSZ055-KSZ056-KSZ058-KSZ059.

&&
Hazardous weather outlook, Feb 4, 10:35 PM CST, 5 hours 24 minutes before
HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TOPEKA KS
1035 PM CST MON FEB 4 2008

KSZ008>012-020>024-026-034>040-054>056-058-059-051200-
REPUBLIC-WASHINGTON-MARSHALL-NEMAHA-BROWN-CLOUD-CLAY-RILEY-
POTTAWATOMIE-JACKSON-JEFFERSON-OTTAWA-DICKINSON-GEARY-MORRIS-
WABAUNSEE-SHAWNEE-DOUGLAS-LYON-OSAGE-FRANKLIN-COFFEY-ANDERSON-
1035 PM CST MON FEB 4 2008

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR EAST CENTRAL...NORTH
CENTRAL AND NORTHEAST KANSAS.

.DAY ONE...TONIGHT

THERE IS A CHANCE FOR SOME SNOW ACROSS NORTH CENTRAL KANSAS TONIGHT.
ACCUMULATIONS WILL BE LESS THAN A HALF INCH BY SUNRISE TUESDAY.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...TUESDAY THROUGH SUNDAY

A WINTER STORM WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR NORTH CENTRAL AND PORTIONS
OF NORTHEAST KANSAS TUESDAY AND TUESDAY EVENING...WITH A WINTER
STORM WATCH IN EFFECT FOR EAST CENTRAL AND PORTIONS OF NORTHEAST
KANSAS TUESDAY AFTERNOON AND TUESDAY NIGHT.

SNOW...HEAVY AT TIMES...IS EXPECTED ACROSS THE OUTLOOK AREA TUESDAY
AND TUESDAY NIGHT. STRONG NORTH TO NORTHWEST WINDS OF 20 TO 25
MPH...WITH GUSTS OF 35 MPH WILL HAVE THE POTENTIAL TO CAUSE BLOWING
AND DRIFTING OF THE FALLEN SNOW AREA WIDE ON TUESDAY.

THERE IS CONSIDERABLE UNCERTAINTY AS TO WHERE THE HEAVIEST BAND OF
SNOW WILL FALL WITH THIS SYSTEM. AMOUNTS MAY RANGE FROM 3 TO 7
INCHES ACROSS THE AREA. STAY TUNED TO THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE
AND LOCAL MEDIA FOR THE LATEST FORECAST AND STATEMENTS ON THIS
DEVELOPING WINTER STORM.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

BUT SPOTTERS ARE ENCOURAGED TO REPORT SNOWFALL AMOUNTS TONIGHT
ACROSS NORTH CENTRAL KANSAS TO THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN
TOPEKA.

The office that day

Everything else NWS Topeka, KS issued on the same UTC day.

IssuedProductOfficeCountiesLasted
Feb 5, 3:59 AM CSTWinter Weather AdvisoryTOPAnderson, Coffey, Douglas, Franklin, Lyon, Osage30 hr

Nearby

Winter Storm Warnings in Kansas, 2008Every winter storm warning in 2008

Sources

The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; local storm reports from the same archive; the sounding from the Mesonet's radiosonde archive; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive.