Red Flag Warning 91, NWS Tallahassee, FL

000 
WWUS82 KTAE 032321
RFWTAE

RED FLAG WARNING
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TALLAHASSEE FL
721 PM EDT FRI OCT 3 2008

...A RED FLAG WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR SATURDAY AFTERNOON
FOR THE FLORIDA BIG BEND AND INTERIOR PORTIONS OF THE EASTERN 
PANHANDLE DUE TO LONG DURATIONS OF RELATIVE HUMIDITY BELOW 35
PERCENT...

.DISCUSSION...DRY AIR WILL REMAIN IN PLACE INTO THE WEEKEND...
PRODUCING RED FLAG CONDITIONS ACROSS MUCH OF NORTHWEST FLORIDA
AGAIN ON SATURDAY. WINDS WILL NOT BE HIGH ENOUGH TO MEET RED FLAG
CRITERIA IN ALABAMA OR GEORGIA OVER THE WEEKEND. A GRADUAL
MOISTENING TREND WILL BEGIN BY SUNDAY. HOWEVER...RAINFALL IS NOT
EXPECTED THROUGH THE MIDDLE OF NEXT WEEK.


FLZ007-009>011-013-016>019-026>029-034-041130-
/O.EXP.KTAE.FW.W.0090.000000T0000Z-081003T2300Z/
/O.CON.KTAE.FW.W.0091.081004T1800Z-081004T2200Z/
INLAND WALTON-HOLMES-WASHINGTON-JACKSON-CALHOUN-GADSDEN-LEON-
JEFFERSON-MADISON-LIBERTY-WAKULLA-TAYLOR-LAFAYETTE-DIXIE-
721 PM EDT FRI OCT 3 2008 /621 PM CDT FRI OCT 3 2008/

...A RED FLAG WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 2 PM EDT /1 PM CDT/
TO 6 PM EDT /5 PM CDT/ SATURDAY...

A RED FLAG WARNING MEANS THAT CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS
ARE EITHER OCCURRING NOW...OR WILL SHORTLY.  A COMBINATION OF 
LOW RELATIVE HUMIDITY AND WARM TEMPERATURES WILL CREATE EXPLOSIVE
FIRE GROWTH POTENTIAL.

$$

ALZ065>069-FLZ012-014-015-040030-
/O.EXP.KTAE.FW.W.0090.000000T0000Z-081003T2300Z/
COFFEE-DALE-HENRY-GENEVA-HOUSTON-BAY-GULF-FRANKLIN-
721 PM EDT FRI OCT 3 2008 /621 PM CDT FRI OCT 3 2008/

...THE RED FLAG WARNING HAS EXPIRED FOR THIS EVENING...

THE RED FLAG WARNING IS NO LONGER IN EFFECT FOR THIS EVENING...AND
ALTHOUGH AFTERNOON RELATIVE HUMIDITIES MAY DROP BELOW 30 PERCENT
ON SATURDAY AFTERNOON...SUSTAINED 20 FOOT WIND SPEEDS SHOULD REMAIN
BELOW 10 MPH.

$$

WOOL/GOULD

000 
WWUS82 KTAE 040805
RFWTAE

RED FLAG WARNING
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TALLAHASSEE FL
405 AM EDT SAT OCT 4 2008

...RED FLAG WARNING IN EFFECT FROM 2 PM EDT /1 PM CDT/ TO 6 PM
EDT /5 PM CDT/ THIS AFTERNOON DUE TO LONG DURATIONS OF
RELATIVE HUMIDITY BELOW 35 PERCENT...

.DISCUSSION...DRY AIR WILL REMAIN IN PLACE TODAY...PRODUCING
RED FLAG CONDITIONS ACROSS MUCH OF NORTHWEST FLORIDA. WINDS
WILL NOT BE HIGH ENOUGH TO MEET RED FLAG CRITERIA IN ALABAMA
OR GEORGIA OVER THE WEEKEND. A GRADUAL MOISTENING TREND WILL
BEGIN BY SUNDAY. HOWEVER...RAINFALL IS NOT EXPECTED UNTIL AT
LEAST THE MIDDLE OF NEXT WEEK.

FLZ007-009>011-013-016>019-026>029-034-042200-
/O.CON.KTAE.FW.W.0091.081004T1800Z-081004T2200Z/
INLAND WALTON-HOLMES-WASHINGTON-JACKSON-CALHOUN-GADSDEN-LEON-
JEFFERSON-MADISON-LIBERTY-WAKULLA-TAYLOR-LAFAYETTE-DIXIE-
405 AM EDT SAT OCT 4 2008 /305 AM CDT SAT OCT 4 2008/

...RED FLAG WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 2 PM EDT /1 PM CDT/ TO
6 PM EDT /5 PM CDT/ THIS AFTERNOON...

A RED FLAG WARNING MEANS THAT CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS
ARE EITHER OCCURRING NOW...OR WILL SHORTLY.  A COMBINATION OF 
LOW RELATIVE HUMIDITY AND WARM TEMPERATURES WILL CREATE DANGEROUS
FIRE GROWTH POTENTIAL.

$$

CAMP

000 
WWUS82 KTAE 041900
RFWTAE

RED FLAG WARNING
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TALLAHASSEE FL
300 PM EDT SAT OCT 4 2008

...A RED FLAG WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT OVER PORTIONS OF NORTHWEST
FLORIDA UNTIL 6 PM EDT /5 PM CDT/ THIS AFTERNOON DUE TO LONG
DURATIONS OF RELATIVE HUMIDITY BELOW 35 PERCENT...

...A FIRE WEATHER WATCH IS NOW IN EFFECT SUNDAY AFTERNOON OVER THE
EASTERN FLORIDA PANHANDLE DUE TO THE COMBINATION OF HIGH
DISPERSIONS AROUND 100 AND RELATIVE HUMIDITIES POSSIBLY DROPPING
BELOW 35 PERCENT...

.DISCUSSION...A FIRE WEATHER WATCH HAS BEEN ISSUED ACROSS THE 
EASTERN FLORIDA PANHANDLE FOR SUNDAY AFTERNOON DUE TO THE 
COMBINATION OF HIGH DISPERSIONS AROUND 100 AND RELATIVE HUMIDITIES 
POSSIBLY DROPPING BELOW 35 PERCENT. A GRADUAL MOISTENING TREND WILL 
CONTINUE INTO THE FIRST HALF OF THE UPCOMING WORK WEEK. HOWEVER... 
RAINFALL IS NOT EXPECTED UNTIL AT LEAST THE MIDDLE OF NEXT WEEK.

FLZ007-009>011-013-042200-
/O.NEW.KTAE.FW.A.0078.081005T1700Z-081005T2200Z/
/O.CON.KTAE.FW.W.0091.000000T0000Z-081004T2200Z/
INLAND WALTON-HOLMES-WASHINGTON-JACKSON-CALHOUN-
200 PM CDT SAT OCT 4 2008

...RED FLAG WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 5 PM CDT THIS
AFTERNOON...
...FIRE WEATHER WATCH IN EFFECT SUNDAY AFTERNOON...

A RED FLAG WARNING MEANS THAT CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS
ARE EITHER OCCURRING NOW...OR WILL SHORTLY.  A COMBINATION OF 
LOW RELATIVE HUMIDITY AND WARM TEMPERATURES WILL ENHANCE FIRE
GROWTH POTENTIAL.

A FIRE WEATHER WATCH MEANS THAT CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS
ARE FORECAST TO OCCUR. LISTEN FOR LATER FORECASTS AND POSSIBLE
RED FLAG WARNINGS.

$$

FLZ016>019-026>029-034-042200-
/O.CON.KTAE.FW.W.0091.000000T0000Z-081004T2200Z/
GADSDEN-LEON-JEFFERSON-MADISON-LIBERTY-WAKULLA-TAYLOR-LAFAYETTE-
DIXIE-
300 PM EDT SAT OCT 4 2008

...RED FLAG WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 PM EDT THIS
AFTERNOON...

A RED FLAG WARNING MEANS THAT CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS
ARE EITHER OCCURRING NOW...OR WILL SHORTLY.  A COMBINATION OF 
LOW RELATIVE HUMIDITY AND WARM TEMPERATURES WILL ENHANCE FIRE
GROWTH POTENTIAL.


$$

FLZ012-014-042200-
/O.NEW.KTAE.FW.A.0078.081005T1700Z-081005T2200Z/
BAY-GULF-
200 PM CDT SAT OCT 4 2008

...FIRE WEATHER WATCH IN EFFECT SUNDAY AFTERNOON...

A FIRE WEATHER WATCH MEANS THAT CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS
ARE FORECAST TO OCCUR. LISTEN FOR LATER FORECASTS AND POSSIBLE RED
FLAG WARNINGS.

$$

000 
WWUS82 KTAE 042209
RFWTAE

RED FLAG WARNING
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TALLAHASSEE FL
609 PM EDT SAT OCT 4 2008

...A FIRE WEATHER WATCH IS IN EFFECT SUNDAY AFTERNOON OVER THE
EASTERN FLORIDA PANHANDLE DUE TO THE COMBINATION OF HIGH
DISPERSIONS AROUND 100 AND RELATIVE HUMIDITIES POSSIBLY DROPPING
BELOW 35 PERCENT...

.DISCUSSION...A FIRE WEATHER WATCH HAS BEEN ISSUED ACROSS THE
EASTERN FLORIDA PANHANDLE FOR SUNDAY AFTERNOON DUE TO THE COMBINATION
OF HIGH DISPERSIONS AROUND 100 AND RELATIVE HUMIDITIES POSSIBLY
DROPPING BELOW 35 PERCENT. A GRADUAL MOISTENING TREND WILL
CONTINUE INTO THE FIRST HALF OF THE UPCOMING WORK WEEK. HOWEVER...
RAINFALL IS NOT EXPECTED UNTIL AT LEAST THE MIDDLE OF NEXT WEEK.

FLZ007-009>011-013-050730-
/O.EXP.KTAE.FW.W.0091.000000T0000Z-081004T2200Z/
/O.CON.KTAE.FW.A.0078.081005T1700Z-081005T2200Z/
INLAND WALTON-HOLMES-WASHINGTON-JACKSON-CALHOUN-
509 PM CDT SAT OCT 4 2008

...FIRE WEATHER WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT SUNDAY AFTERNOON...
...RED FLAG WARNING HAS EXPIRED FOR THIS EVENING...

THE RED FLAG WARNING IS NO LONGER IN EFFECT. A FIRE WEATHER WATCH
REMAINS IN EFFECT SUNDAY AFTERNOON. 

A FIRE WEATHER WATCH MEANS THAT CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS
ARE FORECAST TO OCCUR. LISTEN FOR LATER FORECASTS AND POSSIBLE RED
FLAG WARNINGS.

$$

FLZ016>019-026>029-034-042315-
/O.EXP.KTAE.FW.W.0091.000000T0000Z-081004T2200Z/
GADSDEN-LEON-JEFFERSON-MADISON-LIBERTY-WAKULLA-TAYLOR-LAFAYETTE-
DIXIE-
609 PM EDT SAT OCT 4 2008

...RED FLAG WARNING HAS EXPIRED FOR THIS EVENING...

THE RED FLAG WARNING IS NO LONGER IN EFFECT. 

$$

FLZ012-014-050730-
/O.CON.KTAE.FW.A.0078.081005T1700Z-081005T2200Z/
BAY-GULF-
509 PM CDT SAT OCT 4 2008

...FIRE WEATHER WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT SUNDAY AFTERNOON...

A FIRE WEATHER WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT SUNDAY AFTERNOON. 

A FIRE WEATHER WATCH MEANS THAT CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS
ARE FORECAST TO OCCUR. LISTEN FOR LATER FORECASTS AND POSSIBLE RED
FLAG WARNINGS.

$$

BARRY

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TALLAHASSEE FL
245 PM EDT FRI OCT 3 2008

.SYNOPSIS...18 UTC SURFACE ANALYSIS SHOWS A WEAK SURFACE BOUNDARY
ACROSS SOUTHERN MISSISSIPPI AND LOUISIANA. LOW LEVEL MOISTURE IS
POOLING AHEAD OF THIS BOUNDARY AND THIS HAS LED TO SCATTERED TO
BROKEN CLOUD COVER ACROSS THE REGION. MODEL TIME HEIGHTS SHOW THIS
NARROW MOIST LAYER AROUND 5500 FT. TEMPERATURES ARE RISING INTO THE
LOWER 80S...BUT THE CLOUD COVER WILL LIMIT HOW MUCH ADDITIONAL
WARMING CAN OCCUR TODAY.

&&

.SHORT TERM (TODAY THROUGH SUNDAY NIGHT).
UPPER TROF IS BEGINNING TO LIFT NORTHEAST WITH RIDGING SPREADING
EASTWARD. THIS WILL LEAD TO A GRADUAL WARMING TREND AND ALLOW THE
SYSTEM OVER THE NORTHWEST CARIBBEAN TO LIFT NORTHWESTWARD INTO THE
GULF OF MEXICO THROUGHOUT THE WEEKEND. TEMPERATURES WILL MODERATE
THROUGH THE WEEKEND WITH RAIN CHANCES NIL. TEMPERATURES WILL
ESSENTIALLY WARM A COUPLE OF DEGREES EACH NIGHT WITH MAX
TEMPERATURES RETURNING TO THE UPPER 80S BY SUNDAY. CLOUD COVER AND
MOISTURE WILL BE ON THE INCREASE FROM THE SOUTH ON SUNDAY. THE NAM
IS SLIGHTLY FASTER WITH THE MOISTURE RETURN AND BRINGS IN A CHANCE
OF RAIN BY SUNDAY NIGHT. THIS SEEMS TO BE A BIT FASTER THAN PREVIOUS
RUNS...SO WILL STAY CLOSE TO THE GFS FOR NOW...WHICH WILL KEEP THE
SHORT TERM FORECAST DRY ONCE AGAIN.

.LONG TERM (MONDAY THROUGH THURSDAY).
THE MID/UPPER RIDGE AXIS FROM NEW ENGLAND TO THE EASTERN GULF OF
MEXICO WILL SLOWLY SLIDE EASTWARD DURING THE PERIOD AS A TROUGH OVER
THE PLAINS EVENTUALLY CUTS OFF FROM THE WESTERLIES MID WEEK. THE
RESULTANT CLOSED LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM OVER EASTERN TX LIFTS TO THE
NORTHEAST TOWARD THE OH VALLEY ON FRIDAY. THE STRONG SURFACE RIDGE
WILL BE THE DOMINANT FEATURE, MAINTAINING A GENERALLY WARM AND DRY
FORECAST THROUGH TUESDAY. DEW POINTS WILL GRADUALLY RISE AS THE
EASTERLY LOW LEVEL FLOW TRANSPORTS ATLANTIC MOISTURE INTO THE REGION
THROUGH MID WEEK. A TRAILING WARM FRONT INTO THE LOWER MS VALLEY
WILL MOVE INTO THE CENTRAL GULF COAST STATES ON FRIDAY. MOISTURE
AHEAD OF THIS SYSTEM WILL BRING A SLIGHTLY BETTER CHANCE FOR
SHOWERS, MAINLY ACROSS THE WESTERN HALF OF THE CWA. TEMPS DURING THE
EXTENDED PERIOD WILL AVERAGE SLIGHTLY ABOVE CLIMATOLOGICAL NORMS.

&&

.AVIATION...A SCATTERED TO BROKEN DECK OF CLOUDS WITH BASES OF 6-7
KFT HAS DEVELOPED ACROSS THE AERODROME THIS AFTERNOON. THIS CLOUDS
WILL DISSIPATE DURING THE EVENING. HAVE INDICATED A SHORT WINDOW FOR
MVFR VISIBILITY AT DHN AND ABY AROUND SUNRISE. SKIES SHOULD BE CLEAR
EARLY ON FRI WITH LIGHT ENE WINDS.

&&

.MARINE...A GRADUAL TIGHTENING PRESSURE GRADIENT AS A DISTURBANCE
MOVES IN FROM THE SOUTH WILL LEAD TO INCREASING NORTHEASTERLY AND
EASTERLY WINDS OVER THE WATERS. THESE WINDS WILL PEAK NIGHTLY AND
DECREASE IN THE AFTERNOON. A PERIOD OF EXERCISE CAUTION CONDITIONS
WILL BE POSSIBLE SATURDAY NIGHT WITH THE POTENTIAL FOR ADVISORY
CONDITIONS ON SUNDAY NIGHT.

&&

.FIRE WEATHER...HAD TO EXTEND TODAYS WARNING TO INCLUDE THE INLAND
PORTIONS OF BAY, GULF AND FRANKLIN COUNTIES, AS WELL AS SE AL. THE
AL PORTION HAS ALREADY VERIFIED AND WE ARE WELL ON OUR WAY IN FL.
FOR SAT, WE DECIDED TO UPGRADE THE WATCH TO A WARNING DUE TO
DURATIONS OF LOW RH, EVEN THOUGH THOSE DURATIONS MAY ONLY BE AROUND
4 HOURS IN SOME OF THE WARNED AREA. THERE WILL ALSO BE SOME HIGH
DISPERSION INDICES IN SOME AREAS.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
TALLAHASSEE  54  87  56  87  61 /   0   0   0   0   0
PANAMA CITY  62  87  64  87  67 /   0   0   0   0   0
DOTHAN       58  87  60  88  59 /   0   0   0   0   0
ALBANY       55  86  57  88  57 /   0   0   0   0   0
VALDOSTA     54  88  55  87  62 /   0   0   0   0   0
CROSS CITY   53  88  56  88  65 /   0   0   0   0   5

&&

.TAE WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
AL...RED FLAG WARNING UNTIL 6 PM CDT THIS AFTERNOON FOR THE
     FOLLOWING ZONES: COFFEE...DALE...GENEVA...HENRY...HOUSTON.

GA...NONE.

FL...RED FLAG WARNING UNTIL 7 PM EDT /6 PM CDT/ THIS EVENING FOR THE
     FOLLOWING ZONES: BAY...CALHOUN...DIXIE...FRANKLIN...
     GADSDEN...GULF...HOLMES...INLAND WALTON...JACKSON...
     JEFFERSON...LAFAYETTE...LEON...LIBERTY...MADISON...TAYLOR...
     WAKULLA...WASHINGTON.

     RED FLAG WARNING FROM 2 PM EDT /1 PM CDT/ TO 6 PM EDT /5 PM
     CDT/ SATURDAY FOR THE FOLLOWING ZONES: CALHOUN...DIXIE...
     GADSDEN...HOLMES...INLAND WALTON...JACKSON...JEFFERSON...
     LAFAYETTE...LEON...LIBERTY...MADISON...TAYLOR...WAKULLA...
     WASHINGTON.

GM...NONE.

&&

LONG TERM...JAMSKI
AVIATION/FIRE WEATHER...WOOL
REST OF DISCUSSION...GODSEY

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TALLAHASSEE FL
434 AM EDT FRI OCT 3 2008

ALZ065>069-FLZ007>019-026>029-034-GAZ120>131-142>148-155>161-
GMZ730-750-755-765-770-775-041000-
COFFEE-DALE-HENRY-GENEVA-HOUSTON-INLAND WALTON-COASTAL WALTON-
HOLMES-WASHINGTON-JACKSON-BAY-CALHOUN-GULF-FRANKLIN-GADSDEN-LEON-
JEFFERSON-MADISON-LIBERTY-WAKULLA-TAYLOR-LAFAYETTE-DIXIE-QUITMAN-
CLAY-RANDOLPH-TERRELL-DOUGHERTY-LEE-WORTH-TURNER-TIFT-BEN HILL-
IRWIN-EARLY-MILLER-BAKER-MITCHELL-COLQUITT-COOK-BERRIEN-SEMINOLE-
DECATUR-GRADY-THOMAS-BROOKS-LOWNDES-LANIER-
APALACHEE BAY OR COASTAL WATERS FROM KEATON BEACH TO OCHLOCKONEE
RIVER FL OUT TO 20 NM-
COASTAL WATERS FROM APALACHICOLA TO DESTIN FL OUT 20 NM-
COASTAL WATERS FROM  OCHLOCKONEE RIVER TO APALACHICOLA FL OUT TO
20 NM-
COASTAL WATERS FROM  SUWANNEE RIVER TO KEATON BEACH OUT 20 NM-
WATERS FROM APALACHICOLA TO DESTIN FL FROM 20 TO 60 NM-
WATERS FROM  SUWANNEE RIVER TO APALACHICOLA FL FROM 20 TO 60 NM-
434 AM EDT FRI OCT 3 2008 /334 AM CDT FRI OCT 3 2008/

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR SOUTHEAST ALABAMA...
SOUTHWEST AND SOUTH CENTRAL GEORGIA...AND THE FLORIDA BIG BEND
AND PANHANDLE...AND ADJACENT COASTAL WATERS.

.DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT...

MILD AND DRY CONDITIONS WILL ENHANCE THE SPREAD OF WILDFIRES
TODAY.

OTHERWISE...NO HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...SATURDAY THROUGH THURSDAY...

A DRY AIRMASS WILL REMAIN IN PLACE THROUGH SATURDAY. THIS WILL
CONTINUE TO ENHANCE THE SPREAD OF WILDFIRES. MOISTURE WILL BEGIN
TO INCREASE A BIT OVER THE AREA BY SUNDAY INTO EARLY NEXT WEEK.

OTHERWISE...NO HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION WILL NOT BE NEEDED.

FOR ADDITIONAL INFORMATION...VISIT THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE
WEBSITE ON THE INTERNET AT WEATHER.GOV...THEN CLICK ON YOUR AREA
OF INTEREST ON THE NATIONAL MAP.

CAMP