Alert archive / Tennessee / Severe Thunderstorm Watches in 2008

Severe Thunderstorm Watch 151

March 31, 20087 counties in Arkansas; 11 counties in Mississippi; 18 counties in Tennessee

The Storm Prediction Center issued this severe thunderstorm watch at Mar 31, 2008, 9:12 PM CDT for 7 counties in Arkansas; 11 counties in Mississippi; 18 counties in Tennessee. It was in force for 4 hr.

The area

The outline as issued.

The facts

Issued
Mar 31, 2008, 9:12 PM CDT (02:12 UTC)
Expired
Apr 1, 2008, 1:16 AM CDT
In force
4 hr
Issued by
the Storm Prediction Center
Largest hail expected
1 in
Strongest gust expected
60 kt
All 36 counties

Arkansas County, AR, Crittenden County, AR, Lee County, AR, Lincoln County, AR, Monroe County, AR, Phillips County, AR, St. Francis County, AR, Benton County, MS, Coahoma County, MS, DeSoto County, MS, Lafayette County, MS, Marshall County, MS, Panola County, MS, Quitman County, MS, Tallahatchie County, MS, Tate County, MS, Tippah County, MS, Tunica County, MS, Carroll County, TN, Chester County, TN, Crockett County, TN, Dyer County, TN, Fayette County, TN, Gibson County, TN, Hardeman County, TN, Haywood County, TN, Henderson County, TN, Henry County, TN, Lake County, TN, Lauderdale County, TN, Madison County, TN, McNairy County, TN, Obion County, TN, Shelby County, TN, Tipton County, TN, Weakley County, TN

The radar

The Memphis radar (KNQA), 16 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 02:11 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.

Open the radar archive at this moment

The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.

What SPC expected

The probabilities SPC published with the watch, for the watch area over its life.

Two or more tornadoes
10%
One or more EF2 to EF5 tornadoes
2%
Ten or more severe wind reports
40%
One or more gusts of 65 knots or more
20%
Ten or more severe hail reports
30%
One or more hailstones of 2 inches or more
10%
Six or more combined severe hail and wind reports
60%

Warnings issued inside it

10 tornado, severe thunderstorm and flash flood warnings for its counties while it was in force.

IssuedProductOfficeCountiesLasted
Mar 31, 9:20 PM CDTFlash Flood WarningMEGLake3 hr
Mar 31, 9:27 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningMEGCrittenden, Cross, Poinsett, St. Francis48 min
Mar 31, 9:36 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningMEGDyer, Lake, Obion39 min
Mar 31, 9:41 PM CDTFlash Flood WarningMEGCrittenden, Cross, Mississippi, Poinsett3 hr
Mar 31, 9:42 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningMEGCrittenden, Cross, Mississippi, Poinsett48 min
Mar 31, 10:02 PM CDTFlash Flood WarningMEGDyer, Lake, Lauderdale, Obion2 hr
Mar 31, 10:07 PM CDTFlash Flood WarningMEGCrittenden3 hr
Mar 31, 10:11 PM CDTFlash Flood WarningMEGCrittenden, Lee, Phillips, St. Francis3 hr
Mar 31, 11:44 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningLZKArkansas, Desha, Drew, Lincoln46 min
Apr 1, 12:07 AM CDTFlash Flood WarningMEGBenton, Marshall2 hr

Discussions around it

SPC mesoscale discussions over the same counties from four hours before the watch to its end.

The nearest sounding before it

Nashville Metro, TN (KBNA), launched 00:00Z, 2.2 hours before the alert went out and 307 km from the middle of its area. This is the routine balloon launch nearest before it, the air the forecaster had in hand, not a measurement taken for the alert.

Skew-T log-pSkew-T log-p diagram, Nashville Metro, TN at 00:00Z on 2008-04-01Temperature and dew point through the depth of the atmosphere, with the mixed-layer parcel. CAPE 0 joules per kilogram.LCL10008507005003002001001 km2 km3 km6 km9 km12 km15 km-30°-20°-10°0°10°20°30°40°
Temperature in red, dew point in green, the mixed-layer parcel dashed.
HodographHodograph, Nashville Metro, TN at 00:00Z on 2008-04-01The wind through the lowest 10 kilometers. Zero to 1 km storm-relative helicity 232 square meters per square second.193958Sfc1 km3 km6 km9 kmRMLM
The wind turning with height, colored by layer: ground to 1 km, 1 to 3 km, 3 to 6 km, 6 to 10 km.
Mixed-layer CAPE
0 J/kg
Mixed-layer CIN
No buoyant parcel
Mixed-layer LCL
1488 m above ground
0-6 km bulk shear
36 kt
0-1 km storm-relative helicity
232 m²/s²
0-3 km storm-relative helicity
301 m²/s²
Significant tornado parameter
0.0
Supercell composite
0.0

Open this sounding in Storm Lab

SPC that day

Everything else SPC issued on the same UTC day.

IssuedProductOfficeCountiesLasted
Mar 31, 8:12 PM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCClark, Clay, Cleburne, Conway, Craighead, Faulkner and 28 more63 min
Apr 1, 12:42 AM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCAshley, Bradley, Calhoun, Chicot, Columbia, Desha and 3 more63 min
Apr 1, 1:06 AM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WatchSPCAshley, Chicot, Columbia, Hempstead, Lafayette, Little River and 3 more4 hr
Apr 1, 3:25 AM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCAshley, Bradley, Calhoun, Chicot, Columbia, Desha and 5 more95 min

Nearby

Severe Thunderstorm Watches in Tennessee, 2008Severe Thunderstorm Watches in Mississippi, 2008Severe Thunderstorm Watches in Arkansas, 2008Every severe thunderstorm watch in 2008

Sources

The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; the sounding from the Mesonet's radiosonde archive; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive.