Alert archive / Arkansas / Tornado Watches in 2008

Tornado Watch 296

May 10, 200842 counties in Arkansas; 8 counties in Mississippi

The Storm Prediction Center issued this tornado watch at May 10, 2008, 3:36 PM CDT for 42 counties in Arkansas; 8 counties in Mississippi. It was in force for 4 hr.

The area

The outline as issued.

The facts

Issued
May 10, 2008, 3:36 PM CDT (20:36 UTC)
Expired
May 10, 2008, 7:11 PM CDT
In force
4 hr
Issued by
the Storm Prediction Center
Particularly dangerous situation
Yes
Largest hail expected
2.5 in
Strongest gust expected
60 kt
All 50 counties

Arkansas County, AR, Ashley County, AR, Bradley County, AR, Calhoun County, AR, Chicot County, AR, Clark County, AR, Cleburne County, AR, Cleveland County, AR, Columbia County, AR, Dallas County, AR, Desha County, AR, Drew County, AR, Faulkner County, AR, Garland County, AR, Grant County, AR, Hempstead County, AR, Hot Spring County, AR, Howard County, AR, Jackson County, AR, Jefferson County, AR, Lafayette County, AR, Lincoln County, AR, Little River County, AR, Logan County, AR, Lonoke County, AR, Miller County, AR, Monroe County, AR, Montgomery County, AR, Nevada County, AR, Ouachita County, AR, Perry County, AR, Pike County, AR, Polk County, AR, Prairie County, AR, Pulaski County, AR, Saline County, AR, Scott County, AR, Sevier County, AR, Union County, AR, White County, AR, Woodruff County, AR, Yell County, AR, Bolivar County, MS, Carroll County, MS, Grenada County, MS, Holmes County, MS, Humphreys County, MS, Leflore County, MS, Sunflower County, MS, Washington County, MS

The radar

The Little Rock radar (KLZK), 62 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 20:39 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.

Open the radar archive at this moment

The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.

What SPC expected

The probabilities SPC published with the watch, for the watch area over its life.

Two or more tornadoes
70%
One or more EF2 to EF5 tornadoes
50%
Ten or more severe wind reports
60%
One or more gusts of 65 knots or more
60%
Ten or more severe hail reports
70%
One or more hailstones of 2 inches or more
70%
Six or more combined severe hail and wind reports
90%

Warnings issued inside it

12 tornado, severe thunderstorm and flash flood warnings for its counties while it was in force.

IssuedProductOfficeCountiesLasted
May 10, 4:12 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningLZKJohnson, Logan, Pope, Yell48 min
May 10, 4:51 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningLZKJackson39 min
May 10, 4:59 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningLZKJohnson, Logan, Pope, Yell46 min
May 10, 5:16 PM CDTTornado WarningLZKJackson29 min
May 10, 5:48 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningLZKGarland, Montgomery, Perry, Saline, Yell42 min
May 10, 6:04 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningLZKCleburne, Conway, Searcy, Stone, Van Buren41 min
May 10, 6:21 PM CDTTornado WarningLZKCleburne, Conway, Van Buren39 min
May 10, 6:27 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningLZKFaulkner, Lonoke, Perry, Pulaski, Saline, White63 min
May 10, 6:49 PM CDTTornado WarningLZKCleburne, Faulkner, Van Buren, White41 min
May 10, 6:51 PM CDTTornado WarningLZKLonoke, Pulaski, Saline39 min
May 10, 6:52 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningLZKMonroe, Woodruff23 min
May 10, 7:02 PM CDTTornado WarningLZKMonroe13 min

Discussions around it

SPC mesoscale discussions over the same counties from four hours before the watch to its end.

The nearest sounding before it

Shreveport, LA (KSHV), launched 12:00Z, 8.6 hours before the alert went out and 236 km from the middle of its area. This is the routine balloon launch nearest before it, the air the forecaster had in hand, not a measurement taken for the alert.

Skew-T log-pSkew-T log-p diagram, Shreveport, LA at 12:00Z on 2008-05-10Temperature and dew point through the depth of the atmosphere, with the mixed-layer parcel. CAPE 1370 joules per kilogram.LCLLFCEL10008507005003002001001 km2 km3 km6 km9 km12 km15 km-30°-20°-10°0°10°20°30°40°
Temperature in red, dew point in green, the mixed-layer parcel dashed.
HodographHodograph, Shreveport, LA at 12:00Z on 2008-05-10The wind through the lowest 10 kilometers. Zero to 1 km storm-relative helicity 75 square meters per square second.1939587897Sfc1 km3 km6 km9 kmRMLM
The wind turning with height, colored by layer: ground to 1 km, 1 to 3 km, 3 to 6 km, 6 to 10 km.
Mixed-layer CAPE
1370 J/kg
Mixed-layer CIN
-177 J/kg
Mixed-layer LCL
917 m above ground
0-6 km bulk shear
47 kt
0-1 km storm-relative helicity
75 m²/s²
0-3 km storm-relative helicity
211 m²/s²
Significant tornado parameter
0.0
Supercell composite
-0.4

Open this sounding in Storm Lab

The text

As transmitted, in the capitals the NWS used until 2016.

000
WWUS20 KWNS 102043
SEL6  
SPC WW 102043
ARZ000-MSZ000-110300-

URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
TORNADO WATCH NUMBER 296
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
335 PM CDT SAT MAY 10 2008

THE NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER HAS ISSUED A
TORNADO WATCH FOR PORTIONS OF 

       SOUTHERN ARKANSAS
       NORTHWEST MISSISSIPPI

EFFECTIVE THIS SATURDAY AFTERNOON AND EVENING FROM 335 PM UNTIL
1000 PM CDT.

...THIS IS A PARTICULARLY DANGEROUS SITUATION...

DESTRUCTIVE TORNADOES...LARGE HAIL TO 2.5 INCHES IN DIAMETER...
THUNDERSTORM WIND GUSTS TO 70 MPH...AND DANGEROUS LIGHTNING ARE
POSSIBLE IN THESE AREAS.

THE TORNADO WATCH AREA IS APPROXIMATELY ALONG AND 75 STATUTE
MILES NORTH AND SOUTH OF A LINE FROM 65 MILES NORTH NORTHWEST OF
TEXARKANA ARKANSAS TO 35 MILES NORTH OF GREENWOOD MISSISSIPPI. 
FOR A COMPLETE DEPICTION OF THE WATCH SEE THE ASSOCIATED WATCH
OUTLINE UPDATE (WOUS64 KWNS WOU6).

REMEMBER...A TORNADO WATCH MEANS CONDITIONS ARE FAVORABLE FOR
TORNADOES AND SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS IN AND CLOSE TO THE WATCH
AREA. PERSONS IN THESE AREAS SHOULD BE ON THE LOOKOUT FOR
THREATENING WEATHER CONDITIONS AND LISTEN FOR LATER STATEMENTS
AND POSSIBLE WARNINGS.

OTHER WATCH INFORMATION...THIS TORNADO WATCH REPLACES TORNADO
WATCH NUMBER 292. WATCH NUMBER 292 WILL NOT BE IN EFFECT AFTER
335 PM CDT. CONTINUE...WW 293...WW 294...WW 295...

DISCUSSION...POTENTIALLY VOLATILE SITUATION MAY BE UNFOLDING ACROSS
PORTIONS OF SOUTHWEST AND SOUTHERN AR...EWD TO NWRN/CNTRL MS THROUGH
THIS EVENING AS LARGE DEEP-LAYER CYCLONE CONTINUES TO INTENSIFY
ACROSS KS/MO AND ASCENT STRENGTHENS ACROSS VERY UNSTABLE AIR MASS.
WARM FRONT NOW BISECTING AR NW-SE HAS BEEN REINFORCED BY DAYLONG
STRONG TO SEVERE ELEVATED CONVECTION ACROSS THE OZARK PLATEAU. AS
STRONGER FORCING NOW EMERGES WITH THE ADVANCING UPPER
TROUGH...RESIDUAL WEAK INHIBITION SHOULD BE REMOVED AND ALLOW FOR
SURFACE-BASED STORM DEVELOPMENT. STORMS/SUPERCELLS DEVELOPING IN
UNPERTURBED AIR MASS ACROSS ERN/SERN OK WILL ENCOUNTER MOIST LOW
LEVEL ELY/SELY FLOW NEAR THE WARM FRONT/OUTFLOW BOUNDARY ACROSS AR
SHORTLY. LOW LEVEL SHEAR ALONG THIS BOUNDARY...AND ACROSS THE REST
OF THE WARM SECTOR...WILL SUPPORT LONG-LIVED UPDRAFT ROTATION. A
CORRIDOR OF GREATER POTENTIAL FOR STRONG TO INTENSE LOW LEVEL STORMS
ROTATION MAY EVOLVE THROUGH THE EVENING HOURS WITH THE THREAT OF ONE
OR TWO LONGER-LIVED STRONG TORNADOES WITHIN THE WATCH AREA.

AVIATION...TORNADOES AND A FEW SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS WITH HAIL
SURFACE AND ALOFT TO 2.5 INCHES. EXTREME TURBULENCE AND SURFACE
WIND GUSTS TO 60 KNOTS. A FEW CUMULONIMBI WITH MAXIMUM TOPS TO
500. MEAN STORM MOTION VECTOR 26030.


...CARBIN

SPC that day

Everything else SPC issued on the same UTC day.

IssuedProductOfficeCountiesLasted
May 10, 4:05 AM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCBaxter, Boone, Carroll, Clay, Cleburne, Craighead and 21 more115 min
May 10, 7:36 AM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCBenton, Carroll, Crawford, Franklin, Hempstead, Howard and 12 more2 hr
May 10, 9:40 AM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCArkansas, Ashley, Bradley, Calhoun, Chicot, Clark and 37 more65 min
May 10, 10:11 AM CDTTornado WatchSPCArkansas, Ashley, Bradley, Calhoun, Chicot, Clark and 29 more5 hr
May 10, 10:55 AM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCBenton, Boone, Carroll, Crawford, Franklin, Johnson and 7 more2 hr
May 10, 11:29 AM CDTTornado WatchSPCBaxter, Benton, Boone, Carroll, Conway, Crawford and 15 more9 hr
May 10, 12:34 PM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCClay, Craighead, Fulton, Greene, Independence, Lawrence and 4 more116 min
May 10, 2:23 PM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCArkansas, Ashley, Bradley, Calhoun, Chicot, Clark and 25 more97 min
May 10, 4:27 PM CDTTornado WatchSPCClay, Craighead, Crittenden, Cross, Greene, Lawrence and 6 more10 hr
May 10, 5:13 PM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCBaxter, Benton, Boone, Carroll, Crawford, Franklin and 9 more2 hr
May 10, 6:22 PM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCArkansas, Bradley, Calhoun, Chicot, Clark, Cleveland and 28 more83 min
May 10, 6:51 PM CDTTornado Watch PDSSPCArkansas, Ashley, Baxter, Boone, Bradley, Calhoun and 50 more7 hr
May 9, 11:08 PM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCAlcorn, Calhoun, Chickasaw, Choctaw, Clay, Itawamba and 13 more2 hr
May 10, 2:28 PM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCChoctaw, Clay, Lowndes, Monroe, Noxubee, Oktibbeha and 2 more2 hr
May 9, 8:14 PM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCBell, Burnet, Coryell, Falls, Lampasas, Limestone and 5 more61 min
May 10, 12:47 PM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCBowie, Camp, Cass, Collin, Cooke, Delta and 11 more88 min
May 10, 1:38 PM CDTTornado WatchSPCBowie, Camp, Cass, Collin, Delta, Fannin and 16 more10 hr
May 10, 3:59 PM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCBandera, Bell, Blanco, Bosque, Burnet, Coryell and 13 more2 hr
May 10, 4:16 PM CDTTornado WatchSPCAnderson, Bell, Bosque, Collin, Coryell, Dallas and 20 more5 hr

Nearby

Tornado Watches in Arkansas, 2008Tornado Watches in Mississippi, 2008Every tornado watch in 2008

Sources

The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; the sounding from the Mesonet's radiosonde archive; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive.