Red Flag Warning 6, NWS Tallahassee, FL

000 
WWUS82 KTAE 142020
RFWTAE

RED FLAG WARNING
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TALLAHASSEE FL
320 PM EST MON JAN 14 2008

...RED FLAG WARNING IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 PM EST /5 PM CST/ THIS
AFTERNOON FOR PARTS OF THE FLORIDA PANHANDLE AND BIG BEND AND
MUCH OF SOUTHWEST AND SOUTH CENTRAL GEORGIA...

...RED FLAG WARNING IN EFFECT FROM 12 PM EST /11 AM CST/ TO 6 PM
EST /5 PM CST/ TUESDAY FOR PARTS OF THE FLORIDA BIG BEND AND
PANHANDLE...

.DISCUSSION...HIGH PRESSURE WILL CONTINUE BUILDING OVER THE
MISSISSIPPI RIVER VALLEY THROUGH TUESDAY PROVIDING A COOL DRY
NORTHWEST WIND FLOW ACROSS OUR FORECAST AREA. BY WEDNESDAY THE
HIGH WILL SHIFT TO THE MID ATLANTIC COAST AS A STRONG LOW
PRESSURE SYSTEM DEVELOPS OVER THE WESTERN GULF OF MEXICO. THE LOW
WILL PROGRESS TO OUR AREA WEDNESDAY NIGHT AND THURSDAY WITH
WIDESPREAD RAINFALL LIKELY.

GAZ122>131-144>148-156>161-142300-
/O.EXA.KTAE.FW.W.0005.000000T0000Z-080114T2300Z/
RANDOLPH-CALHOUN-TERRELL-DOUGHERTY-LEE-WORTH-TURNER-TIFT-BEN HILL-
IRWIN-BAKER-MITCHELL-COLQUITT-COOK-BERRIEN-DECATUR-GRADY-THOMAS-
BROOKS-LOWNDES-LANIER-
320 PM EST MON JAN 14 2008

...RED FLAG WARNING IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 PM EST THIS AFTERNOON...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN TALLAHASSEE HAS ISSUED A RED FLAG
WARNING...WHICH IS IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 PM EST THIS AFTERNOON. 

A RED FLAG WARNING MEANS THAT CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS
ARE EITHER OCCURRING NOW...OR WILL SHORTLY. THE LOW RELATIVE
HUMIDITY WILL ENHANCE FIRE GROWTH POTENTIAL.

$$

FLZ011-016>019-026>029-034-142300-
/O.CON.KTAE.FW.W.0005.000000T0000Z-080114T2300Z/
/O.CON.KTAE.FW.W.0006.080115T1700Z-080115T2300Z/
JACKSON-GADSDEN-LEON-JEFFERSON-MADISON-LIBERTY-WAKULLA-TAYLOR-
LAFAYETTE-DIXIE-
320 PM EST MON JAN 14 2008 /220 PM CST MON JAN 14 2008/

...RED FLAG WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 PM EST /5 PM CST/
THIS AFTERNOON...
...RED FLAG WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 12 PM EST /11 AM CST/
TO 6 PM EST /5 PM CST/ TUESDAY...

A RED FLAG WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 PM EST /5 PM CST/
THIS AFTERNOON. A RED FLAG WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 12 PM
EST /11 AM CST/ TO 6 PM EST /5 PM CST/ TUESDAY. 

A RED FLAG WARNING MEANS THAT CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS
ARE EITHER OCCURRING NOW...OR WILL SHORTLY. THE LOW RELATIVE
HUMIDITY WILL ENHANCE FIRE GROWTH POTENTIAL.

$$

FLZ007-009-010-012>015-142300-
/O.CON.KTAE.FW.W.0005.000000T0000Z-080114T2300Z/
INLAND WALTON-HOLMES-WASHINGTON-BAY-CALHOUN-GULF-FRANKLIN-
320 PM EST MON JAN 14 2008 /220 PM CST MON JAN 14 2008/

...RED FLAG WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 PM EST /5 PM CST/
THIS AFTERNOON...

A RED FLAG WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 PM EST /5 PM CST/
THIS AFTERNOON. 

A RED FLAG WARNING MEANS THAT CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS
ARE EITHER OCCURRING NOW...OR WILL SHORTLY. THE LOW RELATIVE
HUMIDITY WILL ENHANCE FIRE GROWTH POTENTIAL.

$$

GOREE

000 
WWUS82 KTAE 142303
RFWTAE

RED FLAG WARNING
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TALLAHASSEE FL
603 PM EST MON JAN 14 2008

...RED FLAG WARNING IN EFFECT FROM 12 PM EST /11 AM CST/ TO 6 PM
EST /5 PM CST/ TUESDAY FOR PARTS OF THE FLORIDA BIG BEND AND
PANHANDLE...

.DISCUSSION...HIGH PRESSURE WILL CONTINUE BUILDING OVER THE
MISSISSIPPI RIVER VALLEY THROUGH TUESDAY PROVIDING A COOL DRY
NORTHWEST WIND FLOW ACROSS OUR FORECAST AREA. BY WEDNESDAY THE
HIGH WILL SHIFT TO THE MID ATLANTIC COAST AS A STRONG LOW
PRESSURE SYSTEM DEVELOPS OVER THE WESTERN GULF OF MEXICO. THE LOW
WILL PROGRESS TO OUR AREA WEDNESDAY NIGHT AND THURSDAY WITH
WIDESPREAD RAINFALL LIKELY.

FLZ011-016>019-026>029-034-152300-
/O.EXP.KTAE.FW.W.0005.000000T0000Z-080114T2300Z/
/O.CON.KTAE.FW.W.0006.080115T1700Z-080115T2300Z/
JACKSON-GADSDEN-LEON-JEFFERSON-MADISON-LIBERTY-WAKULLA-TAYLOR-
LAFAYETTE-DIXIE-
603 PM EST MON JAN 14 2008 /503 PM CST MON JAN 14 2008/

...RED FLAG WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 12 PM EST /11 AM CST/
TO 6 PM EST /5 PM CST/ TUESDAY...
...RED FLAG WARNING HAS EXPIRED...

A RED FLAG WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 12 PM EST /11 AM CST/
TO 6 PM EST /5 PM CST/ TUESDAY.

A RED FLAG WARNING MEANS THAT CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS
ARE EITHER OCCURRING NOW...OR WILL SHORTLY. THE LOW RELATIVE
HUMIDITY WILL ENHANCE FIRE GROWTH POTENTIAL.

$$

FLZ007-009-010-012>015-GAZ122>131-144>148-156>161-150015-
/O.EXP.KTAE.FW.W.0005.000000T0000Z-080114T2300Z/
INLAND WALTON-HOLMES-WASHINGTON-BAY-CALHOUN-GULF-FRANKLIN-
RANDOLPH-TERRELL-DOUGHERTY-LEE-WORTH-TURNER-TIFT-BEN HILL-IRWIN-
BAKER-MITCHELL-COLQUITT-COOK-BERRIEN-DECATUR-GRADY-THOMAS-BROOKS-
LOWNDES-LANIER-
603 PM EST MON JAN 14 2008 /503 PM CST MON JAN 14 2008/

...RED FLAG WARNING HAS EXPIRED...

THE RED FLAG WARNING IS NO LONGER IN EFFECT. 

$$

CAMP

000 
WWUS82 KTAE 150834
RFWTAE

RED FLAG WARNING
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TALLAHASSEE FL
334 AM EST TUE JAN 15 2008

...RED FLAG WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM NOON EST /11 AM CST/
TODAY TO 6 PM EST /5 PM CST/ THIS AFTERNOON FOR MUCH OF THE THE
FLORIDA BIG BEND FOR LOW RELATIVE HUMIDITY AND HIGH DISPERSION
INDEXES...

.DISCUSSION...DAYTIME HEATING WILL COMBINE WITH A DRY AIRMASS TO
PRODUCE LOW RELATIVE HUMIDITY ONCE AGAIN THIS AFTERNOON. GOOD
MIXING AND FAIRLY STRONG WINDS ABOVE THE SURFACE WILL CAUSE HIGH
DISPERSION INDEXES AS WELL.  

FLZ011-016>019-026>029-034-152300-
/O.CON.KTAE.FW.W.0006.080115T1700Z-080115T2300Z/
JACKSON-GADSDEN-LEON-JEFFERSON-MADISON-LIBERTY-WAKULLA-TAYLOR-
LAFAYETTE-DIXIE-
334 AM EST TUE JAN 15 2008 /234 AM CST TUE JAN 15 2008/

...RED FLAG WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM NOON EST /11 AM CST/
TODAY TO 6 PM EST /5 PM CST/ THIS AFTERNOON...

THE RELATIVE HUMIDITY WILL DROP BELOW 35 PERCENT EARLY THIS
AFTERNOON...AND REMAIN BELOW 35 PERCENT FOR 4 OR MORE CONSECUTIVE
HOURS. DISPERSION INDEXES WILL RANGE FROM 75 TO 95. 

A RED FLAG WARNING MEANS THAT CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS
ARE EITHER OCCURRING NOW...OR WILL SHORTLY. THE LOW RELATIVE
HUMIDITY WILL ENHANCE FIRE GROWTH POTENTIAL.

$$

FOURNIER

000 
WWUS82 KTAE 151615
RFWTAE

RED FLAG WARNING
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TALLAHASSEE FL
1115 AM EST TUE JAN 15 2008

...RED FLAG WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM NOON EST /11 AM CST/
TODAY TO 6 PM EST /5 PM CST/ THIS AFTERNOON BUT HAS EXPANDED WEST
TO INCLUDE MUCH OF THE FLORIDA PANHANDLE... 

.DISCUSSION...DAYTIME HEATING WILL COMBINE WITH A DRY AIRMASS TO
PRODUCE LOW RELATIVE HUMIDITY ONCE AGAIN THIS AFTERNOON. GOOD
MIXING AND FAIRLY STRONG WINDS ABOVE THE SURFACE WILL CAUSE HIGH
DISPERSION INDICES AS WELL...MAINLY ACROSS THE BIG BEND.

FLZ007-009-010-013-152300-
/O.EXA.KTAE.FW.W.0006.080115T1700Z-080115T2300Z/
INLAND WALTON-HOLMES-WASHINGTON-CALHOUN-
1015 AM CST TUE JAN 15 2008

...RED FLAG WARNING IN EFFECT UNTIL 5 PM CST THIS AFTERNOON
FOR LONG DURATIONS OF LOW RELATIVE HUMIDITIES...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN TALLAHASSEE HAS ISSUED A RED FLAG
WARNING...WHICH IS IN EFFECT UNTIL 5 PM CST THIS AFTERNOON. 

A RED FLAG WARNING MEANS THAT CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS
ARE EITHER OCCURRING NOW...OR WILL SHORTLY. THE LOW RELATIVE
HUMIDITY WILL ENHANCE FIRE GROWTH POTENTIAL.

$$

FLZ011-016>019-026>029-034-152300-
/O.CON.KTAE.FW.W.0006.080115T1700Z-080115T2300Z/
JACKSON-GADSDEN-LEON-JEFFERSON-MADISON-LIBERTY-WAKULLA-TAYLOR-
LAFAYETTE-DIXIE-
1115 AM EST TUE JAN 15 2008 /1015 AM CST TUE JAN 15 2008/

...RED FLAG WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 PM EST /5 PM CST/
THIS AFTERNOON FOR LONG DURATIONS OF RELATIVE HUMIDITIES AND
HIGH DISPERSION INDICES...

A RED FLAG WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 PM EST /5 PM CST/
THIS AFTERNOON. 

A RED FLAG WARNING MEANS THAT CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS
ARE EITHER OCCURRING NOW...OR WILL SHORTLY. THE LOW RELATIVE
HUMIDITY WILL ENHANCE FIRE GROWTH POTENTIAL.

$$

BLOCK

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TALLAHASSEE FL
940 AM EST MON JAN 14 2008

.SYNOPSIS...THE MORNING SURFACE ANALYSIS SHOWED A FAIRLY TIGHT
GRADIENT ACROSS AREA WITH A HIGH PRESSURE RIDGE AXIS EXTENDING
EASTWARD ACROSS THE GULF COAST STATES AND A COLD FRONT SOUTH AND
EAST OF THE REGION. MOSTLY SUNNY SKIES AND LIGHT TO MODERATE
NORTHERLY WINDS WILL CONTINUE TODAY WITH TEMPERATURES ONLY EXPECTED
TO REACH THE UPPER 50S ACROSS MUCH OF THE FORECAST AREA. THE
NORTHERLY WINDS ACROSS THE COASTAL WATERS ARE STILL COMING IN AROUND
ADVISORY LEVELS (20 KTS). BUOYS 42039/36...JUST OUTSIDE OF OUR
OFFSHORE WATERS...ARE NOW SHOWING WAVE HEIGHTS AROUND 6 TO 7 FEET.
THE GRADIENT IS EXPECTED TO RELAX BY THE AFTERNOON...WHICH WILL
ALLOW THE WINDS AND SEAS TO DROP BELOW ADVISORY CONDITIONS. WILL
ONLY MAKE A FEW MINOR TWEAKS IN THE GRIDS THIS MORNING...OTHERWISE
THE PREVIOUS FORECAST APPEARS TO BE ON TRACK WITH NO UPDATES
EXPECTED.

&&

.AVIATION...VFR CONDITIONS WITH LIGHT TO MODERATE NORTHERLY WINDS
WITH HIGHER GUSTS WILL CONTINUE AT ALL TERMINALS THROUGH THE
PERIOD.

&&

.TAE WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
AL...NONE.
GA...NONE.
FL...RED FLAG WARNING UNTIL 6 PM EST /5 PM CST/ THIS AFTERNOON FOR
     THE FOLLOWING ZONES: BAY...CALHOUN...DIXIE...FRANKLIN...
     GADSDEN...GULF...HOLMES...INLAND WALTON...JACKSON...
     JEFFERSON...LAFAYETTE...LEON...LIBERTY...MADISON...TAYLOR...
     WAKULLA...WASHINGTON.

     FIRE WEATHER WATCH TUESDAY AFTERNOON FOR THE FOLLOWING ZONES:
     DIXIE...GADSDEN...HOLMES...JACKSON...JEFFERSON...
     LAFAYETTE...LEON...MADISON...TAYLOR...WAKULLA.

GM...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY UNTIL 11 AM EST THIS MORNING FOR THE
     FOLLOWING ZONES: WATERS FROM SUWANNEE RIVER TO APALACHICOLA
     FL FROM 20 TO 60 NM...WATERS FROM APALACHICOLA TO DESTIN FL
     FROM 20 TO 60 NM.

&&

GIBBS

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TALLAHASSEE FL
521 AM EST MON JAN 14 2008

ALZ065>069-FLZ007>019-026>029-034-GAZ120>131-142>148-155>161-
GMZ730-750-755-765-770-775-151000-
COFFEE-DALE-HENRY-GENEVA-HOUSTON-INLAND WALTON-COASTAL WALTON-
HOLMES-WASHINGTON-JACKSON-BAY-CALHOUN-GULF-FRANKLIN-GADSDEN-LEON-
JEFFERSON-MADISON-LIBERTY-WAKULLA-TAYLOR-LAFAYETTE-DIXIE-QUITMAN-
CLAY-RANDOLPH-TERRELL-DOUGHERTY-LEE-WORTH-TURNER-TIFT-BEN HILL-
IRWIN-EARLY-MILLER-BAKER-MITCHELL-COLQUITT-COOK-BERRIEN-SEMINOLE-
DECATUR-GRADY-THOMAS-BROOKS-LOWNDES-LANIER-
APALACHEE BAY OR COASTAL WATERS FROM KEATON BEACH TO OCHLOCKONEE
RIVER FL OUT TO 20 NM-
COASTAL WATERS FROM APALACHICOLA TO DESTIN FL OUT 20 NM-
COASTAL WATERS FROM  OCHLOCKONEE RIVER TO APALACHICOLA FL OUT TO
20 NM-
COASTAL WATERS FROM  SUWANNEE RIVER TO KEATON BEACH OUT 20 NM-
WATERS FROM APALACHICOLA TO DESTIN FL FROM 20 TO 60 NM-
WATERS FROM  SUWANNEE RIVER TO APALACHICOLA FL FROM 20 TO 60 NM-
521 AM EST MON JAN 14 2008 /421 AM CST MON JAN 14 2008/

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR SOUTHEAST ALABAMA...
SOUTHWEST AND SOUTH CENTRAL GEORGIA...THE FLORIDA BIG BEND AND
PANHANDLE...AND ADJACENT COASTAL WATERS.

.DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT...

SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY CONDITIONS OVER THE OFFSHORE MARINE LEGS WILL
DECREASE TO EXERCISE CAUTION CONDITIONS DURING THE LATE MORNING
HOURS AND THEN BELOW HEADLINE CRITERIA THIS AFTERNOON.

A DRY AIRMASS WILL COMBINE WITH AFTERNOON TEMPERATURES IN THE
MIDDLE 50S TO LOWER 60S TO PRODUCE EXTENDED DURATIONS OF LOW
RELATIVE HUMIDITY ACROSS THE FORECAST AREA. THESE LOW VALUES OF
RELATIVE HUMIDITY WILL ENHANCE THE SPREAD OF WILDFIRES DURING THE
AFTERNOON.

LOW TEMPERATURES TONIGHT FOR LOCATIONS AWAY FROM THE IMMEDIATE
COAST ARE EXPECTED TO FALL TO NEAR FREEZING FOR A BRIEF TIME
APPROACHING SUNRISE. AT THIS TIME THE DURATION OF TEMPERATURES AT
OR BELOW FREEZING APPEARS TO BE 2 HOURS OR LESS.

NO HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...TUESDAY THROUGH SUNDAY...

LOW PRESSURE WILL MOVE FROM THE WESTERN GULF OF MEXICO LATER
TUESDAY TO NEAR THE FORECAST AREA EARLY THURSDAY. A PERIOD OF
ADVISORY LEVEL WINDS AND SEAS APPEARS LIKELY STARTING LATE TUESDAY
NIGHT AND CONTINUING INTO AT LEAST THURSDAY MORNING.

AT THIS TIME...THE BEST CHANCES FOR THUNDERSTORMS ASSOCIATED WITH
THE GULF OF MEXICO LOW ARE ANTICIPATED TO REMAIN OFFSHORE.
HOWEVER...IF THE LOW TRACK BECOMES CLOSER TO THE COAST THAN
CURRENTLY FORECAST...THE THREAT FOR SEVERE WEATHER WILL INCREASE
OVER THE SOUTHERN HALF OF THE AREA WEDNESDAY NIGHT AND EARLY
THURSDAY.

A COLDER AIRMASS IS FORECAST TO REACH THE FORECAST AREA DURING THE
UPCOMING WEEKEND. ALTHOUGH IT IS IN THE EXTENDED PORTION OF THE
FORECAST...NEAR OR BELOW FREEZING TEMPERATURES WILL BE POSSIBLE
FRIDAY NIGHT AND ESPECIALLY SATURDAY NIGHT AWAY FROM THE IMMEDIATE
COAST.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION WILL NOT BE NEEDED.

FOR ADDITIONAL INFORMATION...VISIT THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE
WEBSITE ON THE INTERNET AT WEATHER.GOV...THEN CLICK ON YOUR AREA
OF INTEREST ON THE NATIONAL MAP.

14-MROCZKA