Red Flag Warning 82, NWS Tallahassee, FL

Coffee County, AL, Dale County, AL, Geneva County, AL, Henry County, AL, Houston County, AL, Bay County, FL, Calhoun County, FL, Dixie County, FL, Franklin County, FL, Gadsden County, FL, Gulf County, FL, Holmes County, FL, Jackson County, FL, Jefferson County, FL, Lafayette County, FL, Leon County, FL, Madison County, FL, Taylor County, FL, Wakulla County, FL, Walton County, FL, Washington County, FL

000 
WWUS82 KTAE 240014
RFWTAE

RED FLAG WARNING
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TALLAHASSEE FL
814 PM EDT TUE SEP 23 2008

...A RED FLAG WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR WEDNESDAY
AFTERNOON FOR SOUTHEAST ALABAMA...THE FLORIDA BIG BEND...
AND EASTERN FLORIDA PANHANDLE FOR LOW RELATIVE HUMIDITY...
HIGH WINDS...AND HIGH DISPERSION...

.DISCUSSION...DRIER AIR CONTINUES TO WORK ITS WAY INTO THE
REGION...AND WILL REMAIN IN PLACE FOR MUCH OF THE WEEK. ON
WEDNESDAY...THE RELATIVE HUMIDITY IS EXPECTED TO DIP BELOW
30 PERCENT FOR AN EXTENDED PERIOD OF TIME ALONG WITH GUSTY
NORTHEAST WINDS TO PRODUCE RED FLAG CONDITIONS OVER MUCH OF THE
EASTERN FLORIDA PANHANDLE AND FLORIDA BIG BEND...AS WELL AS
SOUTHEAST ALABAMA. CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED TO REMAIN QUITE DRY ON
THURSDAY...ALTHOUGH WINDS WILL BE DECREASING. FIRE WEATHER
WATCHES MAY BECOME NECESSARY OVER PORTIONS OF THE AREA FOR
THURSDAY AFTERNOON.

FLZ007-009>019-026>029-034-241130-
/O.CON.KTAE.FW.W.0082.080924T1600Z-080924T2300Z/
INLAND WALTON-HOLMES-WASHINGTON-JACKSON-BAY-CALHOUN-GULF-FRANKLIN-
GADSDEN-LEON-JEFFERSON-MADISON-LIBERTY-WAKULLA-TAYLOR-LAFAYETTE-
DIXIE-
814 PM EDT TUE SEP 23 2008 /714 PM CDT TUE SEP 23 2008/

...RED FLAG WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 12 PM EDT /11 AM CDT/
TO 7 PM EDT /6 PM CDT/ WEDNESDAY...

THE RELATIVE HUMIDITY WILL DROP BELOW 35 PERCENT EARLY WEDNESDAY
AFTERNOON...AND REMAIN BELOW THIS LEVEL UNTIL LATE AFTERNOON
OR EARLY EVENING. SUSTAINED WINDS AROUND 15 MPH AND DISPERSION 
VALUES ABOVE 75 ARE ALSO EXPECTED. 

A RED FLAG WARNING MEANS THAT CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS
ARE EITHER OCCURRING NOW...OR WILL SHORTLY. A COMBINATION OF LOW
RELATIVE HUMIDITY...STRONG WINDS...AND HIGH DISPERSION INDEXES
WILL ENHANCE FIRE GROWTH POTENTIAL.

$$

ALZ065>069-241130-
/O.CON.KTAE.FW.W.0082.080924T1700Z-080924T2200Z/
COFFEE-DALE-HENRY-GENEVA-HOUSTON-
714 PM CDT TUE SEP 23 2008

...RED FLAG WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 12 PM TO 5 PM CDT
WEDNESDAY...

THE RELATIVE HUMIDITY WILL DROP BELOW 30 PERCENT EARLY WEDNESDAY
AFTERNOON...AND REMAIN BELOW THIS LEVEL UNTIL LATE AFTERNOON.
SUSTAINED WINDS AROUND 15 MPH ARE ALSO EXPECTED.

A RED FLAG WARNING MEANS THAT CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS
ARE EITHER OCCURRING NOW...OR WILL SHORTLY. A COMBINATION OF LOW
RELATIVE HUMIDITY AND STRONG WINDS WILL ENHANCE FIRE GROWTH
POTENTIAL.

$$

FOURNIER

000 
WWUS82 KTAE 241818
RFWTAE

RED FLAG WARNING
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TALLAHASSEE FL
218 PM EDT WED SEP 24 2008

...THE RED FLAG WARNING THAT WAS IN EFFECT FOR THIS AFTERNOON FOR 
MADISON...LAFAYETTE AND DIXIE COUNTIES HAS BEEN DISCONTINUED...

...A RED FLAG WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR THE REST OF THIS
AFTERNOON AND INTO THE EARLY EVENING FOR THE REST OF THE FLORIDA
BIG BEND...FOR ALL OF THE FLORIDA PANHANDLE...AND FOR ALL OF
SOUTHEAST ALABAMA..FOR LOW RELATIVE HUMIDITY...HIGH WINDS...AND
HIGH DISPERSION...

...A FIRE WEATHER WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM THURSDAY AFTERNOON
THROUGH EVENING FOR ALL OF THE FLORIDA ZONES AND FOR ALL OF
SOUTHEAST ALABAMA...

.DISCUSSION...DRIER AIR CONTINUES TO WORK ITS WAY INTO THE
REGION...AND WILL REMAIN IN PLACE FOR MUCH OF THE WEEK. 
HOWEVER...ENOUGH LOW LEVEL CLOUDS WILL EXIST ACROSS OR NEAR THE
EASTERN BIG BEND TO PRECLUDE RED FLAG CONDITIONS DURING THE REST
OF THIS AFTERNOON AND INTO THIS EVENING.

FLZ019-029-034-250000-
/O.CAN.KTAE.FW.W.0082.000000T0000Z-080924T2300Z/
/O.NEW.KTAE.FW.A.0070.080925T1700Z-080926T0000Z/
MADISON-LAFAYETTE-DIXIE-
218 PM EDT WED SEP 24 2008

...FIRE WEATHER WATCH IN EFFECT FROM THURSDAY AFTERNOON THROUGH
THURSDAY EVENING...
...RED FLAG WARNING IS CANCELED...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN TALLAHASSEE HAS ISSUED A FIRE
WEATHER WATCH...WHICH IS IN EFFECT FROM THURSDAY AFTERNOON
THROUGH THURSDAY EVENING. THE RED FLAG WARNING HAS BEEN
CANCELED. 

A FIRE WEATHER WATCH MEANS THAT CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS
ARE FORECAST TO OCCUR. LISTEN FOR LATER  FORECASTS AND POSSIBLE
RED FLAG WARNINGS.

$$

FLZ007-009>018-026>028-250000-
/O.NEW.KTAE.FW.A.0070.080925T1700Z-080926T0000Z/
/O.EXT.KTAE.FW.W.0082.000000T0000Z-080925T0000Z/
INLAND WALTON-HOLMES-WASHINGTON-JACKSON-BAY-CALHOUN-GULF-FRANKLIN-
GADSDEN-LEON-JEFFERSON-LIBERTY-WAKULLA-TAYLOR-
218 PM EDT WED SEP 24 2008 /118 PM CDT WED SEP 24 2008/

...RED FLAG WARNING NOW IN EFFECT UNTIL 8 PM EDT /7 PM CDT/ THIS
EVENING...
...FIRE WEATHER WATCH IN EFFECT FROM THURSDAY AFTERNOON THROUGH
THURSDAY EVENING...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN TALLAHASSEE HAS ISSUED A FIRE
WEATHER WATCH...WHICH IS IN EFFECT FROM THURSDAY AFTERNOON
THROUGH THURSDAY EVENING. THE RED FLAG WARNING IS NOW IN EFFECT
UNTIL 8 PM EDT /7 PM CDT/ THIS EVENING. 

A RED FLAG WARNING MEANS THAT CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS
ARE EITHER OCCURRING NOW...OR WILL SHORTLY. A COMBINATION OF LOW
RELATIVE HUMIDITY...STRONG WINDS...AND HIGH DISPERSION INDEXES
WILL ENHANCE FIRE GROWTH POTENTIAL.

A FIRE WEATHER WATCH MEANS THAT CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS
ARE FORECAST TO OCCUR. LISTEN FOR LATER  FORECASTS AND POSSIBLE
RED FLAG WARNINGS.

$$

ALZ065>069-250000-
/O.NEW.KTAE.FW.A.0070.080925T1800Z-080925T2200Z/
/O.CON.KTAE.FW.W.0082.000000T0000Z-080924T2200Z/
COFFEE-DALE-HENRY-GENEVA-HOUSTON-
118 PM CDT WED SEP 24 2008

...RED FLAG WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 5 PM CDT THIS
AFTERNOON...
...FIRE WEATHER WATCH IN EFFECT THURSDAY AFTERNOON...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN TALLAHASSEE HAS ISSUED A FIRE
WEATHER WATCH...WHICH IS IN EFFECT THURSDAY AFTERNOON. A RED FLAG
WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 5 PM CDT THIS AFTERNOON. 

A RED FLAG WARNING MEANS THAT CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS
ARE EITHER OCCURRING NOW...OR WILL SHORTLY. A COMBINATION OF LOW
RELATIVE HUMIDITY AND STRONG WINDS WILL ENHANCE FIRE GROWTH
POTENTIAL.

A FIRE WEATHER WATCH MEANS THAT CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS
ARE FORECAST TO OCCUR. LISTEN FOR LATER  FORECASTS AND POSSIBLE
RED FLAG WARNINGS.

$$

BLOCK

000 
WWUS82 KTAE 241924
RFWTAE

RED FLAG WARNING
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TALLAHASSEE FL
324 PM EDT WED SEP 24 2008

...A RED FLAG WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR THE REST OF THIS
AFTERNOON AND INTO THE EARLY EVENING FOR THE FLORIDA BIG BEND
EXCEPT FOR DIXIE...LAFAYETTE AND MADISON COUNTIES...AND FOR 
ALL OF THE FLORIDA PANHANDLE...AND FOR ALL OF SOUTHEAST
ALABAMA...FOR LOW RELATIVE HUMIDITY...AND HIGH DISPERSION...
AND IN THE CASE OF FLORIDA ALSO HIGH WINDS...AND IN THE CASE OF
ALABAMA ALSO KBDI INDICES ABOVE 500.

...A RED FLAG WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR THURSDAY AFTERNOON FOR ALL
OF THE FLORIDA PANHANDLE...AND FOR ALL OF THE BIG BEND EXCEPT FOR
LAFAYETTE AND DIXIE COUNTIES FOR LOW HUMIDITY AND HIGH DISPERSION
INDICES...

...A FIRE WEATHER WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM THURSDAY AFTERNOON
FOR FOR ALL OF SOUTHEAST ALABAMA FOR LOW HUMIDITY...WINDS AROUND
10 MPH AND A KBDI IN EXCESS OF 500...

...A FIRE WEATHER WATCH HAS BEEN ISSUED FOR FRIDAY AFTERNOON FOR ALL
OF THE FLORIDA PANHANDLE AND BIG BEND AND FOR ALL OF SOUTHEAST
ALABAMA DUE TO LOW HUMIDITY AND HIGH DISPERSION INDICES...

.DISCUSSION...DRIER AIR CONTINUES TO WORK ITS WAY SOUTHWESTWARD INTO
THE TRI-STATE REGION...AND WILL REMAIN IN PLACE FOR MUCH OF THE
REST OF THE WEEK. ALTHOUGH WINDS WILL DECREASE...DISPERSION
INDICES WILL REMAIN HIGH. ADDITIONALLY THE KBDI INDEX WILL REMAIN
ABOVE 500 ACROSS SOUTHEAST ALABAMA. THUS RED FLAG OR FIRE WEATHER
WATCH CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED DURING THE NEXT FEW DAYS IN THESE
AREA.

FLZ029-034-250015-
/O.CAN.KTAE.FW.A.0070.080925T1700Z-080926T0000Z/
/O.NEW.KTAE.FW.A.0071.080926T1800Z-080926T2200Z/
LAFAYETTE-DIXIE-
324 PM EDT WED SEP 24 2008

...FIRE WEATHER WATCH IN EFFECT FRIDAY AFTERNOON...
...FIRE WEATHER WATCH FOR WEDNESDAY AFTERNOON HAS BEEN CANCELED...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN TALLAHASSEE HAS ISSUED A FIRE
WEATHER WATCH...WHICH IS IN EFFECT FRIDAY AFTERNOON. THE FIRE
WEATHER WATCH THAT WAS IN EFFECT HAS BEEN CANCELED. 

A FIRE WEATHER WATCH MEANS THAT CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS
ARE FORECAST TO OCCUR. LISTEN FOR LATER FORECASTS AND POSSIBLE
RED FLAG WARNINGS.

$$

FLZ007-009>018-026>028-250015-
/O.UPG.KTAE.FW.A.0070.080925T1700Z-080926T0000Z/
/O.NEW.KTAE.FW.W.0083.080925T1700Z-080925T2200Z/
/O.NEW.KTAE.FW.A.0071.080926T1800Z-080926T2200Z/
/O.CON.KTAE.FW.W.0082.000000T0000Z-080925T0000Z/
INLAND WALTON-HOLMES-WASHINGTON-JACKSON-BAY-CALHOUN-GULF-FRANKLIN-
GADSDEN-LEON-JEFFERSON-LIBERTY-WAKULLA-TAYLOR-
324 PM EDT WED SEP 24 2008 /224 PM CDT WED SEP 24 2008/

...RED FLAG WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 8 PM EDT /7 PM CDT/
THIS EVENING...
...RED FLAG WARNING IN EFFECT FROM 1 PM EDT /12 PM CDT/ TO 6 PM
EDT /5 PM CDT/ THURSDAY...
...FIRE WEATHER WATCH IN EFFECT FRIDAY AFTERNOON...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN TALLAHASSEE HAS ISSUED A RED FLAG
WARNING...WHICH IS IN EFFECT FROM 1 PM EDT /12 PM CDT/ TO 6 PM
EDT /5 PM CDT/ THURSDAY. A FIRE WEATHER IS IN EFFECT FRIDAY
AFTERNOON. A RED FLAG WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 8 PM EDT /7
PM CDT/ THIS EVENING.

A RED FLAG WARNING MEANS THAT CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS
ARE EITHER OCCURRING NOW...OR WILL SHORTLY.
A COMBINATION OF STRONG WINDS...LOW RELATIVE HUMIDITY...AND WARM
TEMPERATURES WILL CREATE EXPLOSIVE FIRE GROWTH POTENTIAL.

A FIRE WEATHER WATCH MEANS THAT CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS
ARE FORECAST TO OCCUR. LISTEN FOR LATER  FORECASTS AND POSSIBLE
RED FLAG WARNINGS.

$$

FLZ019-250015-
/O.UPG.KTAE.FW.A.0070.080925T1700Z-080926T0000Z/
/O.NEW.KTAE.FW.W.0083.080925T1700Z-080925T2200Z/
/O.NEW.KTAE.FW.A.0071.080926T1800Z-080926T2200Z/
MADISON-
324 PM EDT WED SEP 24 2008

...RED FLAG WARNING IN EFFECT FROM 1 PM TO 6 PM EDT THURSDAY...
...FIRE WEATHER WATCH IN EFFECT FRIDAY AFTERNOON...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN TALLAHASSEE HAS ISSUED A RED FLAG
WARNING...WHICH IS IN EFFECT FROM 1 PM TO 6 PM EDT THURSDAY. A
FIRE WEATHER WATCH IS IN EFFECT FRIDAY AFTERNOON. 

A RED FLAG WARNING MEANS THAT CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS
ARE EITHER OCCURRING NOW...OR WILL SHORTLY. A COMBINATION OF
STRONG WINDS...LOW RELATIVE HUMIDITY...AND WARM TEMPERATURES WILL
CREATE EXPLOSIVE FIRE GROWTH POTENTIAL.

A FIRE WEATHER WATCH MEANS THAT CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS
ARE FORECAST TO OCCUR. LISTEN FOR LATER FORECASTS AND POSSIBLE
RED FLAG WARNINGS.

$$

ALZ065>069-250015-
/O.NEW.KTAE.FW.A.0071.080926T1800Z-080926T2200Z/
/O.CON.KTAE.FW.W.0082.000000T0000Z-080924T2200Z/
/O.CON.KTAE.FW.A.0070.080925T1800Z-080925T2200Z/
COFFEE-DALE-HENRY-GENEVA-HOUSTON-
224 PM CDT WED SEP 24 2008

...RED FLAG WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 5 PM CDT THIS
AFTERNOON...
...FIRE WEATHER WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT THURSDAY AFTERNOON...
...FIRE WEATHER WATCH IN EFFECT FRIDAY AFTERNOON...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN TALLAHASSEE HAS ISSUED A FIRE
WEATHER WATCH...WHICH IS IN EFFECT FRIDAY AFTERNOON. A RED FLAG
WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 5 PM CDT THIS AFTERNOON. A FIRE
WEATHER WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT THURSDAY AFTERNOON. 

A RED FLAG WARNING MEANS THAT CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS
ARE EITHER OCCURRING NOW...OR WILL SHORTLY. A COMBINATION OF LOW
RELATIVE HUMIDITY AND STRONG WINDS WILL ENHANCE FIRE GROWTH
POTENTIAL.

A FIRE WEATHER WATCH MEANS THAT CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS
ARE FORECAST TO OCCUR. LISTEN FOR LATER  FORECASTS AND POSSIBLE
RED FLAG WARNINGS.

$$

BLOCK

000 
WWUS82 KTAE 250007
RFWTAE

RED FLAG WARNING
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TALLAHASSEE FL
807 PM EDT WED SEP 24 2008

...A RED FLAG WARNING IS IN EFFECT THURSDAY AFTERNOON FOR ALL OF
THE FLORIDA PANHANDLE...AND FOR ALL OF THE FLORIDA BIG BEND EXCEPT
LAFAYETTE AND DIXIE COUNTIES FOR LOW RELATIVE HUMIDITY AND HIGH
DISPERSION INDICES...

...A FIRE WEATHER WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT THURSDAY AFTERNOON FOR
SOUTHEAST ALABAMA DUE TO LOW RELATIVE HUMIDITY...SUSTAINED WIND
SPEEDS AROUND 10 MPH...AND KBDI VALUES IN EXCESS OF 500...

...A FIRE WEATHER WATCH HAS BEEN ISSUED FOR FRIDAY AFTERNOON FOR
THE FLORIDA PANHANDLE...BIG BEND AND SOUTHEAST ALABAMA DUE TO LOW
RELATIVE HUMIDITY AND HIGH DISPERSION INDICES...

.DISCUSSION...DRIER AIR CONTINUES TO WORK SOUTHWESTWARD INTO THE
TRI-STATE REGION...AND WILL REMAIN IN PLACE FOR THE REST OF THE
WEEK. ALTHOUGH WINDS WILL DECREASE...DISPERSION INDICES WILL
REMAIN HIGH. ALSO...KBDI VALUES WILL REMAIN ABOVE 500 ACROSS
SOUTHEAST ALABAMA.

FLZ007-009>018-026>028-251130-
/O.EXP.KTAE.FW.W.0082.000000T0000Z-080925T0000Z/
/O.CON.KTAE.FW.W.0083.080925T1700Z-080925T2200Z/
/O.CON.KTAE.FW.A.0071.080926T1800Z-080926T2200Z/
INLAND WALTON-HOLMES-WASHINGTON-JACKSON-BAY-CALHOUN-GULF-FRANKLIN-
GADSDEN-LEON-JEFFERSON-LIBERTY-WAKULLA-TAYLOR-
807 PM EDT WED SEP 24 2008 /707 PM CDT WED SEP 24 2008/

...RED FLAG WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 1 PM EDT /12 PM CDT/
TO 6 PM EDT /5 PM CDT/ THURSDAY...
...FIRE WEATHER WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FRIDAY AFTERNOON...
...RED FLAG WARNING HAS EXPIRED FOR TODAY...

THE RED FLAG WARNING IS NO LONGER IN EFFECT. A RED FLAG WARNING
REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 1 PM EDT /12 PM CDT/ TO 6 PM EDT /5 PM
CDT/ THURSDAY. A FIRE WEATHER WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FRIDAY
AFTERNOON.

A RED FLAG WARNING MEANS THAT CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS
ARE EITHER OCCURRING NOW...OR WILL SHORTLY. THE COMBINATION OF
WINDS...LOW RELATIVE HUMIDITY...AND WARM TEMPERATURES WILL ENHANCE
FIRE GROWTH POTENTIAL.

A FIRE WEATHER WATCH MEANS THAT CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS
ARE FORECAST TO OCCUR. LISTEN FOR LATER  FORECASTS AND POSSIBLE
RED FLAG WARNINGS.

$$

FLZ019-251130-
/O.CON.KTAE.FW.W.0083.080925T1700Z-080925T2200Z/
/O.CON.KTAE.FW.A.0071.080926T1800Z-080926T2200Z/
MADISON-
807 PM EDT WED SEP 24 2008

...RED FLAG WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 1 PM TO 6 PM EDT
THURSDAY...
...FIRE WEATHER WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FRIDAY AFTERNOON...

A RED FLAG WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 1 PM TO 6 PM EDT
THURSDAY. A FIRE WEATHER WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FRIDAY
AFTERNOON. 

A RED FLAG WARNING MEANS THAT CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS
ARE EITHER OCCURRING NOW...OR WILL SHORTLY. THE COMBINATION OF
WINDS...LOW RELATIVE HUMIDITY...AND WARM TEMPERATURES WILL ENHANCE
FIRE GROWTH POTENTIAL.

A FIRE WEATHER WATCH MEANS THAT CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS
ARE FORECAST TO OCCUR. LISTEN FOR LATER FORECASTS AND POSSIBLE
RED FLAG WARNINGS.

$$

ALZ065>069-251130-
/O.CON.KTAE.FW.A.0070.080925T1800Z-080925T2200Z/
/O.CON.KTAE.FW.A.0071.080926T1800Z-080926T2200Z/
COFFEE-DALE-HENRY-GENEVA-HOUSTON-
707 PM CDT WED SEP 24 2008

...FIRE WEATHER WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT THURSDAY AFTERNOON...
...FIRE WEATHER WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FRIDAY AFTERNOON...

A FIRE WEATHER WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR THURSDAY AND FRIDAY
AFTERNOONS.

A FIRE WEATHER WATCH MEANS THAT CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS
ARE FORECAST TO OCCUR. LISTEN FOR LATER FORECASTS AND POSSIBLE RED
FLAG WARNINGS.

$$

FLZ029-034-251130-
/O.CON.KTAE.FW.A.0071.080926T1800Z-080926T2200Z/
LAFAYETTE-DIXIE-
807 PM EDT WED SEP 24 2008

...FIRE WEATHER WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FRIDAY AFTERNOON...

A FIRE WEATHER WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FRIDAY AFTERNOON. 

A FIRE WEATHER WATCH MEANS THAT CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS
ARE FORECAST TO OCCUR. LISTEN FOR LATER FORECASTS AND POSSIBLE
RED FLAG WARNINGS.

$$

JAMSKI

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TALLAHASSEE FL
150 PM EDT TUE SEP 23 2008

.SYNOPSIS...WITH A 1035 MB SFC RIDGE ANCHORED TO OUR NE...A MOSTLY
SUNNY...WARM...AND VERY DRY DAY IS UNFOLDING ACROSS MUCH OF THE
REGION THIS AFTERNOON... WITH SOMEWHAT BREEZY NE WINDS AT TIMES.
DESPITE PWS DROPPING FROM 1.68 AT TAE LAST NIGHT AT 00 UTC TO
1.15 THIS MORNING AT 12 UTC...AM STILL HESITANT TO REMOVE THE
SLIGHT CHANCE POPS FOR THE SE FL BIG BEND...ESPECIALLY AFTER THE
LATE SHOWER OUTBREAK YESTERDAY AFTERNOON...AND THE FACT THE 06 UTC
RUN OF OUR WORKSTATION WRF IS IN INDICATING SCT SHOWERS DEVELOPING
BETWEEN 20 AND 23 UTC FOR DIXIE...TAYLOR...AND LAFAYETTE COUNTIES.
ALSO...AS OF 1030 AM EDT THIS MORNING...A REASONABLE CU FIELD IS
DEVELOPING OVER  THE EAST COAST OF FL IN THE BRISK NE FLOW...AND
THIS WILL LIKELY MORPH INTO A WEAK EAST COAST SEA BREEZE FRONT AS
THE DAY WEARS ON. OVER OUR COASTAL WATERS...WINDS AND SEAS HAVE
INCREASED A BIT AHEAD OF SCHEDULE...AND WILL NEED TO BUMP UP THE
SCEC TO AN SCA FOR ALL BUT OUR EASTERNMOST LEG.

&&

.SHORT TERM...AS IS OFTEN THE CASE THIS TIME OF YEAR...THE FOCUS OF
THE FCST ACROSS THE CWA CAN QUICKLY SHIFT FROM WARM AND HUMID
CONDITIONS WITH SCT SEA BREEZE SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS...TO
QUICKLY UNFOLDING FIRE WX CONCERNS DUE TO VERY DRY CONTINENTAL AIR.
THE SFC RIDGE RESPONSIBLE FOR THIS SHOT OF DRY AIR CONTINUES TO HOLD
STRONG TO OUR NE...WHILE THE FIRST SIGNS OF THE EXPECTED SFC
CYCLOGENESIS ARE BEGINNING TO TAKE PLACE OFF THE COAST OF THE
CAROLINAS. AS THIS LOW DEVELOPS AND HEADS NORTHWARD...EXPECT THE CWA
TO REMAIN FREE FROM POPS DURING THE NEXT FEW DAYS...WITH HIGH TEMPS
REACHING THE MID 80S AND LOW TEMPS PERHAPS BOTTOMING OUT IN THE
LOWER TO MID 50S ACROSS PORTIONS OF THE INTERIOR ON WED AND THU
NIGHTS AS LONG AS SFC WINDS SUBSIDE. FOR TONIGHT...ANTICIPATE 5 TO 10
MPH NE WINDS TO HOLD FOR MUCH OF THE TIME FRAME...WHICH SHOULD KEEP
LOWS OVER MOST LOCATIONS IN THE UPPER 50S TO MIDDLE 60S.

&&

.LONG TERM...WE PLAN TO FOLLOW THE 00Z GFS SOLUTION WITH RESPECT TO
THE EVOLUTION OF THE SURFACE LOW OFF THE SE U.S. COAST. HOWEVER, IT
SHOULD BE NOTED THAT THERE IS STILL DISAGREEMENT AMONG THE VARIOUS
MODELS AS TO HOW THIS LOW WILL EVOLVE AND INTERACT WITH OR RESPOND
TO THE TROPICAL ENTITY TRYING TO ORGANIZE NEAR HISPANIOLA. IF THE
22/12Z EURO VERIFIES THEN THE WX WILL BE MUCH CLOUDIER AND WETTER
THAN WE ARE GOING TO FORECAST. BASED ON THE GFS THEN...WE WILL SEE
DRY WX PERSIST THROUGH THIS PERIOD AS DRY AIR CONTINUES TO BE DRAWN
SWD INTO THE FORECAST AREA ON THE BACK SIDE OF THE LOW OFF THE
CAROLINA COAST. TEMPS WILL START OUT CONSIDERABLY COOLER THAN NORMAL
THU NIGHT INTO FRI MORNING, ALTHOUGH WE DO NOT PLAN TO GO AS LOW AS
THE MEX GUIDANCE. MIN TEMPS WILL ONLY GRADUALLY MODIFY ON SUBSEQUENT
NIGHTS. FOR THE WEEKEND, WELL SHOW A FEW MORE CLOUDS AS WEAK
TROUGHING SAGS INTO THE AREA IN THE WAKE OF THE DEPARTING COASTAL
SYSTEM. FOR EARLY NEXT WEEK, CHANCE POPS WILL RETURN TO THE FORECAST
AS BOTH THE GFS AND EURO SHOW MOISTURE AND A FRONT LIFTING NWD UP
THE FL PENINSULA.

&&

.AVIATION....VFR CONDITIONS UNDER MOSTLY SUNNY SKIES TO CONTINUE
INTO THE EARLY EVENING. WINDS ARE GUSTY OUT OF THE NORTHEAST BETWEEN
10 AND 20 KNOTS AND EXPECT THIS TO CONTINUE THROUGH SUNSET BEFORE
SETTLING BELOW 10 KNOTS FOR THE OVERNIGHT. VFR CONDITIONS CONTINUE
OVERNIGHT UNDER GENERALLY CLEAR SKIES. EXPECT WINDS TO ONCE AGAIN
PICK UP BETWEEN 10 AND 20 KNOTS BY MID MORNING WEDNESDAY WITH
CONTINUED VFR CONDITIONS.

&&

.MARINE...AS MENTIONED ABOVE...THE PRESSURE GRADIENT TIGHTENED UP A
BIT AHEAD OF SCHEDULE...WITH NE WINDS ALREADY IN THE 20 TO 25 KT
RANGE AT BUOYS 42036 AND 42039...SO WENT AHEAD AND UPGRADED THE SCEC
TO AN SCA OVER ALL AREAS EXCEPT APALACHEE BAY.

&&

.FIRE WEATHER...WITH SOME UNEXPECTED RAPID DRYING OCCURRING ACROSS
THE REGION LATE THIS MORNING...NEEDED TO ISSUE A QUICK RED FLAG
WARNING FOR ALL OF OUR FL ZONES THIS AFTERNOON EXCEPT FOR DIXIE...
LAFAYETTE...GULF...AND FRANKLIN. RHS HAVE ALREADY DROPPED BELOW 35
PERCENT AT TALLAHASSEE....AND WITH HIGH DISPERSIONS ABOVE 75...4
HOUR DURATIONS WILL NOT NEED TO BE MET. INTERESTINGLY...THE ONLY
NUMERICAL GUIDANCE FROM LAST NIGHT TO SHOW ANYWHERE NEAR THIS LEVEL
OF DRYING WAS THE NEW NAM...SO WILL PLAN ON WEIGHING THIS NEW
GUIDANCE IN HEAVILY FOR WEDNESDAY AND THURSDAY...AS THE VERY DRY AIR
SHOULD REMAIN ENTRENCHED.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
TALLAHASSEE  60  85  52  84  52 /  05  00  00  00  05
PANAMA CITY  63  85  57  84  57 /  05  00  00  00  05
DOTHAN       59  84  52  84  53 /  05  00  00  00  05
ALBANY       59  84  52  83  54 /  05  00  00  00  05
VALDOSTA     60  85  53  83  53 /  05  00  00  00  05
CROSS CITY   62  85  55  84  54 /  05  00  00  00  05

&&

.TAE WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...

AL...RED FLAG WARNING WED AFTN ALL ZONES.

GA...NONE.

FL...RED FLAG WARNING THIS AFTN ALL ZONES EXCEPT DIXIE...
     LAFAYETTE...GULF...AND FRANKLIN.

     RED FLAG WARNING WED AFTN ALL ZONES.

GM...SCA ALL LEGS EXCEPT THE COASTAL WATERS FROM THE SUWANNEE RIVER TO
     KEATON BEACH OUT 20 NM.

&&

LONG TERM...WOOL
PUBLIC/MARINE...GOULD
AVIATION/FIRE WX...MROCZKA

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TALLAHASSEE FL
521 AM EDT TUE SEP 23 2008

ALZ065>069-FLZ007>019-026>029-034-GAZ120>131-142>148-155>161-
GMZ730-750-755-765-770-775-241000-
COFFEE-DALE-HENRY-GENEVA-HOUSTON-INLAND WALTON-COASTAL WALTON-
HOLMES-WASHINGTON-JACKSON-BAY-CALHOUN-GULF-FRANKLIN-GADSDEN-LEON-
JEFFERSON-MADISON-LIBERTY-WAKULLA-TAYLOR-LAFAYETTE-DIXIE-QUITMAN-
CLAY-RANDOLPH-TERRELL-DOUGHERTY-LEE-WORTH-TURNER-TIFT-BEN HILL-
IRWIN-EARLY-MILLER-BAKER-MITCHELL-COLQUITT-COOK-BERRIEN-SEMINOLE-
DECATUR-GRADY-THOMAS-BROOKS-LOWNDES-LANIER-
APALACHEE BAY OR COASTAL WATERS FROM KEATON BEACH TO OCHLOCKONEE
RIVER FL OUT TO 20 NM-
COASTAL WATERS FROM APALACHICOLA TO DESTIN FL OUT 20 NM-
COASTAL WATERS FROM  OCHLOCKONEE RIVER TO APALACHICOLA FL OUT TO
20 NM-
COASTAL WATERS FROM  SUWANNEE RIVER TO KEATON BEACH OUT 20 NM-
WATERS FROM APALACHICOLA TO DESTIN FL FROM 20 TO 60 NM-
WATERS FROM  SUWANNEE RIVER TO APALACHICOLA FL FROM 20 TO 60 NM-
521 AM EDT TUE SEP 23 2008 /421 AM CDT TUE SEP 23 2008/

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR SOUTHEAST ALABAMA...
SOUTHWEST AND SOUTH CENTRAL GEORGIA...AND THE FLORIDA BIG BEND
AND PANHANDLE...AND ADJACENT COASTAL WATERS.

.DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT...
ISOLATED SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS ARE POSSIBLE TODAY OVER THE EXTREME
SOUTHEAST FLORIDA BIG BEND. WINDS OVER THE GULF COASTAL WATERS
WILL BE IN THE 15 TO 20 KNOT RANGE TODAY AND INCREASE TO 20 KNOTS
LATER TONIGHT. MARINERS SHOULD EXERCISE CAUTION IF OPERATING SMALL
CRAFT TODAY. SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY CONDITIONS ARE POSSIBLE TONIGHT.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...WEDNESDAY THROUGH MONDAY...
A DRIER AIRMASS WILL MOVE OVER THE AREA TODAY WITH MODERATE
NORTHEASTERLY WINDS PREVAILING INTO THE WEEKEND. THE MAIN WEATHER
HAZARD WILL CONTINUE TO BE ELEVATED WINDS AND SEAS OVER THE GULF
COASTAL WATERS. A PERIOD OF ADVISORY CONDITIONS IS POSSIBLE
THROUGH THURSDAY. WINDS SHOULD SUBSIDE A BIT TOWARDS THE WEEKEND.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...
SPOTTER ACTIVATION WILL NOT BE NEEDED.

FOR ADDITIONAL INFORMATION...VISIT THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE
WEBSITE ON THE INTERNET AT WEATHER.GOV...THEN CLICK ON YOUR AREA
OF INTEREST ON THE NATIONAL MAP.

12-WATSON