Alert archive / Louisiana / Tornado Watches in 2008

Tornado Watch 70

February 21, 200826 parishes in Louisiana; Wilkinson County, Mississippi; 20 counties in Texas

The Storm Prediction Center issued this tornado watch at Feb 21, 2008, 1:41 PM CST for 26 parishes in Louisiana; Wilkinson County, Mississippi; 20 counties in Texas. It was in force for 7 hr.

The area

The outline as issued.

The facts

Issued
Feb 21, 2008, 1:41 PM CST (19:41 UTC)
Expired
Feb 21, 2008, 9:00 PM CST
In force
7 hr
Issued by
the Storm Prediction Center
Largest hail expected
1.5 in
Strongest gust expected
60 kt
All 47 counties

Acadia Parish, LA, Allen Parish, LA, Ascension Parish, LA, Avoyelles Parish, LA, Beauregard Parish, LA, Calcasieu Parish, LA, Cameron Parish, LA, East Baton Rouge Parish, LA, East Feliciana Parish, LA, Evangeline Parish, LA, Grant Parish, LA, Iberville Parish, LA, Jefferson Davis Parish, LA, Lafayette Parish, LA, LaSalle Parish, LA, Livingston Parish, LA, Natchitoches Parish, LA, Pointe Coupee Parish, LA, Rapides Parish, LA, Sabine Parish, LA, Saint Helena Parish, LA, Saint Landry Parish, LA, Saint Martin Parish, LA, Vernon Parish, LA, West Baton Rouge Parish, LA, West Feliciana Parish, LA, Wilkinson County, MS, Angelina County, TX, Chambers County, TX, Galveston County, TX, Hardin County, TX, Harris County, TX, Houston County, TX, Jasper County, TX, Jefferson County, TX, Liberty County, TX, Montgomery County, TX, Nacogdoches County, TX, Newton County, TX, Orange County, TX, Polk County, TX, Sabine County, TX, San Augustine County, TX, San Jacinto County, TX, Trinity County, TX, Tyler County, TX, Walker County, TX

The radar

The Lake Charles radar (KLCH), 99 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 19:40 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.

Open the radar archive at this moment

The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.

What SPC expected

The probabilities SPC published with the watch, for the watch area over its life.

Two or more tornadoes
50%
One or more EF2 to EF5 tornadoes
30%
Ten or more severe wind reports
30%
One or more gusts of 65 knots or more
30%
Ten or more severe hail reports
60%
One or more hailstones of 2 inches or more
30%
Six or more combined severe hail and wind reports
80%

Warnings issued inside it

21 tornado, severe thunderstorm and flash flood warnings for its counties while it was in force.

IssuedProductOfficeCountiesLasted
Feb 21, 1:49 PM CSTTornado WarningLCHCalcasieu, Cameron26 min
Feb 21, 2:14 PM CSTTornado WarningLCHCalcasieu, Cameron46 min
Feb 21, 2:20 PM CSTSevere Thunderstorm WarningLCHCalcasieu, Cameron25 min
Feb 21, 2:51 PM CSTSevere Thunderstorm WarningLCHAllen, Beauregard27 min
Feb 21, 3:15 PM CSTTornado WarningLCHAllen, Calcasieu, Jefferson Davis45 min
Feb 21, 4:01 PM CSTSevere Thunderstorm WarningLCHAvoyelles, Rapides44 min
Feb 21, 4:30 PM CSTTornado WarningLCHAvoyelles, Evangeline, Saint Landry30 min
Feb 21, 4:40 PM CSTSevere Thunderstorm WarningLCHVernon50 min
Feb 21, 5:14 PM CSTTornado WarningLCHAvoyelles, Saint Landry31 min
Feb 21, 5:29 PM CSTSevere Thunderstorm WarningLCHBeauregard, Vernon31 min
Feb 21, 5:40 PM CSTSevere Thunderstorm WarningLCHJasper, Newton35 min
Feb 21, 5:43 PM CSTSevere Thunderstorm WarningLIXPointe Coupee, West Feliciana47 min
Feb 21, 5:51 PM CSTSevere Thunderstorm WarningSHVGrant39 min
Feb 21, 6:04 PM CSTSevere Thunderstorm WarningLCHVernon26 min
Feb 21, 6:14 PM CSTSevere Thunderstorm WarningSHVCaldwell, LaSalle, Winn61 min
Feb 21, 6:29 PM CSTSevere Thunderstorm WarningSHVSabine46 min
Feb 21, 6:54 PM CSTSevere Thunderstorm WarningLCHRapides, Vernon38 min
Feb 21, 6:55 PM CSTSevere Thunderstorm WarningSHVSabine46 min
Feb 21, 8:21 PM CSTSevere Thunderstorm WarningLCHVernon24 min
Feb 21, 8:27 PM CSTSevere Thunderstorm WarningSHVGrant, LaSalle33 min
Feb 21, 8:44 PM CSTSevere Thunderstorm WarningLIXWilkinson31 min

Discussions around it

SPC mesoscale discussions over the same counties from four hours before the watch to its end.

The nearest sounding before it

Lake Charles Mun, LA (KLCH), launched 12:00Z, 7.7 hours before the alert went out and 101 km from the middle of its area. This is the routine balloon launch nearest before it, the air the forecaster had in hand, not a measurement taken for the alert.

Skew-T log-pSkew-T log-p diagram, Lake Charles Mun, LA at 12:00Z on 2008-02-21Temperature and dew point through the depth of the atmosphere, with the mixed-layer parcel. CAPE 651 joules per kilogram.LCLLFCEL10008507005003002001001 km2 km3 km6 km9 km12 km15 km-30°-20°-10°0°10°20°30°40°
Temperature in red, dew point in green, the mixed-layer parcel dashed.
HodographHodograph, Lake Charles Mun, LA at 12:00Z on 2008-02-21The wind through the lowest 10 kilometers. Zero to 1 km storm-relative helicity 182 square meters per square second.1939587897Sfc1 km3 km6 km9 kmRMLM
The wind turning with height, colored by layer: ground to 1 km, 1 to 3 km, 3 to 6 km, 6 to 10 km.
Mixed-layer CAPE
651 J/kg
Mixed-layer CIN
-24 J/kg
Mixed-layer LCL
468 m above ground
0-6 km bulk shear
52 kt
0-1 km storm-relative helicity
182 m²/s²
0-3 km storm-relative helicity
220 m²/s²
Significant tornado parameter
0.0
Supercell composite
3.4

Open this sounding in Storm Lab

The text

As transmitted, in the capitals the NWS used until 2016.

000
WWUS20 KWNS 211939
SEL0  
SPC WW 211939
LAZ000-MSZ000-TXZ000-CWZ000-220300-

URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
TORNADO WATCH NUMBER 70
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
140 PM CST THU FEB 21 2008

THE NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER HAS ISSUED A
TORNADO WATCH FOR PORTIONS OF 

       CENTRAL AND SOUTHWEST LOUISIANA
       WILKINSON COUNTY MISSISSIPPI
       SOUTHEASTERN TEXAS
       COASTAL WATERS

EFFECTIVE THIS THURSDAY AFTERNOON AND EVENING FROM 140 PM UNTIL
900 PM CST.

TORNADOES...HAIL TO 1.5 INCHES IN DIAMETER...THUNDERSTORM WIND
GUSTS TO 70 MPH...AND DANGEROUS LIGHTNING ARE POSSIBLE IN THESE
AREAS.

THE TORNADO WATCH AREA IS APPROXIMATELY ALONG AND 65 STATUTE
MILES NORTH AND SOUTH OF A LINE FROM 30 MILES WEST OF HUNTSVILLE
TEXAS TO 20 MILES SOUTHEAST OF BATON ROUGE LOUISIANA.  FOR A
COMPLETE DEPICTION OF THE WATCH SEE THE ASSOCIATED WATCH OUTLINE
UPDATE (WOUS64 KWNS WOU0).

REMEMBER...A TORNADO WATCH MEANS CONDITIONS ARE FAVORABLE FOR
TORNADOES AND SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS IN AND CLOSE TO THE WATCH
AREA. PERSONS IN THESE AREAS SHOULD BE ON THE LOOKOUT FOR
THREATENING WEATHER CONDITIONS AND LISTEN FOR LATER STATEMENTS
AND POSSIBLE WARNINGS.

DISCUSSION...THUNDERSTORMS WILL CONTINUE TO INTENSIFY/INCREASE
ACROSS SERN TX INTO SWRN/S-CENTRAL LA THROUGH THE AFTERNOON AS
CAPPING WEAKENS WITHIN VERY MOIST BOUNDARY LAYER.  DEEP ASCENT WILL
ALSO INCREASE THROUGH THE DAY AHEAD OF STRONG MID/UPPER LEVEL TROUGH
NOW MOVING ACROSS THE SRN PLAINS.  IN RESPONSE...A SURFACE LOW WILL
DEEPEN AND LIFT NEWD INTO CENTRAL LA THROUGH THE MID EVENING. 
EFFECTIVE SHEAR REMAINS MORE THAN ADEQUATE FOR SUPERCELLS...WITH
SUFFICIENT LOW LEVEL SHEAR AND LOW LCL HEIGHTS FOR ADDITIONAL
TORNADO THREAT.  ISOLATED DAMAGING WINDS AND LARGE HAIL ARE
ADDITIONAL HAZARDS.

AVIATION...TORNADOES AND A FEW SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS WITH HAIL
SURFACE AND ALOFT TO 1.5 INCHES. EXTREME TURBULENCE AND SURFACE
WIND GUSTS TO 60 KNOTS. A FEW CUMULONIMBI WITH MAXIMUM TOPS TO
450. MEAN STORM MOTION VECTOR 25030.


...EVANS

SPC that day

Everything else SPC issued on the same UTC day.

IssuedProductOfficeCountiesLasted
Feb 21, 1:48 AM CSTMesoscale DiscussionSPCAssumption, Cameron, Iberia, Jefferson, Lafourche, Plaquemines and 3 more57 min
Feb 21, 2:51 AM CSTMesoscale DiscussionSPCBienville, Bossier, Caddo, Caldwell, Claiborne, De Soto and 14 more24 min
Feb 21, 3:23 AM CSTTornado WatchSPCAcadia, Ascension, Assumption, Calcasieu, Cameron, Iberia and 15 more6 hr
Feb 21, 6:47 AM CSTMesoscale DiscussionSPCAcadia, Ascension, Assumption, Calcasieu, Cameron, Iberia and 15 more58 min
Feb 21, 12:56 PM CSTMesoscale DiscussionSPCAcadia, Allen, Beauregard, Calcasieu, Cameron, Evangeline and 8 more64 min
Feb 21, 4:55 PM CSTMesoscale DiscussionSPCAcadia, Ascension, Assumption, Calcasieu, Cameron, Iberia and 15 more95 min

Nearby

Tornado Watches in Louisiana, 2008Tornado Watches in Texas, 2008Tornado Watches in Mississippi, 2008Every tornado watch in 2008

Sources

The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; the sounding from the Mesonet's radiosonde archive; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive.