Alert archive / Arkansas / Tornado Watches in 2008

Tornado Watch 903

September 13, 200850 counties in Arkansas

The Storm Prediction Center issued this tornado watch at Sep 13, 2008, 2:09 PM CDT for 50 counties in Arkansas. It was in force for 10 hr.

The area

The outline as issued.

The facts

Issued
Sep 13, 2008, 2:09 PM CDT (19:09 UTC)
Expired
Sep 14, 2008, 12:00 AM CDT
In force
10 hr
Issued by
the Storm Prediction Center
Largest hail expected
0.5 in
Strongest gust expected
60 kt
All 50 counties

Arkansas County, AR, Baxter County, AR, Boone County, AR, Bradley County, AR, Calhoun County, AR, Clark County, AR, Cleburne County, AR, Cleveland County, AR, Conway County, AR, Dallas County, AR, Desha County, AR, Drew County, AR, Faulkner County, AR, Fulton County, AR, Garland County, AR, Grant County, AR, Hempstead County, AR, Hot Spring County, AR, Howard County, AR, Independence County, AR, Izard County, AR, Jackson County, AR, Jefferson County, AR, Johnson County, AR, Lincoln County, AR, Little River County, AR, Logan County, AR, Lonoke County, AR, Marion County, AR, Monroe County, AR, Montgomery County, AR, Nevada County, AR, Newton County, AR, Ouachita County, AR, Perry County, AR, Pike County, AR, Polk County, AR, Pope County, AR, Prairie County, AR, Pulaski County, AR, Saline County, AR, Scott County, AR, Searcy County, AR, Sevier County, AR, Sharp County, AR, Stone County, AR, Van Buren County, AR, White County, AR, Woodruff County, AR, Yell County, AR

The radar

The Little Rock radar (KLZK), 125 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 19:09 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.

Open the radar archive at this moment

The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.

What SPC expected

The probabilities SPC published with the watch, for the watch area over its life.

Two or more tornadoes
40%
One or more EF2 to EF5 tornadoes
20%
Ten or more severe wind reports
10%
One or more gusts of 65 knots or more
10%
Ten or more severe hail reports
5%
One or more hailstones of 2 inches or more
5%
Six or more combined severe hail and wind reports
30%

Warnings issued inside it

21 tornado, severe thunderstorm and flash flood warnings for its counties while it was in force.

IssuedProductOfficeCountiesLasted
Sep 13, 2:52 PM CDTTornado WarningLZKBradley53 min
Sep 13, 2:59 PM CDTTornado WarningLZKGarland, Hot Spring, Saline31 min
Sep 13, 3:14 PM CDTTornado WarningLZKCleveland, Dallas, Grant, Hot Spring31 min
Sep 13, 3:17 PM CDTTornado WarningLZKGarland, Hot Spring, Perry, Saline43 min
Sep 13, 3:28 PM CDTTornado WarningLZKFaulkner, Garland, Perry, Pulaski, Saline47 min
Sep 13, 3:38 PM CDTTornado WarningLZKBradley, Cleveland52 min
Sep 13, 4:00 PM CDTTornado WarningLZKConway, Perry, Pope, Saline, Yell45 min
Sep 13, 4:16 PM CDTTornado WarningLZKConway, Faulkner, Perry, Pope, Pulaski44 min
Sep 13, 4:19 PM CDTTornado WarningLZKGrant, Jefferson41 min
Sep 13, 4:19 PM CDTTornado WarningLZKBradley, Cleveland, Drew32 min
Sep 13, 4:38 PM CDTTornado WarningLZKCleveland, Jefferson, Lincoln37 min
Sep 13, 4:44 PM CDTTornado WarningLZKConway, Faulkner, Perry46 min
Sep 13, 5:00 PM CDTTornado WarningLZKJefferson, Lonoke, Pulaski45 min
Sep 13, 5:15 PM CDTTornado WarningLZKJefferson, Lonoke45 min
Sep 13, 5:29 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningLZKConway, Faulkner, Searcy, Van Buren46 min
Sep 13, 5:40 PM CDTTornado WarningLZKLonoke, Pulaski35 min
Sep 13, 6:11 PM CDTTornado WarningLZKWhite23 min
Sep 13, 6:20 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningLZKLonoke, White40 min
Sep 13, 6:26 PM CDTTornado WarningLZKBaxter, Marion, Searcy, Stone35 min
Sep 13, 9:17 PM CDTFlash Flood WarningLZKClark, Logan, Montgomery, Pike, Polk, Scott and 1 more6 hr
Sep 13, 11:54 PM CDTFlash Flood WarningLZKConway, Faulkner, Johnson, Logan, Perry, Pope and 3 more5 hr

Discussions around it

SPC mesoscale discussions over the same counties from four hours before the watch to its end.

The nearest sounding before it

Shreveport, LA (KSHV), launched 12:00Z, 7.2 hours before the alert went out and 210 km from the middle of its area. This is the routine balloon launch nearest before it, the air the forecaster had in hand, not a measurement taken for the alert.

Skew-T log-pSkew-T log-p diagram, Shreveport, LA at 12:00Z on 2008-09-13Temperature and dew point through the depth of the atmosphere, with the mixed-layer parcel. CAPE 246 joules per kilogram.LCLLFCEL10008507005003002001001 km2 km3 km6 km9 km12 km15 km-30°-20°-10°0°10°20°30°40°
Temperature in red, dew point in green, the mixed-layer parcel dashed.
HodographHodograph, Shreveport, LA at 12:00Z on 2008-09-13The wind through the lowest 10 kilometers. Zero to 1 km storm-relative helicity 294 square meters per square second.19395878Sfc1 km3 km6 km9 kmRMLM
The wind turning with height, colored by layer: ground to 1 km, 1 to 3 km, 3 to 6 km, 6 to 10 km.
Mixed-layer CAPE
246 J/kg
Mixed-layer CIN
-48 J/kg
Mixed-layer LCL
722 m above ground
0-6 km bulk shear
29 kt
0-1 km storm-relative helicity
294 m²/s²
0-3 km storm-relative helicity
402 m²/s²
Significant tornado parameter
0.2
Supercell composite
2.0

Open this sounding in Storm Lab

The text

As transmitted, in the capitals the NWS used until 2016.

747 
WWUS20 KWNS 131909
SEL3  
SPC WW 131909
ARZ000-OKZ000-140500-

URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
TORNADO WATCH NUMBER 903
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
210 PM CDT SAT SEP 13 2008

THE NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER HAS ISSUED A
TORNADO WATCH FOR PORTIONS OF 

       SOUTHERN AND CENTRAL ARKANSAS
       FAR SOUTHEAST OKLAHOMA

EFFECTIVE THIS SATURDAY AFTERNOON FROM 210 PM UNTIL MIDNIGHT CDT.

TORNADOES...HAIL TO 0.5 INCH IN DIAMETER...THUNDERSTORM WIND
GUSTS TO 70 MPH...AND DANGEROUS LIGHTNING ARE POSSIBLE IN THESE
AREAS.

THE TORNADO WATCH AREA IS APPROXIMATELY ALONG AND 70 STATUTE
MILES EAST AND WEST OF A LINE FROM 15 MILES EAST OF TEXARKANA
ARKANSAS TO 45 MILES NORTHEAST OF RUSSELLVILLE ARKANSAS.  FOR A
COMPLETE DEPICTION OF THE WATCH SEE THE ASSOCIATED WATCH OUTLINE
UPDATE (WOUS64 KWNS WOU3).

REMEMBER...A TORNADO WATCH MEANS CONDITIONS ARE FAVORABLE FOR
TORNADOES AND SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS IN AND CLOSE TO THE WATCH
AREA. PERSONS IN THESE AREAS SHOULD BE ON THE LOOKOUT FOR
THREATENING WEATHER CONDITIONS AND LISTEN FOR LATER STATEMENTS
AND POSSIBLE WARNINGS.

OTHER WATCH INFORMATION...CONTINUE...WW 902...

DISCUSSION...T.S. IKE WILL CONTINUE NNEWD ACROSS ERN TX AND MOVE
INTO FAR SERN OK/WRN AR THROUGH THE EVENING...ALLOWING ENHANCED LOW
LEVEL FLOW AND BROKEN RAINBANDS TO LIFT NWD ACROSS PORTIONS OF AR. 
SHEAR IS ALREADY QUITE STRONG INTO CENTRAL AR...AND WITH FURTHER
STRENGTHENING...THREATS OF ISOLATED TORNADOES/DAMAGING WINDS WILL
INCREASE AS STORMS MOVE QUICKLY NWD.

AVIATION...TORNADOES AND A FEW SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS WITH HAIL
SURFACE AND ALOFT TO 0.5 INCH. EXTREME TURBULENCE AND SURFACE
WIND GUSTS TO 60 KNOTS. A FEW CUMULONIMBI WITH MAXIMUM TOPS TO
450. MEAN STORM MOTION VECTOR 18050.


...EVANS

SPC that day

Everything else SPC issued on the same UTC day.

IssuedProductOfficeCountiesLasted
Sep 13, 9:40 AM CDTTornado WatchSPCColumbia, Lafayette, Miller, Union9 hr
Sep 13, 1:34 PM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCArkansas, Ashley, Bradley, Calhoun, Chicot, Clark and 35 more116 min

Nearby

Tornado Watches in Arkansas, 2008Every tornado watch in 2008

Sources

The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; the sounding from the Mesonet's radiosonde archive; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive.