Red Flag Warning 36, NWS Tampa Bay, FL

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TAMPA BAY RUSKIN FL
335 AM EDT WED APR 23 2008

.SHORT TERM (TODAY-FRI)...MAINLY DRY WITH SEASONAL TEMPERATURES TO
CONTINUE REST OF THE WORK WEEK. SLOW MOVING UPPER LOW CONTINUES TO
TRACK FURTHER INTO THE W ATLANTIC AS UPPER RIDGING FROM THE GULF
THRU THE DEEP SOUTH SLIDES OVER THE AREA. A WEAK VORT MAX MOVES
THRU THE OVERALL UPPER FLOW FRI. SURFACE HIGH PRESSURE BUILDING
DOWN THE ATLANTIC SEABOARD TO REINFORCE HIGH PRESSURE IN THE
REGION AS W ATLANTIC SFC LOW MOVES OUT TO SEA. DRY ATMOSPHERE
REMAINS IN PLACE WITH THESE FEATURES BUT LOW LEVEL MOISTURE SLOWLY
INCREASES IN TIME. MODERATE NE-EASTERLY FLOW THU-FRI TO ONLY ALLOW
SEABREEZE RIGHT AT THE COAST AND POSSIBLE CU DEVELOPMENT BUT RAIN
CHANCES REMAIN SLIM AND HAVE DROPPED POPS TO 10 PERCENT FRI ALONG
BOUNDARY. NEAR NORMAL TEMPS TO SLOWLY AND ONLY SLIGHTLY INCREASE
LATER IN THE WEEK.

.LONG TERM (FRI NIGHT-TUE)...HIGH PRESSURE WILL CONTINUE TO RIDGE
ACROSS THE AREA THROUGH SUNDAY. THE TAIL END OF A COLD FRONT WILL
THEN MOVE THROUGH THE AREA MONDAY. WITH MOST OF THE UPPER ENERGY
REMAINING WELL NORTH OF THE STATE...HAVE ADDED ONLY SLIGHT CHANCE
POPS FOR MONDAY. HIGH PRESSURE WILL THEN BUILD ACROSS THE AREA FROM
THE NW BEHIND THE FRONT FOR MONDAY NIGHT AND TUESDAY BRINGING DRIER
AIR INTO THE AREA. TEMPS ARE EXPECTED TO REMAIN ABOVE NORMAL THROUGH
SUNDAY NIGHT AND THEN COOL CLOSER TO NORMAL FOR MONDAY AND TUESDAY.

&&

.AVIATION...VFR CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED TO CONTINUE THROUGH THE
PERIOD...WITH THE EXCEPTION OF AN HOUR OR TWO OF POSSIBLE MVFR
VSBYS JUST BEFORE SUNRISE WITH PATCHY GROUND FOG.

&&

.MARINE...GRADIENT TO FLUCTUATE NEXT FEW DAYS AS SFC HIGH GETS
REINFORCED FROM THE N WITH MODERATE NE-EASTERLY WINDS AT TIMES FOR
SLIGHTLY ELEVATED SEAS MAINLY THU-FRI. SFC HIGH MOVES INTO THE
ATLANTIC OVER THE WEEKEND AS E-SE WINDS WEAKEN AND SEAS RELAX. WEAK
FRONT APPROACHES THE REGION NEXT WEEK.

&&

.FIRE WEATHER...SOME DRY AIR REMAINS OVER THE AREA WITH SW FL
EXPECTED TO SEE LOW RHS FOR 4 HOURS OR MORE THIS AFTERNOON SO HAVE
RAISED RED FLAG WARNING FOR CHARLOTTE AND LEE COUNTIES. ELSEWHERE
MIN RHS MAY DROP TO AROUND CRITICAL LEVELS FOR SHORT DURATIONS.
MOISTURE INCREASE THU INTO THE WEEKEND FOR RH ABOVE CRITICAL THRESHOLDS.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
TPA  81  64  83  65 /   5   5  10   5
FMY  84  63  85  64 /   5   5  10   5
GIF  83  63  84  64 /   5   5  10   5
SRQ  81  63  82  63 /   5   5  10   5
BKV  83  58  83  58 /   5   5  10   5
SPG  80  67  81  69 /   5   5  10   5

&&

.TBW WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
FL...RED FLAG WARNING FROM 1 PM THIS AFTERNOON TO 7 PM EDT THIS
     EVENING FOR CHARLOTTE-LEE.

GULF WATERS...NONE.
&&

SHORT TERM/MARINE/FIRE WX...RD
LONG TERM/AVIATION...JC

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TAMPA BAY RUSKIN FL
502 AM EDT TUE APR 22 2008

FLZ039-042-043-048>052-055>057-060>062-065-222115-
LEVY-CITRUS-SUMTER-HERNANDO-PASCO-PINELLAS-HILLSBOROUGH-POLK-
MANATEE-HARDEE-HIGHLANDS-SARASOTA-DE SOTO-CHARLOTTE-LEE-
502 AM EDT TUE APR 22 2008

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR WEST CENTRAL AND SOUTHWEST
FLORIDA.

.DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT.

...FIRE WEATHER IMPACT...
HIGH PRESSURE AND A DRY AIRMASS WILL REMAIN OVER THE AREA TODAY.
RELATIVE HUMIDITY VALUES OVER INTERIOR AREAS ARE EXPECTED TO FALL
BELOW 35 PERCENT FOR FOUR OR MORE HOURS THIS AFTERNOON. WESTERLY
WINDS ARE EXPECTED TO KEEP MOISTURE ABOVE CRITICAL LEVELS JUST
ALONG AND NEAR THE WEST COAST. THEREFORE...A RED FLAG WARNING HAS
BEEN ISSUED FOR ALL COUNTIES EXCEPT PINELLAS FOR THIS AFTERNOON.
NO OTHER HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS ANTICIPATED AT THIS TIME.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...WEDNESDAY THROUGH MONDAY.

NO HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS EXPECTED.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION WILL NOT BE NEEDED TODAY.

RD