Alert archive / Georgia / Red Flag Warnings in 2008

Red Flag Warning 50, NWS Tallahassee, FL

April 15, 200816 counties in Florida; 5 counties in Alabama; 26 counties in Georgia

NWS Tallahassee, FL issued this red flag warning at Apr 15, 2008, 4:21 AM CDT for 16 counties in Florida; 5 counties in Alabama; 26 counties in Georgia. It took effect at Apr 16, 2008, 10:00 AM CDT. It was in force for 10 hr. No storm report in the archive falls inside the area while it was in force.

The area

The counties it named.

The facts

Issued
Apr 15, 2008, 4:21 AM CDT (09:21 UTC)
In effect from
Apr 16, 2008, 10:00 AM CDT
Expired
Apr 16, 2008, 8:00 PM CDT
In force
10 hr
Issued by
NWS Tallahassee, FL
All 47 counties

Coffee County, AL, Dale County, AL, Geneva County, AL, Henry County, AL, Houston County, AL, Bay County, FL, Calhoun County, FL, Dixie County, FL, Franklin County, FL, Gadsden County, FL, Gulf County, FL, Holmes County, FL, Jackson County, FL, Jefferson County, FL, Lafayette County, FL, Leon County, FL, Madison County, FL, Taylor County, FL, Wakulla County, FL, Walton County, FL, Washington County, FL, Baker County, GA, Ben Hill County, GA, Berrien County, GA, Brooks County, GA, Calhoun County, GA, Clay County, GA, Colquitt County, GA, Cook County, GA, Decatur County, GA, Dougherty County, GA, Early County, GA, Grady County, GA, Irwin County, GA, Lanier County, GA, Lee County, GA, Lowndes County, GA, Miller County, GA, Mitchell County, GA, Quitman County, GA, Randolph County, GA, Seminole County, GA, Terrell County, GA, Thomas County, GA, Tift County, GA, Turner County, GA, Worth County, GA

The radar

The Tallahassee radar (KTLH), 66 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 09:26 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.

Open the radar archive at this moment

The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.

The nearest sounding before it

Tallahassee Rgnl, FL (KTLH), launched 00:00Z, 9.4 hours before the alert went out and 66 km from the middle of its area. This is the routine balloon launch nearest before it, the air the forecaster had in hand, not a measurement taken for the alert.

Skew-T log-pSkew-T log-p diagram, Tallahassee Rgnl, FL at 00:00Z on 2008-04-15Temperature and dew point through the depth of the atmosphere, with the mixed-layer parcel. CAPE 0 joules per kilogram.LCL10008507005003002001001 km2 km3 km6 km9 km12 km15 km-30°-20°-10°0°10°20°30°40°
Temperature in red, dew point in green, the mixed-layer parcel dashed.
HodographHodograph, Tallahassee Rgnl, FL at 00:00Z on 2008-04-15The wind through the lowest 10 kilometers. Zero to 1 km storm-relative helicity -34 square meters per square second.1939587897117136Sfc1 km3 km6 km9 kmRMLM
The wind turning with height, colored by layer: ground to 1 km, 1 to 3 km, 3 to 6 km, 6 to 10 km.
Mixed-layer CAPE
0 J/kg
Mixed-layer CIN
No buoyant parcel
Mixed-layer LCL
1874 m above ground
0-6 km bulk shear
82 kt
0-1 km storm-relative helicity
-34 m²/s²
0-3 km storm-relative helicity
-15 m²/s²
Significant tornado parameter
0.0
Supercell composite
0.0

Open this sounding in Storm Lab

The text

As transmitted, in the capitals the NWS used until 2016.

000 
WWUS82 KTAE 150921
RFWTAE

RED FLAG WARNING
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TALLAHASSEE FL
521 AM EDT TUE APR 15 2008

...A RED FLAG WARNING IS NOW IN EFFECT FROM NOON EDT /11 AM CDT/
TODAY TO 8 PM EDT /7 PM CDT/ THIS EVENING FOR ALL OF THE FLORIDA
BIG BEND AND PANHANDLE DUE TO THE COMBINATION OF HIGH DISPERSION
INDICES AND LONG DURATIONS OF RELATIVE HUMIDITY BELOW 35
PERCENT... 

...A RED FLAG WARNING IS ALSO NOW IN EFFECT FROM 11 AM EDT /10 AM
CDT/ TO 10 PM EDT /9 PM CDT/ WEDNESDAY FOR THESE SAME AREAS DUE TO
SIMILAR EXPECTED CONDITIONS...

...A RED FLAG WARNING IS NOW IN EFFECT FROM 1 PM EDT /12 PM CDT/
TO 9 PM EDT /8 PM CDT/ WEDNESDAY FOR SOUTHEAST ALABAMA AND
SOUTHWEST GEORGIA AND SOUTH CENTRAL GEORGIA DUE TO EXPECTED LONG
DURATIONS OF RELATIVE HUMIDITY BELOW 25 PERCENT...

.DISCUSSION...NORTHERLY WINDS WILL CONTINUE TO FUNNEL DRY AIR
INTO THE AREA THOUGH THE MIDDLE OF THE WEEK. THIS AFTERNOON...THE
COMBINATION OF LOW RELATIVE HUMIDITY AND HIGH DISPERSION INDICES
WILL LEAD TO RED FLAG CONDITIONS ONCE AGAIN FOR PORTIONS OF
NORTHERN FLORIDA. ON WEDNESDAY AFTERNOON...RED FLAG CONDITIONS
ARE EXPECTED ACROSS THE ENTIRE FORECAST AREA DUE TO LONG PERIODS
OF LOW RELATIVE HUMIDITY...AND HIGH DISPERSION INDICES.

FLZ007-009>019-026>029-034-151930-
/O.UPG.KTAE.FW.A.0045.080416T1800Z-080417T0000Z/
/O.NEW.KTAE.FW.W.0050.080416T1500Z-080417T0200Z/
/O.EXT.KTAE.FW.W.0049.080415T1600Z-080416T0000Z/
INLAND WALTON-HOLMES-WASHINGTON-JACKSON-BAY-CALHOUN-GULF-FRANKLIN-
GADSDEN-LEON-JEFFERSON-MADISON-LIBERTY-WAKULLA-TAYLOR-LAFAYETTE-
DIXIE-
521 AM EDT TUE APR 15 2008 /421 AM CDT TUE APR 15 2008/

...RED FLAG WARNING NOW IN EFFECT FROM NOON EDT /11 AM CDT/ TODAY
TO 8 PM EDT /7 PM CDT/ THIS EVENING...
...RED FLAG WARNING IN EFFECT FROM 11 AM EDT /10 AM CDT/ TO 10 PM
EDT /9 PM CDT/ WEDNESDAY...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN TALLAHASSEE HAS ISSUED A RED FLAG
WARNING...WHICH IS IN EFFECT FROM 11 AM EDT /10 AM CDT/ TO 10 PM
EDT /9 PM CDT/ WEDNESDAY. TODAYS RED FLAG WARNING IS NOW IN EFFECT
FROM NOON EDT /11 AM CDT/ TODAY TO 8 PM EDT /7 PM CDT/ THIS
EVENING. 

A RED FLAG WARNING MEANS THAT CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS
ARE EITHER OCCURRING NOW...OR WILL SHORTLY. A COMBINATION OF GUSTY
WINDS AND LOW RELATIVE HUMIDITY WILL ENHANCE THE FIRE GROWTH
POTENTIAL.

$$

ALZ065>069-GAZ120>131-142>148-155>161-151930-
/O.UPG.KTAE.FW.A.0045.080416T1800Z-080417T0000Z/
/O.NEW.KTAE.FW.W.0050.080416T1700Z-080417T0100Z/
COFFEE-DALE-HENRY-GENEVA-HOUSTON-QUITMAN-CLAY-RANDOLPH-CALHOUN-
TERRELL-DOUGHERTY-LEE-WORTH-TURNER-TIFT-BEN HILL-IRWIN-EARLY-
MILLER-BAKER-MITCHELL-COLQUITT-COOK-BERRIEN-SEMINOLE-DECATUR-
GRADY-THOMAS-BROOKS-LOWNDES-LANIER-
521 AM EDT TUE APR 15 2008 /421 AM CDT TUE APR 15 2008/

...RED FLAG WARNING IN EFFECT FROM 1 PM EDT /12 PM CDT/ TO 9 PM
EDT /8 PM CDT/ WEDNESDAY...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN TALLAHASSEE HAS ISSUED A RED FLAG
WARNING...WHICH IS IN EFFECT FROM 1 PM EDT /12 PM CDT/ TO 9 PM
EDT /8 PM CDT/ WEDNESDAY. THE FIRE WEATHER WATCH IS NO LONGER IN
EFFECT. 

A RED FLAG WARNING MEANS THAT CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS
ARE EITHER OCCURRING NOW...OR WILL SHORTLY. A COMBINATION OF GUSTY
WINDS AND LOW RELATIVE HUMIDITY WILL ENHANCE THE FIRE GROWTH
POTENTIAL.

$$

18-WOOL
5 follow-up statements
000 
WWUS82 KTAE 151851
RFWTAE

RED FLAG WARNING
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TALLAHASSEE FL
251 PM EDT TUE APR 15 2008

...A RED FLAG WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 8 PM EDT /7 PM CDT/
THIS EVENING FOR ALL OF THE FLORIDA BIG BEND AND PANHANDLE DUE TO
THE COMBINATION OF HIGH DISPERSION INDICES AND LONG DURATIONS OF
RELATIVE HUMIDITY BELOW 35 PERCENT...

...A RED FLAG WARNING IS NOW IN EFFECT FROM 11 AM EDT /10 AM CDT/
TO 9 PM EDT /8 PM CDT/ WEDNESDAY FOR THE ABOVE AREAS DUE TO
EXPECTED LONG DURATIONS OF RELATIVE HUMIDITY BELOW 35 PERCENT AND
POSSIBLE HIGH DISPERSION INDICES...

...A RED FLAG WARNING IS NOW IN EFFECT FROM 12 PM EDT /11 AM CDT/
TO 8 PM EDT /7 PM CDT/ WEDNESDAY FOR SOUTHEAST ALABAMA...SOUTHWEST
AND SOUTH CENTRAL GEORGIA DUE TO EXPECTED LONG DURATIONS OF
RELATIVE HUMIDITY BELOW 25 PERCENT...

...A FIRE WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR THURSDAY FOR THE FLORIDA BIG
BEND AND PANHANDLE...FOR SOUTHWEST AND SOUTH CENTRAL GEORGIA AND
FOR SOUTHEAST ALABAMA DUE TO POSSIBLE LONG DURATIONS OF LOW
RELATIVE HUMIDITY...

.DISCUSSION...NORTHERLY WINDS WILL CONTINUE TO FUNNEL DRY AIR
INTO THE AREA THOUGH THE MIDDLE OF THE WEEK. FOR THE REST OF THIS 
AFTERNOON INTO EARLY EVENING...THE COMBINATION OF LOW RELATIVE
HUMIDITY AND HIGH DISPERSION INDICES WILL CONTINUE RED FLAG
CONDITIONS ACROSS NORTHERN FLORIDA. ON WEDNESDAY AFTERNOON...RED
FLAG CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED ACROSS THE ENTIRE FORECAST AREA DUE
TO LONG PERIODS OF LOW RELATIVE HUMIDITY...AND HIGH DISPERSION
INDICES. SIMILAR RELATIVE HUMIDITY CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED FOR
THE TRI-STATE AREA ON THURSDAY. THE AIRMASS WILL MOISTEN UP ON
FRIDAY AND RED FLAG CONDITIONS ARE NOT EXPECTED.

FLZ007-009>019-026>029-034-160030-
/O.NEW.KTAE.FW.A.0046.080417T1500Z-080418T0100Z/
/O.EXT.KTAE.FW.W.0050.080416T1500Z-080417T0100Z/
/O.CON.KTAE.FW.W.0049.000000T0000Z-080416T0000Z/
INLAND WALTON-HOLMES-WASHINGTON-JACKSON-BAY-CALHOUN-GULF-FRANKLIN-
GADSDEN-LEON-JEFFERSON-MADISON-LIBERTY-WAKULLA-TAYLOR-LAFAYETTE-
DIXIE-
251 PM EDT TUE APR 15 2008 /151 PM CDT TUE APR 15 2008/

...RED FLAG WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 8 PM EDT /7 PM CDT/
THIS EVENING...
...RED FLAG WARNING NOW IN EFFECT FROM 11 AM EDT /10 AM CDT/ TO
9 PM EDT /8 PM CDT/ WEDNESDAY...
...FIRE WEATHER WATCH IN EFFECT FROM THURSDAY MORNING THROUGH
THURSDAY EVENING...

A RED FLAG WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 8 PM EDT /7 PM CDT/
THIS EVENING DUE TO ONGOING LONG DURATIONS OF RELATIVE HUMIDITY 
BELOW 35 PERCENT COMBINED WITH HIGH DISPERSION INDICES.

THE RED FLAG WARNING IS NOW IN EFFECT FROM 11 AM EDT /10 AM CDT/
TO 9 PM EDT /8 PM CDT/ WEDNESDAY DUE TO EXPECTED LONG DURATIONS 
OF RELATIVE HUMIDITY BELOW 35 PERCENT.

A FIRE WEATHER WATCH IS NOW IN EFFECT FROM THURSDAY MORNING
THROUGH THURSDAY EVENING DUE TO ANTICIPATED LONG DURATIONS OF
RELATIVE HUMIDITY BELOW 35 PERCENT.

A RED FLAG WARNING MEANS THAT CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS ARE
EITHER OCCURRING NOW...OR WILL SHORTLY. A COMBINATION OF GUSTY
WINDS AND LOW RELATIVE HUMIDITY WILL ENHANCE THE FIRE GROWTH
POTENTIAL.

A FIRE WEATHER WATCH MEANS THAT CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS
ARE FORECAST TO OCCUR. LISTEN FOR LATER FORECASTS AND POSSIBLE
RED FLAG WARNINGS.

$$

ALZ065>069-GAZ120>131-142>148-155>161-160030-
/O.NEW.KTAE.FW.A.0046.080417T1600Z-080418T0000Z/
/O.EXT.KTAE.FW.W.0050.080416T1600Z-080417T0000Z/
COFFEE-DALE-HENRY-GENEVA-HOUSTON-QUITMAN-CLAY-RANDOLPH-CALHOUN-
TERRELL-DOUGHERTY-LEE-WORTH-TURNER-TIFT-BEN HILL-IRWIN-EARLY-
MILLER-BAKER-MITCHELL-COLQUITT-COOK-BERRIEN-SEMINOLE-DECATUR-
GRADY-THOMAS-BROOKS-LOWNDES-LANIER-
251 PM EDT TUE APR 15 2008 /151 PM CDT TUE APR 15 2008/

...RED FLAG WARNING NOW IN EFFECT FROM 12 PM EDT /11 AM CDT/ TO
8 PM EDT /7 PM CDT/ WEDNESDAY...
...FIRE WEATHER WATCH IN EFFECT FROM THURSDAY AFTERNOON THROUGH
THURSDAY EVENING...

THE RED FLAG WARNING IS NOW IN EFFECT FROM 12 PM EDT /11 AM CDT/
TO 8 PM EDT /7 PM CDT/ WEDNESDAY DUE TO EXPECTED LONG DURATIONS 
OF RELATIVE HUMIDITY BELOW 25 PERCENT.

A FIRE WEATHER WATCH IS IN EFFECT FROM THURSDAY AFTERNOON THROUGH
THURSDAY EVENING DUE TO ANTICIPATED LONG DURATIONS OF RELATIVE
HUMIDITY BELOW 25 PERCENT.

A RED FLAG WARNING MEANS THAT CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS ARE
EITHER OCCURRING NOW...OR WILL SHORTLY. A COMBINATION OF GUSTY
WINDS AND LOW RELATIVE HUMIDITY WILL ENHANCE THE FIRE GROWTH
POTENTIAL.

A FIRE WEATHER WATCH MEANS THAT CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS
ARE FORECAST TO OCCUR. LISTEN FOR LATER FORECASTS AND POSSIBLE
RED FLAG WARNINGS.

$$

BLOCK
000 
WWUS82 KTAE 160027
RFWTAE

RED FLAG WARNING
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TALLAHASSEE FL
827 PM EDT TUE APR 15 2008

...A RED FLAG WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 11 AM EDT /10 AM
CDT/ TO 9 PM EDT /8 PM CDT/ WEDNESDAY FOR ALL OF THE EASTERN
FLORIDA PANHANDLE AND FLORIDA BIG BEND AWAY FROM THE IMMEDIATE
COAST DUE TO EXPECTED LONG DURATIONS OF RELATIVE HUMIDITY BELOW
35 PERCENT AND POSSIBLE HIGH DISPERSION INDICES...

...A RED FLAG WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 12 PM EDT /11 AM
CDT/ TO 8 PM EDT /7 PM CDT/ WEDNESDAY FOR SOUTHEAST ALABAMA...
SOUTHWEST AND SOUTH CENTRAL GEORGIA DUE TO EXPECTED LONG DURATIONS
OF RELATIVE HUMIDITY BELOW 25 PERCENT...

...A FIRE WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT THURSDAY FOR THE FLORIDA BIG
BEND AND PANHANDLE...FOR SOUTHWEST AND SOUTH CENTRAL GEORGIA AND
FOR SOUTHEAST ALABAMA DUE TO POSSIBLE LONG DURATIONS OF LOW
RELATIVE HUMIDITY...

.DISCUSSION...HIGH PRESSURE WILL CONTINUE TO PROVIDE PLENTY OF 
DRY AIR INTO THE REGION THROUGH THURSDAY. ON WEDNESDAY AFTERNOON
...RED FLAG CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED ACROSS THE ENTIRE FORECAST
AREA DUE TO LONG PERIODS OF LOW RELATIVE HUMIDITY...AND HIGH
DISPERSION INDICES. SIMILAR RELATIVE HUMIDITY CONDITIONS ARE
EXPECTED FOR THE TRI-STATE AREA ON THURSDAY. THE AIRMASS WILL
MOISTEN UP ON FRIDAY WITH RED FLAG CONDITIONS BECOMING LESS
LIKELY.

FLZ007-009>019-026>029-034-161100-
/O.EXP.KTAE.FW.W.0049.000000T0000Z-080416T0000Z/
/O.CON.KTAE.FW.W.0050.080416T1500Z-080417T0100Z/
/O.CON.KTAE.FW.A.0046.080417T1500Z-080418T0100Z/
INLAND WALTON-HOLMES-WASHINGTON-JACKSON-BAY-CALHOUN-GULF-FRANKLIN-
GADSDEN-LEON-JEFFERSON-MADISON-LIBERTY-WAKULLA-TAYLOR-LAFAYETTE-
DIXIE-
827 PM EDT TUE APR 15 2008 /727 PM CDT TUE APR 15 2008/

...RED FLAG WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 11 AM EDT /10 AM CDT/
TO 9 PM EDT /8 PM CDT/ WEDNESDAY...
...FIRE WEATHER WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM THURSDAY MORNING
THROUGH THURSDAY EVENING...
...RED FLAG WARNING HAS EXPIRED FOR THIS EVENING...

THE RED FLAG WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 11 AM EDT /10 AM CDT/
TO 9 PM EDT /8 PM CDT/ WEDNESDAY DUE TO EXPECTED LONG DURATIONS
OF RELATIVE HUMIDITY BELOW 35 PERCENT AND POSSIBLE HIGH DISPERSION
INDICES.

A FIRE WEATHER WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM LATE THURSDAY
MORNING THROUGH THURSDAY EVENING DUE TO ANTICIPATED LONG
DURATIONS OF RELATIVE HUMIDITY BELOW 35 PERCENT.

A RED FLAG WARNING MEANS THAT CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS
ARE EITHER OCCURRING NOW...OR WILL SHORTLY. A COMBINATION OF
GUSTY WINDS AND LOW RELATIVE HUMIDITY WILL ENHANCE THE FIRE
GROWTH POTENTIAL.

A FIRE WEATHER WATCH MEANS THAT CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS
ARE FORECAST TO OCCUR. LISTEN FOR LATER FORECASTS AND POSSIBLE
RED FLAG WARNINGS.

$$

ALZ065>069-GAZ120>131-142>148-155>161-161100-
/O.CON.KTAE.FW.W.0050.080416T1600Z-080417T0000Z/
/O.CON.KTAE.FW.A.0046.080417T1600Z-080418T0000Z/
COFFEE-DALE-HENRY-GENEVA-HOUSTON-QUITMAN-CLAY-RANDOLPH-CALHOUN-
TERRELL-DOUGHERTY-LEE-WORTH-TURNER-TIFT-BEN HILL-IRWIN-EARLY-
MILLER-BAKER-MITCHELL-COLQUITT-COOK-BERRIEN-SEMINOLE-DECATUR-
GRADY-THOMAS-BROOKS-LOWNDES-LANIER-
827 PM EDT TUE APR 15 2008 /727 PM CDT TUE APR 15 2008/

...RED FLAG WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 12 PM EDT /11 AM CDT/
TO 8 PM EDT /7 PM CDT/ WEDNESDAY...
...FIRE WEATHER WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM THURSDAY AFTERNOON
THROUGH THURSDAY EVENING...

A RED FLAG WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 12 PM EDT /11 AM CDT/
TO 8 PM EDT /7 PM CDT/ WEDNESDAY DUE TO EXPECTED LONG DURATIONS
OF RELATIVE HUMIDITY BELOW 25 PERCENT.

A FIRE WEATHER WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM THURSDAY AFTERNOON
THROUGH EARLY THURSDAY EVENING DUE TO ANTICIPATED LONG DURATIONS
OF RELATIVE HUMIDITY BELOW 25 PERCENT.

A RED FLAG WARNING MEANS THAT CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS
ARE EITHER OCCURRING NOW...OR WILL SHORTLY. A COMBINATION OF
GUSTY WINDS AND LOW RELATIVE HUMIDITY WILL ENHANCE THE FIRE
GROWTH POTENTIAL.

A FIRE WEATHER WATCH MEANS THAT CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS
ARE FORECAST TO OCCUR. LISTEN FOR LATER FORECASTS AND POSSIBLE
RED FLAG WARNINGS.

$$

MROCZKA
000 
WWUS82 KTAE 160828
RFWTAE

RED FLAG WARNING
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TALLAHASSEE FL
428 AM EDT WED APR 16 2008

...A RED FLAG WARNING IS IN EFFECT FROM 11 AM EDT /10 AM CDT/
TO 9 PM EDT /8 PM CDT/ TODAY FOR ALL OF THE FLORIDA PANHANDLE AND 
BIG BEND DUE TO EXPECTED LONG DURATIONS OF RELATIVE HUMIDITY BELOW 
35 PERCENT AND POSSIBLE HIGH DISPERSION INDICES...

...A RED FLAG WARNING IS NOW IN EFFECT FROM 11 AM EDT /10 AM CDT/
TO 9 PM EDT /8 PM CDT/ THURSDAY FOR THE SAME FLORIDA AREAS DUE TO 
EXPECTED LONG DURATIONS OF RELATIVE HUMIDITY BELOW 35 PERCENT...

...A RED FLAG WARNING IS IN EFFECT FROM 12 PM EDT /11 AM CDT/
TO 8 PM EDT /7 PM CDT/ TODAY FOR SOUTHEAST ALABAMA...SOUTHWEST
AND SOUTH CENTRAL GEORGIA DUE TO EXPECTED LONG DURATIONS OF
RELATIVE HUMIDITY BELOW 25 PERCENT...

...A RED FLAG WARNING IS NOW IN EFFECT FROM 12 AM EDT /11 AM CDT/
TO 8 PM EDT /7 PM CDT/ THURSDAY FOR THE SAME ALABAMA AND GEORGIA 
AREAS DUE TO EXPECTED LONG DURATIONS OF RELATIVE HUMIDITY BELOW 25 
PERCENT...

.DISCUSSION...A VERY DRY AIRMASS HAS FILTERED INTO THE AREA AND RED 
FLAG CONDITIONS CAN BE EXPECTED BOTH TODAY AND THURSDAY ACROSS THE 
ENTIRE TRI-STATE REGION. MINIMUM RELATIVE HUMIDITY VALUES TODAY ARE 
EXPECTED TO DROP INTO THE MID TO UPPER TEENS THIS AFTERNOON AND UPPER 
TEENS TO LOWER 20S THURSDAY. IN ADDITION TO THE LOW RELATIVE HUMIDITY
...DISPERSION INDICES MAY TOP 100 OVER PORTIONS OF THE FLORIDA BIG 
BEND TODAY DUE TO STRONGER TRANSPORT WINDS IN THAT REGION. THE AIRMASS 
WILL MOISTEN UP ON FRIDAY AND RED FLAG CONDITIONS MAY BE LIMITED TO A 
PORTION OF NORTH FLORIDA.

FLZ007-009>019-026>029-034-170100-
/O.UPG.KTAE.FW.A.0046.080417T1500Z-080418T0100Z/
/O.NEW.KTAE.FW.W.0051.080417T1500Z-080418T0000Z/
/O.CON.KTAE.FW.W.0050.080416T1500Z-080417T0100Z/
INLAND WALTON-HOLMES-WASHINGTON-JACKSON-BAY-CALHOUN-GULF-FRANKLIN-
GADSDEN-LEON-JEFFERSON-MADISON-LIBERTY-WAKULLA-TAYLOR-LAFAYETTE-
DIXIE-
428 AM EDT WED APR 16 2008 /328 AM CDT WED APR 16 2008/

...RED FLAG WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 11 AM EDT /10 AM CDT/
THIS MORNING TO 9 PM EDT /8 PM CDT/ THIS EVENING...
...RED FLAG WARNING IN EFFECT FROM 11 AM EDT /10 AM CDT/ TO 8 PM
EDT /7 PM CDT/ THURSDAY...

A RED FLAG WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 11 AM EDT /10 AM CDT/
THIS MORNING TO 9 PM EDT /8 PM CDT/ THIS EVENING DUE TO EXPECTED 
LONG DURATIONS OF RELATIVE HUMIDITY BELOW 35 PERCENT AND POSSIBLE
HIGH DISPERSION INDICES.

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN TALLAHASSEE HAS ISSUED A RED FLAG
WARNING...WHICH IS IN EFFECT FROM 11 AM EDT /10 AM CDT/ TO 8 PM
EDT /7 PM CDT/ THURSDAY DUE TO EXPECTED LONG DURATIONS OF RELATIVE 
HUMIDITY BELOW 35 PERCENT.

A RED FLAG WARNING MEANS THAT CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS
ARE EXPECTED TO OCCUR. A COMBINATION OF LOW RELATIVE HUMIDITY...WARM
TEMPERATURES AND HIGH DISPERSION WILL CREATE EXPLOSIVE FIRE GROWTH
POTENTIAL.

$$

ALZ065>069-GAZ120>131-142>148-155>161-170100-
/O.UPG.KTAE.FW.A.0046.080417T1600Z-080418T0000Z/
/O.NEW.KTAE.FW.W.0051.080417T1600Z-080417T2300Z/
/O.CON.KTAE.FW.W.0050.080416T1600Z-080417T0000Z/
COFFEE-DALE-HENRY-GENEVA-HOUSTON-QUITMAN-CLAY-RANDOLPH-CALHOUN-
TERRELL-DOUGHERTY-LEE-WORTH-TURNER-TIFT-BEN HILL-IRWIN-EARLY-
MILLER-BAKER-MITCHELL-COLQUITT-COOK-BERRIEN-SEMINOLE-DECATUR-
GRADY-THOMAS-BROOKS-LOWNDES-LANIER-
428 AM EDT WED APR 16 2008 /328 AM CDT WED APR 16 2008/

...RED FLAG WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM NOON EDT /11 AM CDT/
TODAY TO 8 PM EDT /7 PM CDT/ THIS EVENING...
...RED FLAG WARNING IN EFFECT FROM 12 PM EDT /11 AM CDT/ TO 7 PM
EDT /6 PM CDT/ THURSDAY...

A RED FLAG WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM NOON EDT /11 AM CDT/
TODAY TO 8 PM EDT /7 PM CDT/ THIS EVENING DUE TO EXPECTED LONG
DURATIONS OF RELATIVE HUMIDITY BELOW 35 PERCENT AND POSSIBLE HIGH
DISPERSION INDICES.

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN TALLAHASSEE HAS ISSUED A RED FLAG
WARNING...WHICH IS IN EFFECT FROM 12 PM EDT /11 AM CDT/ TO 7 PM
EDT /6 PM CDT/ THURSDAY DUE TO EXPECTED LONG DURATIONS OF RELATIVE 
HUMIDITY BELOW 25 PERCENT.

A RED FLAG WARNING MEANS THAT CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS ARE
EXPECTED TO OCCUR. A COMBINATION OF LOW RELATIVE HUMIDITY AND WARM
TEMPERATURES WILL CREATE EXPLOSIVE FIRE GROWTH POTENTIAL.

$$

BARRY
000 
WWUS82 KTAE 162009
RFWTAE

RED FLAG WARNING
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TALLAHASSEE FL
409 PM EDT WED APR 16 2008

...A RED FLAG WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 9 PM EDT /8 PM CDT/
THIS EVENING FOR ALL OF THE FLORIDA PANHANDLE AND BIG BEND DUE TO
ONGOING LONG DURATIONS OF RELATIVE HUMIDITY BELOW 35 PERCENT...

...A RED FLAG WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 11 AM EDT /10 AM CDT/
TO 9 PM EDT /8 PM CDT/ THURSDAY FOR THE SAME FLORIDA AREAS DUE TO
EXPECTED LONG DURATIONS OF RELATIVE HUMIDITY BELOW 35 PERCENT...

...A RED FLAG WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 8 PM EDT /7 PM CDT/
THIS EVENING FOR SOUTHEAST ALABAMA...SOUTHWEST AND SOUTH CENTRAL
GEORGIA DUE TO ONGOING LONG DURATIONS OF RELATIVE HUMIDITY BELOW
25 PERCENT...

...A RED FLAG WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 12 AM EDT /11 AM
CDT/ TO 8 PM EDT /7 PM CDT/ THURSDAY FOR THE SAME ALABAMA AND
GEORGIA AREAS DUE TO EXPECTED LONG DURATIONS OF RELATIVE HUMIDITY
BELOW 25 PERCENT...

...A FIRE WEATHER WATCH IN EFFECT FRIDAY AFTERNOON THROUGH EARLY 
FRIDAY EVENING FOR INLAND PORTIONS OF THE FLORIDA BIG BEND AND 
A SMALL PORTION OF THE INLAND EASTERN PANHANDLE...

.DISCUSSION...SURFACE HIGH PRESSURE WILL REMAIN PARKED OVER THE 
FORECAST AREA THROUGH THURSDAY KEEPING THE LOW LEVELS QUITE DRY.
WARMER TEMPERATURES THIS AFTERNOON ARE RESULTING IN WIDESPREAD
RED FLAG CONDITIONS OVER THE AREA AND SIMILAR CONDITIONS ARE 
ANTICIPATED FOR THURSDAY AFTERNOON AND EVENING. AS THE SURFACE
HIGH SLIDES OFF THE SOUTHEAST COAST THURSDAY NIGHT AND
FRIDAY...WINDS WILL COME AROUND TO A MORE SOUTHERLY DIRECTION AND
BEGIN TO IMPORT HIGHER LEVELS OF MOISTURE. HOWEVER...A FEW
LOCATIONS CLOSER TO THE RIDGE CENTER OVER INLAND PORTIONS OF THE
EASTERN FLORIDA PANHANDLE AND FLORIDA BIG BEND MAY STILL SEE
DURATIONS OF RELATIVE HUMIDITY BELOW 35 PERCENT FRIDAY AFTERNOON.
A CONTINUED INCREASE IN MOISTURE AND INCREASING RAIN CHANCES
ON SATURDAY SHOULD KEEP RELATIVE HUMIDITY VALUES ABOVE CRITICAL
LEVELS.

FLZ011-013-016>019-026-028-029-034-170130-
/O.NEW.KTAE.FW.A.0047.080418T1800Z-080418T2300Z/
/O.CON.KTAE.FW.W.0050.000000T0000Z-080417T0100Z/
/O.CON.KTAE.FW.W.0051.080417T1500Z-080418T0000Z/
JACKSON-CALHOUN-GADSDEN-LEON-JEFFERSON-MADISON-LIBERTY-TAYLOR-
LAFAYETTE-DIXIE-
409 PM EDT WED APR 16 2008 /309 PM CDT WED APR 16 2008/

...RED FLAG WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 9 PM EDT /8 PM CDT/
THIS EVENING...
...RED FLAG WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 11 AM EDT /10 AM CDT/
TO 8 PM EDT /7 PM CDT/ THURSDAY...
...FIRE WEATHER WATCH IN EFFECT FROM FRIDAY AFTERNOON THROUGH
FRIDAY EVENING...

A RED FLAG WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 9 PM EDT /8 PM CDT/
THIS EVENING DUE TO ONGOING LONG DURATIONS OF RELATIVE HUMIDITY
BELOW 35 PERCENT.

A RED FLAG WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 11 AM EDT /10 AM CDT/
TO 8 PM EDT /7 PM CDT/ THURSDAY DUE TO EXPECTED LONG DURATIONS OF
RELATIVE HUMIDITY BELOW 35 PERCENT.

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN TALLAHASSEE HAS ISSUED A FIRE
WEATHER WATCH...WHICH IS IN EFFECT FROM FRIDAY AFTERNOON THROUGH
FRIDAY EVENING DUE TO ANTICIPATED LONG DURATIONS OF RELATIVE 
HUMIDITY BELOW 35 PERCENT.

A RED FLAG WARNING MEANS THAT CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS
ARE EXPECTED TO OCCUR. A COMBINATION OF LOW RELATIVE HUMIDITY...
WARM TEMPERATURES AND HIGH DISPERSION WILL ENHANCE FIRE GROWTH
POTENTIAL.

A FIRE WEATHER WATCH MEANS THAT CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS
ARE FORECAST TO OCCUR. LISTEN FOR LATER FORECASTS AND POSSIBLE
RED FLAG WARNINGS.

$$

FLZ007-009-010-012-014-015-027-170130-
/O.CON.KTAE.FW.W.0050.000000T0000Z-080417T0100Z/
/O.CON.KTAE.FW.W.0051.080417T1500Z-080418T0000Z/
INLAND WALTON-HOLMES-WASHINGTON-BAY-GULF-FRANKLIN-WAKULLA-
409 PM EDT WED APR 16 2008 /309 PM CDT WED APR 16 2008/

...RED FLAG WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 9 PM EDT /8 PM CDT/
THIS EVENING...
...RED FLAG WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 11 AM EDT /10 AM CDT/
TO 8 PM EDT /7 PM CDT/ THURSDAY...

A RED FLAG WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 9 PM EDT /8 PM CDT/
THIS EVENING DUE TO ONGOING LONG DURATIONS OF RELATIVE HUMIDITY
BELOW 35 PERCENT.

A RED FLAG WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 11 AM EDT /10 AM CDT/
TO 8 PM EDT /7 PM CDT/ THURSDAY DUE TO EXPECTED LONG DURATIONS OF
RELATIVE HUMIDITY BELOW 35 PERCENT.

A RED FLAG WARNING MEANS THAT CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS
ARE EXPECTED TO OCCUR. A COMBINATION OF LOW RELATIVE HUMIDITY...
WARM TEMPERATURES AND HIGH DISPERSION WILL ENHANCE FIRE GROWTH
POTENTIAL.

$$

ALZ065>069-GAZ120>131-142>148-155>161-170130-
/O.CON.KTAE.FW.W.0050.000000T0000Z-080417T0000Z/
/O.CON.KTAE.FW.W.0051.080417T1600Z-080417T2300Z/
COFFEE-DALE-HENRY-GENEVA-HOUSTON-QUITMAN-CLAY-RANDOLPH-CALHOUN-
TERRELL-DOUGHERTY-LEE-WORTH-TURNER-TIFT-BEN HILL-IRWIN-EARLY-
MILLER-BAKER-MITCHELL-COLQUITT-COOK-BERRIEN-SEMINOLE-DECATUR-
GRADY-THOMAS-BROOKS-LOWNDES-LANIER-
409 PM EDT WED APR 16 2008 /309 PM CDT WED APR 16 2008/

...RED FLAG WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 8 PM EDT /7 PM CDT/
THIS EVENING...
...RED FLAG WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 12 PM EDT /11 AM CDT/
TO 7 PM EDT /6 PM CDT/ THURSDAY...

A RED FLAG WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 8 PM EDT /7 PM CDT/
THIS EVENING DUE TO ONGOING LONG DURATIONS OF RELATIVE HUMIDITY
BELOW 25 PERCENT.

A RED FLAG WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 12 PM EDT /11 AM CDT/
TO 7 PM EDT /6 PM CDT/ THURSDAY DUE TO EXPECTED LONG DURATIONS OF
RELATIVE HUMIDITY BELOW 25 PERCENT.

A RED FLAG WARNING MEANS THAT CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS
ARE EXPECTED TO OCCUR. A COMBINATION OF LOW RELATIVE HUMIDITY AND
WARM TEMPERATURES WILL ENHANCE FIRE GROWTH POTENTIAL.

$$

MROCZKA/DUVAL
000 
WWUS82 KTAE 170106
RFWTAE

RED FLAG WARNING
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TALLAHASSEE FL
906 PM EDT WED APR 16 2008

...A RED FLAG WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 11 AM EDT /10 AM
CDT/ TO 9 PM EDT /8 PM CDT/ THURSDAY FOR THE SAME FLORIDA AREAS
DUE TO EXPECTED LONG DURATIONS OF RELATIVE HUMIDITY BELOW
35 PERCENT...

...A RED FLAG WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 12 AM EDT /11 AM
CDT/ TO 8 PM EDT /7 PM CDT/ THURSDAY FOR THE SAME ALABAMA AND
GEORGIA AREAS DUE TO EXPECTED LONG DURATIONS OF RELATIVE HUMIDITY
BELOW 25 PERCENT...

...A FIRE WEATHER WATCH IN EFFECT FRIDAY AFTERNOON THROUGH EARLY
FRIDAY EVENING FOR INLAND PORTIONS OF THE FLORIDA BIG BEND AND A
SMALL PORTION OF THE INLAND EASTERN PANHANDLE...

.DISCUSSION...SURFACE HIGH PRESSURE WILL REMAIN PARKED OVER THE
FORECAST AREA THROUGH THURSDAY KEEPING THE LOW LEVELS QUITE DRY.
THESE DRY CONDITIONS COMBINED WITH WARMER AFTERNOON TEMPERATURES
ON THURSDAY ARE EXPECTED TO RESULT IN WIDESPREAD LONG DURATIONS 
OF RELATIVE HUMIDITY BELOW CRITICAL LEVELS. AS THE SURFACE HIGH
SLIDES OFF THE SOUTHEAST COAST THURSDAY NIGHT AND FRIDAY... WINDS
WILL COME AROUND TO A MORE SOUTHERLY DIRECTION AND BEGIN TO IMPORT
HIGHER LEVELS OF MOISTURE. HOWEVER...A FEW LOCATIONS CLOSER TO THE
RIDGE CENTER OVER INLAND PORTIONS OF THE EASTERN FLORIDA PANHANDLE
AND FLORIDA BIG BEND MAY STILL SEE DURATIONS OF RELATIVE HUMIDITY
BELOW 35 PERCENT FRIDAY AFTERNOON. A CONTINUED INCREASE IN
MOISTURE AND INCREASING RAIN CHANCES ON SATURDAY SHOULD KEEP
RELATIVE HUMIDITY VALUES ABOVE CRITICAL LEVELS.

FLZ011-013-016>019-026-028-029-034-171100-
/O.EXP.KTAE.FW.W.0050.000000T0000Z-080417T0100Z/
/O.CON.KTAE.FW.W.0051.080417T1500Z-080418T0000Z/
/O.CON.KTAE.FW.A.0047.080418T1800Z-080418T2300Z/
JACKSON-CALHOUN-GADSDEN-LEON-JEFFERSON-MADISON-LIBERTY-TAYLOR-
LAFAYETTE-DIXIE-
906 PM EDT WED APR 16 2008 /806 PM CDT WED APR 16 2008/

...RED FLAG WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 11 AM EDT /10 AM CDT/
TO 8 PM EDT /7 PM CDT/ THURSDAY...
...FIRE WEATHER WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM FRIDAY AFTERNOON
THROUGH FRIDAY EVENING...
...RED FLAG WARNING HAS EXPIRED FOR THIS EVENING...

A RED FLAG WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 11 AM EDT /10 AM CDT/
TO 8 PM EDT /7 PM CDT/ THURSDAY DUE TO EXPECTED LONG DURATIONS OF
RELATIVE HUMIDITY BELOW 35 PERCENT.

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN TALLAHASSEE HAS ISSUED A FIRE
WEATHER WATCH...WHICH IS IN EFFECT FROM FRIDAY AFTERNOON THROUGH
FRIDAY EVENING DUE TO ANTICIPATED LONG DURATIONS OF RELATIVE
HUMIDITY BELOW 35 PERCENT.

A RED FLAG WARNING MEANS THAT CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS
ARE EXPECTED TO OCCUR. A COMBINATION OF LOW RELATIVE HUMIDITY...
WARM TEMPERATURES AND HIGH DISPERSION WILL ENHANCE FIRE GROWTH
POTENTIAL.

A FIRE WEATHER WATCH MEANS THAT CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS
ARE FORECAST TO OCCUR. LISTEN FOR LATER FORECASTS AND POSSIBLE
RED FLAG WARNINGS.

$$

FLZ007-009-010-012-014-015-027-171100-
/O.EXP.KTAE.FW.W.0050.000000T0000Z-080417T0100Z/
/O.CON.KTAE.FW.W.0051.080417T1500Z-080418T0000Z/
INLAND WALTON-HOLMES-WASHINGTON-BAY-GULF-FRANKLIN-WAKULLA-
906 PM EDT WED APR 16 2008 /806 PM CDT WED APR 16 2008/

...RED FLAG WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 11 AM EDT /10 AM CDT/
TO 8 PM EDT /7 PM CDT/ THURSDAY...
...RED FLAG WARNING HAS EXPIRED FOR THIS EVENING...

A RED FLAG WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 11 AM EDT /10 AM CDT/
TO 8 PM EDT /7 PM CDT/ THURSDAY DUE TO EXPECTED LONG DURATIONS OF
RELATIVE HUMIDITY BELOW 35 PERCENT.

A RED FLAG WARNING MEANS THAT CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS
ARE EXPECTED TO OCCUR. A COMBINATION OF LOW RELATIVE HUMIDITY...
WARM TEMPERATURES AND HIGH DISPERSION WILL ENHANCE FIRE GROWTH
POTENTIAL.

$$

ALZ065>069-GAZ120>131-142>148-155>161-171100-
/O.CON.KTAE.FW.W.0051.080417T1600Z-080417T2300Z/
COFFEE-DALE-HENRY-GENEVA-HOUSTON-QUITMAN-CLAY-RANDOLPH-CALHOUN-
TERRELL-DOUGHERTY-LEE-WORTH-TURNER-TIFT-BEN HILL-IRWIN-EARLY-
MILLER-BAKER-MITCHELL-COLQUITT-COOK-BERRIEN-SEMINOLE-DECATUR-
GRADY-THOMAS-BROOKS-LOWNDES-LANIER-
906 PM EDT WED APR 16 2008 /806 PM CDT WED APR 16 2008/

...RED FLAG WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 12 PM EDT /11 AM CDT/
TO 7 PM EDT /6 PM CDT/ THURSDAY...
...RED FLAG WARNING HAS EXPIRED FOR THIS EVENING...

A RED FLAG WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 12 PM EDT /11 AM CDT/
TO 7 PM EDT /6 PM CDT/ THURSDAY DUE TO EXPECTED LONG DURATIONS OF
RELATIVE HUMIDITY BELOW 25 PERCENT.

A RED FLAG WARNING MEANS THAT CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS
ARE EXPECTED TO OCCUR. A COMBINATION OF LOW RELATIVE HUMIDITY AND
WARM TEMPERATURES WILL ENHANCE FIRE GROWTH POTENTIAL.

$$

14-MROCZKA

What forecasters said that day

The local office's own words before this red flag warning went out, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.

NWS Tallahassee, FL wrote its last area forecast discussion before this red flag warning went out at Apr 15, 4:15 AM CDT, 6 minutes earlier.

Area forecast discussion, Apr 15, 4:15 AM CDT, 6 minutes before
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION...COR FIRE WX AND WWA SECTION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TALLAHASSEE FL
515 AM EDT TUE APR 15 2008

.SYNOPSIS...SKIES HAVE CLEARED ACROSS THE TRI-STATE REGION AND THE
GRADIENT IS CONTINUING TO RELAX. AT 2 AM...WINDS WERE GENERALLY FROM
THE NORTH TO NORTHWEST AT 5 TO 10 MPH WITH THE EXCEPTION OF
TALLAHASSEE WHERE CALM WINDS ARE BEING REPORTED. AS A RESULT...
TALLAHASSEE CURRENTLY HAS THE COLDEST TEMPERATURE OF 40 DEGREES
ALONG WITH A DEW POINT OF 35 DEGREES. ELSEWHERE...TEMPS WERE IN THE
LOWER TO MID 40S WITH DEW POINTS IN THE MID TO UPPER 30S.

