Alert archive / Georgia / Red Flag Warnings in 2008
Red Flag Warning 41, NWS Tallahassee, FL
NWS Tallahassee, FL issued this red flag warning at Mar 23, 2008, 3:08 PM EDT for 26 counties in Georgia; 16 counties in Florida; 5 counties in Alabama. It took effect at Mar 24, 2008, 9:00 AM EDT. It was in force for 13 hr. No storm report in the archive falls inside the area while it was in force.
The area
The counties it named.
The facts
- Issued
- Mar 23, 2008, 3:08 PM EDT (19:08 UTC)
- In effect from
- Mar 24, 2008, 9:00 AM EDT
- Expired
- Mar 24, 2008, 10:00 PM EDT
- In force
- 13 hr
- Issued by
- NWS Tallahassee, FL
All 47 counties
Coffee County, AL, Dale County, AL, Geneva County, AL, Henry County, AL, Houston County, AL, Bay County, FL, Calhoun County, FL, Dixie County, FL, Franklin County, FL, Gadsden County, FL, Gulf County, FL, Holmes County, FL, Jackson County, FL, Jefferson County, FL, Lafayette County, FL, Leon County, FL, Madison County, FL, Taylor County, FL, Wakulla County, FL, Walton County, FL, Washington County, FL, Baker County, GA, Ben Hill County, GA, Berrien County, GA, Brooks County, GA, Calhoun County, GA, Clay County, GA, Colquitt County, GA, Cook County, GA, Decatur County, GA, Dougherty County, GA, Early County, GA, Grady County, GA, Irwin County, GA, Lanier County, GA, Lee County, GA, Lowndes County, GA, Miller County, GA, Mitchell County, GA, Quitman County, GA, Randolph County, GA, Seminole County, GA, Terrell County, GA, Thomas County, GA, Tift County, GA, Turner County, GA, Worth County, GA
The radar
The Tallahassee radar (KTLH), 66 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 19:06 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.
Open the radar archive at this moment
The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.
The nearest sounding before it
Tallahassee Rgnl, FL (KTLH), launched 12:00Z, 7.1 hours before the alert went out and 66 km from the middle of its area. This is the routine balloon launch nearest before it, the air the forecaster had in hand, not a measurement taken for the alert.
- Mixed-layer CAPE
- 0 J/kg
- Mixed-layer CIN
- No buoyant parcel
- Mixed-layer LCL
- 3394 m above ground
- 0-6 km bulk shear
- 52 kt
- 0-1 km storm-relative helicity
- 43 m²/s²
- 0-3 km storm-relative helicity
- 59 m²/s²
- Significant tornado parameter
- 0.0
- Supercell composite
- 0.0
The text
As transmitted, in the capitals the NWS used until 2016.
000 WWUS82 KTAE 231908 RFWTAE RED FLAG WARNING NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TALLAHASSEE FL 308 PM EDT SUN MAR 23 2008 ...RED FLAG WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 8 PM EDT /7 PM CDT/ THIS EVENING FOR ALL OF THE EASTERN FLORIDA PANHANDLE AND FLORIDA BIG BEND DUE TO ONGOING LONG DURATIONS OF RELATIVE HUMIDITY BELOW 35 PERCENT COMBINED WITH HIGH DISPERSION INDICES... ...RED FLAG WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 PM EDT /5 PM CDT/ THIS AFTERNOON FOR ALL OF SOUTHEAST ALABAMA AND ALSO ACROSS ALL OF SOUTHWEST AND SOUTH CENTRAL GEORGIA DUE TO ONGOING LONG DURATIONS OF RELATIVE HUMIDITY AT OR BELOW 25 PERCENT... ...RED FLAG WARNING IS NOW IN EFFECT FROM 11 AM EDT /10 AM CDT/ TO 8 PM EDT /7 PM CDT/ MONDAY FOR ALL OF THE EASTERN FLORIDA PANHANDLE AND FLORIDA BIG BEND DUE TO EXPECTED LONG DURATIONS OF RELATIVE HUMIDITY BELOW 35 PERCENT COMBINED WITH HIGH DISPERSION INDICES AND SUSTAINED SURFACE WINDS AROUND 15 MPH... ...RED FLAG WARNING IN EFFECT FROM 1 PM EDT /12 PM CDT/ TO 7 PM EDT /6 PM CDT/ MONDAY FOR ALL OF SOUTHEAST ALABAMA AND ALL OF SOUTHWEST AND SOUTH CENTRAL GEORGIA DUE TO EXPECTED LONG DURATIONS OF RELATIVE HUMIDITY BELOW 25 PERCENT... ...FIRE WEATHER WATCH IN NOW IN EFFECT FOR TUESDAY AFTERNOON FOR ALL OF THE EASTERN FLORIDA PANHANDLE...FLORIDA BIG BEND... SOUTHEAST ALABAMA...SOUTHWEST AND SOUTH CENTRAL GEORGIA DUE TO ANTICIPATED LONG DURATIONS OF RELATIVE HUMIDITY BELOW CRITICAL LEVELS... .DISCUSSION...ANOTHER WEAK COLD FRONT WILL CROSS THROUGH THE FORECAST AREA TONIGHT USHERING IN A COOL AND DRY AIRMASS BY MONDAY MORNING. DESPITE THE COOL TEMPERATURES...ENOUGH DRY AIR WILL BE IN PLACE TO RESULT IN ANOTHER AFTERNOON OF WIDESPREAD RELATIVE HUMIDITY BELOW CRITICAL LEVELS. IN ADDITION TO THE LOW RELATIVE HUMIDITY...GUSTY NORTHWEST WINDS AND HIGH MIXING HEIGHTS WILL RESULT IN ELEVATED DISPERSION INDICES. HIGH PRESSURE SETTLES OVERHEAD FOR MONDAY NIGHT INTO TUESDAY ALLOWING WINDS TO BECOME LIGHTER. HOWEVER...PLENTY OF DRY AIR IN PLACE AND MODERATING TEMPERATURES WILL ONCE AGAIN RESULT IN FIRE WEATHER CONCERNS ACROSS THE FORECAST AREA TUESDAY AFTERNOON. THE HIGH WILL REMAIN IN CONTROL OF THE REGION INTO THE MIDDLE OF THE WEEK. ALTHOUGH MOISTURE LEVELS WILL BEGIN TO RISE BY THIS TIME...FIRE WEATHER CONCERNS MAY STILL BE AN ISSUE ACROSS PORTIONS OF NORTH FLORIDA INTO WEDNESDAY. FLZ007-009>019-026>029-034-240030- /O.UPG.KTAE.FW.A.0038.080324T1600Z-080325T0000Z/ /O.NEW.KTAE.FW.W.0041.080324T1500Z-080325T0000Z/ /O.NEW.KTAE.FW.A.0039.080325T1600Z-080326T0000Z/ /O.CON.KTAE.FW.W.0040.000000T0000Z-080324T0000Z/ INLAND WALTON-HOLMES-WASHINGTON-JACKSON-BAY-CALHOUN-GULF-FRANKLIN- GADSDEN-LEON-JEFFERSON-MADISON-LIBERTY-WAKULLA-TAYLOR-LAFAYETTE- DIXIE- 308 PM EDT SUN MAR 23 2008 /208 PM CDT SUN MAR 23 2008/ ...RED FLAG WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 8 PM EDT /7 PM CDT/ THIS EVENING... ...RED FLAG WARNING IN EFFECT FROM 11 AM EDT /10 AM CDT/ TO 8 PM EDT /7 PM CDT/ MONDAY... ...FIRE WEATHER WATCH IN EFFECT FROM TUESDAY AFTERNOON THROUGH TUESDAY EVENING... THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN TALLAHASSEE HAS ISSUED A RED FLAG WARNING...WHICH IS IN EFFECT FROM 11 AM EDT /10 AM CDT/ TO 8 PM EDT /7 PM CDT/ MONDAY DUE TO EXPECTED LONG DURATIONS OF RELATIVE HUMIDITY BELOW 35 PERCENT...COMBINED WITH GUSTY NORTHERLY WINDS AND HIGH DISPERSION INDICES. A FIRE WEATHER WATCH HAS ALSO BEEN ISSUED. THIS FIRE WEATHER WATCH IS IN EFFECT FROM TUESDAY AFTERNOON AND EARLY EVENING DUE TO ANTICIPATED LONG DURATIONS OF RELATIVE HUMIDITY BELOW 35 PERCENT. A RED FLAG WARNING MEANS THAT CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS ARE EITHER OCCURRING NOW...OR WILL SHORTLY. A COMBINATION OF GUSTY WINDS...LOW RELATIVE HUMIDITY...AND HIGH DISPERSION INDICES WILL ENHANCE FIRE GROWTH POTENTIAL. A FIRE WEATHER WATCH MEANS THAT CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS ARE FORECAST TO OCCUR. LISTEN FOR LATER FORECASTS AND POSSIBLE RED FLAG WARNINGS. $$ ALZ065>069-GAZ120>131-142>148-155>161-240030- /O.UPG.KTAE.FW.A.0038.080324T1800Z-080324T2200Z/ /O.NEW.KTAE.FW.W.0041.080324T1700Z-080324T2300Z/ /O.NEW.KTAE.FW.A.0039.080325T1800Z-080325T2200Z/ /O.CON.KTAE.FW.W.0040.000000T0000Z-080323T2200Z/ COFFEE-DALE-HENRY-GENEVA-HOUSTON-QUITMAN-CLAY-RANDOLPH-CALHOUN- TERRELL-DOUGHERTY-LEE-WORTH-TURNER-TIFT-BEN HILL-IRWIN-EARLY- MILLER-BAKER-MITCHELL-COLQUITT-COOK-BERRIEN-SEMINOLE-DECATUR- GRADY-THOMAS-BROOKS-LOWNDES-LANIER- 308 PM EDT SUN MAR 23 2008 /208 PM CDT SUN MAR 23 2008/ ...RED FLAG WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 PM EDT /5 PM CDT/ THIS AFTERNOON... ...RED FLAG WARNING IN EFFECT FROM 1 PM EDT /12 PM CDT/ TO 7 PM EDT /6 PM CDT/ MONDAY... ...FIRE WEATHER WATCH IN EFFECT TUESDAY AFTERNOON... THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN TALLAHASSEE HAS ISSUED A RED FLAG WARNING...WHICH IS IN EFFECT FROM 1 PM EDT /12 PM CDT/ TO 7 PM EDT /6 PM CDT/ MONDAY DUE TO EXPECTED LONG DURATIONS OF RELATIVE HUMIDITY BELOW 25 PERCENT. A FIRE WEATHER WATCH HAS ALSO BEEN ISSUED. THIS FIRE WEATHER WATCH IS IN EFFECT TUESDAY AFTERNOON DUE TO ANTICIPATED LONG DURATIONS OF RELATIVE HUMIDITY BELOW 25 PERCENT. A RED FLAG WARNING MEANS THAT CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS ARE EITHER OCCURRING NOW...OR WILL SHORTLY. A COMBINATION OF GUSTY WINDS...LOW RELATIVE HUMIDITY...AND HIGH DISPERSION INDICES WILL ENHANCE FIRE GROWTH POTENTIAL. A FIRE WEATHER WATCH MEANS THAT CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS ARE FORECAST TO OCCUR. LISTEN FOR LATER FORECASTS AND POSSIBLE RED FLAG WARNINGS. $$ 14-MROCZKA
4 follow-up statements
000 WWUS82 KTAE 240023 RFWTAE RED FLAG WARNING NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TALLAHASSEE FL 823 PM EDT SUN MAR 23 2008 ...RED FLAG WARNING IN EFFECT FROM 11 AM EDT /10 AM CDT/ TO 8 PM EDT /7 PM CDT/ MONDAY FOR ALL OF THE EASTERN FLORIDA PANHANDLE AND FLORIDA BIG BEND DUE TO EXPECTED LONG DURATIONS OF RELATIVE HUMIDITY BELOW 35 PERCENT COMBINED WITH HIGH DISPERSION INDICES AND SUSTAINED SURFACE WINDS AROUND 15 MPH... ...RED FLAG WARNING IN EFFECT FROM 1 PM EDT /12 PM CDT/ TO 7 PM EDT /6 PM CDT/ MONDAY FOR ALL OF SOUTHEAST ALABAMA AND ALL OF SOUTHWEST AND SOUTH CENTRAL GEORGIA DUE TO EXPECTED LONG DURATIONS OF RELATIVE HUMIDITY BELOW 25 PERCENT... ...FIRE WEATHER WATCH IN NOW IN EFFECT FOR TUESDAY AFTERNOON FOR ALL OF THE EASTERN FLORIDA PANHANDLE...FLORIDA BIG BEND... SOUTHEAST ALABAMA...SOUTHWEST AND SOUTH CENTRAL GEORGIA DUE TO ANTICIPATED LONG DURATIONS OF RELATIVE HUMIDITY BELOW CRITICAL LEVELS... .DISCUSSION...ANOTHER WEAK COLD FRONT WILL CROSS THROUGH THE FORECAST AREA TONIGHT USHERING IN A COOL AND DRY AIRMASS BY MONDAY MORNING. DESPITE THE COOL TEMPERATURES...ENOUGH DRY AIR WILL BE IN PLACE TO RESULT IN ANOTHER AFTERNOON OF WIDESPREAD RELATIVE HUMIDITY BELOW CRITICAL LEVELS. IN ADDITION TO THE LOW RELATIVE HUMIDITY...GUSTY NORTHWEST WINDS AND HIGH MIXING HEIGHTS WILL RESULT IN ELEVATED DISPERSION INDICES. HIGH PRESSURE SETTLES OVERHEAD FOR MONDAY NIGHT INTO TUESDAY ALLOWING WINDS TO BECOME LIGHTER. HOWEVER...PLENTY OF DRY AIR IN PLACE AND MODERATING TEMPERATURES WILL ONCE AGAIN RESULT IN FIRE WEATHER CONCERNS ACROSS THE FORECAST AREA TUESDAY AFTERNOON. THE HIGH WILL REMAIN IN CONTROL OF THE REGION INTO THE MIDDLE OF THE WEEK. ALTHOUGH MOISTURE LEVELS WILL BEGIN TO RISE BY THIS TIME...FIRE WEATHER CONCERNS MAY STILL BE AN ISSUE ACROSS PORTIONS OF NORTH FLORIDA INTO WEDNESDAY. FLZ007-009>019-026>029-034-240830- /O.EXP.KTAE.FW.W.0040.000000T0000Z-080324T0000Z/ /O.CON.KTAE.FW.W.0041.080324T1500Z-080325T0000Z/ /O.CON.KTAE.FW.A.0039.080325T1600Z-080326T0000Z/ INLAND WALTON-HOLMES-WASHINGTON-JACKSON-BAY-CALHOUN-GULF-FRANKLIN- GADSDEN-LEON-JEFFERSON-MADISON-LIBERTY-WAKULLA-TAYLOR-LAFAYETTE- DIXIE- 823 PM EDT SUN MAR 23 2008 /723 PM CDT SUN MAR 23 2008/ ...RED FLAG WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 11 AM EDT /10 AM CDT/ TO 8 PM EDT /7 PM CDT/ MONDAY... ...FIRE WEATHER WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM TUESDAY AFTERNOON THROUGH TUESDAY EVENING... ...RED FLAG WARNING HAS EXPIRED FOR THIS AFTERNOON... A RED FLAG WARNING MEANS THAT CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS ARE EITHER OCCURRING NOW...OR WILL SHORTLY. A COMBINATION OF STRONG WINDS...LOW RELATIVE HUMIDITY...AND WARM TEMPERATURES WILL ENHANCE FIRE GROWTH POTENTIAL. A FIRE WEATHER WATCH MEANS THAT CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS ARE FORECAST TO OCCUR. LISTEN FOR LATER FORECASTS AND POSSIBLE RED FLAG WARNINGS. $$ ALZ065>069-GAZ120>131-142>148-155>161-240830- /O.CON.KTAE.FW.W.0041.080324T1700Z-080324T2300Z/ /O.CON.KTAE.FW.A.0039.080325T1800Z-080325T2200Z/ COFFEE-DALE-HENRY-GENEVA-HOUSTON-QUITMAN-CLAY-RANDOLPH-CALHOUN- TERRELL-DOUGHERTY-LEE-WORTH-TURNER-TIFT-BEN HILL-IRWIN-EARLY- MILLER-BAKER-MITCHELL-COLQUITT-COOK-BERRIEN-SEMINOLE-DECATUR- GRADY-THOMAS-BROOKS-LOWNDES-LANIER- 823 PM EDT SUN MAR 23 2008 /723 PM CDT SUN MAR 23 2008/ ...RED FLAG WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 1 PM EDT /12 PM CDT/ TO 7 PM EDT /6 PM CDT/ MONDAY... ...FIRE WEATHER WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT TUESDAY AFTERNOON... A RED FLAG WARNING MEANS THAT CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS ARE EITHER OCCURRING NOW...OR WILL SHORTLY. A COMBINATION OF GUSTY WINDS...LOW RELATIVE HUMIDITY...AND HIGH DISPERSION INDICES WILL ENHANCE FIRE GROWTH POTENTIAL. A FIRE WEATHER WATCH MEANS THAT CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS ARE FORECAST TO OCCUR. LISTEN FOR LATER FORECASTS AND POSSIBLE RED FLAG WARNINGS. $$
000 WWUS82 KTAE 240750 RFWTAE RED FLAG WARNING NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TALLAHASSEE FL 350 AM EDT MON MAR 24 2008 ...RED FLAG WARNING NOW IN EFFECT FROM 9 AM EDT /8 AM CDT/ FOR ALL OF THE EASTERN FLORIDA PANHANDLE AND FLORIDA BIG BEND DUE TO EXCEPTIONALLY LONG DURATIONS OF RELATIVE HUMIDITY BELOW 35 PERCENT COMBINING WITH SUSTAINED 20 FOOT WINDS IN EXCESS OF 15 MPH AND DISPERSION INDICES ABOVE 75... ...RED FLAG WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR SOUTHWEST AND SOUTH CENTRAL GEORGIA FROM 1 PM EDT UNTIL 7 PM EDT DUE TO LONG DURATIONS OF RELATIVE HUMIDITY BELOW 25 PERCENT COMBINING WITH FREQUENT GUSTY WINDS TO 25 MPH... ...RED FLAG WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR SOUTHEAST ALABAMA FROM 12 PM CDT UNTIL 6 PM CDT DUE TO LONG DURATIONS OF RELATIVE HUMIDITY BELOW 25 PERCENT... ...FIRE WEATHER WATCH IN EFFECT FOR TUESDAY MORNING AND AFTERNOON FOR ALL OF THE EASTERN FLORIDA PANHANDLE AND FLORIDA BIG BEND DUE TO EXPECTED LONG DURATIONS OF RELATIVE HUMIDITY BELOW 35 PERCENT... ...FIRE WEATHER WATCH IN EFFECT FOR TUESDAY AFTERNOON FOR SOUTHEAST ALABAMA AS WELL AS SOUTHWEST AND SOUTH CENTRAL GEORGIA DUE TO POSSIBLE LONG DURATIONS OF RELATIVE HUMIDITY BELOW 25 PERCENT... .AN EXTREMELY DRY AIRMASS IS CURRENTLY IN PLACE OVER THE REGION. THIS DRY AIRMASS...COMBINING WITH BREEZY NORTH NORTHWEST WINDS WILL CREATE DANGEROUS FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS ACROSS THE REGION TODAY. WARMER TEMPERATURES AND A CONTINUED DRY AIRMASS WILL CREATE THE POSSIBILITY OF RED FLAG CONDITIONS ACROSS THE ENTIRE REGION ON TUESDAY. FLZ007-009>019-026>029-034-242000- /O.EXT.KTAE.FW.W.0041.080324T1300Z-080325T0200Z/ /O.CON.KTAE.FW.A.0039.080325T1600Z-080326T0000Z/ INLAND WALTON-HOLMES-WASHINGTON-JACKSON-BAY-CALHOUN-GULF-FRANKLIN- GADSDEN-LEON-JEFFERSON-MADISON-LIBERTY-WAKULLA-TAYLOR-LAFAYETTE- DIXIE- 350 AM EDT MON MAR 24 2008 /250 AM CDT MON MAR 24 2008/ ...RED FLAG WARNING NOW IN EFFECT FROM 9 AM EDT /8 AM CDT/ THIS MORNING TO 10 PM EDT /9 PM CDT/ THIS EVENING... ...FIRE WEATHER WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM TUESDAY AFTERNOON THROUGH TUESDAY EVENING... EXTREMELY DRY CONDITIONS EARLY THIS MORNING WILL CONTINUE THROUGHOUT THE DAY YIELDING EXCEPTIONALLY LONG DURATIONS OF RELATIVE HUMIDITY BELOW 35 PERCENT. THIS LOW RELATIVE HUMIDITY COMBINING WITH NORTH NORTHWEST WINDS IN EXCESS OF 15 MPH WILL CREATE DANGEROUS FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS TODAY. LONG DURATIONS OF RELATIVE HUMIDITY BELOW 35 PERCENT IS EXPECTED FOR TUESDAY. A RED FLAG WARNING MEANS THAT CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS ARE EITHER OCCURRING OR EXPECTED SOON. THE COMBINATION OF LOW RELATIVE HUMIDITY AND STRONG WINDS WILL ENHANCE FIRE GROWTH POTENTIAL. A FIRE WEATHER WATCH MEANS THAT CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS ARE FORECAST TO OCCUR. LISTEN FOR LATER FORECASTS AND POSSIBLE RED FLAG WARNINGS. $$ ALZ065>069-GAZ120>131-142>148-155>161-242000- /O.CON.KTAE.FW.W.0041.080324T1700Z-080324T2300Z/ /O.CON.KTAE.FW.A.0039.080325T1800Z-080325T2200Z/ COFFEE-DALE-HENRY-GENEVA-HOUSTON-QUITMAN-CLAY-RANDOLPH-CALHOUN- TERRELL-DOUGHERTY-LEE-WORTH-TURNER-TIFT-BEN HILL-IRWIN-EARLY- MILLER-BAKER-MITCHELL-COLQUITT-COOK-BERRIEN-SEMINOLE-DECATUR- GRADY-THOMAS-BROOKS-LOWNDES-LANIER- 350 AM EDT MON MAR 24 2008 /250 AM CDT MON MAR 24 2008/ ...RED FLAG WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 1 PM EDT /NOON CDT/ THIS AFTERNOON TO 7 PM EDT /6 PM CDT/ THIS EVENING... ...FIRE WEATHER WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT TUESDAY AFTERNOON... LONG DURATIONS OF RELATIVE HUMIDITY BELOW 25 PERCENT WILL OCCUR THIS AFTERNOON COMBINING WITH BREEZY SURFACE WINDS GUSTING FREQUENTLY TO 25 MPH OR HIGHER. THIS WILL CREATE DANGEROUS FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS ACROSS SOUTH GEORGIA AND SOUTHEAST ALABAMA TODAY. A SHORTER PERIOD OF RELATIVE HUMIDITY BELOW 25 PERCENT WILL OCCUR ON TUESDAY...BUT MAY BE LONG ENOUGH TO REQUIRE A RED FLAG WARNING. A RED FLAG WARNING MEANS THAT CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS ARE EITHER OCCURRING OR EXPECTED SOON. THE COMBINATION OF LOW RELATIVE HUMIDITY AND STRONG WINDS WILL ENHANCE FIRE GROWTH POTENTIAL. A FIRE WEATHER WATCH MEANS THAT CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS ARE FORECAST TO OCCUR. LISTEN FOR LATER FORECASTS AND POSSIBLE RED FLAG WARNINGS. $$ 38-GODSEY
000 WWUS82 KTAE 241914 RFWTAE RED FLAG WARNING NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TALLAHASSEE FL 314 PM EDT MON MAR 24 2008 ...RED FLAG WARNING NOW IN EFFECT UNTIL 10 PM EDT /9 PM CDT/ FOR ALL OF THE EASTERN FLORIDA PANHANDLE AND FLORIDA BIG BEND DUE TO EXCEPTIONALLY LONG DURATIONS OF RELATIVE HUMIDITY BELOW 35 PERCENT COMBINING WITH SUSTAINED 20 FOOT WINDS IN EXCESS OF 15 MPH AND DISPERSION INDICES ABOVE 75... ...RED FLAG WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR SOUTHWEST AND SOUTH CENTRAL GEORGIA FROM 1 PM EDT UNTIL 7 PM EDT DUE TO LONG DURATIONS OF RELATIVE HUMIDITY BELOW 25 PERCENT COMBINING WITH FREQUENT GUSTY WINDS TO 25 MPH... ...RED FLAG WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR SOUTHEAST ALABAMA FROM 12 PM CDT UNTIL 6 PM CDT DUE TO LONG DURATIONS OF RELATIVE HUMIDITY BELOW 25 PERCENT... ...RED FLAG WARNING IN EFFECT FOR TUESDAY MORNING AND AFTERNOON FOR THE EASTERN FLORIDA PANHANDLE AND FLORIDA BIG BEND...SOUTHWEST AND SOUTH CENTRAL GEORGIA...AND SOUTHEAST ALABAMA DUE TO EXPECTED LONG DURATIONS OF LOW RELATIVE HUMIDITY... ...FIRE WEATHER WATCH IN EFFECT FOR WEDNESDAY MORNING AND AFTERNOON FOR MUCH OF THE EASTERN FLORIDA PANHANDLE AND FLORIDA BIG BEND...SOUTHWEST AND SOUTH CENTRAL GEORGIA...AND SOUTHEAST ALABAMA DUE TO POSSIBLE LONG DURATIONS OF LOW RELATIVE HUMIDITY... .AN EXTREMELY DRY AIRMASS IS CURRENTLY IN PLACE OVER THE REGION. THIS DRY AIRMASS...COMBINED WITH BREEZY NORTH NORTHWEST WINDS WILL CREATE DANGEROUS FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS ACROSS THE REGION INTO THE EVENING. WARMER TEMPERATURES AND A CONTINUED DRY AIRMASS WILL CREATE THE POSSIBILITY OF RED FLAG CONDITIONS ACROSS THE ENTIRE REGION ON TUESDAY. FLZ007-009>011-013-016>019-026>029-034-250215- /O.UPG.KTAE.FW.A.0039.080325T1600Z-080326T0000Z/ /O.NEW.KTAE.FW.W.0042.080325T1500Z-080326T0000Z/ /O.NEW.KTAE.FW.A.0040.080326T1800Z-080327T0000Z/ /O.CON.KTAE.FW.W.0041.000000T0000Z-080325T0200Z/ INLAND WALTON-HOLMES-WASHINGTON-JACKSON-CALHOUN-GADSDEN-LEON- JEFFERSON-MADISON-LIBERTY-WAKULLA-TAYLOR-LAFAYETTE-DIXIE- 314 PM EDT MON MAR 24 2008 /214 PM CDT MON MAR 24 2008/ ...RED FLAG WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 10 PM EDT /9 PM CDT/ THIS EVENING... ...RED FLAG WARNING IN EFFECT FROM 11 AM EDT /10 AM CDT/ TO 8 PM EDT /7 PM CDT/ TUESDAY... ...FIRE WEATHER WATCH IN EFFECT FROM WEDNESDAY AFTERNOON THROUGH WEDNESDAY EVENING... THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN TALLAHASSEE HAS ISSUED A RED FLAG WARNING...WHICH IS IN EFFECT FROM 11 AM EDT /10 AM CDT/ TO 8 PM EDT /7 PM CDT/ TUESDAY. A FIRE WEATHER WATCH IS IN EFFECT FROM WEDNESDAY AFTERNOON THROUGH WEDNESDAY EVENING. A RED FLAG WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 10 PM EDT /9 PM CDT/ THIS EVENING. LONG DURATIONS OF RELATIVE HUMIDITY BELOW 35 PERCENT ARE EXPECTED FOR TUESDAY. A RED FLAG WARNING MEANS THAT CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS ARE EITHER OCCURRING OR EXPECTED SOON. THE COMBINATION OF LOW RELATIVE HUMIDITY AND STRONG WINDS WILL ENHANCE FIRE GROWTH POTENTIAL. A FIRE WEATHER WATCH MEANS THAT CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS ARE FORECAST TO OCCUR. LISTEN FOR LATER FORECASTS AND POSSIBLE RED FLAG WARNINGS. $$ ALZ065>069-GAZ120>131-142>148-155>161-250215- /O.UPG.KTAE.FW.A.0039.080325T1800Z-080325T2200Z/ /O.NEW.KTAE.FW.W.0042.080325T1700Z-080325T2300Z/ /O.NEW.KTAE.FW.A.0040.080326T1800Z-080326T2300Z/ /O.CON.KTAE.FW.W.0041.000000T0000Z-080324T2300Z/ COFFEE-DALE-HENRY-GENEVA-HOUSTON-QUITMAN-CLAY-RANDOLPH-CALHOUN- TERRELL-DOUGHERTY-LEE-WORTH-TURNER-TIFT-BEN HILL-IRWIN-EARLY- MILLER-BAKER-MITCHELL-COLQUITT-COOK-BERRIEN-SEMINOLE-DECATUR- GRADY-THOMAS-BROOKS-LOWNDES-LANIER- 314 PM EDT MON MAR 24 2008 /214 PM CDT MON MAR 24 2008/ ...RED FLAG WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 7 PM EDT /6 PM CDT/ THIS EVENING... ...RED FLAG WARNING IN EFFECT FROM 1 PM EDT /12 PM CDT/ TO 7 PM EDT /6 PM CDT/ TUESDAY... ...FIRE WEATHER WATCH IN EFFECT FROM WEDNESDAY AFTERNOON THROUGH WEDNESDAY EVENING... THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN TALLAHASSEE HAS ISSUED A RED FLAG WARNING...WHICH IS IN EFFECT FROM 1 PM EDT /12 PM CDT/ TO 7 PM EDT /6 PM CDT/ TUESDAY. A FIRE WEATHER WATCH IS IN EFFECT FROM WEDNESDAY AFTERNOON THROUGH WEDNESDAY EVENING. A RED FLAG WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 7 PM EDT /6 PM CDT/ THIS EVENING. RELATIVE HUMIDITY IS EXPECTED TO DROP BELOW 25 PERCENT FOR 4 TO 6 HOURS TUESDAY AFTERNOON. A RED FLAG WARNING MEANS THAT CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS ARE EITHER OCCURRING OR EXPECTED SOON. THE COMBINATION OF LOW RELATIVE HUMIDITY AND STRONG WINDS WILL ENHANCE FIRE GROWTH POTENTIAL. A FIRE WEATHER WATCH MEANS THAT CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS ARE FORECAST TO OCCUR. LISTEN FOR LATER FORECASTS AND POSSIBLE RED FLAG WARNINGS. $$ FLZ012-014-015-250215- /O.UPG.KTAE.FW.A.0039.080325T1600Z-080326T0000Z/ /O.NEW.KTAE.FW.W.0042.080325T1500Z-080326T0000Z/ /O.CON.KTAE.FW.W.0041.000000T0000Z-080325T0200Z/ BAY-GULF-FRANKLIN- 314 PM EDT MON MAR 24 2008 /214 PM CDT MON MAR 24 2008/ ...RED FLAG WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 10 PM EDT /9 PM CDT/ THIS EVENING... ...RED FLAG WARNING IN EFFECT FROM 11 AM EDT /10 AM CDT/ TO 8 PM EDT /7 PM CDT/ TUESDAY... THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN TALLAHASSEE HAS ISSUED A RED FLAG WARNING...WHICH IS IN EFFECT FROM 11 AM EDT /10 AM CDT/ TO 8 PM EDT /7 PM CDT/ TUESDAY. THE FIRE WEATHER WATCH IS NO LONGER IN EFFECT. A RED FLAG WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 10 PM EDT /9 PM CDT/ THIS EVENING. LONG DURATIONS OF RELATIVE HUMIDITY BELOW 35 PERCENT ARE EXPECTED FOR TUESDAY. A RED FLAG WARNING MEANS THAT CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS ARE EITHER OCCURRING OR EXPECTED SOON. THE COMBINATION OF LOW RELATIVE HUMIDITY AND STRONG WINDS WILL ENHANCE FIRE GROWTH POTENTIAL. $$ GOREE/CAMP
000 WWUS82 KTAE 250201 RFWTAE RED FLAG WARNING NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TALLAHASSEE FL 1001 PM EDT MON MAR 24 2008 ...RED FLAG WARNING IN EFFECT FOR TUESDAY MORNING AND AFTERNOON FOR THE EASTERN FLORIDA PANHANDLE AND FLORIDA BIG BEND... SOUTHWEST AND SOUTH CENTRAL GEORGIA...AND SOUTHEAST ALABAMA DUE TO EXPECTED LONG DURATIONS OF LOW RELATIVE HUMIDITY... ...FIRE WEATHER WATCH IN EFFECT FOR WEDNESDAY MORNING AND AFTERNOON FOR MUCH OF THE EASTERN FLORIDA PANHANDLE AND FLORIDA BIG BEND...SOUTHWEST AND SOUTH CENTRAL GEORGIA...AND SOUTHEAST ALABAMA DUE TO POSSIBLE LONG DURATIONS OF LOW RELATIVE HUMIDITY... .AN EXTREMELY DRY AIRMASS IS CURRENTLY IN PLACE OVER THE REGION. THIS DRY AIRMASS...COMBINED WITH BREEZY NORTH NORTHWEST WINDS WILL CREATE DANGEROUS FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS ACROSS THE REGION INTO THE EVENING. WARMER TEMPERATURES AND A CONTINUED DRY AIRMASS WILL CREATE THE POSSIBILITY OF RED FLAG CONDITIONS ACROSS THE ENTIRE REGION ON TUESDAY. FLZ007-009>011-013-016>019-026>029-034-260030- /O.EXP.KTAE.FW.W.0041.000000T0000Z-080325T0200Z/ /O.CON.KTAE.FW.W.0042.080325T1500Z-080326T0000Z/ /O.CON.KTAE.FW.A.0040.080326T1800Z-080327T0000Z/ INLAND WALTON-HOLMES-WASHINGTON-JACKSON-CALHOUN-GADSDEN-LEON- JEFFERSON-MADISON-LIBERTY-WAKULLA-TAYLOR-LAFAYETTE-DIXIE- 1001 PM EDT MON MAR 24 2008 /901 PM CDT MON MAR 24 2008/ ...RED FLAG WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 11 AM EDT /10 AM CDT/ TO 8 PM EDT /7 PM CDT/ TUESDAY... ...FIRE WEATHER WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM WEDNESDAY AFTERNOON THROUGH WEDNESDAY EVENING... ...RED FLAG WARNING WILL EXPIRE AT 10 PM EDT /9 PM CDT/ THIS EVENING... A RED FLAG WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 11 AM EDT /10 AM CDT/ TO 8 PM EDT /7 PM CDT/ TUESDAY. A FIRE WEATHER WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM WEDNESDAY AFTERNOON THROUGH WEDNESDAY EVENING. LONG DURATIONS OF RELATIVE HUMIDITY BELOW 35 PERCENT ARE EXPECTED FOR TUESDAY. A RED FLAG WARNING MEANS THAT CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS ARE EITHER OCCURRING OR EXPECTED SOON. THE COMBINATION OF LOW RELATIVE HUMIDITY AND STRONG WINDS WILL ENHANCE FIRE GROWTH POTENTIAL. A FIRE WEATHER WATCH MEANS THAT CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS ARE FORECAST TO OCCUR. LISTEN FOR LATER FORECASTS AND POSSIBLE RED FLAG WARNINGS. $$ FLZ012-014-015-260000- /O.EXP.KTAE.FW.W.0041.000000T0000Z-080325T0200Z/ /O.CON.KTAE.FW.W.0042.080325T1500Z-080326T0000Z/ BAY-GULF-FRANKLIN- 1001 PM EDT MON MAR 24 2008 /901 PM CDT MON MAR 24 2008/ ...RED FLAG WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 11 AM EDT /10 AM CDT/ TO 8 PM EDT /7 PM CDT/ TUESDAY... ...RED FLAG WARNING WILL EXPIRE AT 10 PM EDT /9 PM CDT/ THIS EVENING... A RED FLAG WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 11 AM EDT /10 AM CDT/ TO 8 PM EDT /7 PM CDT/ TUESDAY. LONG DURATIONS OF RELATIVE HUMIDITY BELOW 35 PERCENT ARE EXPECTED FOR TUESDAY. A RED FLAG WARNING MEANS THAT CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS ARE EITHER OCCURRING OR EXPECTED SOON. THE COMBINATION OF LOW RELATIVE HUMIDITY AND STRONG WINDS WILL ENHANCE FIRE GROWTH POTENTIAL. $$ ALZ065>069-GAZ120>131-142>148-155>161-260030- /O.CON.KTAE.FW.W.0042.080325T1700Z-080325T2300Z/ /O.CON.KTAE.FW.A.0040.080326T1800Z-080326T2300Z/ COFFEE-DALE-HENRY-GENEVA-HOUSTON-QUITMAN-CLAY-RANDOLPH-CALHOUN- TERRELL-DOUGHERTY-LEE-WORTH-TURNER-TIFT-BEN HILL-IRWIN-EARLY- MILLER-BAKER-MITCHELL-COLQUITT-COOK-BERRIEN-SEMINOLE-DECATUR- GRADY-THOMAS-BROOKS-LOWNDES-LANIER- 1001 PM EDT MON MAR 24 2008 /901 PM CDT MON MAR 24 2008/ ...RED FLAG WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 1 PM EDT /12 PM CDT/ TO 7 PM EDT /6 PM CDT/ TUESDAY... ...FIRE WEATHER WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM WEDNESDAY AFTERNOON THROUGH WEDNESDAY EVENING... A RED FLAG WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 1 PM EDT /12 PM CDT/ TO 7 PM EDT /6 PM CDT/ TUESDAY. A FIRE WEATHER WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM WEDNESDAY AFTERNOON THROUGH WEDNESDAY EVENING. RELATIVE HUMIDITY IS EXPECTED TO DROP BELOW 25 PERCENT FOR 4 TO 6 HOURS TUESDAY AFTERNOON. A RED FLAG WARNING MEANS THAT CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS ARE EITHER OCCURRING OR EXPECTED SOON. THE COMBINATION OF LOW RELATIVE HUMIDITY AND STRONG WINDS WILL ENHANCE FIRE GROWTH POTENTIAL. A FIRE WEATHER WATCH MEANS THAT CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS ARE FORECAST TO OCCUR. LISTEN FOR LATER FORECASTS AND POSSIBLE RED FLAG WARNINGS. $$ CAMP
What forecasters said that day
The local office's own words before this red flag warning went out, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.
NWS Tallahassee, FL wrote its last area forecast discussion before this red flag warning went out at Mar 23, 2:30 PM EDT, 38 minutes earlier.
Area forecast discussion, Mar 23, 2:30 PM EDT, 38 minutes before
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION...RESENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TALLAHASSEE FL
230 PM EDT SUN MAR 23 2008
.SYNOPSIS...
AT 2 PM EDT...SUNNY TO MOSTLY SUNNY ACROSS LOCAL AREA. ONLY CLOUDS
A PATCH OF CIRRUS ASSOCIATED WITH AN APPROACHING SHORT WAVE. TEMPS
FROM UPPER 60S INLAND TO LOW 70S COAST. DEW POINTS FROM MID 20S N TO
MID 30S COAST. WINDS GENERALLY N 10 TO 15 MPH.
AT UPPER LEVELS
LARGE SCALE PATTERN REMAINS PROGRESSIVE WITH GRADUAL AMPLIFICATION
THRU SHORT TERM DOMINATED BY CLOSED LOW OFF PAC NW...RIDGING OVER
WEST CONUS AND A BROAD TROUGH IN CNTRL/ERN CONUS. SERIES OF WEAK
SHORTWAVES MOVING AROUND CLOSED LOW ON MAINE/CANADA BORDER WITH WEAK
TROUGH EXTENDING FROM LOW SWWD ACROSS ERN HALF OF CONUS. VORT LOBE
SWINGING AROUND WRN LOW SERVING TO PUSH DOWNSTREAM RIDGE/TROUGH
FURTHER EWD. LOCALLY...ZONAL FLOW ALLOWING PERIODIC IMPULSES TO MOVE
RAPIDLY EASTWARD THROUGH THE REGION. A POSITIVELY TILTED H5 TROUGH
OVER LWR MS VALLEY THIS AFTERNOON WILL DIG SEWD AND AMPLIFY OVER
SRN APPALACHIANS LATE THIS EVENING AND THEN APPROACH LOCAL AREA
OVERNIGHT. IN ITS WAKE LOW LEVELS WILL BEGIN TO RAPIDLY DRY OUT.
AT LOWER LEVELS
ANALYSIS SHOWS TWO LOW CENTERS. LOOKING SOUTH...ONE LOW OFF SOUTH
FLORIDA COAST WITH ACTIVE CONVECTION PERSISTING ACROSS OLD FRONTAL
BOUNDARY WILL BEGIN TO SHIFT ENE. LOOKING NORTHEAST...LOW OFF
CAROLINA COAST WITH DRY COLD FRONT EXTENDING SWWD TO ACROSS OFFSHORE
LOCAL WATERS. IN BETWEEN...LOCAL AREA DOMINATED BY WEAK HIGH
PRESSURE RIDGE ACROSS NE FL. SEVERAL H5 SHORTWAVES SWINGING THROUGH
ERN CONUS TONIGHT WILL ALLOW THE TWO SURFACE LOWS TO MERGE UP INTO A
SINGLE TROUGH AXIS AND BEGIN TO LIFT OUT OF THE REGION.
MARINE FRONT CONTINUES TO EXIT S OF MARINE AREA. IN ITS WAKE...COLD
HIGH PRESSURE ACROSS SRN PLAINS BUILDING RAPIDLY SEWD TO REACH LOWER
MISS VALLEY BY 00Z TUES. HOWEVER...WELL AHEAD OF HIGH CENTER...A
REINFORCING SURGE OF COLD AIR WILL DROP RAPIDLY SEWD INTO GULF
STATES THIS EVENING AND INTO MARINE AREA TONIGHT. NEXT SHORTWAVE
WILL MOVE ACROSS MONDAY EVENING PUSHING 1031MB HIGH CENTER SEWD AND
IT WILL BE PARKED RIGHT OVER SW/SCNTRL GA WITH VERY LIGHT NE FLOW BY
EARLY TUESDAY MORNING MAKING STRONG RADIATIONAL COOLING A CERTAINTY.
HIGH REMAINS OVER THE AREA FOR TUE AFTERNOON WITH MOSTLY SUNNY BUT
CONTINUED UNSEASONABLY COOL CONDITIONS BEFORE MOVING EAST TO SETTLE
OVER THE CAROLINA/GA COAST BY WEDNESDAY NIGHT...WITH ONSHORE FLOW
BECOMING RE-ESTABLISHED TUESDAY INTO WEDNESDAY.
&&
.SHORT TERM...THIS EVENING THROUGH TUESDAY NIGHT.
LOWS TONIGHT...FROM UPPER 30S N TO LOWER 40S SOUTH. UNDER INFLUENCE
OF COLD AIR ADVECTION IN WAKE OF FRONT. QUITE AN UNSEASONABLE
AIRMASS SCHEDULED TO ARRIVE BEHIND TONIGHTS REINFORCING FRONT TO
IMPACT MONDAY INTO EARLY TUESDAY. 850MB TEMPERATURES ARE FORECAST BY
ALL GFS/NAM/ECMWF TO FALL AS LOW AS -2C ALONG THE COAST AND AS MUCH
AS -4C FROM KDHN TO KABY. THESE 850MB TEMPS ARE AROUND 3.0 STANDARD
DEVIATIONS FROM NORMAL FOR THE END OF MARCH. IN CLEARER TERMS...THIS
MEAN THAT THERE IS ONLY AROUND A 4% PROBABILITY OF OCCURRENCE FOR
THIS COLD AN AIRMASS BASED ON CLIMATOLOGY. ALL THAT BEING
SAID...MONDAY WILL BE AND FEEL CONSIDERABLY COOLER THAN THE PAST
SEVERAL DAYS AND MADE TO FEEL EVEN COLDER UNDER NLY BREEZY/GUSTS.
WILL DROP PREV TEMPS AND UNDERCUT GUIDANCE BOTH BY A FEW DEGREES.
HIGHS WILL LIKELY STRUGGLE TO REACH 60 ACROSS THE NORTH AND ONLY
INTO THE LOWER 60S ACROSS THE SOUTH. A GUSTY NORTHERLY WIND WILL
MAKE IT FEEL EVEN COOLER. NO POPS EXPECTED.
NOTE:NEXT SHIFT(S) SHOULD MONITOR FOR POSSIBLE LAKE WIND ADVISORY.
MAIN SHORT TERM PROBLEM WILL BE HOW COLD WILL IT GO MONDAY NIGHT
INTO EARLY TUESDAY MORNING. COLD SURFACE HIGH SETTLES DIRECTLY
OVERHEAD DURING THE SECOND HALF OF MONDAY NIGHT. THIS HIGH WILL
ALLOW FOR WINDS TO BECOME VERY LIGHT. THESE LIGHT WINDS COMBINED
WITH DRY AIR IN PLACE AND MAINLY CLEAR SKIES WILL ALLOW FOR A GOOD
RADIATIONAL COOLING SETUP ACROSS THE REGION. FOR TLH...LATEST RUN A
DEGREE WARMER THAN 00Z RUN WITH FWC AT 26F AND MAV AT 28F...AND MET
A DEGREE LOWER AT 26F. BIAS CORRECTED GRIDS ARE GENERALLY IN THE
LOWER 30S. AT THIS TIME BELIEVE THE BEST FORECAST SCENARIO WOULD BE
FOR A BLEND BETWEEN THESE BIAS CORRECTED GRIDS AND THE MAV NUMBERS.
THIS WOULD BRING MOST OF THE INLAND CWA DOWN TO AROUND 32 OR PERHAPS
A DEGREE OR TWO LOWER...ESPECIALLY ACROSS THE SANDIER SOILS OF
NORTHERN FLORIDA. ALONG THE IMMEDIATE COAST TEMPS SHOULD REMAIN A
BIT ABOVE FREEZING BUT STILL LOOKING AT A COLD NIGHT FOR LATE MARCH.
INLAND URBAN CENTERS WILL LIKELY BE A FEW DEGREES WARMER AS
WELL...BUT STILL CAN NOT RULE OUT TEMPS APPROACHING FREEZING FOR A
SHORT TIME. NORMALLY COLDER LOCATIONS DURING RADIATIONAL COOLING
EVENTS CAN NOT RULE OUT A FEW UPPER 20S TOWARD SUNRISE TUESDAY. THIS
SCENARIO WILL BRING 2 OR MORE HOURS OF AOB 32 DEGREES ACROSS WIDE
SWATCH OF CWA. AFTER INTERACTING WITH NEIGHBORING OFFICES...WILL
ISSUE FREEZE WATCH FOR ENTIRE CWA AWAY FROM COAST AND WAIT FOR LATER
GUIDANCE RUNS TO HAMMER OUT THE DETAILS.
.LONG TERM...WED THROUGH SUNDAY.
BY 12Z WED...A DEEP LAYER RIDGE WILL EXTEND FROM NEAR BERMUDA WWD
ALONG THE ERN AND CENTRAL GULF COAST. THIS RIDGE WILL PREVENT ANY
FRONTS FROM PENETRATING THE DEEP SE UNTIL LATE IN THE WEEK. TEMPS
WILL STILL BE PRETTY CHILLY WED MORNING, BUT NOT NEARLY AS COLD AS
THE PREVIOUS MORNING. THE DRY AIRMASS WILL ALLOW FOR A QUICK WARM UP
THAT DAY WITH BOTH DAYTIME AND NIGHTTIME TEMPS MODERATING EACH DAY
FOR THE REST OF THE WEEK. AN UPPER LEVEL TROUGH WILL IMPINGE ON THE
NWRN PERIPHERY OF THE RIDGE FRI WITH A SURFACE FRONT PUSHING INTO
THE AREA ON SAT. BOTH THE GFS AND ECMWF SHOW THIS AND THE GFS HAS
HAD THIS SOLUTION FOR A DAYS WORTH OF RUNS. FOR THIS REASON, WE
WILL GO AHEAD AND INTRODUCE LOW POPS TO THE FORECAST FOR THE FRI
NIGHT THROUGH SAT NIGHT TIME FRAME, BLENDING THE MEX POP WITH THAT
OF THE EURO. THINGS LOOK TO DRY OUT ONCE AGAIN NEXT SUN.
&&
.AVIATION...AN EXTENDED PERIOD OF VFR CONDITIONS TO CONTINUE INTO
THE EARLY WORK WEEK. FEW-SCT CIRRUS AT OR ABOVE 20KFT WILL BE THE
PREDOMINANT CLOUD GROUP INTO THE OVERNIGHT AS A MID LEVEL DISTURBANCE
WORKS THROUGH. ANOTHER WEAK RE-ENFORCING COLD FRONT CROSSES NORTH TO
SOUTH OVERNIGHT KEEPING WINDS UP BETWEEN 5 AND 10 KNOTS. CIRRUS
CLEAR OUT MONDAY MORNING WITH MOSTLY SKIES FOR THE REST OF THE DAY
INTO MONDAY NIGHT FROM KPFN TO KTLH AND KVLD. SOME SCATTERED-BKN CU
BETWEEN 5 AND 6 KFT ARE POSSIBLE FROM KDHN TO KABY DURING THE
AFTERNOON. AT THIS TIME WILL ONLY GO WITH SCT MENTION AS BEST CU
FIELD SHOULD REMAIN NORTH OF THESE TERMINALS. NORTHERLY WINDS 9 TO
12 KNOTS WITH LOCALLY HIGHER GUSTS DURING THE DAY WILL QUICKLY
SETTLE TO NEAR CALM LATER MONDAY EVENING AS HIGH PRESSURE SETTLES
OVERHEAD.
&&
.MARINE...
AT 2 PM EDT...IN WAKE OF COLD FRONT WINDS AND SEAS BEGINNING TO
INCREASE. THEY SHOULD BEGIN TO INCREASE MORE RAPIDLY DURING LATE
AFTERNOON...FRESHENING INTO THE 15 TO 20 KNOT RANGE WITH EXERCISE
CAUTION LEVELS. TONIGHT...WITH SECONDARY SURGE OF COLD AIR MOVING
THROUGH THE WATERS WITH WINDS EXPECTED TO INCREASE INTO THE 20-KNOT
RANGE WITH HIGHER GUSTS NEARSHORE AND 20-25 KTS RANGE OFFSHORE. THUS
SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY WILL CONTINUE THROUGH MONDAY EVENING. SINCE
WINDS OFFSHORE...EXPECT SCA WINDS TO BE REALIZED AT LEAST AS EARLY
AS OFFSHORE WATERS. HIGH PRESSURE WILL THEN SETTLE IN MONDAY NIGHT
WITH WINDS GRADUALLY VEERING AROUND TO THE EAST BY WEDNESDAY...AND
WILL REMAIN BELOW ADVISORY LEVELS.
&&
.FIRE WEATHER...
EXISTING RED FLAG WARNING THRU THIS EVENING LOOKS GOOD. SIMILAR
CONDITIONS ARE ON TAP FOR MON...SO THE WATCH WILL BE UPGRADED TO A
WARNING. NO SIGN OF VERY DRY AIRMASS EXITING ON TUESDAY...SO WATCH
LIKELY FOR ALL AREAS.
&&
.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
TALLAHASSEE 40 62 30 66 / 0 0 0 0
PANAMA CITY 44 63 37 67 / 0 0 0 0
DOTHAN 38 60 32 67 / 0 0 0 0
ALBANY 39 59 32 66 / 0 0 0 0
VALDOSTA 42 60 31 66 / 0 0 0 0
CROSS CITY 45 61 31 68 / 0 0 0 0
&&
.TAE WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
AL...RED FLAG WARNING TIL 5 PM CDT THIS AFTERNOON FOR ALL ZONES.
RED FLAG WARNING MONDAY AFTERNOON FOR ALL ZONES.
FIRE WX WATCH TUES AFTERNOON ALL ZONES.
GA...RED FLAG WARNING TIL 6 PM EDT THIS AFTERNOON FOR ALL ZONES.
RED FLAG WARNING MONDAY AFTERNOON ALL ZONES.
FIRE WEATHER WATCH TUESDAY AFTERNOON FOR ALL ZONES.
FL...RED FLAG WARNING TIL 8 PM EDT /7 PM CDT/ THIS EVENING FOR
ALL ZONES.
RED FLAG WARNING ALL ZONES MONDAY AFTERNOON THRU EVENING.
FIRE WEATHER WATCH TUESDAY AFTERNOON THRU EVENING FOR
ALL ZONES.
GM...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY IN EFFECT FOR ALL WATERS FOR LATE THIS
EVENING THROUGH MONDAY EVENING.
&&
PUBLIC/MARINE...BLOCK/MROCZKA
AVIATION/FIRE WEATHER...MROCZKA
LONG TERM...WOOLHazardous weather outlook, Mar 23, 5:50 AM EDT, 9 hours 18 minutes before
HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TALLAHASSEE FL 550 AM EDT SUN MAR 23 2008 ALZ065>069-FLZ007>019-026>029-034-GAZ120>131-142>148-155>161- GMZ730-750-755-765-770-775-241000- COFFEE-DALE-HENRY-GENEVA-HOUSTON-INLAND WALTON-COASTAL WALTON- HOLMES-WASHINGTON-JACKSON-BAY-CALHOUN-GULF-FRANKLIN-GADSDEN-LEON- JEFFERSON-MADISON-LIBERTY-WAKULLA-TAYLOR-LAFAYETTE-DIXIE-QUITMAN- CLAY-RANDOLPH-TERRELL-DOUGHERTY-LEE-WORTH-TURNER-TIFT-BEN HILL- IRWIN-EARLY-MILLER-BAKER-MITCHELL-COLQUITT-COOK-BERRIEN-SEMINOLE- DECATUR-GRADY-THOMAS-BROOKS-LOWNDES-LANIER- APALACHEE BAY OR COASTAL WATERS FROM KEATON BEACH TO OCHLOCKONEE RIVER FL OUT TO 20 NM- COASTAL WATERS FROM APALACHICOLA TO DESTIN FL OUT 20 NM- COASTAL WATERS FROM OCHLOCKONEE RIVER TO APALACHICOLA FL OUT TO 20 NM- COASTAL WATERS FROM SUWANNEE RIVER TO KEATON BEACH OUT 20 NM- WATERS FROM APALACHICOLA TO DESTIN FL FROM 20 TO 60 NM- WATERS FROM SUWANNEE RIVER TO APALACHICOLA FL FROM 20 TO 60 NM- 550 AM EDT SUN MAR 23 2008 /450 AM CDT SUN MAR 23 2008/ THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR SOUTHEAST ALABAMA... SOUTHWEST AND SOUTH CENTRAL GEORGIA...AND THE FLORIDA BIG BEND AND PANHANDLE...AND ADJACENT COASTAL WATERS. .DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT... NO HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS EXPECTED AT THIS TIME. A COLD FRONT WILL MOVE WEST TO EAST ACROSS THE REGION TODAY BRINGING WITH IT COLDER AND DRYER CONDITIONS. LOW RELATIVE HUMIDITY AND HIGH DISPERSIONS COULD ENHANCE WILDFIRE GROWTH POTENTIAL. WINDS OVER THE COASTAL WATERS WILL BE OUT OF THE NORTH AT 10 TO 20 KNOTS INCREASING TO 20 TO 25 KNOTS TONIGHT. MARINERS OPERATING SMALL CRAFT SHOULD EXERCISE CAUTION IF VENTURING OUT INTO THE GULF OF MEXICO TODAY. A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY MAY BE NEEDED TONIGHT AND MONDAY. .DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...MONDAY THROUGH SATURDAY... NO HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS EXPECTED AT THIS TIME. DUE TO 20 TO 25 KNOT WINDS ACROSS THE COASTAL WATERS ON MONDAY...A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY MAY BE NEEDED ON MONDAY. HIGH PRESSURE WILL SETTLE INTO THE AREA UNTIL NEAR THE END OF THE WORK WEEK WHEN ANOTHER COLD FRONT WILL APPROACH THE REGION. .SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT... SPOTTER ACTIVATION WILL NOT BE NEEDED. FOR ADDITIONAL INFORMATION...VISIT THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE WEBSITE ON THE INTERNET AT WEATHER.GOV...THEN CLICK ON YOUR AREA OF INTEREST ON THE NATIONAL MAP. 12-WATSON
The office that day
Everything else NWS Tallahassee, FL issued on the same UTC day.
| Issued | Product | Office | Counties | Lasted |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 23, 3:08 PM EDT | Fire Weather Watch | TAE | Baker, Ben Hill, Berrien, Brooks, Calhoun, Clay and 20 more | 24 hr |
| Mar 23, 3:11 PM EDT | Freeze Watch | TAE | Baker, Ben Hill, Berrien, Brooks, Calhoun, Clay and 20 more | 24 hr |
Nearby
Red Flag Warnings in Georgia, 2008Red Flag Warnings in Florida, 2008Red Flag Warnings in Alabama, 2008Every red flag warning in 2008
Sources
The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; the sounding from the Mesonet's radiosonde archive; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive.