Alert archive / Florida / Tornado Watches in 2008

Tornado Watch 22

January 19, 200816 counties in Florida

The Storm Prediction Center issued this tornado watch at Jan 19, 2008, 3:29 PM EST for 16 counties in Florida. It was in force for 5 hr.

The area

The outline as issued.

The facts

Issued
Jan 19, 2008, 3:29 PM EST (20:29 UTC)
Expired
Jan 19, 2008, 8:29 PM EST
In force
5 hr
Issued by
the Storm Prediction Center
Largest hail expected
1.5 in
Strongest gust expected
60 kt

Counties Alachua County, FL, Citrus County, FL, Flagler County, FL, Hernando County, FL, Hillsborough County, FL, Lake County, FL, Levy County, FL, Marion County, FL, Orange County, FL, Pasco County, FL, Pinellas County, FL, Putnam County, FL, Saint Johns County, FL, Seminole County, FL, Sumter County, FL, Volusia County, FL

The radar

The Tampa radar (KTBW), 137 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 20:29 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.

Open the radar archive at this moment

The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.

What SPC expected

The probabilities SPC published with the watch, for the watch area over its life.

Two or more tornadoes
40%
One or more EF2 to EF5 tornadoes
20%
Ten or more severe wind reports
30%
One or more gusts of 65 knots or more
30%
Ten or more severe hail reports
20%
One or more hailstones of 2 inches or more
10%
Six or more combined severe hail and wind reports
60%

Warnings issued inside it

17 tornado, severe thunderstorm and flash flood warnings for its counties while it was in force.

IssuedProductOfficeCountiesLasted
Jan 19, 3:50 PM ESTSevere Thunderstorm WarningTBWLevy55 min
Jan 19, 4:35 PM ESTSevere Thunderstorm WarningJAXAlachua, Marion, Putnam25 min
Jan 19, 4:59 PM ESTSevere Thunderstorm WarningJAXClay, Flagler, Marion, Putnam, Saint Johns31 min
Jan 19, 5:11 PM ESTSevere Thunderstorm WarningTBWPasco, Pinellas34 min
Jan 19, 5:16 PM ESTTornado WarningTBWPinellas29 min
Jan 19, 5:16 PM ESTTornado WarningTBWPasco29 min
Jan 19, 5:21 PM ESTTornado WarningJAXClay, Putnam, Saint Johns24 min
Jan 19, 5:24 PM ESTSevere Thunderstorm WarningTBWHillsborough, Pasco51 min
Jan 19, 5:34 PM ESTTornado WarningTBWHernando26 min
Jan 19, 5:36 PM ESTSevere Thunderstorm WarningJAXFlagler, Putnam, Saint Johns24 min
Jan 19, 5:38 PM ESTTornado WarningTBWPinellas18 min
Jan 19, 6:02 PM ESTTornado WarningTBWHernando, Sumter28 min
Jan 19, 6:07 PM ESTSevere Thunderstorm WarningTBWHillsborough, Manatee53 min
Jan 19, 6:18 PM ESTSevere Thunderstorm WarningTBWHillsborough, Polk42 min
Jan 19, 6:37 PM ESTSevere Thunderstorm WarningMLBLake, Orange38 min
Jan 19, 7:25 PM ESTSevere Thunderstorm WarningMLBOrange, Osceola35 min
Jan 19, 7:35 PM ESTSevere Thunderstorm WarningMLBBrevard, Volusia25 min

Discussions around it

SPC mesoscale discussions over the same counties from four hours before the watch to its end.

The nearest sounding before it

Tampa Bay, FL (KTBW), launched 12:00Z, 8.5 hours before the alert went out and 137 km from the middle of its area. This is the routine balloon launch nearest before it, the air the forecaster had in hand, not a measurement taken for the alert.

Skew-T log-pSkew-T log-p diagram, Tampa Bay, FL at 12:00Z on 2008-01-19Temperature and dew point through the depth of the atmosphere, with the mixed-layer parcel. CAPE 13 joules per kilogram.LCLLFCEL10008507005003002001001 km2 km3 km6 km9 km12 km15 km-30°-20°-10°0°10°20°30°40°
Temperature in red, dew point in green, the mixed-layer parcel dashed.
HodographHodograph, Tampa Bay, FL at 12:00Z on 2008-01-19The wind through the lowest 10 kilometers. Zero to 1 km storm-relative helicity 170 square meters per square second.1939587897Sfc1 km3 km6 km9 kmRMLM
The wind turning with height, colored by layer: ground to 1 km, 1 to 3 km, 3 to 6 km, 6 to 10 km.
Mixed-layer CAPE
13 J/kg
Mixed-layer CIN
-57 J/kg
Mixed-layer LCL
560 m above ground
0-6 km bulk shear
56 kt
0-1 km storm-relative helicity
170 m²/s²
0-3 km storm-relative helicity
233 m²/s²
Significant tornado parameter
0.0
Supercell composite
-0.0

Open this sounding in Storm Lab

The text

As transmitted, in the capitals the NWS used until 2016.

000
WWUS20 KWNS 192027
SEL2  
SPC WW 192027
FLZ000-CWZ000-200300-

URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
TORNADO WATCH NUMBER 22
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
330 PM EST SAT JAN 19 2008

THE NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER HAS ISSUED A
TORNADO WATCH FOR PORTIONS OF 

       CENTRAL AND NORTHERN FLORIDA PENINSULA
       COASTAL WATERS

EFFECTIVE THIS SATURDAY AFTERNOON AND EVENING FROM 330 PM UNTIL
1000 PM EST.

TORNADOES...HAIL TO 1.5 INCHES IN DIAMETER...THUNDERSTORM WIND
GUSTS TO 70 MPH...AND DANGEROUS LIGHTNING ARE POSSIBLE IN THESE
AREAS.

THE TORNADO WATCH AREA IS APPROXIMATELY ALONG AND 50 STATUTE
MILES EITHER SIDE OF A LINE FROM 80 MILES SOUTHWEST OF OCALA
FLORIDA TO 40 MILES EAST NORTHEAST OF DAYTONA BEACH FLORIDA.  FOR
A COMPLETE DEPICTION OF THE WATCH SEE THE ASSOCIATED WATCH
OUTLINE UPDATE (WOUS64 KWNS WOU2).

REMEMBER...A TORNADO WATCH MEANS CONDITIONS ARE FAVORABLE FOR
TORNADOES AND SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS IN AND CLOSE TO THE WATCH
AREA. PERSONS IN THESE AREAS SHOULD BE ON THE LOOKOUT FOR
THREATENING WEATHER CONDITIONS AND LISTEN FOR LATER STATEMENTS
AND POSSIBLE WARNINGS.

DISCUSSION...SCATTERED THUNDERSTORMS OVER THE EASTERN GULF OF MEXICO
WILL MOVE INTO THE FL PENINSULA THIS AFTERNOON AND EVENING.  THESE
STORMS WILL INTERACT WITH RETREATING SURFACE WARM FRONT...WHERE
ENHANCED LOW LEVEL CONVERGENCE AND SHEAR WILL BE PRESENT.  THIS MAY
RESULT IN ISOLATED SUPERCELLS CAPABLE OF DAMAGING WINDS AND A FEW
TORNADOES.

AVIATION...TORNADOES AND A FEW SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS WITH HAIL
SURFACE AND ALOFT TO 1.5 INCHES. EXTREME TURBULENCE AND SURFACE
WIND GUSTS TO 60 KNOTS. A FEW CUMULONIMBI WITH MAXIMUM TOPS TO
450. MEAN STORM MOTION VECTOR 27035.


...HART

SPC that day

Everything else SPC issued on the same UTC day.

IssuedProductOfficeCountiesLasted
Jan 19, 2:42 PM ESTMesoscale DiscussionSPCBrevard, Citrus, Flagler, Hernando, Hillsborough, Lake and 11 more63 min
Jan 19, 6:06 PM ESTMesoscale DiscussionSPCFlagler, Hernando, Hillsborough, Lake, Manatee, Orange and 6 more84 min

Nearby

Tornado Watches in Florida, 2008Every tornado watch in 2008

Sources

The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; the sounding from the Mesonet's radiosonde archive; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive.