Red Flag Warning 38, NWS Tallahassee, FL

Coffee County, AL, Dale County, AL, Geneva County, AL, Henry County, AL, Houston County, AL, Bay County, FL, Calhoun County, FL, Dixie County, FL, Franklin County, FL, Gadsden County, FL, Gulf County, FL, Holmes County, FL, Jackson County, FL, Jefferson County, FL, Lafayette County, FL, Leon County, FL, Madison County, FL, Taylor County, FL, Wakulla County, FL, Walton County, FL, Washington County, FL, Baker County, GA, Ben Hill County, GA, Berrien County, GA, Brooks County, GA, Calhoun County, GA, Clay County, GA, Colquitt County, GA, Cook County, GA, Decatur County, GA, Dougherty County, GA, Early County, GA, Grady County, GA, Irwin County, GA, Lanier County, GA, Lee County, GA, Lowndes County, GA, Miller County, GA, Mitchell County, GA, Quitman County, GA, Randolph County, GA, Seminole County, GA, Terrell County, GA, Thomas County, GA, Tift County, GA, Turner County, GA, Worth County, GA

000 
WWUS82 KTAE 210100
RFWTAE

RED FLAG WARNING
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TALLAHASSEE FL
900 PM EDT THU MAR 20 2008

...RED FLAG WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 1 PM EDT /12 PM CDT/
TO 6 PM EDT /5 PM CDT/ FRIDAY FOR INLAND PORTIONS OF THE EASTERN 
FLORIDA PANHANDLE AND BIG BEND FOR LOW RELATIVE HUMIDITY...

.A DRY AIRMASS WILL COMBINE WITH AFTERNOON HEATING TO PRODUCE LOW
RELATIVE HUMIDITY FRIDAY.

FLZ007-009>011-013-016>019-026-028-029-211130-
/O.CON.KTAE.FW.W.0038.080321T1700Z-080321T2200Z/
INLAND WALTON-HOLMES-WASHINGTON-JACKSON-CALHOUN-GADSDEN-LEON-
JEFFERSON-MADISON-LIBERTY-TAYLOR-LAFAYETTE-
900 PM EDT THU MAR 20 2008 /800 PM CDT THU MAR 20 2008/

...RED FLAG WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 1 PM EDT /12 PM CDT/
TO 6 PM EDT /5 PM CDT/ FRIDAY FOR LOW RELATIVE HUMIDITY...

THE RELATIVE HUMIDITY WILL DROP BELOW 35 PERCENT EARLY FRIDAY
AFTERNOON...AND REMAIN BELOW 35 PERCENT FOR AT LEAST 4 HOURS. 

A RED FLAG WARNING MEANS THAT CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS
ARE EITHER OCCURRING NOW...OR WILL SHORTLY. LOW RELATIVE HUMIDITY
AND WARM TEMPERATURES WILL ENHANCE FIRE GROWTH POTENTIAL.

$$

FOURNIER

000 
WWUS82 KTAE 211039
RFWTAE

RED FLAG WARNING
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TALLAHASSEE FL
639 AM EDT FRI MAR 21 2008

...RED FLAG WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 1 PM EDT /12 PM CDT/
TO 6 PM EDT /5 PM CDT/ FRIDAY FOR ALL BUT THE IMMEDIATE COASTAL
AREAS OF THE EASTERN FLORIDA PANHANDLE AND BIG BEND FOR LONG
DURATIONS OF RELATIVE HUMIDITY BELOW 35 PERCENT...

.A DRY AIRMASS WILL COMBINE WITH AFTERNOON HEATING TO PRODUCE LOW
RELATIVE HUMIDITIES BELOW 35 PERCENT THIS AFTERNOON.

FLZ012-014-015-027-034-211845-
/O.EXB.KTAE.FW.W.0038.080321T1700Z-080321T2300Z/
BAY-GULF-FRANKLIN-WAKULLA-DIXIE-
639 AM EDT FRI MAR 21 2008 /539 AM CDT FRI MAR 21 2008/

...RED FLAG WARNING IN EFFECT FROM 1 PM EDT /NOON CDT/ THIS
AFTERNOON TO 7 PM EDT /6 PM CDT/ THIS EVENING FOR LONG DURATIONS
OF RELATIVE HUMIDITY BELOW 35 PERCENT...

THE RED FLAG WARNING MEANS THAT CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS ARE
EXPECTED THIS AFTERNOON. LOW RELATIVE HUMIDITY AND WARM
TEMPERATURES WILL ENHANCE FIRE GROWTH POTENTIAL.

$$

FLZ007-009>011-013-016>019-026-028-029-211845-
/O.EXT.KTAE.FW.W.0038.080321T1700Z-080321T2300Z/
INLAND WALTON-HOLMES-WASHINGTON-JACKSON-CALHOUN-GADSDEN-LEON-
JEFFERSON-MADISON-LIBERTY-TAYLOR-LAFAYETTE-
639 AM EDT FRI MAR 21 2008 /539 AM CDT FRI MAR 21 2008/

...RED FLAG WARNING NOW IN EFFECT FROM 1 PM EDT /NOON CDT/ THIS
AFTERNOON TO 7 PM EDT /6 PM CDT/ THIS EVENING FOR LONG DURATIONS
OF RELATIVE HUMIDITY BELOW 35 PERCENT...

THE RED FLAG WARNING MEANS THAT CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS ARE
ARE EXPECTED THIS AFTERNOON. LOW RELATIVE HUMIDITY AND WARM
TEMPERATURES WILL ENHANCE FIRE GROWTH POTENTIAL.

$$

DUVAL

000 
WWUS82 KTAE 211654
RFWTAE

RED FLAG WARNING
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TALLAHASSEE FL
1254 PM EDT FRI MAR 21 2008

...RED FLAG WARNING IS NOW IN EFFECT UNTIL 8 PM EDT /7 PM CDT/
THIS EVENING FOR THE EASTERN FLORIDA PANHANDLE AND BIG BEND EXCEPT
FOR THE IMMEDIATE COASTAL AREAS OF WESTERN WAKULLA, FRANKLIN AND
GULF COUNTIES...FOR LONG DURATIONS OF RELATIVE HUMIDITY BELOW 35
PERCENT...

...RED FLAG WARNING IS NOW IN EFFECT FROM 1 PM EDT /12 PM CDT/
UNTIL 6 PM EDT /5 PM CDT/ THIS EVENING FOR ALL OF SOUTHEAST ALABAMA AND
SOUTHWEST GEORGIA FOR LONG DURATIONS OF RELATIVE HUMIDITIES BELOW
25 PERCENT...

.DISCUSSION...INCREASED SOUTHEASTERLY WINDS AND SURFACE HEATING IS
MIXING VERY DRY AIR ALOFT TO THE SURFACE. RELATIVE HUMIDITIES ARE
DROPPING RAPIDLY AND RED FLAG CONDITIONS ARE FORECAST ACROSS THE
FLORIDA PANHANDLE...FLORIDA BIG BEND...AND BOTH SOUTHEAST ALABAMA
AND SOUTHWEST GEORGIA THIS AFTERNOON.  HOWEVER EASTERLY WINDS FROM
THE GULF OF MEXICO WILL KEEP NEAR COASTAL AREAS IN WESTERN WAKULLA 
...FRANKLIN AND GULF COUNTIES ABOVE THE 35 PERCENT RELATIVE
HUMIDITY THRESHOLD.

ALZ065>069-GAZ120>131-142>148-155>161-212200-
/O.EXB.KTAE.FW.W.0038.080321T1654Z-080321T2200Z/
COFFEE-DALE-HENRY-GENEVA-HOUSTON-QUITMAN-CLAY-RANDOLPH-CALHOUN-
TERRELL-DOUGHERTY-LEE-WORTH-TURNER-TIFT-BEN HILL-IRWIN-EARLY-
MILLER-BAKER-MITCHELL-COLQUITT-COOK-BERRIEN-SEMINOLE-DECATUR-
GRADY-THOMAS-BROOKS-LOWNDES-LANIER-
1254 PM EDT FRI MAR 21 2008 /1154 AM CDT FRI MAR 21 2008/

...RED FLAG WARNING IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 PM EDT /5 PM CDT/ THIS
AFTERNOON...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN TALLAHASSEE HAS ISSUED A RED FLAG
WARNING...WHICH IS IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 PM EDT /5 PM CDT/ THIS
EVENING.

A RED FLAG WARNING MEANS THAT CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS
ARE EITHER OCCURRING NOW...OR WILL SHORTLY. A COMBINATION OF
STRONG WINDS...LOW RELATIVE HUMIDITY...AND WARM TEMPERATURES WILL
CREATE EXPLOSIVE FIRE GROWTH POTENTIAL.


$$

FLZ007-009>019-026>029-034-220000-
/O.EXT.KTAE.FW.W.0038.080321T1654Z-080322T0000Z/
INLAND WALTON-HOLMES-WASHINGTON-JACKSON-BAY-CALHOUN-GULF-FRANKLIN-
GADSDEN-LEON-JEFFERSON-MADISON-LIBERTY-WAKULLA-TAYLOR-LAFAYETTE-
DIXIE-
1254 PM EDT FRI MAR 21 2008 /1154 AM CDT FRI MAR 21 2008/

...RED FLAG WARNING NOW IN EFFECT UNTIL 8 PM EDT /7 PM CDT/ THIS
EVENING...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN TALLAHASSEE HAS EXTENDED THE RED
FLAG WARNING UNTIL 8 PM EDT /7 PM CDT/ THIS EVENING DUE TO
SIGNIFICANTLY DRIER AIR COMBINED WITH HIGHER WINDS.

A RED FLAG WARNING MEANS THAT CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS
ARE EITHER OCCURRING NOW...OR WILL SHORTLY. A COMBINATION OF
STRONG WINDS...LOW RELATIVE HUMIDITY...AND WARM TEMPERATURES WILL
CREATE EXPLOSIVE FIRE GROWTH POTENTIAL..

$$

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TALLAHASSEE FL
243 PM EDT THU MAR 20 2008

.SYNOPSIS...PROGRESSIVE PATTERN CONTINUES ACROSS THE CONUS WITH THE
ALEUTIAN AND LABRADOR LOWS IN PLACE IN THE NORTHERN LATITUDES.
AN UPPER HIGH IS SITUATED ACROSS EASTERN CUBA. GOOD DRYING IS SEEN IN
THE WATER VAPOR IMAGERY...EXTENDING FROM THE CANADIAN MARITIMES
SOUTHWESTWARD ACROSS THE SOUTHEAST U.S....AND WESTWARD INTO MEXICO
SOUTH OF BAJA ON INTO THE EASTERN PACIFIC. SURFACE FEATURES INCLUDE A
988 MB LOW MOVING INTO EASTERN CANADA WITH A COLD FRONT EXTENDING
SOUTH INTO SOUTH FLORIDA. NICE ROPE CLOUD IS OBSERVED IN SATELLITE
IMAGERY WITH THE FRONT ACROSS SOUTH FLORIDA AND THE SOUTHEAST GULF.
SURFACE HIGH PRESSURE IS LOCATED ACROSS THE LOWER MISSISSIPPI VALLEY.
ANOTHER LOW PRESSURE CENTER IS SITUATED IN NORTHEAST COLORADO WITH A
TRAILING COLD FRONT EXTENDING BACK INTO SOUTHERN CALIFORNIA. CLOSER
TO HOME...TEMPERATURES ARE CLIMBING INTO THE MID 60S ACROSS OUR
CWA...DEWPOINTS ARE IN THE 30S...AND WINDS ARE NORTHERLY WITH A FEW
GUSTS INTO THE UPPER TEENS AND LOWER 20S.

&&

.SHORT TERM...LITTLE TO ADD FROM OUR EARLIER DISCUSSIONS. EXPECT
TEMPERATURES TO DROP INTO THE UPPER 30S TO LOWER 40S ACROSS INLAND
AREAS TONIGHT WITH MID 40S NEAR THE COAST WITH TEMPERATURES
RECOVERING QUICKLY ON FRIDAY MORNING WITH MOST AREAS GETTING INTO THE
MID 70S. SOME UNCERTAINTY EXISTS AS TO THE EFFECTS OF THE WEAK
SURFACE LOW DEVELOPMENT SOUTH OF US IN THE GULF OF MEXICO ON
SATURDAY...WHILE ANOTHER COLD FRONT APPROACHES FROM THE NORTHWEST ON
SATURDAY AFTERNOON. 12-HR POPS FROM THE MAV SUGGESTED POPS AS HIGH AS
50 PERCENT FOR CTY. HAVE INCREASED THEM SLIGHTLY OVER OUR EARLIER
FORECASTS TO 30 PERCENT. HAVE MAINTAINED SOMEWHAT CLOUDY CONDITIONS
INTO MONDAY AS UPPER TROUGH MOVES THROUGH ON MONDAY.

.LONG TERM...SAT NIGHT THROUGH THU...
PREFER A GFS ENSEMBLE OVERALL...WITH A SOMEWHAT LESS AMPLIFIED
PATTERN OVER THE CONUS IN THE EXTENDED FORECAST PERIOD. FOLLOWING
THE PASSAGE OF A DRY WEAKENING COLD FRONT LATE SATURDAY A
REINFORCING SURGE OF DRY AIR WILL SPREAD ACROSS THE SOUTHEAST U.S.
THEN THE NEXT IN A SEEMINGLY ENDLESS SERIES OF SHORT WAVES DROPS
INTO THE RELATIVELY BROAD TROUGH POSITIONED OVER THE EASTERN U.S.
AND IT GENERATES A WEAK WAVE ON THE OLD FRONTAL SYSTEM ACROSS THE
GULF OF MEXICO...AND DRAGS ANOTHER COLD FRONT ACROSS THE AREA LATE
SUNDAY INTO MONDAY. EXPECT THE MAIN IMPACT OF THE FRONTAL WAVE TO
REMAIN TO THE SOUTH OF THE AREA...AND PREFER THE LESS AMPLIFIED GFS
SOLUTION TO THE MUCH MORE AMPLIFIED AND STORMY ECMWF FORECAST.
FOLLOWING THE PASSAGE OF THIS SYSTEM HIGH PRESSURE SETTLES IN OVER
THE SE U.S. FOR MOST OF THE REMAINDER OF THE WEEK. ANOTHER SHORT
WAVE WILL DROP INTO THE TROUGH TOWARD THE END OF THE WEEK...AND WILL
INDICATE A SLIGHT CHANCE POP FOR THURSDAY. EXPECT TEMPERATURES TO BE
NEAR OR A LITTLE BELOW CLIMO AT THE BEGINNING...AND RETURN TO A
LITTLE ABOVE FOR THE REMAINDER OF THE PERIOD.

&&

.MARINE...WINDS AND SEAS CONTINUE TO SUBSIDE. AT 18Z...WINDS AT
BUOY 42039 WERE NORTHERLY AT 18 KNOTS...SEAS 7.9 FT.  AT K-TOWER...
WINDSPEEDS WERE DOWN TO 12-14 KNOTS. HAVE ALLOWED THE SCA TO EXPIRE
AT 18Z. WILL KEEP SCEC IN THE OFFSHORE ZONES THIS EVENING. HAVE USED
THE GFS WINDS FOR THE SHORT TERM...AND CONFIDENCE CONTINUES TO BE LOW
AS TO THE EXTENT WE WILL BE AFFECTED BY THE SURFACE LOW DEVELOPMENT
ON SATURDAY.

&&

.FIRE WEATHER...WILL GO WITH A RED FLAG WARNING ON FRIDAY AFTERNOON
FOR INLAND PORTIONS OF THE EASTERN FLORIDA PANHANDLE AND BIG BEND.
AS THE CLOUDS AND MOISTURE RETURN ON SATURDAY...WE DO NOT EXPECT
ANY FIRE WEATHER CRITERIA TO BE MET.

&&

.AVIATION...CLEAR SKIES NEXT 24 PLUS HOURS AND DRY AIR IN PLACE WITH
NO FOG EXPECTED. VFR ALL TERMINALS THROUGH FRIDAY. NORTH SURFACE
WINDS THROUGH DAYLIGHT HOURS SLOWLY DIMINISHING BY EVENING. LIGHTER
EAST WINDS ON FRIDAY.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
TALLAHASSEE  39  75  47  74  47 /   0   0  10  10   0
PANAMA CITY  46  71  52  76  51 /   0   0  10  10   0
DOTHAN       40  74  46  75  45 /   0   0   0  10   0
ALBANY       40  74  46  76  43 /   0   0   0  10   0
VALDOSTA     42  75  47  73  48 /   0   0  10  10   0
CROSS CITY   42  75  53  71  50 /   0   0  10  30  10

&&

.TAE WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
AL...NONE.
GA...NONE.
FL...RED FLAG WARNING UNTIL 8 PM EDT /7 PM CDT/ THIS EVENING FOR THE
     FOLLOWING ZONES: BAY...CALHOUN...DIXIE...FRANKLIN...
     GADSDEN...GULF...HOLMES...INLAND WALTON...JACKSON...
     JEFFERSON...LAFAYETTE...LEON...LIBERTY...MADISON...TAYLOR...
     WAKULLA...WASHINGTON.

     RED FLAG WARNING FROM 1 PM EDT /12 PM CDT/ TO 6 PM EDT /5 PM
     CDT/ FRIDAY FOR THE FOLLOWING ZONES: CALHOUN...GADSDEN...
     HOLMES...INLAND WALTON...JACKSON...JEFFERSON...LAFAYETTE...
     LEON...LIBERTY...MADISON...TAYLOR...WASHINGTON.

GM...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY UNTIL 2 PM EDT THIS AFTERNOON FOR THE
     FOLLOWING ZONES: WATERS FROM SUWANNEE RIVER TO APALACHICOLA
     FL FROM 20 TO 60 NM...WATERS FROM APALACHICOLA TO DESTIN FL
     FROM 20 TO 60 NM.

&&

PUBLIC/MARINE...WATSON
AVIATION AND FIRE WEATHER...GOREE
EXTENDED...WOOL

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TALLAHASSEE FL
551 AM EDT THU MAR 20 2008

ALZ065>069-FLZ007>019-026>029-034-GAZ120>131-142>148-155>161-
GMZ730-750-755-765-770-775-211000-
COFFEE-DALE-HENRY-GENEVA-HOUSTON-INLAND WALTON-COASTAL WALTON-
HOLMES-WASHINGTON-JACKSON-BAY-CALHOUN-GULF-FRANKLIN-GADSDEN-LEON-
JEFFERSON-MADISON-LIBERTY-WAKULLA-TAYLOR-LAFAYETTE-DIXIE-QUITMAN-
CLAY-RANDOLPH-TERRELL-DOUGHERTY-LEE-WORTH-TURNER-TIFT-BEN HILL-
IRWIN-EARLY-MILLER-BAKER-MITCHELL-COLQUITT-COOK-BERRIEN-SEMINOLE-
DECATUR-GRADY-THOMAS-BROOKS-LOWNDES-LANIER-
APALACHEE BAY OR COASTAL WATERS FROM KEATON BEACH TO OCHLOCKONEE
RIVER FL OUT TO 20 NM-
COASTAL WATERS FROM APALACHICOLA TO DESTIN FL OUT 20 NM-
COASTAL WATERS FROM  OCHLOCKONEE RIVER TO APALACHICOLA FL OUT TO
20 NM-
COASTAL WATERS FROM  SUWANNEE RIVER TO KEATON BEACH OUT 20 NM-
WATERS FROM APALACHICOLA TO DESTIN FL FROM 20 TO 60 NM-
WATERS FROM  SUWANNEE RIVER TO APALACHICOLA FL FROM 20 TO 60 NM-
551 AM EDT THU MAR 20 2008 /451 AM CDT THU MAR 20 2008/

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR SOUTHEAST ALABAMA...
SOUTHWEST AND SOUTH CENTRAL GEORGIA...THE FLORIDA BIG BEND AND
PANHANDLE...AND THE ADJACENT GULF COASTAL WATERS.

.DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT...
IT WILL BE ANOTHER BREEZY MORNING TODAY...BUT NOT AS WINDY AS
WEDNESDAY. A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT OUT OVER THE
GULF UNTIL AROUND MIDDAY. THERE IS A MODERATE RISK FOR RIP
CURRENTS TODAY DESPITE THE OFFSHORE FLOW DUE TO RESIDUAL SWELL
ENERGY PROPAGATING TOWARD THE COAST. LOW RELATIVE HUMIDITY WILL
COMBINE WITH THE GUSTY WINDS TO ENHANCE THE GROWTH OF ANY
WILDFIRES TODAY.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...FRIDAY THROUGH WEDNESDAY...
NO HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS EXPECTED.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...
SPOTTER ACTIVATION WILL NOT BE REQUIRED THROUGH TONIGHT.

FOR ADDITIONAL INFORMATION...VISIT THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE
WEBSITE ON THE INTERNET AT WEATHER.GOV...THEN CLICK ON YOUR AREA
OF INTEREST ON THE NATIONAL MAP.

18-WOOL