Alert archive / Florida / Red Flag Warnings in 2008
Red Flag Warning 64, NWS Tampa Bay, FL
NWS Tampa Bay, FL issued this red flag warning at Oct 28, 2008, 5:01 AM EDT for 6 counties in Florida. It took effect at Oct 29, 2008, 10:00 AM EDT. It was in force for 9 hr. No storm report in the archive falls inside the area while it was in force.
The area
The counties it named.
The facts
- Issued
- Oct 28, 2008, 5:01 AM EDT (09:01 UTC)
- In effect from
- Oct 29, 2008, 10:00 AM EDT
- Expired
- Oct 29, 2008, 7:00 PM EDT
- In force
- 9 hr
- Issued by
- NWS Tampa Bay, FL
Counties DeSoto County, FL, Hardee County, FL, Highlands County, FL, Pinellas County, FL, Polk County, FL, Sumter County, FL
The radar
The Tampa radar (KTBW), 49 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 09:00 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.
Open the radar archive at this moment
The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.
The nearest sounding before it
Tampa Bay, FL (KTBW), launched 00:00Z, 9.0 hours before the alert went out and 49 km from the middle of its area. This is the routine balloon launch nearest before it, the air the forecaster had in hand, not a measurement taken for the alert.
- Mixed-layer CAPE
- 14 J/kg
- Mixed-layer CIN
- -7 J/kg
- Mixed-layer LCL
- 849 m above ground
- 0-6 km bulk shear
- 45 kt
- 0-1 km storm-relative helicity
- 28 m²/s²
- 0-3 km storm-relative helicity
- 85 m²/s²
- Significant tornado parameter
- 0.0
- Supercell composite
- 0.0
The text
As transmitted, in the capitals the NWS used until 2016.
000 WWUS82 KTBW 280901 RFWTBW RED FLAG WARNING NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TAMPA BAY AREA - RUSKIN FL 501 AM EDT TUE OCT 28 2008 ...RED FLAG WARNING IN EFFECT FOR THE ENTIRE AREA FROM 10 AM THIS MORNING TO 7 PM EDT THIS EVENING FOR LONG DURATIONS OF VERY LOW RH WITH GUSTY WINDS... ...RED FLAG WARNING IN EFFECT FOR ALL AREAS FROM 10 AM TO 7 PM EDT WEDNESDAY FOR LONG DURATIONS OF VERY LOW RH... FLZ039-042-043-048>052-055>057-060>062-065-282100- /O.UPG.KTBW.FW.A.0052.081029T1600Z-081029T2300Z/ /O.NEW.KTBW.FW.W.0064.081029T1400Z-081029T2300Z/ /O.EXT.KTBW.FW.W.0063.081028T1400Z-081028T2300Z/ LEVY-CITRUS-SUMTER-HERNANDO-PASCO-PINELLAS-HILLSBOROUGH-POLK- MANATEE-HARDEE-HIGHLANDS-SARASOTA-DE SOTO-CHARLOTTE-LEE- 501 AM EDT TUE OCT 28 2008 ...RED FLAG WARNING NOW IN EFFECT FROM 10 AM THIS MORNING TO 7 PM EDT THIS EVENING... ...RED FLAG WARNING IN EFFECT FROM 10 AM TO 7 PM EDT WEDNESDAY... THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN TAMPA BAY AREA - RUSKIN FL HAS ISSUED A RED FLAG WARNING...WHICH IS IN EFFECT FROM 10 AM TO 7 PM EDT WEDNESDAY. THE RED FLAG WARNING IS NOW IN EFFECT FROM 10 AM THIS MORNING TO 7 PM EDT THIS EVENING. THE FIRE WEATHER WATCH IS NO LONGER IN EFFECT. A COLD AND VERY DRY AIRMASS WILL BUILD INTO THE REGION TODAY ON GUSTY NORTHERLY WINDS AND SETTLE OVER THE AREA THROUGH AT LEAST WEDNESDAY. AFTERNOON RH VALUES WILL DROP WELL BELOW CRITICAL VALUES AND BOTTOM OUT IN THE LOWER 20 PERCENT RANGE THIS AFTERNOON AND AGAIN ON WEDNESDAY AFTERNOON FOR LONG DURATIONS. A RED FLAG WARNING IS ISSUED WHEN VERY FAVORABLE CONDITIONS FOR THE SPREAD OF WILDFIRE ARE OCCURRING NOW...OR WILL OCCUR WITHIN 24 HOURS. $$
5 follow-up statements
000 WWUS82 KTBW 281739 RFWTBW RED FLAG WARNING NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TAMPA BAY AREA - RUSKIN FL 139 PM EDT TUE OCT 28 2008 ...RED FLAG WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR THE ENTIRE AREA UNTIL 7 PM EDT THIS EVENING FOR LONG DURATIONS OF VERY LOW HUMIDITY VALUES COMBINED WITH GUSTY NORTHERLY SURFACE AND TRANSPORT WINDS... ...RED FLAG WARNING IN EFFECT FOR ALL AREAS FROM 10 AM TO 7 PM EDT ON WEDNESDAY FOR LONG DURATIONS OF VERY LOW HUMIDITY VALUES... ...1 TO 3 HOURS OF MARGINALLY LOW HUMIDITY VALUES BELOW 35 PERCENT POSSIBLE ALL AREAS ON THURSDAY AFTERNOON... FLZ039-042-043-048>052-055>057-060>062-065-282300- /O.CON.KTBW.FW.W.0063.000000T0000Z-081028T2300Z/ /O.CON.KTBW.FW.W.0064.081029T1400Z-081029T2300Z/ LEVY-CITRUS-SUMTER-HERNANDO-PASCO-PINELLAS-HILLSBOROUGH-POLK- MANATEE-HARDEE-HIGHLANDS-SARASOTA-DE SOTO-CHARLOTTE-LEE- 139 PM EDT TUE OCT 28 2008 ...RED FLAG WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 7 PM EDT THIS EVENING... ...RED FLAG WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 10 AM TO 7 PM EDT WEDNESDAY... A COLD AND VERY DRY AIRMASS WILL CONTINUE TO POUR INTO THE REGION THE REMAINDER OF TODAY ON GUSTY NORTHERLY WINDS. THIS COLD AND VERY DRY AIR MASS WILL SUPPORT AFTERNOON HUMIDITY VALUES WELL BELOW CRITICAL VALUES WITH READINGS BOTTOMING OUT IN THE LOWER 20 PERCENT RANGE THE REMAINDER OF THIS AFTERNOON ALONG WITH GUSTY NORTHERLY WINDS. THE COLD AND VERY DRY AIR MASS WILL REMAIN IN PLACE TONIGHT AND WEDNESDAY WITH MORE LONG DURATIONS OF HUMIDITY VALUES WELL BELOW 35 PERCENT EXPECTED ACROSS THE ENTIRE AREA WEDNESDAY AFTERNOON. A RED FLAG WARNING IS ISSUED WHEN VERY FAVORABLE CONDITIONS FOR THE SPREAD OF WILDFIRE ARE OCCURRING NOW...OR WILL OCCUR WITHIN 24 HOURS. $$ JCM/RJS
000 WWUS82 KTBW 282312 RFWTBW RED FLAG WARNING NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TAMPA BAY AREA - RUSKIN FL 712 PM EDT TUE OCT 28 2008 ...RED FLAG WARNING IN EFFECT FOR ALL AREAS FROM 10 AM TO 7 PM EDT ON WEDNESDAY FOR LONG DURATIONS OF VERY LOW HUMIDITY VALUES... ...1 TO 3 HOURS OF MARGINALLY LOW HUMIDITY VALUES BELOW 35 PERCENT POSSIBLE ALL AREAS ON THURSDAY AFTERNOON... FLZ039-042-043-048>052-055>057-060>062-065-291115- /O.EXP.KTBW.FW.W.0063.000000T0000Z-081028T2300Z/ /O.CON.KTBW.FW.W.0064.081029T1400Z-081029T2300Z/ LEVY-CITRUS-SUMTER-HERNANDO-PASCO-PINELLAS-HILLSBOROUGH-POLK- MANATEE-HARDEE-HIGHLANDS-SARASOTA-DE SOTO-CHARLOTTE-LEE- 712 PM EDT TUE OCT 28 2008 ...RED FLAG WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 10 AM TO 7 PM EDT WEDNESDAY... ...RED FLAG WARNING HAS EXPIRED... THE RED FLAG WARNING IS NO LONGER IN EFFECT. A RED FLAG WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 10 AM TO 7 PM EDT WEDNESDAY. THE COLD AND VERY DRY AIR MASS WILL REMAIN IN PLACE TONIGHT AND WEDNESDAY WITH MORE LONG DURATIONS OF HUMIDITY VALUES WELL BELOW 35 PERCENT EXPECTED ACROSS THE ENTIRE AREA WEDNESDAY AFTERNOON. A RED FLAG WARNING IS ISSUED WHEN VERY FAVORABLE CONDITIONS FOR THE SPREAD OF WILDFIRE ARE OCCURRING NOW...OR WILL OCCUR WITHIN 24 HOURS. $$
000 WWUS82 KTBW 290904 RFWTBW RED FLAG WARNING NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TAMPA BAY AREA - RUSKIN FL 504 AM EDT WED OCT 29 2008 ...RED FLAG WARNING IN EFFECT FOR ALL AREAS FROM 10 AM TO 7 PM EDT ON WEDNESDAY FOR LONG DURATIONS OF VERY LOW HUMIDITY VALUES... ...FIRE WEATHER WATCH IN EFFECT FROM THURSDAY AFTERNOON THROUGH THURSDAY EVENING OVER NORTHERN ZONES FOR LONG DURATIONS OF LOW HUMIDITY VALUES... ...1 TO 3 HOURS OF MARGINALLY LOW HUMIDITY VALUES BELOW 35 PERCENT POSSIBLE SOUTHERN ZONES ON THURSDAY AFTERNOON... FLZ039-042-043-048-049-051-052-292115- /O.NEW.KTBW.FW.A.0053.081030T1700Z-081030T2300Z/ /O.CON.KTBW.FW.W.0064.081029T1400Z-081029T2300Z/ LEVY-CITRUS-SUMTER-HERNANDO-PASCO-HILLSBOROUGH-POLK- 504 AM EDT WED OCT 29 2008 ...RED FLAG WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 10 AM THIS MORNING TO 7 PM EDT THIS EVENING... ...FIRE WEATHER WATCH IN EFFECT FROM THURSDAY AFTERNOON THROUGH THURSDAY EVENING... THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN TAMPA BAY AREA - RUSKIN FL HAS ISSUED A FIRE WEATHER WATCH...WHICH IS IN EFFECT FROM THURSDAY AFTERNOON THROUGH THURSDAY EVENING. A RED FLAG WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 10 AM THIS MORNING TO 7 PM EDT THIS EVENING. THE COLD AND VERY DRY AIR MASS WILL REMAIN IN PLACE TODAY AND THURSDAY WITH MORE LONG DURATIONS OF HUMIDITY VALUES WELL BELOW 35 PERCENT EXPECTED ACROSS THIS AREA WEDNESDAY AND AGAIN THURSDAY AFTERNOON. TODAYS HUMIDITY VALUES ARE EXPECTED TO BOTTOM OUT IN THE LOWER 20 PERCENT RANGE THIS AFTERNOON. A RED FLAG WARNING IS ISSUED WHEN VERY FAVORABLE CONDITIONS FOR THE SPREAD OF WILDFIRE ARE OCCURRING NOW...OR WILL OCCUR WITHIN 24 HOURS. PLEASE ADVISE THE APPROPRIATE OFFICIALS OR FIRE CREWS IN THE FIELD. $$ FLZ050-055>057-060>062-065-292115- /O.CON.KTBW.FW.W.0064.081029T1400Z-081029T2300Z/ PINELLAS-MANATEE-HARDEE-HIGHLANDS-SARASOTA-DE SOTO-CHARLOTTE-LEE- 504 AM EDT WED OCT 29 2008 ...RED FLAG WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 10 AM THIS MORNING TO 7 PM EDT THIS EVENING... ...1 TO 3 HOURS OF MARGINALLY LOW HUMIDITY VALUES BELOW 35 PERCENT POSSIBLE ON THURSDAY AFTERNOON... A RED FLAG WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 10 AM THIS MORNING TO 7 PM EDT THIS EVENING. THE COLD AND VERY DRY AIR MASS WILL REMAIN IN PLACE TODAY WITH MORE LONG DURATIONS OF HUMIDITY VALUES WELL BELOW 35 PERCENT AND BOTTOM OUT IN THE LOWER 20 PERCENT RANGE THIS AFTERNOON ACROSS THE ENTIRE AREA. SHORTER DURATIONS OF CRITICALLY LOW HUMIDITIES IS EXPECTED FOR THE SOUTHERN AREAS ON THURSDAY. A RED FLAG WARNING IS ISSUED WHEN VERY FAVORABLE CONDITIONS FOR THE SPREAD OF WILDFIRE ARE OCCURRING NOW...OR WILL OCCUR WITHIN 24 HOURS. $$
000 WWUS82 KTBW 291736 RFWTBW RED FLAG WARNING NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TAMPA BAY AREA - RUSKIN FL 136 PM EDT WED OCT 29 2008 ...RED FLAG WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR ALL AREAS UNTIL 7 PM EDT THIS EVENING FOR LONG DURATIONS OF VERY LOW HUMIDITY VALUES... ...RED FLAG WARNING IN EFFECT ON THURSDAY FOR LEVY COUNTY FROM 1 PM EDT UNTIL 7 PM EDT FOR LONG DURATIONS OF LOW HUMIDITY VALUES BELOW 35 PERCENT... ...FIRE WEATHER WATCH IN EFFECT FROM THURSDAY AFTERNOON THROUGH THURSDAY EVENING FOR CITRUS...SUMTER...HERNANDO...PASCO...POLK... AND HILLSBOROUGH COUNTIES FOR POSSIBLE LONG DURATIONS OF LOW HUMIDITY VALUES BELOW 35 PERCENT... ...1 TO 3 HOURS OF MARGINALLY LOW HUMIDITY VALUES BELOW 35 PERCENT POSSIBLE ACROSS SOUTHERN ZONES ON THURSDAY AFTERNOON... FLZ039-292300- /O.UPG.KTBW.FW.A.0053.081030T1700Z-081030T2300Z/ /O.NEW.KTBW.FW.W.0065.081030T1700Z-081030T2300Z/ /O.CON.KTBW.FW.W.0064.000000T0000Z-081029T2300Z/ LEVY- 136 PM EDT WED OCT 29 2008 ...RED FLAG WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 7 PM EDT THIS EVENING... ...RED FLAG WARNING IN EFFECT FROM 1 PM TO 7 PM EDT THURSDAY... THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN TAMPA BAY AREA - RUSKIN FL HAS ISSUED A RED FLAG WARNING...WHICH IS IN EFFECT FROM 1 PM TO 7 PM EDT THURSDAY. THE FIRE WEATHER WATCH IS NO LONGER IN EFFECT. A RED FLAG WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 7 PM EDT THIS EVENING. A COLD AND VERY DRY AIR MASS WILL REMAIN IN PLACE THE REST OF TODAY THROUGH THURSDAY. THIS VERY DRY AIR WILL SUPPORT LONG DURATIONS OF HUMIDITY VALUES BELOW 35 PERCENT THE REST OF THIS AFTERNOON AND AGAIN THURSDAY AFTERNOON. A RED FLAG WARNING IS ISSUED WHEN VERY FAVORABLE CONDITIONS FOR THE SPREAD OF WILDFIRE ARE OCCURRING NOW...OR WILL OCCUR WITHIN 24 HOURS. PLEASE ADVISE THE APPROPRIATE OFFICIALS OR FIRE CREWS IN THE FIELD. $$ FLZ042-043-048-049-051-052-292300- /O.CON.KTBW.FW.W.0064.000000T0000Z-081029T2300Z/ /O.CON.KTBW.FW.A.0053.081030T1700Z-081030T2300Z/ CITRUS-SUMTER-HERNANDO-PASCO-HILLSBOROUGH-POLK- 136 PM EDT WED OCT 29 2008 ...RED FLAG WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 7 PM EDT THIS EVENING... ...FIRE WEATHER WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM THURSDAY AFTERNOON THROUGH THURSDAY EVENING... A COLD AND VERY DRY AIR MASS WILL REMAIN IN PLACE THE REST OF TODAY THROUGH THURSDAY. THIS VERY DRY AIR WILL SUPPORT LONG DURATIONS OF HUMIDITY VALUES BELOW 35 PERCENT THE REMAINDER OF TODAY. ON THURSDAY ADDITIONAL LONG DURATIONS OF HUMIDITY VALUES BELOW 35 PERCENT WILL BE POSSIBLE..SO A FIRE WEATHER WATCH WILL REMAIN IN EFFECT FOR THURSDAY AFTERNOON. A RED FLAG WARNING IS ISSUED WHEN VERY FAVORABLE CONDITIONS FOR THE SPREAD OF WILDFIRE ARE OCCURRING NOW...OR WILL OCCUR WITHIN 24 HOURS. PLEASE ADVISE THE APPROPRIATE OFFICIALS OR FIRE CREWS IN THE FIELD. $$ FLZ050-055>057-060>062-065-292300- /O.CON.KTBW.FW.W.0064.000000T0000Z-081029T2300Z/ PINELLAS-MANATEE-HARDEE-HIGHLANDS-SARASOTA-DE SOTO-CHARLOTTE-LEE- 136 PM EDT WED OCT 29 2008 ...RED FLAG WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 7 PM EDT THIS EVENING... A COLD AND VERY DRY AIR MASS WILL REMAIN IN PLACE ACROSS THE REGION THE REMAINDER OF TODAY. THIS DRY AIR WILL SUPPORT LONG DURATIONS OF HUMIDITY VALUES BELOW 35 PERCENT. SHORTER DURATIONS OF CRITICALLY LOW HUMIDITY VALUES ARE EXPECTED ON THURSDAY. A RED FLAG WARNING IS ISSUED WHEN VERY FAVORABLE CONDITIONS FOR THE SPREAD OF WILDFIRE ARE OCCURRING NOW...OR WILL OCCUR WITHIN 24 HOURS. PLEASE ADVISE THE APPROPRIATE OFFICIALS OR FIRE CREWS IN THE FIELD. $$ JCM
000 WWUS82 KTBW 292304 RFWTBW RED FLAG WARNING NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TAMPA BAY AREA - RUSKIN FL 704 PM EDT WED OCT 29 2008 ...RED FLAG WARNING IN EFFECT ON THURSDAY FOR LEVY COUNTY FROM 1 PM EDT UNTIL 7 PM EDT FOR LONG DURATIONS OF LOW HUMIDITY VALUES BELOW 35 PERCENT... ...FIRE WEATHER WATCH IN EFFECT FROM THURSDAY AFTERNOON THROUGH THURSDAY EVENING FOR CITRUS...SUMTER...HERNANDO...PASCO...POLK... AND HILLSBOROUGH COUNTIES FOR POSSIBLE LONG DURATIONS OF LOW HUMIDITY VALUES BELOW 35 PERCENT... ...1 TO 3 HOURS OF MARGINALLY LOW HUMIDITY VALUES BELOW 35 PERCENT POSSIBLE ACROSS SOUTHERN ZONES ON THURSDAY AFTERNOON... FLZ039-301115- /O.EXP.KTBW.FW.W.0064.000000T0000Z-081029T2300Z/ /O.CON.KTBW.FW.W.0065.081030T1700Z-081030T2300Z/ LEVY- 704 PM EDT WED OCT 29 2008 ...RED FLAG WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 1 PM TO 7 PM EDT THURSDAY... ...RED FLAG WARNING HAS EXPIRED... THE RED FLAG WARNING FOR TODAY IS NO LONGER IN EFFECT. A RED FLAG WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 1 PM TO 7 PM EDT THURSDAY. A COLD AND VERY DRY AIR MASS WILL REMAIN IN PLACE THROUGH THURSDAY. THIS VERY DRY AIR WILL SUPPORT LONG DURATIONS OF HUMIDITY VALUES BELOW 35 PERCENT THURSDAY AFTERNOON. A RED FLAG WARNING IS ISSUED WHEN VERY FAVORABLE CONDITIONS FOR THE SPREAD OF WILDFIRE ARE OCCURRING NOW...OR WILL OCCUR WITHIN 24 HOURS. $$ FLZ042-043-048-049-051-052-301115- /O.EXP.KTBW.FW.W.0064.000000T0000Z-081029T2300Z/ /O.CON.KTBW.FW.A.0053.081030T1700Z-081030T2300Z/ CITRUS-SUMTER-HERNANDO-PASCO-HILLSBOROUGH-POLK- 704 PM EDT WED OCT 29 2008 ...FIRE WEATHER WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM THURSDAY AFTERNOON THROUGH THURSDAY EVENING... ...RED FLAG WARNING HAS EXPIRED... THE RED FLAG WARNING FOR TODAY IS NO LONGER IN EFFECT. A FIRE WEATHER WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM THURSDAY AFTERNOON THROUGH THURSDAY EVENING. PLEASE ADVISE THE APPROPRIATE OFFICIALS OR FIRE CREWS IN THE FIELD. $$ FLZ050-055>057-060>062-065-300015- /O.EXP.KTBW.FW.W.0064.000000T0000Z-081029T2300Z/ PINELLAS-MANATEE-HARDEE-HIGHLANDS-SARASOTA-DE SOTO-CHARLOTTE-LEE- 704 PM EDT WED OCT 29 2008 ...RED FLAG WARNING HAS EXPIRED... THE RED FLAG WARNING FOR TODAY IS NO LONGER IN EFFECT. $$
What forecasters said that day
The local office's own words before this red flag warning went out, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.
NWS Tampa Bay, FL wrote its last area forecast discussion before this red flag warning went out at Oct 28, 3:20 AM EDT, 1 hour 41 minutes earlier.
Area forecast discussion, Oct 28, 3:20 AM EDT, 1 hour 41 minutes before
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TAMPA BAY RUSKIN FL
320 AM EDT TUE OCT 28 2008
...RECORD LOW TEMPERATURES LIKELY WEDNESDAY MORNING ALONG WITH
POSSIBLE FREEZING CONDITIONS AROUND THE NATURE COAST...
.SHORT TERM (TODAY - THURSDAY)...STRONG TROUGH OVER THE EASTERN SEA
BOARD SENT A DRY COLD FRONT INTO THE REGION WHICH IS BRINGING A
STEADY DECREASE IN TEMPERATURES AND DEW POINTS ACROSS MUCH OF
CENTRAL FLORIDA. STRONG SUBSIDENCE...COLD AIR ADVECTION AND
NORTHWESTERLY/NORTHERLY FLOW WILL COMBINE TO BRING THE COLDEST
TEMPERATURES OF THE SEASON WITH POSSIBLE FREEZING CONDITIONS OVER
THE NATURE COAST ON WEDNESDAY MORNING JUST BEFORE SUNRISE. A FREEZE
WATCH HAS BEEN ISSUED FROM LEVY THROUGH PASCO COUNTIES. IT ALSO
SEEMS LIKE A RECORD-SETTING WEDNESDAY MORNING ACROSS THE AREA WITH
FORECAST LOWS AROUND TAMPA A COUPLE OF DEGREES LOWER THAN THE
REIGNING RECORD OF 44 SET IN 1910.
RECORD LOW TEMPERATURES
FOR WEDNESDAY MORNING 10/29/08
TAMPA..............44 SET IN 1910
SAINT PETERSBURG...49 SET IN 1952
FORT MYERS.........48 SET IN 1944
LAKELAND...........48 SET IN 1957
SARASOTA...........45 SET IN 1957
DESPITE ALL THE ATTENTION BEING FOCUSED ON THE COLD MORNING
TEMPS...THE AREA WILL ALSO EXPERIENCE THE COLDEST AFTERNOON HIGHS SO
FAR THIS SEASON WITH MUCH OF CENTRAL AND WESTERN FLORIDA REMAINING
IN THE MID 60S TODAY...AND UPPER 60S ON WEDNESDAY. WITH BREEZY
PERIODS IN THE AFTERNOON TEMPS WILL FEEL EVEN COOLER.
CONDITIONS WILL BEGIN MODIFYING ON THURSDAY AS WINDS SWITCH TO A
MORE NORTHEASTERLY FLOW WITH MOISTURE AND TEMPERATURES SLOWLY
INCREASING THROUGH THE DAY.
NOTE: BELOW ARE THE COLDEST TEMPERATURES EVER OBSERVED FOR THE MONTH
OF OCTOBER SINCE RECORDS BEGAN.
TAMPA..............40 DEGREES ON 10/21/1964 (RECORDS BEGAN IN 1890)
SAINT PETERSBURG...47 DEGREES ON 10/28/1957 (RECORDS BEGAN IN 1915)
FORT MYERS.........45 DEGREES ON 10/28/1957 (RECORDS BEGAN IN 1902)
LAKELAND...........42 DEGREES ON 10/21/1989 (RECORDS BEGAN IN 1946)
SARASOTA...........44 DEGREES ON 10/18/1977 (RECORDS BEGAN IN 1948)
&&
.LONG TERM (THU NT-MON)...GENERAL UPPER TROUGHINESS OVER THE REGION
EARLY TO DEEPEN AND BECOME UPPER LOW OVER THE AREA THIS WEEKEND THEN
LIFT TO THE NE EARLY NEXT WEEK. SFC HIGH PRESSURE CENTER IN THE
REGION TO HOLD IN PLACE WITH AXIS N OF THE AREA FOR MODERATE NE FLOW
AT LOWER LEVELS. A SLIGHT WARMING AND MOISTENING TREND BUT DRY
CONDITIONS AND BELOW NORMAL TEMPS TO END THE WORKWEEK. VORT MAXES
WRAPPING AROUND UPPER LOW OVERHEAD WITH ATLANTIC MOISTURE TO PRODUCE
INCREASING CLOUD COVER AND SLIGHT CHANCES FOR SHOWERS THIS WEEKEND
AND HAVE NUDGED POPS TO 20 PERCENT AREAWIDE WITH TEMPS NEAR NORMAL.
UPPER SYSTEM TO MOVE AWAY FROM THE AREA MON WITH DRIER CONDITIONS
EXPECTED.
&&
.AVIATION...SKC AND VFR CONDITIONS WITH GUSTY NORTHERLY WINDS TODAY.
&&
.MARINE...STRONG WINDS IN THE WAKE OF A COLD FRONT WILL CONTINUE TO
PRODUCE VERY ROUGH BOATING CONDITIONS OVER THE GULF WATERS WITH
WINDS AND SEAS WELL IN SMALL CRAFT RANGE AT BUOY 42036 AND AROUND
THE NEAR SHORE WATERS. SOME GUSTS UP TO GALE FORCE ARE ALSO POSSIBLE
IN THE OFFSHORE WATERS. WINDS AND SEAS ARE EXPECTED TO BEGIN SLOWLY
SUBSIDING BY TUESDAY EVENING AND THROUGH THE REMAINDER OF THE WEEK
AS SURFACE HIGH PRESSURE BUILDS IN OVER THE SOUTHEASTERN STATES.
HOWEVER...MODEL WINDS STILL SUPPORT SCA CONDITIONS OFFSHORE AT LEAST
THROUGH TUESDAY 10 PM. THEREFORE WILL EXTEND THE SCA OFFSHORE UNTIL
THAT TIME AND KEEP THE NEAR SHORE WATERS UNDER SCEC AFTER 4 PM EDT
AND THROUGH 10 PM.
&&
.FIRE WEATHER...VERY BUSY FIRE WEATHERWISE TODAY AND AGAIN ON
WEDNESDAY AFTERNOON WITH EXTENDED PERIODS OF RELATIVE HUMIDITY WELL
BELOW CRITICAL LEVELS. A RED FLAG WARNING IS IN EFFECT FROM THE LATE
MORNING HOURS TODAY AND THROUGH 7 PM EDT EVERYWHERE. SIMILAR
SCENARIO EXPECTED ON WEDNESDAY. CONDITIONS SHOULD BEGIN RECOVERING
WEDNESDAY EVENING AS WINDS GRADUALLY VEER TO THE NORTHEAST. BUT THE
AIR MASS MAY REMAIN DRY ENOUGH TO GRANT A WATCH FOR THURSDAY
AFTERNOON. STAY TUNED.
&&
.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
TPA 65 41 68 49 / 0 0 0 5
FMY 69 44 75 49 / 0 0 0 5
GIF 65 40 69 47 / 0 0 0 5
SRQ 66 43 70 48 / 0 0 0 5
BKV 63 31 68 39 / 0 0 0 5
SPG 65 48 69 54 / 0 0 0 5
&&
TBW WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
FL...FREEZE WATCH FROM LATE TONIGHT THROUGH WEDNESDAY MORNING FOR
CITRUS-HERNANDO-LEVY-PASCO-SUMTER.
RED FLAG WARNING FROM 10 AM THIS MORNING TO 7 PM EDT THIS
EVENING FOR CHARLOTTE-CITRUS-DE SOTO-HARDEE-HERNANDO-
HIGHLANDS-HILLSBOROUGH-LEE-LEVY-MANATEE-PASCO-PINELLAS-POLK-
SARASOTA-SUMTER.
RED FLAG WARNING FROM 10 AM TO 7 PM EDT WEDNESDAY FOR CHARLOTTE-
CITRUS-DE SOTO-HARDEE-HERNANDO-HIGHLANDS-HILLSBOROUGH-LEE-
LEVY-MANATEE-PASCO-PINELLAS-POLK-SARASOTA-SUMTER.
GULF WATERS...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY UNTIL 10 PM EDT THIS EVENING FOR
BONITA BEACH TO ENGLEWOOD OUT 20 TO 60 NM-ENGLEWOOD TO TARPON
SPRINGS OUT 20 TO 60 NM-TARPON SPRINGS TO SUWANNEE RIVER OUT
20 TO 60 NM.
SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY UNTIL 4 PM EDT THIS AFTERNOON FOR
BONITA BEACH TO ENGLEWOOD OUT 20 NM-ENGLEWOOD TO TARPON
SPRINGS OUT 20 NM-TARPON SPRINGS TO SUWANNEE RIVER OUT 20
NM-TAMPA BAY WATERS.
SMALL CRAFT EXERCISE CAUTION FROM THIS AFTERNOON THROUGH THIS
EVENING FOR BONITA BEACH TO ENGLEWOOD OUT 20 NM-ENGLEWOOD
TO TARPON SPRINGS OUT 20 NM-TARPON SPRINGS TO SUWANNEE
RIVER OUT 20 NM
&&
SHORT TERM/MARINE....REYNES
LONG TERM/AVIATION...DAVISThe office that day
Everything else NWS Tampa Bay, FL issued on the same UTC day.
| Issued | Product | Office | Counties | Lasted |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 28, 4:32 AM EDT | Freeze Watch | TBW | Sumter | 11 hr |
| Oct 28, 3:33 PM EDT | Freeze Warning | TBW | 16 hr |
Nearby
Red Flag Warnings in Florida, 2008Every red flag warning in 2008
Sources
The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; the sounding from the Mesonet's radiosonde archive; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive.