Alert archive / Florida / Hurricane Local Statements in 2008
Hurricane Local Statement 1, NWS Tampa Bay, FL
NWS Tampa Bay, FL issued this hurricane local statement at Aug 18, 2008, 12:00 AM EDT for Sumter County, Florida. It was in force for 30 hr.
The area
The counties it named.
The facts
- Issued
- Aug 18, 2008, 12:00 AM EDT (04:00 UTC)
- Expired
- Aug 19, 2008, 5:40 AM EDT
- In force
- 30 hr
- Issued by
- NWS Tampa Bay, FL
County Sumter County, FL
The radar
The Tampa radar (KTBW), 116 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 04:00 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.
Open the radar archive at this moment
The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.
The nearest sounding before it
Tampa Bay, FL (KTBW), launched 00:00Z, 4.0 hours before the alert went out and 116 km from the middle of its area. This is the routine balloon launch nearest before it, the air the forecaster had in hand, not a measurement taken for the alert.
- Mixed-layer CAPE
- 1215 J/kg
- Mixed-layer CIN
- -20 J/kg
- Mixed-layer LCL
- 1228 m above ground
- 0-6 km bulk shear
- 14 kt
- 0-1 km storm-relative helicity
- 19 m²/s²
- 0-3 km storm-relative helicity
- 36 m²/s²
- Significant tornado parameter
- 0.0
- Supercell composite
- 0.0
The text
As transmitted, in the capitals the NWS used until 2016.
000 WTUS82 KTBW 180400 HLSTBW URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED TROPICAL STORM FAY LOCAL STATEMENT NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TAMPA BAY RUSKIN FL 1200 AM EDT MON AUG 18 2008 ...TROPICAL STORM FAY CONTINUING TO MOVE NORTHWEST JUST SOUTH OF CUBA... .AT 11 PM EDT...TROPICAL STORM FAY WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 21.4 DEGREES NORTH...80.6 DEGREES WEST OR ABOUT 375 MILES SOUTH SOUTHEAST OF FORT MYERS...AND ABOUT 475 MILES SOUTH SOUTHEAST OF TAMPA. FAY IS MOVING TOWARD THE NORTHWEST NEAR 10 MPH...WITH A TURN TOWARD THE NORTH EXPECTED ON MONDAY OR MONDAY NIGHT. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 50 MPH WITH HIGHER GUSTS. THE ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE WAS 1001 MB...OR 29.56 INCHES. FAY IS FORECAST TO MOVE TOWARD SOUTHWEST AND WEST CENTRAL FLORIDA TUESDAY AND COULD BECOME A HURRICANE BEFORE LANDFALL. FLZ050-051-055-060>062-065-GMZ830-853-856-873-876-181200- /O.CON.KTBW.HU.A.1006.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/ PINELLAS-HILLSBOROUGH-MANATEE-SARASOTA-DE SOTO-CHARLOTTE-LEE- TAMPA BAY WATERS-ENGLEWOOD TO TARPON SPRINGS OUT 20 NM- BONITA BEACH TO ENGLEWOOD OUT 20 NM- ENGLEWOOD TO TARPON SPRINGS OUT 20 TO 60 NM- BONITA BEACH TO ENGLEWOOD OUT 20 TO 60 NM- INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...CLEARWATER...ST. PETERSBURG...BRANDON... TAMPA...BRADENTON...SARASOTA...VENICE...ARCADIA... PORT CHARLOTTE...PUNTA GORDA...CAPE CORAL...FORT MYERS 1200 AM EDT MON AUG 18 2008 ...HURRICANE WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT... ...NEW INFORMATION... NO UPDATES/CHANGES AT THIS TIME. ...WATCHES/WARNINGS... A HURRICANE WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM BONITA BEACH IN LEE COUNTY TO TARPON SPRINGS IN PINELLAS COUNTY. ...PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... PEOPLE LOCATED IN THE WATCH AREA ARE ENCOURAGED TO FREQUENTLY MONITOR NOAA WEATHER RADIO...OR OTHER LOCAL NEWS MEDIA...FOR THE LATEST INFORMATION ON THIS EVOLVING SITUATION WITH TROPICAL STORM FAY. LISTEN CLOSELY FOR ANY SIGNIFICANT CHANGES TO THE FORECAST. FOR DETAILED PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS CHECK THE LATEST PUBLIC INFORMATION STATEMENT LINKED AT THE TOP OF THE NWS TAMPA BAY HOME PAGE ( HTTP://WWW.WEATHER.GOV/TAMPABAY ). ...STORM SURGE AND STORM TIDE... ON THE CURRENT FORECAST TRACK THE MAXIMUM EXPECTED STORM SURGE IS 3 TO 5 FEET ALONG THE LEE AND CHARLOTTE COUNTY COASTS INCLUDING THE UPPER PORTIONS OF CHARLOTTE HARBOR DURING LATE TUESDAY MORNING AND AFTERNOON. FURTHER NORTH ALONG THE PINELLAS...HILLSBOROUGH... SARASOTA AND MANATEE COUNTY COAST...INCLUDING TAMPA BAY...A SURGE OF 4 TO 6 FEET IS EXPECTED DURING LATE TUESDAY AFTERNOON AND EVENING. ASTRONOMICAL TIDE LEVELS MUST BE ADDED TO THESE SURGE VALUES TO DETERMINE TOTAL STORM TIDE LEVELS. ...WINDS... MAXIMUM WINDS OF 60 TO 80 MPH WITH SOME HIGHER GUSTS MAY AFFECT THE WATCH AREA TUESDAY INTO TUESDAY NIGHT. ...PROBABILITY OF HURRICANE/TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS... BASED ON THE CURRENT FORECAST TRACK THERE IS A 40 TO 60 PERCENT CHANCE OF TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS...WINDS OF 39 TO 73 MPH... BEING EXPERIENCED ACROSS THE WATCH AREA BEGINNING LATE MONDAY NIGHT INTO TUESDAY NIGHT. THERE IS ALSO A 5 TO 10 PERCENT CHANCE THAT HURRICANE CONDITIONS...WINDS OF 74 MPH OR HIGHER...WILL AFFECT THE AREA. ...INLAND FLOODING... RAINFALL AMOUNTS OF 5 TO 10 INCHES ARE EXPECTED ACROSS THE AREA LATE MONDAY NIGHT THROUGH WEDNESDAY MORNING WITH LOCALLY HIGHER AMOUNTS POSSIBLE. DEPENDING ON THE EXACT STORM TRACK...A FLOOD WATCH MAY NEED TO BE ISSUED FOR WEST CENTRAL AND SOUTHWEST FLORIDA ON MONDAY. ...TORNADOES... THE PRIMARY AREA FOR TORNADO DEVELOPMENT IN TROPICAL SYSTEMS IS THE RIGHT FRONT QUADRANT OF THE STORM. AS FAY MOVES NORTHWARD ACROSS THE AREA MONDAY NIGHT THROUGH TUESDAY NIGHT THE TORNADO THREAT FOR THE REGION WILL BE MODERATE TO HIGH. ...NEXT UPDATE... THE NEXT STATEMENT WILL BE ISSUED AROUND 530 AM EDT. $$ FLZ052-056-057-181200- /O.CON.KTBW.HI.A.0001.000000T0000Z-080820T0000Z/ POLK-HARDEE-HIGHLANDS- INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...LAKELAND...WINTER HAVEN...WAUCHULA... SEBRING...AVON PARK 1200 AM EDT MON AUG 18 2008 ...HURRICANE WIND WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT THROUGH TUESDAY EVENING... ...NEW INFORMATION... NO UPDATES/CHANGES AT THIS TIME. ...WATCHES/WARNINGS... A HURRICANE WIND WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR POLK...HARDEE AND HIGHLANDS COUNTIES. ...PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... PEOPLE LOCATED IN THE WATCH AREA ARE ENCOURAGED TO FREQUENTLY MONITOR NOAA WEATHER RADIO...OR OTHER LOCAL NEWS MEDIA...FOR THE LATEST INFORMATION ON THIS EVOLVING SITUATION WITH TROPICAL STORM FAY. LISTEN CLOSELY FOR ANY SIGNIFICANT CHANGES TO THE FORECAST. FOR DETAILED PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS CHECK THE LATEST PUBLIC INFORMATION STATEMENT LINKED AT THE TOP OF THE NWS TAMPA BAY HOME PAGE ( HTTP://WWW.WEATHER.GOV/TAMPABAY ). ...WINDS... MAXIMUM WINDS OF 55 TO 75 MPH WITH SOME HIGHER GUSTS MAY AFFECT THE WATCH AREA TUESDAY INTO TUESDAY NIGHT. HOWEVER...BASED ON THE LATEST FORECAST TRACK IT IS MORE LIKELY THAT WINDS WILL BE MAINLY BETWEEN 45 AND 55 MPH WITH GUSTS TO HURRICANE FORCE. ...PROBABILITY OF HURRICANE/TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS... BASED ON THE CURRENT FORECAST TRACK THERE IS A 35 TO 55 PERCENT CHANCE OF TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS...WINDS OF 39 TO 73 MPH... BEING EXPERIENCED ACROSS THE WATCH AREA BEGINNING LATE MONDAY NIGHT INTO TUESDAY NIGHT. THERE IS ALSO A 3 TO 7 PERCENT CHANCE THAT HURRICANE CONDITIONS...WINDS OF 74 MPH OR HIGHER...WILL AFFECT THE AREA. ...INLAND FLOODING... RAINFALL AMOUNTS OF 5 TO 10 INCHES ARE EXPECTED ACROSS THE AREA LATE MONDAY NIGHT THROUGH TUESDAY NIGHT WITH LOCALLY HIGHER AMOUNTS POSSIBLE. DEPENDING ON THE EXACT STORM TRACK...A FLOOD WATCH MAY NEED TO BE ISSUED FOR WEST CENTRAL AND SOUTHWEST FLORIDA ON MONDAY. ...TORNADOES... THE PRIMARY AREA FOR TORNADO DEVELOPMENT IN TROPICAL SYSTEMS IS THE RIGHT FRONT QUADRANT OF THE STORM. AS FAY MOVES NORTHWARD ACROSS THE AREA MONDAY NIGHT THROUGH TUESDAY NIGHT THE TORNADO THREAT FOR THE REGION WILL BE MODERATE TO HIGH. ...NEXT UPDATE... THE NEXT STATEMENT WILL BE ISSUED AROUND 530 AM EDT. $$ FLZ039-042-043-048-049-GMZ850-870-181200- /O.NEW.KTBW.HU.S.0001.080818T0400Z-000000T0000Z/ LEVY-CITRUS-SUMTER-HERNANDO-PASCO- TARPON SPRINGS TO SUWANNEE RIVER OUT 20 NM- TARPON SPRINGS TO SUWANNEE RIVER OUT 20 TO 60 NM- INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...CEDAR KEY...CHIEFLAND...CRYSTAL RIVER... INVERNESS...BUSHNELL...THE VILLAGES...BROOKSVILLE...SPRING HILL... NEW PORT RICHEY...ZEPHYRHILLS 1200 AM EDT MON AUG 18 2008 ...NEW INFORMATION... ALTHOUGH WATCHES HAVE NOT BEEN ISSUED FOR THE AREA...RESIDENTS AND MARINERS SHOULD KEEP ABREAST OF ANY NEARING HAZARDS ASSOCIATED WITH TROPICAL STORM FAY. ...PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... RESIDENTS AND VISITORS ARE ENCOURAGED TO FREQUENTLY MONITOR NOAA WEATHER RADIO...OR OTHER LOCAL NEWS MEDIA...FOR THE LATEST INFORMATION ON THIS EVOLVING SITUATION WITH TROPICAL STORM FAY. LISTEN CLOSELY FOR ANY SIGNIFICANT CHANGES TO THE FORECAST. FOR DETAILED PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS CHECK THE LATEST PUBLIC INFORMATION STATEMENT LINKED AT THE TOP OF THE NWS TAMPA BAY HOME PAGE ( HTTP://WWW.WEATHER.GOV/TAMPABAY ). ...STORM SURGE AND STORM TIDE... ON THE CURRENT FORECAST TRACK THE MAXIMUM EXPECTED STORM SURGE IS 3 TO 5 FEET ALONG THE COAST FROM PASCO TO LEVY COUNTY DURING WEDNESDAY MORNING. ASTRONOMICAL TIDE LEVELS MUST BE ADDED TO THESE SURGE VALUES TO DETERMINE TOTAL STORM TIDE LEVELS. ...WINDS... MAXIMUM WINDS OF 60 TO 75 MPH WITH SOME HIGHER GUSTS MAY AFFECT THE AREA TUESDAY NIGHT INTO WEDNESDAY MORNING. ...PROBABILITY OF HURRICANE/TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS... BASED ON THE CURRENT FORECAST TRACK THERE IS A 30 TO 50 PERCENT CHANCE OF TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS...WINDS OF 39 TO 73 MPH... BEING EXPERIENCED ACROSS THE WATCH AREA BEGINNING LATE MONDAY NIGHT INTO TUESDAY NIGHT. THERE IS ALSO A 3 TO 7 PERCENT CHANCE THAT HURRICANE CONDITIONS...WINDS OF 74 MPH OR HIGHER...WILL AFFECT THE AREA. ...INLAND FLOODING... RAINFALL AMOUNTS OF 4 TO 8 INCHES ARE EXPECTED ACROSS THE AREA TUESDAY MORNING THROUGH WEDNESDAY MORNING WITH LOCALLY HIGHER AMOUNTS POSSIBLE. DEPENDING ON THE EXACT STORM TRACK...A FLOOD WATCH MAY NEED TO BE ISSUED FOR WEST CENTRAL AND SOUTHWEST FLORIDA ON MONDAY. ...TORNADOES... THE PRIMARY AREA FOR TORNADO DEVELOPMENT IN TROPICAL SYSTEMS IS THE RIGHT FRONT QUADRANT OF THE STORM. AS FAY MOVES NORTHWARD ACROSS THE AREA TUESDAY THROUGH WEDNESDAY MORNING THE TORNADO THREAT FOR THE REGION WILL BE MODERATE TO HIGH. ...NEXT UPDATE... THE NEXT STATEMENT WILL BE ISSUED AROUND 530 AM EDT. $$
9 follow-up statements
000 WTUS82 KTBW 180934 HLSTBW URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED TROPICAL STORM FAY LOCAL STATEMENT NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TAMPA BAY RUSKIN FL 534 AM EDT MON AUG 18 2008 ...TROPICAL STORM FAY CONTINUING TO MOVE NORTH NORTHWEST OVER CUBA... .AT 5 AM EDT...TROPICAL STORM FAY WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 22.54 DEGREES NORTH...80.9 DEGREES WEST OR ABOUT 300 MILES SOUTH SOUTHEAST OF FORT MYERS...AND ABOUT 400 MILES SOUTH SOUTHEAST OF TAMPA. FAY IS MOVING TOWARD THE NORTH-NORTHWEST NEAR 12 MPH. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 50 MPH WITH HIGHER GUSTS. THE ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE WAS 1003 MB...OR 29.62 INCHES. FAY IS FORECAST TO MOVE TOWARD SOUTHWEST AND WEST CENTRAL FLORIDA TUESDAY INTO WEDNESDAY AND COULD BECOME A HURRICANE BEFORE LANDFALL. FLZ050-051-055-060>062-065-GMZ830-853-856-873-876-181745- /O.CON.KTBW.HU.A.1006.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/ PINELLAS-HILLSBOROUGH-MANATEE-SARASOTA-DE SOTO-CHARLOTTE-LEE- TAMPA BAY WATERS-ENGLEWOOD TO TARPON SPRINGS OUT 20 NM- BONITA BEACH TO ENGLEWOOD OUT 20 NM- ENGLEWOOD TO TARPON SPRINGS OUT 20 TO 60 NM- BONITA BEACH TO ENGLEWOOD OUT 20 TO 60 NM- INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...CLEARWATER...ST. PETERSBURG...BRANDON... TAMPA...BRADENTON...SARASOTA...VENICE...ARCADIA... PORT CHARLOTTE...PUNTA GORDA...CAPE CORAL...FORT MYERS 534 AM EDT MON AUG 18 2008 ...HURRICANE WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT... ...NEW INFORMATION... NO UPDATES/CHANGES AT THIS TIME. ...WATCHES/WARNINGS... A HURRICANE WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM BONITA BEACH IN LEE COUNTY TO TARPON SPRINGS IN PINELLAS COUNTY. ...PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... PEOPLE LOCATED IN THE WATCH AREA ARE ENCOURAGED TO FREQUENTLY MONITOR NOAA WEATHER RADIO...OR OTHER LOCAL NEWS MEDIA...FOR THE LATEST INFORMATION ON THIS EVOLVING SITUATION WITH TROPICAL STORM FAY. LISTEN CLOSELY FOR ANY SIGNIFICANT CHANGES TO THE FORECAST. FOR DETAILED PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS CHECK THE LATEST PUBLIC INFORMATION STATEMENT LINKED AT THE TOP OF THE NWS TAMPA BAY HOME PAGE ( HTTP://WWW.WEATHER.GOV/TAMPABAY ). ...STORM SURGE AND STORM TIDE... ON THE CURRENT FORECAST TRACK THE MAXIMUM EXPECTED STORM SURGE IS 3 TO 5 FEET ALONG THE LEE AND CHARLOTTE COUNTY COASTS INCLUDING THE UPPER PORTIONS OF CHARLOTTE HARBOR DURING TUESDAY AFTERNOON AND EVENING. FURTHER NORTH ALONG THE PINELLAS...HILLSBOROUGH... SARASOTA AND MANATEE COUNTY COAST...INCLUDING TAMPA BAY...A SURGE OF 2 TO 4 FEET IS POSSIBLE IF FAY STAYS OFFSHORE TUESDAY EVENING AND NIGHT. ASTRONOMICAL TIDE LEVELS MUST BE ADDED TO THESE SURGE VALUES TO DETERMINE TOTAL STORM TIDE LEVELS. ...WINDS... MAXIMUM WINDS OF 60 TO 80 MPH WITH SOME HIGHER GUSTS MAY AFFECT THE WATCH AREA TUESDAY THROUGH TUESDAY NIGHT. ...PROBABILITY OF HURRICANE/TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS... BASED ON THE CURRENT FORECAST TRACK THERE IS A 40 TO 60 PERCENT CHANCE OF TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS...WINDS OF 39 TO 73 MPH... BEING EXPERIENCED ACROSS THE WATCH AREA BEGINNING EARLY MONDAY MORNING THROUGH TUESDAY NIGHT. THERE IS ALSO A 5 TO 10 PERCENT CHANCE THAT HURRICANE CONDITIONS...WINDS OF 74 MPH OR HIGHER...WILL AFFECT THE AREA. ...INLAND FLOODING... RAINFALL AMOUNTS OF 4 TO 8 INCHES ARE EXPECTED ACROSS THE AREA LATE MONDAY NIGHT THROUGH WEDNESDAY MORNING WITH LOCALLY HIGHER AMOUNTS POSSIBLE. DEPENDING ON THE EXACT STORM TRACK...A FLOOD WATCH MAY NEED TO BE ISSUED FOR WEST CENTRAL AND SOUTHWEST FLORIDA ON MONDAY. ...TORNADOES... THE PRIMARY AREA FOR TORNADO DEVELOPMENT IN TROPICAL SYSTEMS IS THE RIGHT FRONT QUADRANT OF THE STORM. AS FAY MOVES NORTHWARD ACROSS THE AREA MONDAY NIGHT THROUGH TUESDAY NIGHT THE TORNADO THREAT FOR THE REGION WILL BE MODERATE TO HIGH. ...NEXT UPDATE... THE NEXT STATEMENT WILL BE ISSUED AROUND 1130 AM EDT. $$ FLZ052-056-057-181745- /O.CON.KTBW.HI.A.0001.000000T0000Z-080820T0000Z/ POLK-HARDEE-HIGHLANDS- INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...LAKELAND...WINTER HAVEN...WAUCHULA... SEBRING...AVON PARK 534 AM EDT MON AUG 18 2008 ...HURRICANE WIND WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT THROUGH TUESDAY EVENING... ...NEW INFORMATION... NO UPDATES/CHANGES AT THIS TIME. ...WATCHES/WARNINGS... A HURRICANE WIND WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR POLK...HARDEE AND HIGHLANDS COUNTIES. ...PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... PEOPLE LOCATED IN THE WATCH AREA ARE ENCOURAGED TO FREQUENTLY MONITOR NOAA WEATHER RADIO...OR OTHER LOCAL NEWS MEDIA...FOR THE LATEST INFORMATION ON THIS EVOLVING SITUATION WITH TROPICAL STORM FAY. LISTEN CLOSELY FOR ANY SIGNIFICANT CHANGES TO THE FORECAST. FOR DETAILED PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS CHECK THE LATEST PUBLIC INFORMATION STATEMENT LINKED AT THE TOP OF THE NWS TAMPA BAY HOME PAGE ( HTTP://WWW.WEATHER.GOV/TAMPABAY ). ...WINDS... MAXIMUM WINDS OF 55 TO 75 MPH WITH SOME HIGHER GUSTS MAY AFFECT THE WATCH AREA LATE TUESDAY INTO WEDNESDAY. HOWEVER...BASED ON THE LATEST FORECAST TRACK IT IS MORE LIKELY THAT WINDS WILL BE MAINLY BETWEEN 45 AND 55 MPH WITH GUSTS TO HURRICANE FORCE. ...PROBABILITY OF HURRICANE/TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS... BASED ON THE CURRENT FORECAST TRACK THERE IS A 35 TO 55 PERCENT CHANCE OF TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS...WINDS OF 39 TO 73 MPH... BEING EXPERIENCED ACROSS THE WATCH AREA BEGINNING TUESDAY AFTERNOON THROUGH TUESDAY NIGHT. THERE IS ALSO A 3 TO 7 PERCENT CHANCE THAT HURRICANE CONDITIONS...WINDS OF 74 MPH OR HIGHER...WILL AFFECT THE AREA. ...INLAND FLOODING... RAINFALL AMOUNTS OF 4 TO 8 INCHES ARE EXPECTED ACROSS THE AREA LATE MONDAY NIGHT INTO WEDNESDAY WITH LOCALLY HIGHER AMOUNTS POSSIBLE. DEPENDING ON THE EXACT STORM TRACK...A FLOOD WATCH MAY NEED TO BE ISSUED FOR WEST CENTRAL AND SOUTHWEST FLORIDA ON MONDAY. ...TORNADOES... THE PRIMARY AREA FOR TORNADO DEVELOPMENT IN TROPICAL SYSTEMS IS THE RIGHT FRONT QUADRANT OF THE STORM. AS FAY MOVES NORTHWARD ACROSS THE AREA MONDAY NIGHT THROUGH TUESDAY NIGHT THE TORNADO THREAT FOR THE REGION WILL BE MODERATE TO HIGH. ...NEXT UPDATE... THE NEXT STATEMENT WILL BE ISSUED AROUND 1130 AM EDT. $$ FLZ039-042-043-048-049-GMZ850-870-181745- /O.CON.KTBW.HU.S.0001.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/ LEVY-CITRUS-SUMTER-HERNANDO-PASCO- TARPON SPRINGS TO SUWANNEE RIVER OUT 20 NM- TARPON SPRINGS TO SUWANNEE RIVER OUT 20 TO 60 NM- INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...CEDAR KEY...CHIEFLAND...CRYSTAL RIVER... INVERNESS...BUSHNELL...THE VILLAGES...BROOKSVILLE...SPRING HILL... NEW PORT RICHEY...ZEPHYRHILLS 534 AM EDT MON AUG 18 2008 ...NEW INFORMATION... ALTHOUGH WATCHES HAVE NOT BEEN ISSUED FOR THE AREA...RESIDENTS AND MARINERS SHOULD KEEP ABREAST OF ANY NEARING HAZARDS ASSOCIATED WITH TROPICAL STORM FAY. ...PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... RESIDENTS AND VISITORS ARE ENCOURAGED TO FREQUENTLY MONITOR NOAA WEATHER RADIO...OR OTHER LOCAL NEWS MEDIA...FOR THE LATEST INFORMATION ON THIS EVOLVING SITUATION WITH TROPICAL STORM FAY. LISTEN CLOSELY FOR ANY SIGNIFICANT CHANGES TO THE FORECAST. FOR DETAILED PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS CHECK THE LATEST PUBLIC INFORMATION STATEMENT LINKED AT THE TOP OF THE NWS TAMPA BAY HOME PAGE ( HTTP://WWW.WEATHER.GOV/TAMPABAY ). ...STORM SURGE AND STORM TIDE... IF FAY REMAINS OFFSHORE OF THE CURRENT FORECAST TRACK THE MAXIMUM EXPECTED STORM SURGE WOULD BE POSSIBLY 3 TO 5 FEET ALONG THE COAST FROM PASCO TO LEVY COUNTY DURING WEDNESDAY MORNING. ASTRONOMICAL TIDE LEVELS MUST BE ADDED TO THESE SURGE VALUES TO DETERMINE TOTAL STORM TIDE LEVELS. ...WINDS... MAXIMUM WINDS OF 60 TO 75 MPH WITH SOME HIGHER GUSTS COULD AFFECT THE AREA TUESDAY NIGHT THROUGH WEDNESDAY MORNING. ...PROBABILITY OF HURRICANE/TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS... BASED ON THE CURRENT FORECAST TRACK THERE IS A 30 TO 50 PERCENT CHANCE OF TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS...WINDS OF 39 TO 73 MPH... BEING EXPERIENCED ACROSS THE WATCH AREA BEGINNING LATE MONDAY NIGHT INTO TUESDAY NIGHT. THERE IS ALSO A 3 TO 7 PERCENT CHANCE THAT HURRICANE CONDITIONS...WINDS OF 74 MPH OR HIGHER...WILL AFFECT THE AREA. ...INLAND FLOODING... RAINFALL AMOUNTS OF 3 TO 6 INCHES ARE EXPECTED ACROSS THE AREA TUESDAY MORNING THROUGH WEDNESDAY MORNING WITH LOCALLY HIGHER AMOUNTS POSSIBLE. DEPENDING ON THE EXACT STORM TRACK...A FLOOD WATCH MAY NEED TO BE ISSUED FOR WEST CENTRAL AND SOUTHWEST FLORIDA ON MONDAY. ...TORNADOES... THE PRIMARY AREA FOR TORNADO DEVELOPMENT IN TROPICAL SYSTEMS IS THE RIGHT FRONT QUADRANT OF THE STORM. AS FAY MOVES NORTHWARD ACROSS THE AREA TUESDAY THROUGH WEDNESDAY MORNING THE TORNADO THREAT FOR THE REGION WILL BE MODERATE TO HIGH. ...NEXT UPDATE... THE NEXT STATEMENT WILL BE ISSUED AROUND 1130 AM EDT. $$
000 WTUS82 KTBW 181601 HLSTBW URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED TROPICAL STORM FAY LOCAL STATEMENT NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TAMPA BAY RUSKIN FL 1201 PM EDT MON AUG 18 2008 ...TROPICAL STORM FAY MOVING NORTH NORTHWEST INTO THE FLORIDA STRAITS... .AT 11 AM EDT...TROPICAL STORM FAY WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 23.6 DEGREES NORTH...81.5 DEGREES WEST OR ABOUT 200 MILES SOUTH OF FORT MYERS...AND ABOUT 300 MILES SOUTH SOUTHEAST OF TAMPA. FAY IS MOVING TOWARD THE NORTH-NORTHWEST NEAR 13 MPH. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 60 MPH WITH HIGHER GUSTS. THE MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE REPORTED BY AN AIR FORCE RESERVE HURRICANE HUNTER AIRCRAFT WAS 1003 MB...OR 29.62 INCHES. FAY IS FORECAST TO MAKE LANDFALL IN SOUTHWEST OR WEST CENTRAL FLORIDA ON TUESDAY AS A CATEGORY ONE HURRICANE. FLZ055-060>062-065-GMZ853-856-873-876-182300- /O.UPG.KTBW.HU.A.1006.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/ /O.NEW.KTBW.HU.W.1006.080818T1601Z-000000T0000Z/ MANATEE-SARASOTA-DE SOTO-CHARLOTTE-LEE- ENGLEWOOD TO TARPON SPRINGS OUT 20 NM- BONITA BEACH TO ENGLEWOOD OUT 20 NM- ENGLEWOOD TO TARPON SPRINGS OUT 20 TO 60 NM- BONITA BEACH TO ENGLEWOOD OUT 20 TO 60 NM- INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...BRADENTON...SARASOTA...VENICE... ARCADIA...PORT CHARLOTTE...PUNTA GORDA...CAPE CORAL...FORT MYERS 1201 PM EDT MON AUG 18 2008 ...HURRICANE WARNING IN EFFECT... ...HURRICANE WATCH NO LONGER IN EFFECT... ...NEW INFORMATION... AT 11 AM EDT...THE HURRICANE WATCH HAS BEEN UPGRADED TO A HURRICANE WARNING. ...WATCHES/WARNINGS... A HURRICANE WARNING IS NOW IN EFFECT FROM BONITA BEACH IN LEE COUNTY TO ANNA MARIA ISLAND IN MANATEE COUNTY. ...PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... PEOPLE LOCATED IN THE WARNED AREA ARE URGED TO PREPARE FOR THE ONSET OF HURRICANE FORCE WINDS BEFORE IT GETS DARK THIS EVENING. DAMAGING WINDS MAY ALREADY BE OCCURRING BY FIRST LIGHT ON TUESDAY. MONITOR NOAA WEATHER RADIO...OR OTHER LOCAL NEWS MEDIA...FOR THE LATEST INFORMATION ON THIS EVOLVING SITUATION WITH TROPICAL STORM FAY. LISTEN CLOSELY FOR ANY SIGNIFICANT CHANGES TO THE FORECAST. FOR DETAILED PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS CHECK THE LATEST PUBLIC INFORMATION STATEMENT LINKED AT THE TOP OF THE NWS TAMPA BAY HOME PAGE ( HTTP://WWW.WEATHER.GOV/TAMPABAY ). ...STORM SURGE AND STORM TIDE... ON THE CURRENT FORECAST TRACK THE MAXIMUM EXPECTED STORM SURGE IS 3 TO 5 FEET ALONG THE LEE AND CHARLOTTE COUNTY COASTS INCLUDING THE UPPER PORTIONS OF CHARLOTTE HARBOR AROUND MID DAY TUESDAY. FURTHER NORTH ALONG THE SARASOTA AND MANATEE COUNTY COAST A SURGE OF 2 TO 4 FEET IS POSSIBLE IF FAY STAYS OFFSHORE TUESDAY EVENING AND NIGHT. ASTRONOMICAL TIDE LEVELS MUST BE ADDED TO THESE SURGE VALUES TO DETERMINE TOTAL STORM TIDE LEVELS. ...WINDS... MAXIMUM WINDS OF 60 TO 75 MPH WITH SOME HIGHER GUSTS ARE EXPECTED TO AFFECT THE WARNED AREA TUESDAY. ...PROBABILITY OF HURRICANE/TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS... BASED ON THE CURRENT FORECAST TRACK THERE IS A 50 TO 70 PERCENT CHANCE OF TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS...WINDS OF 39 TO 73 MPH... BEING EXPERIENCED ACROSS THE WARNED AREA BEGINNING EARLY TUESDAY MORNING THROUGH TUESDAY NIGHT. THERE IS ALSO A 8 TO 12 PERCENT CHANCE THAT HURRICANE CONDITIONS...WINDS OF 74 MPH OR HIGHER... WILL AFFECT THE AREA. ...INLAND FLOODING... RAINFALL AMOUNTS OF 4 TO 8 INCHES ARE EXPECTED ACROSS THE AREA LATE TONIGHT THROUGH WEDNESDAY MORNING WITH LOCALLY HIGHER AMOUNTS POSSIBLE. DEPENDING ON THE EXACT STORM TRACK...A FLOOD WATCH MAY NEED TO BE ISSUED FOR WEST CENTRAL AND SOUTHWEST FLORIDA TODAY. ...TORNADOES... THE PRIMARY AREA FOR TORNADO DEVELOPMENT IN TROPICAL SYSTEMS IS THE RIGHT FRONT QUADRANT OF THE STORM. AS FAY MOVES NORTHWARD ACROSS THE AREA TONIGHT THROUGH TUESDAY NIGHT THE TORNADO THREAT FOR THE REGION WILL BE MODERATE TO HIGH. ...NEXT UPDATE... THE NEXT STATEMENT WILL BE ISSUED AROUND 530 PM EDT. $$ FLZ056-057-182300- /O.UPG.KTBW.HI.A.0001.000000T0000Z-080820T0000Z/ /O.NEW.KTBW.HI.W.0001.080818T1601Z-080820T0000Z/ HARDEE-HIGHLANDS- INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...WAUCHULA...SEBRING...AVON PARK 1201 PM EDT MON AUG 18 2008 ...HURRICANE WIND WARNING IN EFFECT UNTIL 8 PM EDT TUESDAY... ...NEW INFORMATION... AT 11 AM EDT...THE HURRICANE WIND WATCH HAS BEEN UPGRADED TO A HURRICANE WIND WARNING. ...WATCHES/WARNINGS... A HURRICANE WIND WARNING IS NOW IN EFFECT FOR HARDEE AND HIGHLANDS COUNTIES. ...PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... PEOPLE LOCATED IN THE WARNED AREA ARE URGED TO PREPARE FOR THE ONSET OF HURRICANE FORCE WINDS BEFORE IT GETS DARK THIS EVENING. DAMAGING WINDS MAY ALREADY BE OCCURRING BY FIRST LIGHT ON TUESDAY. MONITOR NOAA WEATHER RADIO...OR OTHER LOCAL NEWS MEDIA...FOR THE LATEST INFORMATION ON THIS EVOLVING SITUATION WITH TROPICAL STORM FAY. LISTEN CLOSELY FOR ANY SIGNIFICANT CHANGES TO THE FORECAST. FOR DETAILED PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS CHECK THE LATEST PUBLIC INFORMATION STATEMENT LINKED AT THE TOP OF THE NWS TAMPA BAY HOME PAGE ( HTTP://WWW.WEATHER.GOV/TAMPABAY ). ...WINDS... MAXIMUM WINDS OF 55 TO 75 MPH WITH SOME HIGHER GUSTS ARE EXPECTED TO AFFECT THE WARNED AREA TUESDAY AFTERNOON AND NIGHT. ...PROBABILITY OF HURRICANE/TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS... BASED ON THE CURRENT FORECAST TRACK THERE IS A 60 TO 70 PERCENT CHANCE OF TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS...WINDS OF 39 TO 73 MPH... BEING EXPERIENCED ACROSS THE WATCH AREA TUESDAY AND TUESDAY NIGHT. THERE IS ALSO A 5 TO 7 PERCENT CHANCE THAT HURRICANE CONDITIONS...WINDS OF 74 MPH OR HIGHER...WILL AFFECT THE AREA. ...INLAND FLOODING... RAINFALL AMOUNTS OF 4 TO 8 INCHES ARE EXPECTED ACROSS THE AREA LATE TONIGHT INTO WEDNESDAY WITH LOCALLY HIGHER AMOUNTS POSSIBLE. DEPENDING ON THE EXACT STORM TRACK...A FLOOD WATCH MAY NEED TO BE ISSUED FOR WEST CENTRAL AND SOUTHWEST FLORIDA LATER TODAY. ...TORNADOES... THE PRIMARY AREA FOR TORNADO DEVELOPMENT IN TROPICAL SYSTEMS IS THE RIGHT FRONT QUADRANT OF THE STORM. AS FAY MOVES NORTHWARD ACROSS THE AREA TONIGHT THROUGH TUESDAY NIGHT THE TORNADO THREAT FOR THE REGION WILL BE MODERATE TO HIGH. ...NEXT UPDATE... THE NEXT STATEMENT WILL BE ISSUED AROUND 530 PM EDT. $$ FLZ050-051-GMZ830-182300- /O.CON.KTBW.HU.A.1006.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/ PINELLAS-HILLSBOROUGH-TAMPA BAY WATERS- INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...CLEARWATER...ST. PETERSBURG...BRANDON... TAMPA 1201 PM EDT MON AUG 18 2008 ...HURRICANE WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT... ...NEW INFORMATION... NO UPDATES/CHANGES AT THIS TIME. ...WATCHES/WARNINGS... A HURRICANE WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM NORTH OF ANNA MARIA IN MANATEE COUNTY TO TARPON SPRINGS IN PINELLAS COUNTY. ...PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... PEOPLE LOCATED IN THE WATCH AREA ARE ENCOURAGED TO FREQUENTLY MONITOR NOAA WEATHER RADIO...OR OTHER LOCAL NEWS MEDIA...FOR THE LATEST INFORMATION ON THIS EVOLVING SITUATION WITH TROPICAL STORM FAY. LISTEN CLOSELY FOR ANY SIGNIFICANT CHANGES TO THE FORECAST. FOR DETAILED PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS CHECK THE LATEST PUBLIC INFORMATION STATEMENT LINKED AT THE TOP OF THE NWS TAMPA BAY HOME PAGE ( HTTP://WWW.WEATHER.GOV/TAMPABAY ). ...STORM SURGE AND STORM TIDE... A SURGE OF 2 TO 4 FEET IS POSSIBLE IF FAY STAYS OFFSHORE TUESDAY EVENING AND NIGHT. ASTRONOMICAL TIDE LEVELS MUST BE ADDED TO THESE SURGE VALUES TO DETERMINE TOTAL STORM TIDE LEVELS. ...WINDS... MAXIMUM WINDS OF 55 TO 65 MPH WITH SOME HIGHER GUSTS MAY AFFECT THE WATCH AREA TUESDAY THROUGH TUESDAY NIGHT. ...PROBABILITY OF HURRICANE/TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS... BASED ON THE CURRENT FORECAST TRACK THERE IS A 45 TO 60 PERCENT CHANCE OF TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS...WINDS OF 39 TO 73 MPH... BEING EXPERIENCED ACROSS THE WATCH AREA BEGINNING EARLY TUESDAY MORNING THROUGH TUESDAY NIGHT. THERE IS ALSO A 7 TO 9 PERCENT CHANCE THAT HURRICANE CONDITIONS...WINDS OF 74 MPH OR HIGHER...WILL AFFECT THE AREA. ...INLAND FLOODING... RAINFALL AMOUNTS OF 4 TO 8 INCHES ARE EXPECTED ACROSS THE AREA LATE TONIGHT THROUGH WEDNESDAY MORNING WITH LOCALLY HIGHER AMOUNTS POSSIBLE. DEPENDING ON THE EXACT STORM TRACK...A FLOOD WATCH MAY NEED TO BE ISSUED FOR WEST CENTRAL AND SOUTHWEST FLORIDA LATER TODAY. ...TORNADOES... THE PRIMARY AREA FOR TORNADO DEVELOPMENT IN TROPICAL SYSTEMS IS THE RIGHT FRONT QUADRANT OF THE STORM. AS FAY MOVES NORTHWARD ACROSS THE AREA TONIGHT THROUGH TUESDAY NIGHT THE TORNADO THREAT FOR THE REGION WILL BE MODERATE TO HIGH. ...NEXT UPDATE... THE NEXT STATEMENT WILL BE ISSUED AROUND 530 PM EDT. $$ FLZ052-182300- /O.CON.KTBW.HI.A.0001.000000T0000Z-080820T0000Z/ POLK- INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...LAKELAND...WINTER HAVEN 1201 PM EDT MON AUG 18 2008 ...HURRICANE WIND WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT THROUGH TUESDAY EVENING... ...NEW INFORMATION... NO UPDATES/CHANGES AT THIS TIME. ...WATCHES/WARNINGS... A HURRICANE WIND WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR POLK COUNTY. ...PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... PEOPLE LOCATED IN THE WATCH AREA ARE ENCOURAGED TO FREQUENTLY MONITOR NOAA WEATHER RADIO...OR OTHER LOCAL NEWS MEDIA...FOR THE LATEST INFORMATION ON THIS EVOLVING SITUATION WITH TROPICAL STORM FAY. LISTEN CLOSELY FOR ANY SIGNIFICANT CHANGES TO THE FORECAST. FOR DETAILED PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS CHECK THE LATEST PUBLIC INFORMATION STATEMENT LINKED AT THE TOP OF THE NWS TAMPA BAY HOME PAGE ( HTTP://WWW.WEATHER.GOV/TAMPABAY ). ...WINDS... MAXIMUM WINDS OF 55 TO 65 MPH WITH SOME HIGHER GUSTS MAY AFFECT THE WATCH AREA TUESDAY AND TUESDAY NIGHT. ...PROBABILITY OF HURRICANE/TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS... BASED ON THE CURRENT FORECAST TRACK THERE IS A 55 TO 65 PERCENT CHANCE OF TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS...WINDS OF 39 TO 73 MPH... BEING EXPERIENCED ACROSS THE WATCH AREA TUESDAY AFTERNOON THROUGH TUESDAY NIGHT. THERE IS ALSO A 4 TO 8 PERCENT CHANCE THAT HURRICANE CONDITIONS...WINDS OF 74 MPH OR HIGHER... WILL AFFECT THE AREA. ...INLAND FLOODING... RAINFALL AMOUNTS OF 4 TO 8 INCHES ARE EXPECTED ACROSS THE AREA LATE TONIGHT INTO WEDNESDAY WITH LOCALLY HIGHER AMOUNTS POSSIBLE. DEPENDING ON THE EXACT STORM TRACK...A FLOOD WATCH MAY NEED TO BE ISSUED FOR WEST CENTRAL AND SOUTHWEST FLORIDA LATER TODAY. ...TORNADOES... THE PRIMARY AREA FOR TORNADO DEVELOPMENT IN TROPICAL SYSTEMS IS THE RIGHT FRONT QUADRANT OF THE STORM. AS FAY MOVES NORTHWARD ACROSS THE AREA TONIGHT THROUGH TUESDAY NIGHT THE TORNADO THREAT FOR THE REGION WILL BE MODERATE TO HIGH. ...NEXT UPDATE... THE NEXT STATEMENT WILL BE ISSUED AROUND 530 PM EDT. $$ FLZ039-042-043-048-049-GMZ850-870-182300- /O.CON.KTBW.HU.S.0001.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/ LEVY-CITRUS-SUMTER-HERNANDO-PASCO- TARPON SPRINGS TO SUWANNEE RIVER OUT 20 NM- TARPON SPRINGS TO SUWANNEE RIVER OUT 20 TO 60 NM- INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...CEDAR KEY...CHIEFLAND...CRYSTAL RIVER... INVERNESS...BUSHNELL...THE VILLAGES...BROOKSVILLE...SPRING HILL... NEW PORT RICHEY...ZEPHYRHILLS 1201 PM EDT MON AUG 18 2008 ...NEW INFORMATION... NO UPDATES/CHANGES AT THIS TIME. ...PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... RESIDENTS AND VISITORS ARE ENCOURAGED TO FREQUENTLY MONITOR NOAA WEATHER RADIO...OR OTHER LOCAL NEWS MEDIA...FOR THE LATEST INFORMATION ON THIS EVOLVING SITUATION WITH TROPICAL STORM FAY. LISTEN CLOSELY FOR ANY SIGNIFICANT CHANGES TO THE FORECAST. FOR DETAILED PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS CHECK THE LATEST PUBLIC INFORMATION STATEMENT LINKED AT THE TOP OF THE NWS TAMPA BAY HOME PAGE ( HTTP://WWW.WEATHER.GOV/TAMPABAY ). ...STORM SURGE AND STORM TIDE... IF FAY REMAINS OFFSHORE OF THE CURRENT FORECAST TRACK THE MAXIMUM EXPECTED STORM SURGE WOULD BE POSSIBLY 3 TO 5 FEET ALONG THE COAST FROM PASCO TO LEVY COUNTY DURING WEDNESDAY MORNING. ASTRONOMICAL TIDE LEVELS MUST BE ADDED TO THESE SURGE VALUES TO DETERMINE TOTAL STORM TIDE LEVELS. ...WINDS... MAXIMUM WINDS OF 40 TO 55 MPH WITH SOME HIGHER GUSTS COULD AFFECT THE AREA TUESDAY NIGHT THROUGH WEDNESDAY MORNING. ...PROBABILITY OF HURRICANE/TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS... BASED ON THE CURRENT FORECAST TRACK THERE IS A 35 TO 55 PERCENT CHANCE OF TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS...WINDS OF 39 TO 73 MPH... BEING EXPERIENCED ACROSS THE WATCH AREA TUESDAY AFTERNOON INTO EARLY WEDNESDAY MORNING. THERE IS ALSO A 5 TO 7 PERCENT CHANCE THAT HURRICANE CONDITIONS...WINDS OF 74 MPH OR HIGHER...WILL AFFECT THE AREA. ...INLAND FLOODING... RAINFALL AMOUNTS OF 4 TO 8 INCHES ARE EXPECTED ACROSS THE AREA TUESDAY MORNING THROUGH WEDNESDAY WITH LOCALLY HIGHER AMOUNTS POSSIBLE. DEPENDING ON THE EXACT STORM TRACK...A FLOOD WATCH MAY NEED TO BE ISSUED FOR WEST CENTRAL AND SOUTHWEST FLORIDA LATER TODAY. ...TORNADOES... THE PRIMARY AREA FOR TORNADO DEVELOPMENT IN TROPICAL SYSTEMS IS THE RIGHT FRONT QUADRANT OF THE STORM. AS FAY MOVES NORTHWARD ACROSS THE AREA TUESDAY THROUGH WEDNESDAY THE TORNADO THREAT FOR THE REGION WILL BE MODERATE TO HIGH. ...NEXT UPDATE... THE NEXT STATEMENT WILL BE ISSUED AROUND 530 PM EDT. $$
000 WTUS82 KTBW 181902 HLSTBW URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED TROPICAL STORM FAY LOCAL STATEMENT NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TAMPA BAY RUSKIN FL 302 PM EDT MON AUG 18 2008 ...TROPICAL STORM FAY MOVING NORTH NORTHWEST INTO THE FLORIDA STRAITS... .AT 2 PM EDT...TROPICAL STORM FAY WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 24.3 DEGREES NORTH...81.6 DEGREES WEST OR ABOUT 150 MILES SOUTH OF FORT MYERS...AND ABOUT 260 MILES SOUTH SOUTHEAST OF TAMPA. FAY IS MOVING TOWARD THE NORTH-NORTHWEST NEAR 14 MPH. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 60 MPH WITH HIGHER GUSTS. THE MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE REPORTED BY AN AIR FORCE RESERVE HURRICANE HUNTER AIRCRAFT WAS 1002 MB...OR 29.59 INCHES. FAY IS FORECAST TO MAKE LANDFALL IN SOUTHWEST OR WEST CENTRAL FLORIDA ON TUESDAY AS A CATEGORY ONE HURRICANE. FLZ056-057-182200- /O.EXT.KTBW.HI.W.0001.000000T0000Z-080820T0500Z/ HARDEE-HIGHLANDS- INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...WAUCHULA...SEBRING...AVON PARK 302 PM EDT MON AUG 18 2008 ...HURRICANE WIND WARNING NOW IN EFFECT UNTIL 1 AM EDT WEDNESDAY... ...NEW INFORMATION... A FLOOD WATCH IS NOW IN EFFECT THROUGH 8 PM TUESDAY. ...AREAS AFFECTED... ...WATCHES/WARNINGS... A HURRICANE WIND WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT. A FLOOD WATCH IS NOW IN EFFECT THROUGH 8 PM TUESDAY. ...PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... PEOPLE LOCATED IN THE WARNED AREA ARE URGED TO PREPARE FOR THE ONSET OF HURRICANE FORCE WINDS BEFORE IT GETS DARK THIS EVENING. DAMAGING WINDS MAY ALREADY BE OCCURRING BY FIRST LIGHT ON TUESDAY. MONITOR NOAA WEATHER RADIO...OR OTHER LOCAL NEWS MEDIA...FOR THE LATEST INFORMATION ON THIS EVOLVING SITUATION WITH TROPICAL STORM FAY. LISTEN CLOSELY FOR ANY SIGNIFICANT CHANGES TO THE FORECAST. FOR DETAILED PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS CHECK THE LATEST PUBLIC INFORMATION STATEMENT LINKED AT THE TOP OF THE NWS TAMPA BAY HOME PAGE ( HTTP://WWW.WEATHER.GOV/TAMPABAY ). ...WINDS... MAXIMUM WINDS OF 55 TO 75 MPH WITH SOME HIGHER GUSTS ARE EXPECTED TO AFFECT THE WARNED AREA TUESDAY AFTERNOON AND NIGHT. ...PROBABILITY OF HURRICANE/TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS... BASED ON THE CURRENT FORECAST TRACK THERE IS A 60 TO 70 PERCENT CHANCE OF TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS...WINDS OF 39 TO 73 MPH... BEING EXPERIENCED ACROSS THE WATCH AREA TUESDAY AND TUESDAY NIGHT. THERE IS ALSO A 5 TO 7 PERCENT CHANCE THAT HURRICANE CONDITIONS...WINDS OF 74 MPH OR HIGHER...WILL AFFECT THE AREA. ...INLAND FLOODING... RAINFALL AMOUNTS OF 4 TO 8 INCHES ARE EXPECTED ACROSS THE AREA LATE TONIGHT INTO WEDNESDAY WITH LOCALLY HIGHER AMOUNTS POSSIBLE. A FLOOD WATCH IS CURRENTLY IN EFFECT FOR THE AREA. ...TORNADOES... THE PRIMARY AREA FOR TORNADO DEVELOPMENT IN TROPICAL SYSTEMS IS THE RIGHT FRONT QUADRANT OF THE STORM. AS FAY MOVES NORTHWARD ACROSS THE AREA TONIGHT THROUGH TUESDAY NIGHT THE TORNADO THREAT FOR THE REGION WILL BE MODERATE TO HIGH. ...NEXT UPDATE... THE NEXT STATEMENT WILL BE ISSUED AROUND 530 PM EDT. $$ FLZ055-060>062-065-GMZ853-856-873-876-182200- /O.CON.KTBW.HU.W.1006.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/ MANATEE-SARASOTA-DE SOTO-CHARLOTTE-LEE- ENGLEWOOD TO TARPON SPRINGS OUT 20 NM- BONITA BEACH TO ENGLEWOOD OUT 20 NM- ENGLEWOOD TO TARPON SPRINGS OUT 20 TO 60 NM- BONITA BEACH TO ENGLEWOOD OUT 20 TO 60 NM- INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...BRADENTON...SARASOTA...VENICE... ARCADIA...PORT CHARLOTTE...PUNTA GORDA...CAPE CORAL...FORT MYERS 302 PM EDT MON AUG 18 2008 ...HURRICANE WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT... ...NEW INFORMATION... A FLOOD WATCH IS NOW IN EFFECT THROUGH 8 PM TUESDAY. ...WATCHES/WARNINGS... A HURRICANE WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM BONITA BEACH IN LEE COUNTY TO ANNA MARIA ISLAND IN MANATEE COUNTY. A FLOOD WATCH IS NOW IN EFFECT THROUGH 8 PM TUESDAY. ...PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... PEOPLE LOCATED IN THE WARNED AREA ARE URGED TO PREPARE FOR THE ONSET OF HURRICANE FORCE WINDS BEFORE IT GETS DARK THIS EVENING. DAMAGING WINDS MAY ALREADY BE OCCURRING BY FIRST LIGHT ON TUESDAY. MONITOR NOAA WEATHER RADIO...OR OTHER LOCAL NEWS MEDIA...FOR THE LATEST INFORMATION ON THIS EVOLVING SITUATION WITH TROPICAL STORM FAY. LISTEN CLOSELY FOR ANY SIGNIFICANT CHANGES TO THE FORECAST. FOR DETAILED PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS CHECK THE LATEST PUBLIC INFORMATION STATEMENT LINKED AT THE TOP OF THE NWS TAMPA BAY HOME PAGE ( HTTP://WWW.WEATHER.GOV/TAMPABAY ). ...STORM SURGE AND STORM TIDE... ON THE CURRENT FORECAST TRACK THE MAXIMUM EXPECTED STORM SURGE IS 3 TO 5 FEET ALONG THE LEE AND CHARLOTTE COUNTY COASTS INCLUDING THE UPPER PORTIONS OF CHARLOTTE HARBOR AROUND MID DAY TUESDAY. FURTHER NORTH ALONG THE SARASOTA AND MANATEE COUNTY COAST A SURGE OF 2 TO 4 FEET IS POSSIBLE IF FAY STAYS OFFSHORE TUESDAY EVENING AND NIGHT. ASTRONOMICAL TIDE LEVELS MUST BE ADDED TO THESE SURGE VALUES TO DETERMINE TOTAL STORM TIDE LEVELS. ...WINDS... MAXIMUM WINDS OF 60 TO 75 MPH WITH SOME HIGHER GUSTS ARE EXPECTED TO AFFECT THE WARNED AREA TUESDAY. ...PROBABILITY OF HURRICANE/TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS... BASED ON THE CURRENT FORECAST TRACK THERE IS A 50 TO 70 PERCENT CHANCE OF TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS...WINDS OF 39 TO 73 MPH... BEING EXPERIENCED ACROSS THE WARNED AREA BEGINNING EARLY TUESDAY MORNING THROUGH TUESDAY NIGHT. THERE IS ALSO A 8 TO 12 PERCENT CHANCE THAT HURRICANE CONDITIONS...WINDS OF 74 MPH OR HIGHER... WILL AFFECT THE AREA. ...INLAND FLOODING... RAINFALL AMOUNTS OF 4 TO 8 INCHES ARE EXPECTED ACROSS THE AREA LATE TONIGHT THROUGH WEDNESDAY MORNING WITH LOCALLY HIGHER AMOUNTS POSSIBLE. A FLOOD WATCH IS CURRENTLY IN EFFECT FOR THE AREA. ...TORNADOES... THE PRIMARY AREA FOR TORNADO DEVELOPMENT IN TROPICAL SYSTEMS IS THE RIGHT FRONT QUADRANT OF THE STORM. AS FAY MOVES NORTHWARD ACROSS THE AREA TONIGHT THROUGH TUESDAY NIGHT THE TORNADO THREAT FOR THE REGION WILL BE MODERATE TO HIGH. ...NEXT UPDATE... THE NEXT STATEMENT WILL BE ISSUED AROUND 530 PM EDT. $$ FLZ052-182200- /O.EXT.KTBW.HI.A.0001.000000T0000Z-080820T0500Z/ POLK- INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...LAKELAND...WINTER HAVEN 302 PM EDT MON AUG 18 2008 ...HURRICANE WIND WATCH NOW IN EFFECT THROUGH LATE TUESDAY NIGHT... ...NEW INFORMATION... A FLOOD WATCH IS NOW IN EFFECT THROUGH 8 PM TUESDAY. ...WATCHES/WARNINGS... A HURRICANE WIND WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR POLK COUNTY. A FLOOD WATCH IS NOW IN EFFECT THROUGH 8 PM TUESDAY. ...PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... PEOPLE LOCATED IN THE WATCH AREA ARE ENCOURAGED TO FREQUENTLY MONITOR NOAA WEATHER RADIO...OR OTHER LOCAL NEWS MEDIA...FOR THE LATEST INFORMATION ON THIS EVOLVING SITUATION WITH TROPICAL STORM FAY. LISTEN CLOSELY FOR ANY SIGNIFICANT CHANGES TO THE FORECAST. FOR DETAILED PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS CHECK THE LATEST PUBLIC INFORMATION STATEMENT LINKED AT THE TOP OF THE NWS TAMPA BAY HOME PAGE ( HTTP://WWW.WEATHER.GOV/TAMPABAY ). ...WINDS... MAXIMUM WINDS OF 55 TO 65 MPH WITH SOME HIGHER GUSTS MAY AFFECT THE WATCH AREA TUESDAY AND TUESDAY NIGHT. ...PROBABILITY OF HURRICANE/TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS... BASED ON THE CURRENT FORECAST TRACK THERE IS A 55 TO 65 PERCENT CHANCE OF TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS...WINDS OF 39 TO 73 MPH... BEING EXPERIENCED ACROSS THE WATCH AREA TUESDAY AFTERNOON THROUGH TUESDAY NIGHT. THERE IS ALSO A 4 TO 8 PERCENT CHANCE THAT HURRICANE CONDITIONS...WINDS OF 74 MPH OR HIGHER... WILL AFFECT THE AREA. ...INLAND FLOODING... RAINFALL AMOUNTS OF 4 TO 8 INCHES ARE EXPECTED ACROSS THE AREA LATE TONIGHT INTO WEDNESDAY WITH LOCALLY HIGHER AMOUNTS POSSIBLE. A FLOOD WATCH IS CURRENTLY IN EFFECT FOR THE AREA. ...TORNADOES... THE PRIMARY AREA FOR TORNADO DEVELOPMENT IN TROPICAL SYSTEMS IS THE RIGHT FRONT QUADRANT OF THE STORM. AS FAY MOVES NORTHWARD ACROSS THE AREA TONIGHT THROUGH TUESDAY NIGHT THE TORNADO THREAT FOR THE REGION WILL BE MODERATE TO HIGH. ...NEXT UPDATE... THE NEXT STATEMENT WILL BE ISSUED AROUND 530 PM EDT. $$ FLZ050-051-GMZ830-182200- /O.CON.KTBW.HU.A.1006.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/ PINELLAS-HILLSBOROUGH-TAMPA BAY WATERS- INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...CLEARWATER...ST. PETERSBURG...BRANDON... TAMPA 302 PM EDT MON AUG 18 2008 ...HURRICANE WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT... ...NEW INFORMATION... A FLOOD WATCH IS NOW IN EFFECT THROUGH 8 PM TUESDAY. ...WATCHES/WARNINGS... A HURRICANE WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM NORTH OF ANNA MARIA IN MANATEE COUNTY TO TARPON SPRINGS IN PINELLAS COUNTY. A FLOOD WATCH IS NOW IN EFFECT THROUGH 8 PM TUESDAY. ...PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... PEOPLE LOCATED IN THE WATCH AREA ARE ENCOURAGED TO FREQUENTLY MONITOR NOAA WEATHER RADIO...OR OTHER LOCAL NEWS MEDIA...FOR THE LATEST INFORMATION ON THIS EVOLVING SITUATION WITH TROPICAL STORM FAY. LISTEN CLOSELY FOR ANY SIGNIFICANT CHANGES TO THE FORECAST. FOR DETAILED PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS CHECK THE LATEST PUBLIC INFORMATION STATEMENT LINKED AT THE TOP OF THE NWS TAMPA BAY HOME PAGE ( HTTP://WWW.WEATHER.GOV/TAMPABAY ). ...STORM SURGE AND STORM TIDE... A SURGE OF 2 TO 4 FEET IS POSSIBLE IF FAY STAYS OFFSHORE TUESDAY EVENING AND NIGHT. ASTRONOMICAL TIDE LEVELS MUST BE ADDED TO THESE SURGE VALUES TO DETERMINE TOTAL STORM TIDE LEVELS. ...WINDS... MAXIMUM WINDS OF 55 TO 65 MPH WITH SOME HIGHER GUSTS MAY AFFECT THE WATCH AREA TUESDAY THROUGH TUESDAY NIGHT. ...PROBABILITY OF HURRICANE/TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS... BASED ON THE CURRENT FORECAST TRACK THERE IS A 45 TO 60 PERCENT CHANCE OF TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS...WINDS OF 39 TO 73 MPH... BEING EXPERIENCED ACROSS THE WATCH AREA BEGINNING EARLY TUESDAY MORNING THROUGH TUESDAY NIGHT. THERE IS ALSO A 7 TO 9 PERCENT CHANCE THAT HURRICANE CONDITIONS...WINDS OF 74 MPH OR HIGHER...WILL AFFECT THE AREA. ...INLAND FLOODING... RAINFALL AMOUNTS OF 3 TO 6 INCHES WEST OF THE TRACK OF FAY AND 4 TO 8 INCHES ALONG AND TO THE EAST OF THE TRACK ARE EXPECTED ACROSS THE AREA LATE TONIGHT THROUGH WEDNESDAY MORNING WITH LOCALLY HIGHER AMOUNTS POSSIBLE. A FLOOD WATCH IS CURRENTLY IN EFFECT FOR THE AREA. ...TORNADOES... THE PRIMARY AREA FOR TORNADO DEVELOPMENT IN TROPICAL SYSTEMS IS THE RIGHT FRONT QUADRANT OF THE STORM. AS FAY MOVES NORTHWARD ACROSS THE AREA TONIGHT THROUGH TUESDAY NIGHT THE TORNADO THREAT FOR THE REGION WILL BE MODERATE TO HIGH. ...NEXT UPDATE... THE NEXT STATEMENT WILL BE ISSUED AROUND 530 PM EDT. $$ FLZ039-042-043-048-049-GMZ850-870-182200- /O.CON.KTBW.HU.S.0001.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/ LEVY-CITRUS-SUMTER-HERNANDO-PASCO- TARPON SPRINGS TO SUWANNEE RIVER OUT 20 NM- TARPON SPRINGS TO SUWANNEE RIVER OUT 20 TO 60 NM- INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...CEDAR KEY...CHIEFLAND...CRYSTAL RIVER... INVERNESS...BUSHNELL...THE VILLAGES...BROOKSVILLE...SPRING HILL... NEW PORT RICHEY...ZEPHYRHILLS 302 PM EDT MON AUG 18 2008 ...NEW INFORMATION... NO UPDATES/CHANGES AT THIS TIME. ...PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... RESIDENTS AND VISITORS ARE ENCOURAGED TO FREQUENTLY MONITOR NOAA WEATHER RADIO...OR OTHER LOCAL NEWS MEDIA...FOR THE LATEST INFORMATION ON THIS EVOLVING SITUATION WITH TROPICAL STORM FAY. LISTEN CLOSELY FOR ANY SIGNIFICANT CHANGES TO THE FORECAST. FOR DETAILED PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS CHECK THE LATEST PUBLIC INFORMATION STATEMENT LINKED AT THE TOP OF THE NWS TAMPA BAY HOME PAGE ( HTTP://WWW.WEATHER.GOV/TAMPABAY ). ...STORM SURGE AND STORM TIDE... IF FAY REMAINS OFFSHORE OF THE CURRENT FORECAST TRACK THE MAXIMUM EXPECTED STORM SURGE WOULD BE POSSIBLY 3 TO 5 FEET ALONG THE COAST FROM PASCO TO LEVY COUNTY DURING WEDNESDAY MORNING. ASTRONOMICAL TIDE LEVELS MUST BE ADDED TO THESE SURGE VALUES TO DETERMINE TOTAL STORM TIDE LEVELS. ...WINDS... MAXIMUM WINDS OF 40 TO 55 MPH WITH SOME HIGHER GUSTS COULD AFFECT THE AREA TUESDAY NIGHT THROUGH WEDNESDAY MORNING. ...PROBABILITY OF HURRICANE/TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS... BASED ON THE CURRENT FORECAST TRACK THERE IS A 35 TO 55 PERCENT CHANCE OF TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS...WINDS OF 39 TO 73 MPH... BEING EXPERIENCED ACROSS THE WATCH AREA TUESDAY AFTERNOON INTO EARLY WEDNESDAY MORNING. THERE IS ALSO A 5 TO 7 PERCENT CHANCE THAT HURRICANE CONDITIONS...WINDS OF 74 MPH OR HIGHER...WILL AFFECT THE AREA. ...INLAND FLOODING... RAINFALL AMOUNTS OF 3 TO 6 INCHES ARE EXPECTED ACROSS THE AREA TUESDAY THROUGH WEDNESDAY WITH LOCALLY HIGHER AMOUNTS POSSIBLE. DEPENDING ON THE EXACT STORM TRACK...A FLOOD WATCH MAY NEED TO BE ISSUED FOR THIS AREA TONIGHT OR TUESDAY. ...TORNADOES... THE PRIMARY AREA FOR TORNADO DEVELOPMENT IN TROPICAL SYSTEMS IS THE RIGHT FRONT QUADRANT OF THE STORM. AS FAY MOVES NORTHWARD ACROSS THE AREA TUESDAY THROUGH WEDNESDAY THE TORNADO THREAT FOR THE REGION WILL BE MODERATE TO HIGH. ...NEXT UPDATE... THE NEXT STATEMENT WILL BE ISSUED AROUND 530 PM EDT. $$
000 WTUS82 KTBW 182143 HLSTBW URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED TROPICAL STORM FAY LOCAL STATEMENT NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TAMPA BAY RUSKIN FL 543 PM EDT MON AUG 18 2008 ...TROPICAL STORM FAY NEAR KEY WEST MOVING NORTH-NORTHWEST... .AT 5 PM EDT...TROPICAL STORM FAY WAS LOCATED NEAR KEY WEST AT LATITUDE 24.6 DEGREES NORTH...81.9 DEGREES WEST OR ABOUT 145 MILES SOUTH OF FORT MYERS...AND ABOUT 240 MILES SOUTH OF TAMPA. FAY IS MOVING TOWARD THE NORTH-NORTHWEST NEAR 12 MPH. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 60 MPH WITH HIGHER GUSTS. THE MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE REPORTED BY AN AIR FORCE RESERVE HURRICANE HUNTER AIRCRAFT AND THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE OFFICE IN KEY WEST WAS 998 MB...OR 29.47 INCHES. FAY MAY STILL MAKE LANDFALL IN SOUTHWEST OR WEST CENTRAL FLORIDA ON TUESDAY AS A CATEGORY ONE HURRICANE. FLZ043-190400- /O.CAN.KTBW.HU.S.0001.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/ /O.NEW.KTBW.TI.A.0001.080818T2143Z-080820T0800Z/ SUMTER- INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...BUSHNELL...THE VILLAGES 543 PM EDT MON AUG 18 2008 ...TROPICAL STORM WIND WATCH IN EFFECT THROUGH LATE TUESDAY NIGHT... ...NEW INFORMATION... A TROPICAL STORM WIND WATCH IS NOW IN EFFECT FOR SUMTER COUNTY. ...WATCHES/WARNINGS... A TROPICAL STORM WIND WATCH IS IN EFFECT. ...PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... PEOPLE LOCATED IN THE WATCH AREA ARE ENCOURAGED TO FREQUENTLY MONITOR NOAA WEATHER RADIO...OR OTHER LOCAL NEWS MEDIA...FOR THE LATEST INFORMATION ON THIS EVOLVING SITUATION WITH TROPICAL STORM FAY. LISTEN CLOSELY FOR ANY SIGNIFICANT CHANGES TO THE FORECAST. FOR DETAILED PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS CHECK THE LATEST PUBLIC INFORMATION STATEMENT LINKED AT THE TOP OF THE NWS TAMPA BAY HOME PAGE ( HTTP://WWW.WEATHER.GOV/TAMPABAY ). ...WINDS... MAXIMUM WINDS OF 40 TO 50 MPH WITH SOME HIGHER GUSTS MAY AFFECT THE WATCH AREA LATE TUESDAY THROUGH TUESDAY NIGHT. ...PROBABILITY OF HURRICANE/TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS... BASED ON THE CURRENT FORECAST TRACK THERE IS A 50 TO 55 PERCENT CHANCE OF TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS...WINDS OF 39 TO 73 MPH... BEING EXPERIENCED ACROSS THE WATCH AREA BEGINNING EARLY TUESDAY MORNING THROUGH TUESDAY NIGHT. THERE IS LESS THAN A 5 PERCENT CHANCE THAT HURRICANE CONDITIONS...WINDS OF 74 MPH OR HIGHER... WILL AFFECT THE AREA. ...INLAND FLOODING... RAINFALL AMOUNTS OF 4 TO 6 INCHES ARE EXPECTED ACROSS THE AREA LATE TONIGHT THROUGH WEDNESDAY MORNING WITH LOCALLY HIGHER AMOUNTS POSSIBLE. A FLOOD WATCH MAY BE REQUIRED LATER TONIGHT OR ON TUESDAY. ...TORNADOES... THE PRIMARY AREA FOR TORNADO DEVELOPMENT IN TROPICAL SYSTEMS IS THE RIGHT FRONT QUADRANT OF THE STORM. AS FAY MOVES NORTHWARD JUST EAST OF THE AREA TUESDAY AND TUESDAY NIGHT...THE TORNADO THREAT FOR THE REGION WILL BE LOW. ...NEXT UPDATE... THE NEXT STATEMENT WILL BE ISSUED AROUND 1130 PM EDT. $$ FLZ050-051-GMZ830-190400- /O.NEW.KTBW.TR.W.1006.080818T2143Z-000000T0000Z/ /O.CON.KTBW.HU.A.1006.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/ PINELLAS-HILLSBOROUGH-TAMPA BAY WATERS- INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...CLEARWATER...ST. PETERSBURG...BRANDON... TAMPA 543 PM EDT MON AUG 18 2008 ...TROPICAL STORM WARNING IN EFFECT... ...HURRICANE WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT... ...NEW INFORMATION... A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS NOW IN EFFECT FOR HILLSBOROUGH AND PINELLAS COUNTIES...AS WELL AS TAMPA BAY AND THE WATERS NORTH OF ANNA MARIA ISLAND TO TARPON SPRINGS. ...WATCHES/WARNINGS... A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS NOW IN EFFECT FOR THE AREA. A HURRICANE WATCH ALSO REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM NORTH OF ANNA MARIA ISLAND IN MANATEE COUNTY TO TARPON SPRINGS IN PINELLAS COUNTY INCLUDING TAMPA BAY. A FLOOD WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT THROUGH 8 PM TUESDAY. ...PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... PEOPLE LOCATED IN THE WARNED AREA ARE URGED TO PREPARE FOR THE ONSET OF TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS BEFORE IT GETS DARK THIS EVENING. GUSTY WINDS IN OUTER RAIN BANDS MAY MAKE IT DIFFICULT TO TAKE PROTECTIVE ACTIONS TUESDAY MORNING. ALSO...IT IS A GOOD IDEA TO MONITOR NOAA WEATHER RADIO...OR OTHER LOCAL NEWS MEDIA...FOR THE LATEST INFORMATION ON THIS EVOLVING SITUATION WITH TROPICAL STORM FAY. LISTEN CLOSELY FOR ANY SIGNIFICANT CHANGES TO THE FORECAST. FOR DETAILED PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS CHECK THE LATEST PUBLIC INFORMATION STATEMENT LINKED AT THE TOP OF THE NWS TAMPA BAY HOME PAGE ( HTTP://WWW.WEATHER.GOV/TAMPABAY ). ...STORM SURGE AND STORM TIDE... A SURGE OF 2 FEET IS POSSIBLE IF FAY TRACKS FURTHER OFFSHORE TUESDAY AND TUESDAY NIGHT. ASTRONOMICAL TIDE LEVELS MUST BE ADDED TO THESE SURGE VALUES TO DETERMINE TOTAL STORM TIDE LEVELS. ...WINDS... MAXIMUM WINDS OF 50 TO 60 MPH WITH SOME HIGHER GUSTS ARE EXPECTED TO AFFECT THE WARNED AREA TUESDAY AND TUESDAY NIGHT...ESPECIALLY NEAR THE CENTER OF THE STORM. ...PROBABILITY OF HURRICANE/TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS... BASED ON THE CURRENT FORECAST TRACK THERE IS A 45 TO 60 PERCENT CHANCE OF TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS...WINDS OF 39 TO 73 MPH... BEING EXPERIENCED ACROSS THE WATCH AREA BEGINNING EARLY TUESDAY MORNING THROUGH TUESDAY NIGHT. THERE IS ONLY A 5 PERCENT CHANCE THAT HURRICANE CONDITIONS...WINDS OF 74 MPH OR HIGHER...WILL AFFECT THE AREA. ...INLAND FLOODING... RAINFALL TOTALS OF 3 TO 5 INCHES WITH LOCALLY HIGHER AMOUNTS ARE POSSIBLE THROUGH WEDNESDAY. A FLOOD WATCH IS CURRENTLY IN EFFECT FOR THE AREA. ...TORNADOES... THE PRIMARY AREA FOR TORNADO DEVELOPMENT IN TROPICAL SYSTEMS IS THE RIGHT FRONT QUADRANT OF THE STORM. AS FAY MOVES NORTHWARD ACROSS THE AREA TUESDAY AND TUESDAY EVENING...THE TORNADO THREAT FOR THE REGION WILL BE MODERATE. ...NEXT UPDATE... THE NEXT STATEMENT WILL BE ISSUED AROUND 1130 PM EDT. $$ FLZ052-190400- /O.UPG.KTBW.HI.A.0001.000000T0000Z-080820T0500Z/ /O.NEW.KTBW.TI.W.0001.080818T2143Z-080820T0800Z/ POLK- INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...LAKELAND...WINTER HAVEN 543 PM EDT MON AUG 18 2008 ...TROPICAL STORM WIND WARNING IN EFFECT UNTIL 4 AM EDT WEDNESDAY... ...NEW INFORMATION... A TROPICAL STORM WIND WARNING IS NOW IN EFFECT FOR POLK COUNTY. THE HURRICANE WIND WATCH HAS BEEN DISCONTINUED. ...WATCHES/WARNINGS... A TROPICAL STORM WIND WARNING IS NOW IN EFFECT. A FLOOD WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT THROUGH 8 PM TUESDAY. ...PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... PEOPLE LOCATED IN THE WARNED AREA ARE URGED TO PREPARE FOR THE ONSET OF TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS BEFORE IT GETS DARK THIS EVENING. GUSTY WINDS IN OUTER RAIN BANDS MAY MAKE IT DIFFICULT TO TAKE PROTECTIVE ACTIONS TUESDAY MORNING. ALSO...IT IS A GOOD IDEA TO MONITOR NOAA WEATHER RADIO...OR OTHER LOCAL NEWS MEDIA...FOR THE LATEST INFORMATION ON THIS EVOLVING SITUATION WITH TROPICAL STORM FAY. LISTEN CLOSELY FOR ANY SIGNIFICANT CHANGES TO THE FORECAST. FOR DETAILED PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS CHECK THE LATEST PUBLIC INFORMATION STATEMENT LINKED AT THE TOP OF THE NWS TAMPA BAY HOME PAGE ( HTTP://WWW.WEATHER.GOV/TAMPABAY ). ...WINDS... MAXIMUM WINDS OF 50 TO 60 MPH WITH SOME HIGHER GUSTS ARE EXPECTED TO AFFECT THE WARNED AREA TUESDAY AND TUESDAY NIGHT. ...PROBABILITY OF HURRICANE/TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS... BASED ON THE CURRENT FORECAST TRACK THERE IS A 60 TO 75 PERCENT CHANCE OF TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS...WINDS OF 39 TO 73 MPH... BEING EXPERIENCED ACROSS THE WATCH AREA TUESDAY AFTERNOON THROUGH TUESDAY NIGHT. THERE IS ONLY A 5 PERCENT CHANCE THAT HURRICANE CONDITIONS...WINDS OF 74 MPH OR HIGHER... WILL AFFECT THE AREA. ...INLAND FLOODING... RAINFALL AMOUNTS OF 4 TO 6 INCHES ARE EXPECTED ACROSS THE AREA THROUGH WEDNESDAY WITH LOCALLY HIGHER AMOUNTS POSSIBLE. A FLOOD WATCH IS CURRENTLY IN EFFECT FOR THE AREA. ...TORNADOES... THE PRIMARY AREA FOR TORNADO DEVELOPMENT IN TROPICAL SYSTEMS IS THE RIGHT FRONT QUADRANT OF THE STORM. AS FAY MOVES NORTHWARD ACROSS THE AREA THROUGH TUESDAY NIGHT...THE TORNADO THREAT FOR THE REGION WILL BE MODERATE. ...NEXT UPDATE... THE NEXT STATEMENT WILL BE ISSUED AROUND 1130 PM EDT. $$ FLZ056-057-190400- /O.EXT.KTBW.HI.W.0001.000000T0000Z-080820T0800Z/ HARDEE-HIGHLANDS- INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...WAUCHULA...SEBRING...AVON PARK 543 PM EDT MON AUG 18 2008 ...HURRICANE WIND WARNING NOW IN EFFECT UNTIL 4 AM EDT WEDNESDAY... ...NEW INFORMATION... NO NEW INFORMATION. ...WATCHES/WARNINGS... A HURRICANE WIND WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT. A FLOOD WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT THROUGH 8 PM TUESDAY. ...PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... PEOPLE LOCATED IN THE WARNED AREA ARE URGED TO PREPARE FOR THE ONSET OF HURRICANE FORCE WINDS BEFORE IT GETS DARK THIS EVENING. DAMAGING WINDS MAY ALREADY BE OCCURRING BY FIRST LIGHT ON TUESDAY. MONITOR NOAA WEATHER RADIO...OR OTHER LOCAL NEWS MEDIA...FOR THE LATEST INFORMATION ON THIS EVOLVING SITUATION WITH TROPICAL STORM FAY. LISTEN CLOSELY FOR ANY SIGNIFICANT CHANGES TO THE FORECAST. FOR DETAILED PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS CHECK THE LATEST PUBLIC INFORMATION STATEMENT LINKED AT THE TOP OF THE NWS TAMPA BAY HOME PAGE ( HTTP://WWW.WEATHER.GOV/TAMPABAY ). ...WINDS... MAXIMUM WINDS OF 55 TO 65 MPH WITH GUSTS TO HURRICANE FORCE ARE EXPECTED TO AFFECT THE WARNED AREA TUESDAY AND TUESDAY NIGHT. ...PROBABILITY OF HURRICANE/TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS... BASED ON THE CURRENT FORECAST TRACK THERE IS A 70 TO 80 PERCENT CHANCE OF TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS...WINDS OF 39 TO 73 MPH... BEING EXPERIENCED ACROSS THE WATCH AREA TUESDAY AND TUESDAY NIGHT. THERE IS ALSO A 5 TO 7 PERCENT CHANCE THAT HURRICANE CONDITIONS...WINDS OF 74 MPH OR HIGHER...WILL AFFECT THE AREA. ...INLAND FLOODING... RAINFALL AMOUNTS OF 4 TO 6 INCHES ARE EXPECTED ACROSS THE AREA THROUGH WEDNESDAY WITH LOCALLY HIGHER AMOUNTS POSSIBLE. A FLOOD WATCH IS CURRENTLY IN EFFECT FOR THE AREA. ...TORNADOES... THE PRIMARY AREA FOR TORNADO DEVELOPMENT IN TROPICAL SYSTEMS IS THE RIGHT FRONT QUADRANT OF THE STORM. AS FAY MOVES NORTHWARD ACROSS THE AREA...THE TORNADO THREAT FOR THE REGION WILL BE MODERATE TO HIGH. ...NEXT UPDATE... THE NEXT STATEMENT WILL BE ISSUED AROUND 1130 PM EDT. $$ FLZ055-060>062-065-GMZ853-856-873-876-190400- /O.CON.KTBW.HU.W.1006.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/ MANATEE-SARASOTA-DE SOTO-CHARLOTTE-LEE- ENGLEWOOD TO TARPON SPRINGS OUT 20 NM- BONITA BEACH TO ENGLEWOOD OUT 20 NM- ENGLEWOOD TO TARPON SPRINGS OUT 20 TO 60 NM- BONITA BEACH TO ENGLEWOOD OUT 20 TO 60 NM- INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...BRADENTON...SARASOTA...VENICE... ARCADIA...PORT CHARLOTTE...PUNTA GORDA...CAPE CORAL...FORT MYERS 543 PM EDT MON AUG 18 2008 ...HURRICANE WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT... ...NEW INFORMATION... NO NEW INFORMATION. ...WATCHES/WARNINGS... A HURRICANE WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM BONITA BEACH IN LEE COUNTY TO ANNA MARIA ISLAND IN MANATEE COUNTY. A FLOOD WATCH ALSO REMAINS IN EFFECT THROUGH 8 PM TUESDAY. ...PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... PEOPLE LOCATED IN THE WARNED AREA ARE URGED TO PREPARE FOR THE ONSET OF HURRICANE FORCE WINDS BEFORE IT GETS DARK THIS EVENING. DAMAGING WINDS MAY ALREADY BE OCCURRING BY FIRST LIGHT ON TUESDAY. ALSO...IT IS A GOOD IDEA TO MONITOR NOAA WEATHER RADIO...OR OTHER LOCAL NEWS MEDIA...FOR THE LATEST INFORMATION ON THIS EVOLVING SITUATION WITH TROPICAL STORM FAY. LISTEN CLOSELY FOR ANY SIGNIFICANT CHANGES TO THE FORECAST. FOR DETAILED PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS CHECK THE LATEST PUBLIC INFORMATION STATEMENT LINKED AT THE TOP OF THE NWS TAMPA BAY HOME PAGE ( HTTP://WWW.WEATHER.GOV/TAMPABAY ). ...STORM SURGE AND STORM TIDE... ON THE CURRENT FORECAST TRACK THE MAXIMUM EXPECTED STORM SURGE IS 3 TO 5 FEET ALONG THE LEE AND CHARLOTTE COUNTY COASTS INCLUDING THE UPPER PORTIONS OF CHARLOTTE HARBOR TUESDAY MORNING. FURTHER NORTH ALONG THE SARASOTA AND MANATEE COUNTY COAST A SURGE OF 2 TO 4 FEET IS POSSIBLE. ASTRONOMICAL TIDE LEVELS MUST BE ADDED TO THESE SURGE VALUES TO DETERMINE TOTAL STORM TIDE LEVELS. ...WINDS... MAXIMUM WINDS OF 65 TO 75 MPH WITH SOME HIGHER GUSTS ARE EXPECTED TO AFFECT THE WARNED AREA TUESDAY. THE STRONGEST WINDS WILL OCCUR NEAR TO WHERE THE CENTER MAKES LANDFALL. ...PROBABILITY OF HURRICANE/TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS... BASED ON THE CURRENT FORECAST TRACK THERE IS A 60 TO 80 PERCENT CHANCE OF TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS...WINDS OF 39 TO 73 MPH... BEING EXPERIENCED ACROSS THE WARNED AREA BEGINNING EARLY TUESDAY MORNING THROUGH TUESDAY NIGHT. THERE IS ALSO A 5 TO 9 PERCENT CHANCE THAT HURRICANE CONDITIONS...WINDS OF 74 MPH OR HIGHER... WILL AFFECT THE AREA. ...INLAND FLOODING... RAINFALL AMOUNTS OF 4 TO 8 INCHES ARE EXPECTED ACROSS THE AREA THROUGH WEDNESDAY MORNING WITH LOCALLY HIGHER AMOUNTS POSSIBLE. A FLOOD WATCH IS CURRENTLY IN EFFECT FOR THE AREA. ...TORNADOES... THE PRIMARY AREA FOR TORNADO DEVELOPMENT IN TROPICAL SYSTEMS IS THE RIGHT FRONT QUADRANT OF THE STORM. AS FAY MOVES NORTHWARD ACROSS THE AREA THROUGH TUESDAY EVENING THE TORNADO THREAT FOR THE REGION WILL BE MODERATE TO HIGH. ...NEXT UPDATE... THE NEXT STATEMENT WILL BE ISSUED AROUND 1130 PM EDT. $$ FLZ039-042-048-049-GMZ850-870-190400- /O.CON.KTBW.HU.S.0001.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/ LEVY-CITRUS-HERNANDO-PASCO- TARPON SPRINGS TO SUWANNEE RIVER OUT 20 NM- TARPON SPRINGS TO SUWANNEE RIVER OUT 20 TO 60 NM- INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...CEDAR KEY...CHIEFLAND...CRYSTAL RIVER... INVERNESS...BROOKSVILLE...SPRING HILL...NEW PORT RICHEY... ZEPHYRHILLS 543 PM EDT MON AUG 18 2008 ...NEW INFORMATION... NO UPDATES/CHANGES AT THIS TIME. ...PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... RESIDENTS AND VISITORS ARE ENCOURAGED TO FREQUENTLY MONITOR NOAA WEATHER RADIO...OR OTHER LOCAL NEWS MEDIA...FOR THE LATEST INFORMATION ON THIS EVOLVING SITUATION WITH TROPICAL STORM FAY. LISTEN CLOSELY FOR ANY SIGNIFICANT CHANGES TO THE FORECAST. FOR DETAILED PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS CHECK THE LATEST PUBLIC INFORMATION STATEMENT LINKED AT THE TOP OF THE NWS TAMPA BAY HOME PAGE ( HTTP://WWW.WEATHER.GOV/TAMPABAY ). ...STORM SURGE AND STORM TIDE... NO SIGNIFICANT STORM SURGE IS EXPECTED AT THIS TIME. ...WINDS... WIND GUSTS OF 40 TO 50 MPH ARE POSSIBLE IN SOME OF THE RAIN BANDS AS WEAKENING TROPICAL STORM FAY MOVES BY TO THE EAST TUESDAY NIGHT. ...PROBABILITY OF HURRICANE/TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS... BASED ON THE CURRENT FORECAST TRACK THERE IS A 30 TO 50 PERCENT CHANCE OF TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS...WINDS OF 39 TO 73 MPH... BEING EXPERIENCED ACROSS THE WATCH AREA TUESDAY AFTERNOON INTO EARLY WEDNESDAY MORNING. THERE IS LESS THAN A 5 PERCENT CHANCE THAT HURRICANE CONDITIONS...WINDS OF 74 MPH OR HIGHER...WILL AFFECT THE AREA. ...INLAND FLOODING... RAINFALL AMOUNTS OF 3 TO 5 INCHES ARE EXPECTED ACROSS THE AREA THROUGH WEDNESDAY WITH LOCALLY HIGHER AMOUNTS POSSIBLE. A FLOOD WATCH MAY BE REQUIRED FOR THIS AREA LATER TONIGHT OR TUESDAY. ...TORNADOES... THE PRIMARY AREA FOR TORNADO DEVELOPMENT IN TROPICAL SYSTEMS IS THE RIGHT FRONT QUADRANT OF THE STORM. SINCE FAY WILL BE MOVING BY TO THE EAST...THE TORNADO THREAT FOR THE REGION WILL BE LOW. ...NEXT UPDATE... THE NEXT STATEMENT WILL BE ISSUED AROUND 1130 PM EDT. $$
000 WTUS82 KTBW 190038 HLSTBW URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED TROPICAL STORM FAY LOCAL STATEMENT NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TAMPA BAY RUSKIN FL 838 PM EDT MON AUG 18 2008 ...TROPICAL STORM FAY HEADING FOR SOUTHWEST FLORIDA... .AT 8 PM EDT...TROPICAL STORM FAY WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 25.0 DEGREES NORTH...81.9 DEGREES WEST OR ABOUT 120 MILES SOUTH OF FORT MYERS...AND ABOUT 210 MILES SOUTH OF TAMPA. FAY IS MOVING TOWARD THE NORTH NEAR 9 MPH. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 60 MPH WITH HIGHER GUSTS. THE MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE REPORTED BY AN AIR FORCE RESERVE HURRICANE HUNTER AIRCRAFT WAS 998 MB...OR 29.47 INCHES. FAY MAY STILL MAKE LANDFALL IN SOUTHWEST FLORIDA AS A CATEGORY ONE HURRICANE ON TUESDAY. FLZ050-051-GMZ830-190400- /O.CON.KTBW.TR.W.1006.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/ /O.CON.KTBW.HU.A.1006.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/ PINELLAS-HILLSBOROUGH-TAMPA BAY WATERS- INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...CLEARWATER...ST. PETERSBURG...BRANDON... TAMPA 838 PM EDT MON AUG 18 2008 ...TROPICAL STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT... ...HURRICANE WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT... ...NEW INFORMATION... NO NEW INFORMATION. ...WATCHES/WARNINGS... A TROPICAL STORM WARNING AND A HURRICANE WATCH REMAIN IN EFFECT FOR PINELLAS AND HILLSBOROUGH COUNTIES...TAMPA BAY...AND THE GULF WATERS FROM NORTH OF ANNA MARIA ISLAND IN MANATEE COUNTY TO TARPON SPRINGS IN PINELLAS COUNTY. A FLOOD WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT THROUGH 8 PM TUESDAY. ...PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... PEOPLE LOCATED IN THE WARNED AREA SHOULD HAVE COMPLETED PREPARATIONS FOR THE ONSET OF DAMAGING WINDS. THE GUSTY WINDS IN OUTER RAIN BANDS MAY MAKE IT DIFFICULT TO TAKE PROTECTIVE ACTIONS TUESDAY MORNING. CONTINUE TO MONITOR NOAA WEATHER RADIO...OR OTHER LOCAL NEWS MEDIA...FOR THE LATEST INFORMATION ON THIS EVOLVING SITUATION WITH TROPICAL STORM FAY. FOR DETAILED PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS CHECK THE LATEST PUBLIC INFORMATION STATEMENT LINKED AT THE TOP OF THE NWS TAMPA BAY HOME PAGE ( HTTP://WWW.WEATHER.GOV/TAMPABAY ). ...STORM SURGE AND STORM TIDE... IT IS BECOMING LESS LIKELY THAT A SIGNIFICANT SURGE WILL OCCUR WITH THIS STORM AS IT APPEARS THAT IT WILL MAKE LANDFALL WELL SOUTH OF TAMPA BAY. ...WINDS... MAXIMUM WINDS OF 50 TO 60 MPH WITH SOME HIGHER GUSTS ARE EXPECTED TO AFFECT THE WARNED AREA TUESDAY AND TUESDAY NIGHT...BUT ONLY IN ORGANIZED RAIN BANDS AND NEAR THE CENTER OF THE STORM. ...PROBABILITY OF HURRICANE/TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS... BASED ON THE CURRENT FORECAST TRACK THERE IS A 45 TO 60 PERCENT CHANCE OF TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS...WINDS OF 39 TO 73 MPH... BEING EXPERIENCED ACROSS THE WATCH AREA BEGINNING EARLY TUESDAY MORNING THROUGH TUESDAY NIGHT. THERE IS ONLY A 5 PERCENT CHANCE THAT HURRICANE CONDITIONS...WINDS OF 74 MPH OR HIGHER...WILL AFFECT THE AREA. ...INLAND FLOODING... RAINFALL TOTALS OF 3 TO 5 INCHES WITH LOCALLY HIGHER AMOUNTS ARE POSSIBLE THROUGH WEDNESDAY. A FLOOD WATCH IS CURRENTLY IN EFFECT FOR THE AREA. ...TORNADOES... THE PRIMARY AREA FOR TORNADO DEVELOPMENT IN TROPICAL SYSTEMS IS THE RIGHT FRONT QUADRANT OF THE STORM. AS FAY MOVES NORTHWARD ACROSS THE AREA TUESDAY AND TUESDAY EVENING...THE TORNADO THREAT FOR THE REGION WILL BE MODERATE. ...NEXT UPDATE... THE NEXT STATEMENT WILL BE ISSUED AROUND 1130 PM EDT. $$ FLZ055-060>062-065-GMZ853-856-873-876-190400- /O.CON.KTBW.HU.W.1006.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/ MANATEE-SARASOTA-DE SOTO-CHARLOTTE-LEE- ENGLEWOOD TO TARPON SPRINGS OUT 20 NM- BONITA BEACH TO ENGLEWOOD OUT 20 NM- ENGLEWOOD TO TARPON SPRINGS OUT 20 TO 60 NM- BONITA BEACH TO ENGLEWOOD OUT 20 TO 60 NM- INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...BRADENTON...SARASOTA...VENICE... ARCADIA...PORT CHARLOTTE...PUNTA GORDA...CAPE CORAL...FORT MYERS 838 PM EDT MON AUG 18 2008 ...HURRICANE WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT... ...NEW INFORMATION... NO NEW INFORMATION. ...WATCHES/WARNINGS... A HURRICANE WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM BONITA BEACH IN LEE COUNTY TO ANNA MARIA ISLAND IN MANATEE COUNTY. A FLOOD WATCH ALSO REMAINS IN EFFECT THROUGH 8 PM TUESDAY. ...PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... PEOPLE LOCATED IN THE WARNED AREA SHOULD HAVE COMPLETED PREPARATIONS FOR THE ONSET OF DAMAGING WINDS. THE GUSTY WINDS IN OUTER RAIN BANDS MAY MAKE IT DIFFICULT TO TAKE PROTECTIVE ACTIONS TUESDAY MORNING. CONTINUE TO MONITOR NOAA WEATHER RADIO...OR OTHER LOCAL NEWS MEDIA...FOR THE LATEST INFORMATION ON THIS EVOLVING SITUATION WITH TROPICAL STORM FAY. FOR DETAILED PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS CHECK THE LATEST PUBLIC INFORMATION STATEMENT LINKED AT THE TOP OF THE NWS TAMPA BAY HOME PAGE ( HTTP://WWW.WEATHER.GOV/TAMPABAY ). ...STORM SURGE AND STORM TIDE... ON THE CURRENT FORECAST TRACK THE MAXIMUM EXPECTED STORM SURGE IS 3 TO 5 FEET ALONG THE LEE AND CHARLOTTE COUNTY COASTS WHERE THE CENTER IS FORECAST TO MAKE LANDFALL TUESDAY MORNING. FURTHER NORTH ALONG THE SARASOTA AND MANATEE COUNTY COAST A SURGE OF 2 TO 4 FEET IS POSSIBLE...MAINLY IF THE STORM MAKES LANDFALL FURTHER NORTH. ASTRONOMICAL TIDE LEVELS MUST BE ADDED TO THESE SURGE VALUES TO DETERMINE TOTAL STORM TIDE LEVELS. ...WINDS... MAXIMUM WINDS OF 65 TO 75 MPH WITH SOME HIGHER GUSTS ARE EXPECTED TO AFFECT THE WARNED AREA BY EARLY TUESDAY MORNING. THE STRONGEST WINDS WILL OCCUR NEAR TO WHERE THE CENTER MAKES LANDFALL AND IN THE STRONGER RAIN BANDS OUT AHEAD OF THE STORM. ...PROBABILITY OF HURRICANE/TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS... BASED ON THE CURRENT FORECAST TRACK THERE IS A 60 TO 80 PERCENT CHANCE OF TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS...WINDS OF 39 TO 73 MPH... BEING EXPERIENCED ACROSS THE WARNED AREA BEGINNING EARLY TUESDAY MORNING THROUGH TUESDAY NIGHT. THERE IS ALSO A 5 TO 9 PERCENT CHANCE THAT HURRICANE CONDITIONS...WINDS OF 74 MPH OR HIGHER... WILL AFFECT THE AREA. ...INLAND FLOODING... RAINFALL AMOUNTS OF 4 TO 8 INCHES ARE EXPECTED ACROSS THE AREA THROUGH WEDNESDAY MORNING WITH LOCALLY HIGHER AMOUNTS POSSIBLE. A FLOOD WATCH IS CURRENTLY IN EFFECT FOR THE AREA. ...TORNADOES... THE PRIMARY AREA FOR TORNADO DEVELOPMENT IN TROPICAL SYSTEMS IS THE RIGHT FRONT QUADRANT OF THE STORM. AS FAY MOVES NORTHWARD ACROSS THE AREA THROUGH TUESDAY EVENING THE TORNADO THREAT FOR THE REGION WILL BE MODERATE TO HIGH. ...NEXT UPDATE... THE NEXT STATEMENT WILL BE ISSUED AROUND 1130 PM EDT. $$ FLZ056-057-190400- /O.CON.KTBW.HI.W.0001.000000T0000Z-080820T0800Z/ HARDEE-HIGHLANDS- INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...WAUCHULA...SEBRING...AVON PARK 838 PM EDT MON AUG 18 2008 ...HURRICANE WIND WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 4 AM EDT WEDNESDAY... ...NEW INFORMATION... NO NEW INFORMATION. ...WATCHES/WARNINGS... A HURRICANE WIND WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR HARDEE AND HIGHLANDS COUNTIES. A FLOOD WATCH IS ALSO IN EFFECT THROUGH 8 PM TUESDAY. ...PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... PEOPLE LOCATED IN THE WARNED AREA SHOULD HAVE COMPLETED PREPARATIONS FOR THE ONSET OF DAMAGING WINDS. THE GUSTY WINDS IN OUTER RAIN BANDS MAY MAKE IT DIFFICULT TO TAKE PROTECTIVE ACTIONS TUESDAY MORNING. CONTINUE TO MONITOR NOAA WEATHER RADIO...OR OTHER LOCAL NEWS MEDIA...FOR THE LATEST INFORMATION ON THIS EVOLVING SITUATION WITH TROPICAL STORM FAY. FOR DETAILED PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS CHECK THE LATEST PUBLIC INFORMATION STATEMENT LINKED AT THE TOP OF THE NWS TAMPA BAY HOME PAGE ( HTTP://WWW.WEATHER.GOV/TAMPABAY ). ...WINDS... MAXIMUM WINDS OF 55 TO 65 MPH WITH GUSTS TO HURRICANE FORCE ARE EXPECTED TO AFFECT THE WARNED AREA TUESDAY AND TUESDAY NIGHT... MAINLY IN STRONGER RAIN BANDS AND NEAR THE CENTER OF THE STORM. ...PROBABILITY OF HURRICANE/TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS... BASED ON THE CURRENT FORECAST TRACK THERE IS A 70 TO 80 PERCENT CHANCE OF TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS...WINDS OF 39 TO 73 MPH... BEING EXPERIENCED ACROSS THE WATCH AREA TUESDAY AND TUESDAY NIGHT. THERE IS ALSO A 5 TO 7 PERCENT CHANCE THAT HURRICANE CONDITIONS...WINDS OF 74 MPH OR HIGHER...WILL AFFECT THE AREA. ...INLAND FLOODING... RAINFALL AMOUNTS OF 4 TO 6 INCHES ARE EXPECTED ACROSS THE AREA THROUGH WEDNESDAY WITH LOCALLY HIGHER AMOUNTS POSSIBLE. A FLOOD WATCH IS CURRENTLY IN EFFECT FOR THE AREA. ...TORNADOES... THE PRIMARY AREA FOR TORNADO DEVELOPMENT IN TROPICAL SYSTEMS IS THE RIGHT FRONT QUADRANT OF THE STORM. AS FAY MOVES NORTHWARD ACROSS THE AREA...THE TORNADO THREAT FOR THE REGION WILL BE MODERATE TO HIGH. ...NEXT UPDATE... THE NEXT STATEMENT WILL BE ISSUED AROUND 1130 PM EDT. $$ FLZ052-190400- /O.CON.KTBW.TI.W.0001.000000T0000Z-080820T0800Z/ POLK- INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...LAKELAND...WINTER HAVEN 838 PM EDT MON AUG 18 2008 ...TROPICAL STORM WIND WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 4 AM EDT WEDNESDAY... ...NEW INFORMATION... NO NEW INFORMATION. ...WATCHES/WARNINGS... A TROPICAL STORM WIND WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR POLK COUNTY. A FLOOD WATCH IS ALSO IN EFFECT THROUGH 8 PM TUESDAY. ...PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... PEOPLE LOCATED IN THE WARNED AREA SHOULD HAVE COMPLETED PREPARATIONS FOR THE ONSET OF DAMAGING WINDS. THE GUSTY WINDS IN OUTER RAIN BANDS MAY MAKE IT DIFFICULT TO TAKE PROTECTIVE ACTIONS TUESDAY MORNING. CONTINUE TO MONITOR NOAA WEATHER RADIO...OR OTHER LOCAL NEWS MEDIA...FOR THE LATEST INFORMATION ON THIS EVOLVING SITUATION WITH TROPICAL STORM FAY. FOR DETAILED PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS CHECK THE LATEST PUBLIC INFORMATION STATEMENT LINKED AT THE TOP OF THE NWS TAMPA BAY HOME PAGE ( HTTP://WWW.WEATHER.GOV/TAMPABAY ). ...WINDS... MAXIMUM WINDS OF 50 TO 60 MPH WITH SOME HIGHER GUSTS ARE EXPECTED TO AFFECT THE WARNED AREA TUESDAY AND TUESDAY NIGHT...MAINLY IN STRONGER RAIN BANDS AND NEAR THE CENTER OF TH STORM. ...PROBABILITY OF HURRICANE/TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS... BASED ON THE CURRENT FORECAST TRACK THERE IS A 60 TO 75 PERCENT CHANCE OF TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS...WINDS OF 39 TO 73 MPH... BEING EXPERIENCED ACROSS THE WATCH AREA TUESDAY AFTERNOON THROUGH TUESDAY NIGHT. THERE IS ONLY A 5 PERCENT CHANCE THAT HURRICANE CONDITIONS...WINDS OF 74 MPH OR HIGHER... WILL AFFECT THE AREA. ...INLAND FLOODING... RAINFALL AMOUNTS OF 4 TO 6 INCHES ARE EXPECTED ACROSS THE AREA THROUGH WEDNESDAY WITH LOCALLY HIGHER AMOUNTS POSSIBLE. A FLOOD WATCH IS CURRENTLY IN EFFECT FOR THE AREA. ...TORNADOES... THE PRIMARY AREA FOR TORNADO DEVELOPMENT IN TROPICAL SYSTEMS IS THE RIGHT FRONT QUADRANT OF THE STORM. AS FAY MOVES NORTHWARD ACROSS THE AREA THROUGH TUESDAY NIGHT...THE TORNADO THREAT FOR THE REGION WILL BE MODERATE. ...NEXT UPDATE... THE NEXT STATEMENT WILL BE ISSUED AROUND 1130 PM EDT. $$ FLZ043-190400- /O.CON.KTBW.TI.A.0001.000000T0000Z-080820T0800Z/ SUMTER- INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...BUSHNELL...THE VILLAGES 838 PM EDT MON AUG 18 2008 ...TROPICAL STORM WIND WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT THROUGH LATE TUESDAY NIGHT... ...NEW INFORMATION... NO NEW INFORMATION. ...WATCHES/WARNINGS... A TROPICAL STORM WIND WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR SUMTER COUNTY. ...PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... PEOPLE LOCATED IN THE WATCH AREA ARE ENCOURAGED TO FREQUENTLY MONITOR NOAA WEATHER RADIO...OR OTHER LOCAL NEWS MEDIA...FOR THE LATEST INFORMATION ON THIS EVOLVING SITUATION WITH TROPICAL STORM FAY. FOR DETAILED PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS CHECK THE LATEST PUBLIC INFORMATION STATEMENT LINKED AT THE TOP OF THE NWS TAMPA BAY HOME PAGE ( HTTP://WWW.WEATHER.GOV/TAMPABAY ). ...WINDS... MAXIMUM WINDS OF 40 TO 50 MPH WITH SOME HIGHER GUSTS MAY AFFECT THE WATCH AREA TUESDAY NIGHT. ...PROBABILITY OF HURRICANE/TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS... BASED ON THE CURRENT FORECAST TRACK THERE IS A 50 TO 55 PERCENT CHANCE OF TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS...WINDS OF 39 TO 73 MPH... BEING EXPERIENCED ACROSS THE WATCH AREA TUESDAY NIGHT. THERE IS LESS THAN A 5 PERCENT CHANCE THAT HURRICANE CONDITIONS...WINDS OF 74 MPH OR HIGHER... WILL AFFECT THE AREA. ...INLAND FLOODING... RAINFALL AMOUNTS OF 4 TO 6 INCHES ARE EXPECTED ACROSS THE AREA THROUGH WEDNESDAY WITH LOCALLY HIGHER AMOUNTS POSSIBLE. A FLOOD WATCH MAY BE REQUIRED LATER TONIGHT OR ON TUESDAY. ...TORNADOES... THE PRIMARY AREA FOR TORNADO DEVELOPMENT IN TROPICAL SYSTEMS IS THE RIGHT FRONT QUADRANT OF THE STORM. AS FAY MOVES NORTHWARD JUST EAST OF THE AREA TUESDAY AND TUESDAY NIGHT...THE TORNADO THREAT FOR THE REGION WILL BE LOW. ...NEXT UPDATE... THE NEXT STATEMENT WILL BE ISSUED AROUND 1130 PM EDT. $$ FLZ039-042-048-049-GMZ850-870-190400- /O.CON.KTBW.HU.S.0001.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/ LEVY-CITRUS-HERNANDO-PASCO- TARPON SPRINGS TO SUWANNEE RIVER OUT 20 NM- TARPON SPRINGS TO SUWANNEE RIVER OUT 20 TO 60 NM- INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...CEDAR KEY...CHIEFLAND...CRYSTAL RIVER... INVERNESS...BROOKSVILLE...SPRING HILL...NEW PORT RICHEY... ZEPHYRHILLS 838 PM EDT MON AUG 18 2008 ...NEW INFORMATION... NO UPDATES/CHANGES AT THIS TIME. ...PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... RESIDENTS AND VISITORS ARE ENCOURAGED TO FREQUENTLY MONITOR NOAA WEATHER RADIO...OR OTHER LOCAL NEWS MEDIA...FOR THE LATEST INFORMATION ON THIS EVOLVING SITUATION WITH TROPICAL STORM FAY. FOR DETAILED PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS CHECK THE LATEST PUBLIC INFORMATION STATEMENT LINKED AT THE TOP OF THE NWS TAMPA BAY HOME PAGE ( HTTP://WWW.WEATHER.GOV/TAMPABAY ). ...STORM SURGE AND STORM TIDE... NO SIGNIFICANT STORM SURGE IS EXPECTED AT THIS TIME. ...WINDS... WIND GUSTS OF 40 TO 50 MPH ARE POSSIBLE IN SOME OF THE RAIN BANDS AS WEAKENING TROPICAL STORM FAY MOVES BY TO THE EAST TUESDAY NIGHT. ...PROBABILITY OF HURRICANE/TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS... BASED ON THE CURRENT FORECAST TRACK THERE IS A 30 TO 50 PERCENT CHANCE OF TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS...WINDS OF 39 TO 73 MPH... BEING EXPERIENCED ACROSS THE WATCH AREA TUESDAY AFTERNOON INTO EARLY WEDNESDAY MORNING. THERE IS LESS THAN A 5 PERCENT CHANCE THAT HURRICANE CONDITIONS...WINDS OF 74 MPH OR HIGHER...WILL AFFECT THE AREA. ...INLAND FLOODING... RAINFALL AMOUNTS OF 3 TO 5 INCHES ARE EXPECTED ACROSS THE AREA THROUGH WEDNESDAY WITH LOCALLY HIGHER AMOUNTS POSSIBLE. A FLOOD WATCH MAY BE REQUIRED FOR THIS AREA LATER TONIGHT OR TUESDAY. ...TORNADOES... THE PRIMARY AREA FOR TORNADO DEVELOPMENT IN TROPICAL SYSTEMS IS THE RIGHT FRONT QUADRANT OF THE STORM. SINCE FAY WILL BE MOVING BY TO THE EAST...THE TORNADO THREAT FOR THE REGION WILL BE LOW. ...NEXT UPDATE... THE NEXT STATEMENT WILL BE ISSUED AROUND 1130 PM EDT. $$
000 WTUS82 KTBW 190430 HLSTBW URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED TROPICAL STORM FAY LOCAL STATEMENT NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TAMPA BAY RUSKIN FL 1230 AM EDT TUE AUG 19 2008 ...TROPICAL STORM FAY HEADING FOR SOUTHWEST FLORIDA... .AT 11 PM EDT...TROPICAL STORM FAY WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 25.3 DEGREES NORTH...81.9 DEGREES WEST OR ABOUT 100 MILES SOUTH OF FORT MYERS...AND ABOUT 200 MILES SOUTH OF TAMPA. FAY IS MOVING TOWARD THE NORTH NEAR 9 MPH. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 60 MPH WITH HIGHER GUSTS. THE MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE REPORTED BY AN AIR FORCE RESERVE HURRICANE HUNTER AIRCRAFT WAS 995 MB...OR 29.38 INCHES. FLZ056-057-191000- /O.CAN.KTBW.HI.W.0001.000000T0000Z-080820T0800Z/ /O.EXA.KTBW.TI.W.0001.000000T0000Z-080820T0800Z/ HARDEE-HIGHLANDS- INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...WAUCHULA...SEBRING...AVON PARK 1230 AM EDT TUE AUG 19 2008 ...TROPICAL STORM WIND WARNING IN EFFECT UNTIL 4 AM EDT WEDNESDAY... ...HURRICANE WIND WARNING IS CANCELLED... ...NEW INFORMATION... TROPICAL STORM WIND WARNING NOW IN EFFECT. HURRICANE WIND WARNING HAS BEEN CANCELLED. TORNADO WATCH NUMBER 840 IN EFFECT UNTIL 8 AM EDT TUESDAY MORNING. MAXIMUM WINDS LOWERED. ...WATCHES/WARNINGS... A HURRICANE WIND WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR HARDEE AND HIGHLANDS COUNTIES. A TORNADO WATCH IS IN EFFECT UNTIL 8 AM TUESDAY MORNING. A FLOOD WATCH IS ALSO IN EFFECT THROUGH 8 PM TUESDAY. ...PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... PEOPLE LOCATED IN THE WARNED AREA SHOULD HAVE COMPLETED PREPARATIONS FOR THE ONSET OF DAMAGING WINDS. THE GUSTY WINDS IN OUTER RAIN BANDS MAY MAKE IT DIFFICULT TO TAKE PROTECTIVE ACTIONS TUESDAY MORNING. CONTINUE TO MONITOR NOAA WEATHER RADIO...OR OTHER LOCAL NEWS MEDIA...FOR THE LATEST INFORMATION ON THIS EVOLVING SITUATION WITH TROPICAL STORM FAY. FOR DETAILED PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS CHECK THE LATEST PUBLIC INFORMATION STATEMENT LINKED AT THE TOP OF THE NWS TAMPA BAY HOME PAGE ( HTTP://WWW.WEATHER.GOV/TAMPABAY ). ...WINDS... MAXIMUM WINDS OF 40 TO 50 MPH WITH SOME HIGHER GUSTS FORCE ARE EXPECTED TO AFFECT THE WARNED AREA TUESDAY AND TUESDAY NIGHT... MAINLY IN STRONGER RAIN BANDS AND NEAR THE CENTER OF THE STORM. ...PROBABILITY OF HURRICANE/TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS... BASED ON THE CURRENT FORECAST TRACK THERE IS A 40 TO 60 PERCENT CHANCE OF TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS...WINDS OF 39 TO 73 MPH... BEING EXPERIENCED ACROSS THE WARNING AREA TUESDAY AND TUESDAY NIGHT. THERE IS LESS THAN A 5 PERCENT CHANCE THAT HURRICANE CONDITIONS...WINDS OF 74 MPH OR HIGHER...WILL AFFECT THE AREA. ...INLAND FLOODING... RAINFALL AMOUNTS OF 4 TO 6 INCHES ARE EXPECTED ACROSS THE AREA THROUGH WEDNESDAY WITH LOCALLY HIGHER AMOUNTS POSSIBLE. A FLOOD WATCH IS CURRENTLY IN EFFECT FOR THE AREA. ...TORNADOES... THE PRIMARY AREA FOR TORNADO DEVELOPMENT IN TROPICAL SYSTEMS IS THE RIGHT FRONT QUADRANT OF THE STORM. AS FAY MOVES NORTHWARD ACROSS THE AREA...THE TORNADO THREAT FOR THE REGION WILL BE MODERATE TO HIGH. ...NEXT UPDATE... THE NEXT STATEMENT WILL BE ISSUED AROUND 230 AM EDT. $$ FLZ043-190530- /O.CAN.KTBW.TI.A.0001.000000T0000Z-080820T0800Z/ SUMTER- INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...BUSHNELL...THE VILLAGES 1230 AM EDT TUE AUG 19 2008 ...TROPICAL STORM WIND WATCH IS CANCELLED... ...NEW INFORMATION... TROPICAL STORM WIND WATCH HAS BEEN CANCELLED. MAXIMUM WINDS LOWERED. ...WATCHES/WARNINGS... NONE IN EFFECT. ...PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... PEOPLE LOCATED IN THE WATCH AREA ARE ENCOURAGED TO FREQUENTLY MONITOR NOAA WEATHER RADIO...OR OTHER LOCAL NEWS MEDIA...FOR THE LATEST INFORMATION ON THIS EVOLVING SITUATION WITH TROPICAL STORM FAY. FOR DETAILED PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS CHECK THE LATEST PUBLIC INFORMATION STATEMENT LINKED AT THE TOP OF THE NWS TAMPA BAY HOME PAGE ( HTTP://WWW.WEATHER.GOV/TAMPABAY ). ...WINDS... MAXIMUM WINDS OF 20 TO 30 MPH WITH SOME HIGHER GUSTS MAY AFFECT THE AREA TUESDAY NIGHT. ...PROBABILITY OF HURRICANE/TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS... BASED ON THE CURRENT FORECAST TRACK THERE IS LESS THAN A 20 PERCENT CHANCE OF TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS...WINDS OF 39 TO 73 MPH... BEING EXPERIENCED ACROSS THE AREA TUESDAY NIGHT. ...INLAND FLOODING... RAINFALL AMOUNTS OF 1 TO 3 INCHES ARE EXPECTED ACROSS THE AREA THROUGH WEDNESDAY WITH LOCALLY HIGHER AMOUNTS POSSIBLE. A FLOOD WATCH MAY BE REQUIRED LATER TONIGHT OR ON TUESDAY. ...TORNADOES... THE PRIMARY AREA FOR TORNADO DEVELOPMENT IN TROPICAL SYSTEMS IS THE RIGHT FRONT QUADRANT OF THE STORM. AS FAY MOVES NORTHWARD JUST EAST OF THE AREA TUESDAY AND TUESDAY NIGHT...THE TORNADO THREAT FOR THE REGION WILL BE LOW. ...NEXT UPDATE... THE NEXT STATEMENT WILL BE ISSUED AROUND 230 AM EDT. $$ FLZ050-051-GMZ830-191000- /O.UPG.KTBW.HU.A.1006.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/ /O.CON.KTBW.TR.W.1006.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/ PINELLAS-HILLSBOROUGH-TAMPA BAY WATERS- INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...CLEARWATER...ST. PETERSBURG...BRANDON... TAMPA 1230 AM EDT TUE AUG 19 2008 ...TROPICAL STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT... ...HURRICANE WATCH NO LONGER IN EFFECT... ...NEW INFORMATION... HURRICANE WATCH NO LONGER IN EFFECT. ...WATCHES/WARNINGS... A TROPICAL STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR PINELLAS AND HILLSBOROUGH COUNTIES...AS WELL AS TAMPA BAY AND THE GULF WATERS FROM NORTH OF ANNA MARIA ISLAND IN MANATEE COUNTY TO TARPON SPRINGS IN PINELLAS COUNTY. A FLOOD WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT THROUGH 8 PM TUESDAY. ...PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... PEOPLE LOCATED IN THE WARNED AREA SHOULD HAVE COMPLETED PREPARATIONS FOR THE ONSET OF DAMAGING WINDS. THE GUSTY WINDS IN OUTER RAIN BANDS MAY MAKE IT DIFFICULT TO TAKE PROTECTIVE ACTIONS TUESDAY. CONTINUE TO MONITOR NOAA WEATHER RADIO...OR OTHER LOCAL NEWS MEDIA...FOR THE LATEST INFORMATION ON THIS EVOLVING SITUATION WITH TROPICAL STORM FAY. FOR DETAILED PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS CHECK THE LATEST PUBLIC INFORMATION STATEMENT LINKED AT THE TOP OF THE NWS TAMPA BAY HOME PAGE ( HTTP://WWW.WEATHER.GOV/TAMPABAY ). ...STORM SURGE AND STORM TIDE... IT IS UNLIKELY THAT A SIGNIFICANT SURGE WILL OCCUR WITH THIS STORM AS IT APPEARS THAT IT WILL MAKE LANDFALL WELL SOUTH OF TAMPA BAY. ...WINDS... MAXIMUM WINDS OF 30 TO 40 MPH WITH SOME HIGHER GUSTS ARE EXPECTED TO AFFECT THE WARNED AREA TUESDAY AND TUESDAY NIGHT...BUT ONLY IN ORGANIZED RAIN BANDS AND NEAR THE CENTER OF THE STORM. ...PROBABILITY OF HURRICANE/TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS... BASED ON THE CURRENT FORECAST TRACK THERE IS A 20 TO 30 PERCENT CHANCE OF TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS...WINDS OF 39 TO 73 MPH... BEING EXPERIENCED ACROSS THE WATCH AREA BEGINNING EARLY TUESDAY MORNING THROUGH TUESDAY NIGHT. THERE IS LESS THAN A 5 PERCENT CHANCE THAT HURRICANE CONDITIONS...WINDS OF 74 MPH OR HIGHER... WILL AFFECT THE AREA. ...INLAND FLOODING... RAINFALL TOTALS OF 3 TO 5 INCHES WITH LOCALLY HIGHER AMOUNTS ARE POSSIBLE THROUGH WEDNESDAY. A FLOOD WATCH IS CURRENTLY IN EFFECT FOR THE AREA. ...TORNADOES... THE PRIMARY AREA FOR TORNADO DEVELOPMENT IN TROPICAL SYSTEMS IS THE RIGHT FRONT QUADRANT OF THE STORM. AS FAY MOVES NORTHWARD ACROSS THE AREA TUESDAY AND TUESDAY EVENING...THE TORNADO THREAT FOR THE REGION WILL BE MODERATE. ...NEXT UPDATE... THE NEXT STATEMENT WILL BE ISSUED AROUND 230 AM EDT. $$ FLZ055-060>062-065-GMZ853-856-873-876-191000- /O.CON.KTBW.HU.W.1006.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/ MANATEE-SARASOTA-DE SOTO-CHARLOTTE-LEE- ENGLEWOOD TO TARPON SPRINGS OUT 20 NM- BONITA BEACH TO ENGLEWOOD OUT 20 NM- ENGLEWOOD TO TARPON SPRINGS OUT 20 TO 60 NM- BONITA BEACH TO ENGLEWOOD OUT 20 TO 60 NM- INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...BRADENTON...SARASOTA...VENICE... ARCADIA...PORT CHARLOTTE...PUNTA GORDA...CAPE CORAL...FORT MYERS 1230 AM EDT TUE AUG 19 2008 ...HURRICANE WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT... ...NEW INFORMATION... TORNADO WATCH NUMBER 840 IN EFFECT FOR LEE AND CHARLOTTE COUNTIES UNTIL 8 AM EDT TUESDAY MORNING. STORM SURGE AND MAXIMUM WINDS LOWERED. ...WATCHES/WARNINGS... A HURRICANE WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM BONITA BEACH IN LEE COUNTY TO ANNA MARIA ISLAND IN MANATEE COUNTY. A TORNADO WATCH IS IN EFFECT UNTIL 8 AM TUESDAY MORNING FOR LEE AND CHARLOTTE COUNTIES. A FLOOD WATCH ALSO REMAINS IN EFFECT THROUGH 8 PM TUESDAY. ...PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... PEOPLE LOCATED IN THE WARNED AREA SHOULD HAVE COMPLETED PREPARATIONS FOR THE ONSET OF DAMAGING WINDS. THE GUSTY WINDS IN OUTER RAIN BANDS MAY MAKE IT DIFFICULT TO TAKE PROTECTIVE ACTIONS TUESDAY MORNING. CONTINUE TO MONITOR NOAA WEATHER RADIO...OR OTHER LOCAL NEWS MEDIA...FOR THE LATEST INFORMATION ON THIS EVOLVING SITUATION WITH TROPICAL STORM FAY. FOR DETAILED PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS CHECK THE LATEST PUBLIC INFORMATION STATEMENT LINKED AT THE TOP OF THE NWS TAMPA BAY HOME PAGE ( HTTP://WWW.WEATHER.GOV/TAMPABAY ). ...STORM SURGE AND STORM TIDE... ON THE CURRENT FORECAST TRACK THE WINDS WILL BE MAINLY OFFSHORE UNTIL THE STORM PASSES BY AND MOVES NORTH OF THE AREA TUESDAY AFTERNOON AND NIGHT. THEREFORE...THE MAXIMUM EXPECTED STORM SURGE IS ONLY EXPECTED TO BE 1 TO 3 FEET ALONG THE LEE AND CHARLOTTE COUNTY COASTS. FURTHER NORTH ALONG THE SARASOTA AND MANATEE COUNTY COAST A RISE OF UP TO 2 FEET IS POSSIBLE TUESDAY AFTERNOON AND NIGHT. ASTRONOMICAL TIDE LEVELS MUST BE ADDED TO THESE SURGE VALUES TO DETERMINE TOTAL STORM TIDE LEVELS. ...WINDS... MAXIMUM WINDS OF 40 TO 50 MPH WITH SOME HIGHER GUSTS ARE EXPECTED TO AFFECT MAINLY LEE AND CHARLOTTE COUNTIES LATE TONIGHT AND EARLY TUESDAY MORNING. HOWEVER...THE STRONGEST WINDS WILL OCCUR IN THE STRONGER RAIN BANDS OUT AHEAD OF THE STORM. ...PROBABILITY OF HURRICANE/TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS... BASED ON THE CURRENT FORECAST TRACK THERE IS A 60 TO 80 PERCENT CHANCE OF TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS...WINDS OF 39 TO 73 MPH... BEING EXPERIENCED ACROSS LEE AND CHARLOTTE COUNTIES LATE TONIGHT INTO TUESDAY MORNING AND 30 TO 50 PERCENT ACROSS SARASOTA AND MANATEE COUNTIES TUESDAY MORNING INTO THE AFTERNOON. THERE IS NOW LESS THAN A 5 PERCENT CHANCE THAT HURRICANE CONDITIONS...WINDS OF 74 MPH OR HIGHER...WILL AFFECT THE AREA. ...INLAND FLOODING... RAINFALL AMOUNTS OF 3 TO 6 INCHES ARE EXPECTED ACROSS PORTIONS OF LEE AND CHARLOTTE COUNTIES THROUGH WEDNESDAY MORNING WITH LOCALLY HIGHER AMOUNTS POSSIBLE. FURTHER NORTH RAINFALL AMOUNTS ARE EXPECTED TO BE LOWER AND RANGE FROM ABOUT 1 TO 3 INCHES. A FLOOD WATCH IS CURRENTLY IN EFFECT FOR THE AREA. ...TORNADOES... THE PRIMARY AREA FOR TORNADO DEVELOPMENT IN TROPICAL SYSTEMS IS THE RIGHT FRONT QUADRANT OF THE STORM. AS FAY MOVES NORTHWARD ACROSS THE AREA THROUGH TUESDAY EVENING THE TORNADO THREAT FOR THE REGION WILL BE MODERATE TO HIGH AND A TORNADO WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR LEE AND CHARLOTTE COUNTIES. ...NEXT UPDATE... THE NEXT STATEMENT WILL BE ISSUED AROUND 230 AM EDT. $$ FLZ052-191000- /O.CON.KTBW.TI.W.0001.000000T0000Z-080820T0800Z/ POLK- INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...LAKELAND...WINTER HAVEN 1230 AM EDT TUE AUG 19 2008 ...TROPICAL STORM WIND WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 4 AM EDT WEDNESDAY... ...NEW INFORMATION... TORNADO WATCH NUMBER 840 IN EFFECT FOR UNTIL 8 AM EDT TUESDAY MORNING. MAXIMUM WINDS LOWERED. ...WATCHES/WARNINGS... A TROPICAL STORM WIND WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR POLK COUNTY. A TORNADO WATCH IS IN EFFECT UNTIL 8 AM TUESDAY MORNING. A FLOOD WATCH IS ALSO IN EFFECT THROUGH 8 PM TUESDAY. ...PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... PEOPLE LOCATED IN THE WARNED AREA SHOULD HAVE COMPLETED PREPARATIONS FOR THE ONSET OF DAMAGING WINDS. THE GUSTY WINDS IN OUTER RAIN BANDS MAY MAKE IT DIFFICULT TO TAKE PROTECTIVE ACTIONS TUESDAY MORNING. CONTINUE TO MONITOR NOAA WEATHER RADIO...OR OTHER LOCAL NEWS MEDIA...FOR THE LATEST INFORMATION ON THIS EVOLVING SITUATION WITH TROPICAL STORM FAY. FOR DETAILED PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS CHECK THE LATEST PUBLIC INFORMATION STATEMENT LINKED AT THE TOP OF THE NWS TAMPA BAY HOME PAGE ( HTTP://WWW.WEATHER.GOV/TAMPABAY ). ...WINDS... MAXIMUM WINDS OF 40 TO 50 MPH WITH SOME HIGHER GUSTS ARE EXPECTED TO AFFECT THE WARNED AREA TUESDAY AND TUESDAY NIGHT...MAINLY IN STRONGER RAIN BANDS AND NEAR THE CENTER OF TH STORM. ...PROBABILITY OF HURRICANE/TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS... BASED ON THE CURRENT FORECAST TRACK THERE IS A 30 TO 50 PERCENT CHANCE OF TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS...WINDS OF 39 TO 73 MPH... BEING EXPERIENCED ACROSS THE WARNING AREA TUESDAY AFTERNOON THROUGH TUESDAY NIGHT. THERE IS LESS THAN A 5 PERCENT CHANCE THAT HURRICANE CONDITIONS...WINDS OF 74 MPH OR HIGHER... WILL AFFECT THE AREA. ...INLAND FLOODING... RAINFALL AMOUNTS OF 3 TO 5 INCHES ARE EXPECTED ACROSS THE AREA THROUGH WEDNESDAY WITH LOCALLY HIGHER AMOUNTS POSSIBLE. A FLOOD WATCH IS CURRENTLY IN EFFECT FOR THE AREA. ...TORNADOES... THE PRIMARY AREA FOR TORNADO DEVELOPMENT IN TROPICAL SYSTEMS IS THE RIGHT FRONT QUADRANT OF THE STORM. AS FAY MOVES NORTHWARD ACROSS THE AREA THROUGH TUESDAY NIGHT...THE TORNADO THREAT FOR THE REGION WILL BE MODERATE. ...NEXT UPDATE... THE NEXT STATEMENT WILL BE ISSUED AROUND 230 AM EDT. $$ FLZ039-042-048-049-GMZ850-870-191000- /O.CON.KTBW.HU.S.0001.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/ LEVY-CITRUS-HERNANDO-PASCO- TARPON SPRINGS TO SUWANNEE RIVER OUT 20 NM- TARPON SPRINGS TO SUWANNEE RIVER OUT 20 TO 60 NM- INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...CEDAR KEY...CHIEFLAND...CRYSTAL RIVER... INVERNESS...BROOKSVILLE...SPRING HILL...NEW PORT RICHEY... ZEPHYRHILLS 1230 AM EDT TUE AUG 19 2008 ...NEW INFORMATION... MAXIMUM WINDS LOWERED. ...PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... RESIDENTS AND VISITORS ARE ENCOURAGED TO FREQUENTLY MONITOR NOAA WEATHER RADIO...OR OTHER LOCAL NEWS MEDIA...FOR THE LATEST INFORMATION ON THIS EVOLVING SITUATION WITH TROPICAL STORM FAY. FOR DETAILED PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS CHECK THE LATEST PUBLIC INFORMATION STATEMENT LINKED AT THE TOP OF THE NWS TAMPA BAY HOME PAGE ( HTTP://WWW.WEATHER.GOV/TAMPABAY ). ...STORM SURGE AND STORM TIDE... NO SIGNIFICANT STORM SURGE IS EXPECTED AT THIS TIME. ...WINDS... WIND GUSTS OF 20 TO 30 MPH WITH SOME HIGHER GUSTS ARE POSSIBLE IN SOME OF THE RAIN BANDS AS WEAKENING TROPICAL STORM FAY MOVES BY TO THE EAST TUESDAY NIGHT. ...PROBABILITY OF HURRICANE/TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS... BASED ON THE CURRENT FORECAST TRACK THERE LESS THAN A 20 PERCENT CHANCE OF TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS...WINDS OF 39 TO 73 MPH... BEING EXPERIENCED ACROSS THE WATCH AREA TUESDAY AFTERNOON INTO EARLY WEDNESDAY MORNING. ...INLAND FLOODING... RAINFALL AMOUNTS OF 2 TO 4 INCHES ARE EXPECTED ACROSS THE AREA THROUGH WEDNESDAY WITH LOCALLY HIGHER AMOUNTS POSSIBLE. A FLOOD WATCH MAY BE REQUIRED FOR THIS AREA LATER TONIGHT OR TUESDAY. ...TORNADOES... THE PRIMARY AREA FOR TORNADO DEVELOPMENT IN TROPICAL SYSTEMS IS THE RIGHT FRONT QUADRANT OF THE STORM. SINCE FAY WILL BE MOVING BY TO THE EAST...THE TORNADO THREAT FOR THE REGION WILL BE LOW. ...NEXT UPDATE... THE NEXT STATEMENT WILL BE ISSUED AROUND 230 AM EDT. $$ PRC
000 WTUS82 KTBW 190517 CCA HLSTBW URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED TROPICAL STORM FAY LOCAL STATEMENT...CORRECTED HARDEE/HIGHLANDS GROUP NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TAMPA BAY RUSKIN FL 1230 AM EDT TUE AUG 19 2008 ...TROPICAL STORM FAY HEADING FOR SOUTHWEST FLORIDA... .AT 11 PM EDT...TROPICAL STORM FAY WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 25.3 DEGREES NORTH...81.9 DEGREES WEST OR ABOUT 100 MILES SOUTH OF FORT MYERS...AND ABOUT 200 MILES SOUTH OF TAMPA. FAY IS MOVING TOWARD THE NORTH NEAR 9 MPH. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 60 MPH WITH HIGHER GUSTS. THE MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE REPORTED BY AN AIR FORCE RESERVE HURRICANE HUNTER AIRCRAFT WAS 995 MB...OR 29.38 INCHES. FLZ056-057-191000- /O.CAN.KTBW.HI.W.0001.000000T0000Z-080820T0800Z/ /O.EXA.KTBW.TI.W.0001.000000T0000Z-080820T0800Z/ HARDEE-HIGHLANDS- INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...WAUCHULA...SEBRING...AVON PARK 1230 AM EDT TUE AUG 19 2008 ...TROPICAL STORM WIND WARNING IN EFFECT UNTIL 4 AM EDT WEDNESDAY... ...HURRICANE WIND WARNING IS CANCELLED... ...NEW INFORMATION... TROPICAL STORM WIND WARNING NOW IN EFFECT. HURRICANE WIND WARNING HAS BEEN CANCELLED. TORNADO WATCH NUMBER 840 IN EFFECT UNTIL 8 AM EDT TUESDAY MORNING. MAXIMUM WINDS LOWERED. ...WATCHES/WARNINGS... A TROPICAL STORM WIND WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR HARDEE AND HIGHLANDS COUNTIES. A TORNADO WATCH IS IN EFFECT UNTIL 8 AM TUESDAY MORNING. A FLOOD WATCH IS ALSO IN EFFECT THROUGH 8 PM TUESDAY. ...PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... PEOPLE LOCATED IN THE WARNED AREA SHOULD HAVE COMPLETED PREPARATIONS FOR THE ONSET OF DAMAGING WINDS. THE GUSTY WINDS IN OUTER RAIN BANDS MAY MAKE IT DIFFICULT TO TAKE PROTECTIVE ACTIONS TUESDAY MORNING. CONTINUE TO MONITOR NOAA WEATHER RADIO...OR OTHER LOCAL NEWS MEDIA...FOR THE LATEST INFORMATION ON THIS EVOLVING SITUATION WITH TROPICAL STORM FAY. FOR DETAILED PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS CHECK THE LATEST PUBLIC INFORMATION STATEMENT LINKED AT THE TOP OF THE NWS TAMPA BAY HOME PAGE ( HTTP://WWW.WEATHER.GOV/TAMPABAY ). ...WINDS... MAXIMUM WINDS OF 40 TO 50 MPH WITH SOME HIGHER GUSTS FORCE ARE EXPECTED TO AFFECT THE WARNED AREA TUESDAY AND TUESDAY NIGHT... MAINLY IN STRONGER RAIN BANDS AND NEAR THE CENTER OF THE STORM. ...PROBABILITY OF HURRICANE/TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS... BASED ON THE CURRENT FORECAST TRACK THERE IS A 40 TO 60 PERCENT CHANCE OF TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS...WINDS OF 39 TO 73 MPH... BEING EXPERIENCED ACROSS THE WARNING AREA TUESDAY AND TUESDAY NIGHT. THERE IS LESS THAN A 5 PERCENT CHANCE THAT HURRICANE CONDITIONS...WINDS OF 74 MPH OR HIGHER...WILL AFFECT THE AREA. ...INLAND FLOODING... RAINFALL AMOUNTS OF 4 TO 6 INCHES ARE EXPECTED ACROSS THE AREA THROUGH WEDNESDAY WITH LOCALLY HIGHER AMOUNTS POSSIBLE. A FLOOD WATCH IS CURRENTLY IN EFFECT FOR THE AREA. ...TORNADOES... THE PRIMARY AREA FOR TORNADO DEVELOPMENT IN TROPICAL SYSTEMS IS THE RIGHT FRONT QUADRANT OF THE STORM. AS FAY MOVES NORTHWARD ACROSS THE AREA...THE TORNADO THREAT FOR THE REGION WILL BE MODERATE TO HIGH. ...NEXT UPDATE... THE NEXT STATEMENT WILL BE ISSUED AROUND 230 AM EDT. $$ FLZ043-190530- /O.CAN.KTBW.TI.A.0001.000000T0000Z-080820T0800Z/ SUMTER- INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...BUSHNELL...THE VILLAGES 1230 AM EDT TUE AUG 19 2008 ...TROPICAL STORM WIND WATCH IS CANCELLED... ...NEW INFORMATION... TROPICAL STORM WIND WATCH HAS BEEN CANCELLED. MAXIMUM WINDS LOWERED. ...WATCHES/WARNINGS... NONE IN EFFECT. ...PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... PEOPLE LOCATED IN THE WATCH AREA ARE ENCOURAGED TO FREQUENTLY MONITOR NOAA WEATHER RADIO...OR OTHER LOCAL NEWS MEDIA...FOR THE LATEST INFORMATION ON THIS EVOLVING SITUATION WITH TROPICAL STORM FAY. FOR DETAILED PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS CHECK THE LATEST PUBLIC INFORMATION STATEMENT LINKED AT THE TOP OF THE NWS TAMPA BAY HOME PAGE ( HTTP://WWW.WEATHER.GOV/TAMPABAY ). ...WINDS... MAXIMUM WINDS OF 20 TO 30 MPH WITH SOME HIGHER GUSTS MAY AFFECT THE AREA TUESDAY NIGHT. ...PROBABILITY OF HURRICANE/TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS... BASED ON THE CURRENT FORECAST TRACK THERE IS LESS THAN A 20 PERCENT CHANCE OF TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS...WINDS OF 39 TO 73 MPH... BEING EXPERIENCED ACROSS THE AREA TUESDAY NIGHT. ...INLAND FLOODING... RAINFALL AMOUNTS OF 1 TO 3 INCHES ARE EXPECTED ACROSS THE AREA THROUGH WEDNESDAY WITH LOCALLY HIGHER AMOUNTS POSSIBLE. A FLOOD WATCH MAY BE REQUIRED LATER TONIGHT OR ON TUESDAY. ...TORNADOES... THE PRIMARY AREA FOR TORNADO DEVELOPMENT IN TROPICAL SYSTEMS IS THE RIGHT FRONT QUADRANT OF THE STORM. AS FAY MOVES NORTHWARD JUST EAST OF THE AREA TUESDAY AND TUESDAY NIGHT...THE TORNADO THREAT FOR THE REGION WILL BE LOW. ...NEXT UPDATE... THE NEXT STATEMENT WILL BE ISSUED AROUND 230 AM EDT. $$ FLZ050-051-GMZ830-191000- /O.UPG.KTBW.HU.A.1006.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/ /O.CON.KTBW.TR.W.1006.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/ PINELLAS-HILLSBOROUGH-TAMPA BAY WATERS- INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...CLEARWATER...ST. PETERSBURG...BRANDON... TAMPA 1230 AM EDT TUE AUG 19 2008 ...TROPICAL STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT... ...HURRICANE WATCH NO LONGER IN EFFECT... ...NEW INFORMATION... HURRICANE WATCH NO LONGER IN EFFECT. ...WATCHES/WARNINGS... A TROPICAL STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR PINELLAS AND HILLSBOROUGH COUNTIES...AS WELL AS TAMPA BAY AND THE GULF WATERS FROM NORTH OF ANNA MARIA ISLAND IN MANATEE COUNTY TO TARPON SPRINGS IN PINELLAS COUNTY. A FLOOD WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT THROUGH 8 PM TUESDAY. ...PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... PEOPLE LOCATED IN THE WARNED AREA SHOULD HAVE COMPLETED PREPARATIONS FOR THE ONSET OF DAMAGING WINDS. THE GUSTY WINDS IN OUTER RAIN BANDS MAY MAKE IT DIFFICULT TO TAKE PROTECTIVE ACTIONS TUESDAY. CONTINUE TO MONITOR NOAA WEATHER RADIO...OR OTHER LOCAL NEWS MEDIA...FOR THE LATEST INFORMATION ON THIS EVOLVING SITUATION WITH TROPICAL STORM FAY. FOR DETAILED PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS CHECK THE LATEST PUBLIC INFORMATION STATEMENT LINKED AT THE TOP OF THE NWS TAMPA BAY HOME PAGE ( HTTP://WWW.WEATHER.GOV/TAMPABAY ). ...STORM SURGE AND STORM TIDE... IT IS UNLIKELY THAT A SIGNIFICANT SURGE WILL OCCUR WITH THIS STORM AS IT APPEARS THAT IT WILL MAKE LANDFALL WELL SOUTH OF TAMPA BAY. ...WINDS... MAXIMUM WINDS OF 30 TO 40 MPH WITH SOME HIGHER GUSTS ARE EXPECTED TO AFFECT THE WARNED AREA TUESDAY AND TUESDAY NIGHT...BUT ONLY IN ORGANIZED RAIN BANDS AND NEAR THE CENTER OF THE STORM. ...PROBABILITY OF HURRICANE/TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS... BASED ON THE CURRENT FORECAST TRACK THERE IS A 20 TO 30 PERCENT CHANCE OF TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS...WINDS OF 39 TO 73 MPH... BEING EXPERIENCED ACROSS THE WATCH AREA BEGINNING EARLY TUESDAY MORNING THROUGH TUESDAY NIGHT. THERE IS LESS THAN A 5 PERCENT CHANCE THAT HURRICANE CONDITIONS...WINDS OF 74 MPH OR HIGHER... WILL AFFECT THE AREA. ...INLAND FLOODING... RAINFALL TOTALS OF 3 TO 5 INCHES WITH LOCALLY HIGHER AMOUNTS ARE POSSIBLE THROUGH WEDNESDAY. A FLOOD WATCH IS CURRENTLY IN EFFECT FOR THE AREA. ...TORNADOES... THE PRIMARY AREA FOR TORNADO DEVELOPMENT IN TROPICAL SYSTEMS IS THE RIGHT FRONT QUADRANT OF THE STORM. AS FAY MOVES NORTHWARD ACROSS THE AREA TUESDAY AND TUESDAY EVENING...THE TORNADO THREAT FOR THE REGION WILL BE MODERATE. ...NEXT UPDATE... THE NEXT STATEMENT WILL BE ISSUED AROUND 230 AM EDT. $$ FLZ055-060>062-065-GMZ853-856-873-876-191000- /O.CON.KTBW.HU.W.1006.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/ MANATEE-SARASOTA-DE SOTO-CHARLOTTE-LEE- ENGLEWOOD TO TARPON SPRINGS OUT 20 NM- BONITA BEACH TO ENGLEWOOD OUT 20 NM- ENGLEWOOD TO TARPON SPRINGS OUT 20 TO 60 NM- BONITA BEACH TO ENGLEWOOD OUT 20 TO 60 NM- INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...BRADENTON...SARASOTA...VENICE... ARCADIA...PORT CHARLOTTE...PUNTA GORDA...CAPE CORAL...FORT MYERS 1230 AM EDT TUE AUG 19 2008 ...HURRICANE WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT... ...NEW INFORMATION... TORNADO WATCH NUMBER 840 IN EFFECT FOR LEE AND CHARLOTTE COUNTIES UNTIL 8 AM EDT TUESDAY MORNING. STORM SURGE AND MAXIMUM WINDS LOWERED. ...WATCHES/WARNINGS... A HURRICANE WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM BONITA BEACH IN LEE COUNTY TO ANNA MARIA ISLAND IN MANATEE COUNTY. A TORNADO WATCH IS IN EFFECT UNTIL 8 AM TUESDAY MORNING FOR LEE AND CHARLOTTE COUNTIES. A FLOOD WATCH ALSO REMAINS IN EFFECT THROUGH 8 PM TUESDAY. ...PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... PEOPLE LOCATED IN THE WARNED AREA SHOULD HAVE COMPLETED PREPARATIONS FOR THE ONSET OF DAMAGING WINDS. THE GUSTY WINDS IN OUTER RAIN BANDS MAY MAKE IT DIFFICULT TO TAKE PROTECTIVE ACTIONS TUESDAY MORNING. CONTINUE TO MONITOR NOAA WEATHER RADIO...OR OTHER LOCAL NEWS MEDIA...FOR THE LATEST INFORMATION ON THIS EVOLVING SITUATION WITH TROPICAL STORM FAY. FOR DETAILED PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS CHECK THE LATEST PUBLIC INFORMATION STATEMENT LINKED AT THE TOP OF THE NWS TAMPA BAY HOME PAGE ( HTTP://WWW.WEATHER.GOV/TAMPABAY ). ...STORM SURGE AND STORM TIDE... ON THE CURRENT FORECAST TRACK THE WINDS WILL BE MAINLY OFFSHORE UNTIL THE STORM PASSES BY AND MOVES NORTH OF THE AREA TUESDAY AFTERNOON AND NIGHT. THEREFORE...THE MAXIMUM EXPECTED STORM SURGE IS ONLY EXPECTED TO BE 1 TO 3 FEET ALONG THE LEE AND CHARLOTTE COUNTY COASTS. FURTHER NORTH ALONG THE SARASOTA AND MANATEE COUNTY COAST A RISE OF UP TO 2 FEET IS POSSIBLE TUESDAY AFTERNOON AND NIGHT. ASTRONOMICAL TIDE LEVELS MUST BE ADDED TO THESE SURGE VALUES TO DETERMINE TOTAL STORM TIDE LEVELS. ...WINDS... MAXIMUM WINDS OF 40 TO 50 MPH WITH SOME HIGHER GUSTS ARE EXPECTED TO AFFECT MAINLY LEE AND CHARLOTTE COUNTIES LATE TONIGHT AND EARLY TUESDAY MORNING. HOWEVER...THE STRONGEST WINDS WILL OCCUR IN THE STRONGER RAIN BANDS OUT AHEAD OF THE STORM. ...PROBABILITY OF HURRICANE/TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS... BASED ON THE CURRENT FORECAST TRACK THERE IS A 60 TO 80 PERCENT CHANCE OF TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS...WINDS OF 39 TO 73 MPH... BEING EXPERIENCED ACROSS LEE AND CHARLOTTE COUNTIES LATE TONIGHT INTO TUESDAY MORNING AND 30 TO 50 PERCENT ACROSS SARASOTA AND MANATEE COUNTIES TUESDAY MORNING INTO THE AFTERNOON. THERE IS NOW LESS THAN A 5 PERCENT CHANCE THAT HURRICANE CONDITIONS...WINDS OF 74 MPH OR HIGHER...WILL AFFECT THE AREA. ...INLAND FLOODING... RAINFALL AMOUNTS OF 3 TO 6 INCHES ARE EXPECTED ACROSS PORTIONS OF LEE AND CHARLOTTE COUNTIES THROUGH WEDNESDAY MORNING WITH LOCALLY HIGHER AMOUNTS POSSIBLE. FURTHER NORTH RAINFALL AMOUNTS ARE EXPECTED TO BE LOWER AND RANGE FROM ABOUT 1 TO 3 INCHES. A FLOOD WATCH IS CURRENTLY IN EFFECT FOR THE AREA. ...TORNADOES... THE PRIMARY AREA FOR TORNADO DEVELOPMENT IN TROPICAL SYSTEMS IS THE RIGHT FRONT QUADRANT OF THE STORM. AS FAY MOVES NORTHWARD ACROSS THE AREA THROUGH TUESDAY EVENING THE TORNADO THREAT FOR THE REGION WILL BE MODERATE TO HIGH AND A TORNADO WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR LEE AND CHARLOTTE COUNTIES. ...NEXT UPDATE... THE NEXT STATEMENT WILL BE ISSUED AROUND 230 AM EDT. $$ FLZ052-191000- /O.CON.KTBW.TI.W.0001.000000T0000Z-080820T0800Z/ POLK- INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...LAKELAND...WINTER HAVEN 1230 AM EDT TUE AUG 19 2008 ...TROPICAL STORM WIND WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 4 AM EDT WEDNESDAY... ...NEW INFORMATION... TORNADO WATCH NUMBER 840 IN EFFECT FOR UNTIL 8 AM EDT TUESDAY MORNING. MAXIMUM WINDS LOWERED. ...WATCHES/WARNINGS... A TROPICAL STORM WIND WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR POLK COUNTY. A TORNADO WATCH IS IN EFFECT UNTIL 8 AM TUESDAY MORNING. A FLOOD WATCH IS ALSO IN EFFECT THROUGH 8 PM TUESDAY. ...PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... PEOPLE LOCATED IN THE WARNED AREA SHOULD HAVE COMPLETED PREPARATIONS FOR THE ONSET OF DAMAGING WINDS. THE GUSTY WINDS IN OUTER RAIN BANDS MAY MAKE IT DIFFICULT TO TAKE PROTECTIVE ACTIONS TUESDAY MORNING. CONTINUE TO MONITOR NOAA WEATHER RADIO...OR OTHER LOCAL NEWS MEDIA...FOR THE LATEST INFORMATION ON THIS EVOLVING SITUATION WITH TROPICAL STORM FAY. FOR DETAILED PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS CHECK THE LATEST PUBLIC INFORMATION STATEMENT LINKED AT THE TOP OF THE NWS TAMPA BAY HOME PAGE ( HTTP://WWW.WEATHER.GOV/TAMPABAY ). ...WINDS... MAXIMUM WINDS OF 40 TO 50 MPH WITH SOME HIGHER GUSTS ARE EXPECTED TO AFFECT THE WARNED AREA TUESDAY AND TUESDAY NIGHT...MAINLY IN STRONGER RAIN BANDS AND NEAR THE CENTER OF TH STORM. ...PROBABILITY OF HURRICANE/TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS... BASED ON THE CURRENT FORECAST TRACK THERE IS A 30 TO 50 PERCENT CHANCE OF TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS...WINDS OF 39 TO 73 MPH... BEING EXPERIENCED ACROSS THE WARNING AREA TUESDAY AFTERNOON THROUGH TUESDAY NIGHT. THERE IS LESS THAN A 5 PERCENT CHANCE THAT HURRICANE CONDITIONS...WINDS OF 74 MPH OR HIGHER... WILL AFFECT THE AREA. ...INLAND FLOODING... RAINFALL AMOUNTS OF 3 TO 5 INCHES ARE EXPECTED ACROSS THE AREA THROUGH WEDNESDAY WITH LOCALLY HIGHER AMOUNTS POSSIBLE. A FLOOD WATCH IS CURRENTLY IN EFFECT FOR THE AREA. ...TORNADOES... THE PRIMARY AREA FOR TORNADO DEVELOPMENT IN TROPICAL SYSTEMS IS THE RIGHT FRONT QUADRANT OF THE STORM. AS FAY MOVES NORTHWARD ACROSS THE AREA THROUGH TUESDAY NIGHT...THE TORNADO THREAT FOR THE REGION WILL BE MODERATE. ...NEXT UPDATE... THE NEXT STATEMENT WILL BE ISSUED AROUND 230 AM EDT. $$ FLZ039-042-048-049-GMZ850-870-191000- /O.CON.KTBW.HU.S.0001.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/ LEVY-CITRUS-HERNANDO-PASCO- TARPON SPRINGS TO SUWANNEE RIVER OUT 20 NM- TARPON SPRINGS TO SUWANNEE RIVER OUT 20 TO 60 NM- INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...CEDAR KEY...CHIEFLAND...CRYSTAL RIVER... INVERNESS...BROOKSVILLE...SPRING HILL...NEW PORT RICHEY... ZEPHYRHILLS 1230 AM EDT TUE AUG 19 2008 ...NEW INFORMATION... MAXIMUM WINDS LOWERED. ...PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... RESIDENTS AND VISITORS ARE ENCOURAGED TO FREQUENTLY MONITOR NOAA WEATHER RADIO...OR OTHER LOCAL NEWS MEDIA...FOR THE LATEST INFORMATION ON THIS EVOLVING SITUATION WITH TROPICAL STORM FAY. FOR DETAILED PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS CHECK THE LATEST PUBLIC INFORMATION STATEMENT LINKED AT THE TOP OF THE NWS TAMPA BAY HOME PAGE ( HTTP://WWW.WEATHER.GOV/TAMPABAY ). ...STORM SURGE AND STORM TIDE... NO SIGNIFICANT STORM SURGE IS EXPECTED AT THIS TIME. ...WINDS... WIND GUSTS OF 20 TO 30 MPH WITH SOME HIGHER GUSTS ARE POSSIBLE IN SOME OF THE RAIN BANDS AS WEAKENING TROPICAL STORM FAY MOVES BY TO THE EAST TUESDAY NIGHT. ...PROBABILITY OF HURRICANE/TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS... BASED ON THE CURRENT FORECAST TRACK THERE LESS THAN A 20 PERCENT CHANCE OF TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS...WINDS OF 39 TO 73 MPH... BEING EXPERIENCED ACROSS THE WATCH AREA TUESDAY AFTERNOON INTO EARLY WEDNESDAY MORNING. ...INLAND FLOODING... RAINFALL AMOUNTS OF 2 TO 4 INCHES ARE EXPECTED ACROSS THE AREA THROUGH WEDNESDAY WITH LOCALLY HIGHER AMOUNTS POSSIBLE. A FLOOD WATCH MAY BE REQUIRED FOR THIS AREA LATER TONIGHT OR TUESDAY. ...TORNADOES... THE PRIMARY AREA FOR TORNADO DEVELOPMENT IN TROPICAL SYSTEMS IS THE RIGHT FRONT QUADRANT OF THE STORM. SINCE FAY WILL BE MOVING BY TO THE EAST...THE TORNADO THREAT FOR THE REGION WILL BE LOW. ...NEXT UPDATE... THE NEXT STATEMENT WILL BE ISSUED AROUND 230 AM EDT. $$ PRC
000 WTUS82 KTBW 190615 HLSTBW URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED TROPICAL STORM FAY LOCAL STATEMENT NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TAMPA BAY RUSKIN FL 215 AM EDT TUE AUG 19 2008 ...TROPICAL STORM FAY HEADING FOR SOUTHWEST FLORIDA... .AT 2 AM EDT...TROPICAL STORM FAY WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 25.5 DEGREES NORTH...81.8 DEGREES WEST OR ABOUT 90 MILES SOUTH OF FORT MYERS...AND ABOUT 195 MILES SOUTH OF TAMPA. FAY IS MOVING TOWARD THE NORTH NEAR 7 MPH. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 60 MPH WITH HIGHER GUSTS. THE MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE REPORTED BY AN AIR FORCE RESERVE HURRICANE HUNTER AIRCRAFT WAS 994 MB...OR 29.35 INCHES. FLZ055-060>062-065-GMZ853-856-873-876-191000- /O.CON.KTBW.HU.W.1006.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/ MANATEE-SARASOTA-DE SOTO-CHARLOTTE-LEE- ENGLEWOOD TO TARPON SPRINGS OUT 20 NM- BONITA BEACH TO ENGLEWOOD OUT 20 NM- ENGLEWOOD TO TARPON SPRINGS OUT 20 TO 60 NM- BONITA BEACH TO ENGLEWOOD OUT 20 TO 60 NM- INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...BRADENTON...SARASOTA...VENICE... ARCADIA...PORT CHARLOTTE...PUNTA GORDA...CAPE CORAL...FORT MYERS 215 AM EDT TUE AUG 19 2008 ...HURRICANE WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT... ...NEW INFORMATION... NO NEW INFORMATION. ...WATCHES/WARNINGS... A HURRICANE WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM BONITA BEACH IN LEE COUNTY TO ANNA MARIA ISLAND IN MANATEE COUNTY. A TORNADO WATCH IS IN EFFECT UNTIL 8 AM THIS MORNING FOR LEE AND CHARLOTTE COUNTIES. A FLOOD WATCH IS ALSO IN EFFECT THROUGH 8 PM TODAY. ...PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... PEOPLE LOCATED IN THE WARNED AREA SHOULD HAVE COMPLETED PREPARATIONS FOR THE ONSET OF DAMAGING WINDS. THE GUSTY WINDS IN OUTER RAIN BANDS MAY MAKE IT DIFFICULT TO TAKE PROTECTIVE ACTIONS THIS MORNING. CONTINUE TO MONITOR NOAA WEATHER RADIO...OR OTHER LOCAL NEWS MEDIA...FOR THE LATEST INFORMATION ON THIS EVOLVING SITUATION WITH TROPICAL STORM FAY. FOR DETAILED PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS CHECK THE LATEST PUBLIC INFORMATION STATEMENT LINKED AT THE TOP OF THE NWS TAMPA BAY HOME PAGE ( HTTP://WWW.WEATHER.GOV/TAMPABAY ). ...STORM SURGE AND STORM TIDE... ON THE CURRENT FORECAST TRACK THE WINDS WILL BE MAINLY OFFSHORE UNTIL THE STORM PASSES BY AND MOVES NORTH OF THE AREA THIS AFTERNOON AND TONIGHT. THEREFORE...THE MAXIMUM EXPECTED STORM SURGE IS ONLY EXPECTED TO BE 1 TO 3 FEET ALONG THE LEE AND CHARLOTTE COUNTY COASTS. FURTHER NORTH ALONG THE SARASOTA AND MANATEE COUNTY COAST A RISE OF UP TO 2 FEET IS POSSIBLE THIS AFTERNOON AND TONIGHT. ASTRONOMICAL TIDE LEVELS MUST BE ADDED TO THESE SURGE VALUES TO DETERMINE TOTAL STORM TIDE LEVELS. ...WINDS... MAXIMUM WINDS OF 40 TO 50 MPH WITH SOME HIGHER GUSTS ARE EXPECTED TO AFFECT MAINLY LEE AND CHARLOTTE COUNTIES THROUGH THIS MORNING. HOWEVER...THE STRONGEST WINDS WILL OCCUR IN THE STRONGER RAIN BANDS OUT AHEAD OF THE STORM. ...PROBABILITY OF HURRICANE/TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS... BASED ON THE CURRENT FORECAST TRACK THERE IS A 60 TO 80 PERCENT CHANCE OF TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS...WINDS OF 39 TO 73 MPH... BEING EXPERIENCED ACROSS LEE AND CHARLOTTE COUNTIES THROUGH THIS MORNING AND 30 TO 50 PERCENT ACROSS SARASOTA AND MANATEE COUNTIES THIS MORNING INTO THE AFTERNOON. THERE IS LESS THAN A 5 PERCENT CHANCE THAT HURRICANE CONDITIONS...WINDS OF 74 MPH OR HIGHER... WILL AFFECT THE AREA. ...INLAND FLOODING... RAINFALL AMOUNTS OF 3 TO 6 INCHES ARE EXPECTED ACROSS PORTIONS OF LEE AND CHARLOTTE COUNTIES THROUGH WEDNESDAY MORNING WITH LOCALLY HIGHER AMOUNTS POSSIBLE. FURTHER NORTH RAINFALL AMOUNTS ARE EXPECTED TO BE LOWER AND RANGE FROM ABOUT 1 TO 3 INCHES. A FLOOD WATCH IS CURRENTLY IN EFFECT FOR THE AREA. ...TORNADOES... THE PRIMARY AREA FOR TORNADO DEVELOPMENT IN TROPICAL SYSTEMS IS THE RIGHT FRONT QUADRANT OF THE STORM. AS FAY MOVES NORTHWARD ACROSS THE AREA THROUGH TUESDAY EVENING THE TORNADO THREAT FOR THE REGION WILL BE MODERATE TO HIGH AND A TORNADO WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR LEE AND CHARLOTTE COUNTIES. ...NEXT UPDATE... THE NEXT STATEMENT WILL BE ISSUED AROUND 530 AM EDT. $$ FLZ050-051-GMZ830-191000- /O.CON.KTBW.TR.W.1006.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/ PINELLAS-HILLSBOROUGH-TAMPA BAY WATERS- INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...CLEARWATER...ST. PETERSBURG...BRANDON... TAMPA 215 AM EDT TUE AUG 19 2008 ...TROPICAL STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT... ...NEW INFORMATION... RAINFALL TOTALS LOWERED. ...WATCHES/WARNINGS... A TROPICAL STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR PINELLAS AND HILLSBOROUGH COUNTIES...AS WELL AS TAMPA BAY AND THE GULF WATERS FROM NORTH OF ANNA MARIA ISLAND IN MANATEE COUNTY TO TARPON SPRINGS IN PINELLAS COUNTY. A FLOOD WATCH IS ALSO IN EFFECT THROUGH 8 PM TODAY. ...PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... PEOPLE LOCATED IN THE WARNED AREA SHOULD HAVE COMPLETED PREPARATIONS FOR THE ONSET OF DAMAGING WINDS. THE GUSTY WINDS IN OUTER RAIN BANDS MAY MAKE IT DIFFICULT TO TAKE PROTECTIVE ACTIONS TODAY. CONTINUE TO MONITOR NOAA WEATHER RADIO...OR OTHER LOCAL NEWS MEDIA...FOR THE LATEST INFORMATION ON THIS EVOLVING SITUATION WITH TROPICAL STORM FAY. FOR DETAILED PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS CHECK THE LATEST PUBLIC INFORMATION STATEMENT LINKED AT THE TOP OF THE NWS TAMPA BAY HOME PAGE ( HTTP://WWW.WEATHER.GOV/TAMPABAY ). ...STORM SURGE AND STORM TIDE... IT IS UNLIKELY THAT A SIGNIFICANT SURGE WILL OCCUR WITH THIS STORM AS IT APPEARS THAT IT WILL MAKE LANDFALL WELL SOUTH OF TAMPA BAY. ...WINDS... MAXIMUM WINDS OF 30 TO 40 MPH WITH SOME HIGHER GUSTS ARE EXPECTED TO AFFECT THE WARNED AREA TODAY INTO EARLY TONIGHT...BUT ONLY IN ORGANIZED RAIN BANDS AND NEAR THE CENTER OF THE STORM. ...PROBABILITY OF HURRICANE/TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS... BASED ON THE CURRENT FORECAST TRACK THERE IS A 20 TO 30 PERCENT CHANCE OF TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS...WINDS OF 39 TO 73 MPH... BEING EXPERIENCED ACROSS THE WARNING AREA TODAY INTO EARLY TONIGHT. THERE IS LESS THAN A 5 PERCENT CHANCE THAT HURRICANE CONDITIONS... WINDS OF 74 MPH OR HIGHER...WILL AFFECT THE AREA. ...INLAND FLOODING... RAINFALL TOTALS OF 1 TO 3 INCHES WITH LOCALLY HIGHER AMOUNTS ARE POSSIBLE THROUGH WEDNESDAY. A FLOOD WATCH IS CURRENTLY IN EFFECT FOR THE AREA. ...TORNADOES... THE PRIMARY AREA FOR TORNADO DEVELOPMENT IN TROPICAL SYSTEMS IS THE RIGHT FRONT QUADRANT OF THE STORM. AS FAY MOVES NORTHWARD ACROSS THE AREA TUESDAY AND TUESDAY EVENING...THE TORNADO THREAT FOR THE REGION WILL BE MODERATE. ...NEXT UPDATE... THE NEXT STATEMENT WILL BE ISSUED AROUND 530 AM EDT. $$ FLZ052-056-057-191000- /O.CON.KTBW.TI.W.0001.000000T0000Z-080820T0800Z/ POLK-HARDEE-HIGHLANDS- INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...LAKELAND...WINTER HAVEN...WAUCHULA... SEBRING...AVON PARK 215 AM EDT TUE AUG 19 2008 ...TROPICAL STORM WIND WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 4 AM EDT WEDNESDAY... ...NEW INFORMATION... NO NEW INFORMATION. ...WATCHES/WARNINGS... A TROPICAL STORM WIND WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR POLK...HARDEE AND HIGHLANDS COUNTIES. A TORNADO WATCH IS IN EFFECT UNTIL 8 AM THIS MORNING. A FLOOD WATCH IS ALSO IN EFFECT THROUGH 8 PM TODAY. ...PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... PEOPLE LOCATED IN THE WARNED AREA SHOULD HAVE COMPLETED PREPARATIONS FOR THE ONSET OF DAMAGING WINDS. THE GUSTY WINDS IN OUTER RAIN BANDS MAY MAKE IT DIFFICULT TO TAKE PROTECTIVE ACTIONS TODAY. CONTINUE TO MONITOR NOAA WEATHER RADIO...OR OTHER LOCAL NEWS MEDIA...FOR THE LATEST INFORMATION ON THIS EVOLVING SITUATION WITH TROPICAL STORM FAY. FOR DETAILED PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS CHECK THE LATEST PUBLIC INFORMATION STATEMENT LINKED AT THE TOP OF THE NWS TAMPA BAY HOME PAGE ( HTTP://WWW.WEATHER.GOV/TAMPABAY ). ...WINDS... MAXIMUM WINDS OF 40 TO 50 MPH WITH SOME HIGHER GUSTS ARE EXPECTED TO AFFECT THE WARNED AREA TODAY AND EARLY TONIGHT...MAINLY IN STRONGER RAIN BANDS AND NEAR THE CENTER OF THE STORM. ...PROBABILITY OF HURRICANE/TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS... BASED ON THE CURRENT FORECAST TRACK THERE IS A 30 TO 50 PERCENT CHANCE OF TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS...WINDS OF 39 TO 73 MPH... BEING EXPERIENCED ACROSS THE WARNING AREA THIS AFTERNOON INTO EARLY TONIGHT. THERE IS LESS THAN A 5 PERCENT CHANCE THAT HURRICANE CONDITIONS...WINDS OF 74 MPH OR HIGHER... WILL AFFECT THE AREA. ...INLAND FLOODING... RAINFALL AMOUNTS OF 3 TO 6 INCHES ARE EXPECTED ACROSS THE AREA THROUGH WEDNESDAY WITH LOCALLY HIGHER AMOUNTS POSSIBLE. A FLOOD WATCH IS CURRENTLY IN EFFECT FOR THE AREA. ...TORNADOES... THE PRIMARY AREA FOR TORNADO DEVELOPMENT IN TROPICAL SYSTEMS IS THE RIGHT FRONT QUADRANT OF THE STORM. AS FAY MOVES NORTHWARD ACROSS THE AREA THROUGH TUESDAY NIGHT...THE TORNADO THREAT FOR THE REGION WILL BE MODERATE. ...NEXT UPDATE... THE NEXT STATEMENT WILL BE ISSUED AROUND 530 AM EDT. $$ FLZ043-191000- /O.EXA.KTBW.HU.S.0001.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/ SUMTER- INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...BUSHNELL...THE VILLAGES 215 AM EDT TUE AUG 19 2008 ...NEW INFORMATION... NO NEW INFORMATION. ...WATCHES/WARNINGS... NONE. ...PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... RESIDENTS AND VISITORS ARE ENCOURAGED TO FREQUENTLY MONITOR NOAA WEATHER RADIO...OR OTHER LOCAL NEWS MEDIA...FOR THE LATEST INFORMATION ON THIS EVOLVING SITUATION WITH TROPICAL STORM FAY. FOR DETAILED PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS CHECK THE LATEST PUBLIC INFORMATION STATEMENT LINKED AT THE TOP OF THE NWS TAMPA BAY HOME PAGE ( HTTP://WWW.WEATHER.GOV/TAMPABAY ). ...WINDS... WIND GUSTS OF 20 TO 30 MPH WITH SOME HIGHER GUSTS ARE POSSIBLE IN SOME OF THE RAIN BANDS AS WEAKENING TROPICAL STORM FAY MOVES BY TO THE EAST TUESDAY NIGHT. ...PROBABILITY OF HURRICANE/TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS... BASED ON THE CURRENT FORECAST TRACK THERE IS LESS THAN A 20 PERCENT CHANCE OF TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS...WINDS OF 39 TO 73 MPH...BEING EXPERIENCED ACROSS THE WATCH AREA THIS AFTERNOON INTO EARLY WEDNESDAY MORNING. ...INLAND FLOODING... RAINFALL AMOUNTS OF 2 TO 4 INCHES ARE EXPECTED ACROSS THE AREA THROUGH WEDNESDAY WITH LOCALLY HIGHER AMOUNTS POSSIBLE. A FLOOD WATCH MAY BE REQUIRED FOR THIS AREA LATER TODAY. ...TORNADOES... THE PRIMARY AREA FOR TORNADO DEVELOPMENT IN TROPICAL SYSTEMS IS THE RIGHT FRONT QUADRANT OF THE STORM. SINCE FAY WILL BE MOVING BY TO THE EAST...THE TORNADO THREAT FOR THE REGION WILL BE LOW. ...NEXT UPDATE... THE NEXT STATEMENT WILL BE ISSUED AROUND 530 AM EDT. $$ FLZ039-042-048-049-GMZ850-870-191000- /O.CON.KTBW.HU.S.0001.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/ LEVY-CITRUS-HERNANDO-PASCO- TARPON SPRINGS TO SUWANNEE RIVER OUT 20 NM- TARPON SPRINGS TO SUWANNEE RIVER OUT 20 TO 60 NM- INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...CEDAR KEY...CHIEFLAND...CRYSTAL RIVER... INVERNESS...BROOKSVILLE...SPRING HILL...NEW PORT RICHEY... ZEPHYRHILLS 215 AM EDT TUE AUG 19 2008 ...NEW INFORMATION... NO NEW INFORMATION. ...WATCHES/WARNINGS... NONE. ...PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... RESIDENTS AND VISITORS ARE ENCOURAGED TO FREQUENTLY MONITOR NOAA WEATHER RADIO...OR OTHER LOCAL NEWS MEDIA...FOR THE LATEST INFORMATION ON THIS EVOLVING SITUATION WITH TROPICAL STORM FAY. FOR DETAILED PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS CHECK THE LATEST PUBLIC INFORMATION STATEMENT LINKED AT THE TOP OF THE NWS TAMPA BAY HOME PAGE ( HTTP://WWW.WEATHER.GOV/TAMPABAY ). ...STORM SURGE AND STORM TIDE... NO SIGNIFICANT STORM SURGE IS EXPECTED AT THIS TIME. ...WINDS... WIND GUSTS OF 20 TO 30 MPH WITH SOME HIGHER GUSTS ARE POSSIBLE IN SOME OF THE RAIN BANDS AS WEAKENING TROPICAL STORM FAY MOVES BY TO THE EAST TUESDAY NIGHT. ...PROBABILITY OF HURRICANE/TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS... BASED ON THE CURRENT FORECAST TRACK THERE IS LESS THAN A 20 PERCENT CHANCE OF TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS...WINDS OF 39 TO 73 MPH...BEING EXPERIENCED ACROSS THE WATCH AREA THIS AFTERNOON INTO EARLY WEDNESDAY MORNING. ...INLAND FLOODING... RAINFALL AMOUNTS OF 2 TO 4 INCHES ARE EXPECTED ACROSS THE AREA THROUGH WEDNESDAY WITH LOCALLY HIGHER AMOUNTS POSSIBLE. A FLOOD WATCH MAY BE REQUIRED FOR THIS AREA LATER TODAY. ...TORNADOES... THE PRIMARY AREA FOR TORNADO DEVELOPMENT IN TROPICAL SYSTEMS IS THE RIGHT FRONT QUADRANT OF THE STORM. SINCE FAY WILL BE MOVING BY TO THE EAST...THE TORNADO THREAT FOR THE REGION WILL BE LOW. ...NEXT UPDATE... THE NEXT STATEMENT WILL BE ISSUED AROUND 530 AM EDT. $$ PRC
000 WTUS82 KTBW 190940 HLSTBW URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED SUBTROPICAL STORM FAY LOCAL STATEMENT NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TAMPA BAY RUSKIN FL 540 AM EDT TUE AUG 19 2008 ...TROPICAL STORM FAY MAKING LANDFALL AT CAPE ROMANO... .AT 5 AM EDT...TROPICAL STORM FAY WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 25.9 DEGREES NORTH...81.7 DEGREES WEST OR ABOUT 55 MILES SOUTH OF FORT MYERS...AND ABOUT 160 MILES SOUTH SOUTHEAST OF TAMPA. FAY IS MOVING TOWARD THE NORTH NORTHEAST NEAR 9 MPH. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 60 MPH WITH HIGHER GUSTS. THE MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE REPORTED BY AN AIR FORCE RESERVE HURRICANE HUNTER AIRCRAFT WAS 989 MB...OR 29.21 INCHES. FLZ060>062-065-191745- /O.CAN.KTBW.HU.W.1006.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/ /O.NEW.KTBW.TR.W.1006.080819T0940Z-000000T0000Z/ SARASOTA-DE SOTO-CHARLOTTE-LEE- INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...SARASOTA...VENICE...ARCADIA... PORT CHARLOTTE...PUNTA GORDA...CAPE CORAL...FORT MYERS 540 AM EDT TUE AUG 19 2008 ...TROPICAL STORM WARNING IN EFFECT... ...HURRICANE WARNING IS CANCELLED... ...NEW INFORMATION... ALL HURRICANE WARNINGS HAVE BEEN CANCELED AND NOW A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT. ...WATCHES/WARNINGS... A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT FROM BONITA BEACH IN LEE COUNTY TO THE MIDDLE OF LONGBOAT KEY IN SARASOTA COUNTY. A TORNADO WATCH IS IN EFFECT UNTIL 8 AM THIS MORNING FOR LEE AND CHARLOTTE AND DE SOTO COUNTIES. A FLOOD WATCH IS ALSO IN EFFECT THROUGH 8 PM TODAY EXCEPT SARASOTA COUNTY. ...PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... PEOPLE LOCATED IN THE WARNED AREA SHOULD HAVE COMPLETED PREPARATIONS FOR THE ONSET OF DAMAGING WINDS. THE GUSTY WINDS IN OUTER RAIN BANDS MAY MAKE IT DIFFICULT TO TAKE PROTECTIVE ACTIONS THIS MORNING. CONTINUE TO MONITOR NOAA WEATHER RADIO...OR OTHER LOCAL NEWS MEDIA...FOR THE LATEST INFORMATION ON THIS EVOLVING SITUATION WITH TROPICAL STORM FAY. FOR DETAILED PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS CHECK THE LATEST PUBLIC INFORMATION STATEMENT LINKED AT THE TOP OF THE NWS TAMPA BAY HOME PAGE ( HTTP://WWW.WEATHER.GOV/TAMPABAY ). ...STORM SURGE AND STORM TIDE... ON THE CURRENT FORECAST TRACK THE WINDS WILL BE MAINLY OFFSHORE UNTIL THE STORM PASSES BY AND MOVES NORTH OF THE AREA THIS AFTERNOON AND TONIGHT. THEREFORE...THE MAXIMUM EXPECTED STORM SURGE IS ONLY EXPECTED TO BE 1 TO 3 FEET ALONG THE LEE AND CHARLOTTE COUNTY COASTS. FURTHER NORTH ALONG THE SARASOTA AND MANATEE COUNTY COAST A RISE OF UP TO 2 FEET IS POSSIBLE THIS AFTERNOON AND TONIGHT. ASTRONOMICAL TIDE LEVELS MUST BE ADDED TO THESE SURGE VALUES TO DETERMINE TOTAL STORM TIDE LEVELS. ...WINDS... MAXIMUM WINDS OF 40 TO 50 MPH WITH SOME HIGHER GUSTS ARE EXPECTED TO AFFECT MAINLY LEE AND CHARLOTTE COUNTIES THROUGH THIS MORNING. HOWEVER...THE STRONGEST WINDS WILL OCCUR IN THE STRONGER RAIN BANDS OUT AHEAD OF THE STORM. ...PROBABILITY OF HURRICANE/TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS... BASED ON THE CURRENT FORECAST TRACK THERE IS A 60 TO 80 PERCENT CHANCE OF TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS...WINDS OF 39 TO 73 MPH... BEING EXPERIENCED ACROSS LEE AND CHARLOTTE COUNTIES THROUGH THIS MORNING AND 30 TO 50 PERCENT ACROSS SARASOTA COUNTY THIS MORNING INTO THE AFTERNOON. ...INLAND FLOODING... RAINFALL AMOUNTS OF 3 TO 6 INCHES ARE EXPECTED ACROSS PORTIONS OF LEE AND CHARLOTTE COUNTIES THROUGH WEDNESDAY MORNING WITH LOCALLY HIGHER AMOUNTS POSSIBLE. FURTHER NORTH RAINFALL AMOUNTS ARE EXPECTED TO BE LOWER AND RANGE FROM ABOUT 1 TO 3 INCHES. A FLOOD WATCH IS CURRENTLY IN EFFECT FOR THE AREA. ...TORNADOES... THE PRIMARY AREA FOR TORNADO DEVELOPMENT IN TROPICAL SYSTEMS IS THE RIGHT FRONT QUADRANT OF THE STORM. AS FAY MOVES NORTHWARD ACROSS THE AREA THROUGH TUESDAY EVENING THE TORNADO THREAT FOR THE REGION WILL BE MODERATE TO HIGH AND A TORNADO WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR DE SOTO...LEE AND CHARLOTTE COUNTIES. ...NEXT UPDATE... THE NEXT STATEMENT WILL BE ISSUED AROUND 930 AM EDT. $$ FLZ055-GMZ853-856-873-876-191045- /O.CAN.KTBW.HU.W.1006.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/ MANATEE-ENGLEWOOD TO TARPON SPRINGS OUT 20 NM- BONITA BEACH TO ENGLEWOOD OUT 20 NM- ENGLEWOOD TO TARPON SPRINGS OUT 20 TO 60 NM- BONITA BEACH TO ENGLEWOOD OUT 20 TO 60 NM- INCLUDING THE CITY OF...BRADENTON 540 AM EDT TUE AUG 19 2008 ...HURRICANE WARNING IS CANCELLED... ...NEW INFORMATION... ALL HURRICANE WARNINGS HAVE BEEN CANCELED AND NOW A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT FROM BONITA BEACH TO THE MIDDLE OF LONGBOAT KEY. ...WATCHES/WARNINGS... A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT FROM BONITA BEACH IN LEE COUNTY TO THE MIDDLE OF LONGBOAT KEY IN SARASOTA COUNTY. ...PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... PEOPLE LOCATED IN THE WARNED AREA SHOULD HAVE COMPLETED PREPARATIONS FOR THE ONSET OF DAMAGING WINDS. THE GUSTY WINDS IN OUTER RAIN BANDS MAY MAKE IT DIFFICULT TO TAKE PROTECTIVE ACTIONS THIS MORNING. CONTINUE TO MONITOR NOAA WEATHER RADIO...OR OTHER LOCAL NEWS MEDIA...FOR THE LATEST INFORMATION ON THIS EVOLVING SITUATION WITH TROPICAL STORM FAY. FOR DETAILED PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS CHECK THE LATEST PUBLIC INFORMATION STATEMENT LINKED AT THE TOP OF THE NWS TAMPA BAY HOME PAGE ( HTTP://WWW.WEATHER.GOV/TAMPABAY ). ...STORM SURGE AND STORM TIDE... ON THE CURRENT FORECAST TRACK THE WINDS WILL BE MAINLY OFFSHORE UNTIL THE STORM PASSES BY AND MOVES NORTH OF THE AREA THIS AFTERNOON AND TONIGHT. THEREFORE...THE MAXIMUM EXPECTED STORM SURGE IS ONLY EXPECTED TO BE 1 TO 3 FEET ALONG THE LEE AND CHARLOTTE COUNTY COASTS. FURTHER NORTH ALONG THE SARASOTA AND MANATEE COUNTY COAST A RISE OF UP TO 2 FEET IS POSSIBLE THIS AFTERNOON AND TONIGHT. ASTRONOMICAL TIDE LEVELS MUST BE ADDED TO THESE SURGE VALUES TO DETERMINE TOTAL STORM TIDE LEVELS. ...WINDS... MAXIMUM WINDS OF 40 TO 50 MPH WITH SOME HIGHER GUSTS ARE EXPECTED TO AFFECT MAINLY LEE AND CHARLOTTE COUNTIES THROUGH THIS MORNING. HOWEVER...THE STRONGEST WINDS WILL OCCUR IN THE STRONGER RAIN BANDS OUT AHEAD OF THE STORM. ...PROBABILITY OF HURRICANE/TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS... BASED ON THE CURRENT FORECAST TRACK THERE IS A 60 TO 80 PERCENT CHANCE OF TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS...WINDS OF 39 TO 73 MPH... BEING EXPERIENCED ACROSS LEE AND CHARLOTTE COUNTIES THROUGH THIS MORNING. ...INLAND FLOODING... RAINFALL AMOUNTS OF 3 TO 6 INCHES ARE EXPECTED ACROSS PORTIONS OF LEE AND CHARLOTTE COUNTIES THROUGH WEDNESDAY MORNING WITH LOCALLY HIGHER AMOUNTS POSSIBLE. FURTHER NORTH RAINFALL AMOUNTS ARE EXPECTED TO BE LOWER AND RANGE FROM ABOUT 1 TO 3 INCHES. A FLOOD WATCH IS CURRENTLY IN EFFECT FOR THE AREA. ...TORNADOES... THE PRIMARY AREA FOR TORNADO DEVELOPMENT IN TROPICAL SYSTEMS IS THE RIGHT FRONT QUADRANT OF THE STORM. AS FAY MOVES NORTHWARD ACROSS THE AREA THROUGH TUESDAY EVENING THE TORNADO THREAT FOR THE REGION WILL BE MODERATE TO HIGH AND A TORNADO WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR LEE AND CHARLOTTE COUNTIES. ...NEXT UPDATE... THE NEXT STATEMENT WILL BE ISSUED AROUND 930 AM EDT. $$ FLZ050-051-GMZ830-191045- /O.CAN.KTBW.TR.W.1006.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/ PINELLAS-HILLSBOROUGH-TAMPA BAY WATERS- INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...CLEARWATER...ST. PETERSBURG...BRANDON... TAMPA 540 AM EDT TUE AUG 19 2008 ...TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS CANCELLED... ...NEW INFORMATION... ALL WATCHES AND WARNINGS HAVE BEEN CANCELED FOR THESE ZONES. ...WATCHES/WARNINGS... ALL WATCHES AND WARNINGS HAVE BEEN CANCELLED FOR THESE ZONES. ...INLAND FLOODING... RAINFALL TOTALS OF 1 TO 2 INCHES WITH LOCALLY HIGHER AMOUNTS ARE POSSIBLE THROUGH WEDNESDAY. ...NEXT UPDATE... THE NEXT STATEMENT WILL BE ISSUED AROUND 930 AM EDT. $$ FLZ039-042-043-048-049-GMZ850-870-191045- /O.CAN.KTBW.HU.S.0001.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/ LEVY-CITRUS-SUMTER-HERNANDO-PASCO- TARPON SPRINGS TO SUWANNEE RIVER OUT 20 NM- TARPON SPRINGS TO SUWANNEE RIVER OUT 20 TO 60 NM- INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...CEDAR KEY...CHIEFLAND...CRYSTAL RIVER... INVERNESS...BUSHNELL...THE VILLAGES...BROOKSVILLE...SPRING HILL... NEW PORT RICHEY...ZEPHYRHILLS 540 AM EDT TUE AUG 19 2008 ...NEW INFORMATION... NO NEW INFORMATION. ...WATCHES/WARNINGS... NONE. ...NEXT UPDATE... THE NEXT STATEMENT WILL BE ISSUED AROUND 930 AM EDT. $$ FLZ052-056-057-191745- /O.CON.KTBW.TI.W.0001.000000T0000Z-080820T0800Z/ POLK-HARDEE-HIGHLANDS- INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...LAKELAND...WINTER HAVEN...WAUCHULA... SEBRING...AVON PARK 540 AM EDT TUE AUG 19 2008 ...TROPICAL STORM WIND WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 4 AM EDT WEDNESDAY... ...NEW INFORMATION... NO NEW INFORMATION. ...WATCHES/WARNINGS... A TROPICAL STORM WIND WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR POLK...HARDEE AND HIGHLANDS COUNTIES. A TORNADO WATCH IS IN EFFECT UNTIL 8 AM THIS MORNING. A FLOOD WATCH IS ALSO IN EFFECT THROUGH 8 PM TODAY. ...PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... PEOPLE LOCATED IN THE WARNED AREA SHOULD HAVE COMPLETED PREPARATIONS FOR THE ONSET OF DAMAGING WINDS. THE GUSTY WINDS IN OUTER RAIN BANDS MAY MAKE IT DIFFICULT TO TAKE PROTECTIVE ACTIONS TODAY. CONTINUE TO MONITOR NOAA WEATHER RADIO...OR OTHER LOCAL NEWS MEDIA...FOR THE LATEST INFORMATION ON THIS EVOLVING SITUATION WITH TROPICAL STORM FAY. FOR DETAILED PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS CHECK THE LATEST PUBLIC INFORMATION STATEMENT LINKED AT THE TOP OF THE NWS TAMPA BAY HOME PAGE ( HTTP://WWW.WEATHER.GOV/TAMPABAY ). ...WINDS... MAXIMUM WINDS OF 40 TO 50 MPH WITH SOME HIGHER GUSTS ARE EXPECTED TO AFFECT THE WARNED AREA TODAY AND EARLY TONIGHT...MAINLY IN STRONGER RAIN BANDS AND NEAR THE CENTER OF THE STORM. ...PROBABILITY OF HURRICANE/TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS... BASED ON THE CURRENT FORECAST TRACK THERE IS A 30 TO 50 PERCENT CHANCE OF TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS...WINDS OF 39 TO 73 MPH... BEING EXPERIENCED ACROSS THE WARNING AREA THIS AFTERNOON INTO EARLY TONIGHT. ...INLAND FLOODING... RAINFALL AMOUNTS OF 3 TO 6 INCHES ARE EXPECTED ACROSS THE AREA THROUGH WEDNESDAY WITH LOCALLY HIGHER AMOUNTS POSSIBLE. A FLOOD WATCH IS CURRENTLY IN EFFECT FOR THE AREA. ...TORNADOES... THE PRIMARY AREA FOR TORNADO DEVELOPMENT IN TROPICAL SYSTEMS IS THE RIGHT FRONT QUADRANT OF THE STORM. AS FAY MOVES NORTHWARD ACROSS THE AREA THROUGH TUESDAY NIGHT...THE TORNADO THREAT FOR THE REGION WILL BE MODERATE. A TORNADO WATCH IS IN EFFECT UNTIL 800 AM. ...NEXT UPDATE... THE NEXT STATEMENT WILL BE ISSUED AROUND 930 AM EDT. $$
What forecasters said that day
The local office's own words before this hurricane local statement went out, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.
NWS Tampa Bay, FL wrote its last area forecast discussion before this hurricane local statement went out at Aug 17, 8:08 PM EDT, 3 hours 52 minutes earlier.
Area forecast discussion, Aug 17, 8:08 PM EDT, 3 hours 52 minutes before
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TAMPA BAY RUSKIN FL
808 PM EDT SUN AUG 17 2008
...THUNDERSTORM ACTIVITY DEVELOPING OVER THE SOUTHERN AND INTERIOR
COUNTIES...
.DISCUSSION...THE DRY AIRMASS THAT KEPT THE AREA BASICALLY RAIN FREE
TODAY IS NOW BEING MODIFIED BY INCOMING LOW LEVEL MOISTURE FROM THE
SOUTH AND THE BOUNDARY TO THE NORTH WHICH IS GRADUALLY PUSHING INTO
CENTRAL FLORIDA. STRONGEST CELLS SO FAR ARE DEVELOPING OVER LEE
COUNTY WITH A STRONG THUNDERSTORM PRODUCING A COUPLE OF FUNNEL
CLOUDS AROUND NORTH FORT MYERS AND GUSTY WINDS THAT BROUGHT SOME
MINOR DAMAGE TO TREES IN CAPE CORAL. THERE ARE ALSO SEVERAL OUTFLOW
BOUNDARIES MOVING AROUND THE AREA WHICH WILL ALSO HELP IN SPARKING
CONVECTION THROUGH THE REST OF THE EVENING. THEREFORE...WILL KEEP
CURRENT SCATTERED SHOWERS AND IN THE FORECAST UNTIL MIDNIGHT BUT
INCREASING A LITTLE POPS FOR THE SOUTHERN AND CENTRAL COUNTIES TO 40
PERCENT.
THE REST OF THE FORECASTS PERIOD REMAINS HIGHLY UNCERTAIN...WHICH
WILL BE BETTER ASSESSED AS THE FINAL OUTCOME OF TROPICAL STORM FAY
BECOMES CLEARER.
.PREVIOUS DISCUSSION...
...SIGNIFICANT IMPACTS FROM FAY LIKELY TUESDAY AND WEDNESDAY...
.SHORT TERM (TONIGHT - TUESDAY)...TROPICAL STORM FAY SOUTH OF CUBA
THIS AFTERNOON IS FORECAST TO MOVE ACROSS CUBA ON MONDAY...THEN
INTO THE EASTERN GULF MONDAY NIGHT AND TUESDAY MORNING. SINCE THE
STORM STILL HAS TO CROSS CUBA...CONFIDENCE IN THE INTENSITY
FORECAST IS LOWER THAN NORMAL /SEE NHC DISCUSSIONS/. AS OF NOW...
WE ARE EXPECTING A LANDFALL SOMEWHERE SOUTH OF TAMPA BAY...BUT
MODEL GUIDANCE SPREAD IS STILL CONSIDERABLE...SO IT IS VERY
IMPORTANT NOT TO FOCUS ON THE ACTUAL FORECAST TRACK BUT RATHER THE
CONE OF UNCERTAINTY THAT SURROUNDS IT.
THE FORECAST HAS BEEN KEPT RATHER GENERAL...SINCE ITS DIFFICULT
TO FINE TUNE RAIN START AND END TIMES WITH A TROPICAL CYCLONE WHEN
ITS FUTURE TRACK AND INTENSITY ARE STILL LESS THAN CERTAIN. THE
MOST IMPORTANT POINT TO MAKE IS THAT OUR AREA WILL LIKELY BE
IMPACTED BY A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE...WITH HAZARDS RANGING
FROM HEAVY RAINS AND INLAND FLOODING TO DAMAGING WINDS AND
POTENTIAL STORM SURGES.
&&
.AVIATION...SCATTERED SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS POSSIBLE ACROSS OUR
SOUTHERN TERMINALS THROUGH 4Z...THEN PRIMARILY VFR CONDITIONS
OVERNIGHT. ADDITIONAL SCATTERED SHOWERS AND TSTMS POSSIBLE ON MONDAY
WITH IFR/MVFR CONDITIONS POSSIBLE. VFR CONDITIONS OUTSIDE OF TSTM
ACTIVITY.
&&
.MARINE...TROPICAL STORM FAY EXPECTED TO HAVE A SIGNIFICANT IMPACT
ON OUR WATERS THIS WEEK. THE CURRENT TRACK TAKES IT JUST TO THE WEST
OF THE CWA COASTLINE AND BRINGING THE CENTER OF THE CYCLONE INLAND
NEAR THE CITRUS/LEVY COUNTY COASTLINE...BRINGING VERY HAZARDOUS
WINDS AND SEAS TO ALL THE MARINE ZONES. AS MENTIONED IN THE
DISCUSSION ABOVE...THE TRACK AND THE INTENSITY ARE NOT YET
CERTAIN...SO ALL MARINERS SHOULD REMAIN VERY WELL INFORMED WITH THE
LATEST UPDATES AND BULLETINS FROM THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER IN
MIAMI AND YOUR NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN RUSKIN FLORIDA.
&&
.FIRE WEATHER...NO CONCERNS.
&&
.TBW WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
FL...HURRICANE WATCH FOR CHARLOTTE-DE SOTO-HILLSBOROUGH-
LEE-MANATEE-PINELLAS-SARASOTA.
HURRICANE WIND WATCH THROUGH TUESDAY EVENING FOR HARDEE-
HIGHLANDS-POLK.
GULF WATERS...HURRICANE WATCH FOR BONITA TO TARPON SPRINGS OUT TO 60
NM-TAMPA BAY WATERS.
&&
DISCUSSION...REYNES
AVIATION...PETROHazardous weather outlook, Aug 17, 5:30 AM EDT, 18 hours 30 minutes before
HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TAMPA BAY RUSKIN FL 530 AM EDT SUN AUG 17 2008 FLZ039-042-043-048>052-055>057-060>062-065-171600- LEVY-CITRUS-SUMTER-HERNANDO-PASCO-PINELLAS-HILLSBOROUGH-POLK- MANATEE-HARDEE-HIGHLANDS-SARASOTA-DE SOTO-CHARLOTTE-LEE- 530 AM EDT SUN AUG 17 2008 THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR WEST CENTRAL AND SOUTHWEST FLORIDA. .DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT. ...THUNDERSTORM IMPACT... A SERIES OF UPPER LEVEL DISTURBANCES WILL MOVE OVER THE NORTHERN HALF OF THE AREA TODAY AND WITH THE MOIST AND UNSTABLE ENVIRONMENT IN PLACE WILL ALLOW FOR SCATTERED TO NUMEROUS THUNDERSTORMS WITH THE BEST CHANCES ACROSS THE NATURE COAST. THE PRIMARY THREATS FROM THE STRONGER STORMS WILL BE GUSTY WINDS UP TO 40 MPH...FREQUENT CLOUD TO GROUND LIGHTNING AND LOCALLY HEAVY RAINFALL. REMEMBER...IF YOU CAN HEAR THUNDER THEN YOU ARE CLOSE ENOUGH TO BE STRUCK BY LIGHTNING. .DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...MONDAY THROUGH SATURDAY. ...THUNDERSTORM IMPACT... SCATTERED THUNDERSTORMS WILL AGAIN BE POSSIBLE ACROSS THE AREA MONDAY AFTERNOON. PRIMARY HAZARDS WILL CONTINUE TO BE FREQUENT CLOUD TO GROUND LIGHTNING...LOCALLY HEAVY RAINFALL AND GUSTY WINDS. ...TROPICAL IMPACT... TROPICAL STORM FAY IS FORECAST TO MOVE ACROSS CUBA AND INTO THE EASTERN GULF WATERS THROUGH MONDAY. FAY IS THEN EXPECTED TO LIFT NORTH AND IMPACT THE AREA MONDAY NIGHT THROUGH WEDNESDAY. ALL INTERESTS ARE ENCOURAGED TO KEEP A CLOSE WATCH ON THIS SYSTEM AS TROPICAL STORM OR HURRICANE CONDITIONS ARE POSSIBLE IN WEST CENTRAL AND SOUTHWEST FLORIDA. FOR ADDITIONAL INFORMATION ON FAY SEE THE LATEST ADVISORIES BEING ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER. .SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT... SPOTTERS SHOULD MONITOR THE WEATHER AND SELF ACTIVATE IF NEEDED. COLSON
In the hours before
Special weather statement, Aug 17, 6:27 PM EDT, 5 hours 33 minutes before
SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TAMPA BAY AREA - RUSKIN FL 627 PM EDT SUN AUG 17 2008 FLZ065-172315- LEE- 627 PM EDT SUN AUG 17 2008 ...STRONG THUNDERSTORMS WILL AFFECT WESTERN LEE COUNTY... A THUNDERSTORM...MOVING NORTHWEST AT 9 MPH...WILL AFFECT THE MENTIONED AREA INCLUDING CAPE CORAL...NORTH FORT MYERS AND PINE ISLAND...UNTIL 715 PM EDT. GUSTY WINDS UP TO 40 MPH WILL OCCUR. FREQUENT CLOUD TO GROUND LIGHTNING IS EXPECTED. IF THE STORM APPROACHES YOUR LOCATION GO INDOORS IMMEDIATELY. IF CAUGHT OUTSIDE...CROUCH DOWN IN A LOW SPOT...AWAY FROM TALL OBJECTS. TORRENTIAL RAINS WILL REDUCE VISIBILITY TO NEAR ZERO AT TIMES. MOTORISTS SHOULD EXERCISE CAUTION WHILE DRIVING THROUGH HEAVY RAIN. REYNES
Special weather statement, Aug 17, 7:11 PM EDT, 4 hours 49 minutes before
SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TAMPA BAY AREA - RUSKIN FL 711 PM EDT SUN AUG 17 2008 FLZ062-065-180000- CHARLOTTE-LEE- 711 PM EDT SUN AUG 17 2008 ...STRONG THUNDERSTORMS WILL AFFECT NORTHWESTERN LEE COUNTY AND SOUTHWESTERN CHARLOTTE COUNTY... NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR INDICATES A THUNDERSTORM...MOVING NORTHWEST AT 5 MPH...WILL AFFECT THE MENTIONED AREA INCLUDING NORTH FORT MYERS AND PINE ISLAND...UNTIL 800 PM EDT. GUSTY WINDS UP TO 50 MPH WILL BRING SOME MINOR DAMAGE TO TREES AND WEAK STRUCTURES. THIS STORM HAS A HISTORY OF PRODUCING FUNNEL CLOUDS. FREQUENT CLOUD TO GROUND LIGHTNING OCCURRING. TO BE SAFE GO INDOORS AND WAIT UNTIL THE STORM MOVES AWAY. IMMEDIATELY IF CAUGHT OUTSIDE...CROUCH DOWN IN A LOW SPOT...AWAY FROM TALL OBJECTS. TORRENTIAL RAINS WILL REDUCE VISIBILITY TO NEAR ZERO AT TIMES. MOTORISTS MAY WANT TO DELAY TRAVEL. REYNES
Special weather statement, Aug 17, 8:12 PM EDT, 3 hours 48 minutes before
SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TAMPA BAY AREA - RUSKIN FL 812 PM EDT SUN AUG 17 2008 FLZ055>057-060>062-180115- DE SOTO-HARDEE-HIGHLANDS-MANATEE-CHARLOTTE-SARASOTA- 812 PM EDT SUN AUG 17 2008 ...STRONG THUNDERSTORMS WILL AFFECT MOST OF THE INTERIOR COUNTIES AND INCLUDING SARASOTA AND CHARLOTTE... NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR INDICATES A DEVELOPING LINE OF THUNDERSTORMS...SLOWLY DRIFTING TO THE NORTHWEST...WILL AFFECT THE MENTIONED AREAS INCLUDING SEBRING...WAUCHULA...PORT CHARLOTTE... ARCADIA...NORTH PORT AND LILY...UNTIL 915 PM EDT. GUSTY WINDS UP TO 40 MPH WILL OCCUR. THESE STORMS ARE CAPABLE OF PRODUCING FUNNEL CLOUDS. FREQUENT CLOUD TO GROUND LIGHTNING IS EXPECTED. IF ANY OF THESE STORMS APPROACHES YOUR LOCATION GO INDOORS IMMEDIATELY. IF CAUGHT OUTSIDE...CROUCH DOWN IN A LOW SPOT...AWAY FROM TALL OBJECTS. TORRENTIAL RAINS WILL REDUCE VISIBILITY TO NEAR ZERO AT TIMES. MOTORISTS SHOULD EXERCISE CAUTION WHILE DRIVING THROUGH HEAVY RAIN. REYNES
Local storm report, Aug 17, 8:26 PM EDT, 3 hours 34 minutes before
PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TAMPA BAY AREA - RUSKIN FL
826 PM EDT SUN AUG 17 2008
..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..
0645 PM FLOOD CAPE CORAL 26.58N 81.99W
08/17/2008 LEE FL FIRE DEPT/RESCUE
FIRE RESCUE REPORTED MODERATE STREET FLOODING IN CAPE
CORAL.
0650 PM FUNNEL CLOUD 1 NW NORTH FORT MYERS 26.72N 81.90W
08/17/2008 LEE FL PUBLIC
FUNNEL CLOUD REPORTED JUST NORTHWEST OF SUNCOAST ESTATES.
&&
REYNESThe office that day
Everything else NWS Tampa Bay, FL issued on the same UTC day.
| Issued | Product | Office | Counties | Lasted |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 18, 12:01 PM EDT | Inland Hurricane Warning | TBW | Hardee, Highlands | 13 hr |
| Aug 18, 12:01 PM EDT | Hurricane Warning | TBW | DeSoto | 18 hr |
| Aug 18, 2:27 PM EDT | Flood Watch | TBW | DeSoto, Hardee, Highlands, Pinellas, Polk | 38 hr |
| Aug 18, 5:43 PM EDT | Inland Tropical Storm Watch | TBW | Sumter | 8 hr |
| Aug 18, 5:43 PM EDT | Inland Tropical Storm Warning | TBW | Hardee, Highlands, Polk | 30 hr |
| Aug 18, 5:43 PM EDT | Tropical Storm Warning | TBW | DeSoto, Pinellas | 4 days |
Nearby
Hurricane Local Statements in Florida, 2008Every hurricane local statement in 2008
Sources
The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; the sounding from the Mesonet's radiosonde archive; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive.