Alert archive / Minnesota / Severe Thunderstorm Watches in 2008

Severe Thunderstorm Watch 404

May 31, 20088 counties in Iowa; 50 counties in Minnesota

The Storm Prediction Center issued this severe thunderstorm watch at May 31, 2008, 2:51 PM CDT for 8 counties in Iowa; 50 counties in Minnesota. It was in force for 6 hr.

The area

The outline as issued.

The facts

Issued
May 31, 2008, 2:51 PM CDT (19:51 UTC)
Expired
May 31, 2008, 9:00 PM CDT
In force
6 hr
Issued by
the Storm Prediction Center
Largest hail expected
2 in
Strongest gust expected
60 kt
All 58 counties

Allamakee County, IA, Chickasaw County, IA, Clayton County, IA, Fayette County, IA, Floyd County, IA, Howard County, IA, Mitchell County, IA, Winneshiek County, IA, Aitkin County, MN, Anoka County, MN, Becker County, MN, Benton County, MN, Blue Earth County, MN, Carver County, MN, Cass County, MN, Chisago County, MN, Clay County, MN, Clearwater County, MN, Crow Wing County, MN, Dakota County, MN, Dodge County, MN, Douglas County, MN, Fillmore County, MN, Freeborn County, MN, Goodhue County, MN, Hennepin County, MN, Houston County, MN, Hubbard County, MN, Isanti County, MN, Kanabec County, MN, Kandiyohi County, MN, Le Sueur County, MN, Mahnomen County, MN, McLeod County, MN, Meeker County, MN, Mille Lacs County, MN, Morrison County, MN, Mower County, MN, Nicollet County, MN, Norman County, MN, Olmsted County, MN, Otter Tail County, MN, Pope County, MN, Ramsey County, MN, Renville County, MN, Rice County, MN, Scott County, MN, Sherburne County, MN, Sibley County, MN, Stearns County, MN, Steele County, MN, Todd County, MN, Wabasha County, MN, Wadena County, MN, Waseca County, MN, Washington County, MN, Winona County, MN, Wright County, MN

The radar

The Minneapolis radar (KMPX), 123 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 20:01 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.

Open the radar archive at this moment

The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.

What SPC expected

The probabilities SPC published with the watch, for the watch area over its life.

Two or more tornadoes
20%
One or more EF2 to EF5 tornadoes
5%
Ten or more severe wind reports
30%
One or more gusts of 65 knots or more
30%
Ten or more severe hail reports
50%
One or more hailstones of 2 inches or more
20%
Six or more combined severe hail and wind reports
90%

Warnings issued inside it

44 tornado, severe thunderstorm and flash flood warnings for its counties while it was in force.

IssuedProductOfficeCountiesLasted
May 31, 3:08 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningMPXLe Sueur, Rice, Steele, Waseca67 min
May 31, 3:11 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningFGFClearwater, Mahnomen34 min
May 31, 3:13 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningDLHCass, Crow Wing47 min
May 31, 3:39 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningFGFBecker, Clearwater, Hubbard54 min
May 31, 3:44 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningFGFBecker, Clearwater, Mahnomen61 min
May 31, 4:05 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningFGFClearwater, Mahnomen30 min
May 31, 4:15 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningMPXFaribault, Freeborn, Steele, Waseca48 min
May 31, 4:15 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningMPXBenton, Sherburne60 min
May 31, 4:21 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningDLHCrow Wing24 min
May 31, 4:23 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningMPXMorrison67 min
May 31, 4:26 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningARXDodge, Mower34 min
May 31, 4:43 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningMPXKanabec, Mille Lacs, Morrison62 min
May 31, 4:44 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningDLHCrow Wing19 min
May 31, 4:48 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningFGFBecker, Clearwater42 min
May 31, 4:50 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningARXFillmore, Mower45 min
May 31, 5:01 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningMPXSherburne, Wright59 min
May 31, 5:13 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningFGFBecker, Otter Tail40 min
May 31, 5:16 PM CDTTornado WarningMPXSherburne, Wright44 min
May 31, 5:18 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningARXHoward, Winneshiek42 min
May 31, 5:25 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningMPXAnoka, Hennepin, Ramsey65 min
May 31, 5:28 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningMPXBenton, Mille Lacs, Morrison62 min
May 31, 5:35 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningDLHCass40 min
May 31, 5:38 PM CDTTornado WarningMPXHennepin, Wright40 min
May 31, 5:54 PM CDTTornado WarningDLHCass, Crow Wing40 min
May 31, 5:55 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningARXFloyd26 min
May 31, 5:56 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningFGFMahnomen32 min
May 31, 6:00 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningARXAllamakee, Winneshiek32 min
May 31, 6:17 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningMPXChisago, Isanti58 min
May 31, 6:26 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningMPXDakota, Hennepin, Ramsey, Scott50 min
May 31, 6:30 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningARXClayton45 min
May 31, 6:31 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningDLHCrow Wing29 min
May 31, 6:44 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningMPXKanabec, Mille Lacs, Morrison46 min
May 31, 6:45 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningMPXAnoka, Chisago, Washington45 min
May 31, 6:55 PM CDTTornado WarningMPXAnoka, Chisago, Washington50 min
May 31, 7:00 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningMPXDakota44 min
May 31, 7:17 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningARXClayton28 min
May 31, 7:18 PM CDTTornado WarningMPXAnoka, Ramsey, Washington30 min
May 31, 7:23 PM CDTTornado WarningMPXWashington32 min
May 31, 7:29 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningMPXSibley19 min
May 31, 7:32 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningMPXGoodhue43 min
May 31, 7:40 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningMPXRamsey, Washington47 min
May 31, 8:04 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningARXOlmsted, Wabasha41 min
May 31, 8:21 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningMPXGoodhue41 min
May 31, 8:44 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningARXOlmsted46 min

Discussions around it

SPC mesoscale discussions over the same counties from four hours before the watch to its end.

The nearest sounding before it

Minneapolis, MN (KMPX), launched 12:00Z, 7.9 hours before the alert went out and 122 km from the middle of its area. This is the routine balloon launch nearest before it, the air the forecaster had in hand, not a measurement taken for the alert.

Skew-T log-pSkew-T log-p diagram, Minneapolis, MN at 12:00Z on 2008-05-31Temperature and dew point through the depth of the atmosphere, with the mixed-layer parcel. CAPE 16 joules per kilogram.LCLLFCEL10008507005003002001001 km2 km3 km6 km9 km12 km15 km-30°-20°-10°0°10°20°30°40°
Temperature in red, dew point in green, the mixed-layer parcel dashed.
HodographHodograph, Minneapolis, MN at 12:00Z on 2008-05-31The wind through the lowest 10 kilometers. Zero to 1 km storm-relative helicity -6 square meters per square second.193958Sfc1 km3 km6 km9 kmRMLM
The wind turning with height, colored by layer: ground to 1 km, 1 to 3 km, 3 to 6 km, 6 to 10 km.
Mixed-layer CAPE
16 J/kg
Mixed-layer CIN
-33 J/kg
Mixed-layer LCL
722 m above ground
0-6 km bulk shear
36 kt
0-1 km storm-relative helicity
-6 m²/s²
0-3 km storm-relative helicity
7 m²/s²
Significant tornado parameter
0.0
Supercell composite
0.0

Open this sounding in Storm Lab

SPC that day

Everything else SPC issued on the same UTC day.

IssuedProductOfficeCountiesLasted
May 31, 6:23 PM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCAllamakee, Bremer, Chickasaw, Clayton, Fayette, Floyd and 4 more67 min
May 31, 2:07 PM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCAnoka, Becker, Beltrami, Benton, Blue Earth, Carver and 39 more53 min

Nearby

Severe Thunderstorm Watches in Minnesota, 2008Severe Thunderstorm Watches in Iowa, 2008Every severe thunderstorm watch in 2008

Sources

The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; the sounding from the Mesonet's radiosonde archive; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive.