Alert archive / Florida / Red Flag Warnings in 2008

Red Flag Warning 30, NWS Tallahassee, FL

March 7, 200816 counties in Florida

NWS Tallahassee, FL issued this red flag warning at Mar 7, 2008, 1:19 PM CST for 16 counties in Florida. It took effect at Mar 8, 2008, 12:00 PM CST. It was in force for 6 hr. No storm report in the archive falls inside the area while it was in force.

The area

The counties it named.

The facts

Issued
Mar 7, 2008, 1:19 PM CST (19:19 UTC)
In effect from
Mar 8, 2008, 12:00 PM CST
Expired
Mar 8, 2008, 6:00 PM CST
In force
6 hr
Issued by
NWS Tallahassee, FL

Counties Bay County, FL, Calhoun County, FL, Dixie County, FL, Franklin County, FL, Gadsden County, FL, Gulf County, FL, Holmes County, FL, Jackson County, FL, Jefferson County, FL, Lafayette County, FL, Leon County, FL, Madison County, FL, Taylor County, FL, Wakulla County, FL, Walton County, FL, Washington County, FL

The nearest sounding before it

Tallahassee Rgnl, FL (KTLH), launched 12:00Z, 7.3 hours before the alert went out and 35 km from the middle of its area. This is the routine balloon launch nearest before it, the air the forecaster had in hand, not a measurement taken for the alert.

Skew-T log-pSkew-T log-p diagram, Tallahassee Rgnl, FL at 12:00Z on 2008-03-07Temperature and dew point through the depth of the atmosphere, with the mixed-layer parcel. CAPE 30 joules per kilogram.LCLLFCEL10008507005003002001001 km2 km3 km6 km9 km12 km15 km-30°-20°-10°0°10°20°30°40°
Temperature in red, dew point in green, the mixed-layer parcel dashed.
HodographHodograph, Tallahassee Rgnl, FL at 12:00Z on 2008-03-07The wind through the lowest 10 kilometers. Zero to 1 km storm-relative helicity 660 square meters per square second.19395878Sfc1 km3 km6 km9 kmRMLM
The wind turning with height, colored by layer: ground to 1 km, 1 to 3 km, 3 to 6 km, 6 to 10 km.
Mixed-layer CAPE
30 J/kg
Mixed-layer CIN
-162 J/kg
Mixed-layer LCL
450 m above ground
0-6 km bulk shear
47 kt
0-1 km storm-relative helicity
660 m²/s²
0-3 km storm-relative helicity
928 m²/s²
Significant tornado parameter
0.0
Supercell composite
4.2

Open this sounding in Storm Lab

The text

As transmitted, in the capitals the NWS used until 2016.

000 
WWUS82 KTAE 071919
RFWTAE

RED FLAG WARNING
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TALLAHASSEE FL
219 PM EST FRI MAR 7 2008

...RED FLAG WARNING IN EFFECT FROM 1 PM EST /12 PM CST/ TO 7 PM
EST /6 PM CST/ SATURDAY FOR ALL OF THE FLORIDA COUNTIES...

...FIRE WEATHER WATCH IN EFFECT FROM SUNDAY AFTERNOON THROUGH
EVENING FOR ALL OF THE FLORIDA BIG BEND AND PANHANDLE...SOUTHEAST
ALABAMA AND SOUTHWEST AND SOUTH CENTRAL COUNTIES...

.DISCUSSION...SEVERAL LOWS WILL MOVE NORTHEAST ACROSS SOUTHERN
GEORGIA THROUGH THIS EVENING...DRAGGING A COLD FRONT SOUTHEAST AND
ACROSS THE FORECAST AREA LATER TONIGHT. RAIN WILL END WITH THE
FRONTAL PASSAGE. IN ITS WAKE...HIGH PRESSURE WILL BUILD RAPIDLY
EAST USHERING IN A MUCH COOLER AND DRIER AIR MASS THROUGH THE
WEEKEND. WINDY NORTHWEST WINDS ARE EXPECTED ON SATURDAY WITH
SPEEDS NEAR 20 TO 25 MPH AND GUSTS TO 35 TO 40 MPH POSSIBLE. UP TO
FOUR HOURS OF RELATIVE HUMIDITIES BELOW 35 PERCENT COMBINED WITH
HIGH DISPERSION INDICES AND SUSTAINED WINDS GREATER THAN 15 MPH
WILL GENERATE CRITICAL RED FLAG CONDITIONS. WINDS WILL NOTICEABLY
DECREASE ON SUNDAY...BUT FURTHER DRYING OUT OF THE AIR MASS WILL
DROP RELATIVE HUMIDITIES INTO THE MID 20S. THEREFORE A FIRE
WEATHER WATCH IS ISSUED FOR THE ENTIRE TRI-STATE AREA.

FLZ007-009>019-026>029-034-080330-
/O.NEW.KTAE.FW.W.0030.080308T1800Z-080309T0000Z/
/O.NEW.KTAE.FW.A.0028.080309T1700Z-080310T0000Z/
INLAND WALTON-HOLMES-WASHINGTON-JACKSON-BAY-CALHOUN-GULF-FRANKLIN-
GADSDEN-LEON-JEFFERSON-MADISON-LIBERTY-WAKULLA-TAYLOR-LAFAYETTE-
DIXIE-
219 PM EST FRI MAR 7 2008 /119 PM CST FRI MAR 7 2008/

...RED FLAG WARNING IN EFFECT FROM 1 PM EST /12 PM CST/ TO 7 PM
EST /6 PM CST/ SATURDAY...
...FIRE WEATHER WATCH IN EFFECT FROM SUNDAY AFTERNOON THROUGH
SUNDAY EVENING...

A RED FLAG WARNING MEANS THAT CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS
ARE EITHER OCCURRING NOW...OR WILL SHORTLY. A COMBINATION OF
STRONG WINDS AND LOW RELATIVE HUMIDITY WILL ENHANCE THE FIRE
GROWTH POTENTIAL.

A FIRE WEATHER WATCH MEANS THAT CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS
ARE FORECAST TO OCCUR. LISTEN FOR LATER FORECASTS AND POSSIBLE
RED FLAG WARNINGS.

$$

ALZ065>069-GAZ120>131-142>148-155>161-080330-
/O.NEW.KTAE.FW.A.0028.080309T1800Z-080309T2300Z/
COFFEE-DALE-HENRY-GENEVA-HOUSTON-QUITMAN-CLAY-RANDOLPH-CALHOUN-
TERRELL-DOUGHERTY-LEE-WORTH-TURNER-TIFT-BEN HILL-IRWIN-EARLY-
MILLER-BAKER-MITCHELL-COLQUITT-COOK-BERRIEN-SEMINOLE-DECATUR-
GRADY-THOMAS-BROOKS-LOWNDES-LANIER-
219 PM EST FRI MAR 7 2008 /119 PM CST FRI MAR 7 2008/

...FIRE WEATHER WATCH IN EFFECT FROM SUNDAY AFTERNOON THROUGH
SUNDAY EVENING...

A FIRE WEATHER WATCH MEANS THAT CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS
ARE FORECAST TO OCCUR. LISTEN FOR LATER FORECASTS AND POSSIBLE RED
FLAG WARNINGS.

$$

BLOCK
4 follow-up statements
000 
WWUS82 KTAE 072356
RFWTAE

RED FLAG WARNING
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TALLAHASSEE FL
656 PM EST FRI MAR 7 2008

...RED FLAG WARNING IN EFFECT FROM 1 PM EST /12 PM CST/ TO 7 PM
EST /6 PM CST/ SATURDAY FOR THE FLORIDA BIG BEND AND EASTERN
PANHANDLE COUNTIES DUE TO EXPECTED DURATIONS OF LOW RELATIVE
HUMIDITY...HIGH DISPERSIONS AND WINDS ABOVE 15 MPH...

...FIRE WEATHER WATCH IN EFFECT FROM SUNDAY AFTERNOON THROUGH
EVENING FOR THE FLORIDA BIG BEND AND EASTERN PANHANDLE...SOUTHEAST
ALABAMA AND SOUTHWEST AND SOUTH CENTRAL COUNTIES DUE TO POSSIBLE
LONG DURATIONS OF LOW RELATIVE HUMIDITY...

.DISCUSSION...LOW PRESSURE WILL MOVE NORTHEAST ACROSS CENTRAL
GEORGIA THIS EVENING...DRAGGING A COLD FRONT ACROSS THE FORECAST
AREA TONIGHT. RAIN WILL END WITH THE FRONTAL PASSAGE. IN ITS
WAKE...HIGH PRESSURE WILL BUILD RAPIDLY EAST USHERING IN A MUCH
COOLER AND DRIER AIR MASS THROUGH THE WEEKEND. WINDY NORTHWEST
WINDS ARE EXPECTED ON SATURDAY WITH SPEEDS NEAR 20 TO 25 MPH AND
GUSTS TO 35 TO 40 MPH POSSIBLE. UP TO FOUR HOURS OF RELATIVE
HUMIDITIES BELOW 35 PERCENT COMBINED WITH HIGH DISPERSION INDICES
AND SUSTAINED WINDS GREATER THAN 15 MPH WILL GENERATE CRITICAL RED
FLAG CONDITIONS. WINDS WILL NOTICEABLY DECREASE ON SUNDAY...BUT
FURTHER DRYING OUT OF THE AIR MASS WILL DROP RELATIVE HUMIDITIES
INTO THE MID 20S. THEREFORE A FIRE WEATHER WATCH IS IN EFFECT
FOR THE ENTIRE TRI-STATE AREA.

FLZ007-009>019-026>029-034-081230-
/O.CON.KTAE.FW.W.0030.080308T1800Z-080309T0000Z/
/O.CON.KTAE.FW.A.0028.080309T1700Z-080310T0000Z/
INLAND WALTON-HOLMES-WASHINGTON-JACKSON-BAY-CALHOUN-GULF-FRANKLIN-
GADSDEN-LEON-JEFFERSON-MADISON-LIBERTY-WAKULLA-TAYLOR-LAFAYETTE-
DIXIE-
656 PM EST FRI MAR 7 2008 /556 PM CST FRI MAR 7 2008/

...RED FLAG WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 1 PM EST /12 PM CST/
TO 7 PM EST /6 PM CST/ SATURDAY...
...FIRE WEATHER WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM SUNDAY AFTERNOON
THROUGH SUNDAY EVENING...

A RED FLAG WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 1 PM EST /12 PM CST/ TO
7 PM EST /6 PM CST/ SATURDAY. A FIRE WEATHER WATCH REMAINS IN
EFFECT FROM SUNDAY AFTERNOON THROUGH SUNDAY EVENING. 

A RED FLAG WARNING MEANS THAT CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS
ARE EITHER OCCURRING NOW...OR WILL SHORTLY. THE COMBINATION OF
STRONG WINDS AND LOW RELATIVE HUMIDITY WILL ENHANCE THE FIRE
GROWTH POTENTIAL.

A FIRE WEATHER WATCH MEANS THAT CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS
ARE FORECAST TO OCCUR. LISTEN FOR LATER FORECASTS AND POSSIBLE
RED FLAG WARNINGS.

$$

ALZ065>069-GAZ120>131-142>148-155>161-081230-
/O.CON.KTAE.FW.A.0028.080309T1800Z-080309T2300Z/
COFFEE-DALE-HENRY-GENEVA-HOUSTON-QUITMAN-CLAY-RANDOLPH-CALHOUN-
TERRELL-DOUGHERTY-LEE-WORTH-TURNER-TIFT-BEN HILL-IRWIN-EARLY-
MILLER-BAKER-MITCHELL-COLQUITT-COOK-BERRIEN-SEMINOLE-DECATUR-
GRADY-THOMAS-BROOKS-LOWNDES-LANIER-
656 PM EST FRI MAR 7 2008 /556 PM CST FRI MAR 7 2008/

...FIRE WEATHER WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM SUNDAY AFTERNOON
THROUGH SUNDAY EVENING...

A FIRE WEATHER WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM SUNDAY AFTERNOON
THROUGH SUNDAY EVENING. 

A FIRE WEATHER WATCH MEANS THAT CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS
ARE FORECAST TO OCCUR. LISTEN FOR LATER FORECASTS AND POSSIBLE
RED FLAG WARNINGS.

$$

JAMSKI
000 
WWUS82 KTAE 081002
RFWTAE

RED FLAG WARNING
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TALLAHASSEE FL
502 AM EST SAT MAR 8 2008

...RED FLAG WARNING IN EFFECT FROM 1 PM EST /NOON CST/ THIS
AFTERNOON TO 7 PM EST /6 PM CST/ THIS EVENING FOR THE EASTERN 
FLORIDA PANHANDLE AND BIG BEND DUE TO THE COMBINATION OF STRONG
WINDS AND LOW RELATIVE HUMIDITY...

...RED FLAG WARNING IN EFFECT FROM 1 PM EDT /12 PM CDT/ TO 8 PM
EDT /7 PM CDT/ SUNDAY FOR THE EASTERN FLORIDA PANHANDLE AND BIG
BEND DUE TO EXPECTED LONG DURATIONS OF LOW RELATIVE HUMIDITY...

...FIRE WEATHER WATCH IN EFFECT FROM SUNDAY AFTERNOON THROUGH
SUNDAY EVENING FOR SOUTHEAST ALABAMA AND SOUTHWEST AND SOUTH
CENTRAL GEORGIA DUE TO POSSIBLE LONG DURATIONS OF LOW RELATIVE
HUMIDITY...

.DISCUSSION...HIGH PRESSURE WILL BUILD RAPIDLY EAST INTO THE AREA TODAY
USHERING IN A MUCH COOLER AND DRIER AIRMASS THROUGH THE WEEKEND. GUSTY
NORTHWEST WINDS ARE EXPECTED TODAY WITH SPEEDS NEAR 20 TO 25 MPH
AND GUSTS TO 35 TO 40 MPH POSSIBLE. UP TO FOUR HOURS OF RELATIVE
HUMIDITIES BELOW 35 PERCENT COMBINED WITH HIGH DISPERSION INDICES
AND SUSTAINED WINDS GREATER THAN 15 MPH WILL GENERATE CRITICAL RED
FLAG CONDITIONS ACROSS FLORIDA. WINDS WILL NOTICEABLY DECREASE ON
SUNDAY...BUT FURTHER DRYING OUT OF THE AIR MASS AND WARMER
TEMPERATURES WILL DROP RELATIVE HUMIDITIES INTO THE MID 20S.
THEREFORE...A RED FLAG WARNING HAS BEEN ISSUED FOR FLORIDA WITH A
FIRE WEATHER WATCH CONTINUING FOR ALABAMA AND GEORGIA.

FLZ007-009>019-026>029-034-090930-
/O.UPG.KTAE.FW.A.0028.080309T1700Z-080310T0000Z/
/O.NEW.KTAE.FW.W.0031.080309T1700Z-080310T0000Z/
/O.CON.KTAE.FW.W.0030.080308T1800Z-080309T0000Z/
INLAND WALTON-HOLMES-WASHINGTON-JACKSON-BAY-CALHOUN-GULF-FRANKLIN-
GADSDEN-LEON-JEFFERSON-MADISON-LIBERTY-WAKULLA-TAYLOR-LAFAYETTE-
DIXIE-
502 AM EST SAT MAR 8 2008 /402 AM CST SAT MAR 8 2008/

...RED FLAG WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 1 PM EST /NOON CST/
THIS AFTERNOON TO 7 PM EST /6 PM CST/ THIS EVENING...
...RED FLAG WARNING IN EFFECT FROM 1 PM EDT /12 PM CDT/ TO 8 PM
EDT /7 PM CDT/ SUNDAY...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN TALLAHASSEE HAS ISSUED A RED FLAG
WARNING...WHICH IS IN EFFECT FROM 1 PM EDT /12 PM CDT/ TO 8 PM
EDT /7 PM CDT/ SUNDAY. A RED FLAG WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 1
PM EST /NOON CST/ THIS AFTERNOON TO 7 PM EST /6 PM CST/ THIS
EVENING.

A RED FLAG WARNING MEANS THAT CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS
ARE EITHER OCCURRING NOW...OR WILL SHORTLY. A COMBINATION OF
STRONG WINDS...LOW RELATIVE HUMIDITY...AND WARM TEMPERATURES WILL
ENHANCE THE FIRE GROWTH POTENTIAL.

$$

ALZ065>069-GAZ120>131-142>148-155>161-090930-
/O.CON.KTAE.FW.A.0028.080309T1800Z-080309T2300Z/
COFFEE-DALE-HENRY-GENEVA-HOUSTON-QUITMAN-CLAY-RANDOLPH-CALHOUN-
TERRELL-DOUGHERTY-LEE-WORTH-TURNER-TIFT-BEN HILL-IRWIN-EARLY-
MILLER-BAKER-MITCHELL-COLQUITT-COOK-BERRIEN-SEMINOLE-DECATUR-
GRADY-THOMAS-BROOKS-LOWNDES-LANIER-
502 AM EST SAT MAR 8 2008 /402 AM CST SAT MAR 8 2008/

...FIRE WEATHER WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM SUNDAY AFTERNOON
THROUGH SUNDAY EVENING...

A FIRE WEATHER WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM SUNDAY AFTERNOON
THROUGH SUNDAY EVENING. 

A FIRE WEATHER WATCH MEANS THAT CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS
ARE FORECAST TO OCCUR. LISTEN FOR LATER FORECASTS AND POSSIBLE
RED FLAG WARNINGS.

$$

CAMP
000 
WWUS82 KTAE 082018
RFWTAE

RED FLAG WARNING
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TALLAHASSEE FL
317 PM EST SAT MAR 8 2008

...RED FLAG WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT TODAY UNTIL 7 PM EST /6 PM CST/ 
FOR ALL OF THE EASTERN FLORIDA PANHANDLE AND FLORIDA BIG BEND DUE THE
COMBINATION OF RELATIVE HUMIDITY BELOW 35 PERCENT AND STRONG WINDS...

...RED FLAG WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 1 PM EDT /12 PM CDT/ UNTIL 
8 PM EDT /7 PM CDT/ SUNDAY FOR ALL OF THE EASTERN FLORIDA PANHANDLE
AND FLORIDA BIG BEND DUE TO LONG DURATIONS OF RELATIVE HUMIDITY BELOW
35 PERCENT...

...A FIRE WEATHER WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT SUNDAY AFTERNOON FOR ALL OF 
SOUTHEAST ALABAMA AND SOUTHWEST AND SOUTH CENTRAL GEORGIA DUE TO POSSIBLE
LONG DURATIONS OF RELATIVE HUMIDITY BELOW 25 PERCENT...

...A FIRE WEATHER WATCH IS NOW IN EFFECT FOR MONDAY AFTERNOON FOR ALL 
OF THE EASTERN FLORIDA PANHANDLE AND FLORIDA BIG BEND DUE TO POSSIBLE
LONG DURATIONS OF RELATIVE HUMIDITY BELOW 35 PERCENT...

.DISCUSSION...HIGH PRESSURE WILL BUILD OVER THE REGION THIS EVENING IN 
THE WAKE OF A STRONG STORM SYSTEM THAT MOVED THROUGH ON FRIDAY. A DRY
AIRMASS WILL REMAIN IN PLACE OVER THE REGION THROUGH MONDAY YIELDING 
RED FLAG CONDITIONS EACH AFTERNOON ACROSS NORTH FLORIDA. THE NECESSARY
RED FLAG CRITERIA MAY BE MET IN SOUTH GEORGIA AND ALABAMA AS WELL ON
SUNDAY. 

FLZ007-009>019-026>029-034-091215-
/O.NEW.KTAE.FW.A.0029.080310T1800Z-080310T2300Z/
/O.CON.KTAE.FW.W.0030.000000T0000Z-080309T0000Z/
/O.CON.KTAE.FW.W.0031.080309T1700Z-080310T0000Z/
INLAND WALTON-HOLMES-WASHINGTON-JACKSON-BAY-CALHOUN-GULF-FRANKLIN-
GADSDEN-LEON-JEFFERSON-MADISON-LIBERTY-WAKULLA-TAYLOR-LAFAYETTE-
DIXIE-
317 PM EST SAT MAR 8 2008 /217 PM CST SAT MAR 8 2008/

...RED FLAG WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 7 PM EST /6 PM CST/
THIS EVENING...
...RED FLAG WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 1 PM EDT /12 PM CDT/
TO 8 PM EDT /7 PM CDT/ SUNDAY...
...FIRE WEATHER WATCH IN EFFECT FROM MONDAY AFTERNOON THROUGH
MONDAY EVENING...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN TALLAHASSEE CONTINUES THE RED FLAG
WARNING FOR TODAY UNTIL 7 PM EST /6 PM CST/ AS WELL AS THE RED
FLAG WARNING FOR SUNDAY THAT IS IN EFFECT FROM 1 PM EDT /12 PM
CDT/ TO 8 PM EDT /7 PM CDT/. A FIRE WEATHER WATCH HAS BEEN ISSUED
FOR MONDAY AFTERNOON.

A RED FLAG WARNING MEANS THAT CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS ARE
EITHER OCCURRING NOW...OR WILL SHORTLY. A COMBINATION OF STRONG
WINDS AND LOW RELATIVE HUMIDITY WILL ENHANCE FIRE GROWTH POTENTIAL.

A FIRE WEATHER WATCH MEANS THAT CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS
ARE FORECAST TO OCCUR. LISTEN FOR LATER FORECASTS AND POSSIBLE
RED FLAG WARNINGS.

$$

ALZ065>069-GAZ120>131-142>148-155>161-091215-
/O.CON.KTAE.FW.A.0028.080309T1800Z-080309T2300Z/
COFFEE-DALE-HENRY-GENEVA-HOUSTON-QUITMAN-CLAY-RANDOLPH-CALHOUN-
TERRELL-DOUGHERTY-LEE-WORTH-TURNER-TIFT-BEN HILL-IRWIN-EARLY-
MILLER-BAKER-MITCHELL-COLQUITT-COOK-BERRIEN-SEMINOLE-DECATUR-
GRADY-THOMAS-BROOKS-LOWNDES-LANIER-
317 PM EST SAT MAR 8 2008 /217 PM CST SAT MAR 8 2008/

...FIRE WEATHER WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM SUNDAY AFTERNOON
THROUGH SUNDAY EVENING...

A FIRE WEATHER WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM SUNDAY AFTERNOON
THROUGH SUNDAY EVENING. 

A FIRE WEATHER WATCH MEANS THAT CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS
ARE FORECAST TO OCCUR. LISTEN FOR LATER FORECASTS AND POSSIBLE
RED FLAG WARNINGS.

$$

38-GODSEY
000 
WWUS82 KTAE 090007
RFWTAE

RED FLAG WARNING
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TALLAHASSEE FL
707 PM EST SAT MAR 8 2008

...RED FLAG WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 1 PM EDT /12 PM CDT/
UNTIL 8 PM EDT /7 PM CDT/ SUNDAY FOR ALL OF THE EASTERN FLORIDA
PANHANDLE AND FLORIDA BIG BEND DUE TO LONG DURATIONS OF RELATIVE
HUMIDITY BELOW 35 PERCENT...

...A FIRE WEATHER WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT SUNDAY AFTERNOON FOR
ALL OF SOUTHEAST ALABAMA AND SOUTHWEST AND SOUTH CENTRAL GEORGIA
DUE TO POSSIBLE LONG DURATIONS OF RELATIVE HUMIDITY BELOW
25 PERCENT...

...A FIRE WEATHER WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR MONDAY AFTERNOON FOR
ALL OF THE EASTERN FLORIDA PANHANDLE AND FLORIDA BIG BEND DUE TO
POSSIBLE LONG DURATIONS OF RELATIVE HUMIDITY BELOW 35 PERCENT...

.DISCUSSION...HIGH PRESSURE WILL BUILD OVER THE REGION THIS
EVENING IN THE WAKE OF A STRONG STORM SYSTEM THAT MOVED THROUGH
ON FRIDAY. A DRY AIRMASS WILL REMAIN IN PLACE OVER THE REGION
THROUGH MONDAY YIELDING RED FLAG CONDITIONS EACH AFTERNOON ACROSS
NORTH FLORIDA. THE NECESSARY RED FLAG CRITERIA MAY BE MET IN
SOUTH GEORGIA AND ALABAMA AS WELL ON SUNDAY.

FLZ007-009>019-026>029-034-091100-
/O.EXP.KTAE.FW.W.0030.000000T0000Z-080309T0000Z/
/O.CON.KTAE.FW.W.0031.080309T1700Z-080310T0000Z/
/O.CON.KTAE.FW.A.0029.080310T1800Z-080310T2300Z/
INLAND WALTON-HOLMES-WASHINGTON-JACKSON-BAY-CALHOUN-GULF-FRANKLIN-
GADSDEN-LEON-JEFFERSON-MADISON-LIBERTY-WAKULLA-TAYLOR-LAFAYETTE-
DIXIE-
707 PM EST SAT MAR 8 2008 /607 PM CST SAT MAR 8 2008/

...RED FLAG WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 1 PM EDT /12 PM CDT/
TO 8 PM EDT /7 PM CDT/ SUNDAY...
...FIRE WEATHER WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM MONDAY AFTERNOON
THROUGH MONDAY EVENING...
...RED FLAG WARNING HAS EXPIRED FOR TODAY...

A RED FLAG WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 1 PM EDT /12 PM CDT/ TO
8 PM EDT /7 PM CDT/ SUNDAY. A FIRE WEATHER WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT
FROM MONDAY AFTERNOON THROUGH MONDAY EVENING.

A RED FLAG WARNING MEANS THAT CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS
ARE EITHER OCCURRING NOW...OR WILL SHORTLY. A COMBINATION OF
STRONG WINDS...LOW RELATIVE HUMIDITY...AND WARM TEMPERATURES WILL
CREATE EXPLOSIVE FIRE GROWTH POTENTIAL.

A FIRE WEATHER WATCH MEANS THAT CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS
ARE FORECAST TO OCCUR. LISTEN FOR LATER FORECASTS AND POSSIBLE
RED FLAG WARNINGS.

$$

ALZ065>069-GAZ120>131-142>148-155>161-091100-
/O.CON.KTAE.FW.A.0028.080309T1800Z-080309T2300Z/
COFFEE-DALE-HENRY-GENEVA-HOUSTON-QUITMAN-CLAY-RANDOLPH-CALHOUN-
TERRELL-DOUGHERTY-LEE-WORTH-TURNER-TIFT-BEN HILL-IRWIN-EARLY-
MILLER-BAKER-MITCHELL-COLQUITT-COOK-BERRIEN-SEMINOLE-DECATUR-
GRADY-THOMAS-BROOKS-LOWNDES-LANIER-
707 PM EST SAT MAR 8 2008 /607 PM CST SAT MAR 8 2008/

...FIRE WEATHER WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM SUNDAY AFTERNOON
THROUGH SUNDAY EVENING...

A FIRE WEATHER WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM SUNDAY AFTERNOON
THROUGH SUNDAY EVENING. 

A FIRE WEATHER WATCH MEANS THAT CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS
ARE FORECAST TO OCCUR. LISTEN FOR LATER FORECASTS AND POSSIBLE
RED FLAG WARNINGS.

$$

WATSON/GODSEY

What forecasters said that day

The local office's own words before this red flag warning went out, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.

NWS Tallahassee, FL wrote its last area forecast discussion before this red flag warning went out at Mar 7, 11:08 AM CST, 2 hours 11 minutes earlier.

Area forecast discussion, Mar 7, 11:08 AM CST, 2 hours 11 minutes before
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TALLAHASSEE FL
1208 PM EST FRI MAR 7 2008

.DISCUSSION...ITS BEEN A VERY BUSY MORNING HERE AT THE FORECAST
OFFICE. WE HAVE TWO STORM SURVEY CREWS INVESTIGATING POSSIBLE
TORNADOES, ONE IN EASTERN LEON COUNTY IN THE CAPITOLA/CHAIRES AREA
AND ANOTHER DOWN AT KEATON BEACH IN TAYLOR COUNTY. THERE WERE MANY
OTHER WIND DAMAGE REPORTS AND WE HAD SOME URBAN FLOODING HERE IN
TALLAHASSEE. A COLLECTIVE LOCAL STORM REPORT HAS BEEN ISSUED WITH
INFORMATION WE HAVE THUS FAR. THIS PRODUCT WILL BE UPDATED WHEN THE
FIELD CREWS RETURN. THE PRODUCT PIL IS LSRTAE AND THE WMO HEADER IS
NWUS52 KTAE.

AFTER COORDINATING WITH THE SPC, WE BELIEVE THE THREAT FOR SEVERE IS
OVER FOR THE DAY, WITH THE CONVECTION IN THE GULF PREVENTING A
SIGNIFICANT BOUNDARY LAYER RECOVERY. HOWEVER, WE STILL HAVE A POTENT
SHORT WAVE UPSTREAM AS WELL AS THE COLD FRONT, SO SOME ADDITIONAL
DEVELOPMENT IS POSSIBLE, ESPECIALLY IN AREAS THAT GET SOME SUN.
THERE ARE BREAKS IN THE CLOUDS W OF HERE, ALTHOUGH THAT IS FILLING
IN. WE ARE MORE CONCERNED FROM THIS POINT OUT OF FLOODING. A LARGE
AREA OF MODERATE RAIN IS DEVELOPING NWD ACROSS THE FL BIG BEND AND
IS HEADED TOWARD S CENTRAL GA. THIS AREA ALREADY RECEIVED WIDESPREAD
2-3 INCH RAINFALL TOTALS. WE HAVE DECIDED TO LEAVE THE FLOOD WATCH
UP, BUT DID TRIM OUT SOME OF THE ERN PANHANDLE ZONES. WE GOT REPORTS
OF 6 FT SURF IN BAY COUNTY, AND THIS FITS RIGHT IN TO WHAT WE WOULD
EXPECT WITH THE 8 FT SEAS WITH 8 SEC PERIODS OBSERVED AT THE
OFFSHORE BUOY. THE HIGH SURF ADVISORY WILL REMAIN IN PLACE. WE ARE
ALSO STILL CONCERNED ABOUT COASTAL FLOODING OVER IN EASTERN PORTIONS
OF THE FL BIG BEND. THE TIDE GAGE AT CEDAR KEY IS SHOOTING UP PRETTY
QUICK. ALSO, WE EXPECT VERY STRONG W WINDS TONIGHT AND THIS WILL
HELP TO PILE UP SOME WATER DURING THE OVERNIGHT HIGH TIDE CYCLE.

&&

.MARINE...WINDS OVER THE COASTAL WATERS THIS MORNING WERE DOMINATED
BY CONVECTIVE OUTFLOW. SLY WINDS HAVE BECOME REESTABLISHED. WE ARE
STILL LOOKING FOR STRONG W WINDS TO KICK IN BEHIND THE COLD FRONT
TONIGHT. SUSTAINED WINDS WILL BE NEAR 30 KT, SO WE COULD EASILY GUST
TO GALE FORCE. WE WILL AT LEAST CONSIDER A GALE WARNING FOR THE
AFTERNOON PACKAGE. SEAS BEHIND THE FRONT WILL APPROACH 13 FEET WELL
OFFSHORE SATURDAY MORNING. THE GRADIENT WILL RAPIDLY WEAKEN SATURDAY
AFTERNOON AND EVENING WITH WINDS AND SEAS SUBSIDING.

&&

.AVIATION...THE WARM FRONT HAS PUSHED NORTH ACROSS THE AREA WITH THE
COLD FRONT APPROACHING FROM THE WEST. LAST STORMS ASSOCD WITH SQUALL
LINE AHEAD OF FRONT EXITING EAST OF I-75 WITH BACK EDGE OF RAIN NOW
ACROSS ERN BIG BEND AND S/CNTRL GA. MVFR CIGS/VSBYS ALONG AND AHEAD
OF REMAINING STORMS. MVFR CIGS/VSBYS WITH LCL IFR WILL CONTINUE IN
WAKE OF FRONT AND IN ANY RENEWED THUNDERSTORMS LATER THIS AFTERNOON.
COLD FRONT WILL PUSH ACROSS THE AREA FROM THE WEST LATER THIS
EVENING WITH THE RAIN CHANCES ENDING ACROSS THE AREA FROM WEST TO
EAST. EXPECT BREEZY/GUSTY WEST WINDS WITH LINGERING MVFR CIGS REST
OF TONIGHT.

&&

.FIRE WEATHER...IN THE WAKE OF THE COLD FRONT...A MUCH COLDER AND
DRIER AIRMASS WILL MOVE OVER THE REGION AND MAY PRODUCE RED FLAG
CONDITIONS IN N FL DURING THE AFTERNOON HOURS ON SAT. THE ENTIRE
FORECAST AREA MAY SEE RED FLAG CONDITIONS ON SUN.

&&

.HYDROLOGY...MINOR FLOODING IS FORECAST TO OCCUR ON ALL RIVERS IN
THE HSA FROM THE CHIPOLA-APALACHICOLA SYSTEM E, WITH MODERATE
FLOODING ON THE OCHLOCKONEE RIVER. PLEASE SEE THE FOLLOWING WEB PAGE
FOR DETAILS (USE LOWER CASE).

HTTP://AHPS.SRH.NOAA.GOV/INDEX.PHP?WFO=TAE

&&

.PREV DISCUSSION...
219 AM EST FRI MAR 7 2008

SHORT TERM...(TODAY THROUGH SUNDAY).
LARGE AREA OF ISENTROPICALLY FORCED PRECIP HAS BEGUN TO MOVE INLAND
OVER THE FLORIDA PANHANDLE THIS MORNING. 40-50KT LOW LEVEL SOUTHERLY
JET IS RIDING UP AND OVER A WARM FRONT SITUATED E-W JUST OFFSHORE.
THIS WARM FRONT WILL CONTINUE TO LIFT NORTH THROUGH THE MORNING
HOURS AS LOW PRESSURE OVER SE LOUISIANA SLOWLY DEEPENS AND LIFTS
NORTHEAST. WIDESPREAD RAIN AND THUNDERSTORMS EXPECTED ACROSS THE
FORECAST AREA TODAY WITH A DECREASE FROM WEST TO EAST LATE THIS
AFTERNOON INTO THE EVENING AS THE COLD FRONT SWEEPS ACROSS THE
FORECAST AREA.

THE TWO MAIN CONCERNS WITH THIS SYSTEM ARE THE POTENTIAL FOR
FLOODING AND SEVERE WEATHER. GUIDANCE CONTINUES TO INDICATE A SWATH
OF HEAVY RAIN OVER THE FLORIDA BIG BEND FOR TODAY. CURRENT
CONVECTION OVER THE GULF IS LIFTING NORTHEAST...WHICH FITS WELL WITH
THE AREA OF HIGHEST ANTICIPATED QPF. STILL ANTICIPATING THE
POTENTIAL FOR 2 TO 4 INCH RAINFALL AMOUNTS TODAY...ESPECIALLY EAST
OF THE APALACHICOLA RIVER. CURRENT THINKING IS THAT RAINFALL WILL BE
ENDING OVER THE WESTERN ZONES STARTING EARLY THIS AFTERNOON...WHICH
SHOULD LIMIT RAINFALL AMOUNTS AND FLOOD POTENTIAL. THUS...WILL LEAVE
FLOOD WATCH AS IS.

AS FOR COASTAL FLOOD WATCH...EXTRATROPICAL STORM SURGE MODEL STILL
INDICATING ABOVE NORMAL TIDES THIS AFTERNOON AND EVENING.
HOWEVER...CONFIDENCE IS NOT HIGH SINCE THE MODEL IS BASED ON GFS
WINDS. THE GFS HAS BEEN PLAGUED BY CONVECTIVE FEEDBACK WITH THIS
SYSTEM WHICH HAS SEVERELY IMPACTED ITS WIND FIELDS. WILL CONTINUE
TO MONITOR WINDS OFFSHORE THIS MORNING...BUT ATTM CONFIDENCE NOT
HIGH ENOUGH TO UPGRADE TO WARNING. IF GALE FORCE WINDS DEVELOP
LATER THIS MORNING OVER APALACHEE BAY...WATCH MAY NEED TO BE
UPGRADED.

SEVERE POTENTIAL IS NOT VERY CLEAR CUT THIS MORNING. KINEMATIC
FIELDS ARE BECOMING INCREASINGLY FAVORABLY FOR ROTATING STORMS OVER
THE PANHANDLE THIS MORNING WITH LARGE LOOPING HODOGRAPHS DEVELOPING.
THIS IS A BIT DISCONCERTING CONSIDERING THE STRONG CONVECTION NOTED
OVER THE GULF SOUTH OF THE WARM FRONT. HOWEVER...THE BOUNDARY LAYER
IS EXPECTED TO REMAIN STABLE OVER LAND THROUGH SUNRISE WITH THE
BULK OF THE CONVECTION REMAINING ELEVATED. APPEARS THAT MAIN THREAT
FROM EARLY MORNING STORMS WOULD BE SEVERE HAIL.

AFTER SUNRISE AND THROUGH THE MORNING...THE SEVERE POTENTIAL IS
HIGHLY DEPENDENT ON THE AMOUNT OF SFC-BASED DESTABILIZATION WHICH
CAN OCCUR IN THE WARM SECTOR AS THE WARM FRONT CONTINUES TO LIFT
NORTH. RUC SOUNDINGS BEAR THIS OUT WITH TREMENDOUS 0-3KM HELICITY
VALUES IN EXCESS OF 600M2/S2. SOUNDINGS ALSO INDICATED REASONABLY
STEEP MID LEVEL LAPSE RATES. MUCAPES FROM THE SOUNDINGS RANGE FROM
1000-1500J/KG WITH PARCELS ORIGINATING FROM AROUND 850MB THIS
MORNING. GUIDANCE DOES INDICATE THAT THE EASTERN PORTIONS OF THE CWA
MAY SEE ENOUGH HEATING FOR SFC-BASED PARCELS TO BECOME UNSTABLE. IF
THIS OCCURS...THEN ISOLATED TORNADOES AND STRAIGHT LINE WINDS WILL
ALSO BE A THREAT ALONG WITH LARGE HAIL.

BY TONIGHT...THE COLD FRONT WILL SWEEP ACROSS THE AREA FOLLOWED BY
STRONG WEST NORTHWEST WINDS AND IMPRESSIVE COLD AIR ADVECTION.
SATURDAY WILL BE A MUCH COLDER DAY WITH TEMPS RISING ONLY INTO THE
50S AND WINDS UP TO 20MPH. AS THE GRADIENT WEAKENS SATURDAY
NIGHT...TEMPS SHOULD DROP TO NEAR FREEZING...WITH A LIGHT FREEZE
POSSIBLE FOR INLAND AREAS. TEMPS WILL BEGIN TO MODERATE ON SUNDAY.

LONG TERM...(SUNDAY NIGHT-THURSDAY)
THE EXTENDED PERIOD WILL BEGIN WITH A HIGH PRESSURE AND A VERY WEAK
PRESSURE GRADIENT IN PLACE ACROSS THE REGION. EXPECT THE BELOW
NORMAL TEMPERATURES ONCE AGAIN ON SUNDAY NIGHT WITH THE OVERNIGHT
LOWS DROPPING DOWN TOWARD THE FREEZING POINT ACROSS THE INLAND
AREAS. THE MODELS ARE IN AGREEMENT FOR THE MOST PART THROUGH
TUESDAY...THEN THEY BEGIN TO SHOW SIGNIFICANT DIFFERENCES GOING INTO
MID WEEK AND THE SECOND HALF OF THE WEEK.

MONDAY THROUGH MID WEEK...THE PREVIOUSLY MENTIONED HIGH PRESSURE
CENTERED OVERHEAD WILL SLIDE EAST TOWARD AND OFF THE COAST. THIS
WILL ALLOW THE AIRMASS OVERHEAD TO MODIFY AND THE TEMPERATURES TO
CLIMB BACK UP TOWARD NORMAL. ON TUESDAY...THE GFS/ECMWF BOTH SHOW A
SHORTWAVE AMPLIFYING AND CLOSING OFF INTO AN UPPER LOW AS IT PUSHES
EAST ACROSS TEXAS AND TOWARD THE LOWER MS VALLEY. THE GFS IS MUCH
QUICKER THAN THE ECMWF WITH ITS EASTWARD PROGRESSION AND BRINGS THIS
SYSTEM OVERHEAD TUESDAY NIGHT INTO WEDNESDAY. THE ECMWF SHOWS THIS
FEATURE COMING THROUGH OUR AREA SOMETIME WEDNESDAY NIGHT INTO
THURSDAY. WE WILL TAKE AN AVERAGE WITH REGARD TO THE TIMING AND
SLIGHTLY UNDERCUT THE POPS DUE TO UNCERTAINTY.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
TALLAHASSEE  71  47  55  28  64 / 100  40  10   0   0
PANAMA CITY  68  47  56  37  63 / 100  30  10  10   0
DOTHAN       69  43  52  30  63 / 100  30  10  10   0
ALBANY       71  44  53  30  62 / 100  50  10   0   0
VALDOSTA     71  47  55  30  63 / 100  70  10   0   0
CROSS CITY   72  53  59  30  66 /  90  70  10   0   0

&&

.TAE WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
AL...NONE.
GA...FLOOD WATCH THROUGH LATE TONIGHT FOR THE FOLLOWING ZONES:
     BAKER...BEN HILL...BERRIEN...BROOKS...COLQUITT...COOK...
     DECATUR...DOUGHERTY...GRADY...IRWIN...LANIER...LEE...
     LOWNDES...MILLER...MITCHELL...SEMINOLE...THOMAS...TIFT...
     TURNER...WORTH.

FL...FLOOD WATCH THROUGH LATE TONIGHT FOR THE FOLLOWING ZONES:
     DIXIE...FRANKLIN...GADSDEN...GULF...JEFFERSON...LAFAYETTE...
     LEON...LIBERTY...MADISON...TAYLOR...WAKULLA.

     COASTAL FLOOD WATCH FROM 10 AM EST THIS MORNING THROUGH
     SATURDAY MORNING FOR THE FOLLOWING ZONES: DIXIE...TAYLOR.

GM...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY UNTIL 1 AM EST SUNDAY FOR THE FOLLOWING
     ZONES: APALACHEE BAY OR COASTAL WATERS FROM KEATON BEACH TO
     OCHLOCKONEE RIVER FL OUT TO 20 NM...COASTAL WATERS FROM
     OCHLOCKONEE RIVER TO APALACHICOLA FL OUT TO 20 NM...COASTAL
     WATERS FROM SUWANNEE RIVER TO KEATON BEACH OUT 20 NM...
     COASTAL WATERS FROM APALACHICOLA TO DESTIN FL OUT 20 NM...
     WATERS FROM SUWANNEE RIVER TO APALACHICOLA FL FROM 20 TO 60
     NM...WATERS FROM APALACHICOLA TO DESTIN FL FROM 20 TO 60
     NM.

&&

AVIATION...BLOCK
PREVIOUS DISCUSSION...CAMP/GIBBS
REST OF DISCUSSION...WOOL
Hazardous weather outlook, Mar 7, 3:30 AM CST, 9 hours 49 minutes before
HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TALLAHASSEE FL
430 AM EST FRI MAR 7 2008

ALZ065>069-FLZ007>019-026>029-034-GAZ120>131-142>148-155>161-
GMZ730-750-755-765-770-775-081000-
COFFEE-DALE-HENRY-GENEVA-HOUSTON-INLAND WALTON-COASTAL WALTON-
HOLMES-WASHINGTON-JACKSON-BAY-CALHOUN-GULF-FRANKLIN-GADSDEN-LEON-
JEFFERSON-MADISON-LIBERTY-WAKULLA-TAYLOR-LAFAYETTE-DIXIE-QUITMAN-
CLAY-RANDOLPH-TERRELL-DOUGHERTY-LEE-WORTH-TURNER-TIFT-BEN HILL-
IRWIN-EARLY-MILLER-BAKER-MITCHELL-COLQUITT-COOK-BERRIEN-SEMINOLE-
DECATUR-GRADY-THOMAS-BROOKS-LOWNDES-LANIER-
APALACHEE BAY OR COASTAL WATERS FROM KEATON BEACH TO OCHLOCKONEE
RIVER FL OUT TO 20 NM-
COASTAL WATERS FROM APALACHICOLA TO DESTIN FL OUT 20 NM-
COASTAL WATERS FROM  OCHLOCKONEE RIVER TO APALACHICOLA FL OUT TO
20 NM-
COASTAL WATERS FROM  SUWANNEE RIVER TO KEATON BEACH OUT 20 NM-
WATERS FROM APALACHICOLA TO DESTIN FL FROM 20 TO 60 NM-
WATERS FROM  SUWANNEE RIVER TO APALACHICOLA FL FROM 20 TO 60 NM-
430 AM EST FRI MAR 7 2008 /330 AM CST FRI MAR 7 2008/

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR SOUTHEAST ALABAMA...
SOUTHWEST AND SOUTH CENTRAL GEORGIA...AND THE FLORIDA BIG BEND
AND PANHANDLE...AND ADJACENT COASTAL WATERS.

...HEAVY RAINFALL AND ISOLATED SEVERE STORMS EXPECTED THROUGH
THIS EVENING...

...COASTAL FLOODING POSSIBLE THIS AFTERNOON AND EVENING FOR
TAYLOR AND DIXIE COUNTIES OF THE BIG BEND...

.DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT...

PERIODS OF HEAVY RAINFALL ARE ANTICIPATED TODAY AS A LOW PRESSURE
SYSTEM MOVES NORTHEAST ACROSS THE FLORIDA PANHANDLE AND INTO CENTRAL
GEORGIA. WIDESPREAD RAINFALL TOTALS OF TWO TO FOUR INCHES ARE
EXPECTED THROUGH TONIGHT WITH LOCALLY HIGHER AMOUNTS...MAINLY
FROM THE EASTERN PANHANDLE ACROSS THE FLORIDA BIG BEND AND PORTIONS
OF SOUTHWEST AND SOUTH CENTRAL GEORGIA. WITH GROUNDS ALREADY
SATURATED FROM HEAVY RAINS THE PAST FEW WEEKS AND AREA RIVERS
RUNNING BANK FULL...THE RISK FOR AREAL AND RIVERINE FLOODING WILL
INCREASE ACROSS THE AREA. A FLOOD WATCH HAS BEEN ISSUED FOR THESE
AREAS THROUGH FRIDAY NIGHT.

STRONG SOUTHERLY WINDS TODAY WILL PILE WATER ALONG THE
TAYLOR AND DIXIE COUNTY COASTS. DEPARTURES OF 2 TO 3 FEET ABOVE
NORMAL ASTRONOMICAL TIDES ARE EXPECTED DURING THE HIGH TIDE CYCLE
AROUND MIDDAY TODAY. ASTRONOMICAL TIDES ARE ALREADY RUNNING
HIGH...AND TIDES ABOUT 4 TO 6 FEET ABOVE MEAN LOW LOW WATER LEVELS
WILL BE POSSIBLE DURING THE AFTERNOON HIGH TIDE CYCLE. SOME OVER
WASH OF FLOOD WALLS WILL BE POSSIBLE WITH MOST IMPACTS EXPECTED TO
BE MINOR. ALSO...THERE IS A HIGH RISK FOR RIP CURRENTS TODAY
ALONG THE PANHANDLE AND BIG BEND BEACHES.

THERE IS A SLIGHT RISK FOR SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS TODAY FOR THE
ENTIRE AREA. STRONG WIND SHEAR AND MARGINAL INSTABILITY MAY ALLOW
FOR A FEW SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS TO DEVELOP AS A COLD FRONT PUSHES
EASTWARD ACROSS THE AREA. THE MAIN SEVERE WEATHER THREATS WILL BE
DAMAGING STRAIGHT LINE WINDS AND ISOLATED TORNADOES.

INCREASING WINDS AND SEAS OVER THE COASTAL WATERS WILL CREATE
HAZARDOUS MARINE CONDITIONS TONIGHT THROUGH TONIGHT...WITH SMALL
CRAFT ADVISORIES IN EFFECT.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...SATURDAY THROUGH THURSDAY...

GUSTY NORTHWEST WINDS ON SATURDAY WILL USHER IN MUCH COOLER AIR.
WINDS MAY GUST UP TO 25 MPH ACROSS THE FORECAST AREA SATURDAY
MORNING.

STRONG WINDS OVER THE COASTAL WATERS WILL CREATE HAZARDOUS MARINE
CONDITIONS SATURDAY...WITH SMALL CRAFT ADVISORIES IN EFFECT.

A LIGHT FREEZE IS POSSIBLE SATURDAY NIGHT AS COLD HIGH PRESSURE
SETTLES OVER THE AREA.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION MAY BE NEEDED LATER THIS MORNING.

FOR ADDITIONAL INFORMATION...VISIT THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE
WEBSITE ON THE INTERNET AT WEATHER.GOV...THEN CLICK ON YOUR AREA
OF INTEREST ON THE NATIONAL MAP.

CAMP

In the hours before

Local storm report, Mar 7, 8:24 AM CST, 4 hours 55 minutes before
PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TALLAHASSEE FL
924 AM EST FRI MAR 07 2008

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0725 AM     TSTM WND DMG     TALLAHASSEE             30.44N 84.28W
03/07/2008                   LEON               FL   LAW ENFORCEMENT

            A HOUSE COLLAPSED IN THE KILLEARN LAKES NEIGHBORHOOD.

&&

WOOL
Local storm report, Mar 7, 8:26 AM CST, 4 hours 53 minutes before
PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TALLAHASSEE FL
926 AM EST FRI MAR 07 2008

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0910 AM     FUNNEL CLOUD     MAYO                    30.05N 83.18W
03/07/2008                   LAFAYETTE          FL   EMERGENCY MNGR

            A FUNNEL CLOUD REPORTED NEART THE HIGH SCHOOL MOVING
            EAST.

&&

WOOL
Local storm report, Mar 7, 8:29 AM CST, 4 hours 50 minutes before
PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT...CORRECTED
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TALLAHASSEE FL
929 AM EST FRI MAR 07 2008

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0725 AM     TORNADO          CAPITOLA                30.45N 84.09W
03/07/2008                   LEON               FL   EMERGENCY MNGR

            *** 1 INJ *** FOUR HOUSES WERE DESTROYED ON WHITE HOUSE
            ROAD AND CAPITOLA ROAD. BASED ON THE LATEST REPORTS FROM
            LAW ENFORCEMENT...IT APPEARS THERE WERE NO FATALITIES IN
            CAPITOLA. ONE INJURED PERSON WAS TRANSPORTED TO THE
            HOSPITAL.

&&

WOOL
Local storm report, Mar 7, 9:48 AM CST, 3 hours 31 minutes before
PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT...CORRECTED
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TALLAHASSEE FL
1048 AM EST FRI MAR 07 2008

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0630 AM     TSTM WND DMG     APALACHICLA MUNI AIRPOR 29.72N 85.03W
03/07/2008                   FRANKLIN           FL   LAW ENFORCEMENT

            TREES AND POWERLINE DOWN COUNTYWIDE

0700 AM     TSTM WND DMG     OZARK                   31.46N 85.64W
03/07/2008                   DALE               AL   EMERGENCY MNGR

            TREES WERE REPORTED DOWN COUNTY WIDE.

0705 AM     TSTM WND DMG     5 SE CRAWFORDVILLE      30.12N 84.31W
03/07/2008                   WAKULLA            FL   EMERGENCY MNGR

            AS MANY AS 30 TREES WERE REPORTED DOWN COUNTY WIDE.

0715 AM     TSTM WND DMG     5 SE TALLAHASSEE        30.39N 84.22W
03/07/2008                   LEON               FL   FIRE DEPT/RESCUE

            SEVERAL POWER LINES DOWN IN THE SOUTHWOOD PLANTATION
            COMMUNITY NEAR APALACHEE AND AND IDLEWILD.

0715 AM     TSTM WND DMG     5 SE TALLAHASSEE        30.39N 84.22W
03/07/2008                   LEON               FL   EMERGENCY MNGR

            CARS WERE DAMAGED BY FURNITURE THAT WAS TOSSED AROUND
            OUTSIDE A STARBUCKS IN SOUTHWOOD. A POWER OUTAGE WAS ALSO
            REPORTED.

0715 AM     HAIL             N TALLAHASSEE           30.44N 84.28W
03/07/2008  E0.25 INCH       LEON               FL   EMERGENCY MNGR

            PEA SIZE HAIL ON PARK AVE IN DOWNTOWN TALLAHASSEE

0725 AM     TORNADO          CAPITOLA                30.45N 84.09W
03/07/2008                   LEON               FL   EMERGENCY MNGR

            *** 1 INJ *** FOUR HOUSES WERE DESTROYED ON WHITE HOUSE
            ROAD AND CAPITOLA ROAD. BASED ON THE LATEST REPORTS FROM
            LAW ENFORCEMENT...IT APPEARS THERE WERE NO FATALITIES IN
            CAPITOLA. ONE INJURED PERSON WAS TRANSPORTED TO THE
            HOSPITAL.

0725 AM     TSTM WND DMG     TALLAHASSEE             30.44N 84.28W
03/07/2008                   LEON               FL   LAW ENFORCEMENT

            A HOUSE COLLAPSED IN THE KILLEARN LAKES NEIGHBORHOOD.

0725 AM     TORNADO          CAPITOLA                30.45N 84.09W
03/07/2008                   LEON               FL   PUBLIC

            TORNADO SIGHTED AT BUCK LAKE ROAD.

0730 AM     TORNADO          CHAIRES                 30.44N 84.12W
03/07/2008                   LEON               FL   FIRE DEPT/RESCUE

            SEVERAL HOUSES WERE DAMAGED AND TREES AND POWERLINES WERE
            DOWNED ON TURKEY ROOST ROAD.

0730 AM     TSTM WND DMG     N CAPITOLA              30.45N 84.09W
03/07/2008                   LEON               FL   LAW ENFORCEMENT

            TREES WERE DOWNED AND A TRAFFIC LIGHT WAS BLOWN OFF LINE
            ON BAUM ROAD.

0730 AM     TSTM WND DMG     CHAIRES CROSSROADS      30.42N 84.12W
03/07/2008                   LEON               FL   EMERGENCY MNGR

            SEVERAL TREES DOWN.

0745 AM     FLOOD            TALLAHASSEE             30.44N 84.28W
03/07/2008                   LEON               FL   NWS EMPLOYEE

            TWO FEET OF WATER REPORTED ON FRANKLIN BLVD.

0755 AM     TSTM WND DMG     GREENVILLE              30.47N 83.64W
03/07/2008                   MADISON            FL   TRAINED SPOTTER

            A TREE REPORTED DOWN ACROSS THE RAILROAD TRACKS.

0806 AM     TSTM WND DMG     1 W MADISON             30.47N 83.43W
03/07/2008                   MADISON            FL   TRAINED SPOTTER

            A TREE WAS REPORTED DOWN ACROSS A ROAD. THERE WAS ALSO A
            CAR ACCIDENT ON INTERSTATE 10 SOUTH OF TOWN.

0830 AM     TORNADO          KEATON BEACH            29.82N 83.59W
03/07/2008                   TAYLOR             FL   EMERGENCY MNGR

            A HOUSE DESTROYED BY A POSSIBLE TORNADO ON MARINE DRIVE
            AND BEACH ROAD.THE HOUSE WAS PUSHED OUT INTO THE ROAD.15
            OTHER HOMES WERE DAMAGED. THE SALEM NOAA WEATHER RADIO
            WAS KNOCKED OFF THE AIR. POWER LINES WERE ALSO DOWNED
            WITH ONE POLE TOPPLED.

0910 AM     FUNNEL CLOUD     MAYO                    30.05N 83.18W
03/07/2008                   LAFAYETTE          FL   EMERGENCY MNGR

            A FUNNEL CLOUD REPORTED NEART THE HIGH SCHOOL MOVING
            EAST.

&&

WOOL
Local storm report, Mar 7, 10:54 AM CST, 2 hours 25 minutes before
PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TALLAHASSEE FL
1154 AM EST FRI MAR 07 2008

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

1150 AM     TSTM WND DMG     6 NW MONTICELLO         30.61N 83.94W
03/07/2008                   JEFFERSON          FL   EMERGENCY MNGR

            SIGNIGICANT NUMBER OF TREES DOWN...MANY POWER LINES DOWN
            AND HOUSE DAMAGED ALL FROM LAKE MICCOSUKEE NORTH TO LAKE
            ROAD 4 MILE LONG BY 1/2 MILE WIDE STRETCH

&&

GIBBS
Local storm report, Mar 7, 1:02 PM CST, 17 minutes before
PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT...CORRECTED
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TALLAHASSEE FL
202 PM EST FRI MAR 07 2008

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0830 AM     TORNADO          KEATON BEACH            29.82N 83.59W
03/07/2008  F2               TAYLOR             FL   NWS STORM SURVEY

            A HOUSE DESTROYED BY A POSSIBLE TORNADO ON MARINE DRIVE
            AND BEACH ROAD.THE HOUSE WAS PUSHED OUT INTO THE ROAD.15
            OTHER HOMES WERE DAMAGED. THE SALEM NOAA WEATHER RADIO
            WAS KNOCKED OFF THE AIR. POWER LINES WERE ALSO DOWNED
            WITH ONE POLE TOPPLED. SURVEY CREW ESTIMATES EF-2 DAMAGE
            WITH MAXIMUM WINDS OF 120 MPH.

&&

WOOL

The office that day

Everything else NWS Tallahassee, FL issued on the same UTC day.

IssuedProductOfficeCountiesLasted
Mar 7, 3:19 AM CSTSpecial Marine WarningTAE56 min
Mar 7, 4:11 AM CSTHigh Surf AdvisoryTAEBay, Franklin, Gulf, Walton38 hr
Mar 7, 4:37 AM CSTSpecial Marine WarningTAE23 min
Mar 7, 4:45 AM CSTSpecial Marine WarningTAE60 min
Mar 7, 5:01 AM CSTSevere Thunderstorm WarningTAEFranklin, Gulf, Liberty, Wakulla44 min
Mar 7, 5:20 AM CSTSevere Thunderstorm WarningTAEDixie, Lafayette40 min
Mar 7, 5:39 AM CSTSevere Thunderstorm WarningTAELeon, Liberty, Wakulla36 min
Mar 7, 5:49 AM CSTSevere Thunderstorm WarningTAEFranklin, Wakulla41 min
Mar 7, 5:50 AM CSTSpecial Marine WarningTAE115 min
Mar 7, 6:02 AM CSTSevere Thunderstorm WarningTAEJefferson, Leon, Wakulla43 min
Mar 7, 6:05 AM CSTTornado WarningTAEJefferson, Leon, Wakulla25 min
Mar 7, 6:12 AM CSTTornado WarningTAEJefferson, Wakulla33 min
Mar 7, 6:16 AM CSTSevere Thunderstorm WarningTAEJefferson, Madison, Taylor44 min
Mar 7, 6:34 AM CSTSevere Thunderstorm WarningTAEJefferson, Madison41 min
Mar 7, 7:04 AM CSTSevere Thunderstorm WarningTAEDixie, Lafayette, Taylor56 min
Mar 7, 7:08 AM CSTSevere Thunderstorm WarningTAEMadison52 min
Mar 7, 7:10 AM CSTSevere Thunderstorm WarningTAEMadison20 min
Mar 7, 7:19 AM CSTTornado WarningTAEDixie, Lafayette, Taylor41 min
Mar 7, 7:31 AM CSTTornado WarningTAEDixie44 min
Mar 7, 7:44 AM CSTTornado WarningTAELafayette, Taylor46 min
Mar 7, 7:59 AM CSTSevere Thunderstorm WarningTAELafayette, Taylor16 min
Mar 7, 8:02 AM CSTSevere Thunderstorm WarningTAEDixie, Lafayette43 min
Mar 7, 10:22 AM CSTRiver Flood WarningTAEGadsden, Leon7 days
Mar 7, 10:22 AM CSTRiver Flood WarningTAELeon23 hr
Mar 7, 10:31 AM CSTRiver Flood WarningTAEWakulla46 hr
Mar 7, 10:35 AM CSTRiver Flood WarningTAECalhoun, Franklin, Gulf, Liberty33 hr
Mar 7, 1:19 PM CSTFire Weather WatchTAEBay, Calhoun, Dixie, Franklin, Gadsden, Gulf and 10 more37 hr
Mar 7, 1:33 PM CSTFreeze WatchTAEBay, Calhoun, Dixie, Franklin, Gadsden, Gulf and 10 more25 hr

Nearby

Red Flag Warnings in Florida, 2008Every red flag warning in 2008

Sources

The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; the sounding from the Mesonet's radiosonde archive.