&&

.SHORT TERM...TODAY THROUGH THURSDAY...THE UPPER TROUGH WILL SWING
EAST OF THE FLORIDA PENINSULA TODAY WITH RIDGING BUILDING INTO THE
REGION IN ITS WAKE. UNTIL THE UPPER TROUGH PULLS FURTHER AWAY TO OUR
EAST...WE WILL HAVE TO CONTEND WITH SOME CLOUDS AND THE POSSIBILITY
OF A FEW SPRINKLES THIS AFTERNOON...ESPECIALLY OVER OUR EASTERNMOST
GEORGIA ZONES. AT THE SURFACE...HIGH PRESSURE WILL BUILD IN FROM THE
WEST CENTERING OVER THE MID ATLANTIC STATES WITH A NE TO SW AXIS
EXTENDING FROM NEW ENGLAND TO THE GULF. THE POSITION OF THE HIGH
SHOULD GIVE US A LIGHT NE WIND COMPONENT OVERNIGHT AS THE GRADIENT
OVER THE LOCAL REGION WILL BE VERY WEAK. THIS ALONG WITH CLEAR SKIES
AND A DEEP DRY AIRMASS IN PLACE SHOULD ALLOW US TO DROP INTO THE MID
30S MOST INLAND AREAS AND WILL BE FAVORABLE FOR PATCHY FROST TO
DEVELOP. WILL ISSUE A FROST ADVISORY ON THIS FORECAST PACKAGE AND
INCLUDE PRECAUTIONARY MEASURES IN THE HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
SINCE WE ARE NOW WELL INTO THE GROWING SEASON. AFTER A COLD START TO
THE DAY ON WEDNESDAY...TEMPERATURES WILL CLIMB INTO INTO THE LOWER
TO MID 70S BY AFTERNOON. THE MIN TEMPERATURE WEDNESDAY NIGHT WONT
BE AS COLD...HOWEVER UPPER 30S WILL BE POSSIBLE IN THE NORMALLY
COLDER LOCATIONS. WITH DEEP LAYER RIDGING OVER THE REGION ON
THURSDAY...TEMPERATURES WILL RETURN TO SEASONAL LEVELS.

&&

.LONG TERM...THURSDAY NIGHT THROUGH TUESDAY...DEEP LAYER RIDGING
WILL BE MOVING E OF THE AREA THU NIGHT AS THE NEXT FRONTAL SYSTEM
APPROACHES FROM THE W. THERE IS GOOD MODEL CONSENSUS ON THE TIMING
OF THE FRONT...WHICH REACHES OUR FORECAST AREA ABOUT 12 HOURS
EARLIER THAN PREVIOUS RUNS HAVE BEEN INDICATING. POPS WILL THEREFORE
BE SHIFT AHEAD ONE PERIOD INTO THE FRI-FRI NIGHT TIME FRAME. WE PLAN
TO USE A BLEND OF THE MEX AND EURO POP FOR FRI NIGHT. BEHIND THE
FRONT...A SHALLOW SHORT WAVE RIDGE WILL BUILD OVERHEAD MAKING FOR A
DRY WEEKEND. THE FORECAST AFTER THAT TIME DEPENDS ON THE EVOLUTION
OF THE OCCLUDED LOW CENTER. THE 00Z GFS AND 14/12Z EURO HAVE SWAPPED
SCENARIOS FROM THIS TIME LAST NIGHT WITH THE GFS NOW MOVING THE
SYSTEM EWD AT A MUCH HIGHER LATITUDE ACROSS PA AND NJ ON SUN AND SUN
NIGHT BEFORE DROPPING IT SEWD. THE 14/12Z EURO LOOKS A LOT CLOSER TO
THE THE 14/00Z GFS DROPPING THE LOW SEWD ACROSS THE CAROLINAS SAT
NIGHT THROUGH SUN NIGHT. HOWEVER...HPC POINTS OUT THAT THERE HAS NOT
BEEN GOOD INTERNAL CONSISTENCY IN THE MODELS WITH THIS SYSTEM AT
THESE PROJECTIONS AND THERE WAS A 20 DEGREE LATITUDE SPREAD IN THE
ENSEMBLE MEMBERS IN POSITIONING OF THE LOW AS IT MOVES OFF THE E
COAST. WITH THIS MUCH UNCERTAINTY...WE WILL JUST STICK WITH THE
OPERATIONAL MEX MOS POP DISTRIBUTION WHICH IS CLOSE TO WHAT WE HAVE
BEEN ADVERTISING WITH SLIGHT CHANCE POPS FOR MON INTO TUE. TEMPS
WILL SHOW A GRADUAL WARMING TREND...BUT WILL ESSENTIALLY BE WITHING
A FEW DEGREES OF NORMAL THROUGH THE PERIOD.

&&

.MARINE...WINDS AND SEAS HAVE DROPPED BELOW SCA CRITERIA SO WILL
DROP THE SCA HEADLINE AND REPLACE WITH SCEC FOR TODAY. WINDS AND
SEAS WILL DROP BELOW HEADLINE CRITERIA BY THIS EVENING AND STAY LOW
THROUGH THE REMAINDER OF THE FORECAST PERIOD. WINDS WILL GRADUALLY
SWING AROUND FROM THE NORTH TODAY TO THE SOUTH BY FRIDAY WITH A COLD
FRONT EXPECTED TO BRING A RETURN OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS TO THE
WATERS LATE FRIDAY OR SATURDAY.

&&

.AVIATION...VFR CONDITIONS WILL CONTINUE TO PREVAIL INTO TUE NIGHT.
CLEAR SKIES TONIGHT WILL GIVE WAY TO ANOTHER STRATOCU FIELD DURING
THE DAYLIGHT HOURS. WITH THE COLD POOL MOVING E DURING THE DAY...
THE CLOUD FIELD SHOULD NOT BE AS EXTENSIVE AS YESTERDAY ACROSS THE
WRN TERMINALS. CLOUD BASES WILL AGAIN BE IN THE 6-8 KFT RANGE WITH
CEILINGS PREVAILING ONLY AT ABY AND VLD DURING THE AFTERNOON. SKIES
MAY BRIEFLY GO BROKEN AT TLH AND DHN. CLEARING WILL SET IN LATE IN
THE DAY. WINDS WILL STILL BE GUSTY DURING THE DAYTIME...OUT OF THE
N. HOWEVER...BOTH SUSTAINED WINDS SPEED AND GUSTS WILL NOT BE AS
HIGH AS ON MON.

&&

.FIRE WEATHER...A RED FLAG WARNING IS IN EFFECT THIS AFTERNOON FOR
ALL FLORIDA ZONES DUE TO EXPECTED LONG DURATIONS OF LOW RH. WE WILL
ALSO GO AHEAD AND ISSUE A RED FLAG WARNING FOR OUR ENTIRE CWA
WEDNESDAY AFTERNOON DUE TO FORECAST RH VALUES IN THE TEENS.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
TALLAHASSEE  66 35 74 39 79/ 00 00 00 00 00
PANAMA CITY  67 42 72 47 75/ 00 00 00 00 00
DOTHAN       63 38 73 44 78/ 00 00 00 00 00
ALBANY       64 36 73 40 78/ 00 00 00 00 00
VALDOSTA     62 36 72 40 78/ 10 00 00 00 00
CROSS CITY   67 36 73 38 79/ 00 00 00 00 00

&&

.TAE WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
AL...RED FLAG WARNING ALL ZONES WEDNESDAY AFTERNOON.
     FROST ADVISORY FOR ALL ZONES TONIGHT.
GA...RED FLAG WARNING ALL ZONES WEDNESDAY AFTERNOON.
     FROST ADVISORY FOR ALL ZONES TONIGHT.
FL...RED FLAG WARNING THIS AFTN ALL ZONES.
     FROST ADVISORY TONIGHT FOR ALL ZONES EXCEPT...BAY...
     GULF...FRANKLIN AND EXCLUDING THE IMMEDIATE COAST OF THE BIG
     BEND COASTAL COUNTIES.
     RED FLAG WARNING ALL ZONES WEDNESDAY AFTERNOON.
GM...NONE.

AVIATION/FIRE WX...WOOL
REST OF DISCUSSION...BARRY
Hazardous weather outlook, Apr 14, 4:50 AM CDT, 23 hours 31 minutes before
HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TALLAHASSEE FL
550 AM EDT MON APR 14 2008

ALZ065>069-FLZ007>019-026>029-034-GAZ120>131-142>148-155>161-
GMZ730-750-755-765-770-775-151000-
COFFEE-DALE-HENRY-GENEVA-HOUSTON-INLAND WALTON-COASTAL WALTON-
HOLMES-WASHINGTON-JACKSON-BAY-CALHOUN-GULF-FRANKLIN-GADSDEN-LEON-
JEFFERSON-MADISON-LIBERTY-WAKULLA-TAYLOR-LAFAYETTE-DIXIE-QUITMAN-
CLAY-RANDOLPH-TERRELL-DOUGHERTY-LEE-WORTH-TURNER-TIFT-BEN HILL-
IRWIN-EARLY-MILLER-BAKER-MITCHELL-COLQUITT-COOK-BERRIEN-SEMINOLE-
DECATUR-GRADY-THOMAS-BROOKS-LOWNDES-LANIER-
APALACHEE BAY OR COASTAL WATERS FROM KEATON BEACH TO OCHLOCKONEE
RIVER FL OUT TO 20 NM-
COASTAL WATERS FROM APALACHICOLA TO DESTIN FL OUT 20 NM-
COASTAL WATERS FROM  OCHLOCKONEE RIVER TO APALACHICOLA FL OUT TO
20 NM-
COASTAL WATERS FROM  SUWANNEE RIVER TO KEATON BEACH OUT 20 NM-
WATERS FROM APALACHICOLA TO DESTIN FL FROM 20 TO 60 NM-
WATERS FROM  SUWANNEE RIVER TO APALACHICOLA FL FROM 20 TO 60 NM-
550 AM EDT MON APR 14 2008 /450 AM CDT MON APR 14 2008/

...LAKE WIND ADVISORY IN EFFECT FROM 10 AM EDT /9 AM CDT/ THIS
MORNING TO 8 PM EDT /7 PM CDT/ THIS EVENING FOR SOUTHEAST
ALABAMA...SOUTHWEST AND SOUTH CENTRAL GEORGIA...AND THE EASTERN
FLORIDA PANHANDLE AND BIG BEND FOR STRONG GUSTY WINDS...

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY IN EFFECT THROUGH TUESDAY AFTERNOON...

...A RED FLAG WARNING IS NOW IN EFFECT FROM 2 PM EDT /1 PM CDT/
THIS AFTERNOON TO 7 PM EDT /6 PM CDT/ THIS EVENING FOR ALL OF THE
FLORIDA BIG BEND AND PANHANDLE DUE TO A COMBINATION OF RELATIVE
HUMIDITY BELOW 35 PERCENT AND 20-FOOT WINDS OF 15 MPH OR
GREATER...

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR SOUTHEAST ALABAMA...
SOUTHWEST AND SOUTH CENTRAL GEORGIA...AND THE FLORIDA BIG BEND
AND PANHANDLE...AND ADJACENT COASTAL WATERS.

.DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT...
BREEZY CONDITIONS TODAY WILL CAUSE HAZARDOUS CONDITIONS ON AREA
LAKES. A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY IS ALSO IN EFFECT FOR THE LOCAL
GULF WATERS. IT WILL BE UNSEASONABLY COLD ACROSS THE REGION TODAY
AND TONIGHT WITH NEAR RECORD COLD TEMPERATURES BY TUESDAY MORNING
AT SOME LOCATIONS. THERE IS EXPECTED TO BE SUFFICIENT WIND AND
CLOUD COVER TONIGHT TO PREVENT THE FORMATION OF FROST. VERY DRY
AIR MOVING INTO THE REGION TODAY COMBINED WITH BREEZY CONDITIONS
WILL ENHANCE THE SPREAD OF ANY WILDFIRES...ESPECIALLY OVER NORTH
FLORIDA.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...TUESDAY THROUGH SUNDAY...
IT WILL BE A LITTLE WARMER ON TUESDAY BUT MAX TEMPERATURES WILL
STILL BE ABOUT 15 DEGREES BELOW NORMAL. WE DO EXPECT MORE SUNSHINE
AND LESS WIND ON TUESDAY SO IT WONT FEEL NEARLY AS COLD AS THE
CONDITIONS FELT ON MONDAY. WINDS AND SEAS OVER THE COASTAL WATERS
WILL CONTINUE TO BE ELEVATED TO ADVISORY LEVELS AT LEAST UNTIL
EARLY TUESDAY AFTERNOON. A DRY AIRMASS WILL REMAIN IN PLACE AND
THIS WILL ENHANCE THE SPREAD OF ANY WILDFIRES...ESPECIALLY
OVER NORTH FLORIDA. WINDS WILL DIMINISH TUESDAY NIGHT AND SKIES
SHOULD BE CLEAR ALLOWING TEMPERATURES TO DROP TO THE MID 30S OVER
MOST INLAND AREAS. IF THE WINDS DIMINISH AS EXPECTED AND THE
TEMPERATURES DROP INTO THE MID 30S...THERE WILL BE THE POTENTIAL
FOR THE DEVELOPMENT OF FROST ACROSS THE REGION FOR AREAS AWAY FROM
THE COAST AND OUTSIDE URBAN CENTERS. A FROST THIS LATE IN THE
SEASON WILL HARM SENSITIVE OUTDOOR PLANTS AND NEWLY PLANTED
GARDENS AND FARM FIELDS. PERSONS SHOULD BEGIN PREPARING PROTECTIVE
MEASURES TO LIMIT POTENTIAL DAMAGE TO THIS SENSITIVE VEGETATION.
ALSO...A FEW NEW RECORD LOW TEMPERATURES MAY BE ESTABLISHED
WEDNESDAY MORNING. A GRADUAL WARMING TREND WILL BEGIN ON
WEDNESDAY WITH TEMPERATURES RETURNING TO SEASONAL LEVELS BY THE
END OF THE WEEK. THE NEXT CHANCE FOR RAIN WILL BE SATURDAY AS A
WEAK COLD FRONT APPROACHES AND PASSES THROUGH THE TRI-STATE AREA.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION WILL NOT BE NEEDED.

FOR ADDITIONAL INFORMATION...VISIT THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE
WEBSITE ON THE INTERNET AT WEATHER.GOV...THEN CLICK ON YOUR AREA
OF INTEREST ON THE NATIONAL MAP.

22-BARRY

The office that day

Everything else NWS Tallahassee, FL issued on the same UTC day.

IssuedProductOfficeCountiesLasted
Apr 15, 3:56 AM CDTFrost AdvisoryTAEBay, Calhoun, Dixie, Franklin, Gadsden, Gulf and 10 more28 hr
Apr 15, 1:51 PM CDTFire Weather WatchTAEBay, Calhoun, Dixie, Franklin, Gadsden, Gulf and 10 more14 hr

Nearby

Red Flag Warnings in Georgia, 2008Red Flag Warnings in Florida, 2008Red Flag Warnings in Alabama, 2008Every red flag warning in 2008

Sources

The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; the sounding from the Mesonet's radiosonde archive; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive.