Coastal Flood Statement 2, NWS Tallahassee, FL

000 
WHUS42 KTAE 110900
CFWTAE

COASTAL HAZARD MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TALLAHASSEE FL
400 AM EST THU DEC 11 2008

...HIGH SURF ADVISORY IN EFFECT FOR THE BEACHES OF WALTON... BAY
AND...GULF COUNTIES UNTIL 9 AM CST FRIDAY...

.STRONG LOW PRESSURE OVER THE WESTERN FLORIDA PANHANDLE THIS
MORNING WILL TRACK NORTHEAST ACROSS ALABAMA AND GEORGIA
TODAY AND TONIGHT. STRONG SOUTHERLY WINDS AHEAD OF THE TRAILING
COLD FRONT AND WESTERLY WINDS BEHIND THE FRONT WILL GENERATE
LARGE SURF ALONG THE FLORIDA PANHANDLE COAST THROUGH TONIGHT.

FLZ008-012-014-121500-
/O.CON.KTAE.SU.Y.0012.000000T0000Z-081212T1500Z/
COASTAL WALTON-BAY-GULF-
300 AM CST THU DEC 11 2008

...HIGH SURF ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 9 AM CST FRIDAY...

A HIGH SURF ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 9 AM CST FRIDAY. 

STRONG ONSHORE FLOW FOLLOWED BY STRONG WEST TO SOUTHWEST FLOW WILL
GENERATE 8 TO 10 FOOT BREAKER TODAY IN THE EASTERN FLORIDA
PANHANDLE. MINOR BEACH EROSION IS EXPECTED...ESPECIALLY AT TIMES
OF HIGH TIDE. TIDES ARE EXPECTED TO RUN ABOUT 1 FOOT ABOVE NORMAL
THROUGH TODAY.

A HIGH SURF ADVISORY MEANS THAT HIGH SURF WILL AFFECT BEACHES IN
THE ADVISORY AREA...PRODUCING RIP CURRENTS AND LOCALIZED BEACH
EROSION.

$$

FLZ028-034-120900-
/O.CON.KTAE.CF.S.0002.000000T0000Z-081212T0900Z/
TAYLOR-DIXIE-
400 AM EST THU DEC 11 2008

MODERATE SOUTHERLY WINDS HAVE RESULTED IN TIDES RUNNING ABOUT 1
FOOT ABOVE NORMAL OVERNIGHT. WINDS WILL SHIFT TO THE WEST AND
INCREASE SUBSTANTIALLY THIS MORNING AFTER A COLD FRONTAL PASSAGE.
THESE WINDS WILL REMAIN ELEVATED INTO EARLY FRIDAY. THIS PROLONGED
PERIOD OF WESTERLY WIND IS EXPECTED TO PRODUCE TIDAL DEPARTURES OF
ABOUT 2 FEET ABOVE NORMAL FOR THE HIGH TIDE CYCLES EARLY THIS
MORNING AND LATE THURSDAY EVENING.

$$

CAMP

000 
WHUS42 KTAE 111914
CFWTAE

COASTAL HAZARD MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TALLAHASSEE FL
214 PM EST THU DEC 11 2008

...HIGH SURF ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR THE BEACHES OF
WALTON...BAY AND...GULF COUNTIES UNTIL 9 AM CST FRIDAY...

.A DEEP LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM OVER NORTHERN GEORGIA THIS AFTERNOON
WILL MOVE NORTHEAST ACROSS THE CAROLINAS TONIGHT AND FRIDAY.
STRONG WESTERLY WINDS WILL GENERATE LARGE SURF ALONG THE FLORIDA
PANHANDLE COAST THROUGH TONIGHT.

FLZ008-012-014-121500-
/O.CON.KTAE.SU.Y.0012.000000T0000Z-081212T1500Z/
COASTAL WALTON-BAY-GULF-
114 PM CST THU DEC 11 2008

...HIGH SURF ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 9 AM CST FRIDAY...

A HIGH SURF ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 9 AM CST FRIDAY. 

STRONG WESTERLY WINDS WILL GENERATE 6 TO 8 FOOT BREAKERS THIS
AFTERNOON AND TONIGHT ALONG THE EASTERN PANHANDLE COAST. MINOR 
BEACH EROSION IS EXPECTED...ESPECIALLY AT THE TIMES OF HIGH TIDE.
TIDES ARE EXPECTED TO RUN ABOUT ONE FOOT ABOVE ASTRONOMICAL TIDES 
THROUGH TONIGHT. COUNTY ROAD 30E IN GULF COUNTY IS ESPECIALLY
VULNERABLE TO BEACH EROSION.

A HIGH SURF ADVISORY MEANS THAT HIGH SURF WILL AFFECT BEACHES IN
THE ADVISORY AREA...PRODUCING RIP CURRENTS AND LOCALIZED BEACH
EROSION.

$$

FLZ028-034-120900-
/O.CON.KTAE.CF.S.0002.000000T0000Z-081212T0900Z/
TAYLOR-DIXIE-
214 PM EST THU DEC 11 2008

A PROLONGED PERIOD OF STRONG WESTERLY WINDS WILL PRODUCE TIDAL
DEPARTURES OF ONE TO TWO FEET ABOVE ASTRONOMICAL TIDES FOR THE
HIGH TIDE CYCLE LATE THIS EVENING. THESE WINDS WILL BEGIN TO 
DIMINISH FRIDAY MORNING.

$$

8-JAMSKI

000 
WHUS42 KTAE 112229
CFWTAE

COASTAL HAZARD MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TALLAHASSEE FL
529 PM EST THU DEC 11 2008

...A HIGH SURF WARNING IS NOW IN EFFECT FOR THE BEACHES OF
WALTON...BAY...GULF...AND FRANKLIN COUNTIES UNTIL 10 AM EST/ 9 AM
CST FRIDAY...

.STRONG WEST TO SOUTHWEST WINDS OVER THE GULF OF MEXICO WILL
CONTINUE TO GENERATE POUNDING SURF ACROSS THE FLORIDA PANHANDLE
AND WESTERN BIG BEND BEACHES TONIGHT INTO FRIDAY MORNING. BREAKING
WAVES OF 8 TO 10 FEET WILL IMPACT THE BEACHES OF BAY AND WALTON
COUNTIES...BREAKERS OF 10 TO 12 FEET WILL AFFECT CAPE SAN BLAS AND
THE SAINT JOES PENINSULA...WHILE 6 TO 8 FOOT SURF WILL IMPACT
THE BEACHES OF FRANKLIN COUNTY.


FLZ008-012-014-121500-
/O.UPG.KTAE.SU.Y.0012.000000T0000Z-081212T1500Z/
/O.NEW.KTAE.SU.W.0002.081211T2229Z-081212T1500Z/
COASTAL WALTON-BAY-GULF-
429 PM CST THU DEC 11 2008

...A HIGH SURF WARNING IS NOW IN EFFECT UNTIL 9 AM CST FRIDAY...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN TALLAHASSEE HAS ISSUED A HIGH
SURF WARNING...WHICH IS IN EFFECT UNTIL 9 AM CST FRIDAY. THIS IS
AN UPGRADE FROM THE HIGH SURF ADVISORY.

BREAKING WAVES OF 8 TO 10 FEET WILL IMPACT THE BEACHES OF BAY AND
WALTON COUNTIES...WITH HIGH SURF OF 10 TO 12 FEET POUNDING CAPE
SAN BLAS AND THE SAINT JOES PENINSULA. THESE LARGE WAVES WILL
WASH ACROSS COUNTY ROAD 30E AND CAUSE ADDITIONAL BEACH EROSION
OVERNIGHT...WITH 2 TO 3 FEET OF FLOOD WATERS POSSIBLE IN PARTS OF
PORT ST. JOE.

A HIGH SURF WARNING INDICATES THAT DANGEROUS...BATTERING WAVE
WILL POUND THE SHORELINE. THIS WILL RESULT IN VERY DANGEROUS
SWIMMING CONDITIONS...AND DEADLY RIP CURRENTS.

$$

FLZ015-121500-
/O.NEW.KTAE.SU.W.0002.081211T2229Z-081212T1500Z/
FRANKLIN-
529 PM EST THU DEC 11 2008

...A HIGH SURF WARNING IS NOW IN EFFECT UNTIL 10 AM EST FRIDAY...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN TALLAHASSEE HAS ISSUED A HIGH
SURF WARNING...WHICH IS IN EFFECT UNTIL 10 AM EST FRIDAY. 

BREAKING WAVES OF 6 TO 8 FEET WILL IMPACT THE BEACHES OF FRANKLIN
COUNTY TONIGHT INTO FRIDAY MORNING...WHICH WILL CAUSE MINOR BEACH
EROSION FOR ST. GEORGE AND DOG ISLANDS.

A HIGH SURF WARNING INDICATES THAT DANGEROUS...BATTERING WAVE
WILL POUND THE SHORELINE. THIS WILL RESULT  IN VERY DANGEROUS
SWIMMING CONDITIONS...AND DEADLY RIP CURRENTS.

$$

FLZ028-034-120900-
/O.CON.KTAE.CF.S.0002.000000T0000Z-081212T0900Z/
TAYLOR-DIXIE-
529 PM EST THU DEC 11 2008

A PROLONGED PERIOD OF STRONG WEST TO SOUTHWEST WINDS WILL PRODUCE
TIDAL DEPARTURES OF UP TO 2 TO 3 FEET ABOVE ASTRONOMICAL TIDES FOR
THE HIGH TIDE CYCLE LATER THIS EVENING. THIS MAY CAUSE SOME MINOR
COASTAL FLOODING AROUND THE TIME OF HIGH TIDE...WITH THE THREAT
DIMINISHING QUICKLY AFTER HIGH TIDE LATER TONIGHT.

$$

17-GOULD

000 
WHUS42 KTAE 112301
CFWTAE

URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
COASTAL HAZARD MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TALLAHASSEE FL
601 PM EST THU DEC 11 2008

...A COASTAL FLOOD WARNING NOW IN EFFECT FOR GULF COUNTY UNTIL 9
AM CST FRIDAY...

...A HIGH SURF WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR THE BEACHES OF
WALTON...BAY...GULF...AND FRANKLIN COUNTIES UNTIL 10 AM EST/ 9 AM
CST FRIDAY...

.STRONG WEST TO SOUTHWEST WINDS OVER THE GULF OF MEXICO WILL
CONTINUE TO GENERATE POUNDING SURF ACROSS THE FLORIDA PANHANDLE
AND WESTERN BIG BEND BEACHES TONIGHT INTO FRIDAY MORNING.
BREAKING WAVES OF 8 TO 10 FEET WILL IMPACT THE BEACHES OF BAY AND
WALTON COUNTIES...BREAKERS OF 10 TO 12 FEET WILL AFFECT CAPE SAN
BLAS AND THE SAINT JOES PENINSULA...WHILE 6 TO 8 FOOT SURF WILL
IMPACT THE BEACHES OF FRANKLIN COUNTY. THESE STRONG ONSHORE WINDS
WILL ALSO LEAD TO A PERIOD OF COASTAL FLOODING IN GULF COUNTY AS
HIGH TIDE APPROACHES THIS EVENING. 

FLZ014-121215-
/O.NEW.KTAE.CF.W.0003.081211T2301Z-081212T1500Z/
/O.CON.KTAE.SU.W.0002.000000T0000Z-081212T1500Z/
GULF-
501 PM CST THU DEC 11 2008

...A COASTAL FLOOD WARNING IN EFFECT UNTIL 9 AM CST FRIDAY...
...A HIGH SURF WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 9 AM CST FRIDAY...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN TALLAHASSEE HAS ISSUED A COASTAL
FLOOD WARNING...WHICH IS IN EFFECT UNTIL 9 AM CST FRIDAY. A HIGH
SURF WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 9 AM CST FRIDAY. 

BREAKING WAVES OF 8 TO 10 FEET WILL IMPACT THE BEACHES OF BAY AND
WALTON COUNTIES...WITH HIGH SURF OF 10 TO 12 FEET POUNDING CAPE
SAN BLAS AND THE SAINT JOES PENINSULA. THESE LARGE WAVES WILL
WASH ACROSS COUNTY ROAD 30E AND CAUSE ADDITIONAL BEACH EROSION
OVERNIGHT...WITH 2 TO 3 FEET OF FLOOD WATERS POSSIBLE IN PARTS OF
PORT ST. JOE.

AS OF 430 PM CST...REPORTS WERE RECEIVED THAT INDICATED WATER WAS
CROSSING THE COASTLINE AND INUNDATING A FEW HOMES IN LOW LYING
SECTIONS OF MAINLAND GULF COUNTY. THIS FLOODING WAS REPORTED IN
THE HIGHLAND VIEW AND SIMMONS BAYOU COMMUNITIES. HIGH TIDE AT
PORT SAINT JOE TONIGHT IS AT 752 PM CST. THE COASTAL FLOODING IS
EXPECTED TO CONTINUE TO INCREASE UP TO THIS TIME AS STRONG
WESTERLY WINDS OF 30 TO 35 MPH PUSH WATER INTO THE COASTLINE. THE
COASTAL FLOODING WILL GRADUALLY SUBSIDE TOWARD MORNING AS THE
ONSHORE WINDS DIMINISH AND SHIFT TO A MORE NORTHERLY DIRECTION.
RESIDENTS LIVING IN LOW LYING AREAS SHOULD TAKE IMMEDIATE
MEASURES TO PROTECT THEMSELVES AND PROPERTY. IF WATER IS
APPROACHING YOUR HOME...SEEK HIGHER GROUND IMMEDIATELY.

A HIGH SURF WARNING INDICATES THAT DANGEROUS...BATTERING WAVE
WILL POUND THE SHORELINE. THIS WILL RESULT IN VERY DANGEROUS
SWIMMING CONDITIONS...AND DEADLY RIP CURRENTS.

A COASTAL FLOOD WARNING MEANS THAT FLOODING IS OCCURRING OR
IMMINENT. COASTAL RESIDENTS IN THE WARNED AREA SHOULD BE ALERT
FOR RISING WATER...AND TAKE APPROPRIATE ACTION TO PROTECT LIFE AND
PROPERTY.

$$

FLZ008-012-015-121215-
/O.CON.KTAE.SU.W.0002.000000T0000Z-081212T1500Z/
COASTAL WALTON-BAY-FRANKLIN-
601 PM EST THU DEC 11 2008 /501 PM CST THU DEC 11 2008/

...A HIGH SURF WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 10 AM EST /9 AM
CST/ FRIDAY...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN TALLAHASSEE HAS ISSUED A HIGH
SURF WARNING...WHICH IS IN EFFECT UNTIL 9 AM CST FRIDAY. THIS IS
AN UPGRADE FROM THE HIGH SURF ADVISORY.

BREAKING WAVES OF 8 TO 10 FEET WILL IMPACT THE BEACHES OF BAY AND
WALTON COUNTIES...WITH HIGH SURF OF 10 TO 12 FEET POUNDING CAPE
SAN BLAS AND THE SAINT JOES PENINSULA. THESE LARGE WAVES WILL
WASH ACROSS COUNTY ROAD 30E AND CAUSE ADDITIONAL BEACH EROSION
OVERNIGHT...WITH 2 TO 3 FEET OF FLOOD WATERS POSSIBLE IN PARTS OF
PORT ST. JOE.

BREAKING WAVES OF 6 TO 8 FEET WILL IMPACT THE BEACHES OF FRANKLIN
COUNTY TONIGHT INTO FRIDAY MORNING...WHICH WILL CAUSE MINOR BEACH
EROSION FOR ST. GEORGE AND DOG ISLANDS.

A HIGH SURF WARNING INDICATES THAT DANGEROUS...BATTERING WAVE
WILL POUND THE SHORELINE. THIS WILL RESULT IN VERY DANGEROUS
SWIMMING CONDITIONS...AND DEADLY RIP CURRENTS.

$$

FLZ028-034-120900-
/O.CON.KTAE.CF.S.0002.000000T0000Z-081212T0900Z/
TAYLOR-DIXIE-
601 PM EST THU DEC 11 2008

A PROLONGED PERIOD OF STRONG WEST TO SOUTHWEST WINDS WILL PRODUCE
TIDAL DEPARTURES OF UP TO 2 TO 3 FEET ABOVE ASTRONOMICAL TIDES
FOR THE HIGH TIDE CYCLE LATER THIS EVENING. THIS MAY CAUSE SOME
MINOR COASTAL FLOODING AROUND THE TIME OF HIGH TIDE...WITH THE
THREAT DIMINISHING QUICKLY AFTER HIGH TIDE LATER TONIGHT.

$$

GODSEY/GOULD

000 
WHUS42 KTAE 120247
CFWTAE

COASTAL HAZARD MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TALLAHASSEE FL
947 PM EST THU DEC 11 2008

...A COASTAL FLOOD WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR GULF COUNTY
UNTIL 9 AM CST FRIDAY...

...A HIGH SURF WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR THE BEACHES OF
WALTON...BAY...GULF...AND FRANKLIN COUNTIES UNTIL 10 AM EST/ 9 AM
CST FRIDAY...

...A COASTAL FLOOD ADVISORY IS NOW IN EFFECT UNTIL 7 AM EST
FRIDAY FOR TAYLOR AND DIXIE COUNTIES...

.STRONG WEST TO SOUTHWEST WINDS OVER THE GULF OF MEXICO WILL
CONTINUE TO GENERATE POUNDING SURF ACROSS THE FLORIDA PANHANDLE
AND WESTERN BIG BEND BEACHES TONIGHT INTO FRIDAY MORNING.
BREAKING WAVES OF 8 TO 10 FEET WILL IMPACT THE BEACHES OF BAY AND
WALTON COUNTIES...BREAKERS OF 10 TO 12 FEET WILL AFFECT CAPE SAN
BLAS AND THE SAINT JOES PENINSULA...WHILE 6 TO 8 FOOT SURF WILL
IMPACT THE BEACHES OF FRANKLIN COUNTY. THESE STRONG ONSHORE WINDS
WILL ALSO RESULT IN A PERIOD OF COASTAL FLOODING IN GULF...TAYLOR
...AND DIXIE COUNTIES AROUND THE TIMES OF HIGH TIDE TONIGHT.

FLZ028-034-121200-
/O.CAN.KTAE.CF.S.0002.000000T0000Z-081212T0900Z/
/O.NEW.KTAE.CF.Y.0006.081212T0247Z-081212T1200Z/
TAYLOR-DIXIE-
947 PM EST THU DEC 11 2008

...A COASTAL FLOOD ADVISORY IS NOW IN EFFECT UNTIL 7 AM EST
FRIDAY...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN TALLAHASSEE HAS ISSUED A COASTAL
FLOOD ADVISORY...WHICH IS IN EFFECT UNTIL 7 AM EST FRIDAY. 

A PROLONGED PERIOD OF STRONG WEST TO SOUTHWEST WINDS WILL PRODUCE
TIDAL DEPARTURES OF UP TO 2 TO 3.5 FEET ABOVE ASTRONOMICAL TIDES
FOR THE HIGH TIDE CYCLE LATER THIS EVENING. THIS MAY CAUSE SOME
MINOR COASTAL FLOODING AROUND THE TIME OF HIGH TIDE...WITH THE
THREAT DIMINISHING QUICKLY AFTER HIGH TIDE DURING THE EARLY
MORNING HOURS.

A COASTAL FLOOD ADVISORY INDICATES THAT ONSHORE WINDS AND TIDES
WILL COMBINE TO GENERATE MINOR FLOODING OF LOW AREAS ALONG THE
SHORE.

$$

FLZ014-121200-
/O.CON.KTAE.CF.W.0003.000000T0000Z-081212T1500Z/
/O.CON.KTAE.SU.W.0002.000000T0000Z-081212T1500Z/
GULF-
847 PM CST THU DEC 11 2008

...A COASTAL FLOOD WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 9 AM CST
FRIDAY...
...A HIGH SURF WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 9 AM CST FRIDAY...

A COASTAL FLOOD WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 9 AM CST FRIDAY.
A HIGH SURF WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 9 AM CST FRIDAY. 

BREAKING WAVES OF 8 TO 10 FEET WILL IMPACT THE BEACHES OF BAY AND
WALTON COUNTIES...WITH HIGH SURF OF 10 TO 12 FEET POUNDING CAPE
SAN BLAS AND THE SAINT JOES PENINSULA. THESE LARGE WAVES WILL
WASH ACROSS COUNTY ROAD 30E AND CAUSE ADDITIONAL BEACH EROSION
OVERNIGHT...WITH 2 TO 3 FEET OF FLOOD WATERS POSSIBLE IN PARTS OF
PORT ST. JOE.

AS OF 430 PM CST...REPORTS WERE RECEIVED THAT INDICATED WATER WAS
CROSSING THE COASTLINE AND INUNDATING A FEW HOMES IN LOW LYING
SECTIONS OF MAINLAND GULF COUNTY. THIS FLOODING WAS REPORTED IN
THE HIGHLAND VIEW AND SIMMONS BAYOU COMMUNITIES AND PEAKED AT THE 
752 PM CST HIGH TIDE IN THE PORT SAINT JOE AREA. FOR THE REMAINDER
OF TONIGHT...THE COASTAL FLOODING IS EXPECTED TO GRADUALLY SUBSIDE
AS WINDS SLOWLY DIMINISH AND SHIFT TO A MORE NORTHERLY DIRECTION.
RESIDENTS LIVING IN LOW LYING AREAS SHOULD TAKE IMMEDIATE MEASURES
TO PROTECT THEMSELVES AND PROPERTY. IF WATER IS APPROACHING YOUR
HOME...SEEK HIGHER GROUND IMMEDIATELY.

A HIGH SURF WARNING INDICATES THAT DANGEROUS...BATTERING WAVE
WILL POUND THE SHORELINE. THIS WILL RESULT IN VERY DANGEROUS
SWIMMING CONDITIONS...AND DEADLY RIP CURRENTS.

A COASTAL FLOOD WARNING MEANS THAT FLOODING IS OCCURRING OR
IMMINENT. COASTAL RESIDENTS IN THE WARNED AREA SHOULD BE ALERT
FOR RISING WATER...AND TAKE APPROPRIATE ACTION TO PROTECT LIFE
AND PROPERTY.

$$

FLZ008-012-015-121200-
/O.CON.KTAE.SU.W.0002.000000T0000Z-081212T1500Z/
COASTAL WALTON-BAY-FRANKLIN-
947 PM EST THU DEC 11 2008 /847 PM CST THU DEC 11 2008/

...A HIGH SURF WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 10 AM EST /9 AM
CST/ FRIDAY...

A HIGH SURF WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 10 AM EST /9 AM CST/
FRIDAY. 

BREAKING WAVES OF 8 TO 10 FEET WILL IMPACT THE BEACHES OF BAY AND
WALTON COUNTIES...AND MAY CAUSE SOME ADDITIONAL BEACH EROSION
OVERNIGHT. 

BREAKING WAVES OF 6 TO 8 FEET WILL IMPACT THE BEACHES OF FRANKLIN
COUNTY TONIGHT INTO FRIDAY MORNING...WHICH MAY CAUSE SOME MINOR
BEACH EROSION FOR ST. GEORGE AND DOG ISLANDS.

A HIGH SURF WARNING INDICATES THAT DANGEROUS...BATTERING WAVE
WILL POUND THE SHORELINE. THIS WILL RESULT IN VERY DANGEROUS
SWIMMING CONDITIONS...AND DEADLY RIP CURRENTS.

$$

GOULD/GODSEY

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TALLAHASSEE FL
313 AM EST WED DEC 10 2008

...HEAVY RAIN AND ISOLATED SEVERE WEATHER POSSIBLE TODAY...

.SHORT TERM (TODAY THROUGH FRIDAY)...COMPLEX AND ENERGETIC STORM
SYSTEM WILL AFFECT THE REGION DURING THE NEXT 24 TO 36 HOURS.
OVERALL PATTERN CONSISTS OF UPPER RIDGES ALONG THE WEST COAST AND
IN THE WESTERN ATLANTIC. THE TROUGH AXIS BETWEEN THE RIDGES RUNS
FROM HUDSON BAY SOUTH TO THE TEXAS BIG BEND. THE SOUTHERN END OF
THE TROUGH WILL CONTINUE TO SHARPEN TODAY BEFORE CUTTING OFF AN
UPPER LOW OVER THE NORTHERN GULF COAST THIS AFTERNOON AND EVENING.

AN INITIAL SHORTWAVE IS CURRENTLY LIFTING NORTHEAST ACROSS MS/AL/GA
GENERATING AN INTENSE SQUALL LINE ALONG THE COLD FRONT. AS THIS
NORTHERN PIECE OF ENERGY SHIFTS NORTHEAST AND OUT OF THE
AREA...THE MAIN FOCUS WILL SHIFT BACK SOUTH TOWARDS THE GULF COAST
BY LATER THIS MORNING AND OVERNIGHT TONIGHT.

CYCLOGENESIS IS ANTICIPATED JUST DOWNSTREAM OF THE CUTOFF LOW BY
THIS AFTERNOON WITH THE SURFACE REFLECTION EXPECTED TO TRACK FROM
JUST SOUTH OF MOBILE LATE THIS AFTERNOON INTO NORTH GEORGIA BY
THURSDAY AFTERNOON. THIS LOW TRACK WILL HALT THE SOUTHEASTWARD
PROGRESS OF THE CURRENT COLD FRONT KEEPING MOST OF THE TALLAHASSEE
CWA IN THE MARGINALLY UNSTABLE WARM SECTOR. AS THE LOW LIFTS
NORTHEAST TONIGHT...IT WILL DRAG A SHARP COLD FRONT ACROSS THE
CWA FROM WEST TO EAST.

HEAVY RAIN IS ANTICIPATED THROUGH THE DAY TODAY AND INTO
TONIGHT...ESPECIALLY ACROSS WESTERN PORTIONS OF THE CWA WHERE THE
COLD FRONT IS EXPECTED TO STALL AS IT AWAITS THE MAIN PIECE OF
UPPER ENERGY. THE HEAVY RAIN WILL THEN SPREAD EAST OVERNIGHT AS
THE FRONT MOVES THROUGH. HOWEVER AMOUNTS WILL BE LIGHTER OVER THE
EASTERN HALF AS THE FRONT IS EXPECTED TO ACCELERATE ACROSS THE
AREA.

THE SEVERE THREAT IS A BIT MORE DIFFICULT TO DECIPHER FOR TODAY
AND TONIGHT. MUCH OF THE DAYTIME HOURS MAY END UP BETWEEN THE
EXITING INITIAL SHORTWAVE AND THE APPROACHING MAIN SHORTWAVE. SO
WHILE WHAT INSTABILITY THERE IS WILL BE MAXIMIZED DURING THE
DAYTIME HOURS...THE KINEMATICS ARE NOT EXPECTED TO BE AS FAVORABLE
FOR SEVERE STORMS. SPC CURRENTLY HAS A SLIGHT RISK FOR THE FAR
WESTERN PORTIONS OF THE CWA AS THE TAIL END OF THE CURRENT SQUALL
LINE MAY AFFECT THESE AREAS THIS MORNING. THEREAFTER...MAY SEE A
LULL IN SEVERE ACTIVITY BEFORE THE GULF CYCLOGENESIS KICKS IN.

BY LATE THIS AFTERNOON...SFC LOW IS EXPECTED TO DEEPEN JUST SOUTH
OF MOBILE AND LIFT NORTHEAST OVERNIGHT. AS THE LOW DEEPENS...THE
KINEMATIC FORCING WILL INCREASE ACROSS PRIMARILY THE EASTERN HALF
OF THE CWA. LOW LEVEL JET IS EXPECTED TO REACH 60-70KT OVERNIGHT
EAST OF TALLAHASSEE. THE LIMITING FACTOR OVERNIGHT WILL BE LACK OF
INSTABILITY. HOWEVER...STRENGTH OF THE DYNAMIC FORCING IS LIKELY
TO OVERCOME THIS TO SOME EXTENT AND DO ANTICIPATE A FEW SEVERE
STORMS TONIGHT...MAINLY EAST OF THE APALACHICOLA RIVER. MAIN
THREAT AT THIS TIME APPEARS TO BE STRAIGHT LINE WINDS WITH THE
POSSIBILITY OF AN ISOLATED TORNADO.

THE COLD FRONT WILL PUSH WELL EAST OF THE AREA BY THURSDAY
AFTERNOON. HOWEVER...AS THE UPPER LOW MOVES ACROSS THE NORTHERN
PORTION OF THE CWA...MAY SEE SOME WRAPAROUND SHOWERS THROUGH THE
AFTERNOON. STRONG COLD AIR ADVECTION IS ALSO EXPECTED THURSDAY
WITH HIGH TEMPERATURES LIKELY OCCURRING DURING THE MORNING
HOURS...WITH TEMPERATURES STEADY OR FALLING DURING THE AFTERNOON.
FRIDAY WILL BE A SUNNY BUT COOL DAY WITH TEMPERATURES STRUGGLING
TO GET OUT OF THE 50S.

.LONG TERM (FRIDAY NIGHT THROUGH WEDNESDAY)...THE UPPER FLOW WILL
BE NEARLY ZONAL FRIDAY NIGHT AND SATURDAY FOLLOWING BY RIDGING
SUNDAY THROUGH WEDNESDAY AS HIGH PRESSURE BUILDS ACROSS CENTRAL
AMERICA AND THE GULF OF MEXICO. SURFACE HIGH PRESSURE CENTERED
OVER THE SOUTHEAST EARLY SATURDAY WILL LIFT TO THE NORTHEAST BUT
CONTINUE TO RIDGE SOUTHWESTWARD ACROSS OUR REGION INTO THE MIDDLE
OF NEXT WEEK. THIS DEEP LAYER RIDGING WILL PREVENT ANY COLD FRONTS
FROM ADVANCING INTO THE LOCAL TRI-STATE REGION. EXPECT BELOW
NORMAL TEMPS SATURDAY WITH A LIGHT FREEZE ACROSS INLAND AREAS WITH
NORMAL OR ABOVE NORMAL TEMPS SUNDAY THROUGH WEDNESDAY.

&&

.AVIATION...MVFR TO OCCASIONAL IFR CIGS WILL SPREAD ACROSS THE
REGION THROUGH DAYBREAK. MVFR CIGS WILL PREVAIL AFTER SUNRISE WITH
RAIN AND TSTMS ADVANCING ACROSS THE TRI-STATE REGION THROUGHOUT THE
DAY. IFR CONDITIONS ARE LIKELY WITH TSTMS ALONG WITH WITH HEAVY RAIN
AND GUSTY WINDS. OUTSIDE OF TSTM ACTIVITY...WINDS WILL BE SOUTHERLY
AROUND 10-15 KTS WITH OCCASIONAL GUSTS AROUND 20 KTS.

&&

.MARINE...ROUGH PERIOD ONLY BEGINNING FOR THE COASTAL WATERS.
STRONG ONSHORE FLOW WILL CONTINUE TODAY INTO TONIGHT AHEAD OF THE
COLD FRONT. THE FRONT WILL MOVE THROUGH THE WATERS TONIGHT WITH
VERY STRONG WESTERLY FLOW DEVELOPING IN ITS WAKE AND CONTINUING
THROUGH THURSDAY. WILL NEED TO MONITOR FOR POSSIBILITY OF FREQUENT
GUSTS TO GALE FORCE LATE TONIGHT AND THURSDAY. WINDS WILL BEGIN TO
SLOWLY RELAX THURSDAY NIGHT AND FRIDAY. OVER THE WEEKEND...HIGH
PRESSURE WILL SHIFT EAST TO THE MID ATLANTIC AND STRENGHTEN. THIS
WILL TIGHTEN THE EAST/NORTHEAST GRADIENT ACROSS THE
WATERS...KEEPING WINDS ELEVATED THROUGH THE PERIOD.

CURRENT SEAS OF PANAMA CITY BUOY RUNNING 8 FEET. WITH STRONG
ONSHORE FLOW EXPECTED TO CONTINUE THROUGH TONIGHT...SHOULD SEE
VERY HIGH SURF ALONG THE PANHANDLE COAST. WILL ISSUE A HIGH SURF
ADVISORY FOR THE PANHANDLE VALID THROUGH THE DAY THURSDAY.

&&

.FIRE WEATHER...PLENTY OF LOW LEVEL MOISTURE PREVENT RED FLAG
CONDITIONS THROUGH THURSDAY. ENOUGH DRY AIR MAY BE IN PLACE BY
FRIDAY FOR POSSIBLE RED FLAG CONDITIONS.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
TALLAHASSEE  72  58  62  38  59 /  80  80  70  10  10
PANAMA CITY  72  58  60  42  59 /  90  90  50  10  10
DOTHAN       69  55  57  34  58 /  90  90  70  10  10
ALBANY       72  58  61  37  60 /  90  90  80  20  10
VALDOSTA     75  59  64  40  61 /  60  70  80  20  10
CROSS CITY   78  62  66  41  62 /  40  60  70  20  10

&&

.TAE WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
AL...NONE.
GA...NONE.
FL...HIGH SURF ADVISORY UNTIL 6 PM CST THURSDAY FOR THE FOLLOWING
     ZONES: BAY...COASTAL WALTON...GULF.

GM...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY UNTIL 7 AM EST FRIDAY FOR THE FOLLOWING
     ZONES: APALACHEE BAY OR COASTAL WATERS FROM KEATON BEACH TO
     OCHLOCKONEE RIVER FL OUT TO 20 NM...COASTAL WATERS FROM
     OCHLOCKONEE RIVER TO APALACHICOLA FL OUT TO 20 NM...COASTAL
     WATERS FROM SUWANNEE RIVER TO KEATON BEACH OUT 20 NM...
     COASTAL WATERS FROM APALACHICOLA TO DESTIN FL OUT 20 NM...
     WATERS FROM SUWANNEE RIVER TO APALACHICOLA FL FROM 20 TO 60
     NM...WATERS FROM APALACHICOLA TO DESTIN FL FROM 20 TO 60
     NM.

&&

CAMP/BARRY

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TALLAHASSEE FL
457 AM EST WED DEC 10 2008

ALZ065>069-FLZ007>019-026>029-034-GAZ120>131-142>148-155>161-
GMZ730-750-755-765-770-775-111100-
COFFEE-DALE-HENRY-GENEVA-HOUSTON-INLAND WALTON-COASTAL WALTON-
HOLMES-WASHINGTON-JACKSON-BAY-CALHOUN-GULF-FRANKLIN-GADSDEN-LEON-
JEFFERSON-MADISON-LIBERTY-WAKULLA-TAYLOR-LAFAYETTE-DIXIE-QUITMAN-
CLAY-RANDOLPH-TERRELL-DOUGHERTY-LEE-WORTH-TURNER-TIFT-BEN HILL-
IRWIN-EARLY-MILLER-BAKER-MITCHELL-COLQUITT-COOK-BERRIEN-SEMINOLE-
DECATUR-GRADY-THOMAS-BROOKS-LOWNDES-LANIER-
APALACHEE BAY OR COASTAL WATERS FROM KEATON BEACH TO OCHLOCKONEE
RIVER FL OUT TO 20 NM-
COASTAL WATERS FROM APALACHICOLA TO DESTIN FL OUT 20 NM-
COASTAL WATERS FROM  OCHLOCKONEE RIVER TO APALACHICOLA FL OUT TO
20 NM-
COASTAL WATERS FROM  SUWANNEE RIVER TO KEATON BEACH OUT 20 NM-
WATERS FROM APALACHICOLA TO DESTIN FL FROM 20 TO 60 NM-
WATERS FROM  SUWANNEE RIVER TO APALACHICOLA FL FROM 20 TO 60 NM-
457 AM EST WED DEC 10 2008 /357 AM CST WED DEC 10 2008/

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR SOUTHEAST ALABAMA...
SOUTHWEST AND SOUTH CENTRAL GEORGIA...AND THE FLORIDA BIG BEND
AND PANHANDLE...AND ADJACENT COASTAL WATERS.

.DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT...

...STRONG TO POSSIBLY SEVERE STORMS EXPECTED TODAY AND TONIGHT...
...HIGH SURF ADVISORY FOR THE EASTERN PANHANDLE THROUGH
THURSDAY...

A STRONG STORM SYSTEM DEVELOPING ALONG THE NORTHERN GULF COAST
WILL IMPACT THE REGION THROUGH THURSDAY. AS A COLD FRONT
APPROACHES FROM THE NORTHWEST...LOW PRESSURE WILL DEVELOP JUST
SOUTH OF MOBILE AND LIFT NORTHEAST THROUGH TONIGHT. WIDESPREAD
SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS WILL DEVELOP WITH THIS SYSTEM BEGINNING
ACROSS THE FLORIDA PANHANDLE AND SOUTHEAST ALABAMA THIS MORNING
AND SPREADING EAST THROUGH TODAY AND INTO TONIGHT.

STRONG STORMS WITH ISOLATED SEVERE STORMS ARE EXPECTED AS THE
SYSTEM MOVES THROUGH. DAMAGING STRAIGHT LINE WINDS APPEAR TO BE
THE MAIN THREAT AT THIS TIME. HOWEVER...ISOLATED TORNADOES WILL BE
POSSIBLE AS WELL. THE SEVERE THREAT WILL END FROM WEST TO EAST AS
THE COLD FRONT MOVES THROUGH LATE TONIGHT AND THURSDAY MORNING.

HEAVY RAINFALL IS EXPECTED FROM THIS SYSTEM...ESPECIALLY ACROSS
THE FLORIDA PANHANDLE AND SOUTHEAST ALABAMA. RAINFALL TOTALS OF 2
TO 4 INCHES ARE POSSIBLE ACROSS THIS AREA.

STRONG ONSHORE FLOW TODAY AND TONIGHT WILL GENERATE LARGE SURF
ALONG THE BEACHES OF THE FLORIDA PANHANDLE. REFER TO THE LATEST
COASTAL FLOOD STATEMENT FOR THE LATEST ON THE HIGH SURF ADVISORY.

AN EXTENDED PERIOD OF SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY CONDITIONS WITH GUSTS
TO GALE FORCE IS EXPECTED OVER THE MARINE WATERS THROUGH TONIGHT.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...THURSDAY THROUGH TUESDAY...

THE STRONG COLD FRONT WILL EXIT THE REGION TO THE EAST THURSDAY
MORNING. STRONG WEST AND THEN NORTHWEST WINDS WILL FOLLOW THE
FRONT...USHERING IN A MUCH COLDER AIR MASS. TEMPERATURES WILL
LIKELY DROP TO NEAR FREEZING BY FRIDAY MORNING.

THE STRONG WINDS BEHIND THE FRONT WILL CONTINUE TO GENERATE LARGE
SURF ALONG AREA BEACHES AND SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY CONDITIONS OVER
THE MARINE WATERS.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION MAY BE NEEDED LATER TODAY.

FOR ADDITIONAL INFORMATION...VISIT THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE
WEBSITE ON THE INTERNET AT WEATHER.GOV...THEN CLICK ON YOUR AREA
OF INTEREST ON THE NATIONAL MAP.

CAMP

SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TALLAHASSEE FL
1058 AM EST WED DEC 10 2008

ALZ065>069-101700-
COFFEE-DALE-GENEVA-HENRY-HOUSTON-
958 AM CST WED DEC 10 2008

...SIGNIFICANT WEATHER ALERT IN EFFECT FOR COFFEE...DALE...GENEVA...
HENRY AND HOUSTON COUNTIES...

* UNTIL 1100 AM CST

AT 955 AM CST...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR INDICATED
STRONG THUNDERSTORMS ALONG A LINE EXTENDING FROM 5 MILES SOUTH OF
CLIO TO HOWELLS...OR ALONG A LINE EXTENDING FROM 13 MILES NORTH OF
OZARK TO 18 MILES WEST OF GENEVA...MOVING NORTHEAST AT 30 MPH.

DIME SIZE HAIL...AND WINDS 40 TO 50 MPH ARE EXPECTED WITH THESE
STORMS.

A FLOOD WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR SMALL STREAMS IN COFFEE COUNTY IN
SOUTHEAST ALABAMA. SMALL STREAMS AND CREEKS ARE BEGINNING TO RISE
TOWARD BANKFULL AND MANY ROADS AND LOW LYING AREAS ARE BEGINNING TO
EXPERIENCE LOCALIZED FLOODING.

RELAY REPORTS OF SIGNIFICANT WEATHER TO THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE
IN TALLAHASSEE AT (8 5 0) 9 4 2 8 8 3 3. OR...YOU MAY CONTACT THE
NEAREST LAW ENFORCEMENT AGENCY OR YOUR COUNTY EMERGENCY MANAGEMENT.
THEY WILL RELAY YOUR REPORT TO THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE.

12-WATSON

SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TALLAHASSEE FL
1203 PM EST WED DEC 10 2008

ALZ067-GAZ120>122-101745-
CLAY-HENRY-QUITMAN-RANDOLPH-
1203 PM EST WED DEC 10 2008

...A SIGNIFICANT WEATHER ALERT IS IN EFFECT FOR CLAY...HENRY...
QUITMAN AND RANDOLPH COUNTIES...

* UNTIL 1245 PM EST/1145 AM CST/

AT 1100 AM CST (NOON EST)...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR
INDICATED A STRONG THUNDERSTORM 9 MILES NORTHEAST OF ABBEVILLE...
MOVING EAST AT 35 MPH.

DIME SIZE HAIL...AND WINDS 40 TO 50 MPH ARE EXPECTED WITH THIS STORM.

ALSO...THIS STORM IS CAPABLE OF PRODUCING TORRENTIAL DOWNPOURS WHICH
MAY CAUSE LOCALIZED FLOODING OF STREETS AND LOW LYING AREAS.

RELAY REPORTS OF SIGNIFICANT WEATHER TO THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE
IN TALLAHASSEE AT (8 5 0) 9 4 2 8 8 3 3. OR...YOU MAY CONTACT THE
NEAREST LAW ENFORCEMENT AGENCY OR YOUR COUNTY EMERGENCY MANAGEMENT.
THEY WILL RELAY YOUR REPORT TO THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE.

12-WATSON

SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TALLAHASSEE FL
1210 PM EST WED DEC 10 2008

ALZ065-066-068-069-101800-
COFFEE-DALE-GENEVA-HOUSTON-
1110 AM CST WED DEC 10 2008

...SIGNIFICANT WEATHER ALERT IN EFFECT FOR COFFEE...DALE...GENEVA AND
HOUSTON COUNTIES...

* UNTIL NOON CST

AT 1104 AM CST...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR INDICATED
STRONG THUNDERSTORMS ALONG A LINE EXTENDING FROM 5 MILES SOUTHWEST OF
PINCKARD TO GENEVA...OR ALONG A LINE EXTENDING FROM 7 MILES SOUTHEAST
OF DALEVILLE TO GENEVA...MOVING EAST AT 35 MPH.

DIME SIZE HAIL...AND WINDS 40 TO 50 MPH ARE EXPECTED WITH THESE
STORMS.

ALSO...THIS STORM IS CAPABLE OF PRODUCING TORRENTIAL DOWNPOURS WHICH
MAY CAUSE LOCALIZED FLOODING OF STREETS AND LOW LYING AREAS.

RELAY REPORTS OF SIGNIFICANT WEATHER TO THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE
IN TALLAHASSEE AT (8 5 0) 9 4 2 8 8 3 3. OR...YOU MAY CONTACT THE
NEAREST LAW ENFORCEMENT AGENCY OR YOUR COUNTY EMERGENCY MANAGEMENT.
THEY WILL RELAY YOUR REPORT TO THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE.

12-WATSON