Alert archive / Florida / Red Flag Warnings in 2008
Red Flag Warning 88, NWS Tallahassee, FL
NWS Tallahassee, FL issued this red flag warning at Sep 30, 2008, 2:24 PM CDT for 16 counties in Florida; 5 counties in Alabama. It took effect at Oct 1, 2008, 3:39 AM CDT. It was in force for 14 hr. No storm report in the archive falls inside the area while it was in force.
The area
The counties it named.
The facts
- Issued
- Sep 30, 2008, 2:24 PM CDT (19:24 UTC)
- In effect from
- Oct 1, 2008, 3:39 AM CDT
- Expired
- Oct 1, 2008, 6:00 PM CDT
- In force
- 14 hr
- Issued by
- NWS Tallahassee, FL
All 21 counties
Coffee County, AL, Dale County, AL, Geneva County, AL, Henry County, AL, Houston County, AL, Bay County, FL, Calhoun County, FL, Dixie County, FL, Franklin County, FL, Gadsden County, FL, Gulf County, FL, Holmes County, FL, Jackson County, FL, Jefferson County, FL, Lafayette County, FL, Leon County, FL, Madison County, FL, Taylor County, FL, Wakulla County, FL, Walton County, FL, Washington County, FL
The radar
The Tallahassee radar (KTLH), 55 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 19:24 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.
Open the radar archive at this moment
The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.
The nearest sounding before it
Tallahassee Rgnl, FL (KTLH), launched 12:00Z, 7.4 hours before the alert went out and 57 km from the middle of its area. This is the routine balloon launch nearest before it, the air the forecaster had in hand, not a measurement taken for the alert.
- Mixed-layer CAPE
- 554 J/kg
- Mixed-layer CIN
- -49 J/kg
- Mixed-layer LCL
- 1393 m above ground
- 0-6 km bulk shear
- 12 kt
- 0-1 km storm-relative helicity
- -15 m²/s²
- 0-3 km storm-relative helicity
- -3 m²/s²
- Significant tornado parameter
- 0.0
- Supercell composite
- 0.0
The text
As transmitted, in the capitals the NWS used until 2016.
000 WWUS82 KTAE 301924 RFWTAE RED FLAG WARNING NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TALLAHASSEE FL 324 PM EDT TUE SEP 30 2008 ...A RED FLAG WARNING IS NOW IN EFFECT UNTIL 7 PM EDT THIS AFTERNOON FOR DIXIE COUNTY DUE TO LONG DURATIONS OF RELATIVE HUMIDITY BELOW 35 PERCENT... ...A RED FLAG WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 PM CDT THIS AFTERNOON FOR INLAND AREAS OF THE EASTERN FLORIDA PANHANDLE DUE TO LONG DURATIONS OF RELATIVE HUMIDITY BELOW 35 PERCENT... ...A RED FLAG REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 PM CDT THIS AFTERNOON FOR SOUTHEAST ALABAMA FOR RELATIVE HUMIDITY VALUES BELOW 30 PERCENT COINCIDENT WITH SUSTAINED SURFACE WINDS ABOVE 10 MPH AND THE KEETCH BYRAM DROUGHT INDEX ABOVE 500... ...A RED FLAG WARNING IS NOW IN EFFECT FROM 2 PM EDT /1 PM CDT/ TO 7 PM EDT /6 PM CDT/ WEDNESDAY AFTERNOON FOR INLAND AREAS OF THE EASTERN FLORIDA PANHANDLE AND THE FLORIDA BIG BEND DUE TO LOW RELATIVE HUMIDITY VALUES BELOW 35 PERCENT AND DISPERSION INDICES ABOVE 75... ...A FIRE WEATHER WATCH IS NOW IN EFFECT FOR WEDNESDAY AFTERNOON FOR SOUTHEAST ALABAMA DUE TO POTENTIAL LOW RELATIVE HUMIDITY VALUES BELOW 30 PERCENT COINCIDENT WITH SUSTAINED SURFACE WINDS ABOVE 10 MPH AND THE KEETCH BYRAM DROUGHT INDEX ABOVE 500... ...A FIRE WEATHER WATCH IS NOW IN EFFECT FOR THURSDAY AFTERNOON FOR SOUTHEAST ALABAMA DUE TO POTENTIAL LOW RELATIVE HUMIDITY VALUES BELOW 30 PERCENT COINCIDENT WITH SUSTAINED SURFACE WINDS ABOVE 10 MPH AND THE KEETCH BYRAM DROUGHT INDEX ABOVE 500... ...A FIRE WEATHER WATCH IS NOW IN EFFECT FOR THURSDAY AFTERNOON FOR ALL OF NORTH FLORIDA DUE TO EXPECTED LONG DURATIONS OF RELATIVE HUMIDITY BELOW 35 PERCENT... .DISCUSSION...A WEAK COLD FRONT WILL MOVE THROUGH THE REGION TOMORROW BRINGING A MUCH DRIER AIRMASS. THIS WILL CREATE A PERIOD OF RED FLAG CONDITIONS ACROSS MUCH OF THE REGION. HOWEVER...WINDS WILL NOT BE HIGH ENOUGH TO MEET RED FLAG CRITERIA IN GEORGIA. A GRADUAL MOISTENING TREND WILL BEGIN BY SATURDAY...BUT NO SIGNIFICANT RAINS ARE EXPECTED OVER THE NEXT SEVEN DAYS. FLZ007-009>011-013-011230- /O.NEW.KTAE.FW.W.0088.081001T1800Z-081001T2300Z/ /O.NEW.KTAE.FW.A.0075.081002T1600Z-081003T0000Z/ /O.CON.KTAE.FW.W.0087.000000T0000Z-080930T2300Z/ INLAND WALTON-HOLMES-WASHINGTON-JACKSON-CALHOUN- 224 PM CDT TUE SEP 30 2008 ...RED FLAG WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 PM CDT THIS AFTERNOON... ...RED FLAG WARNING IN EFFECT FROM 1 PM TO 6 PM CDT WEDNESDAY... ...FIRE WEATHER WATCH IN EFFECT FROM THURSDAY MORNING THROUGH THURSDAY EVENING... THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN TALLAHASSEE HAS ISSUED A RED FLAG WARNING...WHICH IS IN EFFECT FROM 1 PM TO 6 PM CDT WEDNESDAY. A FIRE WEATHER WATCH HAS ALSO BEEN ISSUED FOR THURSDAY. A RED FLAG WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 PM CDT THIS AFTERNOON. LOW RELATIVE HUMIDITY VALUES WILL CONTINUE THROUGH THIS AFTERNOON WITH ANOTHER PERIOD OF RED FLAG CONDITIONS EXPECTED THROUGHOUT THE NEXT TWO AFTERNOONS. HIGH DISPERSION VALUES ON WEDNESDAY WILL ACCOMPANY THE LOW RELATIVE HUMIDITY. A RED FLAG WARNING MEANS THAT CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS ARE EITHER OCCURRING NOW...OR WILL SHORTLY. LOW RELATIVE HUMIDITY...WARM TEMPERATURES AND STRONG WINDS WILL ENHANCE THE FIRE GROWTH POTENTIAL. A FIRE WEATHER WATCH MEANS THAT CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS ARE FORECAST TO OCCUR. LISTEN FOR LATER FORECASTS AND POSSIBLE RED FLAG WARNINGS. $$ FLZ016>019-026>029-011230- /O.NEW.KTAE.FW.W.0088.081001T1800Z-081001T2300Z/ /O.NEW.KTAE.FW.A.0075.081002T1600Z-081003T0000Z/ GADSDEN-LEON-JEFFERSON-MADISON-LIBERTY-WAKULLA-TAYLOR-LAFAYETTE- 324 PM EDT TUE SEP 30 2008 ...RED FLAG WARNING IN EFFECT FROM 2 PM TO 7 PM EDT WEDNESDAY... ...FIRE WEATHER WATCH IN EFFECT FROM THURSDAY AFTERNOON THROUGH THURSDAY EVENING... THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN TALLAHASSEE HAS ISSUED A RED FLAG WARNING...WHICH IS IN EFFECT FROM 2 PM TO 7 PM EDT WEDNESDAY. A FIRE WEATHER WATCH HAS BEEN ISSUED FOR THURSDAY. LOW RELATIVE HUMIDITY VALUES WILL ACCOMPANY HIGH DISPERSION ON WEDNESDAY AFTERNOON. VERY LOW RELATIVE HUMIDITY VALUES AROUND 25 PERCENT WILL BE POSSIBLE ON THURSDAY AFTERNOON. A RED FLAG WARNING MEANS THAT CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS ARE EITHER OCCURRING NOW...OR WILL SHORTLY. A COMBINATION OF STRONG WINDS...LOW RELATIVE HUMIDITY...AND WARM TEMPERATURES WILL ENHANCE FIRE GROWTH POTENTIAL. A FIRE WEATHER WATCH MEANS THAT CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS ARE FORECAST TO OCCUR. LISTEN FOR LATER FORECASTS AND POSSIBLE RED FLAG WARNINGS. $$ FLZ034-011230- /O.NEW.KTAE.FW.A.0075.081002T1600Z-081003T0000Z/ /O.EXA.KTAE.FW.W.0087.000000T0000Z-080930T2300Z/ DIXIE- 324 PM EDT TUE SEP 30 2008 ...RED FLAG WARNING IN EFFECT UNTIL 7 PM EDT THIS EVENING... ...FIRE WEATHER WATCH IN EFFECT FROM THURSDAY AFTERNOON THROUGH THURSDAY EVENING... THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN TALLAHASSEE HAS ISSUED A RED FLAG WARNING...WHICH IS IN EFFECT UNTIL 7 PM EDT THIS EVENING. A FIRE WEATHER WATCH HAS BEEN ISSUED FOR THURSDAY. A BRIEF PERIOD OF RED FLAG CONDITIONS WILL OCCUR THIS AFTERNOON DUE TO LOW RELATIVE HUMIDITY. ANOTHER PERIOD OF RED FLAG CONDITIONS WILL LIKELY OCCUR ON THURSDAY BEHIND A COLD FRONT THAT WILL MOVE THROUGH ON WEDNESDAY. A RED FLAG WARNING MEANS THAT CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS ARE EITHER OCCURRING NOW...OR WILL SHORTLY. LOW RELATIVE HUMIDITY AND WARM TEMPERATURES WILL ENHANCE THE FIRE GROWTH POTENTIAL. A FIRE WEATHER WATCH MEANS THAT CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS ARE FORECAST TO OCCUR. LISTEN FOR LATER FORECASTS AND POSSIBLE RED FLAG WARNINGS. $$ ALZ065>069-011230- /O.NEW.KTAE.FW.A.0074.081001T1800Z-081001T2300Z/ /O.NEW.KTAE.FW.A.0075.081002T1700Z-081002T2300Z/ /O.CON.KTAE.FW.W.0087.000000T0000Z-080930T2300Z/ COFFEE-DALE-HENRY-GENEVA-HOUSTON- 224 PM CDT TUE SEP 30 2008 ...RED FLAG WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 PM CDT THIS AFTERNOON... ...FIRE WEATHER WATCH IN EFFECT WEDNESDAY AFTERNOON... ...FIRE WEATHER WATCH IN EFFECT THURSDAY AFTERNOON... THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN TALLAHASSEE HAS ISSUED A FIRE WEATHER WATCH...WHICH IS IN EFFECT WEDNESDAY AFTERNOON. A FIRE WEATHER WATCH HAS ALSO BEEN ISSUED. THIS FIRE WEATHER WATCH IS IN EFFECT THURSDAY AFTERNOON. A RED FLAG WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 PM CDT THIS AFTERNOON. LOW RELATIVE HUMIDITY WILL COMBINE WITH SUSTAINED WINDS AROUND 10 MPH TO PRODUCE RED FLAG CONDITIONS THIS AFTERNOON AND POSSIBLY THROUGH THURSDAY AFTERNOON. A RED FLAG WARNING MEANS THAT CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS ARE EITHER OCCURRING NOW...OR WILL SHORTLY. LOW RELATIVE HUMIDITY...WARM TEMPERATURES AND STRONG WINDS WILL ENHANCE THE FIRE GROWTH POTENTIAL. A FIRE WEATHER WATCH MEANS THAT CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS ARE FORECAST TO OCCUR. LISTEN FOR LATER FORECASTS AND POSSIBLE RED FLAG WARNINGS. $$ FLZ012-011230- /O.NEW.KTAE.FW.A.0075.081002T1600Z-081003T0000Z/ /O.CON.KTAE.FW.W.0087.000000T0000Z-080930T2300Z/ BAY- 224 PM CDT TUE SEP 30 2008 ...RED FLAG WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 PM CDT THIS AFTERNOON... ...FIRE WEATHER WATCH IN EFFECT FROM THURSDAY MORNING THROUGH THURSDAY EVENING... THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN TALLAHASSEE HAS ISSUED A FIRE WEATHER WATCH...WHICH IS IN EFFECT FROM THURSDAY MORNING THROUGH THURSDAY EVENING. A RED FLAG WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 PM CDT THIS AFTERNOON. RED FLAG CONDITIONS WILL OCCUR THIS AFTERNOON DUE TO LOW RELATIVE HUMIDITY. ANOTHER PERIOD OF RED FLAG CONDITIONS WILL LIKELY OCCUR ON THURSDAY BEHIND A COLD FRONT THAT WILL MOVE THROUGH ON WEDNESDAY. A RED FLAG WARNING MEANS THAT CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS ARE EITHER OCCURRING NOW...OR WILL SHORTLY. LOW RELATIVE HUMIDITY AND WARM TEMPERATURES WILL ENHANCE THE FIRE GROWTH POTENTIAL. A FIRE WEATHER WATCH MEANS THAT CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS ARE FORECAST TO OCCUR. LISTEN FOR LATER FORECASTS AND POSSIBLE RED FLAG WARNINGS. $$ FLZ014-015-011230- /O.NEW.KTAE.FW.A.0075.081002T1600Z-081003T0000Z/ GULF-FRANKLIN- 324 PM EDT TUE SEP 30 2008 /224 PM CDT TUE SEP 30 2008/ ...FIRE WEATHER WATCH IN EFFECT FROM THURSDAY AFTERNOON THROUGH THURSDAY EVENING... THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN TALLAHASSEE HAS ISSUED A FIRE WEATHER WATCH...WHICH IS IN EFFECT FROM THURSDAY AFTERNOON THROUGH THURSDAY EVENING. RELATIVE HUMIDITY VALUES WILL LIKELY DROP BELOW CRITICAL LEVELS ON THURSDAY BEHIND A COLD FRONT THAT WILL MOVE THROUGH THE REGION ON WEDNESDAY. A FIRE WEATHER WATCH MEANS THAT CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS ARE FORECAST TO OCCUR. LISTEN FOR LATER FORECASTS AND POSSIBLE RED FLAG WARNINGS. $$ 38-GODSEY
4 follow-up statements
000 WWUS82 KTAE 010054 RFWTAE RED FLAG WARNING NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TALLAHASSEE FL 854 PM EDT TUE SEP 30 2008 ...A RED FLAG WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 2 PM EDT /1 PM CDT/ TO 7 PM EDT /6 PM CDT/ WEDNESDAY AFTERNOON FOR INLAND AREAS OF THE EASTERN FLORIDA PANHANDLE AND THE FLORIDA BIG BEND DUE TO LOW RELATIVE HUMIDITY VALUES BELOW 35 PERCENT AND DISPERSION INDICES ABOVE 75... ...A FIRE WEATHER WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT ON WEDNESDAY AFTERNOON FOR SOUTHEAST ALABAMA DUE TO POTENTIAL LOW RELATIVE HUMIDITY VALUES BELOW 30 PERCENT COINCIDENT WITH SUSTAINED SURFACE WINDS ABOVE 10 MPH AND THE KEETCH BYRAM DROUGHT INDEX ABOVE 500... ...A FIRE WEATHER WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT ON THURSDAY AFTERNOON FOR SOUTHEAST ALABAMA DUE TO POTENTIAL LOW RELATIVE HUMIDITY VALUES BELOW 30 PERCENT COINCIDENT WITH SUSTAINED SURFACE WINDS ABOVE 10 MPH AND THE KEETCH BYRAM DROUGHT INDEX ABOVE 500... ...A FIRE WEATHER WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT ON THURSDAY AFTERNOON FOR ALL OF NORTH FLORIDA DUE TO EXPECTED LONG DURATIONS OF RELATIVE HUMIDITY BELOW 35 PERCENT... .DISCUSSION...A WEAK COLD FRONT WILL MOVE THROUGH THE REGION ON WEDNESDAY BRINGING A MUCH DRIER AIRMASS. THIS WILL CREATE A PERIOD OF RED FLAG CONDITIONS ACROSS MUCH OF THE REGION. HOWEVER... WINDS WILL NOT BE HIGH ENOUGH TO MEET RED FLAG CRITERIA IN GEORGIA. A GRADUAL MOISTENING TREND WILL BEGIN BY SATURDAY...BUT NO SIGNIFICANT RAINS ARE EXPECTED OVER THE NEXT SEVEN DAYS. FLZ007-009>011-013-016>019-026>029-011130- /O.CON.KTAE.FW.W.0088.081001T1800Z-081001T2300Z/ /O.CON.KTAE.FW.A.0075.081002T1600Z-081003T0000Z/ INLAND WALTON-HOLMES-WASHINGTON-JACKSON-CALHOUN-GADSDEN-LEON- JEFFERSON-MADISON-LIBERTY-WAKULLA-TAYLOR-LAFAYETTE- 854 PM EDT TUE SEP 30 2008 /754 PM CDT TUE SEP 30 2008/ ...A RED FLAG WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 2 PM EDT /1 PM CDT/ TO 7 PM EDT /6 PM CDT/ WEDNESDAY... ...A FIRE WEATHER WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM THURSDAY AFTERNOON THROUGH THURSDAY EVENING... LOW RELATIVE HUMIDITY VALUES WILL ACCOMPANY HIGH DISPERSION ON WEDNESDAY AFTERNOON. VERY LOW RELATIVE HUMIDITY VALUES AROUND 25 PERCENT WILL BE POSSIBLE ON THURSDAY AFTERNOON. A RED FLAG WARNING MEANS THAT CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS ARE EITHER OCCURRING NOW...OR WILL SHORTLY. A COMBINATION OF STRONG WINDS...LOW RELATIVE HUMIDITY...AND WARM TEMPERATURES WILL ENHANCE FIRE GROWTH POTENTIAL. A FIRE WEATHER WATCH MEANS THAT CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS ARE FORECAST TO OCCUR. LISTEN FOR LATER FORECASTS AND POSSIBLE RED FLAG WARNINGS. $$ ALZ065>069-011130- /O.CON.KTAE.FW.A.0074.081001T1800Z-081001T2300Z/ /O.CON.KTAE.FW.A.0075.081002T1700Z-081002T2300Z/ COFFEE-DALE-HENRY-GENEVA-HOUSTON- 754 PM CDT TUE SEP 30 2008 ...A FIRE WEATHER WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT WEDNESDAY AFTERNOON... ...A FIRE WEATHER WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT THURSDAY AFTERNOON... LOW RELATIVE HUMIDITY WILL COMBINE WITH SUSTAINED WINDS AROUND 10 MPH TO PRODUCE POSSIBLE RED FLAG CONDITIONS WEDNESDAY AND THURSDAY AFTERNOONS. A RED FLAG WARNING MEANS THAT CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS ARE EITHER OCCURRING NOW...OR WILL SHORTLY. LOW RELATIVE HUMIDITY...WARM TEMPERATURES AND STRONG WINDS WILL ENHANCE THE FIRE GROWTH POTENTIAL. A FIRE WEATHER WATCH MEANS THAT CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS ARE FORECAST TO OCCUR. LISTEN FOR LATER FORECASTS AND POSSIBLE RED FLAG WARNINGS. $$ FLZ012-014-015-034-011130- /O.CON.KTAE.FW.A.0075.081002T1600Z-081003T0000Z/ BAY-GULF-FRANKLIN-DIXIE- 854 PM EDT TUE SEP 30 2008 /754 PM CDT TUE SEP 30 2008/ ...A FIRE WEATHER WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM THURSDAY AFTERNOON THROUGH THURSDAY EVENING... RELATIVE HUMIDITY VALUES WILL LIKELY DROP BELOW CRITICAL LEVELS ON THURSDAY BEHIND A COLD FRONT THAT WILL MOVE THROUGH THE REGION ON WEDNESDAY. A FIRE WEATHER WATCH MEANS THAT CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS ARE FORECAST TO OCCUR. LISTEN FOR LATER FORECASTS AND POSSIBLE RED FLAG WARNINGS. $$ 17-GOULD
000 WWUS82 KTAE 010839 RFWTAE RED FLAG WARNING NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TALLAHASSEE FL 439 AM EDT WED OCT 1 2008 ...A RED FLAG WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 2 PM EDT /1 PM CDT/ TO 7 PM EDT /6 PM CDT/ THIS AFTERNOON FOR MUCH OF THE FLORIDA BIG BEND AND EASTERN FLORIDA PANHANDLE DUE TO RELATIVE HUMIDITIES BELOW 35 PERCENT AND DISPERSION INDICES ABOVE 75... ...A RED FLAG WARNING IS IN EFFECT FROM 1 PM TO 6 PM CDT THIS AFTERNOON FOR SOUTHEAST ALABAMA DUE TO RELATIVE HUMIDITIES BELOW 30 PERCENT COINCIDENT WITH SUSTAINED SURFACE WINDS ABOVE 10 MPH AND KEETCH BYRAM DROUGHT INDICES ABOVE 500... ...A FIRE WEATHER WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT THURSDAY AFTERNOON FOR SOUTHEAST ALABAMA DUE TO POTENTIALLY LOW RELATIVE HUMIDITY VALUES BELOW 30 PERCENT COINCIDENT WITH SUSTAINED SURFACE WINDS ABOVE 10 MPH AND KEETCH BYRAM DROUGHT INDICES ABOVE 500... ...A FIRE WEATHER WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT THURSDAY AFTERNOON FOR THE FLORIDA BIG BEND AND EASTERN FLORIDA PANHANDLE DUE TO EXPECTED LONG DURATIONS OF RELATIVE HUMIDITY BELOW 35 PERCENT... .DISCUSSION...A COLD FRONT WILL MOVE THROUGH THE REGION THIS MORNING USHERING IN A COOLER AND MUCH DRIER AIR MASS. THIS WILL CREATE A PERIOD OF RED FLAG CONDITIONS ACROSS MUCH OF THE REGION THIS AFTERNOON...AND POSSIBLY AGAIN THURSDAY AFTERNOON. HOWEVER...WINDS WILL NOT BE HIGH ENOUGH TO MEET RED FLAG CRITERIA IN GEORGIA. A GRADUAL MOISTENING TREND WILL BEGIN BY SATURDAY...HOWEVER SIGNIFICANT RAINFALL IS NOT EXPECTED THROUGH EARLY NEXT WEEK. ALZ065>069-011930- /O.UPG.KTAE.FW.A.0074.081001T1800Z-081001T2300Z/ /O.EXA.KTAE.FW.W.0088.081001T1800Z-081001T2300Z/ /O.CON.KTAE.FW.A.0075.081002T1700Z-081002T2300Z/ COFFEE-DALE-HENRY-GENEVA-HOUSTON- 339 AM CDT WED OCT 1 2008 ...RED FLAG WARNING IN EFFECT FROM 1 PM TO 6 PM CDT THIS AFTERNOON... ...FIRE WEATHER WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT THURSDAY AFTERNOON... THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN TALLAHASSEE HAS ISSUED A RED FLAG WARNING...WHICH IS IN EFFECT FROM 1 PM TO 6 PM CDT THIS AFTERNOON. THE FIRE WEATHER WATCH IS NO LONGER IN EFFECT. A FIRE WEATHER WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT THURSDAY AFTERNOON. A RED FLAG WARNING MEANS THAT CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS ARE EITHER OCCURRING NOW...OR WILL SHORTLY. THE COMBINATION OF WINDS...LOW RELATIVE HUMIDITY AND KBDI VALUES ABOVE 500 WILL ENHANCE FIRE GROWTH POTENTIAL. A FIRE WEATHER WATCH MEANS THAT CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS ARE FORECAST TO OCCUR. LISTEN FOR LATER FORECASTS AND POSSIBLE RED FLAG WARNINGS. $$ FLZ012-011930- /O.EXA.KTAE.FW.W.0088.081001T1800Z-081001T2300Z/ /O.CON.KTAE.FW.A.0075.081002T1600Z-081003T0000Z/ BAY- 339 AM CDT WED OCT 1 2008 ...RED FLAG WARNING IN EFFECT FROM 1 PM TO 6 PM CDT THIS AFTERNOON... ...FIRE WEATHER WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM THURSDAY MORNING THROUGH THURSDAY EVENING... THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN TALLAHASSEE HAS ISSUED A RED FLAG WARNING...WHICH IS IN EFFECT FROM 1 PM TO 6 PM CDT THIS AFTERNOON. A FIRE WEATHER WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM THURSDAY MORNING THROUGH THURSDAY EVENING. A RED FLAG WARNING MEANS THAT CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS ARE EITHER OCCURRING NOW...OR WILL SHORTLY. THE COMBINATION OF WINDS AND LOW RELATIVE HUMIDITY WILL ENHANCE FIRE GROWTH POTENTIAL. A FIRE WEATHER WATCH MEANS THAT CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS ARE FORECAST TO OCCUR. LISTEN FOR LATER FORECASTS AND POSSIBLE RED FLAG WARNINGS. $$ FLZ007-009>011-013-016>019-026>029-011930- /O.CON.KTAE.FW.W.0088.081001T1800Z-081001T2300Z/ /O.CON.KTAE.FW.A.0075.081002T1600Z-081003T0000Z/ INLAND WALTON-HOLMES-WASHINGTON-JACKSON-CALHOUN-GADSDEN-LEON- JEFFERSON-MADISON-LIBERTY-WAKULLA-TAYLOR-LAFAYETTE- 439 AM EDT WED OCT 1 2008 /339 AM CDT WED OCT 1 2008/ ...RED FLAG WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 2 PM EDT /1 PM CDT/ THIS AFTERNOON TO 7 PM EDT /6 PM CDT/ THIS EVENING... ...FIRE WEATHER WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM THURSDAY AFTERNOON THROUGH THURSDAY EVENING... A RED FLAG WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 2 PM EDT /1 PM CDT/ THIS AFTERNOON TO 7 PM EDT /6 PM CDT/ THIS EVENING. A FIRE WEATHER WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM THURSDAY AFTERNOON THROUGH THURSDAY EVENING. LOW RELATIVE HUMIDITIES WILL ACCOMPANY HIGH DISPERSIONS THIS AFTERNOON. VERY LOW RELATIVE HUMIDITIES WILL BE POSSIBLE THURSDAY AFTERNOON. A RED FLAG WARNING MEANS THAT CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS ARE EITHER OCCURRING NOW...OR WILL SHORTLY. THE COMBINATION OF WINDS...LOW RELATIVE HUMIDITY...AND WARM TEMPERATURES WILL ENHANCE FIRE GROWTH POTENTIAL. A FIRE WEATHER WATCH MEANS THAT CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS ARE FORECAST TO OCCUR. LISTEN FOR LATER FORECASTS AND POSSIBLE RED FLAG WARNINGS. $$ FLZ014-015-034-011930- /O.CON.KTAE.FW.A.0075.081002T1600Z-081003T0000Z/ GULF-FRANKLIN-DIXIE- 439 AM EDT WED OCT 1 2008 /339 AM CDT WED OCT 1 2008/ ...FIRE WEATHER WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM THURSDAY AFTERNOON THROUGH THURSDAY EVENING... A FIRE WEATHER WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM THURSDAY AFTERNOON THROUGH THURSDAY EVENING. A FIRE WEATHER WATCH MEANS THAT CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS ARE FORECAST TO OCCUR. LISTEN FOR LATER FORECASTS AND POSSIBLE RED FLAG WARNINGS. $$ JAMSKI
000 WWUS82 KTAE 010840 CCA RFWTAE RED FLAG WARNING...CORRECTED NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TALLAHASSEE FL 439 AM EDT WED OCT 1 2008 ...A RED FLAG WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 2 PM EDT /1 PM CDT/ TO 7 PM EDT /6 PM CDT/ THIS AFTERNOON FOR MUCH OF THE FLORIDA BIG BEND AND EASTERN FLORIDA PANHANDLE DUE TO RELATIVE HUMIDITIES BELOW 35 PERCENT AND DISPERSION INDICES ABOVE 75... ...A RED FLAG WARNING IS IN EFFECT FROM 1 PM TO 6 PM CDT THIS AFTERNOON FOR SOUTHEAST ALABAMA DUE TO RELATIVE HUMIDITIES BELOW 30 PERCENT COINCIDENT WITH SUSTAINED SURFACE WINDS ABOVE 10 MPH AND KEETCH BYRAM DROUGHT INDICES ABOVE 500... ...A FIRE WEATHER WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT THURSDAY AFTERNOON FOR SOUTHEAST ALABAMA DUE TO POTENTIALLY LOW RELATIVE HUMIDITY VALUES BELOW 30 PERCENT COINCIDENT WITH SUSTAINED SURFACE WINDS ABOVE 10 MPH AND KEETCH BYRAM DROUGHT INDICES ABOVE 500... ...A FIRE WEATHER WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT THURSDAY AFTERNOON FOR THE FLORIDA BIG BEND AND EASTERN FLORIDA PANHANDLE DUE TO EXPECTED LONG DURATIONS OF RELATIVE HUMIDITY BELOW 35 PERCENT... .DISCUSSION...A COLD FRONT WILL MOVE THROUGH THE REGION THIS MORNING USHERING IN A COOLER AND MUCH DRIER AIR MASS. THIS WILL CREATE A PERIOD OF RED FLAG CONDITIONS ACROSS MUCH OF THE REGION THIS AFTERNOON...AND POSSIBLY AGAIN THURSDAY AFTERNOON. HOWEVER...WINDS WILL NOT BE HIGH ENOUGH TO MEET RED FLAG CRITERIA IN GEORGIA. A GRADUAL MOISTENING TREND WILL BEGIN BY SATURDAY...HOWEVER SIGNIFICANT RAINFALL IS NOT EXPECTED THROUGH EARLY NEXT WEEK. ALZ065>069-011945- /O.UPG.KTAE.FW.A.0074.081001T1800Z-081001T2300Z/ /O.COR.KTAE.FW.W.0088.081001T1800Z-081001T2300Z/ /O.COR.KTAE.FW.A.0075.081002T1700Z-081002T2300Z/ COFFEE-DALE-HENRY-GENEVA-HOUSTON- 339 AM CDT WED OCT 1 2008 ...RED FLAG WARNING IN EFFECT FROM 1 PM TO 6 PM CDT THIS AFTERNOON... ...FIRE WEATHER WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT THURSDAY AFTERNOON... THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN TALLAHASSEE HAS ISSUED A RED FLAG WARNING...WHICH IS IN EFFECT FROM 1 PM TO 6 PM CDT THIS AFTERNOON. A FIRE WEATHER WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT THURSDAY AFTERNOON. A RED FLAG WARNING MEANS THAT CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS ARE EITHER OCCURRING NOW...OR WILL SHORTLY. THE COMBINATION OF WINDS...LOW RELATIVE HUMIDITY AND KBDI VALUES ABOVE 500 WILL ENHANCE FIRE GROWTH POTENTIAL. A FIRE WEATHER WATCH MEANS THAT CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS ARE FORECAST TO OCCUR. LISTEN FOR LATER FORECASTS AND POSSIBLE RED FLAG WARNINGS. $$ FLZ012-011945- /O.EXA.KTAE.FW.W.0088.081001T1800Z-081001T2300Z/ /O.CON.KTAE.FW.A.0075.081002T1600Z-081003T0000Z/ BAY- 339 AM CDT WED OCT 1 2008 ...RED FLAG WARNING IN EFFECT FROM 1 PM TO 6 PM CDT THIS AFTERNOON... ...FIRE WEATHER WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM THURSDAY MORNING THROUGH THURSDAY EVENING... THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN TALLAHASSEE HAS ISSUED A RED FLAG WARNING...WHICH IS IN EFFECT FROM 1 PM TO 6 PM CDT THIS AFTERNOON. A FIRE WEATHER WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM THURSDAY MORNING THROUGH THURSDAY EVENING. A RED FLAG WARNING MEANS THAT CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS ARE EITHER OCCURRING NOW...OR WILL SHORTLY. THE COMBINATION OF WINDS AND LOW RELATIVE HUMIDITY WILL ENHANCE FIRE GROWTH POTENTIAL. A FIRE WEATHER WATCH MEANS THAT CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS ARE FORECAST TO OCCUR. LISTEN FOR LATER FORECASTS AND POSSIBLE RED FLAG WARNINGS. $$ FLZ007-009>011-013-016>019-026>029-011945- /O.CON.KTAE.FW.W.0088.081001T1800Z-081001T2300Z/ /O.CON.KTAE.FW.A.0075.081002T1600Z-081003T0000Z/ INLAND WALTON-HOLMES-WASHINGTON-JACKSON-CALHOUN-GADSDEN-LEON- JEFFERSON-MADISON-LIBERTY-WAKULLA-TAYLOR-LAFAYETTE- 439 AM EDT WED OCT 1 2008 /339 AM CDT WED OCT 1 2008/ ...RED FLAG WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 2 PM EDT /1 PM CDT/ THIS AFTERNOON TO 7 PM EDT /6 PM CDT/ THIS EVENING... ...FIRE WEATHER WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM THURSDAY AFTERNOON THROUGH THURSDAY EVENING... A RED FLAG WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 2 PM EDT /1 PM CDT/ THIS AFTERNOON TO 7 PM EDT /6 PM CDT/ THIS EVENING. A FIRE WEATHER WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM THURSDAY AFTERNOON THROUGH THURSDAY EVENING. LOW RELATIVE HUMIDITIES WILL ACCOMPANY HIGH DISPERSIONS THIS AFTERNOON. VERY LOW RELATIVE HUMIDITIES WILL BE POSSIBLE THURSDAY AFTERNOON. A RED FLAG WARNING MEANS THAT CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS ARE EITHER OCCURRING NOW...OR WILL SHORTLY. THE COMBINATION OF WINDS...LOW RELATIVE HUMIDITY...AND WARM TEMPERATURES WILL ENHANCE FIRE GROWTH POTENTIAL. A FIRE WEATHER WATCH MEANS THAT CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS ARE FORECAST TO OCCUR. LISTEN FOR LATER FORECASTS AND POSSIBLE RED FLAG WARNINGS. $$ FLZ014-015-034-011945- /O.CON.KTAE.FW.A.0075.081002T1600Z-081003T0000Z/ GULF-FRANKLIN-DIXIE- 439 AM EDT WED OCT 1 2008 /339 AM CDT WED OCT 1 2008/ ...FIRE WEATHER WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM THURSDAY AFTERNOON THROUGH THURSDAY EVENING... A FIRE WEATHER WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM THURSDAY AFTERNOON THROUGH THURSDAY EVENING. A FIRE WEATHER WATCH MEANS THAT CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS ARE FORECAST TO OCCUR. LISTEN FOR LATER FORECASTS AND POSSIBLE RED FLAG WARNINGS. $$ JAMSKI
000 WWUS82 KTAE 011830 RFWTAE RED FLAG WARNING NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TALLAHASSEE FL 230 PM EDT WED OCT 1 2008 ...A RED FLAG WARNING IS NOW IN EFFECT UNTIL 7 PM EDT /6 PM CDT/ THIS AFTERNOON FOR ALL OF THE FLORIDA BIG BEND AND EASTERN FLORIDA PANHANDLE DUE TO RELATIVE HUMIDITIES BELOW 35 PERCENT AND DISPERSION INDICES ABOVE 75... ...A RED FLAG WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 PM CDT THIS AFTERNOON FOR SOUTHEAST ALABAMA DUE TO RELATIVE HUMIDITIES BELOW 30 PERCENT COINCIDENT WITH SUSTAINED SURFACE WINDS ABOVE 10 MPH AND KEETCH BYRAM DROUGHT INDICES ABOVE 500... ...A RED FLAG WARNING IS NOW IN EFFECT FROM 12 PM TO 6 PM CDT THURSDAY FOR SOUTHEAST ALABAMA DUE TO LOW RELATIVE HUMIDITY VALUES BELOW 30 PERCENT COINCIDENT WITH SUSTAINED SURFACE WINDS ABOVE 10 MPH AND KEETCH BYRAM DROUGHT INDICES ABOVE 500... ...A RED FLAG WARNING IS NOW IN EFFECT FROM 12 PM EDT /11 AM CDT/ TO 8 PM EDT /7 PM CDT/ FOR ALL OF THE FLORIDA BIG BEND AND EASTERN FLORIDA PANHANDLE DUE TO LONG DURATIONS OF RELATIVE HUMIDITY BELOW 35 PERCENT AND HIGH DISPERSION... ...A FIRE WEATHER WATCH IS NOW IN EFFECT FOR FRIDAY AFTERNOON FOR MUCH OF THE EASTERN FLORIDA PANHANDLE AND FLORIDA BIG BEND DUE TO POSSIBLE LONG DURATIONS OF RELATIVE HUMIDITY BELOW 35 PERCENT... .DISCUSSION...DRIER AIR WILL SURGE INTO THE REGION ON THURSDAY IN THE WAKE OF A COLD FRONT THAT MOVED THROUGH THE REGION ON WEDNESDAY. A PERIOD OF RED FLAG CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED ON THURSDAY AND POSSIBLY ON FRIDAY FROM THIS DRIER AIRMASS. WINDS WILL NOT BE HIGH ENOUGH TO MEET RED FLAG CRITERIA IN GEORGIA EITHER DAY. A GRADUAL MOISTENING TREND WILL BEGIN BY SATURDAY... HOWEVER SIGNIFICANT RAINFALL IS NOT EXPECTED THROUGH EARLY NEXT WEEK. FLZ007-009>011-013-016>019-026>029-020230- /O.UPG.KTAE.FW.A.0075.081002T1600Z-081003T0000Z/ /O.NEW.KTAE.FW.W.0089.081002T1600Z-081003T0000Z/ /O.NEW.KTAE.FW.A.0076.081003T1700Z-081003T2300Z/ /O.CON.KTAE.FW.W.0088.000000T0000Z-081001T2300Z/ INLAND WALTON-HOLMES-WASHINGTON-JACKSON-CALHOUN-GADSDEN-LEON- JEFFERSON-MADISON-LIBERTY-WAKULLA-TAYLOR-LAFAYETTE- 230 PM EDT WED OCT 1 2008 /130 PM CDT WED OCT 1 2008/ ...RED FLAG WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 7 PM EDT /6 PM CDT/ THIS EVENING... ...RED FLAG WARNING IN EFFECT FROM 12 PM EDT /11 AM CDT/ TO 8 PM EDT /7 PM CDT/ THURSDAY... ...FIRE WEATHER WATCH IN EFFECT FROM FRIDAY AFTERNOON THROUGH FRIDAY EVENING... A RED FLAG WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 7 PM EDT /6 PM CDT/ THIS EVENING. THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN TALLAHASSEE HAS ALSO ISSUED A RED FLAG WARNING...WHICH IS IN EFFECT FROM 12 PM EDT /11 AM CDT/ TO 8 PM EDT /7 PM CDT/ THURSDAY. A FIRE WEATHER WATCH HAS ALSO BEEN ISSUED FOR FRIDAY. A RED FLAG WARNING ALSO REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 7 PM EDT /6 PM CDT/ THIS EVENING. LOW RELATIVE HUMIDITIES WILL ACCOMPANY HIGH DISPERSIONS THIS AFTERNOON AND THURSDAY. LONG DURATIONS OF LOW RELATIVE HUMIDITY WILL OCCUR ON THURSDAY. A RED FLAG WARNING MEANS THAT CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS ARE EITHER OCCURRING NOW...OR WILL SHORTLY. A COMBINATION OF STRONG WINDS...LOW RELATIVE HUMIDITY...AND WARM TEMPERATURES WILL ENHANCE FIRE GROWTH POTENTIAL. A FIRE WEATHER WATCH MEANS THAT CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS ARE FORECAST TO OCCUR. LISTEN FOR LATER FORECASTS AND POSSIBLE RED FLAG WARNINGS. $$ FLZ034-020230- /O.UPG.KTAE.FW.A.0075.081002T1600Z-081003T0000Z/ /O.NEW.KTAE.FW.W.0089.081002T1600Z-081003T0000Z/ /O.NEW.KTAE.FW.A.0076.081003T1700Z-081003T2300Z/ /O.EXA.KTAE.FW.W.0088.081001T1800Z-081001T2300Z/ DIXIE- 230 PM EDT WED OCT 1 2008 ...RED FLAG WARNING IN EFFECT UNTIL 7 PM EDT THIS EVENING... ...RED FLAG WARNING IN EFFECT FROM 12 PM TO 8 PM EDT THURSDAY... ...FIRE WEATHER WATCH IN EFFECT FROM FRIDAY AFTERNOON THROUGH FRIDAY EVENING... THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN TALLAHASSEE HAS ISSUED A RED FLAG WARNING...WHICH IS IN EFFECT UNTIL 7 PM EDT THIS EVENING. ANOTHER RED FLAG WARNING HAS BEEN ISSUED FROM 12 PM TO 8 PM EDT THURSDAY. IN ADDITION...A FIRE WEATHER WATCH HAS BEEN ISSUED FOR FRIDAY. A RED FLAG WARNING MEANS THAT CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS ARE EITHER OCCURRING NOW...OR WILL SHORTLY. A COMBINATION OF STRONG WINDS...LOW RELATIVE HUMIDITY...AND WARM TEMPERATURES WILL ENHANCE FIRE GROWTH POTENTIAL. A FIRE WEATHER WATCH MEANS THAT CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS ARE FORECAST TO OCCUR. LISTEN FOR LATER FORECASTS AND POSSIBLE RED FLAG WARNINGS. $$ FLZ014-015-020230- /O.UPG.KTAE.FW.A.0075.081002T1600Z-081003T0000Z/ /O.NEW.KTAE.FW.W.0089.081002T1600Z-081003T0000Z/ /O.EXA.KTAE.FW.W.0088.081001T1800Z-081001T2300Z/ GULF-FRANKLIN- 230 PM EDT WED OCT 1 2008 /130 PM CDT WED OCT 1 2008/ ...RED FLAG WARNING IN EFFECT UNTIL 7 PM EDT /6 PM CDT/ THIS EVENING... ...RED FLAG WARNING IN EFFECT FROM 12 PM EDT /11 AM CDT/ TO 8 PM EDT /7 PM CDT/ THURSDAY... THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN TALLAHASSEE HAS ISSUED A RED FLAG WARNING...WHICH IS IN EFFECT UNTIL 7 PM EDT /6 PM CDT/ THIS EVENING. A RED FLAG WARNING HAS ALSO BEEN ISSUED FOR THURSDAY AFTERNOON FROM FROM 12 PM EDT /11 AM CDT/ TO 8 PM EDT /7 PM CDT/. A RED FLAG WARNING MEANS THAT CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS ARE EITHER OCCURRING NOW...OR WILL SHORTLY. A COMBINATION OF STRONG WINDS...LOW RELATIVE HUMIDITY...AND WARM TEMPERATURES WILL ENHANCE FIRE GROWTH POTENTIAL. $$ FLZ012-020230- /O.UPG.KTAE.FW.A.0075.081002T1600Z-081003T0000Z/ /O.NEW.KTAE.FW.W.0089.081002T1600Z-081003T0000Z/ /O.CON.KTAE.FW.W.0088.000000T0000Z-081001T2300Z/ BAY- 130 PM CDT WED OCT 1 2008 ...RED FLAG WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 PM CDT THIS AFTERNOON... ...RED FLAG WARNING IN EFFECT FROM 11 AM TO 7 PM CDT THURSDAY... A RED FLAG WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 PM CDT. THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN TALLAHASSEE HAS ALSO ISSUED A RED FLAG WARNING...WHICH IS IN EFFECT FROM 11 AM TO 7 PM CDT THURSDAY. A RED FLAG WARNING MEANS THAT CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS ARE EITHER OCCURRING NOW...OR WILL SHORTLY. A COMBINATION OF STRONG WINDS...LOW RELATIVE HUMIDITY...AND WARM TEMPERATURES WILL ENHANCE FIRE GROWTH POTENTIAL. $$ ALZ065>069-020230- /O.UPG.KTAE.FW.A.0075.081002T1700Z-081002T2300Z/ /O.NEW.KTAE.FW.W.0089.081002T1700Z-081002T2300Z/ /O.CON.KTAE.FW.W.0088.000000T0000Z-081001T2300Z/ COFFEE-DALE-HENRY-GENEVA-HOUSTON- 130 PM CDT WED OCT 1 2008 ...RED FLAG WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 PM CDT THIS AFTERNOON... ...RED FLAG WARNING IN EFFECT FROM 12 PM TO 6 PM CDT THURSDAY... A RED FLAG WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 PM CDT. THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN TALLAHASSEE HAS ALSO ISSUED A RED FLAG WARNING...WHICH IS IN EFFECT FROM 12 PM TO 6 PM CDT THURSDAY. A RED FLAG WARNING MEANS THAT CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS ARE EITHER OCCURRING NOW...OR WILL SHORTLY. A COMBINATION OF STRONG WINDS...LOW RELATIVE HUMIDITY...AND WARM TEMPERATURES WILL CREATE EXPLOSIVE FIRE GROWTH POTENTIAL. $$ 38-GODSEY
What forecasters said that day
The local office's own words before this red flag warning went out, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.
NWS Tallahassee, FL wrote its last area forecast discussion before this red flag warning went out at Sep 30, 11:01 AM CDT, 3 hours 23 minutes earlier.
Area forecast discussion, Sep 30, 11:01 AM CDT, 3 hours 23 minutes before
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION...CORRECTED
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TALLAHASSEE FL
1201 PM EDT TUE SEP 30 2008
CORRECTED WWA SECTION TO INCLUDE RFW FOR SE AL.
.UPDATE...WITH WINDS AT DHN AT 10 KT AND RH RUNNING LOWER THAN
FORECAST FOR THIS TIME OF DAY, WE DECIDED TO PULL THE TRIGGER ON A
RED FLAG WARNING FOR OUR SE AL COUNTIES DUE TO THE COMBINATION OF
LOW RH, 20-FT WINDS AND HIGH KBDI. WILL HOLD OFF ON EXTENDING THE
WARNING FURTHER E IN FL FOR NOW.
&&
.DISCUSSION...VERY HIGH AMPLITUDE PATTERN CONTINUES ACROSS N AMERICA
THIS MORNING. THE ERN TROUGH AXIS IS APPROACHING THE FORECAST AREA.
DRIER MID/UPPER LEVEL AIR IS ADVANCING WITH THE TROUGH AXIS AND THE
CIRRUS CLOUDS HAVE ALREADY BEEN DISPLACED E OF THE AREA. SURFACE
ANALYSIS SHOWS A COLD FRONT PUSHING SEWD ACROSS THE TN AND LOWER MS
VALLEYS. LOOKS LIKE ANOTHER DRY DAY ACROSS THE FORECAST AREA WITH
TEMPS THIS AFTERNOON EXPECTED TO RISE A FEW DEGREES ABOVE ONCE
AGAIN. NO UPDATES ARE PLANNED TO THE PUBLIC FORECAST.
&&
.MARINE...THE OFFSHORE WINDS THIS MORNING SHOULD BACK TO WLY THIS
AFTERNOON. AFTER COLD FRONTAL PASSAGE TONIGHT, WE ARE LOOKING FOR
WINDS TO KICK UP TO EXERCISE CAUTION LEVELS WED NIGHT INTO THU. NO
OTHER HIGHLIGHTS ARE ANTICIPATED THROUGH THE FORECAST PERIOD.
&&
.AVIATION...CIRRUS SHIELD SPREADING EAST AND CLEARING TO THE EAST OF
ALL TERMINALS THIS MORNING. WITH LINGERING LOW LEVEL MOISTURE AREAS
OF MVFR VSBYS HAVE DEVELOPED AT MOST OF THE TERMINALS. TLH BRIEFLY
DROPPED TO IFR AROUND 12Z. BY 14Z...ALL SITES WILL BE VFR AS HEATING
AND MIXING ELIMINATE THE BR. EXPECT A VFR DAY WITH ONLY A FEW CU
DEVELOPING IN THE AFTERNOON. SOME SLIGHTLY DRIER AIR WILL LEAD TO
LESS RESTRICTIONS OVERNIGHT...THOUGH A FEW LOCATIONS LIKE TLH AND
VLD MAY SEE A BRIEF PERIOD OF MVFR VSBYS.
&&
.FIRE WEATHER...WE WILL BE CONSIDERING A RED FLAG WARNING FOR TODAY
FOR OUR SE AL COUNTIES. THE RH WILL BE LOW ENOUGH AND THE KBDI IS
ABOVE 500. THE QUESTION IS WHETHER WE WILL BE GET SUFFICIENT WINDS
TO REACH CRITERIA. WE ONLY NEED 10 MPH. LOOKING BACK AT THE
CLIMATOLOGY FOR DHN, WE HAVE REACHED 10 MPH WINDS EVERY DAY BUT 2
THIS MONTH. LOOKING AT THE KTAE SOUNDING, THERE IS NOT A LOT OF WIND
TO MIX DOWN. THE GRADIENT SHOULD TIGHTEN UP A BIT TODAY THOUGH. THE
OTHER ISSUE IS THE EXTENT OF THE WARNING IN FL. THE COUNTIES ALREADY
IN THE WARNING LOOK GOOD, BUT WE ARE CONCERNED THAT IT HAS NOT BEEN
EXTENDED FAR ENOUGH TO THE E...INTO THE FL BIG BEND. WE WILL KEEP A
CLOSE EYE ON TRENDS IN THE OBS AND TRY TO MAKE A FINAL DETERMINATION
ON EXTENDING THE WARNING N AND/OR E BY AROUND NOON.
&&
.PREV DISCUSSION...
407 AM EDT TUE SEP 30 2008
SHORT TERM...(TODAY-THURSDAY).
THE MAIN FOCUS THROUGH THE SHORT-TERM PERIOD WILL BE ON THE COLD
FRONT THAT IS PROGGED TO PUSH ACROSS THE LOCAL FORECAST AREA FROM
NORTHWEST TO SOUTHEAST BEGINNING TONIGHT THROUGH WEDNESDAY. THE
UPPER LEVELS WILL REMAIN QUITE AMPLIFIED THROUGH THE PERIOD WITH A
TROUGH OVER THE EASTERN STATES AND A RIDGE OUT WEST. THE SHORTWAVE
ASSOCIATED WITH THE PREVIOUSLY MENTIONED COLD FRONT IS CURRENTLY
NORTHWEST OF OUR AREA AND CONTINUES DIG SOUTH INTO THE REGION.
ALTHOUGH WE DO NOT ANTICIPATE MUCH IN THE WAY OF SHOWER ACTIVITY
AHEAD OF THIS BOUNDARY...PLENTY OF COLD AIR ADVECTION AND LIGHT TO
MODERATE NORTHERLY WINDS IN ITS WAKE WILL USHER IN A VERY COOL AND
DRY AIRMASS OVER THE REGION. THESE NORTHERLY WINDS MAY BE QUITE
GUSTY THROUGH THE DAY WEDNESDAY. A BLEND OF THE BIAS CORRECTED AND
MAV GUIDANCE WAS USED FOR T/TD IN THE GRIDS THROUGH THE PERIOD.
TEMPERATURES ARE EXPECTED TO FALL BELOW NORMAL WEDNESDAY NIGHT
THROUGH THE END OF THE PERIOD. THE OVERNIGHT LOWS WEDNESDAY NIGHT
WILL RANGE FROM THE UPPER 40S ACROSS PORTIONS OF SOUTHEAST ALABAMA
TO THE MID TO UPPER 50S NEAR THE COAST. ISOLATED COOL SPOTS AROUND
THE INLAND AREAS COULD OBSERVE COOLER TEMPERATURES THAN THIS.
LONG TERM...(THURSDAY NIGHT THROUGH TUESDAY).
THE GFS AND ECMWF BEGIN THE LONG TERM PERIOD IN GOOD AGREEMENT
FRIDAY...WITH A DEEP TROUGH OVER THE EASTERN CONUS AND A COOL DRY
AIRMASS IN PLACE OVER OUR AREA. THE TIGHTLY CLUSTERED GFS MOS AND
BIAS CORRECTED FORECAST CALL FOR LOWS FRIDAY MORNING IN THE UPPER
40S TO LOWER 50S INLAND. A SLOW WARMING TREND WILL BEGIN SATURDAY
AS THE EASTERN CONUS TROUGH LIFTS OUT AND THE BOUNDARY LAYER WINDS
VEER FROM NORTH TO EAST. AS WAS THE CASE LAST NIGHT...THE MODELS
DIVERGE SIGNIFICANTLY BY SUNDAY. THE GFS FORECASTS A MORE ACTIVE
BAROCLINIC SYSTEM OVER THE EASTERN GULF AND FLORIDA PENINSULA THAN
THE 12 UTC MONDAY ECMWF...AND THE 00 UTC GFS ENSEMBLE MEAN IS
SOMEWHERE IN BETWEEN. BY EARLY NEXT WEEK...THE GFS DEVELOPS A
LARGE DEEP LAYER LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM OVER THE SOUTHERN PLAINS. IT
ALSO TAKES A SERIES OF SHORT WAVES OVER THE SOUTHEAST U.S. AHEAD
OF THIS LOW. THE ECMWF FORECASTS DEEP LAYER RIDGING AND DRY
CONDITIONS OVER THE SOUTHEAST...AND THE GFS ENSEMBLE MEAN IS IN
BETWEEN. OBVIOUSLY THIS IS A LOW CONFIDENCE FORECAST GIVEN THE
TREMENDOUS SPREAD IN THE GLOBAL MODEL SOLUTIONS. WE WILL DO WHAT
WE USUALLY DO IN THESE SITUATIONS...AND FORECAST TEMPERATURES AND
POP NEAR CLIMATOLOGY.
&&
.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
TALLAHASSEE 90 63 86 52 83 / 10 10 0 0 0
PANAMA CITY 88 67 83 59 82 / 10 10 0 0 0
DOTHAN 89 61 81 50 81 / 0 0 0 0 0
ALBANY 90 61 84 53 81 / 10 10 0 0 0
VALDOSTA 89 63 86 52 81 / 10 10 0 0 0
CROSS CITY 87 67 88 55 82 / 10 10 0 0 0
&&
.TAE WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
AL...RED FLAG WARNING UNTIL 00Z WED ALL ZONES.
GA...NONE.
FL...RED FLAG WARNING FROM 1 PM TO 6 PM CDT THIS AFTERNOON FOR THE
FOLLOWING ZONES: BAY...CALHOUN...HOLMES...INLAND WALTON...
JACKSON...WASHINGTON.
GM...NONE.
&&
AVIATION...GODSEY
PREVIOUS DISCUSSION...FOURNIER/GIBBS
REST OF DISCUSSION...WOOLHazardous weather outlook, Sep 30, 3:23 AM CDT, 11 hours 1 minute before
HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TALLAHASSEE FL 423 AM EDT TUE SEP 30 2008 ALZ065>069-FLZ007>019-026>029-034-GAZ120>131-142>148-155>161- GMZ730-750-755-765-770-775-011000- COFFEE-DALE-HENRY-GENEVA-HOUSTON-INLAND WALTON-COASTAL WALTON- HOLMES-WASHINGTON-JACKSON-BAY-CALHOUN-GULF-FRANKLIN-GADSDEN-LEON- JEFFERSON-MADISON-LIBERTY-WAKULLA-TAYLOR-LAFAYETTE-DIXIE-QUITMAN- CLAY-RANDOLPH-TERRELL-DOUGHERTY-LEE-WORTH-TURNER-TIFT-BEN HILL- IRWIN-EARLY-MILLER-BAKER-MITCHELL-COLQUITT-COOK-BERRIEN-SEMINOLE- DECATUR-GRADY-THOMAS-BROOKS-LOWNDES-LANIER- APALACHEE BAY OR COASTAL WATERS FROM KEATON BEACH TO OCHLOCKONEE RIVER FL OUT TO 20 NM- COASTAL WATERS FROM APALACHICOLA TO DESTIN FL OUT 20 NM- COASTAL WATERS FROM OCHLOCKONEE RIVER TO APALACHICOLA FL OUT TO 20 NM- COASTAL WATERS FROM SUWANNEE RIVER TO KEATON BEACH OUT 20 NM- WATERS FROM APALACHICOLA TO DESTIN FL FROM 20 TO 60 NM- WATERS FROM SUWANNEE RIVER TO APALACHICOLA FL FROM 20 TO 60 NM- 423 AM EDT TUE SEP 30 2008 /323 AM CDT TUE SEP 30 2008/ THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR SOUTHEAST ALABAMA... SOUTHWEST AND SOUTH CENTRAL GEORGIA...AND THE FLORIDA BIG BEND AND PANHANDLE...AND ADJACENT COASTAL WATERS. .DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT... PARTLY CLOUDY SKIES WITH TEMPERATURES CLIMBING INTO THE UPPER 80S WILL BE EXPECTED TODAY. A COLD FRONT WILL APPROACH FROM THE NORTHWEST AND WILL BEGIN TO MOVE OVER THE TRI-STATE AREA FROM NORTHWEST TO SOUTHEAST TONIGHT. .DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...WEDNESDAY THROUGH MONDAY... A MUCH COOLER AND DRIER AIRMASS WITH LIGHT TO MODERATE NORTHERLY WINDS ASSOCIATED WITH A COLD FRONT WILL MOVE OVER THE LOCAL AREA THROUGH THE SECOND HALF OF THE WORK WEEK. TEMPERATURES ARE EXPECTED TO FALL BELOW NORMAL WITH OVERNIGHT LOWS RANGING FROM THE UPPER 40S TO LOWER 50S INLAND TO THE UPPER 50S NEAR THE COAST WEDNESDAY AND THURSDAY NIGHTS. A GRADUAL WARMING TREND WITH ISOLATED SHOWERS WILL BE EXPECTED THROUGH THE UPCOMING WEEKEND. .SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT... SPOTTER ACTIVATION WILL NOT BE NEEDED. FOR ADDITIONAL INFORMATION...VISIT THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE WEBSITE ON THE INTERNET AT WEATHER.GOV...THEN CLICK ON YOUR AREA OF INTEREST ON THE NATIONAL MAP.
The office that day
Everything else NWS Tallahassee, FL issued on the same UTC day.
| Issued | Product | Office | Counties | Lasted |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 30, 3:15 AM CDT | Red Flag Warning | TAE | Bay, Calhoun, Dixie, Holmes, Jackson, Walton and 1 more | 15 hr |
| Sep 30, 2:24 PM CDT | Fire Weather Watch | TAE | Bay, Calhoun, Dixie, Franklin, Gadsden, Gulf and 10 more | 23 hr |
| Sep 30, 2:24 PM CDT | Fire Weather Watch | TAE | Coffee, Dale, Geneva, Henry, Houston | 13 hr |
Nearby
Red Flag Warnings in Florida, 2008Red Flag Warnings in Alabama, 2008Every red flag warning in 2008
Sources
The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; the sounding from the Mesonet's radiosonde archive; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive.