Alert archive / Montana / Severe Thunderstorm Watches in 2008

Severe Thunderstorm Watch 656

July 4, 200821 counties in Montana

The Storm Prediction Center issued this severe thunderstorm watch at Jul 4, 2008, 2:04 PM MDT for 21 counties in Montana. It was in force for 8 hr.

The area

The outline as issued.

The facts

Issued
Jul 4, 2008, 2:04 PM MDT (20:04 UTC)
Expired
Jul 4, 2008, 10:00 PM MDT
In force
8 hr
Issued by
the Storm Prediction Center
Largest hail expected
2 in
Strongest gust expected
60 kt
All 21 counties

Beaverhead County, MT, Broadwater County, MT, Cascade County, MT, Chouteau County, MT, Deer Lodge County, MT, Flathead County, MT, Glacier County, MT, Granite County, MT, Hill County, MT, Jefferson County, MT, Lake County, MT, Lewis and Clark County, MT, Liberty County, MT, Madison County, MT, Missoula County, MT, Pondera County, MT, Powell County, MT, Ravalli County, MT, Silver Bow County, MT, Teton County, MT, Toole County, MT

The radar

The Missoula radar (KMSX), 97 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 20:06 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.

Open the radar archive at this moment

The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.

What SPC expected

The probabilities SPC published with the watch, for the watch area over its life.

Two or more tornadoes
10%
One or more EF2 to EF5 tornadoes
5%
Ten or more severe wind reports
40%
One or more gusts of 65 knots or more
30%
Ten or more severe hail reports
40%
One or more hailstones of 2 inches or more
20%
Six or more combined severe hail and wind reports
90%

Warnings issued inside it

41 tornado, severe thunderstorm and flash flood warnings for its counties while it was in force.

IssuedProductOfficeCountiesLasted
Jul 4, 3:50 PM MDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningMSOFlathead25 min
Jul 4, 3:50 PM MDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningTFXPondera40 min
Jul 4, 3:56 PM MDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningTFXLewis and Clark49 min
Jul 4, 4:10 PM MDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningTFXChouteau, Fergus, Judith Basin50 min
Jul 4, 4:27 PM MDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningMSOPowell26 min
Jul 4, 4:37 PM MDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningMSOFlathead38 min
Jul 4, 4:41 PM MDTTornado WarningTFXLewis and Clark34 min
Jul 4, 4:48 PM MDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningTFXPondera, Teton42 min
Jul 4, 4:57 PM MDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningTFXGlacier48 min
Jul 4, 4:58 PM MDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningMSOFlathead, Lake, Missoula, Sanders47 min
Jul 4, 5:06 PM MDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningTFXCascade, Meagher39 min
Jul 4, 5:08 PM MDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningTFXCascade, Lewis and Clark52 min
Jul 4, 5:13 PM MDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningTFXGlacier, Pondera47 min
Jul 4, 5:26 PM MDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningTFXPondera, Toole49 min
Jul 4, 5:38 PM MDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningTFXCascade, Lewis and Clark, Teton52 min
Jul 4, 5:40 PM MDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningMSOFlathead, Lake, Missoula, Powell48 min
Jul 4, 5:45 PM MDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningTFXCascade, Meagher45 min
Jul 4, 5:52 PM MDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningTFXGlacier38 min
Jul 4, 5:57 PM MDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningTFXLewis and Clark, Teton63 min
Jul 4, 6:02 PM MDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningTFXChouteau, Fergus, Judith Basin43 min
Jul 4, 6:07 PM MDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningTFXCascade, Judith Basin38 min
Jul 4, 6:12 PM MDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningTFXGlacier, Pondera, Teton, Toole48 min
Jul 4, 6:27 PM MDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningTFXCascade, Chouteau, Judith Basin, Lewis and Clark, Teton48 min
Jul 4, 6:29 PM MDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningTFXGlacier31 min
Jul 4, 6:32 PM MDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningTFXLewis and Clark43 min
Jul 4, 6:47 PM MDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningTFXChouteau, Judith Basin25 min
Jul 4, 6:57 PM MDTTornado WarningTFXPondera, Teton21 min
Jul 4, 6:58 PM MDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningTFXCascade, Chouteau, Fergus, Judith Basin, Teton47 min
Jul 4, 7:00 PM MDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningTFXChouteau, Pondera, Teton45 min
Jul 4, 7:04 PM MDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningTFXPondera, Teton, Toole28 min
Jul 4, 7:27 PM MDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningMSODeer Lodge, Granite, Powell48 min
Jul 4, 7:38 PM MDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningTFXChouteau, Lewis and Clark, Liberty, Pondera, Teton, Toole52 min
Jul 4, 7:42 PM MDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningTFXBlaine, Chouteau, Hill, Liberty63 min
Jul 4, 8:08 PM MDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningTFXHill, Liberty67 min
Jul 4, 8:10 PM MDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningMSODeer Lodge, Granite, Powell50 min
Jul 4, 8:21 PM MDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningTFXLewis and Clark39 min
Jul 4, 8:27 PM MDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningMSODeer Lodge, Granite, Powell48 min
Jul 4, 8:36 PM MDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningTFXBlaine, Hill39 min
Jul 4, 8:43 PM MDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningTFXChouteau, Hill32 min
Jul 4, 9:15 PM MDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningTFXBlaine, Hill45 min
Jul 4, 9:57 PM MDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningMSODeer Lodge, Silver Bow48 min

Discussions around it

SPC mesoscale discussions over the same counties from four hours before the watch to its end.

The nearest sounding before it

Great_falls, MT (KTFX), launched 12:00Z, 8.1 hours before the alert went out and 169 km from the middle of its area. This is the routine balloon launch nearest before it, the air the forecaster had in hand, not a measurement taken for the alert.

Skew-T log-pSkew-T log-p diagram, Great_falls, MT at 12:00Z on 2008-07-04Temperature and dew point through the depth of the atmosphere, with the mixed-layer parcel. CAPE 32 joules per kilogram.LCLLFCEL10008507005003002001001 km2 km3 km6 km9 km12 km15 km-30°-20°-10°0°10°20°30°40°
Temperature in red, dew point in green, the mixed-layer parcel dashed.
HodographHodograph, Great_falls, MT at 12:00Z on 2008-07-04The wind through the lowest 10 kilometers. Zero to 1 km storm-relative helicity 132 square meters per square second.193958Sfc1 km3 km6 km9 kmRMLM
The wind turning with height, colored by layer: ground to 1 km, 1 to 3 km, 3 to 6 km, 6 to 10 km.
Mixed-layer CAPE
32 J/kg
Mixed-layer CIN
-527 J/kg
Mixed-layer LCL
2745 m above ground
0-6 km bulk shear
39 kt
0-1 km storm-relative helicity
132 m²/s²
0-3 km storm-relative helicity
109 m²/s²
Significant tornado parameter
0.0
Supercell composite
0.0

Open this sounding in Storm Lab

SPC that day

Everything else SPC issued on the same UTC day.

IssuedProductOfficeCountiesLasted
Jul 4, 1:45 PM MDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCBeaverhead, Broadwater, Cascade, Chouteau, Deer Lodge, Flathead and 15 more60 min
Jul 4, 3:02 PM MDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCBlaine, Carbon, Fergus, Golden Valley, Judith Basin, Musselshell and 7 more58 min
Jul 4, 3:05 PM MDTSevere Thunderstorm WatchSPCBlaine, Fergus, Gallatin, Garfield, Golden Valley, Judith Basin and 10 more7 hr
Jul 4, 5:45 PM MDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCBeaverhead, Blaine, Broadwater, Cascade, Chouteau, Deer Lodge and 28 more60 min

Nearby

Severe Thunderstorm Watches in Montana, 2008Every severe thunderstorm watch in 2008

Sources

The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; the sounding from the Mesonet's radiosonde archive; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive.